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Sean Murphy
Apr 16 '21, 8:10 PM in 1h
NBA | Nuggets vs Rockets
Play on: UNDER 225½ -107
Friday NBA Free play. My selection is on the 'under' between Denver and Houston at 8:10 pm et on Friday.
I contemplated grabbing the points with the Rockets in this one but ultimately settled on the 'under' as I'm just not convinced we're going to see much of a letdown from the Nuggets following Wednesday's win over the Heat. I will point out, however, that Denver shot a blistering 53.9% in that victory over Miami - its first game without Jamal Murray after he tore his ACL earlier this week - which sets it up for a potentially lower-scoring affair here. Note that the last three times the Nuggets have shot better than 50% from the field they've followed it up 104, 106 and 87 points with the 'under' cashing on all three occasions (none of those games came even close to eclipsing the total). The Nuggets average just 106.9 points per game when playing on the road after winning six or seven of their last eight games over the last three seasons, with that situation producing an average total of 218.5 points. Houston has seen the 'over' cash in each of its last four games but off consecutive 120+ points performances I look for a bit of a letdown here. Note that the 'under' has gone 16-6 after the Rockets are involved in consecutive games totaling 215 points or more this season, with those games totaling an average of 219.6 points. We've also seen the 'under' go 40-22 after the Rockets allow 110 points or more in a game over the last two seasons. The previous meeting between these two teams this season totaled 235 points in a Nuggets rout. We're dealing with a higher posted total this time around and I believe it will prove too high. Take the under (8*).
Apr 16 '21, 8:10 PM in 1h
NBA | Nuggets vs Rockets
Play on: UNDER 225½ -107
Friday NBA Free play. My selection is on the 'under' between Denver and Houston at 8:10 pm et on Friday.
I contemplated grabbing the points with the Rockets in this one but ultimately settled on the 'under' as I'm just not convinced we're going to see much of a letdown from the Nuggets following Wednesday's win over the Heat. I will point out, however, that Denver shot a blistering 53.9% in that victory over Miami - its first game without Jamal Murray after he tore his ACL earlier this week - which sets it up for a potentially lower-scoring affair here. Note that the last three times the Nuggets have shot better than 50% from the field they've followed it up 104, 106 and 87 points with the 'under' cashing on all three occasions (none of those games came even close to eclipsing the total). The Nuggets average just 106.9 points per game when playing on the road after winning six or seven of their last eight games over the last three seasons, with that situation producing an average total of 218.5 points. Houston has seen the 'over' cash in each of its last four games but off consecutive 120+ points performances I look for a bit of a letdown here. Note that the 'under' has gone 16-6 after the Rockets are involved in consecutive games totaling 215 points or more this season, with those games totaling an average of 219.6 points. We've also seen the 'under' go 40-22 after the Rockets allow 110 points or more in a game over the last two seasons. The previous meeting between these two teams this season totaled 235 points in a Nuggets rout. We're dealing with a higher posted total this time around and I believe it will prove too high. Take the under (8*).
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