Saturday 4/17/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hoop Trends for Saturday April 17
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: San Antonio at Phoenix (10:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Suns are 14-0 ATS (10.11 ppg) after their opponent shot at least 48.5% from the field last game.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Golden State at Boston (8:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Celtics are 0-11 ATS (-10.00 ppg) at home with less than two days rest off a win in which they had 6+ double digit scorers.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: San Antonio at Phoenix (10:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Suns are 11-0 OU (15.59 ppg) with rest off a win in which they shot over 50% from the field.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Golden State at Boston (8:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Warriors are 0-11 OU (-13.73 ppg) off a road game in which Draymond Green had fewer than 10 points.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Golden Hour Wagers

Golden Hour Wagers - Race 4	Leg 4 of the Golden Hour Pick 4 Leg 2 of the Golden Hour Double
Claiming $20,000 • 6 Furlongs • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 90 • Purse: $18,000 • Post: 5:38P
GG - R8 - FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000, IF FOR $18,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (MAIDEN, CLAIMING AND STARTER RACES FOR $16,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * SMOKIN HOT BOBBIE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. DEE GEE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. MAYCEE JO: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. PERSUASIVE LIPS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. ILLAPAWNIE: Horse has the highest avera ge Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
8	SMOKIN HOT BOBBIE	8/1	6/1
7	DEE GEE	7/2	7/1
2	MAYCEE JO	4/1	7/1
4	PERSUASIVE LIPS	5/1	7/1
6	ILLAPAWNIE	9/2	8/1

---

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	MAYCEE JO	2	4/1	Front-runner	83	86	102.6	76.0	67.5
8	SMOKIN HOT BOBBIE	8	8/1	Alternator/Front-runner	87	87	84.2	86.4	79.9
6	ILLAPAWNIE	6	9/2	Stalker	84	88	71.0	83.4	73.4
4	PERSUASIVE LIPS	4	5/1	Alternator/Stalker	85	89	90.8	85.4	77.4
7	DEE GEE	7	7/2	Trailer	87	89	81.8	86.2	80.7
5	ENVY	5	10/1	Trailer	78	74	74.4	73.0	62.5
3	FRIEND OF AUTISM	3	6/1	Trailer	77	66	37.0	72.6	60.1
1	MIDNIGHT FLOWER	1	5/1	Alternator/Non-contender	81	78	82.7	76.0	67.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 6	$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $1 Superfecta (.10 cent minimum wager $1 Pick Three
Claiming $20,000 • 300 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 84 • Purse: $11,130 • Post: 8:30P
QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * FASHIN ICON: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. REASON TO STAY IN: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. GRAY INVADER: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. DIRTY MIKE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. INTERRAGATOR: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Styl e designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast.
6	FASHIN ICON	2/1	6/1
5	REASON TO STAY IN	9/5	7/1
2	GRAY INVADER	8/1	7/1
4	DIRTY MIKE	5/1	7/1
3	INTERRAGATOR	7/2	8/1

---

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	FIREBRAND	1	15/1	Average	80	77	4.5	0.0	0.0
2	GRAY INVADER	2	8/1	Average	88	81	4.9	0.0	0.0
3	INTERRAGATOR	3	7/2	Fast	84	76	2.8	0.0	0.0
4	DIRTY MIKE	4	5/1	Slow	89	77	7.1	0.0	0.0
5	REASON TO STAY IN	5	9/5	Fast	85	81	2.6	0.0	0.0
6	FASHIN ICON	6	2/1	Average/Trouble-prone	85	84	5.5	0.0	0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Aqueduct

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

---

Race 5 - Allowance - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $72000 Class Rating: 100

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $13,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 127 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN CLAIMING OR STARTER AT A MILE OR OVER ALLOWED 2 LBS. (IF THE STEWARDS CONSIDER

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 MO FAITH 2/1
# 4 BARLEEWON 3/1
# 6 AUSTRIAN 7/2

MO FAITH is my choice. He has been running strongly and the speed figures are among the strongest in this group of animals. Win percentage under similar conditions may be the key for this colt. Is a solid contender - given the 103 speed figure from his most recent race. BARLEEWON - With a formidable 98 speed rating last time out, will surely be a factor in this competition. Ought to be carefully examined here on the basis of the figures in the speed department alone. AUSTRIAN - Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Gargan have shown sharp results as of late. Has to be considered based on the formidable speed rating posted in the last affair.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Charles Town - Race #2 - Post: 7:32pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,500 Class Rating: 78

