Tuesday 2/23/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Steve Janus

Feb 23 '21, 7:05 PM in 27m
NBA | Pistons vs Magic
Play on: UNDER 208½ -107

1* Free Sharp Play on Pistons vs Magic under 208½ -107
The UNDER (208.5) is worth a look in Tuesday's NBA action between the Magic and Pistons. These two just played each other in Orlando on Sunday and combined for just 201 points, easily staying under the total of 210.5. UNDER has cashed in 3 straight for Detroit and 6 of the last 8 for the Magic. Not a real surprise as these are two really poor offensive teams. Factor in the familiarity having just played each other and this could be painful to watch. Play the UNDER 208.5!

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Dustin Hawkins

Feb 23 '21, 7:05 PM in 27m
NBA | Hawks vs Cavs
Play on: Hawks -7 -110 at Draft Kings

1 Dimer on Hawks -7 -110

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Brandon Lee

Feb 23 '21, 7:05 PM in 27m
NBA | Pistons vs Magic
Play on: Magic -3½ -105 at BetCris

PICK - Orlando Magic -3.5
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 568
I just can't help myself here with the Magic as a mere 3.5-point home favorite against Detroit. I played and cashed Orlando -1.5 in Sunday's 105-96 win at home against these same Pistons. I just feel these two teams have different agendas this season.
The Magic are still fighting for a playoff spot and definitely in the mix, as they are just 3-games back of 4th place and just 1.5-back of the Bulls for the 8th and final spot. Detroit on the other hand is already looking to the future. The Pistons traded away Derrick Rose and are refusing to play Blake Griffin in hopes of trading him. On top of that they are two guys who can run the point in Delon Wright and Killian Hayes.
They started newly acquired Dennis Smith Jr at the point against the Magic on Sunday and he had the worst +/- on the team and simply put is not starting point guard caliber. Outside of Jerami Grant, the Pistons just don't have much offense to speak of.
Orlando is still down a few key guys but did recently just get back Evan Fournier, who in his 3 games (won all 3) since returning from injury has averaged 25.3 ppg. He gives the Magic a legit 1-2 punch with big man Nikola Vucevic, who had 37 and 12 in the win over Orlando two days ago.
Pistons are a mere 2-14 SU on the road this season and 4-13 ATS in their last 17 road games off a road loss. Give me the Magic -3.5!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin

Feb 23 '21, 7:05 PM in 27m
NBA | Hawks vs Cavs
Play on: Hawks -7½ -107 at pinnacle

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Atlanta Hawks -7.5
The Cleveland Cavaliers are a mess right now with Andre Drummond demanding a trade and the injuries piling up. The Cavaliers have lost 10 straight games with nine of those coming by double-digits. They are also 0-13 ATS in their last 13 games overall. The Hawks will likely win this game by double-digits tonight. They have won two of their last three against Boston and Denver by 8 points each. This is a big step down in competition for them based on what they have been facing of late. It should show up on the scoreboard tonight. Give me the Hawks.

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Black Widow

Feb 23 '21, 7:08 PM in 30m
NHL | Penguins vs Capitals
Play on: UNDER 6½ -113

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Penguins/Capitals under 6½ -113

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Kenny Walker

Feb 23 '21, 7:08 PM in 30m
NHL | Sabres vs Devils
Play on: Devils -127 at Draft Kings

Free Pick on Devils

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Jeff Alexander

Feb 23 '21, 7:35 PM in 57m
NBA | Warriors vs Knicks
Play on: Warriors -3 -104 at pinnacle

1* NBA - Warriors/Knicks *FREE PICK* on Warriors -3
Today's free pick is on the Golden State Warriors -3 at the New York Knicks. This just feels like the right price and spot to back the Warriors. Golden State should be highly motivated for this one after dropping the first 2 of their 4-game road trip. Both losses were games they have to feel like they should have won, as they lost 120-124 at Orlando and then 100-102 at Charlotte. They also will want revenge from a 104-119 loss at home to the Knicks back in late January. Help also figures to be on the way, as Golden State could be getting back big men Kevon Looney and James Wiseman. Even if it's just one of the two it would be a big boost, as they have been playing without a traditional center for awhile now. I also think we are getting a good price here because the Knicks come in having won 4 of 5. Bet the Warriors -3!

