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OAKLAND @ HOUSTON | 04/09 | 8:10 PM EDT
HOUSTON -172
ANALYSIS: There is simply no reason to stop betting against the atrocious A's right now. They are hitting .170 as a team with 19 runs scored and 76 strikeouts in eight games. Houston has obliterated Oakland in each of the first five meetings so far. Lefty Sean Manaea is on the mound for the A's, and he allowed five runs on six hits, surrendering two homers, in a home loss last week to Houston -- which has killed lefties for the past few seasons. The Astros' Lance McCullers Jr. hasn't pitched at home in front of fans since July 2018 because of Tommy John surgery (missed 2019) and then of course no fans in 2020. He beat the A's last Saturday, allowing one run and two hits over five.
+857 11-2 IN LAST 13 MLB PICKS
12:44 PM
SAN DIEGO @ TEXAS | 04/09 | 8:05 PM EDT
TEXAS +1.5
ANALYSIS: I will always take a home team as a dog on the runline (+105 here) unless the pitching matchup is completely one-sided. I don't see that here with San Diego starting Joe Musgrove against Texas' Kohei Arihara. Yes, Musgrove looked great in his debut but that was at home in a pitcher-friendly park against a weak Arizona lineup. Arihara, from Japan, allowed three runs over five in his MLB debut in Kansas City -- and the Padres don't know him. While San Diego adds the DH here, that lineup isn't the same without the injured Fernando Tatis Jr. (eight runs total past four games).
MINNESOTA @ ST. LOUIS | 04/09 | 8:00 PM EDT
MINNESOTA -125
ANALYSIS: The Wild are 6-3-1 in their last 10 games while the Blues had lost seven straight games before they beat the Golden Knights most recently. The Wild just won three out of four games against the two top teams in their division in the Golden Knights and Aves, and they get to face the reeling Blues despite their troubles on the road. The Wild are hot right now, take the value in the Wild.
+110 16-12 IN LAST 28 NHL ML PICKS
12:52 PM
COLORADO @ SAN FRANCISCO | 04/09 | 4:35 PM EDT
SAN FRANCISCO -157
ANALYSIS: Johnny Cueto will start for the Giants in their home opener, he allowed three runs in 5.2 IP in his first start this season. Austin Gomber is 0-1 and he only allowed one earned run in three innings in his debut, but he also walked seven batters and allowed three runs. The Giants crush left handed pitching, and they beat Marco Gonzales already this season.
+330 5-1 IN LAST 6 MLB ML PICKS
+519 20-12 IN LAST 32 SF ML PICKS
12:51 PM
DETROIT @ CLEVELAND | 04/09 | 7:10 PM EDT
UNDER 9.5
ANALYSIS: Zach Plesac allowed two runs in six innings in his first start, which was against the Tigers. He has a 1.14 ERA in four career starts against the Tigers. Julio Teheran allowed one run in five innings against the Indians in his first start of the season. Neither of these teams are hitting right now, and they are combined 8-3 on the under this season. It’s unreasonably warm today for April in Cleveland and there should be some wind, giving us good value on the under.
+330 5-1 IN LAST 6 MLB PICKS
+185 3-1 IN LAST 4 CLE O/U PICKS
12:50 PM
N.Y. YANKEES @ TAMPA BAY | 04/09 | 3:10 PM EDT
TAMPA BAY +125
ANALYSIS: Rich Hill and Chris Archer combined to pick up a win for the Rays the first time they piggybacked, while Corey Kluber allowed eight baserunners in four innings in his first start. This is the Rays home opener and the first road game for the Yankees, take the value in the Rays at home.
Game: (963) Detroit Tigers at (964) Cleveland Indians Date/Time: Apr 9 2021 7:10 PM EDT Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line Play Rating: 4% Play: Cleveland Indians -195
Game: (31) New York Rangers at (32) New York Islanders Date/Time: Apr 9 2021 7:08 PM EDT Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line Play Rating: 4% Play: New York Islanders -130
Game: (501) Indiana Pacers at (502) Orlando Magic
Date/Time: Apr 9 2021 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Over 217.5 (-110)
3% Orland Magic/Indiana Pacers Over 217.5 —
Indy and Orlando have both been putting up some points. Orlando is 4-0 OU in the L4 (1-0 @ home in the L2W), and 8-1 OU in the L9 after they allowed 125+ points in the previous game. Indy is 2-0 OU in the L2W away from home, and 11-4 in the L15 outside of Indianapolis, and they are 6-0 OU in the L6 games vs teams under .500.
Game: (515) San Antonio Spurs at (516) Denver Nuggets
Date/Time: Apr 9 2021 9:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Denver Nuggets -7.0 (-110)
4% Denver Nuggets (-7) over San Antonio Spurs —
This play is basically a straight power rating play, Denver is in the top 10 in PPG, FG%, Ast/gm and PPG allowed, and they’ve been on a hot streak, and one of the top teams in the west. The Nuggets are 6-1 ATS since March 26th, 6-0 ATS in the L6 off 1 day rest, 6-1 ATS in the L7 after scoring 100+ points in the previous game, and most importantly they are 4-1 ATS @ home in the L2W (5-1 overall in the L2W). The Spurs that once dominated the west has struggle of late, they are 2-8 ATS s/ March 22nd, 0-4 ATS in the L4, and they are 1-6 in the L7 after their opponent scores 100+ points in the previous game.
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