Wednesday 4/7/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $40000 Class Rating: 71

FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 BOURBON ST TAPPIN 9/5
# 11 TOUCHDOWN JOE 3/1
# 1 SAMMY DANSEUR JR. 4/1

BOURBON ST TAPPIN looks to be a quite good contender. He has been running solidly and the Equibase speed figs are among the best in this field. With a decent 80 Equibase speed fig last time out, will definitely be a factor in this race. Have to look at solely on class, with some of the best class figures of this field. TOUCHDOWN JOE - Has competitive Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a bet in this race. Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Noel have shown very strong results recently. SAMMY DANSEUR JR. - He looks very good in this spot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the halfway point. Is a solid choice - given the 67 speed rating from his most recent race.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trace Adams

My free play for Wednesday goes early as I like the Reds to continue to mash the baseball and combine for another game with the Pirates that lands Over the posted total.

The Reds have played 5 games so far this season and they have scored 5 runs or more in each of those 5 games with 4 of the 5 landing Over the total.

The Pirates have scored 3 runs or less in 4 of their last 5 games, but after watching Cincy hurler Luis Castillo serve them up on Opening Day against the St. Louis Cardinals, perhaps the silent Bucs bats can make just a little noise today to help this total along the way.

Cincinnati will be leaving town for a pair of away series in Arizona and San Francisco after today's game, so look for those locked-in bats to stay locked-in this afternoon at home.

Play the Pirates-Reds finale Over the total.

4* PITTSBURGH-CINCINNATI OVER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gus Augustine

An American League clash in which the road underdog is the better value for us with the Kansas City Royals handing the ball to Jakob Junis against the Cleveland Indians, rather than Brad Keller, who has been pushed back to Thursday.

Junis should shine in his opportunity here, after twirling a pair of shutout innings in two relief appearances against the Rangers already this season. Junis, who last worked on Sunday, has struck out three of the eight batters he's faced. I do expect him to be on a pitch count since he's had only two days rest, but even as the opener, it gives his teammates time to get him some run support.

Shane Bieber is solid in the Cleveland's rotation, but there was something uneasy about his start last Thursday ,when he took some time to settle in, probably a bit too long. And while he became one of just four pitchers to strike out 12-plus batters in multiple Opening Day starts, he also came with a loss and a 4.50 ERA.

Now he faces a team that has a team batting average of .252 against him. I know he is 4-0 in his seven starts against them, but this Royals team has the third-highest batting average (.307) in the league and has scored the fourth-most runs (31).

Take Kansas City here, as Junis finally gives the Royals some consistency in the starting pitcher department, and the hitting ruins Bieber's perfect record against them.

5* ROYALS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mitchell Newman

Wednesday's free play will be on the Orioles and the Yankees to land just Under the total in their series finale.

The only reason yesterday's meeting between the teams landed Over the total was because the Orioles plated a pair in the 9th inning of a 7-0 game.

That won't happen today.

Baltimore has still played 3 of their first 5 games this spring Under the total, while yesterday's Over was the first for the Yankees in their 5 games contested so far.

John Means is fresh off 7 scoreless frames worked in his Opening Day assignment that held Under against Boston, while Jameson Taillon will make his first start in a New York uniform.

Taillon is the unknown as he missed all of last season while recovering from Tommy John surgery, but he did work 8-plus clean innings this spring with an ERA just over 1 and 14 strikeouts recorded.

I get the feeling the scoring while the starters are in there will be minimal.

I see a game that ends while topping out at about 8 total runs.

2* BALTIMORE-N.Y. YANKEES UNDER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB Sharp Action

12:35 p.m. ET: Pittsburgh Pirates (1-4) at Cincinnati Reds (4-1)

The Reds have taken the first two games of this three game set, winning 5-3 as -145 favorites and 14-1 as -155 favorites. In the final game of the series, the Pirates send out veteran Chad Kuhl (0-0, 3.00 ERA) while the Reds counter with ace Luis Castillo (0-1, 21.60 ERA). This line opened with Cincinnati listed as a hefty -175 home favorite. Sharps like the Reds to completely the sweep and have steamed Cincinnati from -175 up to -200. Some shops are inching closer to -220. Teams with a line move of 10-cents or more in their favor are 20-10 (67%) this season. Big favorites -200 or more are 8-2 (80%). The Reds are + 24 in run differential, 2nd-best in MLB behind only the Astros. The Pirates are -18. Pittsburgh is -14 as a dog this season. The Reds are 3-1 as a favorite.

