Thursday 5/13/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-13-2021, 06:12 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Pimlico - Race #1

#8 Backwoods Boogie	He should really appreciate getting back on the grass where he ran well a few times earlier in his career, and the surface switch might help him snap out of it after a couple modest tries.
#9 Ready to Run	He's just 1-for-12 lifetime on the lawn, but he owns a handful of decent back efforts going short on the turf, and the price might be right to try to get him in the picture.
#2 Barnstorm	He'll try the turf for the first time today, but his form is heading in the right direction in recent starts, and he may get overlooked on the board. Underneath?
Race Summary	Backwoods Boogie has run well on the grass in the past when facing tougher, and he has some room to improve while getting back to his preferred footing.

Pimlico - Race #3

#8 Mr. Shades of Gray	He gets on the grass for the first time, but the recent form suggests he'll be able to find a good spot tracking the pace from close range, and he's very capable with these if he likes the lawn.
#2 Stare Decisis	He's getting into the easiest spot he has seen so far while adding blinks and trying the locals. There is precedent for this type of shipper to land a race like this.
#9 Makoto	He owns a handful of running lines that would make him pretty tough here, but he's dropping off the bench while getting blinkers on. Not sure what to expect here, but it feels like he'll be an underlay either way.
Race Summary	Mr. Shades of Gray tests the turf for the first time, but the trip should be there for him from close range after stretching out with a decent enough first route try last out.

Pimlico - Race #7

#3 Striking It Lucky	He will need to come forward if he's going to land this, but he should get an honest setup today for his late run. Demand a price off the bench.
#2 Trouble Coffee	His form can be a bit hit or miss, but the two latest tries at Gulfstream stack up very nicely with what it would take to land this. Still, the 5/2 ML price would feel a bit short to me.
#7 Miami Mumbles	He's bred to be able to handle this kind of turf trip, and he has only tried the lawn once in the past. He improved with the locals last out, and he's interesting if that form can transfer to the turf.
Race Summary	Striking It Lucky should get a bit overlooked on the board, but there are a couple of forward players in here that may produce a fair pace, and he has some of the best finishing potential in the group.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-13-2021, 06:14 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

The Meadows - Race #4

#7 CASH N CHIPS	Hit best stride here in April, returns home, will need live cover.
#1 R HERBIE BLUECHIP	Hit board in 8 of 12 this year, moves outside in with Palone.
#8 MAHOMES	Can put speed to good use despite post, use in gimmicks at big price.
Race Summary	Cash N Chips rallied for three wins at the Meadows in a 30-day span recently, then failed to capitalize on live cover in Ohio Sire Stakes action. She can recapture her winning form with the right trip. Play a 1-7-8 exacta box.

Hoosier Park - Race #2

#5 WILLEY BITE	Plays to a steady beat, steps up off the claim, gets Tetrick.
#2 STAR OF OZ	Settled for a share in his last three starts, favorable post.
#6 ROYAL ROCKS	Slowed it down in second quarter, never threatened, changes hands.
Race Summary	Willey Bite, claimed out of his last three starts, backed off an early pace battle in the slop, tipped outside the pocket sitter for the stretch drive but paced evenly behind wire-to-wire winner Royal Rocks. The 1:54 clocking was the second fastest on the night. Play 5-2 and 5-6 exactas.

Yonkers - Race #3

#3 E R HILARY	Can carry speed the distance in second recent try under these conditions.
#8 TELL ME A JOKE	Can make exotic wagers pay off if she gets forward position early.
#1 ROCKIN THE BOYS A	Gets class relief, gets rail, seeks recent form reversal.
Race Summary	E R Hilary brushed early to a clear lead from post 8, held well through a :56.3 middle half before tiring on the class drop to this level. She draws closer inside and can control the pace throughout as today's Best Bet.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-13-2021, 06:15 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #5

#5 Imperial Mission	Moves the best in the final quarter and comes in off a sweeping run for the victory. Has recently changed his running style after attempting to run on the front end for much of his career and he's getting positive results. Can benefit from following a legit pace here.
#7 Kroy	Rarely runs a bad one and because of that has been claimed in four of his last six races, mostly recently by De La Cerda. Strong player on the front end.
#8 J P Hellish	Set the pace and finished fourth in the Turf Classic Stakes at Tampa; can be in close attendance of the pace and has defeated some of the main combatants.
Race Summary	Imperial Mission is ideally placed with these and can make them pay for their early efforts; strong late move and they'll have to dig in to hold him off.

