Saturday 2/20/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bryan Leonard

Feb 20 '21, 4:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | South Alabama vs Appalachian State
Play on: Appalachian State -1 -109 at Draft Kings

668 South Alabama at Appalachian State
We rode with the Jaguars last night and they came away with an outright win in this building. Now we expect the host to get its revenge in the quick turnaround. The Mountaineers had a terrible shooting game, with 11 of 38 from two point range and 6 of 26 from deep. Despite the wayward shooting this game was decided by just two points. In a battle of even teams the host gets the money on Saturday.
PLAY APPALACHIAN STATE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

Feb 20 '21, 7:00 PM in 6h
NCAA-B | Cal Poly vs Long Beach State
Play on: Cal Poly +8½ -109 at Draft Kings

1* Free Pick on Cal Poly +8½ -109

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Davis

Feb 20 '21, 7:30 PM in 6h
NCAA-B | DePaul vs St. John's
Play on: DePaul +11 -105 at BetCris

So just 3 weeks ago when these teams met St Johns was favored by 1 or it was a PK @ Depaul and now they are laying double digits? This is a huge overreaction regarding that type of line move especially for two teams who aren't great to begin with. Depaul played tough their last game covering @ Seton Hall. This St Johns squad isn't a team that should be laying double digits period.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jesse Schule

Feb 20 '21, 8:00 PM in 7h
NCAA-B | Virginia vs Duke
Play on: Virginia -1 -115 at BetCris

This is a Free play on UVA.
It's been a difficult year for Duke, with Coach K continually suggesting he would prefer not to play during a pandemic, and one of their starters opting out in the middle of the season. They have won back to back games on the road against bottom feeders, but their last two home games were losses to Notre Dame and North Carolina. The Cavs are coming off a blowout loss to #4 ranked FSU, but they have previously won on the road at Georgia Tech and #12 ranked Clemson. The Cavaliers are 8-0-1 ATS in their last nine games following a loss, and the road team is 21-6-1 ATS in the last 28 meetings. Duke has only covered in two of their last 10 home games.
GL,
Jesse Schule

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Info Plays

Feb 20 '21, 8:05 PM in 7h
Fighting | Danny Chavez vs Jared Gordon
Play on: Danny Chavez -125 at Bodog

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Danny Chavez -125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Will Rogers

Feb 20 '21, 8:35 PM in 8h
NBA | Heat vs Lakers
Play on: Lakers -3 -104 at pinnacle

The set-up: After losing two of three, I like the Lakers to take care of business here in a re-match of last year's Finals. LA has won 9 of 14 games at home though. The Heat come in off a 118-110 win at Sacramento, but note that they're still just 5-10 on the road.
The pick: The Lakers are also 7-2 ATS in their last nine as well after scoring 100 or less points in a SU/ATS home loss in their last outing (fell 109-98 to Brooklyn at home.) I like LA to finally come in focussed and to pull away in the second half.
This is a 1* FREE PLAY on the Lakers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price

Feb 20 '21, 8:35 PM in 8h
NBA | Heat vs Lakers
Play on: Heat +3½ -105 at linepros

Dave's Saturday Free Play:
1* on Miami Heat +3.5
The Key: The Miami Heat will be hungry to avenge their loss to the Lakers in the NBA Finals last season. Now they are getting healthy and have won 5 of their last 8 games overall. The Heat face a Lakers team that is battling through injury right now and not playing well because of it. Anthony Davis will be out for about a month, and now Dennis Schroder is out with COVID. There's just too much on Lebron James' plate right now. It's a big reason they lost outright 98-109 to the Nets last time out and the Lakers are now just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games overall. The Heat are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 matchups. Take Miami.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ray Monohan

Feb 20 '21, 8:35 PM in 8h
NBA | Heat vs Lakers
Play on: Lakers -3 -108 at pinnacle

Lakers -3
Los Angeles is worth a flyer here. This team hasn't looked themselves lately and they come in off a loss to the Nets at home.
Lebron and company don't take lightly to losses and tend to come back in a big way. Lay the low number here.
Good Luck, Razor Ray.
Saturday 5* Free NBA ATS Play

