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Game: (557) Memphis Grizzlies at (558) Dallas Mavericks Date/Time: Feb 22 2021 8:35 PM EST Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line Play Rating: 4% Play: Total Over 232.0 (-110)
The OVER applies to a very strong 79-38 system of mine that involves .499 or worse home teams in games with a total of 210 points or more. Dallas is a perfect 10-0 OVER after being installed as a favorite, 10-1 OVER in its last eleven games as a favorite (6-0 L/6 as a home favorite), and 12-2 OVER in its last fourteen games overall. Memphis is 11-2 OVER versus teams allowing 110 points or more per game, 7-0 OVER in its last seven road affairs, 8-0 in its previous eight games as an underdog, and 8-1 OVER in its past nine games overall.
Since 2018-19, the Mavericks are 30-18 OVER at home, 17-5 OVER off back-to-back home games, 9-1 OVER after allowing 105 points or more in five consecutive games, and 7-0 OVER at home following consecutive games that finished over the total.
The Grizzlies are allowing 118.0 points over their last five games (50.6% FG%, 41.4% 3-PT%) and 120.3 points per game in divisional contests this season (50.0% FG%, 43.0% 3-PT%). Dallas is shooting 51.1% from the field and 42.6% from beyond the arc over its past five games (128.0 ppg) and has a prime opportunity tonight to improve upon its season average of 121.5 points per game versus divisional foes.
Finally, the OVER has been an 80% winning proposition in this series.
Game: (559) Portland Trail Blazers at (560) Phoenix Suns Date/Time: Feb 22 2021 9:05 PM EST Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line Play Rating: 5% Play: Total Over 230.0 (-110)
The OVER applies to several of my strongest NBA totals systems, including a 35-12 situation that invests on the OVER in games involving teams that have made at least 50% of their shots in each of their previous two games. The OVER falls into a very good 109-56 system that has produced 66.1% winners since 2009 and is 7-1 OVER in its last eight. The OVER applies to a 148-77 situation of mine that has produced 65.8% winners since 2009 and is 23-8-1 OVER in its last 32 (7-1-1 L/9 & 4-0-1 L/5).
The OVER is 43-24 in Portland's last 67 games overall (11-5 L/16), including 30-16-1 in Portland's last 47 games versus .501 or greater opposition (12-2 L/14), 32-15 in its last 47 conference clashes and 33-17 in its previous 51 games as an underdog (7-0 L/8), including 28-14 with rest. The Trail Blazers are a profitable 20-5 OVER in their last 25 games following a game that finished under the total and 15-2 OVER in their last seventeen conference games off a game that landed under the posted total.
Let's also note that Portland is 20-4 OVER after winning three of its previous four games and 12-3 OVER on the road after scoring 105 points or more in five consecutive games over the past two seasons. With Phoenix standing at 8-2 OVER in its last ten games versus opponents with a .601 or greater road win percentage and 6-1 OVER in its last seven games overall, take the OVER and invest with confidence.
College Basketball(Bob Balfe)
7:00 PM EST
Rotation #8257
Syracuse +6 over Duke
Both teams are starting to heat up as they won three straight, but it’s Duke getting all the praise because they knocked off Virginia. The Cavs also lost to teams like San Francisco. If you can score you can beat a great defensive team. Syracuse is a little bit better on offense and defense. This team has the experience edge as well. Duke is winning games without Jalen Johnson, but I don’t think him opting out makes this team better. Duke has lost games this year in Cameron Indoor. Home court advantage is not a huge factor this year due to limited or no fans. Duke is a young team and I am interested to see how they do against the Jim Boeheim zone. I think 6 is too many tonight. Take Syracuse.
CHICAGO @ HOUSTON | 02/22 | 8:00 PM EST
UNDER 226
ANALYSIS: The Bulls are still without Otto Porter Jr. and Lauri Markkanen. Houston will be missing Christian Wood, Victor Oladipo and DeMarcus Cousins. The Bulls have gone under in three straight games. The Rockets are 9-1-1 under at home this season. They are averaging 212 points in their home games.
WILLIAM & MARY @ ELON | 02/22 | 7:00 PM EST
WILLIAM & MARY +4
ANALYSIS: William & Mary will be looking to avenge a 21-point loss to Elon on Saturday. The Tribe were playing in their first game in three weeks in that loss and they were without Quinn Blair, who should be back for this game. Elon is 3-6 ATS in the conference. William & Mary has been successful covering on the road, with an 8-2 mark this year.
CHARLOTTE @ UTAH | 02/22 | 9:00 PM EST
UTAH -12.5
ANALYSIS: This is just a standard automatic play. I don’t overanalyze much with the Jazz, I just marvel at how well they blow teams out and then I cash a ticket. Every game, all season. Better than an ATM. They’re 22-8 ATS overall. They’ve lost only six games and come off a Friday night loss at the Clippers. The Jazz are 8-1 ATS in their last nine. Jazz to cover.
+325 12-8 IN LAST 20 NBA PICKS
+500 5-0 IN LAST 5 UTA ATS PICKS
+400 4-0 IN LAST 4 CHA ATS PICKS
2:19 PM
PORTLAND @ PHOENIX | 02/22 | 9:00 PM EST
PHOENIX -6
ANALYSIS: The Blazers just had their six-game win streak snapped Saturday at home against the Wizards. The Suns are the hotter team right now coming off back-to-back blowouts on the road. The Suns have won and covered eight of their last nine and the one loss was a heartbreaker when they were up 20 points on the Nets on Tuesday. Suns get the cover.
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