Gulfstream Park - Race #7

#3 Running Memories	Doesn't have the experience of a lot of these but has made the best of her appearances with two wins in three starts; her only loss was in a stakes race and she can apply a lot of heat to this group.
#4 My Sarasota Star	Has the speed to get to the lead and is dangerous if clear early; fits with these.
#5 War Star	On the board in her last five and was getting to the winner last time; can get a perfect trip.
Race Summary	Running Memories has been right there in each of her starts and can take it to them when called upon; one to beat.

Gulfstream Park - Race #8

#5 Tony's Rose	Set the pace and tired going long and can show all kinds of late energy when turning back in distance.
#4 Heir Ball	Gave way last time and takes a class drop for this; was claimed two back by Joseph and is now at her lowest level.
#6 R Next Roll	Has excellent speed and can be effective as she steps up in class; will force the issue from the start.
Race Summary	Tony's Rose is back to five furlongs, which is her preferred distance; has a decent late move and is perfectly placed.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-13-2021, 08:43 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Belterra Park

Belterra Park - Race 7	Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / Late Daily Double
Claiming $5,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 73 • Purse: $8,200 • Post: 3:29P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE APRIL 13, 2021 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (OHIO REGISTERED FOALS PREFERRED).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. RAHFEE TOWN is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * RAHFEE TOWN: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Jockey/Trainer combination win percentage is at least 30. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). SLIPPY: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Today is a sprint and this is the hors e's third or fourth start after a layoff. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.
6	RAHFEE TOWN	5/2	3/1
4	SLIPPY	20/1	5/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	RAHFEE TOWN	6	5/2	Front-runner	72	68	65.8	66.4	55.9
4	SLIPPY	4	20/1	Front-runner	82	81	51.9	51.6	43.6
2	ANYTIMEALLTHETIME	2	7/2	Alternator/Stalker	75	67	44.9	57.2	51.2
7	MR ZYDECO	7	8/1	Trailer	73	61	40.2	63.2	52.2
5	MY PAL DAL	5	4/1	Alternator/Trailer	76	75	32.4	64.8	56.3
3	SCORSESE	3	5/1	Alternator/Non-contender	65	62	49.2	51.8	42.3
8	NOT NOW RAND	8	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	79	67	46.2	46.2	34.7
1	ANDRES ROMAN	1	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	71	64	31.6	53.0	38.5
9	LINEMAKER	9	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	71	69	19.8	57.0	48.5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-13-2021, 08:44 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero

Camarero - Race 3	Pick 5 (3-7) / Exacta / Trifecta / Daily Double 3-4
Claiming $14,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 84 • Purse: $7,500 • Post: 3:35P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE APRIL 28, 2021 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE APRIL 13, 2021 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE MARCH 13, 2021 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $14,000, FOR EACH $2,000 TO $10,000 1 LB.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Stalker. JEREMY C is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * JEREMY C: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. MI AMIGO PEDRO: Ho rse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. KING OF REDS: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. COMPRESSOR: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
3	JEREMY C	8/5	3/1
5	MI AMIGO PEDRO	2/1	4/1
2	KING OF REDS	5/2	9/1
1	COMPRESSOR	4/1	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	MI AMIGO PEDRO	5	2/1	Front-runner	79	80	75.0	73.0	70.5
1	COMPRESSOR	1	4/1	Alternator/Front-runner	73	72	81.5	61.6	54.6
3	JEREMY C	3	8/5	Alternator/Stalker	77	84	74.9	78.7	74.7
4	CREATIVE MOVE	4	5/1	Trailer	63	68	77.7	64.5	56.5
2	KING OF REDS	2	5/2	Trailer	73	74	76.9	70.6	62.1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-13-2021, 08:47 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Lone Star Park - Race #2 - Post: 7:03pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $15,000 Class Rating: 80

Rating:

#6 ETERNAL FORCE (ML=3/1)
#1 SHAKIN SILVER (ML=4/1)

ETERNAL FORCE - This gelding should give a good showing of himself in today's event. SHAKIN SILVER - The jockey/trainer tandem of Risenhoover and Wallis has a strong ROI together. I took a look at this gelding's finishes. He's almost always on the board. This animal earns a lot of cash per start. Tops in this affair.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 MIRACLE HILL (ML=2/1), #8 CONTINUUM (ML=5/1), #4 LET IT B (ML=6/1),

