Service Plays Thursday 5/13/21

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358413

    #16
    Vernon Croy

    Braves -160 (5U)
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358413

      #17
      Doc Sports

      Man United U3 (5U)
      Zalatoris over Woo Kim -130 (7U)
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358413

        #18
        Tony George

        3 Units - #951 Philadelphia -110 vs Washington *1:10 EST

        4 Units - #967 / #968 NY Yankees / Tampa Bay (UNDER 8) -110 *7 EST
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358413

          #19
          Originally posted by Can'tPickAWinner
          Ben Burns

          over-5.5-calg/vanc NHL 10* BLUE CHIP TOTAL!

          9 over-8.5-atl/tor BREAKFAST CLUB!

          9 twins-1.5-160 RUN-LINE VIOLATOR!
          10* reds-135

          9* over-229.5-por-suns

          Liverpool/man u-under the total
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          • The One
            Senior Member
            • Apr 2021
            • 253

            #20
            Justin Perri


            CINCINNATI @ COLORADO | 05/13 | 8:40 PM GMT
            OVER 11


            ANALYSIS: This line opened at 10.5 and still is on the move. I could see this closing even higher. With a huge weather boost, facing Chi Chi Gonzalez might just be too easy for the Reds. They were cold for a bit, but their offense is heating up again, and the air at Coors Field should only help them pile up the runs. Colorado is much better at home and can be expected to contribute to the total. Let’s get this before it closes higher.


            PHILADELPHIA @ WASHINGTON | 05/13 | 1:05 PM GMT
            PHILADELPHIA -105

            ANALYSIS: The Phillies can hit left-handers, and the HR/FB ratio for the Washington's Patrick Corbin this year is sitting around 30 percent as he only induces swinging strikes on 10 percent of his pitches. I think this makes for some plus matchups for the Phillies, and I like them to complete the three-game sweep. Meanwhile, the Nationals have more trouble against right-handers like Zach Eflin, and unlike their opponent, they seem to have cooled off a bit in the last few weeks. This would be the fifth straight loss for Washington, which has the third-worst run differential in the National League. I'm inclined to believe the skid continues.

            MINNESOTA @ CHI. WHITE SOX | 05/13 | 2:10 PM GMT
            CHI. WHITE SOX -135


            ANALYSIS: Lance Lynn doesn’t really qualify as an elite pitcher, but he’s really been that guy this year. He has some of the best spin on his fastball in the majors, throws it 69 percent of the time and limits opponents to a .203 batting average. This is due to his impeccable command and ability to keep the ball just outside the strike zone. Another pitcher yet to allow more than three runs in a game this season and owning a sub-1.00 WHIP, Lynn will keep the Twins in check on Thursday, and the red-hot White Sox will improve to 19-8 as favorites thanks to their consistency.


            ST. LOUIS @ MILWAUKEE | 05/13 | 1:40 PM GMT
            MILWAUKEE -130


            ANALYSIS: This is going to be a great duel between two top-20 pitchers in Corbin Burnes and Jack Flaherty. I'm going with Burnes, who is on the next level - zero walks in 29 1/3 innings, nine or more strikeouts in every start and 63.9 percent of his first pitches for true strikes. Burnes is looking for a bounce-back performance after losing to Miami before landing on the IL. Flaherty is no joke either, as he has won six straight starts, allowing a total of seven earned runs in those outings. I think success changes when your offense can’t pile on the runs, so let's back the Brewers.

            Comment

            • The One
              Senior Member
              • Apr 2021
              • 253

              #21
              Matt Severance
              +1161 40-23 IN LAST 63 MLB ATS PICKS


              PHILADELPHIA @ WASHINGTON | 05/13 | 1:05 PM GMT
              WASHINGTON +1.5

              ANALYSIS: Can't believe I lost on the Nationals runline Wednesday as their game vs. the Phillies went to 10 innings -- only for Philadelphia to score three times in the top of the inning. Seems like there are many more multiple-run extra innings these days with the runner starting on second. Oh well, let's go back to the well with the Nats on the RL; they are very short ML underdogs as I write this but might be favored soon. Philly is without two regulars in JT Realmuto and Didi Gregorius. Since joining the Nationals, lefty Patrick Corbin is 2-1 with a 3.00 ERA in six starts vs. the Phillies, who are 1-4 in their past five vs. lefties.


