Monday 3/29/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-29-2021, 07:19 AM

Las Vegas Cris

Event: (1) New York Islanders at (2) Pittsburgh Penguins
Sport/League: NHL
Date/Time: March 29, 2021 7PM EDT
Play: New York Islanders -110
(Free Plays 43-17 72%* *23-6 79% L29) Pittsburgh and the Islanders are battling for position, with only 2 pts being the difference. The Penguins beat NY up in the 1st match-up, 6-3, to extend their win streak to 3. Ny is a better club than that and we should expect max effort to even the 2 game set. Islanders are the play.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-29-2021, 07:19 AM

Dwayne Bryant

Event: (655) Oregon State at (656) Houston
Sport/League: CBB
Date/Time: March 29, 2021 7PM EDT
Play: 1H Total Under 59.5 (-105)
Good to 59
My college hoops totals system comprises relevant statistical data from KenPom.com, history involving similar games, and current market data. A play is made when enough of these factors align. The play's size is determined by a combination of how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.
Trends & Angles Supporting This Play:
Play Under - Neutral court teams against the total (HOUSTON) - after 10 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 3 or more consecutive wins. 46-20 (70%) over the last 5 seasons.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-29-2021, 07:23 AM

Bobby Conn

Mar 29 '21, 3:05 PM in 6h
MLB | Indians vs Royals
Play on: Royals -120 at Mirage

1* Free Play on Royals -120

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-29-2021, 07:23 AM

Rocky Atkinson

Mar 29 '21, 4:00 PM in 7h
NASCAR | Denny Hamlin vs Martin Truex Jr
Play on: Denny Hamlin -115 at linepros

Rocketman Sports FREE Nascar Head to Head Matchup Sunday 3-28-21
Denny Hamlin vs Martin Truex Jr. (3:35 PM EST)
Play On: Denny Hamlin -115

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-29-2021, 07:24 AM

653ARKANSAS -654 BAYLOR
BAYLOR is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

655OREGON ST -656 HOUSTON
OREGON ST is 14-0 ATS (14 Units) after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog in the current season.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-29-2021, 07:24 AM

NCAAB

Monday, March 29

Arkansas (3) vs Baylor (1)
Arkansas (25-6)
— ranked #18 by KenPom
— Tempo: #17
— Experience: #239
— Continuity: #339
— Arkansas won 12 of its last 13 games.
— Arkansas is 11-0 outside the SEC (non-conf schedule #273)
— Razorbacks gave up 78+ points in all six of their losses.
— Razorbacks won last two games by a hoop each.
— Opponents are shooting 46.3% inside arc (#47)
— Musselman is 5-3 in NCAA Tournament games; his team trailed by 10+ points in all five of the wins.

Baylor (25-2)
— ranked #2 by KenPom
— Tempo: #179
— Experience: #85
— Continuity: #32
— Baylor is 8-2 since its 21-day COVID pause.
— Bears are shooting 40.8% on the arc (#2)
— Baylor forces turnovers 24.8% of time (#3)
— Baylor gave up 56.3 ppg in its first three tourney wins.
— Bears are grabbing 36.8% of their missed shots (#6)
— Under Drew, Baylor lost Elite 8 games in 2010, 2012.

— Since 2007, in regional finals between #1-#3 seeds: favorites are 8-4 ATS.

Oregon State (12) vs Houston (2)
Oregon State (20-12)
— ranked #43 by KenPom
— Tempo: #305
— Experience: #65
— Continuity: #154
— Oregon State won six in row, nine of its last ten games.
— Oregon State is getting 21.5% of its points on foul line (#40)
— Beavers are shooting 46.8% inside arc (#278)
— OSU won Pac-12 tournament for first time, after they were 5th in regular season.
— Beavers’ wins last week were their first tournament wins since 1982
— OSU gave up 61.3 ppg in its first three NCAA games.

Houston (27-3)
— ranked #3 by KenPom
— Tempo: #326
— Experience: #142
— Continuity: #107
— Houston has the best eFG% defense in country.
— Opponents are shooting 29.0% on arc (#8)
— Cougars won their last ten games, six of them by 24+ points.
— So far in this tournament, Houston has played seeds #15-10-11.
— Cougars allowed 54 ppg in first three NCAA games.
— Sampson made 2002 Final Four with Oklahoma, then lost in the Elite 8 the next year.