MIRACLE HILL - In any race of 5 1/2 furlongs, I like to back a contender that has been looking good in short distance races recently. CONTINUUM - No value in betting on this runner. Probably won't improve off that Apr 24th clash. LET IT B - This horse ran a most unsatisfactory speed rating last race out. He shouldn't run better and will probably lose today running that fig.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Play #6 ETERNAL FORCE to win if you can get odds of 2/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-13-2021, 08:48 AM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park

05/13/21, GP, Race 6, 3.24 ET
05/13/21,GP,6,6F [Dirt] 1:08:01 CLAIMING. Purse $22,000 (includes up to $3,000 FHBPA-FOA - FHBPA Florida Owners Awards). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Claiming Price $12,500, if for $10,000, allowed 2 lbs. (If no three-year-olds are entered, older weight will revert to 120 lbs.).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	7	Tapping	5/2	Zayas E J	Zerpa Gilberto	TSFEL	367	25.89	0.98/$1
096.6810	6	No Commission	2/1	Gonzalez E	Joseph. Jr. Saffie A.	J	79	29.11	1.31/$1
094.5654	4	Super Edgar	10/1	Martinez G A	Lawrence Dalton	C	367	25.89	0.98/$1
094.1824	1	Jr Speed	4/1	Lopez P	Davey Kathryn		48	33.33	1.22/$1
093.2122	8	Competitive Hero	9/2	Camacho S	Abreu Fernando		367	25.89	0.98/$1
092.7854	2	One Turn Johnny	15/1	Vasquez M A	Dwoskin Steven		79	29.11	1.31/$1
091.7378	5	Northbrook	30/1	Fuentes M	Negrete Javier		79	29.11	1.31/$1
091.3219	3	Road to Peace	20/1	Diaz R	Mastronardi. Jr. Nick	W	79	29.11	1.31/$1
088.4888	9	Teddy's Honor	30/1	Meneses M	Lanum Crystal		79	29.11	1.31/$1

Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.08, ROI 0.95/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -3.3190
[Category]Condition

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-13-2021, 08:49 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Golden Gate Fields

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Maiden Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 67

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 LUCKY CAUSE 15/1
# 6 PROOF OF PARANOIA 6/1
# 3 LUCA'S RIDE 2/1

LUCKY CAUSE is my selection particularly if the morning line of 15/1 holds. Exhibits the look of a profitable play, averaging a solid 61 speed figure which is one of the best in this field. Has to be given a shot versus this group displaying competitive figures lately and an average speed figure of 61 under similar conditions. PROOF OF PARANOIA - Is a solid choice - given the 63 speed rating from his most recent race. LUCA'S RIDE - Has performed solidly as of late in sprint races, posting a nifty 66 avg speed fig. Has strong speed figures and has to be considered for a bet in here.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-13-2021, 08:50 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Pimlico - Race #5 - Post: 2:52pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $27,000 Class Rating: 69

Rating:

#10 JESTFUL (ML=2/1)

JESTFUL - Was in a $30,000 Maiden Claiming race at Turfway Park last out. That race had an Equibase class figure of 89 and he is moving down in this field. A certain serious competitor. Last two speed figures (78, 72) were strong. Anything close to that right here in this race and this one could win easily. Russell and Cooney perform well when they combine forces. It's hard to beat a +167 return on investment for a rider and trainer. If this horse repeats any of his last 3 outings, he'll have a great shot to win in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 ZEALIN IT (ML=3/1), #16 OUCH OUCH OUCH (ML=3/1), #11 UNDAUNTED RAGS (ML=4/1),

ZEALIN IT - Don't believe this questionable contender has what it takes to be victorious in today's event. OUCH OUCH OUCH - Just can't wager on this pony. Didn't show me anything in the last race or on Apr 9th. UNDAUNTED RAGS - If he goes off anywhere close to the morning line odds of 4/1, I'll have to pass.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - JESTFUL - Second race back this magnificent animal had a speed number of 78 on the turf. Forget this gelding's last race, he is prime for a big race today.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#10 JESTFUL is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	10 with [2,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	10 with [2,6] with [2,6,8,14] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	10 with [2,6,8,14] with [2,6,8,14] with [2,6,8,14] Total Cost: $24
SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:	10 with [2,6] with [2,6,8,14] with [1,2,6,8,14] with [1,2,6,8,14] Total Cost: $36

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-13-2021, 04:47 PM

951PHILADELPHIA -952 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 19-30 SU (-19.2 Units) vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

953ST LOUIS -954 MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 16-32 SU (-19.9 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

955SAN FRANCISCO -956 PITTSBURGH
SAN FRANCISCO is 21-11 SU (12.2 Units) vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.