Rating:

#7 AUTS REVOLUTION (ML=4/1)
#2 BRIBERY (ML=5/2)


AUTS REVOLUTION - This jockey and handler have a profitable return on investment when they unite. My buddies and I have made bucks playing thoroughbreds with this type of pace. Follow my advice and do the same. Looking at today's class figure, this pony is meeting an easier field than last time around the track at Charles Town. Look for this gelding to show better in this race. Last race at Charles Town finishing fourth on a track listed as good is no sign of his true ability. BRIBERY - This gelding looks like a natural router, based on efforts in last 2 sprint races. A campaigner coming back this promptly after a nice race is a good signal. Last workout was the second fastest of the day. Unquestionably on edge for a good one today. Three consecutive improved speed figs (54-64-78) make this one a powerful contender. This gelding's last rating is strong enough to win here, I'll wager on him right back this time. This gelding is tops in earnings per start. Give the once over to this one in the post parade.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 ROSAS WAY (ML=7/2), #6 NEW AFLEET (ML=9/2), #3 ASTRO RIDER (ML=5/1),

ROSAS WAY - Would have to get quite a bit more than the M/L odds of 7/2 to wager on this thoroughbred. NEW AFLEET - When examining today's class figure, he will have to garner a better rating than last out to be competitive in this dirt route. ASTRO RIDER - When examining today's class rating, he will have to earn a much better speed fig than last time around the track to be competitive in this dirt route.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#7 AUTS REVOLUTION is the play if we get odds of 7/5 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

---

Race 8 - Stakes - 400y on the Dirt. Purse: $100000 Class Rating: 102

QUARTER HORSE 400Y, SOONER STATE S. - FOR ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. NO NOMINATION FEE, $500 TO ENTER, STARTERS TO PAY AN ADDITIONAL $500.00. WEIGHT:THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS. OLDER, 126 LBS. HORSES WITH THE HIGHEST ACCUMULATED EARNINGS SINCE APRIL 17TH, 2019 ACCORDING TO OFFICIAL STATISTICS PROVIDED BY EQUIBASE WILL HAVE PREFERENCE AT TIME OF ENTRY.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 VALIANT TIBERIAS 9/5
# 7 EAGLES FLY HIGHER 2/1
# 6 OATMAN CREEK SENATOR 20/1

VALIANT TIBERIAS is my choice. He has strong class ratings, averaging 106, and has to be given a chance for this event. Chavezgutierre has this gelding racing well and is a very good selection based on the quite good speed figures recorded in short races as of late. With a reliable rider who has won at a very good 23 percent clip over the last 30 days. This has to be one of the top picks. EAGLES FLY HIGHER - Should keep the impressive string of finishes intact this time out. Overall the speed figures of this racer look decent in this contest. OATMAN CREEK SENATOR - Has been running soundly and has among the most respectable speed in the race for today's distance.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Oaklawn Park

04/17/21, OP, Race 11, 6.09 CT
04/17/21,OP,11,1 1/16M [Dirt] 1:40:01 HANDICAP. Apple Blossom Handicap. Grade 1. Purse $1,000,000. FILLIES AND MARES, FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. By subscription of $100 each, which shall accompany the nomination, $5,000 to pass the entry box and $5,000 additional to start. Supplementary nominations may be made by Friday, April 9, 2021 at $500. $1,000,000 Guaranteed of which 60% to the Owner of the winner, 20% to second, 10% to third, 5% to fourth, 3% to fifth and 2% to be divided equally between remaining starters. Weights to be announced Saturday, April 10, 2021. In Handicap Stakes starting preference will be given to high weights. (See reverse side for additional starting limitation information). Starters to be named through the entry box by the usual time of closing. The Owner of the winner to receive a trophy. Nominations closed Thursday,April 1, 2021 with 15 nominations.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	6	Monomoy Girl	1/1	Geroux F	Cox Brad H.	SFE	219	35.62	1.13/$1
097.5374	3	Letruska	4/1	Ortiz. Jr. I	Gutierrez Fausto	JL	219	35.62	1.13/$1
096.9969	5	Getridofwhatailesu	6/1	Arrieta F	Cox Brad H.	C	264	31.82	1.15/$1
095.8560	2	Swiss Skydiver	2/1	Albarado R	McPeek Kenneth G.	W	219	35.62	1.13/$1
092.7583	1	Another Broad	10/1	Santana. Jr. R	Asmussen Steven M.		264	31.82	1.15/$1
092.7492	4	Chance to Shine	20/1	Tohill K S	Hartman Chris A.		264	31.82	1.15/$1

Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 23.33, ROI 0.68/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -2.4626
[Category]Condition
[AllDirt]RaceSexFemales

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Hawthorne - Race #3 - Post: 4:06pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,000 Class Rating: 79

Rating:

#4 CHOLLA (ML=7/2)
#6 WOOD NOT MIND (ML=6/1)


CHOLLA - Reavis has this mare in the right spot. Smart move here since this horse won a $5,000 Claiming race not too long ago. WOOD NOT MIND - Wiseman comes to get aboard after getting to know the mare in the last affair. I really like that last race on Apr 4th at Hawthorne where she ended up third.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 BE AUTHENTIC (ML=3/1), #2 BODEMAX (ML=9/2), #1 KARA'S ANGEL (ML=5/1),

BE AUTHENTIC - Doubtful that the speed rating she earned on March 28th will hold up in this event. BODEMAX - The speed ratings continue to descend, 82/55/47. Not a positive signal. This filly registered a speed rating in her last race which probably isn't good enough in today's race. KARA'S ANGEL - Finished third in her most recent effort with a mediocre fig. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this field.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #4 CHOLLA to win if we can get at least 3/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [4,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

951ARIZONA -952 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 97-68 SU (20.9 Units) vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the last 3 seasons.

953ATLANTA -954 CHICAGO CUBS
CHICAGO CUBS are 21-33 SU (-16.6 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game over the last 2 seasons.

953ATLANTA -954 CHICAGO CUBS
DAVID ROSS is 21-33 SU (-15.3 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game (Coach of CHICAGO CUBS)

955ST LOUIS -956 PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA is 5-19 SU (-17.3 Units) vs. poor fielding teams - averaging 0.75+ errors/game in the last 3 seasons.

957SAN FRANCISCO -958 MIAMI
SAN FRANCISCO is 21-11 SU (12.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

957SAN FRANCISCO -958 MIAMI
GABE KAPLER is 21-11 SU (8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record (Coach of SAN FRANCISCO)

959PITTSBURGH -960 MILWAUKEE
PITTSBURGH is 19-5 SU (13.2 Units) with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons.

959PITTSBURGH -960 MILWAUKEE
DEREK SHELTON is 19-5 SU (13.5 Units) with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL) (Coach of PITTSBURGH)

961NY METS -962 COLORADO
COLORADO is 23-41 SU (-22.1 Units) after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games in the last 3 seasons.

963LA DODGERS -964 SAN DIEGO
LA DODGERS are 20-11 SU (11.6 Units) vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better over the last 2 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Saturday, April 17

NL games
Atlanta (6-8) @ Cubs (5-7)
— Ynoa is 0-0, 0.82 in his first two starts (11 IP)
— Braves split his first two starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against the Cubs.

— Braves lost four of their last six games.
— Atlanta is 3-4 on the road.
— Over is 8-3 in their last 11 games.
— scored run in first inning: 6-14
— record in first 5 innings: 4-6-4

— Williams is 1-1, 6.75 in his first two starts.
— Cubs split his two starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He is 0-0, 2.77 in 3 games (2 starts) vs Atlanta.

— Cubs lost seven of their last nine games.
— Chicago is 3-4 at home.
— 10 of last 12 games stayed under the total.
— scored run in first inning: 4-13
— record in first 5 innings: 4-8-1

Arizona (5-9) @ Washington (4-7)
— Weaver is 1-0, 2.13 in two starts.
— Arizona won both his starts
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He allowed four runs in 3.2 IP in his one start vs Washington.

