Friday 2/19/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tokyo Brandon

Event: (853) Cleveland State at (854) IPFW
Sport/League: CBB
Date/Time: February 19, 2021 7PM EST
Play: Total Under 141.0 (-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tokyo Brandon

Event: (891) UNLV at (892) San Jose State
Sport/League: CBB
Date/Time: February 19, 2021 9PM EST
Play: Total Over 146.5 (-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Info Plays

Feb 19 '21, 2:00 PM in 5h
Soccer | Utrecht vs Willem II
Play on: Utrecht -154 at linepros

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Utrecht -154

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn

Feb 19 '21, 3:00 PM in 6h
Soccer | Getafe CF vs Betis
Play on: Betis +114 at BetCris

1* Free Play on Betis +114

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Rickenbach

Feb 19 '21, 3:00 PM in 6h
Soccer | Leeds United vs Wolverhampton Wanderers
Play on: Wolverhampton Wanderers PK -122 at pinnacle

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Friday Free Pick Wolverhampton Goal Line (PK -120) vs Leeds United @ 3 ET - I am well aware of the fact that Leeds does not like to settle for draws but note also that Wolverhampton is exactly 4-4-4 on their home pitch this season. That means, statistically speaking, the Wolves have a 2 out of 3 chance of avoiding a loss here and I like the value of having the goal line at a pick'em price and knowing that secures a push for us in the event of a draw here. Again, only 4 of Wolverhampton's 12 home matches this season have resulted in defeat so I fancy our chances here of also avoiding defeat with this ticket. Note that Leeds also has been dealing with injury issues, moreso than the Wolves, plus they have conceded 26 goals on enemy pitch this season while Wolverhampton has conceded only 14 times on their home pitch. The home club worth the small price here. Free Pick WOLVERHAMPTON

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Valentino

Golden State heads out on the road to start a 4 game road trip and their first stop will be in Orlando to face a Magic team they were able to defeat last Thursday 111-105 as the -9 point home chalk. The line is a little bit lower tonight for the favored Warriors who enter this weekend game having won their last pair and 4 of their last 5 games with covers in their last pair.

I am going ahead and laying the points with Golden State even though Orlando has gotten 4 players - Fournier, Carter-Williams, Aminu and Randle - back that were not on the floor in last Thursday's loss.

Orlando did blowout the New York Knicks on Wednesday night at home, 107-89, but the Magic is just 3-7 straight up for their last 10 games and at home this season stand at 6-8 against the spread.

When listed as the favorite this season, the Dubs are 8-4 against the spread, while the Magic are only 8-12 against the spread for the season when installed as the underdog.

Go with Golden State to get this road trek off on the right foot. Warriors for the win and cover tonight.

1* GOLDEN STATE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Penn National

Penn National - Race 5	W-P-S / Daily Double / Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) / $0.50 Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)
Claiming $10,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 92 • Purse: $19,000 • Post: 7:44P
(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JANUARY 19 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 19 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000, IF FOR $9,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $8,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Front-runner. CARGO SHIP is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * BLOW THE WHISTLE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within th e last 30 days. CRUSH IT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. CARGO SHIP: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey/Trainer combination win percentage is at lea st 30. JONATHANTOQUICK: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
5	BLOW THE WHISTLE	3/2	9/2
2	CRUSH IT	3/1	6/1
4	CARGO SHIP	7/2	7/1
1A	JONATHANTOQUICK	5/1	9/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	CARGO SHIP	3	7/2	Front-runner	82	78	61.0	78.2	71.2
2	CRUSH IT	1	3/1	Stalker	95	87	84.4	77.2	73.2
1	PAL CAL	4	5/1	Stalker	84	83	76.0	75.4	62.4
5	BLOW THE WHISTLE	5	3/2	Alternator/Stalker	90	93	76.2	84.8	81.3
3	CREATIVE STORY	2	8/1	Alternator/Stalker	85	82	61.6	79.0	68.0
1A	JONATHANTOQUICK	6	5/1	Trailer	90	86	61.3	79.0	70.5
6	FLEET IRISH	7	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	93	92	45.0	78.0	69.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Stronach 5

Stronach 5 - Race 4	Leg D of the Stronach 5
Optional Claiming $16,000 • 5 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 4 and up • CR: 87 • Purse: $44,000 • Post: 5:16P
GP-R9 - (RAIL AT 120 FEET). FOR STATE BRED FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $16,000. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 19 ALLOWED 2LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $12,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES)(MAIDEN RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES). (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT FIVE FURLONGS)

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * SONG RIVER: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layof f. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. DADDY'S JOY: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. MISS MIAMI: Horse has the highes t average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. LA CARA BONITA: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse h as run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
5	SONG RIVER	9/2	5/1
8	DADDY'S JOY	7/5	6/1
2	MISS MIAMI	5/1	7/1
3	LA CARA BONITA	4/1	9/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	SONG RIVER	5	9/2	Front-runner	91	85	100.0	77.4	70.4
8	DADDY'S JOY	8	7/5	Front-runner	88	89	64.4	74.0	68.5
2	MISS MIAMI	2	5/1	Stalker	89	80	83.0	79.4	70.4
3	LA CARA BONITA	3	4/1	Stalker	85	79	80.2	74.8	64.8
1	CHARLOTTE THE BRIT	1	6/1	Alternator/Stalker	87	71	68.2	78.2	70.7
7	ARCH OF FIRE	7	30/1	Trailer	0	0	47.4	70.2	59.2
4	FOLLOW ME MOM	4	15/1	Alternator/Trailer	88	87	84.2	78.4	67.9
6	TRUE HEIRESS	6	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	89	89	83.2	76.6	66.6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 4 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $8100 Class Rating: 57

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 NORMANS CAY 10/1
# 6 MACUCO'S CHOICE 9/2
# 7 KING OF REDS 3/1

NORMANS CAY has a very good shot to take this contest especially at a long price. Expect a much improved performance with the drop. Don't let this colt slip past you. Could score at a big price. Is tough not to examine given the company run in recently. MACUCO'S CHOICE - Has performed solidly recently in sprint races, posting a nifty 53 avg speed rating. Should be given consideration - I like the figures from the last contest. KING OF REDS - Had one of the most respectable Equibase Speed Figures of this group in his last competition. Navarro has been sizzling the last month, winning at a nifty 16 percent rate.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Golden Gate Fields - Race #5 - Post: 3:29pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $17,000 Class Rating: 86

Rating:

#5 I LOVE ROMANCE (ML=8/1)
#1 LADY CHROME (ML=4/1)
#4 AMBER LOUISE (ML=7/2)


I LOVE ROMANCE - Earnings per race is something that I believe can be a valuable handicapping factor. This thoroughbred is ranked at the top of the list in this bunch. Multiple wins in this horse's life, all at Golden Gate Fields. Could add another win right here. Last raced at Golden Gate Fields carrying 5 lbs more. The lower weight assigned in this race should serve her well. LADY CHROME - I like the way this mare's finish positions have gotten better with each start recently. A sign of a horse coming into top form. Using this jock/trainer combination is a good choice. Espinoza rode this mount for the first time last time around the track and comes right back in today's race. Mare shipped to this track and won; now goes for a double. This mare's last speed rating registered on Jan 29th is number one in last race speed figures. Three consecutive improved speed figs (53-62-86) make this one a powerful contender. Have to give this mare a good chance. Ran a strong outing last out within the last month. AMBER LOUISE - This mare is the longer price of the 'split' entry from the barn of Tamayo.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 ZELAIA (ML=5/2), #3 NAMORITA (ML=3/1), #2 CROWN KITTEN (ML=4/1),

