Friday 2/26/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Oaklawn Park

02/26/21, OP, Race 9, 5.10 CT
02/26/21,OP,9,1M [Dirt] 1:34:02 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $88,000. FOR ARKANSAS BRED (WHICH QUALIFY UNDER RULES GOVERNING ARKANSAS-BREDS) THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $25,000. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since December 26, 2020 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000.
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Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	10	Prospector Fever	4/1	Cabrera D	Davidson M. Brent	JS	91	37.36	1.91/$1
098.4035	4	Hamazing Vision	6/1	Mojica O	Broberg Karl	TW	91	37.36	1.91/$1
098.4003	2	Private Lake	8/1	De La Cruz W	Martin William N.		91	37.36	1.91/$1
096.9225	7	Five O One	8/1	Loveberry J	Martin Timothy E.		91	37.36	1.91/$1
096.8895	9	Glacken's Ghost	8/1	Canchari A L	Robertson McLean		91	37.36	1.91/$1
096.7593	5	Souixper Charger	3/1	Talamo J	Peitz Daniel C.	L	91	37.36	1.91/$1
096.5710	6	Implicator	4/1	Santana. Jr. R	Moquett Ron	FEC	91	37.36	1.91/$1
095.9323	8	Reef's Destiny	10/1	Harr K	Cline Robert N.		91	37.36	1.91/$1
095.3120	11	Weast Hill	12/1	Geroux F	Stuart Shea		91	37.36	1.91/$1
094.7529	3	C H Jay	30/1	Quinonez L S	Loy F. Dewaine		91	37.36	1.91/$1
092.0455	1	Pop Life	30/1	Morales J	Garcia Genaro		91	37.36	1.91/$1

Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 29.80, ROI 1.07/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -1.5965
[Category]Condition
[DirtNot_MdnMClm]LastRacePurseLowerThanToday -with-
[DirtNot_MdnMClm]RacePurseGreaterThan$50K

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Penn National - Race #7 - Post: 8:36pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,400 Class Rating: 75

Rating:

#6 WIND RIDGE (ML=8/1)
#3 NO FLY ZONE (ML=8/1)


WIND RIDGE - I like to see fast workouts. This gelding's last one was very good. Second fastest of the day. NO FLY ZONE - This animal ran out of the money at Parx Racing last out on a track listed as good. He should improve in today's race under normal track conditions.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 TEMPTING THE TIGER (ML=5/2), #4 UNCLE NED (ML=7/2), #7 GOOGLE IT (ML=4/1),

TEMPTING THE TIGER - This morning-line favorite may be out of form without any recent morning drills. UNCLE NED - Improbable that the rating he recorded on January 11th will hold up in this affair. GOOGLE IT - If you keep betting these kind of 'hanger' types, you're going to be dissatisfied most every time.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Play #6 WIND RIDGE to win if you can get odds of 9/5 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [3,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Friday, February 26: Frank Carulli's Stronach 5 Picks

February 25, 2021 | By Frank Carulli

LEG A // LAUREL, RACE 9 (4:17PM ET) // OPTIONAL CLAIMING // 6 FURLONGS (DIRT)

VICTIM OF LOVE won a Grade III sprint off a 3-1/2 month layoff, then ran third in the Grade I Ballerina Stakes to eventual Breeders' Cup FM Sprint runner-up Serengeti Empress. She is working bullets for her return from a six-month layoff and will be a popular solo play.

LEG B // SANTA ANITA, RACE 3 (4:35PM ET) // MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT // 1 MILE (TURF)

BIG BEAUTY took money in her 6F turf debut, steadied at the top of the stretch and finished a clear second to Disko Fever, who returned with a sharp 6-1/2F allowance victory in 1:15.3. Her sire, Mr. Big, was a proven router, winning twice in nine career starts. SUNSHINE BABE finished 2-1/2 lengths behind Big Beauty after a troubled start, lacked stretch kick with Lasix in her second go-round and is by Grazen, a top 10 California sire in earnings the last two years.

LEG C // GULFSTREAM, RACE 8 (4:44PM ET) // CLAIMING // 1 MILE (TURF)

Four 3-year-olds arrive off victories, one off a near miss and two others after setting the pace for $50,000. It adds up to an 'ALL' punch on the Stronach 5 ticket.

LEG D // LAUREL, RACE 10 (4:49PM ET) // MAIDEN CLAIMING // 6 FURLONGS (DIRT)

GET LIT class drops out of three races that produced winners, adds blinkers and is best of those that have run. But first-time starters WHITE NITRO (hot barn), FLASH LIGHTENING (fast works) and ALWAYS BIZ (busy work tab) are worth a second look.