— Arizona lost nine of first 14 games.
— Arizona is 3-6 on the road.
— over 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7-1

— Fedde is 0-1, 9.95 in two starts (6.1 IP).
— Nationals split his two starts.
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
— He allowed five runs in six IP in his one start vs Arizona.

— Washington lost seven of its first 11 games.
— Nationals are 2-3 at home.
— under 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 4-11
— record in first 5 innings: 1-5-5

St Louis (6-7) @ Philadelphia (7-6)
— Kim is making his first ’21 start; he has been hurt.
— He was 3-0, 1.62 in 8 games (7 starts) as a 31-year old rookie LY.

— Cardinals lost five of their last six games.
— St Louis is 4-3 on the road.
— Over 4-2-1 on road.
— scored run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 3-8-2

— Moore is 0-0, 7.56 in two starts this year.
— Phillies won both his starts.
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
— He is 1-0, 2.77 in 3 games (2 starts) vs St Louis.

— Phillies lost five of their last seven games.
— Phillies are 6-1 at home, 1-5 on road.
— Seven of last ten games went over.
— scored run in first inning: 4-12
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6-2

San Francisco (8-5) @ Miami (6-7)
— Sanchez is 0-1, 2.70 in two starts.
— Giants lost both his starts, scoring one run.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
— He gave up five runs in 4.1 IP in his one start vs Miami.

— Giants are 8-5 in their first 13 games.
— Giants are 3-4 on the road.
— 10 of last 11 games stayed under
— scored run in first inning: 2-13
— record in first 5 innings: 5-5-3

— Alcantara is 0-1, 2.95 in three starts.
— Marlins are 1-2 in his starts.
— under 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
— He is 0-1, 1.32 in 3 games (2 starts) vs SF.

— Marlins won five of their last six games.
— Miami is 2-5 at home.
— under 6-3-1 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 5-3-5

Pittsburgh (6-8) @ Milwaukee (7-6)
— Cahill is 0-1, 8.00 in two starts (9 IP).
— Pirates lost both his starts.
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 2-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
— He is 2-0, 2.45 in 14 games (2 starts) vs Milwaukee.

— Pirates won five of their last seven games.
— Pittsburgh is 2-5 on the road.
— over 6-4 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 2-14
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5-2

— Brett Anderson is 1-1, 4.50 in two starts.
— Milwaukee split his starts.
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He is 3-1, 3.45 in six starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Brewers won six of their last nine games.
— Milwaukee is 3-4 at home.
— under 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 4-13
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-2

Mets (5-3) @ Colorado (3-10)
— deGrom allowed one run in 14 IP in his two starts.
— Mets lost both of those games, scoring 3 runs.
— over/under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He is 4-1, 1.25 in seven starts vs Colorado.

— Lucchesi is making his first start for the Mets.
— He is 18-20, 4.20 in 60 MLB games (58 starts).
— He is 2-3, 4.34 in nine starts vs Colorado, 1-2, 5.56 in five starts here.

— Mets won four of their last five games.
— Mets are 1-2 on the road.
— Under 5-0 last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 6-2

— Gonzalez allowed one run in five IP (80 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— Colorado lost his first start, 4-3.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.

— Marquez is 0-1, 4.02 in three starts.
— Colorado is 1-2 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1
— He is 2-0, 4.50 in three starts vs New York.

— Colorado lost its last six games.
— Rockies are 3-4 at home.
— Under 8-2 last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6-1

Dodgers (12-2) @ San Diego (9-6)
— Kershaw is 2-0, 0.69 in his last two starts.
— Dodgers won two of his three starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1
— He is 21-7, 2.83 in 40 starts vs San Diego.

— Dodgers won 12 of their last 13 games.
— Dodgers are 6-2 on the road.
— Over 5-3 on road
— scored run in first inning: 5-14
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-2

— Darvish is 1-0, 1.38 in his last two starts.
— Padres are 3-0 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-2
— He gave up one run in seven IP in his one start vs LA.

— Padres won six of their last ten games.
— San Diego is 4-4 at home.
— Nine of last 14 games stayed under
— scored run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7-2

AL games
Tampa Bay (6-8) @ Bronx (5-8)
— Glasnow is 1-0, 0.47 in three starts.
— Rays are 2-1 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0-2
— He is 1-2, 3.70 in five starts against New York.

