Saturday 5/8/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358349

    Saturday 5/8/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358349

    #2
    Al Cimaglia: Meadowlands Early Pick 4 Analysis


    May 8, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
    Tonight, the Meadowlands has a competitive 13-race card set to go with the 0.50 Early Pick 4 starting in Race 6. That sequence has a $50,000 guaranteed pool with a 15% takeout and it will be my focus.

    On Friday, the driver with the hottest hands at the Big M was Andrew McCarthy with four wins. Andrew Harris was the leading conditioner with two trips to the winner's circle.

    In eight of the 13 races the winner was on the lead at the top of the stretch. In the other five contests the winner was within three lengths of the leader at the top of the lane.

    Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

    Race 6

    2-Seriously Hanover (3-1)-Odds-on chalk didn't disappoint beating 3 from this field in last and now Dave Miller takes over for Dunn who steers #7. Looked the best last week and there should be no reason to discount chances now.
    5-Island Of The Sea (5-1)-Has been stuck with post 9 and 8 in the last 2 starts and should benefit from the move inside. This is a tough group but TMac should be able to find a live cover flow and looks like a player at a fair price.
    7-No Lou Zing (5/2)-Sweet Lou 4-year-old comes off a pair of qualifiers and battled the best 3-year-olds last year. Takter trainee could fire hot off the bench. Can win on any size track but is really tough to beat on smaller ovals. Could handle this crew if dialed on high but may not offer any value.

    Race 7

    2-Heza Real Diamond (9/2)-Missed a start before last week's race and was in too tough. Drops to the level of a big try on 4-17. Should get the top rather easily and if so could make every call a winning one.
    4-Covered Bridge (7/2)-Tried Lasix for the 1st time and scooted the 2nd half in 53.4. If Gingras works the same trip it could be picture time again.
    6-Lyons King (6-1)-Makes 3rd start for the Jen B barn, will look for more improvement and just missed from the 9-hole in last. Lost to #4 and they both could be there at the wire once again. Will use looking for a solid price and could offer more value than the 2 above. The 0-11 record this year and 1-15 at the Big M may help the price.

    Race 8

    1-Respect Our Flag (7/2)-Comes off a .55 last half and and a 26.3 final quarter while facing better in a needed start. Could be a player at this class and Joe B should have this 5-year-old forwardly placed.
    2-Sundown Kid (5-1)-Was used off the gate last week to get the top versus better and had missed a start. Stayed inside and didn't get a clear path until late in the mile which cost a better finish. Now gets some needed class relief. Miller takes the lines and he should be able to work a smooth trip.

    Race 9

    5-Wheels On Fire (12-1)-Comes off a decent effort last week after shipping in from Wbsb and had been off since
    3-27. This will be the 2nd start for Burke and Gingras could leave to get the top or take a pocket ride. Tough race, but is worth a swing at the morning line price.
    7-Colossal Stride A (4-1)-Has finished 2nd in the last 3 starts, just missed in the 2 latest tries at this class and those winners aren't in this field. Dunn can work a stalking trip and may have enough to seal the deal tonight at a square price.
    9-Sintra (7/2)-This will be the 3rd start at M1 and for the Pelling barn that is batting 36% over the past 30 days. My take is TMac won't try to wire this field but will get a good early seat and then rally. The pace should be hot and the race could set-up nicely for this classy 8-year-old.

    0.50 Early Pick 4

    2,5,7/2,4,6/1,2/5,7,9
    Total Bet=$27
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358349

      #3
      Jeff Siegel's National Prime Plays for 5/8/21


      May 8, 2021
      Every Friday thru Sunday handicapper Jeff Siegel offers his best wagering opportunity from a selected North American racetrack. These “Best Plays” can take the form of a win wager, exacta, trifecta, or a daily double, pick-3, pick-4 or pick-6. Selections are listed in chronological order.

      *

      Belmont Park Race 9 - Post time: 5:12 ET
      3-Promise Keeper (7/2)


      Lightly-raced and rapidly developing 3-year-old colt demolished a first-level allowance field at Keeneland last month by more than five lengths while earning a career top speed figure in a performance that stamps him as the one to beat in this year’s renewal of the Peter Pan S.-G3. The T. Pletcher-trained son of Constitution should love this nine furlong distance, retains regular jockey L. Saez, and projects to settle in the second flight and then blast home. He’s a play in the win pool and as a rolling exotic single.