ZELAIA - No accomplishments for this racer in a short distance race over the last two months tells me that this filly is in a very difficult spot NAMORITA - Tough to wager on this entrant in today's event. Make her show you something in a sprint event before you bet on her in a race of 5 1/2 furlongs. CROWN KITTEN - Almost certainly won't make much of an impact this time out.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Have to go with #5 I LOVE ROMANCE on the win end if we get at least 4/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,4,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,4,5] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[1,4,5] with [1,4,5] with [1,2,3,4,5] with [1,2,3,4,5] Total Cost: $36

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turf Paradise

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 3 - Optional Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $16500 Class Rating: 74

FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR NON-WINNERS OF THREE RACES CLAIMING PRICE $15,000. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JANUARY 19 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000. ARIZONA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 MIDNIGHT FLOWER 5/1
# 7 LITTLE MISS BELLE 4/1
# 9 BEAUTIFUL THUNDER 6/1

MIDNIGHT FLOWER looks to be a formidable contender. This group is much softer than the last one she ran against. Don't let this mare slip past you. Could prove victorious at a juicy mutuel. Must be carefully examined given the class of races run lately. LITTLE MISS BELLE - Smith has this filly running well and is a strong selection based on the strong speed figures put up in route races recently. Recently Negron has been hot which may give the edge to this filly. BEAUTIFUL THUNDER - Gonzalez has this filly racing well and is a decent choice based on the decent speed figures posted in route races lately. Could best this field here, showing very strong figures of late.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Golden Hour Wagers - Race #1 - Post: 4:16pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $28,000 Class Rating: 94

Rating:

#4 DEFENSE WINS (ML=2/1)
#3 MONTANA MOON (ML=6/1)
#7 EEL POINT (ML=8/5)


DEFENSE WINS - A horse coming back this soon after a good race is a good signal. This is the only real pace presser in the race. Rounding his way back into form. Each of his finish positions is getting better in his recent starts. MONTANA MOON - This gelding should give a strong account of himself in today's event. EEL POINT - Baltas has this gelding signed up for the perfect contest.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 FLAT WHITE (ML=3/1),

FLAT WHITE - Didn't look so great last time out of the box. Probably won't make a winning move in today's race. Should have at least hit the board in the last two months in a sprint affair to be worth the risk at nominal odds in a sprint. This gelding earned a fig in his last race which probably isn't good enough today.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#4 DEFENSE WINS to win at post-time odds of 9/5 or better

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Aqueduct

02/19/21, AQU, Race 1, 1.20 ET
02/19/21,AQU,1,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $43,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Weight, 122 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	3	Funny Bones Flag	9/5	Cardenas L	Baker Charlton	FELC	103	40.78	1.38/$1
096.3352	1	Repeal and Replace	7/2	Franco M	Brown Chad C.	T	37	40.54	1.19/$1
096.0878	2	Queentigua	20/1	Maragh R R	Pringle Edmund	S	37	40.54	1.19/$1
095.9665	5	Pharoah Fawcett	8/1	Davis D	Rice Linda	W	207	32.85	0.90/$1
095.5229	4	Voice of Spring	3/1	Cancel E	Rice Linda		210	38.57	1.14/$1
094.1367	6	Calidad	5/2	Carmouche K	Levine Bruce N.	J	37	40.54	1.19/$1

Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 24.06, ROI 0.65/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -3.6648
[Category]Condition
[AllCategories]BestCloser

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

501GOLDEN STATE -502 ORLANDO
GOLDEN STATE is 17-34 ATS (-20.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 in the last 3 seasons.

505CHICAGO -506 PHILADELPHIA
CHICAGO is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game in the current season.

507ATLANTA -508 BOSTON
ATLANTA is 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

509DETROIT -510 MEMPHIS
DETROIT is 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots in the current season.

511OKLAHOMA CITY -512 MILWAUKEE
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

513PHOENIX -514 NEW ORLEANS
PHOENIX is 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

515TORONTO -516 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 9-25 ATS (-18.5 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

517DALLAS -518 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 25-45 ATS (-24.5 Units) after allowing 115 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

519UTAH -520 LA CLIPPERS
UTAH is 14-1 ATS (12.9 Units) after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite in the current season.

575DENVER -576 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% in the current season.