— Tampa Bay lost four of their last six games.
— Rays are 3-4 in their first seven road games.
— 10 of last 13 games went over
— scored run in first inning: 4-24
— record in first 5 innings: 5-5-4

— Montgomery is 1-0, 3.09 in two starts.
— Bronx won his first two starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2
— He is 1-2, 5.54 in seven starts vs Tampa Bay.

— New York lost six of its last eight games.
— New York is 3-4 in its first seven home games.
— under 5-2 at home
— scored run in first inning: 1-13
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7

White Sox (6-7) @ Boston (9-4)
— Cease is 0-0, 3.86 in two starts.
— White Sox lost his first two starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Boston.

— Chicago lost three of its last five games.
— White Sox are 3-4 on the road.
— under 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 9-1-3

— Pivetta is 2-0, 3.27 in his first two starts.
— Red Sox won his two starts, scoring 25 runs.
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He gave up one unearned run in two relief stints (3 IP) vs Chicago.

— Boston won nine of its last ten games.
— Red Sox are 3-3 at home.
— Eight of last 11 games went over
— scored run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 4-6-3

Baltimore (6-8) @ Texas (6-8)
— Kremer is 0-1, 10.50 in two starts (6 IP).
— Orioles split his starts.
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Texas.

— Orioles lost eight of their last 11 games.
— Baltimore is 5-2 on the road.
— under 5-2 in their road games.
— scored run in first inning: 4-14
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-3

— Dunning is 1-0, 1.00 in his two starts (9 IP).
— Texas split his two starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Baltimore.

— Texas won three of its last four games.
— Texas is 2-5 at home.
— under 7-4 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 4-14
— record in first 5 innings: 8-5-1

Toronto (6-7) @ Kansas City (7-4)
— Matz is 2-0, 1.46 in his first two starts.
— Jays won his two starts by combined 21-3.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He hasn’t pitched against Kansas City.

— Ray allowed two runs in five IP (84 PT) in his first ‘21 start.
— Jays lost his first start, 3-1
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He gave up one run in 1.1 IP in his one start vs Kansas City.

— Toronto won three of its last five games.
— Toronto is 3-4 on the road.
— under 8-5
— scored run in first inning: 4-13
— record in first 5 innings: 4-9

— Minor is 1-0, 4.50 in his first two starts.
— Royals won his first two starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
— He is 4-0, 2.00 in seven games (5 starts) vs Toronto.

— Ervin Santana is making his first start since 2019.
— From 2018-20, he made only eight starts; he is 149-127, 4.09 in 384 MLB starts.
— He is 6-7, 3.89 in 20 starts vs Toronto.

— Royals are 7-4 in their first 11 games.
— Royals are 5-2 at home.
— six of last eight games under
— scores run in first inning: 3-11
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4-1

Minnesota (6-8) @ Angels (8-5)
— Ex-Angel Shoemaker is 1-0, 4.09 in two starts.
— Twins split his first two starts.
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He’s never pitched against his old team.

— Twins lost six of their last seven games.
— Minnesota is 4-3 on the road.
— over 4-3 on road
— scores run in first inning: 6-14
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-3

— Quintana allowed 11 runs in five IP in his first two starts.
— Angels split his first two starts.
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2
— He is 7-8, 4.05 in 21 starts vs Minnesota.

— Angels won eight of their first 13 games.
— Halos are 5-2 at home.
— over 7-6
— scored run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6-2

Detroit (5-8) @ Oakland (7-7)
— Mize is 1-0, 0.82 in his two starts.
— Detroit won both his starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He hasn’t pitched against Oakland

— Detroit won three of its last five games.
— Detroit is 3-5 on the road.
— under 9-5
— scored run in first inning: 4-14
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6

— Irvin is 0-2, 7.45 in two starts.
— A’s lost those two games.
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Detroit

— A’s won seven of last eight games, after an 0-6 start.
— All seven of their losses are by 4+ runs.
— Oakland lost five of its eight home games.
— Five of last six games went over.
— scored run in first inning: 4-14
— record in first 5 innings: 4-8-2

Houston (6-7) @ Seattle (9-5)
— Greinke is 1-1, 4.08 in three starts.
— Astros are 2-1 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
— He is 7-2, 2.27 in 16 games (14 starts) vs Seattle.