      *

      Santa Anita Race 5 - Post: 3:15 PT
      2-Pythagorean (5/2)


      Daughter of Medaglia d’Oro makes her West Coast debut for new trainer P. D’Amato (terrific stats with this angle) and has trained like she’s fit and ready in her first start since breaking her maiden at Aqueduct with a career-top speed figure last November. We are expecting an even better performance today, even though she might be better suited for a longer trip. At her morning line of 5/2, she offers value in the win pool and in rolling exotic play.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358349

        #4
        Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 5/8/21


        May 8, 2021
        Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
        *
        The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.).
        *
        *
        Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.


        Click Here to View Today's Santa Anita Workout Report


        RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B+
        Single: 3-Dancing Dana

        Forecast: Dancing Dana returns to grass and it is significant that her best race came over the local lawn when she finished a sharp third vs. a similar starter optional claiming company three runs back. She stretches out again, is drawn comfortably inside, and projects to enjoy and ideal pace-stalking trip in a field without much early speed. At 9/5 on the morning line the daughter of Clubhouse Ride looks solid in the win pool and as a rolling exotic single.
        *
        *
        RACE 2: Post: 1:35 PT Grade: C
        Use: 1-Life’s Emotions; 4-Mamma Rama; 7-Sense to Remember

        Forecast: Mamma Ramma is listed as the even money morning line favorite, which says more about the opposition in this maiden claiming sprint than anything she has accomplished in a three-race career. This monumental class drop from straight maiden to the maiden $20,000 level is hard to ignore and so is the presence of F. Prat in the saddle, so despite the layoff from last September and an average-at-best work tab the A. Lerner-trained daughter of California Chrome is the top pick by default. Life’s Emotions flashed good early speed in her debut before quickly fading out of the picture when facing tougher maiden $50,000 company last month. Perhaps with that race behind her coupled with the class drop she’ll stick better today and be competitive. Another that is worth including somewhere on your ticket is Season to Remember, a second-time starter adding blinkers while drawing the cozy outside post. Sher also gets a considerable break in the weights, so if the C. Lewis-trained filly can run at all, this would be a good place to show it.
        *
        *
        RACE 3: Post: 2:09 PT Grade: B
        Use: 4-Real News; 5-The Black Album

        Forecast: Trainer P. Miller saddles the two main players in this five-runner $40,000 claiming turf sprint for older horses. Real News returns to his purchase level after finishing a respectable fourth in the much tougher Clocker’s Corner Stakes over the local lawn earlier this meeting. Freshened for more than three months, the 5-year-old gelding has speed figures good enough to win and shows a work tab at San Luis Rey Downs that should have him primed and ready. The Black Album turns back to a sprint after a solid performance when second up north against a lesser group last month. He will need some help up front to be effective as the deep closer he’s projected to be in this spot, but the former stakes winner is re-equipped with blinkers and picks up F. Prat, so he looks very much on paper like a live item.
        *
        *
        RACE 4: Post: 2:42 PT Grade: B+
        Use: 2-Curvette; 5-Miss Fia

        Forecast: Curvette won at first asking like a very nice prospect and has trained very sharply in the interim for B. Baffert. We suspect she will step forward considerably off that win, and at this extended sprint distance the daughter of Curlin looks well-placed to score right back in a competitive first-level allowance affair. Miss Fia, a two-time winner over the Santa Anita main track with recent speed figures that are strong for the level, should enjoy an ideal pace-stalking trip outside and have every chance when asked to quicken. She turns back from a two-turn miler and appears spot on for a major effort. We’ll prefer Curvette on top but include both in our rolling exotics.
        *
        *
        RACE 5: Post: 3:15 PT Grade: B+
        Use: 2-Pythagorean; 4-Sapphire Kid

        Forecast: Pythagorean makes her West Coast debut for new trainer P. D’Amato (terrific stats with this angle) and has trained like she’s fit and ready in her first start since breaking her maiden at Aqueduct with a career-top speed figure. We are expecting an even better performance today, one that should be good enough to handle this tougher assignment. Sapphire Kid catches a field without much pace and seems likely to inherit the role as the controlling speed. A four-time winner over the Santa Anita turf course, the California-bred daughter of Richard’s Kid stretches out again and can handle this trip, especially under the pristine conditions that she’ll likely enjoy today. We will prefer Pythagorean on top but include both in our rolling exotics.
        *
        *
        RACE 6: Post: 3:47 PT Grade: C+
        Use: 5-Queen of Arendell; 6-Sweet Sonny

