Sunday 3/28/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-28-2021, 08:51 AM

Paul Leiner

NBA & CBB Picks 3/28" Hit Baylor but missed my top play by a couple points. Today we crush the books.

100* Memphis -4.5
100* Michigan -2
100* Suns -6

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-28-2021, 08:52 AM

Al Cimaglia: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis-$25,000 Guaranteed Pool

March 28, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia

Cal Expo has a 12-race card on tap with the 0.20 Pick 4 slated in Race 9. The sequence has a $25,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 9

4-Sherwood (9/2)-The Graham barn is batting 27% in the last 30 days and this 5-year-old may fire hot off the bench. Qualifier on 3/21 was fine and had success at this level in the past. Should be a square price in a race without a standout.
5-Mr Steal Your Girl (12-1)-Swinging for a price in a scattered affair. Scicluna has driven well in the last few weeks and maybe he can hang around and make one big brush to roll by late down the lane.
6-Paddy Murphy (2-1)-Does drop but form has been dull. Pompano record is 1-11 and is only 3 for the last 39 but still rates as the program chalk, so that tells you something. Maybe Roland will be able to wake Paddy up.
8-Dance Traveler (6-1)-Hasn't had much success but was facing better. Gets off Lasix tonight and was Steward's choice over the 7. Has been competitive here hitting the board 8 times in 16 starts with 2 wins, using and the price should be right.

Race 10

3-Keystones Charles (6-1)-Dropped down to the basement, went off as the odds-on chalk and drew off by >4 lengths. Steps-up but the entire field has only 7 wins this year. Could be in line for an encore if upswing continues.
5-Waitin On A River (6-1)-Another who was facing better and hasn't been in this cheap since January. Anderson needs to find some live cover but from this post that could happen and lead to an overdue win.
8-In For The Chase (12-1)-Has had excuses in the last 2, before that beat this kind but it was from the rail. Should offer a big price and will use over the morning line chalk #6 who comes off a pair of scratches. Could surprise if the fractions are lively.
9-Ridonkuloso (8-1)-Makes the 1st start for Plano and the issue is if he can squeeze into a good early seat and then rally. If the pace is decent this 6-year-old should be rolling down the lane and Plano knows well.

Race 11

4-Dw'sblissfulthinkn (4-1)-Svendsen drives for consecutive times and this mare needs a sharp steer. Hasn't won in a long time but with some live cover and a decent pace this could be the night in a race devoid of form.
6-Haulin' Oats (2-1)-Looking for Plano to leave and fall into the pocket and get sucked around. If that trip comes about this 5-year-old could close the deal.

Race 12

2-Trashytonguetalker (3-1)-Makes the 3rd straight start in sequence and that hasn't happened since January. Should like the company and looks like a major player with a clean trip.
5-Queenace Blue Chip (2-1)-Has been battling in some quick miles and gets the services of Roland tonight. Should get a good steer and has hit the board in 9 of 17 at CalX with 5 wins.

0.20 Pick 4

4,5,6,8/3,5,8,9/4,6/2,5
Total Bet=$12.80

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-28-2021, 08:52 AM

Jeff Siegel's National Prime Plays for 3/28/21

March 28, 2021

Every Friday thru Sunday handicapper Jeff Siegel offers his best wagering opportunity from a selected North American racetrack. These “Best Plays” can take the form of a win wager, exacta, trifecta, or a daily double, pick-3, pick-4 or pick-6.

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Fair Grounds – Sixth Race – Post time: 3:25 CT
6 – Dramatizer (8-1)

Sophomore filly was in too tough and had no chance as a closer in a race without any pace in a listed stakes earlier this month but this first-level allowance middle distance turf event is a much more realistic spot for the daughter of Exaggerator. A deep closer with numbers that fit at this level, the K. Desormeaux-trained filly can bounce back with a repeat of her clever maiden claiming win two races back over this course and distance and offers good wagering value at 8-1 on the morning line.