LEG E // GOLDEN GATE, RACE 3 (4:53PM ET) // CLAIMING // 6 FURLONGS (ALL WEATHER)

BIG AWARD, third in her 6F debut versus $50k California breds, dueled with Luxury Liner, who went wire-to-wire in a $32,000 and $25,000 claimer after that win. TAMA'S ARCH rallied at 5-1/2F but was 'fanned' out of the money from the outside post. She draws the rail, should get ample pace flow and offers good value.

SUGGESTED $1 TICKET

Leg A: 3
Leg B: 3, 8
Leg C: ALL
Leg D: 1, 6, 8, 9
Leg E: 1, 3

Cost: $128

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 2/26/21

February 26, 2021

Jeff Siegel’s Santa Anita Analysis & Wagering Strategies
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Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.).
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.


Click here to view today’s Santa Anita Workout Report


RACE 1: Post: 12:30 PT Grade: B-
Use: 1-Full Draw; 6-Tiz Vicious

Forecast: Tiz Vicious joins the P. Miller barn, removes blinkers, drops to the bottom-rung maiden claiming level and shows a heathy work tab at San Luis Rey Downs while stretching out to a distance that produced a career top speed figure two runs back. In a race lacking in effective closers, the son of Violence should find himself comfortably placed on or near the lead throughout. Full Draw is guaranteed a ground-saving, first flight trip from his favorable inside post position, and after hitting the board in his last pair he’s in good form with speed figures that fit. The son of Union Rags was more than four lengths clear of the rest over this track and distance in a similar affair last month and not much more will be needed to handle this modest bunch. These are the two we’ll be using in rolling exotic play.
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RACE 2: Post: 1:03 PT Grade: B
Use: 1-Wilson Monk; 5-Scary Fast Smile

Forecast: Based on what we’ve seen of him in the morning, Wilson Monk simply should be too fast for his four rivals in this maiden special weight sprint for state-bred older horses. First-time starters breaking from the rail always are problematic, but this 5-year-old gelding by Midnight Lute will take some catching if he breaks even moderately well. Scary Fast Smile has been in the frame in all four of his career starts and has earned steadily rising speed figures in each outing. Drawn comfortably outside, the son of Smiling Tiger will have every chance to pick up Wilson Monk from the quarter pole home should that one make any mistakes along the way. We’ll prefer ‘Monk on top but include both in our rolling exotics in a race that seems highly likely to boil down to the two betting favorites.
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RACE 3: Post: 1:35 PT Grade: B
Use: 6-Warrens Candy Girl; 8-Big Beauty

Forecast: Big Beauty displayed ability when a solid runner-up in her debut last month, closing with interest in a strong, productive race that has seen the winner (Disko Fever) come back to win and the third place finisher (Big Clare) return to finish a strong second. Based on pedigree, the C. Sise, Jr.-trained filly seems certain to improve with experience and distance, so with the switch to hot-riding F. Prat and a recent six furlong bullet workout (6f, 1:13.3h) at San Luis Rey Downs the daughter of Mr. Big is listed as the 9/5 morning line favorite and logically so. Warrens Candy Girl is a six-race maiden without tactical speed and therefore isn’t one to truly trust, but the daughter of Clubhouse Ride, runner-up in her last four starts and adding Lasix for the first time, is on paper the one to fear most. She has numbers that are better than par for the level, switches to A. Cedillo, and is another getting Lasix for the first time, so improvement certainly can be expected.
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RACE 4: Post: 2:08 PT Grade: C+
Use: 1-Great Power; 5-Old Indian Trick; 6-Rebel War

Forecast: We’ll go three deep in this $20,000 claiming sprint for older horses but otherwise pass the race. Old Indian Trick, in his third start off a long layoff, produced a forward move when third over the track and distance in a similar restricted (nw-3) $20,000 claiming sprint last month and looked sharp in a subsequent workout to indicate the M. Puype-trained gelding is ready to improve again. He does his best work from a pace-pressing position and given the projected race flow for this race the son of Ministers Wilds Cat should find himself just where he wants to be. Great Power earned a good number winning two runs back for $16,000 but then finished fourth at 60 cents on the dollar when protected in starter’s allowance company over the Golden Gate Fields all-weather surface. Back in 13 days on what clearly is his preferred track and dropping to a realistic spot, the R. Saldana-trained son of Blame is reunited with “win” rider J. J. Hernandez and seems likely to draft into a ground-saving, second flight position and have every chance from the quarter pole home. Rebel War has trained well for his comeback and could fire a big shot off the bench in his first start since June of 2019 and his first as a gelding. He’s the quickest horse in the field and will take them as far as he can.
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RACE 5: Post: 2:40 PT Grade: B-
Use: 5-Bob Daniels; 8-Thrive

