Wednesday 3/24/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 7 - Allowance - 4.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $28000 Class Rating: 74

FOR ACCREDITED WEST VIRGINIA-BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 24 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JANUARY 24 ALLOWED 4 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 6 SHOWTIME CAT 2/1
# 7 RUSTY THE UPS MAN 8/1
# 2 DERBY DAY DREAMS 5/1

SHOWTIME CAT looks to be a very good contender. Tough to pass on this gelding with Hiraldo in the saddle. Ought to go to the front end and could never look back. Recorded a competitive speed rating last time out. RUSTY THE UPS MAN - His 67 average has this gelding with among the most favorable speed figures in this competition. A solid 74 avg class rating may give this gelding a distinct class edge versus this group. DERBY DAY DREAMS - Is a contender - given the 73 speed fig from his most recent race. Should be given consideration here on the basis of the figs in the speed department alone.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Turfway Park

03/24/21, TP, Race 1, 6.15 ET
03/24/21,TP,1,1M [Dirt] 1:35:00 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $14,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS SINCE MARCH 24, 2019. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming At A Mile Or Over Since February 24 Allowed 3 lbs. (Highweights Preferred).
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Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	7	Redhot Katie	6/1	Mojica. Jr. R	Riley Barbara J.	L	88	30.68	1.34/$1
098.7731	1	Our Closure	5/2	Bejarano R	Hernandez Rey	S	35	37.14	1.57/$1
098.4712	2	Patsy J	9/2	Parker D L	Austin Timothy		121	27.27	1.14/$1
098.2580	3	Trickizar	7/2	Gonzalez S	Hernandez Rey	FEC	121	27.27	1.14/$1
097.9835	5	Sunday Scheming	8/1	Franklin M	West Ethan W.	W	75	30.67	1.28/$1
097.8727	6	Natoma	6/1	Landeros C	Wilkes Ian R.		121	27.27	1.14/$1
097.5143	4	She's Hot Today	4/1	Corrales G	Sims Philip A.	JT	121	27.27	1.14/$1

Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 0.00, ROI 0.00/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -1.2269
[Category]Condition
[DirtNot_MdnMClm]BestLeadPack

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mahoning Valley Race Course

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 6 - Allowance - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $21200 Class Rating: 89

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 24 ALLOWED 2 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 MOST SANDISFACTORY 8/5
# 4 PANAMANIAN TEASER 7/2
# 3 CANDY KINGDOM 6/1

I think MOST SANDISFACTORY is a formidable choice. Might best this group here, showing very good figs of late. Will most likely be one of the leaders of the group going into the halfway point of the outing. Skerrett has this gelding moving well and is a very good choice based on the strong Speed Figures posted in route races lately. PANAMANIAN TEASER - Reason to like this gelding as he has in the irons one of the best jocks using winning percentages over the last 30 days. Will most likely compete soundly in the early speed battle which bodes well with this group of horses. CANDY KINGDOM - Has to be given a shot for this event if only for the very strong speed figure earned in the last outing. Looks to have a decent class edge based on the recent company kept.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Penn National - Race #2 - Post: 6:26pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 58

Rating:

#4 GIZMO'S DESTINY (ML=4/1)


GIZMO'S DESTINY - Taking a trip down the ladder based on class rating points; has the class to make her presence felt. This mare is number one in EPS (earnings per start). Take a long look at this horse before the race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 LADYOFDRAGONSTONE (ML=8/5), #3 STRAW HAT (ML=9/5), #7 JUDGEMENT FREE (ML=6/1),

LADYOFDRAGONSTONE - This horse doesn't have a champion's mental state. Frequently finishes second or third. Doubtful that the speed rating she recorded on Mar 10th will be enough in this race. STRAW HAT - This rallier will probably be closing much too late to make an impression in this race.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Putting our cash on #4 GIZMO'S DESTINY to win. Have to have odds of at least 1/1 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:	Pass
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams

Mar 24 '21, 8:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Coastal Carolina vs Pepperdine
Play on: Pepperdine -5 -107 at pinnacle

1* on Pepperdine -5 -107

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Cole Faxon

Mar 24 '21, 8:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Coastal Carolina vs Pepperdine
Play on: UNDER 151½ -110

FREE PLAY on Coastal Carolina/Pepperdine under 151½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price

Mar 24 '21, 8:10 PM in 1h
NBA | Cavs vs Bulls
Play on: Bulls -6 -110 at Draft Kings

Dave's Wednesday Free Play:
1* on Chicago Bulls -6
The Key: Tough situation here for the Cavaliers playing their 7th game in 11 days and having to travel to Chicago. They are coming off a 14-point home loss to the Kings and are starting to show their fatigue, especially since they are missing several players due to injury or hold out. The Bulls are about as healthy as they have been all season and have played some of their best basketball of late with the exception of a blowout loss to the Jazz on the 2nd of a back-to-back. The Cavaliers are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 road games. Cleveland is 3-14 ATS in its last 17 games off a loss. The Cavaliers are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games as road dogs. The Bulls are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games off a loss. The Bulls are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games against a team with a losing record. Take Chicago.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee

Mar 24 '21, 8:10 PM in 1h
NBA | Hornets vs Rockets
Play on: Rockets +3½ -102 at pinnacle

FREE PICK - Houston Rockets +3.5
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 572
I will take my chances here with the Rockets as a 3.5-point home dog against the Hornets. Houston snapped their 20-game losing streak with a 117-99 win at home against the Raptors on Monday.
I just think we are going to see the Rockets start to be a little more competitive. They recently got back their best player in Christian Wood and John Wall is starting to regain that elite form. Wall posted a triple-double in their last game. Houston also got 20 from Sterling Brown and 22 from Jae'Sean Tate.
The other big thing here is I think the Hornets are going to struggle without star rookie LaMelo Ball. They won their first game without him, but only scored 100 points in the process. It continued a struggle to score for Charlotte, who has failed to top 105 points in their last 4 games.
This will also be the Hornets 5th and final road game on their 5-game road trip that took them from Denver, to LA to San Antonio and how Houston. All 5 will be played in a 8 day stretch. Give me the Rockets +3.5!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Alexander

