Thursday 4/8/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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11FLORIDA -12 CAROLINA
CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS (6.7 Units) against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp in the current season.

13TAMPA BAY -14 COLUMBUS
COLUMBUS are 4-10 ATS (-7 Units) in home games off an home win scoring 4 or more goals in the last 3 seasons.

15WINNIPEG -16 MONTREAL
MONTREAL is 12-16 ATS (-12.5 Units) against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.

17PITTSBURGH -18 NY RANGERS
PITTSBURGH is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals over the last 2 seasons.

19BOSTON -20 WASHINGTON
BOSTON is 229-216 ATS (48.3 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game since 1996.

21PHILADELPHIA -22 NY ISLANDERS
NY ISLANDERS are 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in home games after playing a home game in the current season.

23NEW JERSEY -24 BUFFALO
NEW JERSEY is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) in road games off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals over the last 2 seasons.

25NASHVILLE -26 DETROIT
NASHVILLE is 11-1 ATS (11 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the current season.

27DALLAS -28 CHICAGO
DALLAS are 5-20 ATS (-18.4 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

29NEW JERSEY -30 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Thursday, April 8

Trend Report

New Jersey @ Buffalo
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
New Jersey is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing at home against New Jersey

Florida @ Carolina
Florida
Florida is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Florida is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Carolina
Carolina is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Florida
Carolina is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Florida

Philadelphia @ NY Islanders
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 11 games on the road
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
NY Islanders is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games

Pittsburgh @ NY Rangers
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Pittsburgh's last 22 games when playing NY Rangers
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 5 games at home

Boston @ Washington
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Boston's last 15 games
Washington
Washington is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Washington is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Boston

Tampa Bay @ Columbus
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Tampa Bay's last 23 games when playing on the road against Columbus
Columbus
Columbus is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Columbus is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

Winnipeg @ Montreal
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 16-3 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing Montreal
Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg

Edmonton @ Ottawa
Edmonton
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games at home
Ottawa is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games

Nashville @ Detroit
Nashville
Nashville is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Nashville is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Detroit
Detroit is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Detroit is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Dallas @ Chicago
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 20 of Dallas's last 25 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Dallas's last 13 games on the road
Chicago
Chicago is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Dallas
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park

Remington Park - Race 4	Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Cent Minimum)/ Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum) Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) (.50 Cent Minimum)
Claiming $6,250 • 400 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 72 • Purse: $12,000 • Post: 7:18P
QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * KB TENNESSEE SENATOR: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. WHAT SAY U: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. AUGUSTUS: Horse ranks in th e top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. WAVE MY BOOTY BYEBYE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. DUSTYS MIGHTY JOE: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation.
2	KB TENNESSEE SENATOR	9/2	6/1
8	WHAT SAY U	7/2	6/1
4	AUGUSTUS	3/1	7/1
3	WAVE MY BOOTY BYEBYE	6/1	8/1
6	DUSTYS MIGHTY JOE	10/1	9/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	THIS JEWELS FLYIN	1	8/1	Average	66	65	4.3	0.0	0.0
2	KB TENNESSEE SENATOR	2	9/2	Average	78	71	4.6	0.0	0.0
3	WAVE MY BOOTY BYEBYE	3	6/1	Average	71	67	4.9	0.0	0.0
4	AUGUSTUS	4	3/1	Average	77	68	5.0	0.0	0.0
5	ANNA TAMBIEN	5	6/1	Average	61	60	4.9	0.0	0.0
6	DUSTYS MIGHTY JOE	6	10/1	Fast	73	66	3.0	0.0	0.0
7	FEATURE CANDY	7	12/1	Fast	64	59	1.1	0.0	0.0
8	WHAT SAY U	8	7/2	Average	73	71	4.6	0.0	0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta Downs