— Oregon State is 2nd #12-seed ever to play in regional final; Missouri (+6.5) lost 81-75 to Oklahoma in 2002.
— Since 2004, #2-seeds are 3-8 ATS as a favorite in regional finals.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-29-2021, 07:24 AM

559INDIANA -560 WASHINGTON
INDIANA is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

561MINNESOTA -562 BROOKLYN
MINNESOTA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

567MEMPHIS -568 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) in home games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

569DALLAS -570 OKLAHOMA CITY
DALLAS are 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) vs. losing teams in the current season.

571TORONTO -572 DETROIT
TORONTO is 49-28 ATS (18.2 Units) versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game - 2nd half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

571TORONTO -572 DETROIT
Nick Nurse is 49-28 ATS (18.2 Units) versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game - 2nd half of the season (Coach of TORONTO)

573SACRAMENTO -574 SAN ANTONIO
SACRAMENTO is 26-12 ATS (12.8 Units) in road games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

575CLEVELAND -576 UTAH
UTAH is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) when playing 8 or more games in 14 days in the current season.

577CHICAGO -578 GOLDEN STATE
CHICAGO is 12-1 ATS (10.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game in the current season.

579MILWAUKEE -580 LA CLIPPERS
LA CLIPPERS are 37-20 ATS (15 Units) revenging a same season loss vs opponent in the last 3 seasons.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-29-2021, 07:25 AM

NBA

Monday, March 29

Indiana @ Washington
Pacers (21-23)
— Indiana won four of its last five games.
— Pacers are 4-2 ATS in their last six road games.
— Over is 12-4-1 in Indiana’s last 17 games.

Wizards (16-28)
— Wizards lost nine of last 12 games (5-7 ATS)
— Washington is 8-4 ATS in its last dozen home games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Under is 3-1 in their last four games

— Indiana won five of last six series games.
— Pacers are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Washington.
— Under is 4-1-1 in last six series games.

New Orleans @ Boston
Pelicans (20-25)
— New Orleans is 5-3 in its last eight games.
— Pelicans are 4-2 ATS in their last six road games.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five games.

Celtics (23-23)
— Boston is 4-6 SU since the All-Star break.
— Celtics are 2-4 ATS in their last six home games.
— Over is 3-1 in their last four games.

— Teams split last ten series games.
— Pelicans new 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Boston.
— Over is 5-3 in last eight series games.

Minnesota @ Brooklyn
Timberwolves (11-35)
— Minnesota lost four of its last five games.
— Wolves are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall.
— Over is 10-5 in their last 15 games.

Nets (31-15)
— Brooklyn won 17 of their last 20 games (14-6 ATS).
— Nets are 1-4 ATS in last five home games.
— Under is 3-1 in last four Brooklyn games.

— Minnesota won/covered last five series games.
— Wolves are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Brooklyn.
— Over is 6-3 in last nine series games.

Miami @ New York
Heat (22-24)
— Miami lost its last six games (0-6 ATS)
— Heat is 0-3 ATS in last three road games.
— Under is 6-1 in their last seven road games.

Knicks (24-22)
— New York won four of its last five games.
— Knicks are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games.
— Under is 5-1 in New York’s last six games.

— Miami won eight of last ten series games.
— Heat is 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Manhattan.
— Three of last four series games went over.

Toronto @ Detroit
Raptors (18-28)
— Toronto lost 13 of its last 15 games.
— Raptors are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games.
— 10 of last 14 Toronto games went over the total.

Pistons (12-33)
— Detroit lost 13 of its last 17 games
— Pistons are 9-5 ATS in last 14 games overall.
— Under is 14-7 in Detroit’s last 21 games.

— Pistons won five of last eight series games.
— Toronto is 3-4 ATS in last seven visits to Detroit.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Memphis @ Houston
Grizzlies (21-22)
— Memphis is 4-6 SU in its last ten games.
— Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS in last five games overall.
— Over is 4-0 in their last four games.

Rockets (13-32)
— Houston lost 22 of its last 24 games (4-20 ATS).
— Rockets are 2-16 ATS in last 18 home games.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.