Santa Anita – Second Race – Post time: 1:35 PT
1-Vronsky Zips Away (3-1)

Here’s a four-year-old maiden filly that finished unplaced in her first two starts but might very well be better than the form indicates. The daughter of Vronsky switches to dirt, shortens from a mile, and drops into a bottom-rung claimer from straight maiden company and has trained quite well of late to indicate she hasn’t yet shown her best stuff. If she can run, this would be a good spot to show it, and we strongly suspect that the C. Gaines-trained filly has enough ability to win in this league. At 3-1 on the morning line, she’s worth a play in the win pool and in the various rolling exotics.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-28-2021, 08:53 AM

Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 3/28/21

March 28, 2021

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.).
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

Click here to access today’s Workout Report

RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B
Use: 2-In Vronsky Style; 3-Beaudacious

Forecast: Beaudacious stretches out for the first time in this state-bred maiden turf miler and based on pedigree the son of Karakontie should enjoy the added distance. A repeat of his race before last probably will be good enough to win. In Vronsky Style hit the front too soon and weakened late when a fairly promising second in his debut. He returns for a barn that shows superior stats with the second-time starter angle and with patient handling the P. D’Amato-trained gelding could step forward considerably and be the one to fear most.
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RACE 2: Post: 1:35 PT Grade: B-
Use: 1-Vronsky Zips Away; 5-La V.; 6-Bristol Bayou

Forecast: Vronsky Zips Away switches to dirt, shortens from a mile, and drops into a bottom-rung claimer from straight maiden company. If she can run, this would be a good spot to show it, and recent workouts indicate that the C. Gaines-trained filly has enough ability to be highly-competitive against this group. Bristol Bayou is guaranteed a soft trip from her cozy outside draw and the daughter of Carpe Diem should have every chance to earn her diploma in her 14th career start. She drops to her lowest level ever and has consistently earned speed figures that are better than par for this levels. La V. is another dropping to the maiden $20,000 level for the first time with figures that give her a look. In a field with little early speed signed on, the L. Powell-trained daughter of Midnight Lute should find herself on or near the lead throughout.
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RACE 3: Post: 2:12 PT Grade: B+
Use: 1-Du Jour; 3-Hubris

Forecast: Du Jour rates top billing in this five-runner turf allowance miler but we’ll also include Hubris on our ticket as well. Du Jour did what was expected when graduating at 40 cents on the dollar over this course and distance last month and has trained quite well since, so we expect the son of Temple City to produce a significant forward move today. He’ll likely enjoy the same type of pace-stalking trip he did in his maiden victory. Hubris didn’t have a whole lot behind him when beating a maiden $50,000 field over the local lawn in his second career start but visually he was quite impressive while controlling the race on the front end. If he’s handed the lead again without pressure, he may never look back. We’ll include both in our rolling exotics and then press with extra tickets keying Du Jour on top.
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RACE 4: Post: 2:45 PT Grade: C+
Use: 3-Call Nine One One; 4-Coastal King

Forecast: Here’s an inscrutable affair, a lackluster maiden $30,000 claiming sprint for 3-year-olds. Call Nine One One was given a run in his debut against maiden $50,000 foes on turf and today should get serious against this very modest band. The son of Graydar had shown some ability in the morning prior to that first outing so at 6-1 on the morning line he may be worth a small gamble. Coastal King, a distant third at 38-1 in a similar affair last month, earned a number that makes him a threat today. With any kind of forward move, the V. Belvoir-trained gelding will be right there. We’ll use just these two in our rolling exotics, but not with any great degree of confidence, so perhaps the best advice is to use as many as your budget allows.
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RACE 5: Post: 3:18 PT Grade: B-
Use: 4-Holy Emperor; 6-Ox Bridge

