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Monday 5/10/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
May 10 '21, 6:35 PM in 2h
MLB | Reds vs Pirates
Play on: Reds -150 at BetCris
FREE PICK - Cincinnati Reds -150 RATING: 30* ROT#: 901
I was looking to back the Reds and Tyler Mahle in Sunday's series finale at Cleveland, but the game was postponed. Mahle will instead take the mound in Monday's series opener at Pittsburgh and I like him and the Reds even more in this spot.
Mahle has a 2.93 ERA and 1.109 WHIP in 6 starts. He's even better when he's not having to deal with the ball flying out of the park at Great American Ballpark, as he owns a 1.29 ERA and 1.071 WHIP in 3 road starts. That includes a road start at the Dodgers, where he held LA to just 1 run in 5 innings.
Pittsburgh will counter with Mitch Keller. Not a lot to like here. Keller has a 6.29 ERA and 1.685 WHIP in 6 starts. It's been even worse at home, as he owns a 10.13 ERA and 2.439 WHIP in 3 starts at PNC Park. Keller also owns a 6.92 ERA and 1.692 WHIP in 3 career starts against the Reds. Give me Cincinnati -150!
May 10 '21, 7:05 PM in 2h
MLB | BOS vs BAL
Play on: OVER 9 -113
Jack's Free Pick Monday: Red Sox/Orioles OVER 9
The Boston Red Sox are hitting the cover off the ball right now. They have scored 5 or more runs in seven of their last nine games overall. They have scored a total of 49 runs in their last six games for an average of 8.2 runs per game.
The Baltimore Orioles are starting to score some runs as well as they have put up 5 or more runs in five of their last eight games overall. They should be able to get to Martin Perez, who is 0-2 with a 4.39 ERA and 1.464 WHIP in six starts this season. Perez is 4-6 with a 5.14 ERA in 12 career starts against the Orioles as well.
The Red Sox are more than capable of covering this OVER on their own. They will be up against Jorge Lopez, who is 1-3 with a 6.49 ERA in six starts this season, including 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA in three home starts. Lopez allowed 7 earned runs in 4 innings of a 9-14 loss to the Red Sox on April 11th earlier this season in his only career start against them. Bet the OVER in this game Monday.
May 10 '21, 7:08 PM in 3h
NHL | Lightning vs Panthers
Play on: UNDER 6 -114
Monday NHL Free play. My selection is on the 'under' between Tampa Bay and Florida at 7:05 pm et on Monday.
The Panthers won in a surprising 5-1 rout against the rival Lightning on Saturday night. I'm anticipating a much tighter affair on Monday night, and that should lend itself to a lower-scoring result as well. Tampa Bay is limping down the stretch and will likely be without Victor Hedman again on Monday (lower-body injury). Note that the Bolts have now scored two goals or less in four of their last five games overall. Here, they'll be focused on tightening things up after allowing exactly five goals in consecutive games. Note that prior to those two contests, Tampa Bay had given up two goals or less in four straight games. The Panthers have scored four goals or more in five straight games but face a bit of a tough spot here with the Lightning having allowed just 2.3 goals per game when playing on the road revenging consecutive losses in which their opponent scored three goals or more over the last two seasons. That situation has produced an 0-6 o/u record with an average total of just 4.6 goals. Also note that Florida averages just 2.4 goals per contest after winning six or seven of its last eight games over the last three seasons. On the flip side, Tampa allows only 2.4 goals per game after losing two of its last three games over the last three seasons, as is the case here. Take the under (8*).
May 10 '21, 8:10 PM in 4h
NBA | Pelicans vs Grizzlies
Play on: Pelicans +9 -105 at pinnacle
1* NBA - Pelicans/Grizzlies *FREE PICK* on Pelicans +9
Monday's Free NBA Pick is on the New Orleans Pelicans as a 9-point road dog against the Memphis Grizzlies. New Orleans isn't going down without a fight. Pelicans rallied from double-digits down to beat Charlotte on Sunday. They are now just 1.5-games back of the Spurs for the 10th and final spot in the west. New Orleans has now covered 7 of their last 8. Memphis does trail the Warriors by just a 0.5 game for the 8th spot, but overall this game doesn't mean near as much to them as it does the Pelicans. Not saying it will be enough for New Orleans to win, but I really like them to at least make a game of it. Bet the Pelicans +9!
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