        Forecast: This is a split of the second race, and it may be the stronger of the two, but that really isn’t saying much. We will try to get by using just two in our rolling exotics. Sweet Sonny, a decent runner-up in a similar affair last month, probably won’t need to improve much to graduate in this, her 10th career start. We are expecting the B. Koriner-trained filly to be on or near the lead throughout. Queen of Arendell flashed early speed before packing it in when facing a much stronger maiden claiming field here last time out, and against this group the daughter of Frosted seems certain to stick around a lot longer. She has worked well since raced, retains T. Baze, and is competitive on speed figures.
        *
        *
        RACE 7: Post: 4:19 PT Grade: B+
        Use: 3-Tapwater; 6-Neige Blanche

        Forecast: Neige Blanche is a proven marathoner, exits a series of much tougher races and continues to train in sharp fashion. This 12-furlong trip is made to order for the French-bred filly, who was a group stakes winner at a mile and three-eighths last year in Europe. She lacks a true turn of foot but at 4-1 on the morning she should simply out class this field. Tapwater is questionable at this mile and one half journey – she’s primarily been a miler throughout her career – but in her present form the daughter of Tapit must be considered dangerous, especially if she can switch off and relax as the likely controlling speed. A two-time winner over the Santa Anita turf course and back with “win rider” F. Prat, the R. Mandella-trained filly is the one to fear most. We will have tickets using both in rolling exotic play and then press keying Neige Blanch on top.
        *
        *
        RACE 8: Post: 4:52 PT Grade: B-
        Use: 3-Betito; 4-Deuce

        Forecast: Deuce stretches out for the first time and the son of Into Mischief should enjoy the extra distance as well as the class drop to this restricted (nw-2) $16,000 claiming level. The D. Hofmans-trained gelding is technically still a maiden – he did win a mixed breed race at Los Alamitos in February – but on pure numbers he’s a fit and his recent workouts indicate he is ready for a big effort. Betito, in the frame in his last five starts and a maiden claiming winner over this main track last month, is a strong fit on numbers and is back with A. Cedillo, who was aboard in the gelding’s victory two races back. The K. Mulhall-trained gelding should draft into a comfortable pace-stalking position and have every chance to wear down the leaders late.
        *
        *
        RACE 9: Post: 5:26 PT Grade: C+
        Use: 1-Power Source; 5-Twirling Derby; 6-Blue Star; 9-On Easy Street

        Forecast: The finale is a wide-open maiden claiming turf miler with all kinds of possibilities and price chances. We will go four-deep, but you should include as many as your budget allows. Power Source, away since last July for a stable that has terrific stats with comebackers, shows up in a seller for the first time, lands the good rail, and sports a heathy work tab at San Luis Rey Downs that should have him fit enough for a major effort off the bench. The lightly-raced Irish-bred colt could easily be much better this time around. On Easy Street surfaces for a tag for the first time in his ninth career start while also for the first time adding blinkers, so there are at least two legitimate angles that could lead to improvement. The son of Street Boss also switches to good grass rider U. Rispoli and is more than fast enough on speed figures to win, making the P. Gallagher-trained horse strictly the one to beat. Twirling Derby is a 14-race maiden and clearly not one to trust, but this will be his first career start on grass for new trainer M. Glatt following a $20,000 claim so it would hardly be surprising to see a significant forward move. Blue Star is re-equipped with blinkers while dropping out of much tougher straight maiden events, and a repeat of his race before last will put him right there. At 10-1 on the morning line, he has to be used somewhere.
        *
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358349

          #5
          Eddie O's Saturday Spot Plays at Belmont Park


          May 7, 2021 | By Eddie Olczyk
          NBC handicapper Eddie Olczyk turns his attention to a pair of Belmont bets this Saturday.

          Belmont Park

          Race 3 // 2:02 pm ET // maiden claiming // 6-1/2 furlongs

          #6 Ob La Di (10-1 ML)

          Drops back in class to maiden claiming $25,000 after trying $40,000 last out. Her race two starts back puts her right in the mix. Adds blinkers and hustling rider Kendrick Carmouche stays aboard – good enough for me. Win bet.

