Service Plays Thursday 4/1/21

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Hochman

CHI. WHITE SOX @ L.A. ANGELS | 04/01 | 10:05 PM EDT
L.A. ANGELS +105
ANALYSIS: If Shohei Ohtani can stay healthy, I believe the Angles can win 87-plus games this season. There are some wise guys betting him as a sleeper AL MVP candidate. Lucas Giolito has been great, but not in the month of April. In 2018, his ERA was 8.69 and in 2019 his ERA was 6.75 in this opening month. The Angels are 22-6 in the past 28 meetings in Los Angeles. There will be roughly 10,000 fans in attendance. Dylan Bundy looks to be the real deal after a fantastic spring training. His counting stats have been improving year by year. Let's take a shot with the home underdog.

12:55 AM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SDQL

CHI. WHITE SOX @ L.A. ANGELS | 04/01 | 10:05 PM EDT
CHI. WHITE SOX -115
ANALYSIS: The White Sox have a relentless, opportunistic offense and they should be able to start the season off with a win in this spot. Chicago is a team on the rise and Lucas Giolito has nothing but quality starts in his three career starts versus the Angels. He has averaged 6.33 innings of work while striking out 7.33 batters with an ERA of 2.33 runs. Lay the small price, as Chicago should be undervalued early this season.

+855 12-3 IN LAST 15 CHW ML PICKS
+140 3-1 IN LAST 4 LAA ML PICKS
1:09 AM

TAMPA BAY @ MIAMI | 04/01 | 4:10 PM EDT
TAMPA BAY -145
ANALYSIS: The Marlins were the Cinderella team last season, making the playoffs and then sweeping the Cubs in a best of three series. The Rays, however, are the real deal. They have beaten the Marlins ten of their last eleven meetings. The Rays have won Tyler Glasnow’s last eight regular-season starts and with Blake Snell gone, he will make the first opening day start of his career. We would be very surprised if the Marlins were able to get the win. This price is too low.

+505 6-1 IN LAST 7 TB ML PICKS
+340 5-1 IN LAST 6 MIA ML PICKS
1:00 AM

ST. LOUIS @ CINCINNATI | 04/01 | 4:10 PM EDT
CINCINNATI -115
ANALYSIS: Jack Flaherty’s numbers dropped precipitously from 2019. His innings pitched dropped from 5.93 to 4.59 and his strikeouts dropped from 7.03 to 5.78. Castillo averaged a career-best 7.38 strikeouts per start in 2020 - including 8.40 per game at home. This line is an overreaction to The Cardinals’ signing of Arenado. The value is with the Reds in this spot.

+114 6-3 IN LAST 9 STL ML PICKS
12:58 AM

[golden contender]

Opening Day System Play

Opening Day MLB 2021 and we have 3 Big Game 1 specific power systems going one is 24-3 since 2004, 2 at night one on the day. We also have a 20-2 Ice Crusher System and NBA. MLB Comp play below with opening day System.

The Opening Day Comp Play is on Kansas City at 4:10 eastern. KC fits the nice Opening Day Specific system below which has a 12-2 record dating back to 2004 and basically plays on non division home favorites in this price range in opening games of the year. KC has had a solid Spring Training going 16-8 overall. They have B. Keller making the opening day start and he is 6-1 as a home favorite. He opposes Kyle Gibson who has lost 3 of 4 as a road dog dating back to last year. Look for KC to take the opener. On Thursday we have 3 More Opening Day Power System Plays one os 24-3. We also have a big 20-2 Ice crusher system and NBA. See us on facebook to Jump on now as we start the season big in bases. For the MLB Comp play. Go with Kansas City. Rob V- GC Sports