957CINCINNATI -958 COLORADO
CINCINNATI is 0-10 SU (-11.3 Units) vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities in the current season.

959MIAMI -960 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 9-2 SU (10.6 Units) in home games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons.

961KANSAS CITY -962 DETROIT
DETROIT is 5-14 SU (-13.4 Units) vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the current season.

963MINNESOTA -964 CHI WHITE SOX
MINNESOTA is 4-16 SU (-14.6 Units) vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the current season.

965OAKLAND -966 BOSTON
OAKLAND is 4-14 SU (-13.2 Units) in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start over the last 2 seasons.

967NY YANKEES -968 TAMPA BAY
NY YANKEES are 96-71 SU (17.9 Units) when the total is 8.5 to 10 in the last 3 seasons.

969TEXAS -970 HOUSTON
TEXAS are 17-6 SU (11.1 Units) vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the current season.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-13-2021, 04:48 PM

MLB

Thursday, May 13

NL games
Philadelphia (20-17) @ Washington (13-19)
— Eflin is 1-1, 5.12 in three road starts.
— Phillies are 4-3 in his starts
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1-2
— He is 4-3, 4.26 in nine starts vs Washington.

— Phillies won seven of their last nine games.
— Phillies are 7-11 on the road.
— under 9-4 last 13 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 17-37
— record in first 5 innings: 14-14-9

— Corbin is 1-1, 3.52 in his last four starts.
— Washington is 3-3 in his starts.
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-2
— He is 5-3, 3.19 in 11 starts vs Philly.

— Washington lost seven of its last eight games.
— Nationals lost their last five home games.
— under 9-2 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 7-32
— record in first 5 innings: 8-15-9

St Louis (22-15) @ Milwaukee (20-17)
— Flaherty is 6-0, 2.43 in his last six starts
— Cardinals are 7-0 in his starts.
— over 4-1-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 6-0-1
— He is 2-6, 5.72 in 12 starts vs Milwaukee.

— Cardinals won 14 of their last 19 games.
— St Louis is 9-5 in its last 14 road games.
— Under 6-3-1 last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 11-37
— record in first 5 innings: 18-12-7

— Burnes was 2-2, 1.84 in five starts before his IL stint.
— Milwaukee is 2-3 in his starts.
— under 3-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-1
— He is 1-2, 4.91 in eight games (5 starts) vs St Louis.

— Brewers lost seven of their last ten games.
— Milwaukee is 9-9 at home.
— over 4-3-1 last eight home games.
— scored run in first inning: 9-37
— record in first 5 innings: 15-14-8

San Francisco (22-14) @ Pittsburgh (15-21)
— DeSclafani is 2-1, 2.40 in seven starts.
— Giants are 4-3 in his starts.
— over 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-1
— He is 2-7, 5.44 in 16 starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Giants won six of their last nine games.
— Giants are 2-5 in last seven road games.
— Over is 12-4-1 in their last 17 games.
— scored run in first inning: 9-36
— record in first 5 innings: 20-11-5

— Crowe is 0-1, 3.38 in three starts.
— Pirates are 1-2 in his starts.
— under 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 2-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against San Francisco

— Pirates lost 10 of their last 13 games.
— Pittsburgh lost six of its last seven home games.
— under 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 9-36
— record in first 5 innings: 14-16-6

Cincinnati (17-17) @ Colorado (13-24)
— Miley is 2-1, 1.80 in his last three starts.
— He threw a no-hitter in his last start.
— Reds are 4-2 in his starts.
— over 3-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-1
— He is 8-2, 3.73 in 14 starts vs Colorado.

— Cincinnati is 8-5 in its last 13 games.
— Reds are 7-10 on road.
— Over 14-6-2 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 8-34
— record in first 5 innings: 13-15-6

— Gonzalez is 0-1, 6.08 in five starts.
— Colorado is 1-4 in his starts.
— over 3-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3
— He allowed three runs in 5.2 IP in his one start vs Cincinnati.

— Colorado is 4-10 in its last 14 games.
— Rockies are 11-5 in their last 16 home games.
— over 7-2 last nine home games.
— scored run in first inning: 12-37
— record in first 5 innings: 13-18-6

Miami (16-20) @ Arizona (17-20)
— Rogers is 4-1, 1.59 in his last six starts.
— Miami is 4-3 in his starts.
— under 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 5-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Arizona.

