Wednesday 5/12/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Diamond Trends for Wednesday May 12
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Angels at Houston (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Astros are 13-0 SU since Apr 25, 2018 at home after Yuli Gurriel struck out at least twice last game.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Seattle at L.A. Dodgers (10:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Mariners are 0-18 SU since Jun 13, 2019 as a road 140+ dog when seeking same season revenge vs their opponents starting pitcher.

OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: Baltimore at N.Y. Mets (12:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Mets are 0-10 OU (-2.30 ppg) since Aug 09, 2017 in the second game of a series at home after they won by one run last game.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Seattle at L.A. Dodgers (10:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Dodgers are 9-0-1 OU (4.70 ppg) since Sep 29, 2016 when Julio Urias starts as a favorite when they lost in his last start.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

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551WASHINGTON -552 ATLANTA
WASHINGTON is 15-4 ATS (10.6 Units) in road games as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 in the current season.

553SAN ANTONIO -554 BROOKLYN
BROOKLYN is 51-33 ATS (14.7 Units) in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

555BOSTON -556 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 10-30 ATS (-23 Units) after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher in the last 3 seasons.

557PORTLAND -558 UTAH
UTAH is 16-4 ATS (11.6 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

559NEW ORLEANS -560 DALLAS
DALLAS are 274-222 ATS (29.8 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.

561HOUSTON -562 LA LAKERS
HOUSTON is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) in road games vs. winning teams in the current season.

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NBA

Wednesday, May 12

Washington @ Atlanta
Wizards (32-37)
— Wizards won 14 of last 20 games SU.
— Wizards’ last four games were decided by total of five points.
— Washington covered five of last six tries as an underdog.
— Over is 8-2 in their last ten road games

Hawks (38-31)
— Hawks won four of last five games (3-2 ATS).
— Hawks are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games.
— Over is 4-1-1 in their last six games.

— Hawks won three of last four series games.
— Washington lost 125-124 here Monday night.
— Wizards are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Atlanta.
— Under is 5-3 in last eight series games.

San Antonio @ Brooklyn
Spurs (33-35)
— San Antonio lost six of its last eight games.
— Spurs are 2-4 ATS in last six road games.
— Under is 3-2 in Spurs’ last five games.

Nets (45-24)
— Brooklyn lost four of its last six games SU.
— Nets are 4-2 ATS in last six home games.
— Under is 8-3 in last 11 Brooklyn games.

— Nets won three of last four series games.
— Spurs are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Brooklyn.
— Over is 4-1 in last five series games.

Boston @ Cleveland
Celtics (35-34)
— Boston lost four of its last five games.
— Celtics are 1-3 ATS in their last four road games.
— Over is 8-1 in their last nine games

Cavaliers (21-48)
— Cleveland lost its last 11 games SU (1-10 ATS).
— Cavaliers are 1-6 ATS in last seven home games.
— Under is 3-0 in last three Cleveland games.

— Boston won nine of last ten series games.
— Celtics are 2-2-1 ATS in last five visits to Ohio.
— Over is 8-2 in last ten series games.

New Orleans @ Dallas
Pelicans (31-38)
— New Orleans won five of its last eight games.
— Pelicans are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six road games.
— Under is 8-1 in their last nine games.

Mavericks (40-29)
— Mavericks won 10 of their last 13 games.
— Mavericks are 4-2 ATS in last six home games.
— Under is 3-0 in last three Dallas home games.

— Mavericks won five of last six series games.
— Pelicans are 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Dallas.
— Over is 6-4 in last ten series games.

Portland @ Utah
Trailblazers (40-29)
— Portland won eight of its last nine games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Blazers are 5-1 ATS in last six road games.
— Under is 5-3-1 in Portland’s last nine road games.

Jazz (50-19)
— Utah won six of its last eight games SU.
— Jazz is 3-2 ATS in its last five home games.
— Over is 4-0 in Utah’s last five games.

— Jazz won four of last five series games.
— Portland is 2-3 ATS in last five trips to Utah.
— Under is 6-4 in last ten series games.

Houston @ LA Lakers
Rockets (16-53)
— Houston lost 43 of its last 48 games SU.
— Rockets are 6-2 ATS in last eight road games.
— Over is 8-1 in their last nine road games.