4:05 p.m. ET: New York Mets (1-1) at Philadelphia Phillies (4-1)

These NL East rivals have split the firsr two games of the series, with the Phillies winning the opener 5-3 as + 180 dogs and the Mets winning last night 8-4 as -127 favorites. In today's rubber game, the Mets will start lefty David Peterson (6-2, 3.44 ERA in 2020) while the Phillies counter with ace Aaron Nola (0-0, 2.70 ERA in 2021). This line opened with Philadelphia listed as a -140 favorite. Some books opened closer to -120. Regardless of the opener, respected money seems to be backing the Phillies at home as we've seen Philadelphia rise to -150. Teams with a line move of 10-cents or more are 20-10 (67%) this season. We've also seen some liability to the over in this one. The total is 8 and the over is juiced to -115 or -120 depending on the book.

4:10 p.m. ET: St. Louis Cardinals (3-2) at Miami Marlins (1-4)

The Cardinals have taken the first two games of this season, winning 4-1 as + 100 dogs and 4-2 as + 115 dogs. In today's series finale, the Cardinals give the ball to ace Jack Flaherty (0-0, 12.46 ERA) and the Marlins will send out Pablo Lopez (0-0, 0.00 ERA). This game opened at a virtual pick'em with both sides listed at -105 odds. Respected money seems to be leaning on the Cardinals to complete the sweep as we've seen St. Louis rise from -105 to -112 or -115 depending on the shop. We might be in for another low scoring gamea as the total is 7.5 with heavy under juice (-120). Low totals have historically benefitted favorites as the fewer amount of expected runs scored are more like to come from the "better" team.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Will Rogers Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 1 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $9900 Class Rating: 81

FOR ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA-BREDS THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 7, 2020 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 FETCHUM KETCHUM 3/1
# 4 EUROBADGUY 10/1
# 2 DROWNINGNDIAMONDS 2/1

FETCHUM KETCHUM has a decent shot to take this race. Have to sense that this one will make a good showing following the quick comeback. Has a solid shot here if you like back class. Is a strong contender based on figures put up recently under today's conditions. EUROBADGUY - Has recorded strong Speed Figures in dirt sprint races in the past. Espiritu has shown excellent profits (+13 return on investment ) at this distance/surface. DROWNINGNDIAMONDS - Have to look at solely on class, with some of the top class numbers of this group. The speed rating of 82 from his most recent race looks competitive in here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Turf Paradise - Race #2 - Post: 1:57pm - Maiden Optional Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,300 Class Rating: 70

Rating:

#3 IZERIGHT (ML=5/2)
#8 TEQUILA TIME (ML=6/1)


IZERIGHT - This gelding ran well in his last race but just couldn't catch the winner. Note that he was well ahead of the third horse, and looks like a major contender in this field. A thoroughbred coming back this promptly after a sharp effort is a good sign. Just look at his last figure, 68. That one fits well in this group. TEQUILA TIME - Jock jumped on this gelding's back for the first ride on March 18th. Should be in tune with the horse even better this race. I think that the addition of the 'shades' today will keep his mind on the race at hand.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 RELIANT (ML=7/2), #6 SIR DEPUTY (ML=9/2), #1 DON WITH THE WIND (ML=5/1),

RELIANT - Will probably be at the rear with too much to do in the lane. Finished second in her most recent performance with a pedestrian speed figure. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to triumph after that in this field. SIR DEPUTY - This gelding registered a speed rating in his last event which likely isn't good enough in today's race. DON WITH THE WIND - If he goes off anywhere near the morning line odds of 5/1, I'll have to pass.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Putting our cash on #3 IZERIGHT to win. Have to have odds of at least 7/5 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [3,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Keeneland