Mar 24 '21, 8:10 PM in 1h
NBA | Cavs vs Bulls
Play on: Bulls -6 -106 at pinnacle

1* NBA - Cavs/Bulls *FREE PICK* on Bulls -6
Today's free pick is on the Chicago Bulls as a 6-point home favorite against the Cleveland Cavaliers. I think we get a big effort here from Chicago after that embarrassing 25-point loss at home to the Jazz on Monday. Bulls have covered 8 of their last 10 games off a SU loss. They are also 21-7 ATS last 28 vs a team with a losing record and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 at home vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Cavs are 3-13 ATS last 16 as a road dog and 2-11 ATS last 13 off a SU loss by 10 more. Bulls have also covered 30 of the last 42 meetings between these two teams. Bet Chicago -6!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Murphy

Mar 24 '21, 8:10 PM in 1h
NBA | Mavs vs Wolves
Play on: Wolves +8½ -114 at Draft Kings

Wednesday NBA Free play. My selection is on Minnesota plus the points over Dallas at 8:10 pm et on Wednesday.
Most bettors won't want any part of the T'Wolves here coming off Monday's home loss to the Thunder and with Dallas fresh off a 40-point rout of the Blazers in Portland on Sunday. I actually like the spot for Minnesota catching a generous helping of points, however, noting that the Mavs were only favored by 10 points at home in the first meeting this season - a game that they won by only five points. While Minnesota is certainly a league bottom-feeder, it has been playing better lately, going 4-3 ATS over its last seven games. That includes an outright underdog victory over a terrific Suns squad in Phoenix just three games back. The T'Wolves also won outright as an underdog in New Orleans and at home against the Blazers over that seven-game stretch I mentioned. Note that Dallas is just 24-36 ATS off an ATS win over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of just 0.3 points in that situation. Dallas has only outscored the opposition by 1.0 point per game off a win of any kind over the last two seasons. It's also interesting to note that the Mavs have been outscored by 4.9 points per game after consecutive contests where at least 215 points were scored this season, with that situation coming up 17 times. While this is a bit of a tough game for the Mavs to get up for after splitting a pair of games in Portland, the T'Wolves should have no trouble finding motivation off consecutive losses, including Monday's defeat in a rare favored role. Take Minnesota (8*).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover

Mar 24 '21, 8:40 PM in 1h
NBA | Clippers vs Spurs
Play on: Spurs +6 -110 at Mirage

Gregg Popovich in an underdog role and a home one at that. Sign me up for the Spurs here. San Antonio has covered 68 percent of the time it has been a 'dog the past 28 times. The Spurs will have around 3,200 fans for this game, just the third time this season spectators are allowed to attend San Antonio home contests.
The Clippers are playing well, but this spot sets up nicely for the Spurs. There is line value because the Spurs lost, 100-97, at home to the Hornets in their last game two days ago. The backstory to that defeat, though, was the Spurs had just returned home following a successful 3-2 five-game road trip that had concluded Saturday night in Milwaukee. The Spurs came out flat against Charlotte and could not recover. I see the Spurs performing much better against the Clippers, a team they dislike because of the presence of Kawhi Leonard. You may recall Leonard forcing his way out of San Antonio during the summer of 2018. That earned him the lasting enmity of the San Antonio population. The Spurs certainly got up for the Clippers when the teams last met on Jan. 5 in Los Angeles. San Antonio won, 116-113, as 7 1/2-point 'dogs. The Clippers enter this matchup off an impressive, 119-110, home victory against the Hawks this past Monday. That snapped the Hawks' eight-game win streak. LA, however, has failed to cover four of the last five times it has been a road favorite.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones

Mar 24 '21, 10:10 PM in 3h
NBA | Hawks vs Kings
Play on: Kings +3 -110 at Mirage

Jack's Free Pick Wednesday: Sacramento Kings +3
The Sacramento Kings have turned the corner here of late in going 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last four games overall. All three wins came on the road with two in upset fashion as well and two by double-digits. Their lone loss came at Philadelphia on the 2nd of a back-to-back.
Now the Kings are back home tonight and out for revenge from a 106-121 loss at Atlanta on March 13th. And it's a great time to 'sell high' on the Hawks, who are 8-1 SU & 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall and now find themselves in the role of road favorite, which is a rarity for them.
The Hawks just had their eight-game winning streak snapped with a late blown lead against the Clippers last time out. I always like fading teams after they have a long winning streak snapped because they seem to come out flat in their next game. They had beaten the Lakers the game prior, so they will have a hard time getting motivated to face the Kings after playing both the Lakers and Clippers. Especially since they just beat the Kings less than two weeks ago.
The Hawks are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games as road favorites. The Kings are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Atlanta is 0-4 ATS in its last four trips to Sacramento. Bet the Kings Wednesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins

Mar 24 '21, 10:10 PM in 3h
NBA | Hawks vs Kings
Play on: Kings +3½ -109 at Draft Kings

1 Dimer on Kings +3½ -109

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Totals Guru

Mar 24 '21, 10:38 PM in 3h
NHL | Kings vs Sharks
Play on: OVER 5½ -115

Free Total Annihilator On Kings vs Sharks over 5½ -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Black Widow

Mar 24 '21, 10:38 PM in 3h
NHL | Jets vs Canucks
Play on: Jets -130 at Mirage

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Jets -130