Delta Downs - Race 4	Exacta / Trifecta (.50 min.) / Superfecta (.10 min.) Daily Double (Races 4-5)($1 min.)/ Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6)
Claiming $20,000 • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 85 • Purse: $30,000 • Post: 2:16P
FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MARCH 8 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000 (CONDITION ELIGIBILITY PREFERRED). LOUISIANA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $25,000.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * BEST LITTLE MAN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the t op three in TrackMaster Power Rating. CROQUE MONSIEUR (GB): Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. DANCE KINGDOM: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff.
8	BEST LITTLE MAN	3/1	5/1
4	CROQUE MONSIEUR (GB)	10/1	5/1
2	DANCE KINGDOM	15/1	6/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	CROQUE MONSIEUR (GB)	4	10/1	Front-runner	90	89	74.9	49.3	38.3
2	DANCE KINGDOM	2	15/1	Alternator/Front-runner	84	76	61.8	72.8	65.3
9	KURTS RAIDER	9	15/1	Stalker	78	71	50.3	66.0	50.5
8	BEST LITTLE MAN	8	3/1	Stalker	87	84	41.8	77.8	72.3
6	BRITTS A CLOSER	6	9/5	Alternator/Stalker	81	87	57.8	62.2	56.2
7	MUFFIN NUTS	7	9/2	Trailer	82	71	43.1	67.5	54.5
5	MUSCADINE	5	20/1	Trailer	80	71	40.0	67.6	59.1
1	FREDONIAN	1	9/2	Trailer	86	79	30.1	73.5	66.0
3	HEZA PRIORITY	3	20/1	Alternator/Trailer	79	72	38.0	72.0	60.5

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Aqueduct

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 1 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $45000 Class Rating: 97

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 127 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE OCTOBER 1, 2020 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 OBSESSED 3/5
# 4 JERUSALEM GATES 5/2
# 6 DANGEROUS EDGE 5/1

I give my vote to OBSESSED here. Is tough not to examine based on speed figures which have been very strong - 87 avg - of late. The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Pletcher running at this distance are the top in this group of horses. In this field, this horse is at the top in earnings per start in dirt route events. JERUSALEM GATES - Ought to come out strong - I have liked the way this gelding has moved speedily to the lead recently. With a sound 82 average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's contest. DANGEROUS EDGE - Must be considered based on the very strong Equibase Speed Fig garnered in the last race. His 79 average has this gelding with among the best Equibase Speed Figures for this event.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Oaklawn Park - Race #1 - Post: 1:00pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $27,000 Class Rating: 58

Rating:

#10 MOONSHINE MOMENT (ML=8/1)
#5 LOU'S ARROW (ML=8/1)


MOONSHINE MOMENT - Rode this horse on Mar 25th and Arrieta is back again in the irons today. I like to see fast morning drills. This gelding's last one was very good. Second fastest of the day. Ranked number 1 in earnings per race. Another notice that this horse is classy. LOU'S ARROW - This gelding has higher odds on the morning line than the other entrant from the stable of Martin. Better beware of this angle. The rider and handler combination have a favorable ROI when they team up. Cabrera was aboard this gelding last time around the track and was impressed enough to take the animal right back. Trainer Martin moves this animal down in class ranks to face a lower class of horses. Look for a strong effort at this level. Ran a less than stellar race at Oaklawn Park last time out. Racing under better track conditions puts this gelding at the top of my contenders list.

Vulnerable Contenders: #9 RISKY SITUATION (ML=3/1), #11 STORM CLASSIC (ML=4/1), #6 KAT'S HITMAN (ML=9/2),

RISKY SITUATION - This horse doesn't have a champion's temperament. Quite often finishes close, but no cigar. STORM CLASSIC - This gelding hasn't had any recent accomplishments in sprint contests. Tough to bet on him in this event. Finished tenth on March 19th after the very long layoff. Doubtful if there will be any change in this affair. KAT'S HITMAN - Improbable that the rating he earned on March 28th will be good enough in this clash.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - MOONSHINE MOMENT - The race on March 25th had a class rating of 66 while today's class rating is 58. I got to bet this one on such a big drop.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Putting our cash on #10 MOONSHINE MOMENT to win. Have to have odds of at least 2/1 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [5,10]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Keeneland

04/08/21, KEE, Race 4, 2.45 ET
04/08/21,KEE,4,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:15:00 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $20,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS IN 2020 - 2021 OR CLAIMING PRICE $10,000. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Since February 8 Allowed 3 lbs. A Race Since Then Allowed 5 lbs. Claiming Price $10,000 (Races Where Entered For $8,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	4	Miss Pinkerton(b-)	7/2	Saez L	King Barry L.	TL	165	36.97	1.44/$1
096.1962	8	Radiantrithym	5/2	Gaffalione T	Danner Douglas W.	SE	165	36.97	1.44/$1
095.9866	3	Trickizar	3/1	Gonzalez S	Hernandez Rey	FWC	165	36.97	1.44/$1
094.9632	5	My Dark Secret	10/1	Lanerie C J	Foster Eric N.		165	36.97	1.44/$1
093.8521	7	Isabelle's Joy	10/1	Beschizza A	Williamson Brian		165	36.97	1.44/$1
093.5909	2	Parking Ticket	15/1	Mena M	Aubrey J. Kevin		165	36.97	1.44/$1
093.0207	1	Diva Banker	7/2	Rosario J	Handal Raymond	J	165	36.97	1.44/$1
092.0286	6	Patti Patti Patti	15/1	Jimenez A	Kelly Blake		165	36.97	1.44/$1

Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 20.00, ROI 0.47/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -3.8038
[Category]Condition
[AllDirt]ActualPostNotGreaterThan9

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Gulfstream Park - Race #2 - Post: 1:33pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $19,000 Class Rating: 79

Rating:

#1 TREVESS (ML=9/2)


TREVESS - This racer could be tough in this race, especially since Vasquez rode last time around the track and now should be better acquainted with this one. When Vasquez and Collins are put together on horses the ROI has been wonderful at +603. Looks like the lone speed of the race. Should be tough on the front-end. Faced tougher last time out at Gulfstream Park. Based on Equibase class ratings, this is a weaker group, so I will put this horse on my list of contenders in this race. I think the shorter trip will help this filly stay the trip.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 LET'S BE HONEST (ML=9/5), #5 MARKISTAN (ML=2/1), #2 WEDONTBELIEVEHER (ML=4/1),

LET'S BE HONEST - This equine hasn't been hitting the board in either of her last two outings. MARKISTAN - Where is the speed? None to be found in here to set things up for this horse. This filly hasn't had any positive results in sprint races in the last 60 days. WEDONTBELIEVEHER - Should have at least finished in the money in the last sixty days in a short distance race to be any kind of value at minimal odds in a sprint. Finished seventh in her most recent effort with a mediocre speed fig. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to prove victorious after that in this field.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#1 TREVESS is the play if we get odds of 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Skip
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals Guru

Apr 08 '21, 7:08 PM in 1h
NHL | Penguins vs Rangers
Play on: OVER 6 -110

Free Total Annihilator On Penguins vs Rangers over 6 -110

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Kenny Walker

Apr 08 '21, 7:08 PM in 1h
NHL | Devils vs Sabres
Play on: Sabres +123 at Draft Kings

Free Pick on Sabres

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Dustin Hawkins

Apr 08 '21, 7:08 PM in 1h
NHL | Bruins vs Capitals
Play on: UNDER 5½ +106

1 Dimer on Bruins vs Capitals under 5½ +106

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Sal Michaels

Apr 08 '21, 7:08 PM in 1h
NHL | Jets vs Canadiens
Play on: Jets +108 at Draft Kings

Free Play on Jets +108

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Matt Fargo

Apr 08 '21, 7:08 PM in 1h
NHL | Penguins vs Rangers
Play on: Penguins +106 at linepros

Pittsburgh has lost two straight games following a five-game winning streak and the Penguins are now four points out of first place in the NHL East Division. They have allowed 15 goals over those two games but the Penguins are 4-1 in their last five games following a loss of 3 or more goals. New York has won three of its last four games which includes an 8-4 over Pittsburgh on Tuesday. The Rangers are 3-7 in their last 10 games after scoring five goals or more in their previous game. Here, we play on road teams against the money line off two consecutive losses against division rivals, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. This situation is 33-8 (80.5 percent) over the last five seasons. Play (17) Pittsburgh Penguins

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Hunter Price

Apr 08 '21, 7:08 PM in 1h
NHL | Flyers vs Islanders
Play on: Islanders -165 at Mirage

1* Free Pick on Islanders -165

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Bryan Leonard

Apr 08 '21, 7:08 PM in 1h
NHL | Devils vs Sabres
Play on: Sabres +116 at pinnacle

23 New Jersey at Buffalo
In 5x5 G+-/60 the Devils rank 18th and the Sabres 30th. In xG/60 New Jersey is -0.05 and the Sabres -0.43. A sizable differential for the road squad.
On the Power Play in G+-/60 the Devils rank 30th and the Sabres 13th. In xG/60 we find New Jersey +4.25 and Buffalo +5.44. I nice edge for the host.
Playing Short Handed in G+-/60the Devils rank 29th and the Sabres 14th. In xG/60 we see New Jersey at -7.49 and the Sabres -6.71. Another edge for the host.
While New Jersey is playing with next game revenge, the Sabres in actual goals and expected goals are the better team. Give us the host to sweep this quick two games series.
PLAY BUFFALO