04/07/21, KEE, Race 7, 4.24 ET
04/07/21,KEE,7,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:39:00 ALLOWANCE. Purse $83,000 (includes up to $25,600 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of $24,000 Twice At A Mile Or Over On The Turf Since February 7 Allowed 3 lbs. $23,400 At A Mile Or Over Since Then Allowed 5 lbs. (Races Where Entered For $40,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). In the event that this race is taken off the turf it will be contested at One Mile and One-Sixteenth on the main track. (Rail at 20 feet).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	1	Flabbergasted	6/1	Gaffalione T	Casse Mark E.	FEL	141	37.59	1.62/$1
098.5850	13	More Than Unusual	7/2	Geroux F	Cox Brad H.	C	172	35.47	1.47/$1
097.6388	11	(F)Pocket Square (GB)	3/1	Ortiz. Jr. I	Brown Chad C.		199	32.66	1.41/$1
097.0333	15	Breeze Rider	30/1	Murrill M	Manley Steve		172	35.47	1.47/$1
096.7331	12	Broadway Lady	5/1	Saez G	Casse Mark E.		172	35.47	1.47/$1
096.2071	8	In a Hurry	8/1	Leparoux J R	McGaughey III Claude R		172	35.47	1.47/$1
096.2038	16	Stop War	3/1	Graham J	Rubley Kelly	W	172	35.47	1.47/$1
095.9408	2	Gamblin Train	20/1	Bejarano R	Sandy Stephen S.	T	172	35.47	1.47/$1
095.2457	10	More Good Times	10/1	Saez L	Maker Michael J.		172	35.47	1.47/$1
094.7605	3	Tuned (GB)	7/2	Rosario J	Motion H. Graham	S	141	37.59	1.62/$1
094.3004	6	Loving Moment	30/1	Corrales G	Reed Eric R.		141	37.59	1.62/$1
094.1306	9	Walk In Marrakesh (IRE)	10/1	Velazquez J R	Correas. IV Ignacio		141	37.59	1.62/$1
094.0080	5	Choate Bridge	8/1	Geroux F	Walsh Brendan P.		172	35.47	1.47/$1
093.4585	4	Tizahra	20/1	Landeros C	Wilkes Ian R.		172	35.47	1.47/$1
093.4049	14	Gun Society	12/1	Lanerie C J	Attfield Roger L.		141	37.59	1.62/$1
088.6043	7	Naomi Broadway (BRZ)	50/1	Achard A	Lobo Paulo H.		172	35.47	1.47/$1

Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 41.94, ROI 1.68/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -1.4150
[Category]Condition
[AllCategories]LastRacePurseNotLowerThanToday
If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	13	More Than Unusual	7/2	Geroux F	Cox Brad H.	C	172	35.47	1.47/$1
099.8090	11	(F)Pocket Square (GB)	3/1	Ortiz. Jr. I	Brown Chad C.		199	32.66	1.41/$1
099.7639	2	Gamblin Train	20/1	Bejarano R	Sandy Stephen S.	T	172	35.47	1.47/$1
099.0844	1	Flabbergasted	6/1	Gaffalione T	Casse Mark E.	FEL	141	37.59	1.62/$1
098.9391	12	Broadway Lady	5/1	Saez G	Casse Mark E.		172	35.47	1.47/$1
098.9135	3	Tuned (GB)	7/2	Rosario J	Motion H. Graham	S	141	37.59	1.62/$1
098.8867	10	More Good Times	10/1	Saez L	Maker Michael J.		172	35.47	1.47/$1
098.2822	16	Stop War	3/1	Graham J	Rubley Kelly		172	35.47	1.47/$1
098.1709	8	In a Hurry	8/1	Leparoux J R	McGaughey III Claude R		172	35.47	1.47/$1
098.0434	15	Breeze Rider	30/1	Murrill M	Manley Steve		172	35.47	1.47/$1
097.7254	9	Walk In Marrakesh (IRE)	10/1	Velazquez J R	Correas. IV Ignacio		141	37.59	1.62/$1
096.7516	6	Loving Moment	30/1	Corrales G	Reed Eric R.	W	141	37.59	1.62/$1
096.7022	14	Gun Society	12/1	Lanerie C J	Attfield Roger L.		141	37.59	1.62/$1
096.5924	4	Tizahra	20/1	Landeros C	Wilkes Ian R.		172	35.47	1.47/$1
096.1226	7	Naomi Broadway (BRZ)	50/1	Achard A	Lobo Paulo H.		172	35.47	1.47/$1
095.8254	5	Choate Bridge	8/1	Geroux F	Walsh Brendan P.		172	35.47	1.47/$1

Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 21.43, ROI 1.33/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -0.1910
[Category]Condition
[AllCategories]LastRaceDistanceIsNotGreaterThanToday

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Valentino

My comp play for Wednesday is the same as it was for Tuesday, the Denver Nuggets!

Denver won their 6th straight game last night as they dumped the Pistons by 15 points as the double-digit favorites.

The Nuggets are a perfect 5-0 since picking up Aaron Gordon before the trade deadline, and they will face a San Antonio team that is reeling right now.

The Spurs enter this Wednesday tip-off having lost 3 in a row and also 8 of their last 10 games overall.

This will be a payback game for Denver, as they lost by 10-points earlier this year at San Antonio.

Denver is still 7-3 straight up the past 10 series meetings with San Antone and they have won each of the last 4 played between the teams at home, covering in 3 of those 4 in the Mile High City.

4* DENVER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

(Wed) MLB Braves
(Wed) MLB Cubs
(Wed) MLB Mariners

[Can'tPickAWinner]

951PITTSBURGH -952 CINCINNATI
PITTSBURGH is 49-59 SU (-24.9 Units) vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season in the last 3 seasons.

953MILWAUKEE -954 CHICAGO CUBS
MILWAUKEE is 5-20 SU (-18.8 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

955ATLANTA -956 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 132-107 SU (14.3 Units) in all games in the last 3 seasons.

959ST LOUIS -960 MIAMI
MIAMI is 118-85 SU (24.5 Units) in home games in day games since 1996.

961SAN FRANCISCO -962 SAN DIEGO
SAN DIEGO is 119-202 SU (-103.2 Units) in home games as a favorite of -150 or more since 1996.

963ARIZONA -964 COLORADO
COLORADO is 433-539 SU (-159.9 Units) at home with a money line of -100 to -150 since 1996.

965MINNESOTA -966 DETROIT
MINNESOTA is 2-13 SU (-12.2 Units) in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

967TAMPA BAY -968 BOSTON
TAMPA BAY is 626-647 SU (-176.3 Units) in road games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) since 1996.

969KANSAS CITY -970 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 271-389 SU (-156.9 Units) in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games since 1996.

971TORONTO -972 TEXAS
TEXAS are 3-11 SU (-11 Units) vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Wednesday, April 7

NL games
Atlanta (0-4) @ Washington (1-0)
— Fried allowed two runs in five IP (94 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 1-2, 5.09 in six games (5 starts) vs Washington.

— 2nd game will be a bullpen game

— Braves lost their first four games.
— Atlanta is 0-4 on the road.
— Under is 3-1 in their games.
— scored run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3-1

— Strasburg is 14-12, 4.07 in 34 starts vs Atlanta.

— Fedde is 0-1, 12.56 in four games (3 starts) vs Atlanta.

— Washington won its season opener yesterday.
— Nationals are 1-0 at home
— Over 1-0
— scored run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-0-1

Pittsburgh (1-4) @ Cincinnati (4-1)
— Kuhl gave up two runs in three IP (63 PT) in his first start.
— He is 2-2, 3.19 in seven starts vs Cincinnati, 0-2, 4.60 in three starts here.

— Pirates lost four of their first five games.
— Pittsburgh is 1-4 on the road.
— Under 3-2
— scored run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1

— Castillo gave up 10 runs in 3.1 IP (73 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 4-3, 2.64 in ten starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Cincinnati won its last four games.
— Reds are 4-1 at home.
— Over 4-0-1
— scored run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-1

Milwaukee (2-3) @ Cubs (3-2)
— Woodruff allowed three runs in four IP (78 PT) in his first start.
— He is 0-1, 4.65 in eight games (6 starts) vs Chicago, 0-1, 4.76 in four games (2 starts) here.