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams

Feb 20 '21, 8:35 PM in 8h
NBA | Heat vs Lakers
Play on: Lakers -3 -110 at Mirage

1* on Lakers -3 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin

Feb 20 '21, 9:05 PM in 8h
NBA | Kings vs Bulls
Play on: Kings -2½ -100 at pinnacle

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Sacramento Kings -2.5
This looks like a good spot for the Sacramento Kings to put an end to their five-game losing streak. They had won seven of their previous eight games prior to this skid. But now the Kings will be playing just their 2nd game in 5 days so they should be fresh. The Bulls will be playing the second of a back-to-back after a hard-fought 105-112 loss in Philadelphia last night. It will also be the 4th game in 6 days for the Bulls, who are missing Lauri Markkanen and Otto Porter Jr. right now, two fo their best players. That hurts their depth, which will be tested here against a team that likes to push the tempo like the Kings do. The Bulls are 6-21 ATS in their last 27 home games with a line of +3 to -3. The Kings are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games. Chicago is 15-33 ATS in its last 48 games as a home underdog. Sacramento is 16-4-1 ATS in its last 21 trips to Chicago. Give me the Kings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker

Feb 20 '21, 10:08 PM in 9h
NHL | Flames vs Oilers
Play on: Flames +116 at Draft Kings

Free Pick on Flames

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price

Feb 20 '21, 10:55 PM in 10h
Fighting | Miguel Berchelt vs Oscar Valdez
Play on: UNDER 9½ -125

1* Free Pick on Miguel Berchelt vs Oscar Valdez under 9½ -125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Saturday, February 20

Michigan State @ Indiana
Michigan State (10-9, 4-9)
— ranked #69 by KenPom
— Tempo: #151
— Experience: #196
— Continuity: #85
— Spartans lost six of their last eight games.
— Michigan State lost last six road games, five by 10+ points.
— Spartans have #254 eFG% in country (#261 inside arc).

Indiana (12-9, 7-7)
— ranked #28 by KenPom
— Tempo: #297
— Experience: #287
— Continuity: #81
— Indiana won three of their last four games.
— Hoosiers are getting 22% of their points on foul line (#31)
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Indiana has played five overtime games (2-3) this season.

— Indiana won last three series games.
— Spartans lost three of last four visits to Bloomington.

UConn @ Villanova
UConn (10-5, 7-5)
— ranked #35 by KenPom
— Tempo: #320
— Experience: #132
— Continuity: #163
— Huskies split four games since their 11-day COVID pause.
— UConn won four of its six Big East road games.
— Huskies are grabbing 36.9% of their missed shots (#6).

Villanova (13-3, 8-2)
— ranked #11 by KenPom
— Tempo: #332
— Experience: #124
— Continuity: #6
— Villanova split its last four games, after an 11-1 start.
— Wildcats are 5-0 at home in Big East (four wins by 10+)
— Villanova has #31 eFG% in country.

Kentucky @ Tennessee
Kentucky (7-13, 6-7)
— ranked #62 by KenPom
— Tempo: #196
— Experience: #341
— Continuity: #343
— Kentucky won its last two games, after a 1-7 skid.
— Wildcats lost four of their last five road games.
— Kentucky’s last three games were decided by total of 7 points.

Tennessee (15-5, 8-5)
— ranked #16 by KenPom
— Tempo: #245
— Experience: #247
— Continuity: #100
— Tennessee won five of its last seven games.
— Vols won their last four home games.
— Tennessee is forcing turnovers 23.1% of time (#17)

— Vols won 82-71 at Kentucky February 6, after trailing by 10 with 12:00 left.
— Tennessee won four of last five series games.
— Wildcats lost four of last five visits to Knoxville.

Texas Tech @ Kansas
Texas Tech (14-6, 6-5)
— ranked #20 by KenPom
— Tempo: #281
— Experience: #275
— Continuity: #244
— Texas Tech hasn’t played in 11 days.
— Red Raiders won three of their last four games.
— Tech is forcing turnovers 24.7% of time (#5).

Kansas (11-7, 7-6)
— ranked #24 by KenPom
— Tempo: #164
— Experience: #262
— Continuity: #113
— Kansas won its last four games, after a 2-5 skid.
— Jayhawks won their last five home games.
— Opponents are shooting only 46.0% inside arc (#51)

— Kansas won 58-57 in Lubbock December 17.
— Jayhawks won 21 of last 23 series games.
— Tech lost last two visits to Lawrence, 79-63/78-75.

