Monday 5/31/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mitchell Newman

Memorial Day Monday and the Yankees are back home absolutely reeling right now as they get set to host the division-leading Tampa Bay Rays.

Tampa comes into this set in the Bronx having won their last 4 and a whopping 15 of their last 16. It is a streak that started when Rich Hill and Jameson Taillon matched pitches back on May 13th and the Rays walked away with a 9-1 win over the Yanks.

The Yankees meanwhile are losers of 3 in a row and 5 of their last 6 as they have been held to just 2 runs or less in 5 of those 6 games. The Yankees are also just 2-7 this year in the season series against the Rays and I have a feeling the way they are hitting - or should I say NOT hitting - is going to have them in a heap of trouble in this series, especially in today's series opener.

Go ahead and back the Rays to keep the Yanks cold spell going on Monday

4* TAMPA BAY

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Jordan

My complimentary winner is this monstrous Game 7 in Canada to go over the posted 5 1/2 goals.

The Montreal Canadiens have shocked the Toronto Maple Leafs by winning Games 5 and 6, and have a chance to knock the much-higher seed from the postseason. This is an Original 6 rivalry, and what I can tell you is the Canadiens have one shot at winning this - a fast start.

The Leafs have dominated the series in the second and third periods. But Montreal has outscored Toronto, 4-1, in the first period. If the Canadiens want to take the crowd and Leafs out of the game early, and build their own energy, it starts at the opening puck.

Toronto has outscored Montreal 9-2 in the second period, so I expect many of the Leafs' goals to come in the middle stanza.

I know these teams have scored just 28 goals in the entire series, but one of two things will take place in this decisive game.

Either Montreal comes out strong and takes an early couple-goal lead, and forces Toronto to play catch up on offense. Or, the Leafs blow this thing up and take the total over by themselves.

Don't be surprised if it's 3-3 at the horn, and we see a third-straight overtime game.

1* OVER Canadiens-Maple Leafs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Grants Pass

Grants Pass - Race 1	$2 WPS / $1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $2 Daily Double (Races 1-2) $1 Pick 4 (Races 1-2-3-4)
Maiden Claiming $5,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 70 • Purse: $5,500 • Post: 5:15P
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Trailer. LORD VADER is the Dominant Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * LORD VADER: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the hi ghest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. I'M NOT GABBY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
6	LORD VADER	5/2	3/2
5	I'M NOT GABBY	7/2	7/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	I'M NOT GABBY	5	7/2	Front-runner	58	58	44.4	53.6	49.6
4	LONO	4	4/1	Alternator/Stalker	60	49	27.0	44.6	39.1
6	LORD VADER	6	5/2	Alternator/Trailer	76	70	79.0	62.2	59.7
2	COLTON'S TIGER	2	3/1	Alternator/Non-contender	54	35	47.7	40.2	31.7
3	GOLDEN FLAME	3	9/2	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	36.5	35.6	25.6
1	SEA DORA PROUD	1	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	34.6	27.6	16.6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta Downs

Delta Downs - Race 6	Exacta / Trifecta (.50 min.)/ Superfecta (.10 min.) Daily Double (Races 6-7) ($1 min.) / Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) Pick 5 (Races 6-7-8-9-10)
Maiden Claiming $5,000 • 300 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 58 • Purse: $5,500 • Post: 5:05P
QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * LUCKY BLUE: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast.
5	LUCKY BLUE	8/1	4/5

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	SWEET BUT PSYCHO B	1	6/1	Slow	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2	SLP PAINT MY WAGON	2	8/1	Slow/Trouble-prone	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0
3	CHLOES WILDONDAMONEY	3	15/1	Slow	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0
4	PRECIOUS WORLD	4	6/1	Slow	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0
5	LUCKY BLUE	5	8/1	Fast	55	29	0.0	0.0	0.0
6	MS DASH N DANI	6	5/2	Slow/Trouble-prone	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0
8	LRH HEART OF GLASS	8	3/1	Slow	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0
9	TG BIGONE	9	15/1	Slow/Trouble-prone	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10	WAVING CHICK	10	20/1	Slow/Trouble-prone	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Unknown Running Style: JESS TIZ AN OCEAN (15/1) [Jockey: Hernandez Jr Ricardo - Trainer: Carrizales Jose].