— Brewers lost three of last four games.
— Milwaukee split its two road games.
— Under 3-2
— scored run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1

— Hendricks allowed three runs in three IP (63 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 9-6, 2.84 in 23 starts vs Milwaukee.

— Cubs won three of first five games.
— Chicago is 3-2 at home.
— Last four games stayed under the total.
— scored run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2

Mets (1-1) @ Philadelphia (4-1)
— Peterson allowed five runs in two IP in his one start vs Philly.

— Mets split their first two games.
— Mets are 1-1 on the road.
— Over 2-0
— scored run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0

— Nola allowed two runs in 6.2 IP in his first ’21 start.
— He is 8-2, 3.30 in 16 starts against the Mets.

— Phillies won four of their first five games.
— Phillies are 4-1 at home.
— Under 3-2
— scored run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2

San Francisco (2-3) @ San Diego (4-2)
— Gausman allowed one run in 6.2 IP (90 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He allowed three runs in 5.1 IP in two games (1 start) vs San Diego.

— Giants lost three of their first five games.
— Giants are 2-3 on the road.
— Last three games stayed under
— scored run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1

— Snell threw 4.2 shutout innings (86 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He’s never pitched against San Francisco.

— Padres won four of their first six games.
— San Diego is 4-2 at home.
— Last five games stayed under
— scored run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1

St Louis (3-2) @ Miami (1-4)
— Flaherty gave up six runs in 4.1 IP (94 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 0-2, 5.25 in two starts vs Miami.

— Cardinals won three of first five games.
— St Louis is 3-2 on the road.
— Over 3-2
— scored run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3

— Lopez blanked the Rays for five IP (77 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He allowed two runs in seven IP in his one start vs St Louis.

— Marlins lost four of first five games.
— Miami is 1-4 at home.
— under 3-2
— scored run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-3

Arizona (1-3) @ Colorado (1-3)
— Bumgarner gave up six runs in four IP (91 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 17-8, 3.20 in 36 starts vs Colorado, 6-6, 4.56 in 17 starts here.

— Arizona lost for first five games, all on road.
— home/away
— under 3-2
— scored run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3

— Senzatela allowed seven runs in 3.1 IP (70 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 2-6, 6.19 in 13 games (9 starts) vs Arizona.

— Colorado lost for first five games, all at home.
— home/away
— over 4-1
— scored run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2

AL games
Kansas City (3-1) @ Cleveland (1-3)
— Junis is 3-7, 6.38 in 14 games (13 starts) vs Cleveland, 2-3, 4.19 in 7 starts here.

— Royals won three of their first four games.
— Royals are 1-0 on the road.
— over 2-1-1
— scores run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2

— Bieber allowed three runs in six IP (95 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 4-0, 3.70 in seven starts against the Royals.

— Cleveland lost three of their first four games.
— Indians are 0-1 at home.
— under 3-1
— scores run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 0-4

Minnesota (3-2) @ Detroit (3-2)
— Maeda gave up two runs in 4.1 IP (88 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 1-2, 4.88 in four starts vs Detroit, 0-2, 5.25 in two starts here.

— Twins won three of their first five games.
— Minnesota is 3-2 on the road.
— over 3-2
— scores run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-1

— Boyd blanked the Indians for 5.2 IP (92 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 8-7, 4.60 in 21 starts vs Minnesota.

— Detroit won three of their first five games.
— Detroit is 3-2 at home.
— under 3-2
— scored run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1

Tampa Bay (2-3) @ Boston (2-3)
— Yarbrough blanked Miami for 5.2 IP (65 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 3-2, 5.64 in 11 games (5 starts) vs Boston.

— Tampa Bay lost its last three games.
— Rays are 2-3 on the road.
— Last four games went over
— scored run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-3

— Eovaldi allowed one run in 5.1 IP (89 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 2-5, 5.48 in 10 games (8 starts) vs Tampa Bay.

— Boston lost three of its first five games.
— Boston is 2-3 at home.
— Last three games went over
— scored run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1

Toronto (3-2) @ Texas (2-3)
— Ryu allowed two runs in 5.2 IP (92 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He has never pitched against Texas.

