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5% NBA GAME OF THE MONTH.
Game: (527) Washington Wizards at (528) Denver Nuggets
Date/Time: Feb 25 2021 9:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Denver Nuggets -7.0 (-110)
Game: (521) Orlando Magic at (522) Brooklyn Nets Date/Time: Feb 25 2021 7:35 PM EST Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line Play Rating: 5% Play: Total Over 228.0 (-110)
The OVER applies to a very strong 150-77 NBA totals system of mine that is 20-6-1 OVER in its last 27 situations and 9-1-1 OVER in its last 11 spots. The OVER also falls into a solid 40-16 system that is triggered by games with a total of 200 points or greater and at least one team that is on a prolonged against-the-spread win streak. The Nets are a perfect 11-0 OVER since April 20, 2013, as favorites entering off four or more consecutive wins (there are additional parameters to this situation that will remain for my eyes only).
Brooklyn is 17-1 OVER in its last eighteen games as a favorite, 11-2 OVER in its last thirteen home affairs, 16-5 OVER in its previous 21 games with rest, and 22-5 OVER in its last 27 games overall. Let's also note that the Nets are 14-3 OVER in their last seventeen games following a win and 21-6 OVER after allowing 100 or more points in their previous game. Let's also note that the OVER is 21-9-2 in Orlando's last 32 road games and 33-16-2 OVER after giving up 100 or more points in its prior contest.
Finally, the OVER is a perfect 4-0 the past four times these teams have squared off in Brooklyn. Take the OVER and invest with confidence.
Game: (755) SE Missouri State at (756) Eastern Illinois Date/Time: Feb 25 2021 8:30 PM EST Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line Play Rating: 3% Play: SE Missouri State +6.5 (-110)
My math model only favors Eastern Illinois by 3.2 points in this game and the Panthers are a money-burning 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games overall, including 3-10 ATS versus teams with a losing record, 2-7 ATS following a straight-up win and 1-5 ATS in their previous six home affairs. Eastern Illinois returns home after playing four straight games on the road, which is significant in that the Panthers are a woeful 3-14 ATS in their last seventeen home games off three or more consecutive road tilts.
The Panthers enter off back-to-back upset wins over Murray State and Austin Peay and are primed for a letdown against Southeast Missouri State. Indeed, Eastern Illinois is just 7-20 ATS versus .399 or worse opposition and 3-8 ATS in its previous eleven home games versus opponents with a .399 or worse road mark. Let's also note that the Panthers are 5-16 ATS at home off an upset win as road underdogs and 7-20 ATS seeking revenge for a loss in which they scored 50 points or fewer.
With Eastern Illinois standing at 1-10 ATS as a favorite, 5-13 ATS versus conference foes, and 2-8 ATS at home this season, grab the inflated number with Southeast Missouri State and invest with confidence.
Game: (759) Murray State at (760) Jacksonville State Date/Time: Feb 25 2021 8:30 PM EST Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line Play Rating: 4% Play: Jacksonville State +3.5 (-110)
My math model only favors Murray State by 1.75 points in this game and the Racers are perpetually overvalued by the betting market. Indeed, Murray State is a money-burning 2-5 ATS in its last seven games versus teams with a winning record, 5-13 ATS following one or more consecutive wins, and 1-10 ATS in its previous eleven road games following a win by 15 or more points. Let's also note that the underdog is a perfect 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings in this series, while Jacksonville State is 4-0 ATS in its last four games off a win. I also like the fact that the Gamecocks are a profitable 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall and 10-2 ATS entering off a road win by three points or less since 1997.
The Gamecocks are 6-3 at home this season where they are averaging 79.8 points per game on 48.8% shooting from the field and 38.8% from beyond the arc. Jacksonville State is limiting opponents to just 40.7% FG% on its home floor this season and 39.1% FG% and 29.9% 3-PT% in its past five games. Grab the live home underdog with the Gamecocks and invest with confidence.
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