Forecast: We’ll try to survive and advance using just two in this state-bred maiden sprint restricted to 3-year-olds, but if you feel the need to spread deeper, go right ahead. Bob Daniels ran like a short horse in his debut when finishing a respectable fourth at Los Alamitos in December, and then lost all chance after stumbling badly at the start in a grass sprint here last month in a strong race won by next-out winner Hockey Dad. The son of Race Day sports a healthy recent work tab for the always-dangerous J. Mullins/T. Baze trainer-jockey combo and represents a reasonable gamble at 5-1 on the morning line. Thrive has done some decent work in the a.m. leading up to his racing debut and the son of Constitution should be fit enough for a good effort after landing the comfortable outside post position and attracting F. Prat. The barn doesn’t often with first-timers but this son of Competitive Edge is bred for speed and a sharp recent bullet gate work should have him on his toes.
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RACE 6: Post: 3:12 PT Grade: B+
Use: 3-Soothsay; 4-Just Distorted

Forecast: Soothsay has trained like a win-early type for top connections, doing everything that has been asked of her like a filly of some quality. She displayed excellent gate speed in a recent bullet five furlong workout (:59.2hg) that was the fastest of 32 for the distance, so we’re expecting the daughter of Distorted Humor and La Canada S.-G2 winner Spellbound to break well and lead the way in this maiden sprint for sophomore fillies. Here’s another positive factor: the jockey/trainer team of F. Prat and R. Mandella is nothing less than lethal (39% with a massive ROI). Just Distorted, a $400,000 yearling by Distorted Humor also has displayed very good speed in the a.m. while preparing for her debut and is a “must use” in rolling exotic play. The J. Wong barn hits at an exceptional 23% with first-timers while producing a significant flat-bet profit so this very well-regarded filly seems very likely to be fit and ready.
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RACE 7: Post: 3:45 PT Grade: B
Use: 1-Goodtingscominpink; 2-Zucchera; 7-Sugar Pickel

Forecast: In a race that projects to be slowly run early, Goodtingscominpink should be able to take full advantage of her rail post position and draft into an ideal ground-saving stalking position in and then have every chance to kick home when called upon over a turf course that has produced a prior win and four other in-the-frame finishes from six starts. The five-year-old mare appeared sharp and eager in a recent workout for her first outing since November, so with the Cerin barn’s “go-to” rider J. Hernandez taking the call let’s put the daughter of Clubhouse Ride on top and hope to get close to her morning line of 5/2 on the tote. Zucchera, a closing fourth (beaten just over a length) while taking the worst of the race flow in a similar affair over this course and distance last month, is another that has looked sharp in recent a.m. drills and appears the most dangerous of the late-runners. A one-paced, grinding sort that will require some help up front, the R. Baltas-trained mare switches to top grass rider U. Rispoli, and if she can stay within range during the early stages the daughter of Tapizar could make some serious noise late. Sugar Pickel stretches out, worked nicely over the training track (bullet half mile drill in 47 4/5 seconds), and retains F. Prat. She may be a bit better than her 6-1 morning line indicates.
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RACE 8: Post: 4:16 PT Grade: B-
Use: 4-Wild Arch; 5-Our Bonnie Lass; 6-Cosmic Cowgirl

Forecast: A little will go a very long way in the Friday finale, a bottom-rung ($20,000) maiden claiming main track miler for fillies and mare. Our Bonnie Lass rates a slight edge on top after the daughter of Birdstone continued her improving pattern when finishing second (while five lengths clear of the rest) against a similar group in an effort that produced a career top speed figure in her most recent outing last month. She’s most effective on the front end and gate-to-wire tactics almost certainly will be employed by bug girl J. Pyfer, who has gotten good run out of this R. Bell-trained filly in her last two starts. Wild Archis a fit on numbers and finished a willing runner-up while five lengths clear of the rest in her most recent outing. She’s a one-paced six-race maiden but should find herself within reasonable range of the projected leader throughout. Cosmic Cowgirl drops to the bottom, returns to dirt, adds blinkers, retains J. J. Hernandez and stretches out again in her second start off a layoff, so there are plenty of reasons to believe that improvement is likely. Toss her in.

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's National Prime Plays for 2/26/21

February 26, 2021

Jeff Siegel’s National Prime Plays

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Every Friday thru Sunday handicapper Jeff Siegel offers his best wagering opportunity from a selected North American racetrack. These “Best Plays” can take the form of a win wager, exacta, trifecta, or a daily double, pick-3, pick-4 or pick-6.

