Sunday 3/14/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358929

    Sunday 3/14/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358929

    #2
    Al Cimaglia: Rosecroft Raceway Pick 4 Analysis

    March 14, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia

    Tonight, Rosecroft Raceway has 14-races set to go with a 7:15 EST post time. The 0.50 Pick 4 begins in Race 9 and it will be my focus.

    Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

    Race 9

    5-Southwind Terror (6-1)-Should like the company and draws well. Foster is back between the pipes and he should be able to work a smooth trip. The pace could be lively and that will help. Looking for a big try at a square price.
    7-Cool Casper (3-1)-Benefitted from a jewel of a trip to take a picture in last but did show enough gate speed to get the pocket trip. Morgan could try to follow the same script and it could work again.
    9-Versado (5/2)-Berry takes the lines and he has had success in the past with this 14-year-old. Could leave to get a good seat and then look to roll down the lane.

    Race 10

    3-Uncle Coz (5/2)-Willing to respect chances and likely will be bet because Coz was blocked on the pylons and didn't shake loose until late in last. Probably won't offer any value and at this level will need a top effort to hit the wire first.
    5-All Gold (3-1)-Steps-up but draws well and has hit the board in 4 of 5 races here with 2 wins. Morgan takes a seat, and he should find some live cover. Could make it 2 straight with the right trip.
    6-PL Hoodhearted (9/2)-Steps-up after a nice win and now loses Plante but Moyer has taken pictures with this 10-year-old. Has won 3 of 6 starts in 2021 and could get a similar trip and roll off cover to pop at a solid price.

    Race 11

    3-Hickory Aloha (5/2)-Nine-year-old may have lost his will to win but this is wake-up spot. Should be in the pocket or on the engine. At this class Ofutt will likely look to get the point, if he can steal a quarter it should lead to an overdue win.
    7-Mittnite Delight (7/2)-Odds-on chalk last week could not catch the winner and now steps-up. That was one of the better recent efforts and the price will be more appealing here. The last win for this 5-year-old came on 11-1 with Foster in the bike at this level.

    Race 12

    2-Son Of A Lynx (9/2)-Beaten favorite should be put in play early and can get a better trip. Should offer a fair price in a race without a standout.
    4-Wheres My Money (10-1)-Has had excuses in last 2 when stepped up to face better and should offer a big price. Could get sucked around and stay close enough to make one well-timed move to surprise.
    6-Rock Smart (5/2)-Comes off 2 good efforts and draws well. Looks like the one to beat with a decent trip but is only 3 for the last 25 and has only 1 win at RcR in 10 tries. Plante could try to control the race and set a reasonable pace.

    0.50 Pick 4

    5,7,9/3,5,6/3,7/2,4,6
    Total Bet=$27
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358929

      #3
      Jerry Shottenkirk: My Late Pick 4 Ticket Sunday at Gulfstream

      March 14, 2021 | By Jerry Shottenkirk

      There are difficult challenges in exotic plays, and that fact looks you in the eye right off the bat in Gulfstream Park’s Late Pick 4 on Sunday.

      There are seven three-year-olds in the nine-furlong seventh (4:12 p.m. ET, allowance optional claiming) on the turf, and you can take your pick. My pick here is easy: Take ‘em all. The ALL space isn’t often used in this corner, and this is the proper time. It’s an evenly matched group and the distance will be a challenged for all of them. Let the chips fall where they may – hopefully on the largest price on the board.

      Bugle of War is the 2-1 morning line favorite but from top-to-bottom, this looks pretty even. Raison d’Air is the second choice at 3-1 and Safe Conduct is third choice at 4-1.

      The sequence includes another pair of allowance optional claiming races in the eighth and ninth, and it concludes with a maiden-claiming test in the 10th.

      Here’s a look at the final three races:


      Race 8 (4:44 p.m. ET, allowance optional claiming)

      DARK AGES was claimed by Kelly Breen when third last out and was an easy winner against similar two back. Has a good closing move at a mile and should like the pace in front of him.