Lakers (38-30)
— Lakers lost eight of their last 12 games.
— Lakers are 4-8 ATS in their last 12 home games.
— Under is 5-2-1 in their eight games.

— Lakers won/covered last six series games.
— Rockets are 2-2 ATS in last four road series games.
— Under is 8-1 in last nine series games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Wednesday, May 12

Trend Report

Washington @ Atlanta
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Atlanta is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home

San Antonio @ Brooklyn
San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Antonio's last 7 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 7 games when playing at home against San Antonio
Brooklyn is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home

Boston @ Cleveland
Boston
Boston is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 9 games
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing at home against Boston

New Orleans @ Dallas
New Orleans
New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
Dallas
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans

Portland @ Utah
Portland
Portland is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Portland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Utah is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Houston @ LA Lakers
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston

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Hoop Trends for Wednesday May 12
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Washington at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Hawks are 10-0 ATS (9.65 ppg) with rest coming off a home game.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Houston at L.A. Lakers (10:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Lakers are 0-9 ATS (-6.83 ppg) off a win where Kentavious Caldwell Pope attempted more three pointers than two pointers.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Washington at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Hawks are 14-0 OU (17.29 ppg) after they allowed at least 50% three-point shooting last game.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:
Matchup: San Antonio at Brooklyn (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Nets are 0-10-1 OU (-7.91 ppg) at home off a win in a road game in which they had assists on at least 70 percent of their field goals.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

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27EDMONTON -28 MONTREAL
EDMONTON is 18-4 ATS (13.6 Units) after one or more consecutive overs in the current season.

29TORONTO -30 OTTAWA
TORONTO is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games against good starting goalies - saving >= 91.5% of shots against in the current season.

31VEGAS -32 SAN JOSE
VEGAS are 22-3 ATS (16.6 Units) against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game in the current season.

33LOS ANGELES -34 COLORADO
LOS ANGELES are 6-1 ATS (4.9 Units) off 3 or more consecutive home losses in the last 3 seasons.

35MINNESOTA -36 ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS are 2-6 ATS (-10.6 Units) in home games against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

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NHL

Wednesday, May 12

Trend Report

Edmonton @ Montreal
Edmonton
Edmonton is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing at home against Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Montreal's last 9 games when playing Edmonton

Toronto @ Ottawa
Toronto
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
Ottawa
Ottawa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Ottawa is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Toronto

Minnesota @ St. Louis
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 9 games
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games

Vegas @ San Jose
Vegas
Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose
Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Jose
San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Jose's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games

Los Angeles @ Colorado
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Los Angeles's last 9 games when playing Colorado
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Colorado's last 9 games when playing Los Angeles

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Cappers Access

Wed (MLB) Cubs
Wed (MLB) W. Sox
Wed (NBA) Trail Blazers

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Steve Janus

May 12 '21, 7:05 PM in 2h
MLB | Phillies vs Nationals
Play on: Nationals +128 at Draft Kings

1* Free Sharp Play on Nationals +128
The Nationals (+128) are worth a look as a small home dog against the Phillies in Wednesday's MLB action. This is just too good a price to pass up with Washington on their home field with a quality arm like Jon Lester on the mound. Lester is no longer an elite ace, but still very good at his craft. Zack Wheeler has been great, but I could seem him a bit flat here off a complete game in his last start. Wheeler also has a mere 4.49 ERA in 20 career starts against the Nationals. Play Washington +128!

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Cole Faxon

May 12 '21, 7:10 PM in 2h
MLB | NYY vs TAM
Play on: UNDER 7½ -115

FREE PLAY on Yankees/Rays under 7½ -115

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Black Widow

May 12 '21, 7:20 PM in 2h
MLB | TOR vs ATL
Play on: UNDER 8½ -115

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Blue Jays/Braves under 8½ -115

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Larry Ness

May 12 '21, 7:20 PM in 2h
MLB | Blue Jays vs Braves
Play on: Blue Jays -107 at pinnacle