          //

          Belmont Park

          Race 5 // 3:04 pm ET // maiden special weight // 6 furlongs (turf)

          #12 Noble Journey (10-1 ML)

          Races first time since being gelded and first time with Lasix. Raced on grass for the first time in his most recent start in November, and showed nice improvement. He’s working very well for the return and the price will be right. Win bet.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358349

            #6
            AI Picks for Saturday's Gulfstream Rainbow 6


            May 7, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
            Gulfstream Park’s Saturday card features a mandatory payout in the Rainbow 6 jackpot wager. The Rainbow 6 will be on the final 6 races of the dozen-race card, going as Races 7-12, and beginning at approximately 3:27 pm ET. The pool’s carryover has topped more than $370,000 going into Friday’s action and new money bet into Saturday’s pool with another carryover could reach $3-$4 million.

            Race 7 // 3:27 pm ET // maiden special weight // 6 furlongs

            #10 Maddy’s Dream // 24%W // 42%P // 59%S
            #2 Cajun Moon // 13%W // 28%P // 43%S
            #8 Candy Fury // 10%W // 20%P // 30%S
            #9 Billy Yank // 9%W // 23%P // 33%S
            Comments: The 11-point spread between the top two picks is most in the Rainbow 6 sequence. This is one of the potential singles, according to the 1/ST BET data. First-time starter Splashtown, the half-brother to champion sprint filly Gamine, is not a top-4 choice in large part due to the lack of data for the algorithm to assess. Horseplayers may want to consider that one.

            Race 8 // 3:57 pm ET // claiming // 1 mile

            #11 Aycapote // 26%W // 38%P // 49%S
            #6 Long Gray Line // 17%W // 30%P // 44%S
            #7 Swing West // 13%W // 31%P // 37%S
            #1 Candy Crushem // 9%W // 21%P // 34%S
            Comments: Top pick’s 26% win projection matches the highest in the Rainbow 6, and the 9-point spread between the top two choices is second-highest. Similar to Race 7, this is a potential single based on the algorithm. Class-dropping 3-1 morning line favorite All Good does not get any love from the 1/ST BET.

            Race 9 // 4:30 pm ET // claiming // 1 mile (turf)

            #4 Appointed // 22%W // 36%P // 46%S
            #3 Hot Babe // 14%W // 31%P // 42%S
            #7 Crystal Coast // 13%W // 24%P // 38%S
            #8 Pretty Rachel // 11%W // 23%P // 36%S
            Comments: 5-2 morning line favorite Setting the Mood doesn’t impress the algorithm, but could improve changing barns to Saffie Joseph Jr. Top AI pick Appointed is 12-1 in the morning line and also make a positive barn change.

            Race 10 // 5:04 pm ET // claiming // 6 furlongs

            #8 Sassy Beast // 22%W // 43%P // 60%S
            #6 You’re the Best // 17%W // 33%P // 46%S
            #2 Bionic Bottle // 17%W // 30%P // 43%S
            #4 The Biggest One // 13%W // 30%P // 41%S
            Comments: The morning line leading contenders are listed here in a race that might be well-covered with 3 or 4 runners. Red-hot trainer Victor Barboza sends out You’re the Best, 1 of 4 last-out winners in this 9-horse field.

            Race 11 // 5:38 pm ET // English Channel Stakes // 1-1/16 miles (turf)

            #8 Hyperfocus // 17%W // 30%P // 42%S
            #11 Hot Blooded // 14%W // 26%P // 36%S
            #3 Hercules // 14%W // 24%P // 35%S
            #10 Yes This Time // 13%W // 29%P // 35%S
            Comments: The 17% win projection is lowest in today’s Rainbow 6, and the top-4 choices within only 4 points is by far the tightest of the sequence’s races. This is a good race to spread with some coverage, but note Hercules is entered for main-track only. Using the other 3 might do.

            Race 12 // 6:12 pm ET // claiming // 1-1/16 miles (turf)

            #9 Zero Gravity // 26%W // 37%P // 41%S
            #4 Keep Quiet // 25%W // 40%P // 50%S
            #1 Pretendant // 12%W // 18%P // 25%S
            #8 Dover Cliffs // 7%W // 14%P // 25%S
            Comments: The 26% win projection matches the highest on the card, while the second choice at 25% is higher than all but 1 other top pick in today’s Rainbow 6. Rare to see 2 win projections as high in the same race, clearly a 2-horse race by the 1/ST BET data.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358349

              #7
              Race of the Week: Saturday's G3 Santa Barbara


              May 6, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
              $100,000 GRADE 3 SANTA BARBARA STAKES AT SANTA ANITA
              Saturday, May 8, 2021

              The Lead:
              Saturday's west coast feature matches fillies and mares over 1-1/2 miles on the Santa Anita turf in the Grade 3 Santa Barbara. Distance should prove key as this field of 8 displays exactly 1 combined start over the trip in their collective careers. Who will negotiate the added real estate? Solve that, and solve the Santa Barbara.