      NACHO PAPA was claimed by Carlos David two back and ran fourth against a tougher group in his follow-up. Adjusts to pace and can be a big player at this level.

      HONOLULU EXPRESS set fast fractions and lived it last time in his first after being claimed by Peter Walder. Seems better on the main track and can be in a similar position on or very near the front today.


      Race 9 (5:16 p.m. ET, allowance optional claiming)

      UNA LUNA made a sustained drive over the last three furlongs and was up in time against this level last time. Does well from off the pace and can save ground until she has to swing out for the drive.

      NOPE never really got involved in two very tough races here and makes her third U.S. start after running in Ireland and Great Britain. Expect improvement in this spot.

      OSAKA GIRL always makes an impact on the pace and is troubled when she gets clear at any point. A clear threat to win on the front end.


      Race 10 (5:48 p.m. ET, maiden claiming)

      COMMAND CENTRAL was a closing third against this level two back and was fourth against a higher level last time. Much improved since leaving the maiden special ranks and is a big threat to these.

      EXPONENTIAL rolled up to the lead last time and was out-gamed in the final yards. Luis Saez keeps the mount and this one could time is right this time.

      Gulfstream Park’s Late Pick 4 on Sunday:
      7) ALL (7 horses)
      8) #1 Dark Ages, #2 Nacho Papa, #3 Honolulu Express.
      9) #1 Una Luna, #4 Nope, #7 Osaka Girl.
      10) #6 Command Central, #7 Exponential.
      50-cent Late Pick 4: ALL (7 horses) with 1-2-3 with 1-4-7 with 6-7 ($63).
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358929

        #4
        Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 3/14/21

        March 14, 2021

        Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
        *
        The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.).
        *
        *
        Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.


        Click here to view today's Santa Anita Workout Report


        RACE 1: Post: 12:30 PT Grade: B-
        Use: 3-Swift as I Am; 5-Goldini

        Forecast: In a race that should have enough pace to compliment his closing style, Goldini gets top billing in this starter optional claiming turf miler for 3-year-olds. He’s a first-off-the-claim play for a hot outfit after beating maiden$ 50,000 claimers over this course and distance in mid-January. Though he was part of the pace in that race, the son of Goldencents might be even more effective if held up early and allowed to run late, similar to the way he’s been training since joining the P. D’Amato barn. D’Amato’s other horse in the field, Swift as I Am, is the 2-1 morning line favorite thanks in no small part to the switch to leading rider F. Prat. With Artie Schiller on the bottom side of his pedigree, the son Danza should move up considerably on grass and, like we always say, if he’s ever going to stay a mile it’ll be in his first try. Both should be included in rolling exotic play; we’ll have a few extra tickets keying Goldini on top.
        *
        *
        RACE 2: Post: 1:04 PT Grade: X
        Use: 4-Luckys Last Stand; 6-Starship Chewbacca

        Forecast: There’s not a whole lot to work with in today’s second race, a maiden $50,000 claiming sprint for state-bred older horses. Starship Chewbacca, listed at even money on the morning line, makes the all-important class drop from the straight maiden ranks, switches to J. J. Hernandez ,and simply should be too quick for this group. Drawn comfortably outside, the H. Zucker-trained gelding can pop and go or stalk and pounce depending upon how J. J. Hernandez assesses the race flow. Luckys Last Stand, a reasonable third at this level in his debut at Los Alamitos in December, adds Lasix, retains T. Pereira, and may have the most room to improve among the other five entrants. You can include him on a ticket or two as a back-up, but the main punch probably should go to the projected heavy favorite.
        *
        *
        RACE 3: Post: 1:39 PT Grade: B-
        Use: 3-Circle of Honor; 4-K P Kan Do