Forecast: Maiden $50,000 claiming older horses meet over a mile on grass in a race that appears to have two main players. Holy Emperor, second at this level over nine furlongs last month, shortens to a mile while retaining F. Prat and has trained quite well since his most recent outing. He’s a 10-race maiden but has numbers that are good enough to win, so if he can turn in two alike the son of Street Sense should be set to graduate. Ox Bridge shows the blinkers off angle that we like and should be expected to move forward after finishing a willing third in a recent turf sprint in his first outing since September of 2019. With any kind of improvement, the D. O’Neill-trained gelding will be the one to fear most.
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RACE 6: Post: 3:48 PT Grade: B+
Use: 1-Adare; 4-Magic On Tap; 5-Palace Coup

Forecast: Adare was given a sprint tightener in his first-off-a-layoff two weeks ago and is wheeled back for the money run in this first-level allowance main track miler that came up fairly salty. The son of Medaglia d’Oro was quite sharp in a six furlong workout just six days ago and is reunited with “win rider” R. Gonzalez while being assured of a ground-saving trip from his favorable rail draw. Magic On Tap, away since September of 2019, has trained in outstanding fashion for his comeback, and since he won his debut we know he can fire fresh. Fast enough on speed figures and still well-regarded despite now being 5-years-old, the son of Tapit picks up F. Prat and should draft into a stalking position and then have every chance. Palace Coup projects as the controlling speed in his West Coast debut for P. D’Amato. On pure numbers he’s a fit and there’s a strong likelihood that his improving pattern will continue for this high percentage outfit. We’ll have rolling exotic tickets that include all three and then we’ll press with Adare in the win pool.
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RACE 7: Post: 4:18 PT Grade: B-
Use: 6-Mongolian Mission; 7-Velvet; 8-Whistler’s Style; 10-Damn the Torpedoes

Forecast: Let’s include some price chances along with the logical top pick in this grass grab bag miler for maiden 3-year-old fillies. Velvet hit the board in her first two starts and retains F. Prat, but she did fail at 6/5 when third in a modest affair last month and this group appears on paper to be tougher. That said, the daughter of American Pharoah shows the classic two-sprints-and-a-stretch-out pattern for trainer R. Mandella, who excels with this angle, and recent workouts indicate a significant forward move is likely. Whistler’s Style, Damn the Torpedoes, and Mongolian Mission all are listed at 12-1 on the morning line and we suspect each will outrun those odds. ‘Style shortens up to what we believe will be a more favorable trip and looked sharp in a recent drill; ‘Torpedoes walked out of the gate and lost all chance in her sprint debut but closed a gap and continues to train like a filly with ability; and ‘Mission is bred to improve a ton on both sides of her pedigree on grass and may be much better than her second place finish in a maiden $50,000 main track affair in her debut gives her credit for.
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RACE 8: Post: 4:48 PT Grade: B
Use: 2-Major Cabbie; 5-Ax Man

Forecast: Major Cabbie had a right to be a bit rusty in the San Carlos S.-G2 in his first start in 15 months but performed well when fourth without being knocked about See Black Book Video and seems certain to be fitter and sharper today on the stretch out. The P. Miller-trained horse does his best when on or near the lead throughout and should get the aggressive ride he requires from A. Cedillo. Ax Man is a five-time winner over the Santa Anita main track, and while you can never been quite sure when he’s going to show up with his “A” game the son of Misremembered has looked especially sharp in recent drills and appears primed for one of his good ones. In a tough and competitive edition of the Santana Mile, each of the six entrants has credentials to win, so you may want to spread in rolling exotic play. We’ll try to survive and advance using just two.
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RACE 9: Post: 5:18 PT Grade: B-
Use: 1-Bam Bam Again; 3-Next Revolt; 10-Threearchbaymafia