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Laurel Park – Seventh Race – Post time: 3:18 ET
4-Lady Fox (5/2)

Has dramatically improved in her last pair for high percentage trainer C. Gonzalez after being claimed for just $16,000 last September and in her present form seems quite capable of extending her winning streak to three in this starter optional claiming miler for fillies and mares. Broke her maiden two run back by 27 lengths vs. low level competition and then came right back to demolish a restricted (nw-2) $16,000 claiming field by more than five lengths, blowing past her rivals with an impressive late kick. Protected today, the daughter of Imagining must tackle tougher rivals but at 5/2 on the morning line she’ll offer good wagering value both in the win pool and in rolling exotic play.

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Aqueduct – Fifth Race – Post time 3:25 PT
7-Gold Bear (5/2)

First-time starter vans up from South Florida for T. Pletcher after displaying plenty of ability in a series of sharp workouts at Palm Beach Downs. Though his pedigree suggests he’ll eventually do his best work over a distance of ground, the son of Pioneerof the Nile has rained like he’ll be quick enough to act at this six furlong trip, and with the barn’s “go to” local rider K. Carmouche taking the call this $25,000 Keeneland September yearling purchase appears extremely live and well-meant. We’ll make him a play at or near his morning line of 5/2.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Cimaglia:

February 26, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia

Race 1

4-Mister Magic (3-1)-
5-All Wrapped Up (7/2)-
10-ImThe Muscle (9/2)-

Race 2

1-Evenwood Sonofgun (5/2)-
3-Traceur Hanover (3-1)-

Race 3

1-Beyond Better (3-1)-
5-Captain Video (4-1)-
6-Talbot Romeo (7/2)-
10-Bee Two Bee (9/2)-

Race 4

1-


Race 5

4-Hello Love (4-1)-
6-Kendall Seelster (3-1)-

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Picks for This Week's Triple Crown Preps

February 26, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

This weekend offers a trio of Triple Crown prep races toward the Kentucky Derby, Preakness and Belmont Stakes. To help you tackle the diverse set of races, the app’s artificial intelligence provides its look at the John Battaglia Memorial from Turfway Park, the Southwest Stakes at Oaklawn and the Fasig-Tipton Fountain of Youth at Gulfstream Park.

Selections provided by the app measure each contender against the 10 leading factors for each race. The app looks at 52 handicapping factors and more than 200,000 past races to determine its AI selections. You can use the automated handicapping factors, or create your own factor filters to incorporate angles you prefer.

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Friday, Feb. 26 // Turfway Park // John Battaglia Memorial Stakes // Race 5 // 8:16 PM ET

#1 Gretzky the Great // 28%W // 48%P // 59%S
#6 Pico d’Oro // 18%W // 29%P // 40%S
#3 Twirling Mamba // 10%W // 21%P // 30%S
#4 Like the King // 9%W // 22%P // 32%S
#8 Hush of a Storm // 8%W // 15%P // 25%S
#11 Catman // 5%W // 13%P // 21%S
#12 Warrior in Chief // 4%W // 10%P // 18%S
#9 Fort Moultrie // 4%W // 9%P // 14%S
#13 Bakwena // 4%W // 12%P // 16%S
#2 The Predicament // 3%W // 5%P // 11%S
#5 Kinetic Sky // 3%W // 5%P // 11%S
#7 Hard Rye Guy // 3%W // 5%P // 11%S
#10 Notable Exception // 3%W // 5%P // 11%S

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Friday, February 26

Tulane @ Cincinnati
Tulane (9-10, 4-10)
— ranked #137 by KenPom
— Tempo: #243
— Experience: #328
— Continuity: #308
— Tulane lost five of its last seven games.
— Green Wave has #339 eFG% (#337 inside arc, #318 on arc)
— Tulane is forcing turnovers 23.4% of the time (#16)

Cincinnati (8-8, 6-5)
— ranked #102 by KenPom
— Tempo: #72
— Experience: #230
— Continuity: #212
— Cincy won five of its last six games; all five wins were by 3 or less points.
— Bearcats played three starters 33:00+ in Wednesday’s 70-69 win at Tulsa.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Cincy is shooting 29.1% on arc (#324), 64.5% on line (#328)

— Cincinnati won 64-61 at Tulane February 7.
— Bearcats won seven of last eight series games.
— Cincy won three of last four visits here (lost 76-71 LY)

Manhattan @ Siena
Manhattan (6-9, 5-9)
— ranked #302 by KenPom
— Tempo: #267
— Experience: #88
— Continuity: #278
— Jaspers haven’t played in 13 days.
— Manhattan lost five of its last six games.
— Jaspers turn ball over 21.6% of time (#298), have #344 eFG%.