        Forecast: K P Can Do, like our top pick in the second race, shows the maiden-to-maiden claiming class drop angle and should put it to good use in this modest affair for 3-year-old fillies. The daughter of Kantharos has a considerable edge in the speed figure department, though it must be noted that both of her starts came on grass. The switch to the main track, at least based on pedigree, shouldn’t be an issue, so let’s put the J. Mullins-trained filly on top while also including on our ticket the second-timer Circle of Honor. Haltered out of her debut for $50,000 by S. Knapp, whose record with this angle is quite good (27% with a powerful ROI), she shows a couple of decent workouts since changing barns to indicate a forward move is likely.
        *
        *
        RACE 4: Post: 2:10 PT Grade: B+
        Use: 2-Hot Box; 3-Found My Ball; 7-My Man Bags

        Forecast: Found My Ball was out of his element when a distant fourth in the San Vicente S.-G2 behind unbeaten Concert Tour but this Cal-bred allowance optional claimer should be much more to his liking, especially in his first start on grass, a surface this son of Square Eddie should thoroughly enjoy. The speed figure he earned when breaking his maiden two runs back, if repeated today, makes him a standout. Price players may want to find room somewhere on their rolling exotic tickets for Hot Box and My Man Bags. The former continues to impress in the morning and may be the quickest in the field at 12-1 on the morning line, while the latter, a first-time Lasix user, is cozily drawn outside in his first try on grass, has looked pretty good in the a.m., and could easily improve considerably.
        *
        *
        RACE 5: Post: 2:43 PT Grade: X
        Single: 4-Madam Barbarian

        Forecast: Madam Barbarian has plenty going for her in this extended sprint for $12,500 claiming fillies and mares. She’s reunited win “win rider” F. Prat while returning to the level of her sharp victory two races back and is race that projects to have modest early fractions the veteran mare should be comfortably placed throughout and have every chance to kick clear when set down. She’ll probably be a short price – she’s 8/5 on the morning line – so perhaps the best course of action is to use her as a rolling exotic single but otherwise pass the race.
        *
        *
        RACE 6: Post: 3:18 PT Grade: B+
        Use: 2-Bella Vita; 8-Leggs Galore

        Forecast: This is a fairly strong edition of the Irish O’Brien Stakes, a grass dash for Cal-bred older fillies and mares. We’ll try to get by using just two. Bella Vita returned off a nine month layoff to toy with a lesser field when winning the Spring Fever S. on the main track in mid-February in what was a visually pleasing performance that earned a solid number. We’re expecting the daughter of Bayern to run even better today with the return to grass, her preferred surface. The S. Callaghan-trained filly has shown the versatility to win on the front end or from a stalking position, giving F. Prat the option to adjust his strategy as needed. Leggs Galore is the 2-1 morning line favorite based on superior speed figures and rapidly improving form which has produced four straight victories – all on grass – including the Sunshine Millions Filly & Mare Turf Sprint in her most recent outing in mid-January. Also a daughter of Bayern, the P. D’Amato-trained filly continues to train in spectacular fashion, is comfortably drawn outside, and projects to have clear sailing and every chance to reproduce her top effort.
        *
        *
        RACE 7: Post: 3:50 PT Grade: B
        Use: 5-Respectfully; 8-Dancing Dana

        Forecast: Respectfully didn’t get the best of runs but kept to her task in the lane when a better-than-looked fourth in a similar starter optional claiming main track sprint for 3-year-old fillies last month. She earned a career top speed despite being forced to steady into the turn, and the way she regained her momentum to finish eagerly really caught our eye. She switches to J. J. Hernandez, which is good, but the tradeoff is that she must pick up 10 lbs. Dancing Dana improved considerably – at least based on speed figures – when a strong runner-up in a similar spot on grass last month. Perhaps she simply is getting better, but the concern is that the forward move may have been entirely due to the switch in surface. Today, the daughter of Clubhouse Ride is back on the main track, where her form has been somewhat ordinary. We’ll use both in our rolling exotics and then press with extra tickets keying Respectfully on top.
        *
        *
        RACE 8: Post: 4:24 PT Grade: B+
        Use: 5-Away From the Sun; 7-Anna Fantastic