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Ben Burns

Feb 23 '21, 7:35 PM in 57m
NBA | Celtics vs Mavs
Play on: Celtics -1 -109 at Draft Kings

We successfully played on the Mavs last night, as they took advantage of an undermanned Memphis team. Tonight, however, should be a good spot to go against the Mavs. Note that they're just 1-4 SU/ATS when playing the second of b2b games. While Dallas was busy beating up on the Grizzlies, the Celtics were waiting for them. Off Sunday's loss at New Orleans, the Celtics are going to be hungry. They're 5-3 SU/ATS off an 'upset' loss. Listed as 2.5 point underdogs, the Celtics won by six here last season. Consider Boston

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Mike Lundin

Feb 23 '21, 7:35 PM in 57m
NBA | Kings vs Nets
Play on: OVER 242 -104

Kings vs Nets Free Pick February 23, 2021
**9-3 (75%) Free Pick Run**
The bookmakers have set the total unusually high for this contest, but for a good reason and I still don't think they have made it big enough.
The Sacramento Kings are allowing 119.6 ppg on the season, and here they'll run in to a red hot Brooklyn team that is riding a six-game winning streak, mostly powered by its play on the offensive end.
The Kings took a 128-115 loss at Milwaukee on Sunday. Over is 20-6 in Kings last 26 games playing on 1 days rest and 19-9 in their last 28 games as an underdog. Each of the Kings last six games have gone over the total while the Nets are 21-5 to the over in their last 26 overall.
Scared of the big number? Note that of 10 games closing with a total of 240 points or more this season, eight have gone over the total.
Free pick on OVER.

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Larry Ness

Feb 23 '21, 7:35 PM in 57m
NBA | Warriors vs Knicks
Play on: Warriors -3 -104 at pinnacle

My free play is on the GS Warriors at 7:35 ET.
All are familiar with the "fall from grace" of the Warriors, going from FIVE straight appearances in the NBA finals (three titles) to the NBA's worst record (15-50) in last year's pandemic-shortened season. Like the Warriors, the Knicks were not invited to the Orlando 'bubble,' as at 21-45, the Knicks finished with their SEVENTH straight losing season since last making the playoffs in the 2012-13 season.
The Warriors come to MSG off back-to-back tough defeats. Golden St blew a 13-point, fourth-quarter lead at Orlando on Friday in a 124-120 loss and then saw a five-point advantage in the final minute turn into a disastrous 102-100 loss at Charlotte on Saturday. Despite playing without Stephen Curry, the Warriors were primed to pull out a victory but a turnover with a chance to run out the clock, two technical fouls on Draymond Green and a buzzer-beating jumper by Terry Rozier conspired to send the Warriors to a two-point loss. Curry (29.9-5.4-6.2) returns here. Wiggins (17.7 & 4.7) and Oubre (15.0 & 5.9) are playing very well but with Green, one has to ask, he is worth it?
PF Randle (23.2-11.0-5.5) and second-year pro Barrett (16.6-6.1-3.0) are quietly having very good seasons and despite having lost starting center Mitchell Robinson (8.4 & 8.4) to a broken hand, the Knicks have won four of five, including a 103-99 home triumph over Minnesota on Sunday. At 15-16, the Knicks currently own the East's No. 7 seed, just ONE game back of 15-14 Indiana, which owns the No. 4 seed. Robinson played a key role in a 119-104 win at Golden State on Jan 21, recording 18 points, eight rebounds and two blocks, The 16-15 Warriors (West's No. 8 seed) will not only be seeking to gain a measure of revenge for the earlier defeat but also look to avoid a third straight loss. The good news? They've gone 4-0 under those circumstances so far this season, including road wins over the Los Angeles Lakers and San Antonio. Take the 'road' Warriors!
Good luck...Larry