Siena (9-3, 9-3)
— ranked #158 by KenPom
— Tempo: #290
— Experience: #164
— Continuity: #209
— Siena went L-W the last three weekends, after a 6-0 start.
— Opponents are shooting 43.5% inside arc (#9).
— Saints won three of last four at home; last home tilt was January 23.

— Siena won four of last five series games.
— Jaspers lost five of last six visits to Albany.

Richmond @ Saint Louis
Richmond (13-5, 6-3)
— ranked #54 by KenPom
— Tempo: #167
— Experience: #10
— Continuity: #11
— Richmond won five of its last seven games.
— Spiders are shooting 55.3% inside arc (#25)
— Richmond is 4-3 against top 100 teams.

Saint Louis (11-5, 4-4)
— ranked #52 by KenPom
— Tempo: #179
— Experience: #146
— Continuity: #21
— Billikens lost last two games overall, scoring 53-65 points.
— Saint Louis is shooting 28.8% on arc in A-14 play (#13 of 14)
— Billikens won last three home games, by 11-7-21 points.

— Saint Louis won four of last five series games.
— Spiders lost three of last five visits to Saint Louis.

North Texas @ Marshall
North Texas (12-6, 8-2)
— ranked #76 by KenPom
— Tempo: #340
— Experience: #27
— Continuity: #95
— Mean Green won seven of its last eight games overall.
— North Texas is shooting 55.8% inside arc (#19)
— North Texas has #16 eFG% defense in country.

Marshall (12-5, 6-4)
— ranked #70 by KenPom
— Tempo: #26
— Experience: #99
— Continuity: #6
— Marshall won five of their last six games.
— Thundering Herd is shooting 56.7% inside arc (#12)
— Last three games, Marshall scored 96.7 ppg.

— Neither team has played in thirteen days.
— Marshall won five of last six series games.

Missouri State @ Evansville
Missouri State (15-5, 11-5)
— ranked #86 by KenPom
— Tempo: #143
— Experience: #215
— Continuity: #288
— State won its last six games, giving up 58.3 ppg.
— Bears’ last four losses were all against Loyola/Drake.
— State is shooting 56.3% inside arc (#16)

Evansville (8-14, 6-10)
— ranked #212 by KenPom
— Tempo: #355
— Experience: #42
— Continuity: #232
— Evansville lost its last six games, five by 11+ points.
— Purple Aces have #342 eFG% in country (out of 357 teams)
— Over half the shots they’ve taken are 3’s (37.2%, #37)

— Missouri State won last three series games, by 16-13-10 points.
— Bears won last two visits here, by 12-10 points.

UAB @ Tex-San Antonio
UAB (18-5, 10-4)
— ranked #102 by KenPom
— Tempo: #221
— Experience: #29
— Continuity: #160
— UAB lost three of its last four D-I games, after a 16-2 start.
— Blazers are shooting 29.7% on arc (#314)
— UAB is forcing turnovers 23.7% of time (#10)

Tex-San Antonio (12-9, 8-6)
— ranked #181 by KenPom
— Tempo: #48
— Experience: #122
— Continuity: #65
— Roadrunners haven’t played in 13 days.
— UTSA won seven of its last eight games.
— Roadrunners are 2-8 vs teams ranked in top 200.

— UAB won four of last six series games.
— Blazers lost three of last four visits to the Alamo.

Purdue @ Penn State
Purdue (15-8, 10-6)
— ranked #19 by KenPom
— Tempo: #281
— Experience: #329
— Continuity: #113
— Purdue won three of its last four games.
— Purdue is 4-5 SU in Big 14 road games.
— Boilers are a top 40 rebounding team nationally.

Penn State (8-12, 5-11)
— ranked #35 by KenPom
— Tempo: #122
— Experience: #41
— Continuity: #46
— Penn State lost four of its last five games.
— Nittany Lions are shooting 45.6% inside arc (#307)
— Opponents are shooting 54.8% inside arc (#316)

— Nittany Lions lost 80-72 at Purdue January 17.
— Purdue won 10 of last 11 series games.

Rice @ Louisiana Tech
Rice (12-10, 6-8)
— ranked #183 by KenPom
— Tempo: #96
— Experience: #291
— Continuity: #302
— Rice lost seven of its last nine games.
— Owls lost last five road games, four by 10+ points.
— Rice is 0-4 vs top 100 teams, giving up 81.3 ppg.

Louisiana Tech (17-6, 10-4)
— ranked #90 by KenPom
— Tempo: #123
— Experience: #61
— Continuity: #116
— Tech hasn’t played in thirteen days.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Bulldogs won nine of their last 11 games.
— Tech has #28 eFG% defense in country.