              ​Field Depth:
              RIDEFORTHECAUSE is a Grade 2 winner in Canada, while NEIGE BLANCHE is a Group 3 winner in France and Grade 1-placed stateside. CATCH THE EYE is Grade 2-placed at Del Mar. NEIGE BLANCHE and RIDEFORTHECAUSE have kept the best company lines.

              Pace:
              STAR OF AFRICA could set the pace on the class rise, while TAPWATER and CARPE VINUM also figure in the forward-early mix. NEIGE BLANCHE should be in striking distance. There's not a lot of pace in this one, as often the case in 12-furlong turf affairs.

              Our Eyes:
              TAPWATER is likely to be well-backed and one of the most questionable contenders for the 1-1/2 miles distance. Sure, sire Tapit has had great success with Belmont Stakes runners over that dirt trip, but the damside of this pedigree, while classy, leans much shorter. Modest BRIS late pace figures in shorter races also give some pause to how well this Richard Mandella trainee will extend farther. True, Flavien Prat is riding in career form and running laps around the colony, but my position in that TAPWATER is vulnerable and will be an underlay.

              NEIGE BLANCHE may be 0-4 in the US, but has faced clearly better competition than these. She made the transition from restricted 3-year-old stakes to facing elders with a respectable bid in the Grade 3 Santa Ana when offering a middle-move. Her genes scream 'the longer, the better' and her late BRIS pace figures are better than her running positions may suggest in the past performances. She's the filly to fear.

              RIDEFORTHECAUSE made her hay in Canada last year in races that, due to COVID-19 travel restrictions, didn't come up as tough as they typically do. Her form since arriving in California has underscored that. The extra distance probably won't hurt her; it's just a matter if she can accelerate enough to late to deliver against these. I'll swing against her.

              GO BIG BLUE NATION, CARPE VINUM and CATCH THE RYE exit the same allowance race from April 4. GO BIG BLUE NATION was an impressive winner with a strong turn of foot over 1-1/4 miles, exhibited without the help of any early pace as she ran down a loose-leading front-runner late. I can't see her rivals turning the tables over 1-1/2 miles. GO BIG BLUE NATION continues to improve and upgrades to Umberto Rispoli in the saddle. Beware.

              Most Certain Exotics Contender:
              NEIGE BLANCHE is classy, should sit a good trip and this distance is of no concern.

              Best Longshot Exotics Contender:
              CATCH THE EYE has been big prices and has as good or better pedigree than most of these for the trip. Kent Desormeaux has been riding the turf with hints of his Hall of Fame form. Both career wins have come on the Santa Anita lawn.

              Sending it in ($100 bankroll):
              $50 exacta box NEIGE BLANCHE and GO BIG BLUE NATION ($100).
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358349

                #8
                Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


                Santa Anita - Race #4
                #5 Miss Fia Think she draws best for the way this race may unfold, and she'll get a good run from close range. Likely third choice seems playable here on the cutback.
                #3 Bye Bye Miss Pie She's in the mix on overall form, but she's at least a little suspect at this 7f trip. Logical alternative to the top choice and the likely chalk.
                #2 Curvette She's the one to beat after coming away while on her wrong lead in the quick debut score, but this maiden-to-allowance hike is an ROI buster for Baffert. Capable, but worth playing against.
                Race Summary Miss Fia and Bye Bye Miss Pie look like the right ones to use if you're trying to beat Curvette, which I am. She was pretty solid in the debut score, but from a wagering perspective, this is not a good move for Baffert.
                Santa Anita - Race #7
                #1 Catch the Eye Price player moved forward nicely in the second start off the bench, and she has good distance form and a bit of back class. Desormeaux has been red hot on the turf the last month. Why not?
                #3 Tapwater She should be a bit more tactical today while stretching out to this trip after a somewhat disappointing graded stakes debut last time out. Big chance.
                #6 Neige Blanche She hasn't really shown many gears since arriving here last year, but she has been in with multiple Grade I groups and should be respected on class.
                Race Summary Catch the Eye might get a bit lost on the board, but she's capable of landing this with another step forward today. Kent with seven turf winners in the last month.
                Santa Anita - Race #9
                #4 Lemonade Stand He was one-paced going short off the bench, but he has some upside in this second start off the layoff while getting around two turns. His only previous route try saw him in touch with splits that were too sharp. He might trip out.
                #5 Twirling Derby Love that the Glatt barn jumped in to claim this guy in his 14th start, and they now switch him to the turf for the first time. Sire Twirling Candy is a solid turf influence, and this pedigree cross has produced a couple of turf winners from limited starters.
                #10 Waraire He looks like a logical one while dropping in for a tag for the first time, but there are some more appealing options at better prices in here.
                Race Summary Couple of mid-range price players I like to close out the day. Lemonade Stand seems logical if he can sit closer to a more modest route pace today, and Twirling Candy has some appeal while being immediately switched to turf off the claim -- the intent seems positive.
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358349