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Rocky Atkinson

Feb 23 '21, 7:38 PM in 1h
NHL | Predators vs Red Wings
Play on: Predators -156 at pinnacle

Rocketman Sports FREE NHL play Tuesday 2-23-21
Nashville @ Detroit (7:35 PM EST)
Play On: Nashville -156
The Nashville Predators travel to Detroit to take on the Red Wings on Tuesday night. Nashville is 7-10 SU overall this year while Detroit comes in with a 5-15 SU overall record on the season. Nashville is 5-2 last 7 games as a favorite. Nashville is 5-2 last 7 games against a team with a losing record. Detroit is 22-45 last 67 games as a home underdog. Detroit is 15-40 last 55 games when playing on 2 days rest. Detroit is 13-39 last 52 games against a team with a losing record. Detroit is 15-55 last 70 games as an underdog. Detroit is 0-5 last 5 games after a win. Road team is 4-1 last 5 meetings in this series. This is above my -150 cutoff for premium picks but I don't mind giving it out for free here. We'll recommend a small play on Nashville tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

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Jesse Schule

Feb 23 '21, 8:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Penn State vs Nebraska
Play on: Nebraska +7 -110 at Draft Kings

This is a Free play on Nebraska.
Nebraska is a poor team, with just one win in 13 games in the BIG10 this season. That win came against Penn State on the road by a single point. They are getting a bunch of points here at home against the Nittany Lions, and I like their chances of making a game of it. Nebraska averages almost 75 points per game at home, while Penn State averages just 68 points per game on the road. Despite Penn State having a better record, statistically these teams just aren't that far apart.
GL,
Jesse Schule

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Jack Jones

Feb 23 '21, 9:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Oklahoma vs Kansas State
Play on: Kansas State +11 -110 at Draft Kings

Jack's Free Pick Tuesday: Kansas State +11
The Kansas State Wildcats continue to play for pride despite a lost season. They have gone 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall while facing a very tough schedule. They won outright 62-54 as 6.5-point underdogs at TCU last time out to get rewarded for their efforts.
The Wildcats had previously lost by 11 to Texas Tech as 15-point dogs, by 3 to Texas as 13.5-point dogs and by 7 to Oklahoma State as 12.5-point dogs with their only non-cover coming in an 18-point loss to Kansas. Now they are catching 11 points at home here against Oklahoma at home in a game I think they can make competitive.
It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Sooners, which I did successfully by cashing in Iowa State against them as 11.5-point home dogs on Saturday. The Sooners are 8-1 SU & 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall and starting to get a lot of respect from oddsmakers because of it. But they haven't won any of their last seven games by more than 10 points.
The Sooners are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games as road favorites. Oklahoma is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games vs. a team with a losing record. The home team is 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings in this series. The Wildcats are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 home meetings with the Sooners. Bet Kansas State Tuesday.

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Info Plays

Feb 23 '21, 9:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Washington vs Arizona State
Play on: UNDER 153½ -114

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Washington vs Arizona State under 153½ -114

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Alex Smart

Feb 23 '21, 10:08 PM in 3h
NHL | Oilers vs Canucks
Play on: UNDER 6½ -107

Edmontons defence has been in top form for a while now allowing 2 or less goals in 6 of their L/7 and here on the road nothing will change, and that Im betting will help usher in a final score that fails to eclipse this total. Under is 4-0 in Oilers last 4 road games. Under is 7-1-3 in the last 11 meetings in Vancouver.
EDMONTON is 23-11 UNDER in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.5 gpg scored.
NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (VANCOUVER) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, a bad team (30% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record in the first half of the season 67-32 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.
Play UNDEr