West Virginia @ Texas
West Virginia (14-6, 7-4)
— ranked #18 by KenPom
— Tempo: #134
— Experience: #157
— Continuity: #34
— Mountaineers won five of their last seven games.
— WVU won its last four road games, scoring 78.5 ppg.
— West Virginia is grabbing 36.2% of its missed shots (#10)

Texas (13-5, 7-4)
— ranked #19 by KenPom
— Tempo: #160
— Experience: #121
— Continuity: #3
— Texas is 3-4 in its last seven games, after a 10-1 start.
— Opponents are shooting 44.7% inside arc (#25)
— Lot of disruptions in Austin this week, with the terrible weather; not sure how it affects the Texas team.

— Texas won 72-70 in Morgantown January 9.
— Longhorns won five of last six series games.
— West Virginia lost last three visits here, by 8-7-10 points.

Illinois @ Minnesota
Illinois (15-5, 11-3)
— ranked #6 by KenPom
— Tempo: #94
— Experience: #220
— Continuity: #46
— Illinois won its last six games, two of them in OT.
— Illini has #10 eFG%; #14 on arc, #19 inside arc.
— Illinois won its last four road games.

Minnesota (13-9, 6-9)
— ranked #41 by KenPom
— Tempo: #112
— Experience: #144
— Continuity: #188
— Minnesota is 6-1 at home, 0-8 on road in league games.
— Minnesota is getting 23.5% of their points on foul line (#11)
— Gophers are shooting 29.1% on arc (#321)

— Gophers lost 92-65 at Illinois December 15.
— Home side won last five series games.
— Illini lost last two visits here, 77-67/86-75.

Auburn @ LSU
Auburn (11-11, 5-8)
— ranked #59 by KenPom
— Tempo: #34
— Experience: #346
— Continuity: #315
— Auburn lost four of its last five games, giving up 82 ppg.
— Auburn split its last road games.
— Auburn has #76 eFG%, despite turning ball over 22% of time (#305)

LSU (13-6, 8-4)
— ranked #29 by KenPom
— Tempo: #82
— Experience: #328
— Continuity: #134
— LSU won its last two games, scoring 94-78 points.
— LSU lost two of its last three home games.
— LSU is shooting 55.0% inside arc (#30).

— Auburn won four of last five series games.
— Teams split last six series games played here.

Louisville @ North Carolina
Louisville (11-4, 6-3)
— ranked #32 by KenPom
— Tempo: #295
— Experience: #338
— Continuity: #326
— Louisville hasn’t played in 19 days.
— Cardinals lost three of last five games, after a 9-1 start.
— Louisville has #42 eFG% defense in country.

North Carolina (13-7, 7-5)
— ranked #42 by KenPom
— Tempo: #64
— Experience: #324
— Continuity: #149
— Carolina is 7-0 at home this season.
— Tar Heels have #271 eFG%, turn ball over 20.3% of time (#241)
— Carolina is grabbing 39.5% of its missed shots (#2).

— North Carolina is 6-4 vs Louisville in ACC meetings.
— Cardinals lost two of last three visits to Chapel Hill.

Arizona @ USC
Arizona (14-8, 8-8)
— ranked #45 by KenPom
— Tempo: #201
— Experience: #307
— Continuity: #329
— Arizona lost five of their last seven games.
— Wildcats lost last three road games, by 15-3-14 points.
— Arizona is shooting 37.5% on the arc (#34)

USC (18-3, 12-2)
— ranked #11 by KenPom
— Tempo: #193
— Experience: #193
— Continuity: #322
— USC won seven in row, 12 of last 13 games.
— Trojans won their six Pac-12 home games, five by 13+ points.
— USC has #5 eFG% defense in country.

— USC won 87-73 in Tucson January 7
— Trojans won four of last five series games.
— Arizona lost last two visits here, 80-57/57-48.

Colorado @ Oregon State
Colorado (16-7, 10-6)
— ranked #17 by KenPom
— Tempo: #265
— Experience: #31
— Continuity: #90
— Colorado lost last two games, scoring 62-56 points.
— Buffaloes lost three of their last five road games.
— Colorado is #1 in country on foul line (82.5%).

