Thursday 2/18/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nick Borrman

Event: Carlos Ortiz vs Matthew Wolff
Sport/League: GLF
Date/Time: February 18, 2021 10AM EST
Play: Carlos Ortiz (-125)
Genesis Invitational
Tournament Matchup
First let me be clear, I am high on Wolff in the long term as I think he has the skillset to have a great career on the PGA Tour. That being said, I don’t like his current form and golf is such a momentum sport.
Wolff was all the rage coming off the US Open back in September finishing solo 2nd and then backing that up with another runner-up finish at the Shriners in his next start. However since then, his form has fallen off big time. He finished 73rd in a field of 77 at the CJ Cup then T50 at the ZoZo championship, two events without cuts, Missed the cut at the Masters, WD at the Farmers after an opening round 78 and his best finish since Shriners came in his last start in Phoenix finishing T36.
What worries me the most is that the best part of his game is Off the Tee and he has lost over 8.50 strokes off the tee in his last five starts. On top of that, Riviera is a classic design with small greens and very tricky complexes that requires a strong short game which if Wolff’s weakest part of his game.
Carlos Ortiz on the other hand has been quietly consistent. He has made eight straight cuts and going back to his win in Houston, over his last six starts, he has four Top-15 finishes finishing no worse than 37th and remember Wolff’s best finish in his last seven starts is 36th.
Wolff is #200 this season hitting fairways and #136 in Greens in regulation while Ortiz is exactly 100 places better than him in both categories at #100 in driving accuracy, but more importantly #36 in Greens in regulation. When he misses, he is #49 in Strokes gained around the green while Wolff is #211. Too many numbers pointing to Ortiz this week.
TAKE CARLOS ORTIZ OVER MATTHEW WOLFF

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nick Borrman

Event: Genesis Invitational Outright Winner
Sport/League: GLF
Date/Time: February 18, 2021 11AM EST
Play: Xander Schauffele to Win Genesis Invitational (+1600)
Genesis Invitational
Outright Winner
So 5th or 6th on the odds list this week is Xander Schauffele and the main reason I want to take him is I want a chance to win on Sunday and this guy gives you that opportunity every single week. While he is actually winless in over a year which is hard to believe, he has been the most consistent player on Tour minus only world #1 Dustin Johnson.
In seven starts this season, he worst finish has been a T17 which he has done twice. His other five events were all Top-5 finishes including three runner-ups. He was so close in his last start two weeks ago at the Waste Management Phoenix Open but could only muster a final round 71 and lost to Koepka by a shot who fired a 65 on Sunday.
Proving his consistency, Going back to the 2019 season, in his last 27 starts, Xander has finished outside the Top 25 just two times with 14 Top-10’s. He finished #3 on Tour in 2020 in Total Strokes Gained with the 5thbest scoring average and this season is slightly better at #2 in Total SG with the 4th best scoring average.
He will win very soon and this has been his best price in his last several starts so I’m jumping on this one and we should at least have a chance on Sunday afternoon.
TAKE XANDER SCHAUFFELE +1600
Xander is also worthy of a Top-10 play for a heavier investment at a current +135 price.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin Dolan

Event: (224433) Manchester United at (224434) Real Sociedad
Sport/League: SOC
Date/Time: February 18, 2021 12PM EST
Play: Correct Score 1-1 (+600)
We're taking a shot in the correct score market here for Thursday's Europa League game between Manchester United and Real Sociedad over in Italy.
Real Sociedad are draw specialists in Europa League competition over recent games, drawing each of their last three games and all in low scoring affairs.
They've also got back on track recently in LaLiga as well, losing just once over their last seven games in all (three draws), so this definitely won't be an easy assignment for Manchester United here.
However, I don't expect Sociedad to keep United out indefinitely and Ole Gunnar Solskjaer's men would probably settle for a draw here against a tricky team who know how to defend as long as they get that crucial away goal to take back home for the second leg.
Take the correct score 1-1 prop for small stakes on Thursday in the Europa League game between Manchester United and Real Sociedad.
PLAY: CORRECT SCORE 1-1 +600

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Prez

Event: (731) Alabama at (732) Texas A&M
Sport/League: CBB
Date/Time: February 18, 2021 3PM EST
Play: Alabama -22.0 (-110)
Alabama Crimson Tide at Texas A&M Aggies +22, 144
The SEC first place Crimson Tide (17-5, 12-1 SEC) and Aggies (8-7, 2-6) SEC game is just one of many that was rescheduled due to winter weather that has affected the southeast region. The contest is slated for an early Thursday, Feb. 18th rotation slot and is a game that\'s easily the most intriguing of the league\'s mid-week affairs.