              KANSAS CITY @ DETROIT | 05/13 | 1:10 PM GMT
              KANSAS CITY +1.5

              ANALYSIS: At some point, the Royals (10-game slide) have to win again. I'm not saying that will happen Thursday in the series finale in Detroit, but I'll take the runline. While KC rookie starter Daniel Lynch (0-1, 18.56) has struggled in his two big-league starts, he is a touted prospect and the Tigers don't know him. In addition, Detroit is just 3-7 vs. lefties this season. Tigers starter Spencer Turnbull (1-2, 4.74) is certainly nothing special and the team has dropped his past three outings.

              Comment

              • The One
                Senior Member
                • Apr 2021
                • 253

                #22
                SDQL Gurus

                +835 11-2 IN LAST 13 MLB ML PICKS

                TORONTO @ ATLANTA | 05/13 | 12:20 PM GMT
                ATLANTA -153


                ANALYSIS: Just 11 days ago, Atlanta lost 7-2 to Ross Stripling and the Blue Jays in Toronto. The vengeful Braves are a perfect 19-0 as a home favorite -120 or steeper off a home game when seeking same-season revenge versus their opponent’s starting pitcher, winning by an average of 4.2 runs per game. Over these 19 games, Atlanta has scored an average of 7.63 runs.


                CLEVELAND @ SEATTLE | 05/13 | 10:10 PM GMT
                SEATTLE +115


                ANALYSIS: The Mariners are 10-0 in the first game of a series with no rest at home off a road game in which they lost and never led. The Indians are 0-11 in the first game of a road series with no rest after a game as a home favorite in which they had more strikeouts than hits and it is before the All-Star break.


                N.Y. YANKEES @ TAMPA BAY | 05/13 | 7:10 PM GMT
                TAMPA BAY +125

                ANALYSIS: The Rays are 12-0 at home off a game as an underdog in which they allowed one or fewer walks. The Yankees are 0-10 on the road after they drew one or fewer walks and it is not the first game of a series.

                Comment

                • The One
                  Senior Member
                  • Apr 2021
                  • 253

                  #23
                  John Bollman

                  +1151 45-28 IN LAST 73 MLB ML PICKS

                  ST. LOUIS @ MILWAUKEE | 05/13 | 1:40 PM GMT
                  ST. LOUIS +120


                  ANALYSIS: Corbin Burnes is 2-2 with 1.53 ERA this season but he is returning from the IL exactly two weeks after he was added with no injury designation (make of this what you will). He did allow four runs and eight hits in five innings in his most recent outing against the Marlins in easily his worst start of the season. Jack Flaherty is 6-0 with a 2.83 ERA this season and he has been dominant since get knocked around on Opening Day. Josh Hader and Devin Williams have each pitched the last two games, I would expect them to have the day off. The Cards are 7-3 in their last 10 games while the Brewers are 3-7 in their last 10 games, take the dog.



                  ST. LOUIS @ MILWAUKEE | 05/13 | 1:40 PM GMT
                  UNDER 6.5


                  ANALYSIS: Jack Flaherty and Corbin Burnes have been two of the most dominant pitchers this season and they will get to face off today. Both starters go deep into games and if they don’t, both bullpens are in the top half of the league. Both these pitchers are very good at not allowing runners score once they get on base and both these lineups had struggled hitting (reasonably so) all series. These two teams combined to go 4 for 36 with RISP in the first two games of the series, I expect more of the same.


                  CLEVELAND @ SEATTLE | 05/13 | 10:10 PM GMT
                  CLEVELAND -115
                  ANALYSIS: Logan Gilbert is starting for the Mariners while Jarrod Kelenic also makes his MLB debut, both top prospects for the Mariners. However, the Mariners have lost four straight games while the Indians have won eight of their last nine games. Zach Plesac hasn’t allowed a run in either of his last two outings, and he gets a young lineup that strikes out a lot. Gilbert and Kelenic will both be good in their careers, maybe even today. But the value on the Indians while they’re hot is way too good to pass up here because of the public’s overreaction to Gilbert and Kelenic making their debuts.

                  Comment

                  • The One
                    Senior Member
                    • Apr 2021
                    • 253

                    #24
                    Kyle Akins


                    +347 4-1 IN LAST 5 MLB PICKS


                    ST. LOUIS @ MILWAUKEE | 05/13 | 1:40 PM GMT
                    MILWAUKEE -130



                    ANALYSIS: Corbin Burnes has been so amazing this season that he has pitched even better than his 1.53 ERA indicates. A 49-0 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 29.1 innings of work is an incredible display. It won’t be long before you can't get Burnes as such a small home favorite. St. Louis starter Jack Flaherty has been solid as well with a 2.83 ERA. Flaherty worked seven scoreless innings in his last start while allowing just three hits. However, the Cardinals are 0-6 when Flaherty starts as an underdog after he had a WHIP of less than 1.00 last start.

