Tuesday 4/27/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Diamond Trends for Tuesday April 27
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: San Diego at Arizona (9:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Diamondbacks are 10-0 SU since Apr 05, 2019 in the first game of a series with rest after they allowed 6 or fewer hits last game.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Detroit at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Tigers are 0-11 SU since May 27, 2019 on the road after they allowed 0-1 walks last game.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: San Diego at Arizona (9:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Padres are 0-12 OU (-3.79 ppg) since Aug 29, 2020 as a favorite after they had a comeback win last game.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Philadelphia at St. Louis (7:45 p.m. ET)

-- The Cardinals are 9-0 OU (3.28 ppg) since Jul 02, 2017 when Carlos Martinez starts at home when they lost in his last start.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

553PORTLAND -554 INDIANA
INDIANA is 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

555MILWAUKEE -556 CHARLOTTE
MILWAUKEE is 29-11 ATS (16.9 Units) in road games as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points in the last 3 seasons.

555MILWAUKEE -556 CHARLOTTE
Mike Budenholzer is 29-11 ATS (16.9 Units) in road games as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points (Coach of MILWAUKEE)

557OKLAHOMA CITY -558 BOSTON
BOSTON is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

559BROOKLYN -560 TORONTO
TORONTO is 53-33 ATS (16.7 Units) versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game - 2nd half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

559BROOKLYN -560 TORONTO
Nick Nurse is 53-33 ATS (16.7 Units) versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game - 2nd half of the season (Coach of TORONTO)

561MINNESOTA -562 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 6-21 ATS (-17.1 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

563DALLAS -564 GOLDEN STATE
GOLDEN STATE is 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots in the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Tuesday, April 27

Oklahoma City @ Boston
Thunder (20-41)
— Thunder lost 14 in row, 17 of last 18 games.
— OKC is 3-5 ATS in their last eight road games.
— Under is 13-3 in their last 16 road games.

Celtics (32-29)
— Boston lost three of its last four games.
— Celtics are 5-3 ATS in their last eight home games.
— Under is 11-5 in their last 16 games

— Celtics won six of last seven series games.
— Thunder is 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Boston.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Milwaukee @ Charlotte
Bucks (37-23)
— Milwaukee lost three of its last five games SU.
— Bucks are 5-2 ATS in last seven road games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Under is 4-1 in Milwaukee’s last five road games.

Hornets (30-30)
— Charlotte lost six of its last nine games SU.
— Hornets are 3-0 ATS in their last three home games.
— Under is 19-6 in Charlotte’s last 25 games.

— Hornets are 2-0 vs Milwaukee this year, winning by 12-8 points.
— Bucks are 0-6 ATS in last six visits to Charlotte. /
— Over is 4-2 in last six series games.

Portland @ Indiana
Trailblazers (32-28)
— Portland lost last five games, three by 1 or 2 points.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Blazers are 0-4 ATS in last four road games.
— Under is 9-4 in Portland’s last 13 games.

Pacers (29-31)
— Indiana won its last three games after a 1-4 skid.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Pacers are 2-13 ATS in their last 15 home games.
— Over is 4-1 in Indiana’s last five home games.

— Portland won seven of last ten series games.
— Blazers are 4-1 ATS in last five visits to Indiana.
— Under is 6-1 in last seven series games.

Brooklyn @ Toronto
Nets (41-20)
— Brooklyn won three of its last four games SU.
— Nets are 3-5 ATS in last eight road games.
— Under is 6-3 in last nine Brooklyn road games.

Raptors (26-35)
— Toronto won/covered five of its last six games.
— Raptors are 5-0 ATS in last five home games.
— Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.

— Raptors won last six series games (5-1 ATS)
— Nets are 2-3 ATS in last five road series games.
— Over is 5-5 in last ten series games.

Minnesota @ Houston
Timberwolves (18-44)
— Minnesota won four of its last six games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Wolves are 5-5-1 ATS in last 11 road games.
— Over is 5-2 in their last seven road games.

Rockets (15-46)
— Houston lost 36 of its last 40 games SU.
— Rockets are 6-6 ATS in last dozen games.
— Under is 3-1 in their last four games.