— Astros lost their last six games.
— Astros are 5-2 on the road.
— over 9-4
— scored run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-2

— Flexen is 1-0, 5.40 in two starts.
— Seattle won both his starts.
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He gave up seven runs in four IP, in his one start vs Houston.

— Seattle won seven of its last nine games.
— Seattle is 4-3 at home.
— over 8-5-1
— scored run in first inning: 1-14
— record in first 5 innings: 4-8-2

Interleague games
Cleveland (7-6) @ Cincinnati (8-5)
— McKenzie allowed three runs in four IP (76 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— Indians lost his first start, 4-3.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Cincinnati.

— Cleveland won six of their last nine games.
— Indians are 3-5 on the road.
— under 10-3
— scores run in first inning: 2-13
— record in first 5 innings: 3-9-1

— Sonny Gray is making his first ’21 start.
— He is 75-63, 3.54 in 118 starts, was 5-3, 3.70 in 11 starts LY.
— He is 5-3, 3.15 in 10 starts vs Cleveland.

— Cincinnati lost four of its last six games.
— Reds are 6-1 at home, 2-4 on road.
— Over 6-0-1 at home
— scored run in first inning: 4-13
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Saturday, April 17

Trend Report

Tampa Bay @ NY Yankees
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 9 games when playing Tampa Bay

Arizona @ Washington
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games when playing Arizona

Toronto @ Kansas City
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing Kansas City
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games when playing Toronto
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Atlanta @ Chi Cubs
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing Atlanta

Chi White Sox @ Boston
Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing Boston
Boston
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Boston is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games

St. Louis @ Philadelphia
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Detroit @ Oakland
Detroit
Detroit is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Detroit is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
Oakland
Oakland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Cleveland @ Cincinnati
Cleveland
Cleveland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

NY Mets @ Colorado
NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Mets's last 7 games when playing Colorado
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Colorado's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing NY Mets

San Francisco @ Miami
San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing Miami
Miami
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing San Francisco

Toronto @ Kansas City
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing Kansas City
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games when playing Toronto
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Baltimore @ Texas
Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas
Baltimore is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Texas
Texas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
Texas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore

Pittsburgh @ Milwaukee
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Milwaukee
Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Milwaukee's last 20 games when playing Pittsburgh

LA Dodgers @ San Diego
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Diego
LA Dodgers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Diego's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers

NY Mets @ Colorado
NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Mets's last 7 games when playing Colorado
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Colorado's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing NY Mets

Minnesota @ LA Angels
Minnesota
Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Angels
LA Angels
LA Angels is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing Minnesota

Houston @ Seattle
Houston
Houston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games on the road
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Seattle is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

1NEW JERSEY -2 NY RANGERS
NEW JERSEY is 8-2 ATS (5.8 Units) in road games off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals over the last 2 seasons.

3WASHINGTON -4 PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games after playing a game where 3 or fewer total goals were scored in the last 3 seasons.

5CHICAGO -6 NASHVILLE
NASHVILLE is 19-4 ATS (15.2 Units) vs. losing teams in the current season.

5PITTSBURGH -6 BUFFALO
PITTSBURGH is 19-22 ATS (-18.6 Units) against horrible power play killing teams-opp score on >19% of chances in the 2nd half of the year in the last 3 seasons.

7ST LOUIS -8 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more in the current season.

9FLORIDA -10 TAMPA BAY
FLORIDA is 0-8 ATS (-8.2 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the current season.

11CHICAGO -12 DETROIT
DETROIT is 13-42 ATS (-22.3 Units) against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

13NASHVILLE -14 CAROLINA
CAROLINA is 20-7 ATS (11.5 Units) against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the current season.

17COLUMBUS -18 DALLAS
COLUMBUS are 2-12 ATS (-12.1 Units) in road games against horrible power play killing teams-opp score on >19% of chances in the current season.