        Forecast: Away From the Sun, unbeaten in a pair of impressive Bay Area outings, takes her talents to Southern California for this state-bred first-level allowance turf sprint, and if she can transfer her synthetic form to grass the daughter of Smiling Tiger should be able to keep her record unblemished. Sher has an ideal stalking style for this course and distance, speed figures that are simply faster than the competition, and a Golden Gate Fields work tab that is sharp, steady, and healthy. Anna Fantastic may be the most dangerous of the locals. A smart five-length winner two runs back, the daughter of Cyclotron was respectable in defeat when fourth behind potential monster Happier in her most recent outing and will be major player against this group if she, like our top pick, can translate her dirt form to turf. Both should be included in rolling exotic play with preference on top to Away From the Sun
        *
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358929

          #5
          Jeff Siegel's National Prime Plays for 3/14/21

          March 14, 2021


          Every Friday thru Sunday handicapper Jeff Siegel offers his best wagering opportunity from a selected North American racetrack. These “Best Plays” can take the form of a win wager, exacta, trifecta, or a daily double, pick-3, pick-4 or pick-6.

          *

          Aqueduct – Eighth Race – Post time: 4:55 ET
          1-A Longlongtimeago(9/2)

          This sharp debut-winning son of Maclean’s Music takes the immediate jump into stakes competition but could easily be up to the task based on his thoroughly professional performance in a fast, highly-rated and productive heat in mid-January. Overcoming a rough start and traffic trouble on the turn, this quick-actioned sophomore was maneuvered to the outside for clear sailing into the lane and took control with authority close home. Today’s extra furlong won’t be an issue, of he can secure clear sailing from his rail post the J. Abreu-trained can spring a mild surprise in this year’s edition of the Damon Runyon Stakes for New York-bred 3-year-olds.

          *

          Santa Anita Park – Eighth Race – Post time: 4:24 PT
          5-Away From the Sun (2-1)

          Unbeaten in a pair of impressive Bay Area outings first in a maiden claimer and then in starter’s allowance company, this B. Wright-trained 4-year-old takes her talents to Southern California for this state-bred first-level allowance turf sprint, and if she can transfer her synthetic form to grass the daughter of Smiling Tiger should be able to keep her record unblemished. Sher has an ideal stalking style for this course and distance, speed figures that are simply faster than the competition, and a Golden Gate Fields work tab that is sharp, steady, and healthy. She’s 2-1 on the morning line and if he can get that price we’ll use her with confidence in the win pool and in rolling exotic play.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358929

            #6
            Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

            Santa Anita - Race #5
            Picks Notes
            #7 Eternal Endeavour She's a pretty reliable type with similar, and she should be able to get another good spying trip from the wide draw. She hasn't won in a long time, but her running lines keep her right there with these.
            #3 Tiz Toffee Drops for the second start of this season, and she has some forward ability in a race that doesn't have a ton of speed.
            #4 Madame Barbarian She was an easy winner when racing at this level a couple starts back, and she wasn't embarrassed when facing better starter company last out.
            Race Summary Eternal Endeavour tends to run her race, and those efforts stack up well here. She was the 7/5 chalk when Madame Barbarian beat her last out, and she can turn the tables at a fair price.

            Santa Anita - Race #6
            Picks Notes
            #8 Leggs Galore She draws well to get a dreamy trip on the engine or pressing Sadie Bluegrass, and this one has been sensational since moving to the turf, rattling off four in a row.
            #2 Bella Vita She was an easy winner off the layoff last out, and she has some back success on the turf that makes her interesting here.
            #1 Nardini She owns a couple of turf sprint tries that were decent enough to land a piece with this bunch, and she'll be a price to potentially boost the gimmicks in an otherwise top heavy race.
            Race Summary Leggs Galore can be a handful here as she looks for her fifth score in a row since switching to the turf, and she projects for a dreamy trip on paper.