                    Comment

                    • The One
                      Senior Member
                      • Apr 2021
                      • 253

                      #25
                      SDQL Gurus
                      +645 24-16 IN LAST 40 NBA PICKS

                      PHILADELPHIA @ MIAMI | 05/13 | 7:30 PM GMT
                      PHILADELPHIA +1

                      ANALYSIS: The Sixers are 17-0 ATS as a favorite with less than two days rest after a game in which they scored at least 12 points fewer than Vegas projected, committed double-digit turnovers and had fewer than 20 fast break points. Miami is off a big win over the Celtics in which it shot 59.3 percent from the field. The last time the Heat shot this well was March 14, 2016. We mention this because the Heat are 0-10 ATS at home off a win as a favorite in which they shot more than 50 percent from the field.


                      SAN ANTONIO @ NEW YORK | 05/13 | 7:30 PM GMT
                      NEW YORK -4.5

                      ANALYSIS: The Knicks are 13-0 ATS as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 24.0 assists per game. Yes, the Knicks have lost to the Spurs four straight. However, San Antonio is 0-10 ATS off a loss when it won four straight against its opponent.


                      SACRAMENTO @ MEMPHIS | 05/13 | 8:00 PM GMT
                      UNDER 230

                      ANALYSIS: The Under is 9-0 when they Kings are a road dog with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite in which they had at least 30 percent of their points from 3-pointers. The Under also is 8-0 when the Kings are on the road after a game in which they had six-plus double-digit scorers. Perhaps even more compelling is the fact that the Under is 7-0 when the Kings are off a win in which Buddy Hield made at least five 3-pointers. Also, the Under is 12-0 when the Grizzlies are a favorite off a game as a dog in which they outscored their opponent in the paint by double digits.


                      L.A. CLIPPERS @ CHARLOTTE | 05/13 | 7:00 PM GMT
                      UNDER 223.5

                      ANALYSIS: The key-player indicators reveal that the Under is 13-0 when the Hornets are a home dog off a home game in which Terry Rozier was not their high scorer and 8-0 when the Hornets are a dog off a loss as a home dog in which PJ Washington had a negative plus/minus. We also uncovered the fact that the Under is 6-0 when the Clippers are on the road after a game as a road favorite in which Paul George was not their high scorer, staying Under by an average of 21.7 points a game.

                      Comment

                      • The One
                        Senior Member
                        • Apr 2021
                        • 253

                        #26
                        Matt Severance
                        +2889 140-82 IN LAST 222 NHL PICKS


                        VANCOUVER @ CALGARY | 05/13 | 9:00 PM GMT
                        CALGARY -175

                        ANALYSIS: Absolutely meaningless game with both eliminated from playoff contention -- I'm not even sure why the NHL is playing these games (both have multiple left against one another due to previous Canucks COVID issues) in empty arenas. We'll simply take the Flames because they are at home, while Vancouver is in the midst of a long road trip and missing a handful of players. Calgary has won 13 of the past 18 at home in the series.

                        Comment

                        • The One
                          Senior Member
                          • Apr 2021
                          • 253

                          #27
                          Elite Sports Picks

                          St. Louis (Flaherty)/Milwaukee (Burnes) UNDER 7

                          Comment

                          • The One
                            Senior Member
                            • Apr 2021
                            • 253

                            #28
                            Insider Sports Report

                            4* Milwaukee (Burnes) -125

                            3* Cincinnati OVER 10.5
                            Last edited by The One; 05-13-2021, 12:11 PM.

                            Comment

                            • The One
                              Senior Member
                              • Apr 2021
                              • 253

                              #29
                              National Sports Service

                              4* Philadelphia OVER 8.5

                              3* L.A. Clippers UNDER 224 (NBA)

                              Comment

                              • The One
                                Senior Member
                                • Apr 2021
                                • 253

                                #30
                                Primetime Sports Picks

                                *Reliant Sports Gives Out Both Sides / See Post above)


                                4 Unit --> Milwaukee (Burnes) -125

                                3 Unit --> L.A. Clippers OVER 224 (NBA)

                                3 Unit --> Miami (Rogers) -115

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