                  #9
                  Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


                  Hoosier Park - Race #2
                  #5 TIMON AS Chased speedball, passed by top pair in return to Hoosier, loves to win.
                  #1 ALL RISE No threat at lower level but can be forward factor from rail and make exotics pay off.
                  #4 TOY'S FOR YOU Plays to a steady beat, third start since arriving from Florida.
                  Race Summary Timon As chased the loose, 3-to-2 pace setter until the deep closers arrived in mid stretch last week. He could be the target in here and is today's Best Bet to pick up his 22nd victory.
                  Northfield Park - Race #4
                  #5 CRIME FIGHTER Lands in soft spot, gets hot amateur driver, now or never.
                  #4 SO WISHFUL Took late money, ranged up and went off stride.
                  #9 QUADRANGLE Held good form while ascending ranks when last seen in January.
                  Race Summary Crime Fighter paced evenly behind the 4-to-5 winner on three days rest. He looks good on paper, gets high-percentage amateur driver and can end a long winless drought. Play 5-4 and 5-9 exactas.
                  Meadowlands - Race #9
                  #3 CHASER HANOVER Did well chasing fleet-footed favorite at notch below, value remains.
                  #7 COLOSSAL STRIDE A Late runner finished 1-2 in all nine starts this year, the last three in preferred company.
                  #8 NICHOLAS BEACH Parlayed speed into near-perfect 5-year-old season, moves inside out.
                  Race Summary Chaser Hanover is worth a longshot stab after he gamely pursued Nicholas Beach through a :53 back half, finished a clear second and starts inside of the same rival tonight. Play a 3-7-8 exacta box.
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358349

                    #10
                    Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks


                    Gulfstream Park - Race #6
                    #6 Heiressindy Tired last time but usually hit the board for this price; Vasquez keep her to her business and has a chance at a mild upset.
                    #1 Don't Get Khozy Was second in her last two and on the board in nine of her last 10; usually shows interest in the final quarter and is always a threat at this level.
                    #2 Champagne Salute Broke her maiden in her second start and will be a threat to steal it; Pletcher keeping his 25-percent success with more than 250 starts this year.
                    Race Summary Heiressindy can get a good trip off a fast pace and should be in good shape to attack in the stretch.
                    Gulfstream Park - Race #10
                    #8 Sassy Beast Fought it out to the extreme last time as she survived a head-and-head battle throughout, only to be disqualified; showed some heart despite the infraction and can hang on today.
                    #7 Beauty Queen Ran an even fourth in her last two and has faced better; likely to wake up here.
                    #4 The Biggest One Tired at a much higher level last time and has the speed to be a factor from the beginning.
                    Race Summary Sassy Beast was disqualified last time out and can be a strong player in this N2L spot; can succeed against these.
                    Gulfstream Park - Race #11
                    #7 King of Dreams Ran fifth in the Tampa Bay Derby two back and then tired in the Cutler Bay here last time; can get to the front end and should be able to last vs. these.
                    #8 Hyperfocus Has a decent late move and has a good chance to make up a lot of ground against this pace; dangerous.
                    #10 Yes This Time Steps up to stakes company after winning three straight races; seems able to adjust to any pace and it would not be a surprise if he is successful at this new level.
                    Race Summary King of Dreams has been with tough company and can be a big player on the front end.
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