My free play is on the Tor Blue Jays at 7:20 ET. The Toronto Blue Jays are 18-16 (2 1/2 games back of Boston in the AL East) after a come-from-behind victory 5-3 on Tuesday in Atlanta. Toronto swept three games from the Braves on April 30-May 2 in Dunedin, Fl and will now look for a FIFTH straight win over Atlanta in the second contest of this three-game series. The Braves have won three straight NL East titles (were ONE win away from a World Series appearance in 2020) but Tuesday's loss drops them back under .500 (17-18) on the season. Atlanta is also 2 1/2 games back in their division, trailing the NY Mets (17-13) and Phi Phillies (19-17). Wednesday's pitching matchup features a pair of lefties, Toronto's Hyun Jin Ryu (2-2, 3.31 ERA) squaring off against Atlanta's Max Fried (1-1, 8.44 ERA). Ryu spent his first six seasons with the Dodgers, winning 14 games in three different seasons, including 2019. Ryu signed a four-year deal with Toronto prior to the 2020 season and became the team's ace, going 5-2 with a 2.69 ERA in 12 starts (Jays were 9-3). Ryu had a 2.60 ERA in his first five starts this season but was just 1-2 (team was 2-3). He then was placed on the injured list with a strained glute. He returned on May 6 at Oakland and allowed four runs on six hits, one walk and six strikeouts in five innings. However, he was the beneficiary of generous run support, as the Jays scored 10 times. Max Fried was OUTSTANDING in 2020 in which he went 7-0 with a 2.25 ERA in 11 starts (Braves were 10-1). Fried made this season's Opening Day start for the Braves and allowed two ERs in five innings, taking a no-decision in a game Atlanta lost 3-2 in 10 innings. However, his next two starts were AWFUL, as he allowed 17 hits and 12 ERs in just SIX innings. He was then placed on the IL list due to a right hamstring strain with an 11.45 ERA. He returned from the injured list on May 5 and beat the Washington Nationals 5-3 (5 IP / 4 hits / one run / 6-1 KW ratio). "That's as good as his stuff has been all year," Atlanta manager Brian Snitker said of Fried's first game back. "The breaking ball, sinker had good life, the fastball was coming out of the hand really good. It just looked more like Max." Ryu is 3-2 with a 2.62 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in eight career starts vs Atlanta (teams are 5-3), while Fried has faced Toronto just once, winning 10-1 last August (6 IP / 4 hits / 1 ER). I realize Fried looked sharp in his last outing but Ryu is a formidable opponent and Toronto has had Atlanta's 'number' here in 2021. Jays make it FIVE straight over the Braves. Good luck...Larry

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Bryan Leonard

May 12 '21, 7:40 PM in 2h
MLB | Cardinals vs Brewers
Play on: Cardinals +161 at pinnacle

907 St Louis at Milwaukee
Listed Gant & Woodruff
Big line here gives us value on the road underdog. On the season St Louis ranks 17th in wRC+ and Milwaukee 28th.
John Gant has been solid for the Cardinals with a 2.15 ERA and a 51 average game score. On the road he has been even better with game scores of 54, 49 and 53. Brandon Woodruff has been terrific with a 1.73 ERA and a 67 game score. But he’s pitched better on the road this season. His game scores at home have been 41, 67 and 57. Really good, but not as strong as away from Miller Park.
The Cardinals are the better team, and have the better offense. Gant is better than league average and is worth a shot as an overpriced underdog here. Keep in mind as good as Woodruff has been the past two years, his record is only 5-6.
PLAY ST LOUIS

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Mike Williams

May 12 '21, 8:08 PM in 3h
NHL | Maple Leafs vs Senators
Play on: Senators +170 at Draft Kings

1* on Senators +170

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ASA

May 12 '21, 8:08 PM in 3h
NHL | Maple Leafs vs Senators
Play on: OVER 6 -122

#29/30 ASA FREE PLAY ON: OVER 6 goals Toronto Maple Leafs at Ottawa Senators, Wednesday at 8 PM ET - The Maple Leafs won the most recent meeting 6-5 and 9 of the last 15 games between these two division rivals have resulted in an over. The 4 most recent meetings this season have averaged 8 goals a game. Their recent games have featured a lot of shots on goal and plenty of quality scoring chances for each club. With that being said, this game should have no shortage of similarities as the Senators are, of course, eliminated from the post-season as of quite a while ago and the Maple Leafs already wrapped up the #1 spot in this division. Look for a rather high-scoring, open-ice type of affair here as a result. ASA FREE PLAY on OVER 6 goals