Forecast: The finale is a restricted (nw-2) $16,000 extended sprint that has at least three contenders to consider in rolling exotic play. Next Revolt retains F. Prat in his first start since being claimed by R. Hess, Jr., and while he’s been beaten three times as the favorite in his last six starts the son of Revolutionary has numbers that fit and a style that should suit this seven furlong trip. Threearchbaymafia isn’t particularly fast on figures but he’s guaranteed a cozy stalking trip from his outside draw and is lightly raced with the potential for some improvement. Bam Bam Again is just 1-for-16 in his career but is a first-time gelding, so on that angle alone he’s probably worth tossing in somewhere at 10-1 on the morning line.
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**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-28-2021, 08:53 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk: My Late Pick 4 Ticket Sunday at Gulfstream

March 28, 2021 | By Jerry Shottenkirk

The Late Pick 4 Sunday at Gulfstream Park looks like it could be a good sequence for trainer Bill Mott -- at least the first half of it, anyway.

The Hall of Famer has tough runners in the ninth and 10th races, which are the first two of the exotic play.

Spotters Hill look strong in the ninth in his career debut and it's no secret that Mott runners do better in the second start. If that's the case here, Spotters Hill be getting his picture taken. Endorsed is in allowance race in the second leg and comes off a solid second. He's in with a classy group but can be tough if he runs back to his last one.

Here's a look at the sequence, along with a suggested $40 play.

9th Race (3:16 p.m. ET, maidens)

SPOTTERS HILL set the pace and settled for second in his debut and the French-bred colt doesn’t have to show much improvement to get the job done.

10th Race (3:48 p.m. ET, allowance optional claiming)

ENDORSED has a good chance to make it back-to-back wins for Mott. He moved up with a sharp third in his second one off a layoff and is likely to be stronger this go-round. It probably won’t hurt that he turns back from a mile to seven furlongs.

LUDINGTON goes for his third straight and moved well up in class in his latest. Is hitting peak form and while he doesn't seem as classy as some of the others, his streak can't be ignored.

PHAT MAN has been in graded stakes in six of his last seven races and his last win came in the Fred Hooper Stakes in 2020. He was fifth in the G2 Gulfstream Mile last out and gets a big drop in class.

LEXITONIAN is a class act and was second in the G1 Bing Crosby. The only thing that could make him vulnerable is a five-month layoff. Outstanding sprinter, and if they all run their best here, he wins.

11th Race (4:22 p.m. ET, claiming)

PIONEER MAN comes off a second and was claimed by Mike Maker. Stays as the same level and will be force.

FIG JELLY makes his second off the claim by Kelly Breen. He's back to two turns and can be in the hunt from the outset.

IMPERIAL MISSION held on for fourth after being pressed early. Likely to get a better trip today.

SALUTE THE COLONEL woke up a bit and finished fifth last time, thanks to a group to this level. He's been successful in much tougher races and could regain good form.

STREET COPPER was a solid second against similar in what was his best effort in 1.5 years. Big player on the front end.

12th Race (4:54 p.m. ET, maiden claiming)

HE AIN’T NO SAINT was second in his last two and can finally graduate if he runs back to either of those races.

YOUNG FLINT showed signs of life in his last attempt on the turf and most recently was a well-beaten second in a race that game off the turf. Probably a late threat here.

WARP SPEED BABY has enough speed and to battle from the beginning and can dig in for a good fight late.

SWEENEY’S CAT drops in class and can make a quick move from the outside post. Can be close throughout.

Gulfstream Park Late Pick 4 for Sunday:
9) #1 Spotters Hill.
10) #1 Endorsed, #2 Ludington,#7 Phat Man, #8 Lexitonian.
11) #1 Pioneer Man, #2 Fig Jelly, #3 Imperial Mission, #4 Salute the Colonel, #7 Street Copper.
12) #1 He Ain’t No Saint, #2 Young Flint, #3 Warp Speed Baby, #8 Sweeney’s Cat.
GP Late Pick 4: 1 with 1-2-7-8 with 1-2-3-4-7 with 1-2-3-8 ($40).