The uptempo Tide attempt to impose their will and scheme on the deliberate pace of the Aggies. With A&M coming off a long COVID pause without adequate depth to execute a pace and space event against the Tide puts the College Station squad at a significant disadvantage.

Alabama is off a 115 point performance against the Georgia Bulldogs making this Southeastern Conference title against the 63 points per game average of the Aggies who last played on Jan. 30th versus Big 12 Kansas State bottom-line unfair. The Crimson Tide are the Thursday afternoon college basketball free pick. Back the Tide and lay the 20-plus points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tokyo Brandon

Event: (769) Tennessee Tech at (770) Tennessee State
Sport/League: CBB
Date/Time: February 18, 2021 9PM EST
Play: Total Under 137.0 (-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Info Plays

Feb 18 '21, 3:00 PM in 5h
Soccer | Ajax Amsterdam vs Lille OSC
Play on: Lille OSC +190 at Bodog

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Lille OSC +190

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn

Feb 18 '21, 3:00 PM in 5h
Soccer | Villarreal vs Salzburg
Play on: Villarreal +200 at SC Consensus

1* Free Play on Villarreal +200

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Banks - NBA - Thu, Feb 18 at 10:05 PM
Miami Heat vs. Sacramento Kings

Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings
Sacramento Kings +1.5 (-102) (BetOnline)

Tough spot for the Heat after collapsing last night and eventually losing in OT at Golden State. Miami is in the second half of a west coast swing and could be a very tired bunch tonight after several players saw over 30 minutes of action. They aren't a healthy team, missing a few regulars. Sacramento is catching Miami at an opportune time and have a great chance to snap their losing streak. They've been off a couple of days, so they're well rested and they're top-10 in the NBA in FG accuracy...they'll make Miami work. Sacramento has covered 6 of the last 7 in the series and we'll back the Kings on Thursday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trace Adams

Toronto looking for the 2 game sweep of the Bucks in Milwaukee when these teams meet for the second time in the last 48 hours, but might have to do so tonight without Kyle Lowry who left in the 3rd quarter of Tuesday's 124-113 win with 18 points in his 22 minutes played. Lowry's left ankle has him listed as questionable for tonight's action, but with or without him I will be backing the Bucks to stop their skid in this spot.

Milwaukee has now lost 4 straight games heading into this quick rematch, but I do not see a 5th straight loss in the cards tonight at home. Remember, the Bucks did win the first series meeting between the teams back on January 27th, 115-108 as the -6 1/2 point road favorite and if you ask me it seems highly unlikely a team as talented as the Bucks loses a 5th straight this Thursday night.

The Raptors used their "small ball" lineup to roll to the win on Tuesday, but I doubt that strategy will work this time around if that is what Nick Nurse decides to employ. The bigger reason why the Bucks tasted loss # 4 in a row was the fact Khris Middleton scored just 11 points, while Brook Lopez was limited to 9 points. The pair had combined for 44 points in the January meeting in Tampa and I expect them to get back on track in this "must win" spot tonight.

Go ahead and lay it tonight with the Bucks to avoid the 2 game sweep and also end their 4 game slide with the win and cover tonight.

3* MILWAUKEE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mitchell Newman

On Tuesday night Toronto bested Milwaukee 124-113 in a game that easily landed Over the posted total. That series over snapped a streak of 6 straight Unders played between these Eastern Conference rivals and even though Raptors guard Kyle Lowry is listed as questionable with an ankle injury I like this Thursday night rematch to again play Over the total.

The Raptors have a little Over run brewing as they step on the hardwood here on Thursday as 9 of their last 10 games have played Over the total. The same can be said for the Bucks who are on an 8-2-1 Over run their last 11 games played.

Milwaukee is looking to stop a rather lengthy 4 game losing streak and with Khris Middleton and Brook Lopez combining for only 20 points on Tuesday in a game that still landed Over the total, well it seems to reason that this game could see more than enough points to land Over again on Thursday night.

Raptors-Bucks Over the total.