SU: 12-2

Apr 03, 2006 box Mon home Astros Roy Oswalt - R Marlins Dontrelle Willis - L 1-0 1 W -6.5 U 4-5 0-2 1-0 -170 7.5 9
Apr 01, 2007 box Sun home Cardinals Chris Carpenter - R Mets Tom Glavine - L 1-6 -5 L -0.5 U 10-12 1-0 0-5 -145 7.5 9
Mar 31, 2008 box Mon home Padres Jake Peavy - R Astros Roy Oswalt - R 4-0 4 W -2.5 U 14-4 0-0 4-0 -160 6.5 9
Apr 06, 2009 box Mon home Blue Jays Roy Halladay - R Tigers Justin Verlander - R 12-5 7 W 9.5 O 15-8 0-2 8-0 -155 7.5 9
Apr 07, 2009 box Tue home Giants Tim Lincecum - R Brewers Jeff Suppan - R 10-6 4 W 9.0 O 12-10 1-0 5-1 -165 7.0 9
Mar 31, 2011 box Thu home Yankees CC Sabathia - L Tigers Justin Verlander - R 6-3 3 W 1.0 O 5-6 1-1 3-1 -145 8.0 9
Apr 05, 2012 box Thu home Reds Johnny Cueto - R Marlins Mark Buehrle - L 4-0 4 W -3.5 U 10-3 1-1 4-0 -150 7.5 9
Apr 05, 2012 box Thu home Tigers Justin Verlander - R Red Sox Jon Lester - L 3-2 1 W -2.0 U 10-5 1-0 2-0 -145 7.0 9
Apr 01, 2013 box Mon home Brewers Yovani Gallardo - R Rockies Jhoulys Chacin - R 5-4 1 W 1.0 O 8-12 0-0 1-2 -150 8.0 10+
Mar 31, 2014 box Mon home Marlins Jose Fernandez - R Rockies Jorge De La Rosa - L 10-1 9 W 4.5 O 14-6 0-0 9-0 -150 6.5 9
Apr 06, 2015 box Mon home Brewers Kyle Lohse - R Rockies Kyle Kendrick - R 0-10 -10 L 1.0 O 8-16 3-0 0-10 -150 9.0 9
Apr 04, 2016 box Mon home Reds Raisel Iglesias - R Phillies Jeremy Hellickson - R 6-2 4 W 0.0 P 6-6 0-2 4-1 -170 8.0 9
Apr 03, 2017 box Mon home Red Sox Rick Porcello - R Pirates Gerrit Cole - R 5-3 2 W -0.5 U 10-8 1-1 5-0 -155 8.5 9
Jul 24, 2020 box Fri home Reds Sonny Gray - R Tigers Matthew Boyd - L 7-1 6 W -0.5 U 9-3 0-0 6-0 -170 8.5 9
Apr 01, 2021 Thu home Royals Brad Keller - R Rangers Kyle Gibson - R -150

[Can'tPickAWinner]

INSIDER SPORTS REPORT

Premier Picks® For 04/01/21


4* Atlanta (Fried) -105 over Philadelphia (Nola)
Range: +115 to -125


3* St. Louis (Flaherty) +105 over Cincinnati (Castillo)
Range: +120 to -120


3* Texas (Gibson)/Kansas City (Keller) UNDER 9
Range: 9.5 to 8.5

[FATMANWINS]

ATS BASEBALL
5 Phils
5 Texas over
5 white Sox

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Hartstein

TEXAS @ KANSAS CITY | 04/01 | 4:10 PM EDT
KANSAS CITY -157
ANALYSIS: The Royals won 12 of their last 18 games last season, they went 16-8 in Spring Training and they're looking to carry that momentum into Opening Day. For starters, they have the pitching edge with Brad Keller (1.02 WHIP, 2.47 ERA last season) opposing Texas' Kyle Gibson (5.35 ERA last season). K.C. has won Keller's last five home starts. The Rangers are going to struggle offensively all season and I think that starts today.

+300 3-0 IN LAST 3 TEX ML PICKS
9:16 AM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Severance

PITTSBURGH @ CHI. CUBS | 04/01 | 2:20 PM EDT
UNDER 7
ANALYSIS: Love the Under at -115 as the weather will be a huge factor at Wrigley Field and the Pirates probably have the worst lineup in the majors other than NL Rookie of the Year favorite Ke'Bryan Hayes. The forecast for Thursday afternoon: 34 degrees, winds blowing in from left-left/center at more than 20 mph (forget homers there) and a wind chill in the 20s. I'll be shocked if even five runs are scored here.

9:21 AM

MINNESOTA @ VEGAS | 04/01 | 10:30 PM EDT
VEGAS -175
ANALYSIS: The Golden Knights burned us at better than -200 on Wednesday night in a 4-2 home loss to Los Angeles, dropping to 14-3-1 at T-Mobile Arena. Normally, I would stay away from a team in the second of a back-to-back, but visiting Minnesota is on the same and lost its fifth straight road game Wednesday, 4-2 in San Jose. Thus, sizable advantage for Vegas. Minnesota also remains without two key forwards in Zach Parise and Marcus Foligno. The home team has won the past six in the series.

+2734 95-52 IN LAST 147 NHL PICKS
+600 6-0 IN LAST 6 MIN ML PICKS
+275 7-3 IN LAST 10 LV ML PICKS
8:59 AM

ATLANTA @ PHILADELPHIA | 04/01 | 3:05 PM EDT
UNDER 7
ANALYSIS: Two very good starting pitchers in Atlanta's Max Fried (7-0, 2.25 ERA in 2020) and Philadelphia's Aaron Nola (5-5, 3.28). Fried was 2-0 with a 0.90 ERA in two starts last year vs. the Phillies. However, I'm going Under 7 runs due to the weather: Temperatures in the 40s, winds 15-20 mph blowing in from left field with gusts over 30 mph.

8:30 AM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kyle Akins

PHILADELPHIA @ CLEVELAND | 04/01 | 7:00 PM EDT
PHILADELPHIA -9
ANALYSIS: Facing the Clippers and then the Nuggets on the road is about as hard of a stretch as a team is going to face. Philadelphia struggled in those two games but is in a far different situation on Thursday, and the 76ers should capitalize. Cleveland is coming off a 114-75 loss in Utah Monday. The Cavaliers are 0-8 ATS with rest coming off a double-digit road loss. Cleveland shot a brutal 34.9 percent from the field in that loss. The Cavaliers are 0-11 ATS with rest after they had a shooting percentage at least 10 percent below their season-to-date average last game.

+450 10-5 IN LAST 15 NBA ATS PICKS
10:29 AM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny White

CHI. WHITE SOX @ L.A. ANGELS | 04/01 | 10:05 PM EDT
UNDER 8.5
ANALYSIS: MLB teams have been playing most day games in spring training. Here we will have two aces under the lights. Lucas Giolito has enjoyed great success over the last two seasons. He worked 5.2 scoreless innings in his last spring tune-up game. Dylan Bundy is in his prime and coming off his best season.

+205 3-1 IN LAST 4 LAA O/U PICKS
YESTERDAY 7:56 PM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike McClure

MINNESOTA @ MILWAUKEE | 04/01 | 2:10 PM EDT
MINNESOTA +101
ANALYSIS: The Twins offer nice value as slight road dogs against Brandon Woodruff. I love this Twins lineup from top to bottom, and I love what we saw last season from Kenta Maeda. I make the Twins -117 as I have them winning 54% of simulations in this matchup.

+452 13-9 IN LAST 22 MIL ML PICKS
9:45 AM

ST. LOUIS @ CINCINNATI | 04/01 | 4:10 PM EDT
CINCINNATI -115
ANALYSIS: It sounds crazy, but I truly believe this line is inflated by almost 20 cents due to the Nolan Arenado signing. Castillo is the better pitcher in this matchup, and I have some pretty meaningful concerns about the sharp decline in strikeout rate for Flaherty last season. I make the Reds -132 home favorites as my model has them winning 57% of simulations.

9:37 AM

[rocky57]

Vince Akins
NBA ATS Big Plays 15-3 last 18..

NBA
Los Angeles Clippers +2.5 (-114)
Brooklyn Nets -150 (Moneyline)
Philadelphia 76ers/Cleveland Cavaliers Over 210.5
Golden State Warriors/Miami Heat Under 218.5

All regular plays

[rocky57]

Kevin Rogers
Vegasinsider NBA
Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat
TV; TNT - Time; 7:40pm

Best Bet - Miami Heat/Golden State Warriors Under 219

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gus Augustine

40 Dime
Interconference
Game of the Week

Heat -2.5 (40 dime)

[rocky57]

Jonathan Willis
Vegasinsider NBA
Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Clippers
TV: TNT - Time: 10:10pm

Best Bet - Denver Nuggets -125 (Moneyline)

[rocky57]

Michael Crosson - Vegasinsider

MLB
Philadelphia Phillies -117
Chicago White Sox -112

NBA
Miami Heat/Golden State Warriors Under 220
New Orleans Pelicans -9

And Congratulations to Michael as he nailed his College Basketball Tournament Totals Game of the Year with Michigan/UCLA Under the Total 51-49 Final..