19SAN JOSE -20 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 15-3 ATS (12.3 Units) in home games against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Saturday, April 17

Trend Report

New Jersey @ NY Rangers
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
New Jersey is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games on the road
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Rangers's last 7 games at home

Washington @ Philadelphia
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 10 games at home

Pittsburgh @ Buffalo
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Buffalo
Buffalo is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games

Ottawa @ Montreal
Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Ottawa's last 11 games when playing Montreal
Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Montreal's last 11 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa

St. Louis @ Arizona
St. Louis
St. Louis is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona
Arizona is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games at home

Nashville @ Carolina
Nashville
Nashville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Nashville is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
Carolina
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Nashville
Carolina is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Nashville

Florida @ Tampa Bay
Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing at home against Florida

Chicago @ Detroit
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
Detroit
Detroit is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Detroit is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games at home

Edmonton @ Winnipeg
Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 5 games
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 7 games when playing at home against Edmonton

Columbus @ Dallas
Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Columbus's last 9 games on the road
Dallas
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Dallas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home

San Jose @ Minnesota
San Jose
San Jose is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Jose's last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing at home against San Jose

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Severance

SAN JOSE @ MINNESOTA | 04/17 | 8:00 PM EDT
MINNESOTA -170
ANALYSIS: Won on Minnesota beating San Jose 3-2 on Friday and obviously being home in the second of a back-to-back is a huge advantage. Plus, the Wild have a terrific 1A goaltender in rookie Kaapo Kahkonen. Yes, he has struggled a bit of late but still prefer him over San Jose's Martin Jones, who has lost three straight starts while posting an .810 save percentage.

+1889 110-68 IN LAST 178 NHL PICKS
+625 8-1 IN LAST 9 MIN ML PICKS
2:45 PM

CLEVELAND @ CINCINNATI | 04/17 | 4:10 PM EDT
CINCINNATI -140
ANALYSIS: We won on the Reds on Friday, and I see no reason why we won't here -- they simply mash the ball at home. Plus, Cleveland still isn't used to not having the DH. Former All-Star Sonny Gray makes his 2021 debut for Cincinnati but apparently is stretched out after pitching in simulated games. Cleveland's Triston McKenzie (0-0, 4.70), meanwhile, isn't stretched out as a former reliever and has been significantly worse on the road in his young career.

+279 4-1 IN LAST 5 MLB ML PICKS
+400 4-0 IN LAST 4 CIN ML PICKS
+55 2-1 IN LAST 3 CLE ML PICKS
2:25 PM

CHICAGO @ DETROIT | 04/17 | 7:00 PM EDT
DETROIT +120
ANALYSIS: I absolutely believe the wrong team is favored here and that it will shift by puck drop as the Hawks are starting backup Malcolm Subban (4-5-1, 3.14). You should be betting against Chicago whenever he starts on the road. Detroit has won three straight and beat the Hawks 4-1 on Thursday -- and that was without No. 1 Jonathan Bernier, who should start here. He's far superior to Subban.

+1889 110-68 IN LAST 178 NHL PICKS
+600 6-0 IN LAST 6 DET ML PICKS
+305 6-3 IN LAST 9 CHI ML PICKS
2:18 PM

OTTAWA @ MONTREAL | 04/17 | 4:00 PM EDT
MONTREAL -210
ANALYSIS: Worrisome price on the Habs in the second of a back-to-back, but Ottawa is awful on the road and Montreal will get back No. 1 netminder Carey Price. He hasn't played since April 5 due to a lower-body injury. Price has a 2.53 GAA at home this year. Montreal has won eight of the past 11 at home in the series.

+1889 110-68 IN LAST 178 NHL PICKS
+789 13-2 IN LAST 15 OTT ML PICKS
+101 5-3 IN LAST 8 MON ML PICKS
2:15 PM

UTAH @ L.A. LAKERS | 04/17 | 4:30 PM EDT
L.A. LAKERS -114
ANALYSIS: I believe Utah is punting on this game in the second of a back-to-back and unusual start time. Donovan Mitchell is out injured and we know that Rudy Gobert and Mike Conley so far are resting.

+1347 36-13 IN LAST 49 NBA ML PICKS
2:39 PM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon

Apr 17 '21, 4:05 PM in 36m
MLB | White Sox vs Red Sox
Play on: White Sox +105 at Mirage

FREE PLAY on White Sox +105