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-28-2021, 08:53 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Santa Anita - Race #3
Picks Notes
#3 Hubris He'll face better here off the romping win last time out, and he might be able to get another nice, forward trip near a modest kind of pace.
#5 Lost in Space He rattled off three in a row to close out the '20 campaign, and he's a danger for capable connections while getting Lasix for the North American debut.
#1 Du Jour The top pair interest me far more than this guy, who I think is going to be overbet compared to his realistic chances of winning this race.
Race Summary Hubris dropped in for $80k to graduate, but it was a much improved effort while adding blinkers for the first time. I'm willing to take it at face value and give him a chance right back.

Santa Anita - Race #8
Picks Notes
#6 Restrainedvengeance I thought he was going to bring something much better last out, but the move to dirt is interesting enough to forgive the dull run. There are some back runs on the dirt against modest company that stack up well here.
#1 Mastering Riser has been cruising through his conditions, and something like his last would keep him in the mix with these. Still, I think he's likely to be an underlay.
#4 Growth Engine Reliable type comes into the Sadler barn, and like the guy on the rail, he has worked his way through the conditions and earned this chance with minor stakes company.
Race Summary Restrainedvengeance has interesting back form on the dirt, and his turf lines to end '20 had him chasing Mo Forza a couple of times. With the comeback run out of the way, he might be sitting on something better at a price.

Santa Anita - Race #9
Picks Notes
#7 Just a Command He drops into a more reasonable spot after that last dull run, and there are a couple of reasons to think he can fire at a price. He's a finisher getting to a 7f trip for the first time, and he's getting up to 15 pounds from some of these. Along late?
#10 Threearchbaymafia Chased a logical winner in that last one, and he draws well to spy the action while adding another furlong. He's the one to beat.
#2 Speakerofthehouse His finishing kick has been a little flat in recent route efforts, and maybe the cutback to 7f gives him a chance to sit and wind up for one big run that he can sustain through the wire.
Race Summary Just a Command is a little interesting at a price. This looks like a much better level for him after the turf try last out, and this 7f run might give him a chance to come rolling late while in light today.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-28-2021, 08:53 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #3
Picks Notes
#3 Dial to Win Finished fourth in the G3 Forward Gal two races back and her class edge should bring her home; can stalk the leader and take over when asked.
#1 Gitana Won two straight and moves and accomplished her latest easy win in fast time; is fast enough to be the target.
#6 Don't Call Me Mary Finished well and lost by a head in her first of the year; can be close throughout and will be tough if she runs back to her latest.
Race Summary Dial to Win has been in stakes races and should find this company to her liking; can finish the job this time.

Gulfstream Park - Race #5
Picks Notes
#5 Apache Brave Hasn't fire since October but can get back to good form in this spot; can make a run at these.
#6 Financial System Turns back from a front-running third going two turns; likely to rev up going five furlongs and should be a strong player.
#8 Black Jet Was up in time two races back and then didn't fire in his latest; can be a forward factor in this one.
Race Summary Apache Brave has the speed to take to this group and should be able to get a reversal in form.

Gulfstream Park - Race #7
Picks Notes
#8 Dream Friend Has been outstanding in his last few races and goes for his third straight win; makes his first off the claim by Croft and can cruise at this level.
#9 Keep Quiet Beat similar two races back and lost a two-race win streak last time; has good late energy and could benefit from a solid pace.
#7 All Good Goes for his third straight win and has shown a good late kick; keep I. Ortiz and likely will come running in the stretch.
Race Summary Dream Friend is down to a comfortable level after trying strong company last year in New York; looks ready to get his third win in a row.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-28-2021, 10:00 AM

BATTAGLIA Daily Free Play :

Free Aqueduct Picks for Sunday

Race 3
Aqueduct Picks 2-3-4 Rating 2 stars

#2 Full Moon Fever (7-2)-finished behind our second and third pick in back to back then added blinkers last out and drew off to win by 18 lengths. He will look to turn tables on the two favorites today.

#3 Schokolade (8-5)-went wire to wire to win by 3 in his debut last out and is the one to beat.