— Home side won last six series games.
— Rice lost last six visits to Ruston, all by 10+ points.

Nevada @ Utah State
Nevada (14-7, 9-5)
— ranked #98 by KenPom
— Tempo: #110
— Experience: #333
— Continuity: #301
— Nevada hasn’t played in 19 days.
— Wolf Pack lost their last four true road games.
— Opponents are shooting 46.1% inside arc (#56)

Utah State (14-7, 11-4)
— ranked #55 by KenPom
— Tempo: #118
— Experience: #255
— Continuity: #143
— Aggies lost four of their last six games.
— Utah State is a top 10 rebounding team in country.
— Opponents are shooting 43.7% inside arc (#11).

— Nevada won five of last seven series games.
— Wolf Pack lost three of last four visits to Logan.

Missouri-Kansas City @ South Dakota State
UMKC (11-10, 7-5)
— ranked #215 by KenPom
— Tempo: #350
— Experience: #129
— Continuity: #208
— Kangaroos won last five games, giving up 54.4 ppg.
— UMKC forces turnovers 22.4% of time (#32)
— This is UMKC’s first road game in 33 days (2-2 on Summit road)

South Dakota State (13-6, 7-3)
— ranked #123 by KenPom
— Tempo: #42
— Experience: #235
— Continuity: #9
— Jackrabbits split their last six games overall.
— South Dakota State won five of six Summit home games.
— South Dakota State is shooting 40.7% on arc (#3)

Cal-Northridge @ Cal-Bakersfield
Cal-Northridge (8-9, 4-6)
— ranked #285 by KenPom
— Tempo: #94
— Experience: #304
— Continuity: #234
— Matadors won three of their last five games.
— CSUN is shooting 46.7% inside arc (#280)
— Matadors have #308 eFG% defense in country.

Cal-Bakersfield (14-9, 8-6)
— ranked #145 by KenPom
— Tempo: #342
— Experience: #1
— Continuity: #23
— Roadrunners are 4-5 in their last nine games.
— Bakersfield won five of six Big West home games.
— Roadrunners don’t shoot well; they grab 38.6% of their missed shots (#3)

UCSB @ Cal-Riverside
UCSB (7-14, 6-14)
— ranked #74 by KenPom
— Tempo: #311
— Experience: #26
— Continuity: #59
— Gauchos won their last 12 games- they’re undefeated in 2021.
— UCSB is forcing turnovers 21.7% of time (#1 of 11) in Big West play
— Two of Gauchos’ last three road games went to overtime.

Cal-Riverside (10-6, 6-4)
— ranked #118 by KenPom
— Tempo: #262
— Experience: #90
— Continuity: #180
— Highlanders are 4-3 in Big West home games.
— Riverside is shooting 39.4% on arc (#8)
— Opponents are shooting 42.4% inside arc (#4).

— UCSB won six of last seven series games.
— Teams split last six meetings played here.

Fresno State @ UNLV
Fresno State (10-9, 8-9)
— ranked #206 by KenPom
— Tempo: #303
— Experience: #303
— Continuity: #300
— Bulldogs are 5-3 in their last eight games.
— Fresno won last three road games, by 6-3-3 points.
— Fresno has #259 eFG%, turns ball over 21.6% of time (#299)

UNLV (10-12, 7-8)
— ranked #163 by KenPom
— Tempo: #301
— Experience: #267
— Continuity: #293
— UNLV is 4-6 in in its last ten games overall.
— Opponents are shooting 38.2% on arc (#327)
— Rebels get only 13.1% of their points on foul line (#342)

— Fresno won 67-64 here Wednesday, despite shooting 35.7% inside arc.
— Bulldogs won eight of last ten series games.
— Fresno won five of last six series games played here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

815CANISIUS -816 NIAGARA
NIAGARA is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons.

817TULANE -818 CINCINNATI
CINCINNATI is 4-19 ATS (-16.9 Units) after a win by 6 points or less in the last 3 seasons.

819RIDER -820 ST PETERS
ST PETERS are 17-7 ATS (9.3 Units) after scoring 25 points or less in the first half last game in the last 3 seasons.

821DREXEL -822 JAMES MADISON
JAMES MADISON is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after playing a game as favorite in the current season.

823MANHATTAN -824 SIENA
MANHATTAN is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) when playing with 7 or more days rest since 1997.

825LA-MONROE -826 TEXAS ST
TEXAS ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

827CAL DAVIS -828 CAL POLY-SLO
CAL DAVIS are 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in road games after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

829APPALACHIAN ST -830 GA SOUTHERN
GA SOUTHERN is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

831NEBRASKA-OMAHA -832 DENVER
NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) as a road dog of 3 or less since 1997.