— Teams split last eight series games.
— Memphis is 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Houston.
— Four of last five series games stayed under.

Dallas @ Oklahoma City
Mavericks (23-21)
— Mavericks are 5-5 since All-Star break.
— Mavericks are 5-7 ATS in last dozen road games.
— Under is 12-4 in last 16 Dallas games.

Thunder (19-26)
— Thunder are 3-5 SU in their last eight games.
— OKC is 4-6 ATS in their last ten home games.
— Over is 6-1 in their last seven home games.

— Dallas won five of last eight series games.
— Mavericks are 3-3 ATS in last six visits to Oklahoma.
— Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.

Sacramento @ San Antonio
Kings (21-25)
— Sacramento won six of its last seven games.
— Kings are 3-1 ATS in their last four road games.
— Under is 7-3 in Sacramento’s last ten games.

Spurs (23-20)
— San Antonio lost four of its last five games.
— Spurs are 1-3 ATS in last four home games.
— Over is 4-2 in Spurs’ last six games.

— Sacramento won four of last six series games.
— Kings are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to the Alamo.
— Over is 6-4 in last ten series games.

Cleveland @ Utah
Cavaliers (17-29)
— Cleveland is 3-7 SU since the All-Star break.
— Cavaliers are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 road games.
— Last three Cleveland games stayed under the total.

Jazz (34-11)
— Utah won its last five games overall.
— Jazz is 15-2-1 ATS in its last 18 home games.
— Over is 6-4 in Utah’s last ten home games.

— Jazz won last five series games (4-0-1 ATS)
— Cavaliers are 0-3-1 ATS in last four visits to Utah.
— Under is 7-1-1 in last nine series games.

Chicago @ Golden State
Bulls (19-25)
— Chicago lost five of its last six games SU.
— Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games.
— Under is 7-2 in their last nine games.

Warriors (22-24)
— Golden State lost its last four games SU.
— Warriors are 0-3 ATS in last three home games.
— Under is 4-2-1 in their last seven games overall.

— Golden State won last seven series games.
— Bulls are 0-4 ATS in last four visits to the Bay Area.
— Over is 5-5 in last ten series games.

Milwaukee @ LA Clippers
Bucks (29-16)
— Milwaukee lost its last two games, after a 13-1 run.
— Bucks are 1-6 ATS in last seven road games.
— Over is 7-2 in Milwaukee’s last nine games.

Clippers (31-16)
— Clippers won/covered their last five games.
— Clippers are 8-2 ATS in last ten home games.
— Over is 3-1 in their last four games.

— Milwaukee won last four series games.
— Bucks covered once in last five series games played here.
— Over is 5-5 in last ten series games.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-29-2021, 07:25 AM

NBA

Monday, March 29

Trend Report

Indiana @ Washington
Indiana
Indiana is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games

New Orleans @ Boston
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games
New Orleans is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Boston
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Minnesota @ Brooklyn
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Brooklyn is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games

Miami @ New York
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games on the road
Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing New York
New York
New York is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games

Toronto @ Detroit
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Toronto's last 17 games on the road
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Toronto
Detroit is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

Memphis @ Houston
Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games on the road
Memphis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home

Dallas @ Oklahoma City
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 8 games
Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing Dallas

Sacramento @ San Antonio
Sacramento
Sacramento is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing San Antonio
Sacramento is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
San Antonio
San Antonio is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Sacramento
San Antonio is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games when playing Sacramento

Cleveland @ Utah
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games on the road
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Chicago @ Golden State
Chicago
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 9 games
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Golden State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago

Milwaukee @ LA Clippers
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-29-2021, 07:26 AM

1NY ISLANDERS -2 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in home games after playing 2 consecutive home games in the current season.

3EDMONTON -4 TORONTO
EDMONTON is 14-8 ATS (11.7 Units) in road games vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

5PHILADELPHIA -6 BUFFALO
BUFFALO is 1-17 ATS (-16.2 Units) against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the current season.

7ANAHEIM -8 COLORADO
ANAHEIM is 3-15 ATS (-10.8 Units) against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

9LOS ANGELES -10 VEGAS
VEGAS are 23-5 ATS (15.8 Units) when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) in the first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

11WINNIPEG -12 CALGARY
WINNIPEG is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days in the current season.