Oregon State (11-10, 7-8)
— ranked #107 by KenPom
— Tempo: #305
— Experience: #81
— Continuity: #61
— Home side won Beavers’ last nine games.
— Oregon State is shooting 44.7% inside arc (#316)
— Beavers are getting 22% of their points on foul line (#32)

— Beavers got whacked 78-49 in Boulder February 8.
— Teams split last six series games.
— Teams also split last six meetings played here.

Virginia @ Duke
Virginia (15-4, 11-2)
— ranked #10 by KenPom
— Tempo: #357
— Experience: #123
— Continuity: #162
— Cavaliers won four of their last five games.
— Virginia split its last four road games.
— Virginia is shooting 39.8% on the arc (#9)

Duke (9-8, 7-6)
— ranked #30 by KenPom
— Tempo: #159
— Experience: #344
— Continuity: #250
— Duke won its last two games, giving up 53-60 points.
— Blue Devils lost last two home games, at UNC/Notre Dame.
— Duke has #54 eFG% in country (35.7% on arc, #83)

— Teams split last four series games.
— Virginia lost nine of its last ten visits to Durham.

Arizona State @ UCLA
Arizona State (7-10, 4-7)
— ranked #99 by KenPom
— Tempo: #19
— Experience: #147
— Continuity: #141
— ASU lost last three road games, 1-13-18 points.
— Sun Devils’ last four wins were all by 4 or fewer points.
— ASU is forcing turnovers 21.6% of the time (#52)

UCLA (15-5, 11-3)
— ranked #40 by KenPom
— Tempo: #335
— Experience: #266
— Continuity: #17
— UCLA won all ten of its home games this season.
— Bruins split their last six games overall.
— Four of their last five wins were by 5 or fewer points.

— UCLA beat Arizona State 81-75 in OT in Tempe January 7.
— ASU won four of last six series games.
— Sun Devils lost eight of last nine visits to Westwood.

Monmouth @ Iona
Monmouth (10-6, 10-5)
— ranked #183 by KenPom
— Tempo: #3
— Experience: #66
— Continuity: #41
— Hawks won seven of their last nine games.
— Monmouth is shooting 37.9% on arc (#30).
— Monmouth lost four of its last six road games.

Iona (7-5, 5-3)
— ranked #217 by KenPom
— Tempo: #156
— Experience: #198
— Continuity: #282
— Iona is turning ball over 22.6% of time (#321)
— Gaels won three of their five home games this season.
— Iona is grabbing 32.0% of its missed shots (#57)

— Iona was up 20 at half, hung on for 91-86 win here last night.
— Monmouth won six of last ten series games.
— Hawks won four of last six visits to New Rochelle.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

603MICHIGAN ST -604 INDIANA
INDIANA is 55-28 ATS (24.2 Units) in home games versus good passing teams, averaging >=16 assists/game since 1997.

605GEORGIA TECH -606 MIAMI
MIAMI is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

605GEORGIA TECH -606 MIAMI
MIAMI is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games off 2 straight losses against conference rivals over the last 2 seasons.

607SIENA -608 NIAGARA
Greg Paulus is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread (Coach of NIAGARA)

607SIENA -608 NIAGARA
NIAGARA is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

607SIENA -608 NIAGARA
NIAGARA is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

609UCF -610 TULANE
TULANE is 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) in home games versus poor passing teams, averaging <=12 assists/game after 15+ games since 1997.

611LASALLE -612 ST JOSEPHS
ST JOSEPHS are 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) after playing a game as an underdog in the last 3 seasons.

613CONNECTICUT -614 VILLANOVA
CONNECTICUT is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game over the last 2 seasons.

615WOFFORD -616 W CAROLINA
W CAROLINA is 3-10 ATS (-8 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

523GOLDEN STATE -524 CHARLOTTE
GOLDEN STATE is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

525PHOENIX -526 MEMPHIS
PHOENIX is 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

529SACRAMENTO -530 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 10-28 ATS (-20.8 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

531MIAMI -532 LA LAKERS
LA LAKERS are 23-46 ATS (-27.6 Units) in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

533WASHINGTON -534 PORTLAND
WASHINGTON is 18-39 ATS (-24.9 Units) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game in the last 3 seasons.