            Santa Anita - Race #8
            Picks Notes
            #1 Pushing Sixty She sat close to a good pace last time out, and she'll now turn back while adding blinkers. She might wind up getting a cozy trip on the inside at a price.
            #7 Anna Fantastic She has been heading the right way in recent starts, and she exits a fast race on the main track. The move to the turf is a real question, but the form is there if she can handle the surface switch.
            #5 Away From the Sun She'll get a tougher test here, but she has done nothing wrong in a couple of easy wins at Golden Gate. Big chance from close range.
            Race Summary Pushing Sixty will be a big price after fading when chasing a quick pace last time out, and she can probably find a good spot to flash some tracking pace on the cutback.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358929

              #7
              Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

              Gulfstream Park - Race #5
              Picks Notes
              #1 Fielder Held his ground and finished third last out and is solid at this level on the turf; will be unaffected if it comes off the turf.
              #8 Fig Jelly Held third going longer last out and was claimed by Breen, who is 22 percent in first after claim; can finish well vs. these.
              #6 Kantharos' Image Closed well and just missed last out, finishing third by a neck; solid chance if he runs back to that.
              Race Summary Fielder can get a ground-saving run and can fight it out in this spot; should be able to carve out a good trip.

              Gulfstream Park - Race #6
              Picks Notes
              #1 Dream About Me Ran an even fifth on debut in a productive maiden races and should be seriously troublesome in stretching out to a mile.
              #3 Mary Jane Chrome Has a long string of mostly exceptional workouts and the daughter of California Chrome is set for her debut.
              #2 Viva La Red Was an even fourth going two turns and could show some punch as she turns back to one turn.
              Race Summary Dream About Me comes out of a strong race and has a better chance with more distance.

              Gulfstream Park - Race #8
              Picks Notes
              #2 Nacho Papa Ran an even fourth last time in his second off the claim by Carlos David and likely will improve in his return.
              #1 Dark Ages Has a decent late kick and could get an ideal pace setup; one to hold off.
              #3 Honolulu Express Moved over to the dirt last time and responded by wiring a similar field in her first off the claim by Walder.
              Race Summary Nacho Papa didn't first in her first for the David barn and can get a better run vs. this group; solid chance to right in the mix throughout.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358929

                #8
                BATTAGLIA Daily Free Plays :

                AQUEDUCT
                RACE 9

                # 5-8-1-4 Rating : 2 stars

                #5 Bastet- taking the four year olds over the younger again. This one was claimed for 20k two starts back then finished second beaten just two lengths by a repeat winner last out while racing wide on a double speed favoring track. He cuts back in distance and a late rider change sure would not hurt our feelings.

                #8 Levelplaying field-first timer from the Brown barn is working well and is coming off a bullet work best of 64. He catches a soft field for his debut and is the one to beat.

                #1 Despeight All Odds-3 year old is dropping from MSW to MCL 40k for trainer who is hitting at 29% with his runners making this drop.

                #4 Odemgoldenslippers- 4 year old making his debut for trainer Englehart who is hitting at 25% with his first timers.
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358929

                  #9
                  F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Louisiana Downs
                  PURCHASE
                  Louisiana Downs - Race 3

                  Daily Double / Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / .50 Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5)


                  Maiden Claiming $5,000 • 350 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 52 • Purse: $3,300 • Post: 1:48P
                  QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
                  Contenders

                  Race Analysis
                  P#
                  Horse
                  Morn
                  Line

                  Accept
                  Odds


                  Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * CARRY ON CUERVO: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. MS CORONA CAN DO: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. CASHS SPECIAL CORONA: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
                  5
                  STREAKY
                  8/1

                  5/1
                  8
                  CARRY ON CUERVO
                  8/1

                  7/1
                  2
                  WILLRHETTJET
                  20/1

                  7/1
                  6
                  MS CORONA CAN DO
                  5/1

                  8/1
                  4
                  CASHS SPECIAL CORONA
                  5/2

                  9/1




                  P#

                  Horse (In Running Style Order)