835SOUTHERN UTAH -836 N ARIZONA
N ARIZONA is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games since 1997.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

531SACRAMENTO -532 DETROIT
SACRAMENTO is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game in the current season.

533INDIANA -534 BOSTON
INDIANA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts in the current season.

535HOUSTON -536 TORONTO
HOUSTON is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots in the last 3 seasons.

537PHOENIX -538 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games in the current season.

539LA CLIPPERS -540 MEMPHIS
MEMPHIS are 72-48 ATS (19.2 Units) in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game since 1996.

541UTAH -542 MIAMI
UTAH is 14-1 ATS (12.9 Units) after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread in the current season.

543ATLANTA -544 OKLAHOMA CITY
ATLANTA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

545PORTLAND -546 LA LAKERS
LA LAKERS are 14-5 ATS (8.5 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

547CHARLOTTE -548 GOLDEN STATE
GOLDEN STATE is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Friday, February 26

Indiana @ Boston
Pacers (15-15)
— Indiana lost six of its last nine games.
— Pacers are 8-5 ATS on the road this season.
— Over is 3-1 in Indiana’s last four games.

Celtics (15-17)
— Boston is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games.
— Celtics are 9-4 ATS at home this season.
— Over is 4-1 in last five Boston games.

— Celtics won eight of last ten series games.
— Pacers are 1-1-1 ATS in last three visits to Boston.
— Over is 4-1 in last five series games.

Houston @ Toronto
Rockets (11-19)
— Houston lost its last nine games (1-8 ATS).
— Rockets covered twice in their last eight road games.
— Over is 4-1 in their last five road games.

Raptors (16-17)
— Toronto split last its eight games, is 9-5 SU in last 14.
— Raptors are 5-9 ATS at home this season.
— Under is 4-1 in last five Toronto games.

— Houston won six of last nine series games.
— Rockets covered four of last six road series games.
— Three of last four series games stayed under the total.

Sacramento @ Detroit
Kings (12-20)
— Sacramento is 0-9 SU/ATS in last nine games overall.
— Kings are 2-4 ATS if they played the night before.
— Over is 8-0 in Sacramento’s last eight games.

Pistons (9-23)
— Detroit lost nine of its last 13 games (6-4 ATS last ten)
— Pistons are 5-1 ATS in last six home games.
— Under is 4-1 in Detroit’s last five games.

— Sacramento won three of last four series games.
— Kings are 2-1-2 ATS in last five visits to Detroit.
— Four of last five series games stayed under total.

Utah @ Miami
Jazz (26-6)
— Utah won 22 of its last 24 games (21-2-1 ATS).
— Jazz is 8-2 ATS in its last ten road games.
— Over is 7-4-1 in Utah’s last dozen road games.

Heat (15-17)
— Miami won four in row, eight of its last 11 games overall.
— Heat is 2-8-1 ATS in last 11 home games.
— Under is 4-2 in their last six home games.

— Jazz won three of last four series games.
— Utah covered three of last four visits to Miami.
— Under is 4-1 in last five series games.

Phoenix @ Chicago
Suns (20-11)
— Phoenix won/covered 12 of its last 15 games.
— Suns are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.
— Over is 7-2 in their last nine games.

Bulls (15-16)
— Chicago won five of its last six games SU.
— Bulls are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five home games.
— Over is 4-1 in their last five home games.

— Phoenix won five of last eight series games.
— Suns covered four of last six visits to Chicago.
— Three of last four series games stayed under.

LA Clippers @ Memphis
Clippers (23-11)
— Clippers won six of their last nine games overall.
— Clippers are 5-3 ATS in last eight road games.
— Over is 10-4 in their last 14 games.

Grizzlies (14-14)
— Memphis is 5-8 SU in its last 13 games.
— Grizzlies are 7-8-1 ATS at home this season.
— Under is 4-0 in their last four games.

— Clippers lost 122-94 here last night.
— Clippers won seven of last ten series games.
— LA is 2-3-1 ATS in last six visits to Memphis.
— Over is 6-5 in last 11 series games.

Atlanta @ Oklahoma City
Hawks (14-18)
— Atlanta won three of its last five games.
— Hawks are 4-7 ATS in their last 11 road games.
— 10 of Atlanta’s 12 games went over the total.

Thunder (13-19)
— Thunder lost seven of last ten games (2-4 ATS last six)
— OKC is 5-9-1 ATS at home this season.
— Under is 7-1 in their last eight games.

— Thunder won six of last eight series games.
— Hawks are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Oklahoma.
— Last six series games went over the total.