#4 Lobsta (5-2)-finished third in his debut while running on a sloppy track then got the score last out and should be in the payoffs

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-28-2021, 10:01 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Louisiana Downs

Louisiana Downs - Race 7	Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta
Maiden • 220 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 59 • Purse: $12,300 • Post: 3:24P
QUARTER HORSE 220Y, FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * DAGOUTI LEAVING YOU: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibas e Speed Rating. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.
2	DAGOUTI LEAVING YOU	5/2	4/5

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	DAGOUTI LEAVING YOU	2	5/2	Fast	82	74	0.0	0.0	0.0
3	MS DASH N DANI	3	6/1	Average	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0
4	DASHAWAY ROYAL	4	8/1	Average	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0
7	LEAVINUBLUE	7	7/2	Average	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0
9	FAST PRIZE LEGACY	9	10/1	Slow	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Unknown Running Style: MR JET BLACK MAGIC (12/1) [Jockey: Hernandez Jr Ricardo - Trainer: Robbins Ray], MCV AMERICAN GIRL (9/2) [Jockey: Ransom Bobby - Trainer: Ellis Trey], BIGTIME PILOTO (15/1) [Jockey: Segura Cesar - Trainer: Haywood Vann E], MY H

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-28-2021, 10:04 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fair Grounds

Fair Grounds - Race 7	Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 7-9) Daily Double
SO $12,500 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 92 • Purse: $26,000 • Post: 3:54P
FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS IN 2019-2021 OR CLAIMING PRICE $12,500. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE JANUARY 28 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * MY WISE CAT: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. BORN AG AIN GEORGE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. FLASHY BREW: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. C'MON VE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. HALF AGAIN: Ho rse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50.
9	MY WISE CAT	4/1	6/1
5	BORN AGAIN GEORGE	7/2	6/1
1	FLASHY BREW	3/1	7/1
7	C'MON VE	8/1	8/1
1A	HALF AGAIN	3/1	9/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
7	C'MON VE	7	8/1	Front-runner	94	93	88.0	84.0	72.0
6	SOUTHERN SWAGG	5	10/1	Front-runner	84	81	86.8	71.0	55.0
1A	HALF AGAIN	8	3/1	Front-runner	87	85	80.8	82.0	75.0
10	GREELEY'S BANKER	11	10/1	Front-runner	91	82	63.4	72.0	62.0
1	FLASHY BREW	6	3/1	Alternator/Front-runner	93	99	81.6	85.4	75.4
9	MY WISE CAT	10	4/1	Stalker	91	85	77.4	84.8	79.3
5	BORN AGAIN GEORGE	4	7/2	Alternator/Stalker	87	89	66.8	84.2	79.2
8	RELEASE THE BEAST	9	15/1	Alternator/Trailer	86	83	41.0	74.6	61.6
3	BUCKETS	2	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	86	83	58.6	74.6	57.1
4	WHY JOEY WHY	3	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	89	82	55.8	80.2	67.2
2	FREE INDEED	1	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	80	80	52.6	73.6	54.1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-28-2021, 10:05 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Golden Hour Wagers

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Stakes - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $75000 Class Rating: 101

SANTANA MILE S. SA-R8 - FOR FOUR-YEAR-OLDS AND UPWARD. FREE NOMINATIONS, CLOSED THURSDAY MARCH 18,2021 WITH 23. SUPPLEMENTARY NOMINATION OF $1,500 DUE AT TIME OF ENTRY. $400 TO ENTER AND AN ADDITIONAL $400 TO START WITH $75,000 ADDED. THE ADDED MONIES AND ALL FEES TO BE DIVIDED60% TO THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 12% TO THIRD, 6% TO FOURTH, AND 2% TO