                  Post

                  Morn
                  Line

                  Running Style

                  Good
                  Class

                  Good
                  Speed

                  Early Figure

                  Finish Figure

                  Platinum
                  Figure
                  1
                  SUPER BLACK DUCK
                  1

                  15/1
                  Slow/Trouble-prone
                  0

                  0

                  7.0

                  0.0

                  0.0
                  2
                  WILLRHETTJET
                  2

                  20/1
                  Slow
                  67

                  49

                  7.0

                  0.0

                  0.0
                  3
                  RR TEXAS CHROME
                  3

                  12/1
                  Slow/Trouble-prone
                  0

                  0

                  7.6

                  0.0

                  0.0
                  4
                  CASHS SPECIAL CORONA
                  4

                  5/2
                  Slow/Trouble-prone
                  55

                  52

                  7.1

                  0.0

                  0.0
                  5
                  STREAKY
                  5

                  8/1
                  Slow
                  67

                  53

                  7.9

                  0.0

                  0.0
                  6
                  MS CORONA CAN DO
                  6

                  5/1
                  Fast
                  51

                  46

                  2.0

                  0.0

                  0.0
                  7
                  LOTS OF CLASS N SASS
                  7

                  30/1
                  Slow/Trouble-prone
                  0

                  0

                  9.2

                  0.0

                  0.0
                  8
                  CARRY ON CUERVO
                  8

                  8/1
                  Slow
                  59

                  51

                  6.7

                  0.0

                  0.0
                  9
                  JS SENATOR PERRY
                  9

                  6/1
                  Slow
                  0

                  0

                  6.8

                  0.0

                  0.0
                  10
                  MY TEMPTING KING
                  10

                  7/2
                  Slow
                  0

                  0

                  6.6

                  0.0

                  0.0
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358929

                    #10
                    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Aqueduct
                    PURCHASE
                    Aqueduct - Race 6

                    Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (6-8) Pick 4 (.50) Races (6-9), Double Wagers


                    Starter Allowance $50,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 97 • Purse: $55,000 • Post: 3:52P
                    (UP TO $9,570 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN OR CLAIMING. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 1, 2020 ALLOWED 2 LBS.
                    Contenders

                    Race Analysis
                    P#
                    Horse
                    Morn
                    Line

                    Accept
                    Odds


                    Race Type: Lone Trailer. CAUSE OF ACTION is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * CAUSE OF ACTION: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. MUCH TROUBLE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating . MISTER BOBBY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. TONKA FLOWER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. BRILLIANT BROOKS: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50 .
                    5
                    CAUSE OF ACTION
                    4/1

                    6/1
                    2
                    MUCH TROUBLE
                    5/2

                    6/1
                    6
                    MISTER BOBBY
                    3/1

                    7/1
                    1
                    TONKA FLOWER
                    5/1

                    8/1
                    7
                    BRILLIANT BROOKS
                    3/1

                    8/1




                    P#

                    Horse (In Running Style Order)

                    Post

                    Morn
                    Line

                    Running Style

                    Good
                    Class

                    Good
                    Speed

                    Early Figure

                    Finish Figure

                    Platinum
                    Figure
                    3
                    STEP TO THE BANK
                    3

                    20/1
                    Front-runner
                    79

                    72

                    105.1

                    63.0

                    49.5
                    1
                    TONKA FLOWER
                    1

                    5/1
                    Front-runner
                    94

                    95

                    86.8

                    89.4

                    81.9
                    6
                    MISTER BOBBY
                    6

                    3/1
                    Stalker
                    99

                    94

                    85.4

                    89.4

                    84.4
                    2
                    MUCH TROUBLE
                    2

                    5/2
                    Stalker
                    95

                    95

                    70.2

                    90.3

                    87.8
                    7
                    BRILLIANT BROOKS
                    7

                    3/1
                    Stalker
                    93

                    93

                    70.1

                    83.9

                    75.9
                    5
                    CAUSE OF ACTION
                    5

                    4/1
                    Trailer
                    91

                    94

                    55.2

                    87.2

                    79.2
                    4
                    KNOCKOUT PUNCH
                    4

                    12/1
                    Alternator/Non-contender
                    90

                    86

                    48.7

                    77.6

                    68.1
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358929

                      #11
                      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track
                      PURCHASE
                      Always check program numbers.
                      Odds shown are morning line odds.