Charlotte @ Golden State
Hornets (15-16)
— Charlotte won five of its last eight games.
— Hornets are 2-3 ATS in their last five road games.
— Over is 7-2 in Charlotte’s last nine road games.

Warriors (17-15)
— Golden State won six of its last nine games SU.
— Warriors are 10-6 ATS in their last 16 home games.
— Under is 4-2 in their last six home games.

— Charlotte won/covered last three series games.
— Hornets are 3-1-1 ATS in last five visits to the Bay Area.
— Nine of last ten series games stayed under the total.

Portland @ LA Lakers
Trailblazers (18-13)
— Portland lost its last three games, after an 8-1 run.
— Blazers are 12-5 ATS on the road this season.
— Over is 11-7 in Portland’s last 18 games.
— Starting G McCollum/C Nurkic are both out

Lakers (22-11)
— Lakers lost five of last six games, are 2-8 ATS in last ten.
— Lakers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five games.

— Lakers won four of last five series games.
— Trailblazers are 4-2 ATS in last six series games played here.
— Four of last six series games stayed under.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Friday, February 26

Trend Report

Indiana @ Boston
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indiana's last 10 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
Boston is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games

Houston @ Toronto
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 9 games at home

Sacramento @ Detroit
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games on the road
Detroit
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Detroit is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Sacramento

Phoenix @ Chicago
Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games
Phoenix is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Chicago
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

LA Clippers @ Memphis
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
LA Clippers is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games
Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Memphis's last 10 games

Utah @ Miami
Utah
Utah is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Utah is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games
Miami
Miami is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Utah
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Atlanta @ Oklahoma City
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Atlanta's last 10 games
Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Oklahoma City's last 8 games

Charlotte @ Golden State
Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing Golden State
Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 7 games when playing at home against Charlotte

Portland @ LA Lakers
Portland
Portland is 14-3 ATS in its last 17 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Portland is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, February 26

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SACRAMENTO (12 - 20) at DETROIT (9 - 23) - 2/26/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
SACRAMENTO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
DETROIT is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 3-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (15 - 15) at BOSTON (15 - 17) - 2/26/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 102-70 ATS (+25.0 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
INDIANA is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 7-4 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 9-3 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (11 - 19) at TORONTO (16 - 17) - 2/26/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 50-64 ATS (-20.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 40-55 ATS (-20.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 114-81 ATS (+24.9 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
HOUSTON is 58-34 ATS (+20.6 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
TORONTO is 23-41 ATS (-22.1 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-0 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 3-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (20 - 11) at CHICAGO (15 - 16) - 2/26/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
CHICAGO is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in non-conference games this season.
CHICAGO is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 36-53 ATS (-22.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 51-76 ATS (-32.6 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
CHICAGO is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in home games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in home games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 2-1 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 2-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (23 - 11) at MEMPHIS (14 - 14) - 2/26/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 185-142 ATS (+28.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 82-59 ATS (+17.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 4-4 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 5-3 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (26 - 6) at MIAMI (15 - 17) - 2/26/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
UTAH is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.
UTAH is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
UTAH is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
UTAH is 21-4 ATS (+16.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 21-5 ATS (+15.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 4-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 3-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (14 - 18) at OKLAHOMA CITY (13 - 19) - 2/26/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 9-26 ATS (-19.6 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 64-44 ATS (+15.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (18 - 13) at LA LAKERS (22 - 11) - 2/26/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
PORTLAND is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
PORTLAND is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 7-5 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 8-5 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (15 - 16) at GOLDEN STATE (18 - 15) - 2/26/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 206-256 ATS (-75.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 70-97 ATS (-36.7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 3-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 3-2 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hoop Trends for Friday February 26
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Utah at MIami (8:05 p.m. ET)

--The Jazz are 20-0 ATS (9.50 ppg) as a favorite coming off a win.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Portland at L.A. Lakers (10:05 p.m. ET)

--The Lakers are 0-11 ATS (-8.09 ppg) at home after Lebron James was their high scorer and had a negative plus/minus last game.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Sacramento at Detroit (8:05 p.m. ET)

--The Pistons are 13-0 OU (9.27 ppg) at home with rest after being outscored in the paint by double digits last game.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Phoenix at Chicago (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Bulls are 0-12 OU (-21.58 ppg) coming off a win as a favorite in which Zach Lavine was their high scorer.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

23BOSTON -24 NY RANGERS
NY RANGERS are 231-255 ATS (-95.4 Units) in home games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game since 1996.

25LOS ANGELES -26 MINNESOTA
LOS ANGELES are 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.

25LOS ANGELES -26 MINNESOTA
TODD MCLELLAN is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak (Coach of LOS ANGELES)

73COLORADO -74 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 45-114 ATS (-52.5 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) since 1996.