— Marlins lost three of their last four games.
— Miami is 2-6 in their last eight road tilts.
— under 6-2-2 in their last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 13-36
— record in first 5 innings: 13-16-7

— Kelly is 1-1, 3.63 in his last four starts.
— Arizona is 4-3 in his starts
— under 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Miami.
— He gave up 7 runs in six IP, in one start vs Miami.

— Arizona lost eight of its last 11 games.
— Arizona is 6-3 in its last nine home games.
— over 5-3 last eight home games
— scored run in first inning: 7-37
— record in first 5 innings: 18-17-2

AL games
Bronx (20-16) @ Tampa Bay (19-19)
— Taillon is 1-1, 3.98 in his last four starts.
— New York is 2-4 in his starts.
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-2
— He threw 6.1 scoreless innings in his one start vs Tampa Bay.

— New York won 15 of its last 21 games.
— New York is 7-3 in its last ten road games.
— under 15-7 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 6-36
— record in first 5 innings: 17-12-7

— Hill is 0-1, 4.22 in his last five starts (21.2 IP).
— Rays are 3-4 in his starts.
— over 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 02-2-3
— He is 2-2, 5.06 in 12 games (4 starts) vs New York.

— Tampa Bay lost four of its last five games.
— Rays are 3-7 in last ten home games.
— 12 of last 18 games stayed under
— scored run in first inning: 9-38
— record in first 5 innings: 12-15-11

Kansas City (16-19) @ Detroit (12-24)
— Lynch gave up 11 runs in five IP in his first two starts.
— Royals are 0-2 in his starts.
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Detroit.

— Royals lost their last ten games overall.
— Royals are 7-5 in last 12 road games.
— 10 of last 13 games went over
— scores run in first inning: 7-35
— record in first 5 innings: 14-16-5

— Turnbull is 0-2, 7.07 in his last three starts.
— Detroit is 1-3 in his starts.
— over 3-1 in his starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2
— He is 0-3, 3.46 in seven starts vs Kansas City.

— Detroit lost 18 of its last 24 games.
— Detroit is 5-8 in its last 13 home games.
— under 11-6 at home
— scored run in first inning: 6-36
— record in first 5 innings: 4-16-3 last 23 games

Oakland (23-15) @ Boston (22-16)
— Manaea is 3-0, 2.23 in his last six starts.
— A’s are 6-1 in his starts.
— over 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-3
— He is 3-2, 6.84 in five starts vs Boston.

— A’s are 4-1 in their last five games.
— Oakland is 10-4 on the road.
— Under is 6-0 in their last six road games.
— scored run in first inning: 10-38
— record in first 5 innings: 15-13-10

— Richards is 2-0, 3.00 in his last three starts.
— Red Sox are 3-4 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-2
— He is 3-4, 4.29 in 18 games (14 starts) vs Oakland.

— Boston lost its last three games.
— Red Sox are 10-8 in last 18 home games.
— over 6-3 last nine home games
— scored run in first inning: 11-38
— record in first 5 innings: 16-14-8

Texas (18-20) @ Houston (20-17)
— Foltynewicz is 1-0, 3.44 in his last three starts.
— Rangers are 3-4 in his starts.
— under 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 1-5-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Houston.

— Texas won eight of its last 13 games.
— Texas won three of its last five road games.
— under 4-0 last five road games.
— scored run in first inning: 10-38
— record in first 5 innings: 13-19-6

— Javier is 3-1, 2.01 in four home starts.
— Astros are 4-2 in his starts.
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1-1
— He is 2-0, 2.92 in two starts vs Texas.

— Astros won five of their last seven games.
— Astros are 9-5 in last 14 home games.
— over 8-4 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 10-37
— record in first 5 innings: 18-13-6

Minnesota (12-22) @ White Sox (21-13)
— Pineda is 2-1, 2.97 in six starts.
— Twins are 3-3 in his starts.
— under 3-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1-1
— He is 5-3, 3.21 in nine starts vs Chicago.

— Twins lost 20 of their last 27 games.
— Minnesota is 2-9 in last 11 road games.
— over 11-2 last 13 games
— scores run in first inning: 14-34
— record in first 5 innings: 14-12-8

— Lynn is 3-1, 1.80 in his last four starts
— Chicago is 3-2 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 4-0-1
— He gave up 3 runs in five IP, in his one start vs Minnesota.

— Chicago is 9-4 in its last 13 games.
— White Sox are 8-3 in last 11 home games.
— over 5-1-1 last seven home games.
— scored run in first inning: 10-34
— record in first 5 innings: 23-4-7

Cleveland (20-14) @ Seattle (18-18)
— Plesac is 1-0, 1.27 in his last three starts.
— Cubs are 3-4 in his starts.
— under 4-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Seattle.