— Rockets won six of last seven series games.
— Minnesota is 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Houston.
— Over is 5-5 in last ten series games.

Dallas @ Golden State
Mavericks (33-27)
— Mavericks won three of their last four games.
— Mavericks are 6-4 ATS in last ten road games.
— Under is 10-5 in last 15 Dallas games.

Warriors (31-30)
— Golden State won seven of its last nine games SU.
— Warriors are 5-2 ATS in last seven home games.
— Under is 9-4 in their last 13 games.

— Dallas won five of last six series games.
— Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in last five visits to Oakland/SF
— Over is 8-2 in last ten series games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Tuesday, April 27

Trend Report

Oklahoma City @ Boston
Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Boston's last 13 games at home

Milwaukee @ Charlotte
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Charlotte
Charlotte
Charlotte is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games at home

Portland @ Indiana
Portland
Portland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Portland's last 7 games when playing Indiana
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing Portland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 9 games

Brooklyn @ Toronto
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Brooklyn is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Minnesota @ Houston
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games on the road
Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota

Dallas @ Golden State
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Golden State
Golden State
Golden State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hoop Trends for Tuesday April 27
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Milwaukee at Charlotte (7:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Hornets are 11-0 ATS (12.86 ppg) off a win as a home dog in which they had 6+ double digit scorers.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Portland at Indiana (7:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Pacers are 0-12 ATS (-6.88 ppg) at home coming off a road game.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Oklahoma City at Boston (7:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Celtics are 14-0-1 OU (14.60 ppg) coming off a road loss where they had at least 30% of their points on threes.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Milwaukee at Charlotte (7:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Hornets are 0-13 OU (-19.12 ppg) after Devonte Graham was their high scorer last game.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

19BOSTON -20 PITTSBURGH
BOSTON is 4-9 ATS (-10.9 Units) against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

21BUFFALO -22 NY RANGERS
BUFFALO is 7-33 ATS (-29.3 Units) off a loss by 2 goals or more to a division rival in the last 3 seasons.

23DETROIT -24 COLUMBUS
COLUMBUS are 1-10 ATS (-11.9 Units) against poor possession teams-averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opp in the current season.

25NY ISLANDERS -26 WASHINGTON
NY ISLANDERS are 2-9 ATS (-8.4 Units) in road games against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game in the current season.

27PHILADELPHIA -28 NEW JERSEY
NEW JERSEY is 0-12 ATS (-12.8 Units) in home games against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

29FLORIDA -30 NASHVILLE
NASHVILLE is 22-11 ATS (11.7 Units) against horrible power play killing teams-opp score on >19% of chances in the current season.

31TAMPA BAY -32 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games off a home loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

33CAROLINA -34 DALLAS
DALLAS are 3-13 ATS (-13.6 Units) in home games against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Tuesday, April 27

Trend Report
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Buffalo @ NY Rangers
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games on the road
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Buffalo
NY Rangers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo

Boston @ Pittsburgh
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Boston
Pittsburgh is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

Detroit @ Columbus
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Columbus
Detroit is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Columbus's last 5 games when playing Detroit

NY Islanders @ Washington
NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of NY Islanders's last 16 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of NY Islanders's last 11 games
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 9 games
Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing NY Islanders

Philadelphia @ New Jersey
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games on the road
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Tampa Bay @ Chicago
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games when playing Chicago
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Chicago's last 15 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

Florida @ Nashville
Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games on the road
Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Nashville
Nashville
Nashville is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Nashville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Carolina @ Dallas
Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Carolina's last 9 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Carolina is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Dallas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee

Apr 27 '21, 7:20 PM in 17m
MLB | Cubs vs Braves
Play on: Braves -1½ +125 at BetCris