                      Race 7 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6000 Class Rating: 22

                      FOR NATIVE MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 121 LBS. ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.


                      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                      The Walker Group Picks

                      # 7 ELECTRONICO 20/1

                      # 5 JOE THE JOKER 4/1

                      # 4 DON MORCI 3/1

                      I have to support ELECTRONICO in this competition and is a formidable value bet given the line at 20/1. Has very strong Equibase Class Figures relative to this group - worth a look. The extreme drop in competition can only aid this entrant this time around. This animal could surprise this field at a nice number. JOE THE JOKER - Look for this horse to be close up on the wire versus these horses. DON MORCI - Overall, has one of the top earnings per start in dirt sprint events in this field of horses. His chances to prove victorious are much better this time out facing this softer group.
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358929

                        #12
                        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
                        PURCHASE

                        Bar

                        Fonner Park - Race #6 - Post: 3:35pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $5,000 Class Rating: 63

                        Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

                        #3 LILFEATHEREDINDIAN (ML=8/1)
                        #7 DARLING GIRL (ML=20/1)
                        #9 AVABELL (ML=4/1)
                        #4 TSURUOKA (ML=12/1)


                        LILFEATHEREDINDIAN - Trainer, Bethke, has been deliberate with this filly off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today. That last effort must not have been too hard on this filly for her to be able to race again so quickly. Off the board finish last time out at Fonner Park was better than it looked on paper. She improved position in the homestretch and never gave up. Just see her most recent rating, 58. That one fits in this bunch. DARLING GIRL - Trainer Mitchell moves this animal down in class to face a lower level today. Look for a nice race at this level. AVABELL - Another way to assign class is EPS (earnings per start). This entrant has the topmost in the group. I think she'll be close at the end. TSURUOKA - The jock/handler duo of McNeil and Rushton has a strong ROI together. When a sprinter is back in a race less than 10 days after her last outing, it generally means she's fit. Any speed horse that is starting from the inside has a shot on this track. Should jump out of the gate and get good position versus this group.

                        Vulnerable Contenders: #2 GYPSY WIND JEANNE (ML=5/2), #10 DIXIE CAT (ML=5/1), #6 BETWEEN THE BUOYS (ML=6/1),

                        GYPSY WIND JEANNE - Earned a mediocre speed rating last out in a $5,000 Claiming race on Feb 28th. Not probable to see an improved performance off of that number. DIXIE CAT - Just cannot invest in this entrant. Didn't show me anything positive last out or on May 27th. Tough to put your money on this early speedball. Too much speed in the event. This mount ran a most unsatisfactory speed figure in the last race. She shouldn't show signs of improvement and will likely suffer defeat today running that figure.



                        STRAIGHT WAGERS:
                        Go with #3 LILFEATHEREDINDIAN on top if we're getting at least 7/2 odds

                        EXACTA WAGERS:
                        3 with [4,7,9]

                        TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                        3 with [4,7,9] with [4,7,9] Total Cost: $6

                        SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
                        3 with [4,7,9] with [4,7,9] with [4,7,9] Total Cost: $6
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358929

                          #13
                          Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
                          PURCHASE

                          Bar

                          Tampa Bay Downs - Race #6 - Post: 2:43pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,450 Class Rating: 73

                          Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

                          #3 CAPTURED BY FATE (ML=5/2)


                          CAPTURED BY FATE - When a sprinter is back in a race less than 10 days after his last outing, it generally means he's fit. This colt is almost always in the money. Trainer Rodriguez moves this horse to a lower class rank to face a lower rated field. Look for a good performance in this race. Have to give this colt a good chance. Ran a solid contest last time around the track within the last thirty days. Ranked at the very top in earnings per race. Another notice that this horse has the class to win today.