— Cleveland won 12 of its last 15 games.
— Indians won their last five road games.
— over 12-7-1 last 20 games
— scores run in first inning: 7-34
— record in first 5 innings: 11-17-6

— Gilbert makes his MLB debut here.

— Seattle is 3-7 in its last ten games.
— Seattle is 7-5 in its last dozen home games.
— over 4-0-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 9-37
— record in first 5 innings: 14-19-4

Interleague games
Toronto (19-16) @ Atlanta (17-19)
— Stripling is 0-2, 6.75 in four starts.
— Blue Jays are 1-3 in his starts.
— under 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3
— He is 1-1, 4.50 in seven games (4 starts) vs Atlanta.

— Toronto is 11-6 in its last 17 games.
— Toronto is 8-5 in last 13 road games.
— over 10-4 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 10-35
— record in first 5 innings: 13-18-4

— Morton is 1-1, 8.22 in his last five starts.
— Braves are 2-5 in his starts.
— over 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3-1
— He is 2-2, 3.83 in eight starts vs Toronto.

— Braves won five of their last eight games.
— Atlanta is 2-4 in last six home games.
— Under is 7-2 in their last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 12-36
— record in first 5 innings: 17-14-5

Thursday’s umpires:
Phil-Wsh: Over is 4-2 in Nelson games.
StL-Mil: Over is 3-1 in Tichenor games.
Mia-Ariz: Rookie ump Williams has no history

KC-Det: Over is 6-0-1 in Moscoso games.
NY-TB: Under is 5-2 in Eddings games.
A’s-Bos: Under is 4-2 in last six Reyburn games.
Min-CWS: Home side won last four Carlson games.

Tor-Atl: Underdogs won three of four Barry games.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-13-2021, 04:49 PM

MLB

Thursday, May 13

Trend Report

Toronto @ Atlanta
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 9 games

Philadelphia @ Washington
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 9 games

Kansas City @ Detroit
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Kansas City's last 11 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Kansas City's last 9 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Detroit's last 11 games when playing at home against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit's last 9 games when playing Kansas City

St. Louis @ Milwaukee
St. Louis
St. Louis is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

Minnesota @ Chi White Sox
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Minnesota's last 13 games
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Chi White Sox is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

San Francisco @ Pittsburgh
San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco

Oakland @ Boston
Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games on the road
Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games
Boston is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Oakland

NY Yankees @ Tampa Bay
NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games on the road
NY Yankees is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Tampa Bay's last 11 games at home
Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Yankees

Texas @ Houston
Texas
Texas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Texas's last 11 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston
Houston is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Houston's last 11 games when playing at home against Texas

Cincinnati @ Colorado
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 10 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Colorado's last 10 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 8 games at home

Miami @ Arizona
Miami
Miami is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Arizona
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
Arizona is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Miami

Cleveland @ Seattle
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Seattle
Seattle is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games at home

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-13-2021, 04:49 PM

Diamond Trends for Thursday May 13
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Cleveland at Seattle (10:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Indians are 10-0 SU since Jul 28, 2020 as a favorite off a game as a favorite in which their opponent left 18+ men on base individually.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: N.Y. Yankees at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Yankees are 0-9 SU since Jul 25, 2020 on the road off a game as a favorite in which their opponent left fewer than 10 men on base individually.

OU Play Trend of the Day
Matchup: Toronto at Atlanta (12:20 p.m. ET)

-- The Braves are 14-0 OU (5.21 ppg) since Sep 24, 2019 as a -140 or greater favorite off a game as a favorite in which they had more strikeouts than hits.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Minnesota at Chicago White Sox (2:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Twins are 7-0 SU since May 16, 2019 when Michael Pineda starts when they lost in his last start.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-13-2021, 04:49 PM

563LA CLIPPERS -564 CHARLOTTE
LA CLIPPERS are 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

565MILWAUKEE-566 INDIANA
INDIANA is 2-16 ATS (-15.6 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

569SAN ANTONIO -570 NEW YORK
NEW YORK is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

571PHILADELPHIA -572 MIAMI
PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite in the current season.

575TORONTO -576 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 19-41 ATS (-26.1 Units) in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

577DENVER -578 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons.

579PORTLAND -580 PHOENIX
PHOENIX is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in home games vs. winning teams in the current season.

Thursday 5/13/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Thursday 5/13/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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