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 FASHIONABLY FAST 5/2
# 1 MASTERING 2/1
# 6 RESTRAINEDVENGENCE 8/1

My pick in this event is FASHIONABLY FAST. Earning some nice profits in dirt route races. Pereira has very solid numbers that point to this gelding to be a very strong contender. Is hard not to consider based on Equibase speed figs which have been competitive - 105 avg - of late. MASTERING - Players should note that this pony runs now going off Lasix today. With a reliable ROI of +29 this handler has shown quite good results with entries running at this distance and surface. RESTRAINEDVENGENCE - Is a strong contender based on figures garnered lately under today's conditions. This gelding looks like a longshot play.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-28-2021, 10:06 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Oaklawn Park - Race #4 - Post: 2:33pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $27,000 Class Rating: 70

Rating:

#9 STONE SECRET (ML=3/1)

STONE SECRET - This jockey and conditioner's horses have been producing a profitable ROI. He finished 2nd Mar 11th, but was well clear of the show horse. Have to make this gelding a solid contender; he comes off a solid contest on March 11th.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 LITTLE CHIEF (ML=4/1), #2 SUPER WISE (ML=9/2), #8 MORAL STANDARD (ML=5/1),

LITTLE CHIEF - This vulnerable equine didn't go to the front and didn't close ground down the stretch last time he ran. Usually I need a sprinter to have some recent success in sprint races in order to play him. Don't believe this less than sharp equine will make an impact in today's event. That last speed fig was mediocre when compared with today's class rating. SUPER WISE - Couldn't close whatsoever on Mar 14th. Hard to wager on this time around at the expected odds. Usually I need a sprinter to have some recent success in sprint races in order to wager on him. MORAL STANDARD - 5/1 is not priced right for any horse in a sprint of 6 furlongs that hasn't hit the board in a short distance race recently.

GUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - STONE SECRET - After a 'vacation', has had a few races and today he enters a sprint race. Should be back in form, so I expect this thoroughbred to perform well right here.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#9 STONE SECRET is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	9 with 8
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-28-2021, 10:07 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Aqueduct

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Optional Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $72000 Class Rating: 87

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $13,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $80,000. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN CLAIMING OR STARTER AT A MILE OR OVER ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE OTHER THAN CLAIMING OR STARTER AT ANY

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 SCHOKOLADE 8/5
# 2 FULL MOON FEVER 7/2
# 5 LOBSTA 4/1

I think SCHOKOLADE is a formidable choice. At the top in earnings per start at the distance/surface in this field of horses. Recent numbers for the jock - 17 win percent - make this gelding stand out in this field. This gelding gets a boost with McCarthy in the saddle. FULL MOON FEVER - This horse has been constatntly running well lately. Recorded a very strong speed figure last time out. LOBSTA - Change in Lasix (on Lasix) may be the difference to a major improvement. Lately Cancel has been scorching which may give the edge to this colt.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-28-2021, 10:08 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Fonner Park - Race #3 - Post: 2:20pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $4,700 Class Rating: 58

Rating:

#3 ROLLIN RIVER (ML=8/1)

ROLLIN RIVER - On board this horse on March 5th and Fackler is back again in the irons this race. This event sets up for this gelding. I call this the 'Lone Stalker' scenario. When the real running starts, he'll be in the catbird's seat.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 DOUBLE ONE SHOT (ML=5/2), #5 TROUBLEWITHACURVE (ML=7/2), #7 SLIM CHANCE (ML=9/2),

DOUBLE ONE SHOT - This vulnerable equine didn't do much for me last time finishing sixth. Don't see any chance of any change in today's race. I cannot play this repeated non-winner. Gets the job done now and then. This gelding recorded a speed rating in his last clash which probably isn't good enough in today's race. TROUBLEWITHACURVE - Today's event is 6 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't finished in the money in a sprint event in the last couple months. Not the best of signs. SLIM CHANCE - Placed much too far in the rear on September 8th for me to bet on at the probable odds in today's sprint race. The Brain tells me to stay away from thoroughbreds in sprint races that haven't hit the board in sprint races recently. The long turnout since Sep 8th is somewhat alarming.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#3 ROLLIN RIVER is the play if we get odds of 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	3 with 7
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None