13MINNESOTA -14 SAN JOSE
SAN JOSE is 46-66 ATS (-26.6 Units) when playing their 3rd game in 5 days in the last 3 seasons.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-29-2021, 07:26 AM

NHL

Monday, March 29

Trend Report

Philadelphia @ Buffalo
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Buffalo
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia

NY Islanders @ Pittsburgh
NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of NY Islanders's last 12 games on the road
NY Islanders is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Islanders
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Edmonton @ Toronto
Edmonton
Edmonton is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Edmonton is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games at home

Anaheim @ Colorado
Anaheim
Anaheim is 15-1 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
Anaheim is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Colorado
Colorado
Colorado is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games

Winnipeg @ Calgary
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Calgary
Winnipeg is 15-3 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg

Los Angeles @ Vegas
Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Los Angeles's last 9 games when playing Vegas
Los Angeles is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Vegas
Vegas
Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games at home

Minnesota @ San Jose
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against San Jose
San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Jose's last 8 games when playing at home against Minnesota
San Jose is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Minnesota

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-29-2021, 07:27 AM

Mitchell Newman

Monday comp play will be the Under in the Arkansas-Baylor Elite Eight meeting.

The Razorbacks have played ALL 3 of their tournament games Under the total and Eric Musselman's team has now held Under the total in 5 straight and in 8 of their last 10 games overall dating back to the regular season.

The Bears just held Under in their Saturday game with Villanova as Baylor has landed Under the total in 2 of their 3 games played in this tournament thus far.

Yes, Baylor is 16-11 Over the total on the season, but I have noticed these tournament games have been trending towards the lower side of late as ALL 4 played on Saturday and 2 of the 4 played on Sunday landed Under the posted price.

That makes it a 6-2 Under run as we head into this matchup to see who will be playing in the last four on Saturday.

Stick with the Under in tonight's late game.

3* ARKANSAS-BAYLOR UNDER

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-29-2021, 07:28 AM

Trace Adams

Let's go Over the total in this Oregon State-Houston meeting on Monday night.

I know both teams held Under the total in their weekend contests to advance, but the Beavers after a dreadfully slow start in their game against Loyola-Chicago fell just 2 1/2 point short of the game making its way Over the total.

The Beavers are still 7-2 Over the total for their last 9 games and are 18-13 Over the total now for the season.

The Cougars post very close to 77 points per game for the season and while their last 2 tourney games have held Under the total, they have played Overs in 3 of their last 5 and 8 of their last 13 games overall dating back to the regular season.

With one of these teams going to see their season conclude tonight, expect some extra trips to the free-throw line in this game which will lead to a few added points accumulating while the clock is not moving.

This one won't shatter the total, but by the time the 40 minutes are up it will land just north to the total for an Over.

2* OREGON STATE-HOUSTON OVER

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-29-2021, 09:20 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Turf Paradise

Turf Paradise - Race 6	$1 Exacta / $1 Quinella / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Double (Races 6-7) / $.50 Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) $.20 Grand Canyon Pick 6 Jackpot (Races 6-7-8-9-10-11)
Optional Claiming $16,000 • 1 Mile • Turf • Ages 4 and up • CR: 91 • Purse: $18,500 • Post: 3:16P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $16,000. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF THREE RACES ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000. ARIZONA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $20,000. (RAIL SET AT 14 FEET).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. FLYING TO THE LINE is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * FLYING TO THE LINE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distan ce/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. SMART SET: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the l ast 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
4	FLYING TO THE LINE	5/2	3/1
6	SMART SET	7/5	9/2

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	FLYING TO THE LINE	4	5/2	Front-runner	85	89	97.4	81.2	77.2
6	SMART SET	6	7/5	Front-runner	90	84	75.9	80.7	72.7
5	MIDNIGHT FLOWER	5	5/1	Trailer	81	78	47.4	73.0	68.5
3	WISE RACHEL	3	5/1	Alternator/Trailer	87	85	64.0	77.0	70.0
1	BARONESS VONTRAPPE	1	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	92	77	65.3	73.0	65.0
2	EYE ON TIGER	2	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	80	77	58.8	58.8	49.8

Monday 3/29/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Monday 3/29/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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