2* TORONTO-MILWAUKEE OVER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Turf Paradise

Turf Paradise - Race 6	$1 Exacta / $1 Quinella / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Double (Races 6-7) / $.50 Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 6-7-8-9)
Claiming $3,500 • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 83 • Purse: $8,800 • Post: 3:16P
FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JANUARY 18 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,500.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Trailer. SHARPSHOOTINGEORGE is the Lone Trailer of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * AMERICAN CAMP: Horse has a TrackMaster "B" designation. Hor se ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. ALBANY FRONT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. MAGIC MOSCO: Horse ranks in the top thre e in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. INDIAN HEAD NICKLE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
8	AMERICAN CAMP	5/1	4/1
2	ALBANY FRONT	5/1	6/1
4	MAGIC MOSCO	4/1	8/1
3	INDIAN HEAD NICKLE	3/1	10/1

---

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	INDIAN HEAD NICKLE	3	3/1	Front-runner	80	69	99.0	71.4	62.9
1	WAYLAY	1	6/1	Front-runner	72	65	65.3	61.0	47.0
4	MAGIC MOSCO	4	4/1	Alternator/Front-runner	83	77	67.9	71.9	64.4
2	ALBANY FRONT	2	5/1	Stalker	81	77	75.7	76.7	68.7
5	GO NOW GO	5	6/1	Stalker	76	79	49.0	69.2	59.2
8	AMERICAN CAMP	8	5/1	Alternator/Stalker	84	83	74.4	78.8	73.8
6	SHARPSHOOTINGEORGE	6	10/1	Trailer	72	73	56.0	61.8	47.8
9	MO GEE	9	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	87	82	70.6	61.5	55.0
7	THE GREAT LEBOWSKI	7	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	80	65	39.8	59.0	43.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta Downs

Delta Downs - Race 7	Exacta / Trifecta (.50 min.) / Superfecta (.10 min.) Daily Double (Races 7-8) ($1 min.) / Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9)
Claiming $5,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 75 • Purse: $14,000 • Post: 3:39P
FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JANUARY 18 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (CONDITION ELIGIBILITY PREFERRED).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * SILENT FORCE: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. ZENS SECRET: Today is a route and this is the horse's third start after a layoff, after two sprint prep races. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. WATERWILD: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. JACK'S KISS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
6	SILENT FORCE	10/1	5/1
1	ZENS SECRET	8/1	6/1
7	WATERWILD	4/1	7/1
8	JACK'S KISS	20/1	10/1

---

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	FAST DUDE	3	9/5	Front-runner	55	67	56.6	56.2	44.2
2	HIGHLY CENTSABLE	2	7/2	Front-runner	63	65	53.6	58.4	44.4
8	JACK'S KISS	8	20/1	Alternator/Front-runner	67	65	64.8	58.0	50.0
6	SILENT FORCE	6	10/1	Alternator/Front-runner	79	70	53.3	67.3	62.8
7	WATERWILD	7	4/1	Stalker	74	70	62.6	62.6	56.1
1	ZENS SECRET	1	8/1	Alternator/Stalker	75	74	65.2	65.2	59.7
5	TUNE MY GUITAR	5	5/1	Trailer	66	62	37.0	60.4	50.9
4	SAVED AT SEA	4	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	73	62	41.2	56.4	44.9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Sam Houston - Race #2 - Post: 4:31pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $36,000 Class Rating: 66

Rating:

#8 GHOSTER (ML=9/5)


GHOSTER - Asmussen drops him down to this class. You don't need too much more information to think this horse has a good chance at this level. It looks like Elliott had to know this gelding on Jan 16th when riding him for the first time. Back aboard again today. Believe in this horse. No other viable early speed gives this horse a strong chance at the winner's circle. Getting a break of 6 lbs from last race at Sam Houston. He should make the most of this advantage. This gelding's last speed figure is high enough to score here, I'll wager on him back again in today's event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 KERRYSTONE (ML=3/1), #2 DO I MAKE YA SING (ML=4/1), #5 WHITE DIAMOND SKY (ML=6/1),

KERRYSTONE - Could be tough for this horse to beat this field off of that last speed fig. Not likely to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's class rating, so put him on the questionable challengers list. DO I MAKE YA SING - Tough to play any racer to turn things around if there is no value to taking the chance. Unlikely that the speed rating she earned on January 23rd will be enough in this race. WHITE DIAMOND SKY - Doesn't seem inspiring to me after the lack of any type of closing ability on Jan 28th. Don't think this runner will make an impact in today's race. That last speed fig was common when compared with today's class rating.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#8 GHOSTER is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	8 with 1
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

---

Race 10 - Optional Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $51000 Class Rating: 91

FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $25,000. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE NOVEMBER 18 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $20,000 OR LESS NOT

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 9 HOLYANNA 15/1
# 7 HERA 10/1
# 5 GET REWARDED 5/2

HOLYANNA looks to be a very strong contender especially at a such a nice price. HERA - David has one of the strongest winning percentages in this field with entries running at this distance and surface. She looks respectable in this slot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the halfway point. GET REWARDED - Has to be given a chance versus this field displaying respectable figures as of late and an average speed rating of 84 under similar conditions. This pony has a very good win percentage in turf routes.