FREE PICK - Atlanta Braves -1.5 (+125)
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 952
I'm going to take the Braves -1.5 (+125) in Game 2 of their 4-game home series against the Cubs. Atlanta won the series opener 8-7 and really should have scored more. The Braves left 10 guys on base. They should be primed for another strong offensive showing against Cubs' starter Trevor Williams.
In 4 starts, Williams owns a mere 4.66 ERA and 1.500 WHIP. Note that 3 of his 4 starts came at home. In his lone road outing, he was torched for 5 runs on 10 hits and 2 walks in just 3 1/3 innings at Pittsburgh.
The Braves will send out Ian Anderson, who finally looked like the top tier starter we expected to see out of the gate. In Anderson's last start he went into Yankee Stadium and held NY to just 4 hits in 6 2/3 scoreless innings. He should be able to build on that strong showing against the soft-hitting Cubs. This is also his first career start against Chicago, so Cubs' hitters should be at a disadvantage. Give me the Braves -1.5 (+125)!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Murphy

Apr 27 '21, 7:45 PM in 42m
MLB | PHI vs STL
Play on: OVER 8 -120

Tuesday MLB Free play. My selection is on the 'over' between Philadelphia and St. Louis at 7:45 pm et on Tuesday.
We saw a pitcher's duel in the opener of this series last night as Philadelphia secured a 2-1 victory. I expect a much different story to unfold on Tuesday as Zach Eflin squares off against Carlos Martinez. Eflin had a fine spring, and on the face of it has pitched well through four regular season starts as well, recording a 2.77 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. However, there is reason for concern. Eflin has recorded a 49.4% hard-hit ball percentage, a 35.9% ground ball percentage and a 32.1% fly ball percentage - all considerably worse than the MLB average. On a positive note, his walk rate is down but so is his strikeout rate. Note that his two previous career starts against the Cardinals have totaled 13 and 11 runs. Carlos Martinez will counter for St. Louis. He's been a disaster going back to last season. Martinez checks in sporting an ugly 50.0% hard-hit ball percentage and 90.3 mph exit velocity off opposing bats. His strikeout rate dropped off considerably from his career average last season and we've seen further regression so far this year, down to 5.6 strikeouts per nine innings. When Martinez faced the Phillies earlier this month he was tagged for six earned runs in just five innings of work. Take the over (8*).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins

Apr 27 '21, 8:08 PM in 1h
NHL | Lightning vs Blackhawks
Play on: OVER 6 +105

1 Dimer on Lightning vs Blackhawks over 6 +105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones

Apr 27 '21, 8:10 PM in 1h
MLB | Mariners vs Astros
Play on: Astros -1½ +114 at Draft Kings

Jack's Free Pick Tuesday: Houston Astros -1.5 (+114)
The Houston Astros have gotten some key guys back healthy in the lineup and are starting to rake. They have gone 4-1 in their last five games overall while averaging 7.2 runs per game during this stretch. I'll gladly back them on the Run Line today to win this game by two runs or more over the Mariners.
Seattle is off to a surprising 13-10 start this season, but we seem to see this every year with them. They get off to a great starts and then fade the rest the way. Now Marco Gonzales gets the ball for the Mariners and is just 1-2 with a 6.05 ERA and 1.343 WHIP in four starts this season, including 1-1 with an 8.68 ERA and 1.715 WHIP in two road starts.
Gonzalez is also 1-5 with a 5.31 ERA and 1.672 WHIP in eight career starts against the Astros, and his teams are 1-7 in those starts. He'll be opposed by Christian Javier, who is 2-0 with a 1.32 ERA and 0.878 WHIP in his three starts this season. He pitched 6 shutout innings in his lone career start against the Mariners last season.
Houston is 17-1 in 18 home meetings with Seattle over the past three seasons. The Astros are 42-16 in the last 58 meetings overall. Houston is 63-28 in its last 91 games as a home favorite. Bet the Astros on the Run Line Tuesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker

Apr 27 '21, 8:38 PM in 1h
NHL | Hurricanes vs Stars
Play on: Hurricanes -117 at Draft Kings

Free Pick on Hurricanes

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price

Apr 27 '21, 8:38 PM in 1h
NHL | Hurricanes vs Stars
Play on: Stars +117 at Draft Kings

1* Free Pick on Stars +117

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn

Apr 27 '21, 8:38 PM in 1h
NHL | Hurricanes vs Stars
Play on: Stars +117 at Draft Kings

1* Free Play on Stars +117