— Toronto won three of their first five games.
— Toronto is 3-2 on the road.
— under 4-1
— scored run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3

— Gibson gave up five runs in 0.1 IP in his first start last week.
— He is 4-1, 4.61 in nine starts vs Toronto.

— Texas lost three of their first five games.
— Texas is 1-1 at home.
— over 3-1-1
— scored run in first inning: 3-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2

White Sox (3-3) @ Seattle (2-3)
— Keuchel allowed six runs in four IP (69 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 9-8, 3.25 in 20 games (19 starts) vs Seattle.

— Chicago split its first six games.
— White Sox are 3-3 on the road.
— over/under 3-3
— scored run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1-1

— Dunn is 4-1, 4.13 in 14 MLB starts the last two years.
— He’s never pitched against the White Sox.

— Seattle lost three of its first five games.
— Seattle is 2-3 at home.
— over 3-2
— scored run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3

Baltimore (3-2) @ Bronx (3-2)
— Means banked Boston for seven IP in his first ’21 start.
— He is 1-2, 7.17 in seven games (4 starts) vs New York.

— Orioles won three of their first five games.
— Baltimore is 3-2 on road.
— under 3-2
— scored run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1

— Taillon is making his first start since 2019, when he started 7 games.
— He’s never pitched against the Orioles.

— New York won three of their last four games.
— New York is 3-2 at home.
— under 4-1
— scored run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1

Interleague game
Dodgers (5-1) @ Oakland (0-6)
— Bauer allowed four wins in 6.2 IP (96 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 1-4, 3.72 in eight starts vs Oakland.

— Dodgers won their last five games.
— Dodgers are 5-1 on the road.
— over 4-2
— scored run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2

— Luzardo gave up five runs in five IP (92 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He allowed three runs in three IP in a relief stint vs LA.

— A’s lost their first six games, all by 4+ runs.
— Oakland is already 0-6 at home.
— over 5-1
— scores run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 0-6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Wednesday, April 7

Trend Report

Atlanta @ Washington
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games on the road
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games at home

Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Pittsburgh's last 13 games
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh

Tampa Bay @ Boston
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 9 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

Kansas City @ Cleveland
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games on the road
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cleveland's last 13 games when playing at home against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Kansas City

Minnesota @ Detroit
Minnesota
Minnesota is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Toronto @ Texas
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
Texas
Texas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Milwaukee @ Chi Cubs
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games

Atlanta @ Washington
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games on the road
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games at home

LA Dodgers @ Oakland
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oakland's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games at home

NY Mets @ Philadelphia
NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing NY Mets
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

St. Louis @ Miami
St. Louis
St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 11 games

San Francisco @ San Diego
San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games

Chi White Sox @ Seattle
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Chi White Sox is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Seattle's last 9 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games at home

Baltimore @ NY Yankees
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Baltimore's last 23 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore

Arizona @ Colorado
Arizona
Arizona is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing Colorado
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona

[Can'tPickAWinner]

1EDMONTON -2 OTTAWA
OTTAWA is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in home games after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.

1EDMONTON -2 OTTAWA
DJ Smith is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in home games after playing 2 consecutive road games (Coach of OTTAWA)

3MONTREAL -4 TORONTO
MONTREAL is 12-16 ATS (-12.5 Units) against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.

5VEGAS -6 ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS are 2-12 ATS (-17.8 Units) in home games against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.

7COLORADO -8 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days in the current season.

9ARIZONA -10 LOS ANGELES
LOS ANGELES are 13-7 ATS (9.7 Units) in home games against excellent power play teams - scoring on > 19% of their chances over the last 2 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Wednesday, April 7

Trend Report

Edmonton @ Ottawa
Edmonton
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
Edmonton is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games at home
Ottawa is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games

Montreal @ Toronto
Montreal
Montreal is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Montreal is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games at home

Colorado @ Minnesota
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Colorado

Vegas @ St. Louis
Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Vegas's last 9 games when playing St. Louis
Vegas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 8 of St. Louis's last 9 games when playing Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games

Arizona @ Los Angeles
Arizona
Arizona is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona