Service Plays Friday 3/19/21

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Micah Roberts

NORTH TEXAS @ PURDUE | 03/19 | 7:25 PM EDT
PURDUE -7.5
ANALYSIS: North Texas lost its final three games of the season before catching fire -- or getting lucky -- in its final four games of the C-USA Tournament. It was an awful display of shooting by the Mean Green in their last three, but their opponents just shot worse like Louisiana Tech in the semifinals shooting 17-of-53 and Western Kentucky in the final shooting 17-of-50. Good defense, but Purdue won’t be pushed around inside. Purdue wins the game in the paint. Purdue gets the cover.

+1959 47-25-1 IN LAST 73 CBB ATS PICKS
+189 3-1 IN LAST 4 PURDUE ATS PICKS
YESTERDAY 8:23 PM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Severance

NORTH TEXAS @ PURDUE | 03/19 | 7:25 PM EDT
PURDUE -7.5
ANALYSIS: No. 13 North Texas vs. No. 4 Purdue in South Region action. The Mean Green were moderately surprising winners of the Conference USA Tournament. They have a very good starting five but are incredibly thin otherwise now that Sixth Man Rubin Jones has been ruled out of this one. He missed the C-USA Tournament, too, but there's obviously a big step up in competition here. Purdue also has tons of size that North Texas can't match. The Boilers are 4-0 ATS in their past four as favorites.

+2742 109-74-1 IN LAST 184 CBB ATS PICKS
+300 3-0 IN LAST 3 PURDUE ATS PICKS
3:12 PM


LOUISIANA TECH @ OLE MISS | 03/19 | 9:00 PM EDT
LOUISIANA TECH +6.5
ANALYSIS: Why there are NIT games Friday opposite the Big Dance is beyond me, but this suddenly has value because Ole Miss -- which probably has no interest in the NIT regardless after being an NCAA Tournament snub -- will be without one key player for sure and perhaps its best one. Rebs forward KJ Buffen (8.4 ppg, 4.5 rpg) has opted out, while All-SEC guard Devontae Shuler is on personal leave -- he hasn't been 100 percent ruled out yet. Shuler leads Ole Miss in scoring (15.3 ppg) and assists (3.3 apg). Frankly, Louisiana Tech may have covered this number regardless but now definitely should (and may win outright).

+2742 109-74-1 IN LAST 184 CBB ATS PICKS
+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 MISS ATS PICKS
4:12 PM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Severance

GEORGIA TECH @ LOYOLA-CHI. | 03/19 | 4:00 PM EDT
LOYOLA-CHI. -5.5
ANALYSIS: No. 9 Georgia Tech vs. No. 8 Loyola (Chicago) from Midwest Region. I was going to bet the Ramblers most likely regardless but now wish I had gotten them as low as -2.5 at one point. The reason for the spike is that Georgia Tech star big man Moses Wright, the ACC Player of the Year, will miss it after testing positive for COVID. The senior averaged 17.4 points and 8.0 rebounds and had upped those numbers during Tech's eight-game winning streak on the way to the ACC Tournament title. He also would have been the primary defender on Loyola star, Missouri Valley Conference Player of the Year and third-team All-American center Cameron Krutwig.

+2522 109-76-1 IN LAST 186 CBB ATS PICKS
YESTERDAY 10:58 PM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Hartstein

LOUISIANA TECH @ OLE MISS | 03/19 | 9:00 PM EDT
LOUISIANA TECH +6.5
ANALYSIS: Ole Miss isn't excited to be in the NIT after its bubble burst. The Rebels face a tough defensive team in Louisiana Tech and shouldn't be laying so many points, given recent developments. Junior forward KJ Buffen just opted out of the NIT, and All-SEC point guard Devontae Shuler might miss the game as well due to a family situation. Grab the points.

+2413 195-155-8 IN LAST 358 CBB ATS PICKS
YESTERDAY 4:11 PM

VA. TECH @ FLORIDA | 03/19 | 12:15 PM EDT
VA. TECH PK
ANALYSIS: Outside of Tre Mann, the Gators have been slumping. They've covered just two of their last nine games. Virginia Tech is more balanced and should be able to hurt Florida on the boards. The Hokies beat Villanova and Virginia this season and should be higher than a No. 10 seed. Back Virginia Tech.

+2413 195-155-8 IN LAST 358 CBB ATS PICKS
+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 FLA ATS PICKS
YESTERDAY 1:11 PM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Severance

LIBERTY @ OKLAHOMA ST. | 03/19 | 6:25 PM EDT
LIBERTY +7.5
ANALYSIS: No. 13 Liberty vs. No. 4 Oklahoma State in Midwest Region. Hey, we get to see a future NBA No. 1 overall pick in the NCAA Tournament! Feels like that hasn't happened much lately. Of course, we speak of the Cowboys' Cade Cunningham. OSU is red hot, but the Pokes are likely to be incredibly frustrated by Liberty's pack-line defense that is modeled after Virginia's -- Coach Richie McKay used to be at UVA with Tony Bennett. The Flames won't be intimidated, either, as they played five Power 5 schools this year and won two (nearly a third vs. Big 12 school TCU). Liberty has covered its past four as a dog.

+2522 109-76-1 IN LAST 186 CBB ATS PICKS
9:50 AM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Severance

OREGON ST. @ TENNESSEE | 03/19 | 4:30 PM EDT
OREGON ST. +8.5
ANALYSIS: No. 12 Oregon State vs. No. 5 Tennessee from Midwest Region. While I give the surprise Pac-12 Tournament champion Beavers little shot of winning this game outright, I think they can keep it fairly close because the Vols are expected to be without senior forward John Fulkerson (9.5 ppg, 52.7 percent shooting, 5.5 rpg) due to facial injuries suffered in the SEC Tournament on a total cheap shot from a Florida player. Fulkerson is not UT's best player by any means but is an important glue/hustle guy and leader. Oregon State is 13-3 ATS in its past 16 as a dog.

+2522 109-76-1 IN LAST 186 CBB ATS PICKS
11:06 AM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Oh

DREXEL @ ILLINOIS | 03/19 | 1:15 PM EDT
DREXEL +22.5
ANALYSIS: No. 16 Drexel vs. No. 1 Illinois from Midwest Region. The Illini could be a bit flat out of the gate off their highly-charged Big Ten Tournament title game win over Ohio State last Sunday. One thing the Dragons, CAA Tournament champions, do well is shoot free throws at nearly 78 percent -- Top 25 nationally. That can matter to cover a spread, and my model has Drexel covering that big number (quite comfortably) in 67 percent of simulations.

+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 CBB PICKS
12:02 PM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Micah Roberts

UTAH ST. @ TEXAS TECH | 03/19 | 1:45 PM EDT
UTAH ST. +4
ANALYSIS: Utah State won six straight games before losing to San Diego State in the Mountain West Conference championship game. An upgrade in defensive play has been the key, and the Aggies already were solid at that end of the court, allowing opponents to shoot only 39 percent from the field this season. Texas Tech has lost five of its last eight games, including its last two. I took the points with Utah State.

+1849 47-26-1 IN LAST 74 CBB ATS PICKS
+181 4-2 IN LAST 6 TXTECH ATS PICKS
2:36 PM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Hartstein

UTAH ST. @ TEXAS TECH | 03/19 | 1:45 PM EDT
TEXAS TECH -4
ANALYSIS: Chris Beard is 9-3 in the NCAA Tournament and has never lost in the first round. His Red Raiders played a much tougher schedule than Utah State, beating LSU and Texas twice. The Aggies are dominant at home, but they got blown out in neutral-site games versus VCU and San Diego State. Lay the points.

+2413 195-155-8 IN LAST 358 CBB ATS PICKS
2:58 PM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Micah Roberts

CLEV. ST. @ HOUSTON | 03/19 | 7:15 PM EDT
HOUSTON -20
ANALYSIS: Cleveland State has had a great season, but it sure was fortunate to not have faced Wright State in the Horizon Tournament. Wright State had beaten CSU, 85-49, in January. CSU also got blown out at Ohio, 101-46, when the Vikings started the season 0-3 against better competition. Houston (18-8 ATS) is on another class level, and it will show in this game. The Cougars averaged a 78-58 score and allow only 37.0 percent shooting, the best in the nation. Houston covers.

+1849 47-26-1 IN LAST 74 CBB ATS PICKS
+98 2-1 IN LAST 3 HOU ATS PICKS
3:00 PM

[rocky57]

Joe Williams- Vegasinsider

CBB
Virginia Tech pk
Illinois -22.5
Utah State +4

[rocky57]

Jonathan Willis Vegasinsider

CBB
Arkansas -8.5
Arkansas/Colgate Over 161.5
Drexel/Illinois Over 143
Ohio State -15.5

[rocky57]

David Schwab - Vegasinsider
College Basketball month of March hitting 66% Winners

CBB
Oregon State +8.5 (First Round BIG PLAY)
Baylor -25.5
Baylor/Hartford Over 140
Loyola-Chicago -5.5
Loyola-Chicago/Georgia Tech Under 126

[rocky57]

Vegasinsider College Basketball Totals Club

CBB
Virginia Tech/Florida Over 135
Utah State/Texas Tech Over 131
Oral Roberts/Ohio State Over 156.5
Tennessee/Oregon State Over 131

[rocky57]

Michael Crosson - Vegasinsider
Triple Pak of Underdogs

CBB
Utah State +4.5 (First Round BIG Play)
Morehead State +13.5
Syracuse +3.5