                          Vulnerable Contenders: #8 COMPANY STORE (ML=7/2), #1 FLYING BANKROLL (ML=4/1), #6 COURAGEOUS CRAFT (ML=6/1),

                          COMPANY STORE - This horse is always around, but just doesn't win. Hard to bet on him on the front end. FLYING BANKROLL - Hard to keep chasing this kind of 'bridesmaid' horse. There may be a set back this time, after the strong exertion last time out. COURAGEOUS CRAFT - Doesn't look to be worth 6/1 in today's event. Pass on him this time.

                          Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - CAPTURED BY FATE - This colt improved his speed rating two races back on May 24th and improved again in the last race.





                          STRAIGHT WAGERS:
                          Bet on #3 CAPTURED BY FATE to win if you can get at least 1/1 odds

                          EXACTA WAGERS:
                          Pass

                          TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                          Skip

                          SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
                          None

                          SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
                          Pass
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358929

                            #14
                            Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park
                            PURCHASE
                            Always check program numbers.
                            Odds shown are morning line odds.

                            Race 2 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $26000 Class Rating: 81

                            FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000, FOR EACH $2,000 TO $16,000 2 LBS.


                            RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                            The Walker Group Picks

                            # 3 PRINCESS CORO 7/2

                            # 5 COOKIE COVE 5/1

                            # 2 CAFFEINE RUSH 3/1

                            PRINCESS CORO should be supported as the bet in here. Could provide positive returns based on strong recent Equibase Speed Figures with an average of 72. Conditioner boasts sharp win numbers at this distance and surface. Should finish in the top three without any worries. COOKIE COVE - Has respectable front speed and will almost certainly fare well against this group. Must be given a shot - I like the figures from the last affair. CAFFEINE RUSH - Ran a sharp last race. Has run soundly when racing a dirt sprint race.
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358929

                              #15
                              Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Oaklawn Park
                              PURCHASE

                              03/14/21, OP, Race 3, 2.02 CT
                              03/14/21,OP,3,6F [Dirt] 1:07:04 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $35,000. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. Weight, 122 lbs. Claiming Price $30,000, if for $25,000, allowed 2 lbs.
                              . . . .
                              Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                              After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.
                              Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Occurs WPC ROI
                              100.0000 4 Mega Charlie 3/1 Arrieta F Contreras Cipriano JTFEC 125 30.40 1.22/$1
                              097.4371 2 Firecracker Stand 5/1 Eramia R E Smith Kenny P. 125 30.40 1.22/$1
                              097.0052 9 Sea to Success 9/2 Torres C A Sadler John W. W 137 32.12 1.20/$1
                              095.5323 6 Khaki Jack 10/1 Morales J Vance Thomas D. 134 25.37 0.82/$1
                              095.1888 5 Talktoeachother 8/1 Court J K Swearingen Thomas H. 134 25.37 0.82/$1
                              094.5590 7 Presto Bench 4/1 Tohill K S Hartman Chris A. 134 25.37 0.82/$1
                              094.5355 3 No Classiva 30/1 Medina J A Milligan Allen 125 30.40 1.22/$1
                              094.5010 8 Awesome Launch 6/1 Gonzalez E Hollendorfer Jerry S 134 25.37 0.82/$1
                              093.9752 1 Galilee 6/1 Santana. Jr. R Moquett Ron 134 25.37 0.82/$1
                              Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 25.45, ROI 0.82/$1
                              Rating gap to 2nd horse -2.5629
                              [Category]Condition
                              [AllDirt]LastRaceWeightIsEqualToToday
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