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Golden Gate Fields

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 8 - Stakes - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $100000 Class Rating: 106

ALL AMERICAN S. - FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $50 EACH TO ACCOMPANY THE NOMINATION OR BY SUPPLEMENTARY NOMINATION OF $2,000 AT THE TIME OF ENTRY WHICH INCLUDES ALL FEES. $1,000 TO ENTER WITH $100,000 GUARANTEED. WEIGHTS: THREE-YEAR-OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. HIGHEST EARNINGS PREFERRED. A TROPHY WILL BE PRESENTED TO THE WINNING OWNER. CLOSED

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 NAVY ARMED GUARD 5/1
# 3 ZESTFUL 5/2
# 6 HARMON 8/1

NAVY ARMED GUARD could be the bet in here. Is a strong contender based on figures recorded recently under today's conditions. Solid try today now going off Lasix. Has very strong front speed and should fare very well against this group of animals. ZESTFUL - With a sound 101 average speed figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's contest. Players ought to feel comfortable with this selection given Maldonado's recent profits at the window. HARMON - This gelding has been consistently running well in his latest outings. Should be given a shot in here if only for the very good speed figure put up in the last affair.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Energy Downs 307 Racing - Race #2 - Post: 2:00pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $4,800 Class Rating: 45

Rating:

#4 TOP HAT HUSTLE (ML=8/1)
#2 GRANDPA JACK (ML=7/2)


TOP HAT HUSTLE - This horse's last race was out at Arapahoe Park in a race with a class figure of 62. Dropping considerably in class figure today puts him in a solid position in this field. GRANDPA JACK - Lone speed horses can be tough to run down. Here's a lone speed freak facing sluggish sorts today. Ran in the last race against better company at Turf Paradise. The move down the class scale should suit him well.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 TOMBI (ML=2/1), #1 SHEZA MACHIAVELLI (ML=3/1), #6 CLEVER FRED (ML=4/1),

TOMBI - This morning-line favorite ran on Apr 30th and hasn't had a workout since then. SHEZA MACHIAVELLI - I find it hard to bet on any thoroughbred in a sprint contest at 3/1 when she hasn't shown any successful endeavors in sprints in the last couple of months. CLEVER FRED - The long vacation since August 2nd is somewhat alarming. Awfully hard to play this steed when he hasn't been showing any fighting spirit of late. When checking today's class rating, he will have to record a much better speed rating than in the last race to be competitive in this dirt sprint.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#4 TOP HAT HUSTLE is the play if we get odds of 5/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,4]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Assiniboia Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 2 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $12000 Class Rating: 67

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 28, 2021 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 WHO'S THE DIVA NOW 9/5
# 7 ALEX'S BOURBON 5/1
# 1 SHARP CONTRAST 12/1

I've got to go with WHO'S THE DIVA NOW. Overall the speed figures of this horse look strong in this contest. This lot is much softer than the last one she was up against. ALEX'S BOURBON - Is a strong contender based on figures posted recently under today's conditions. Is tough not to consider based on speed figures which have been quite good - 70 avg - of late.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Belmont Park

05/31/21, BEL, Race 9, 5.12 ET
05/31/21,BEL,9,1M [Dirt] 1:32:01 HANDICAP. Critical Eye Handicap. Purse $200,000. A HANDICAP FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE-YEAR-OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE BRED REGISTRY. Non-Lasix Race pursuant to 4043.2 (7)(e)(5) Lasix not permitted within 48 hours of post time. By subscription of $200 each which should accompany the nomination; $1,000 to pass the entry box and an additional $1,000 to start. For horses not originally nominated, a supplemental payment of $2,000 (along with the entry and starting fees) may be made at any time prior to the publication of weights. The purse to be divided 55% to the owner of the winner, 20% to second, 12% to third, 6% to fourth, 4% to fifth and 3% divided equally amongst the remaining finishers. A trophy will be presented to the winning owner. Closed Saturday, May 15, 2021 with 14 Nominations.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	5	Eloquent Speaker	15/1	Saez L	Dutrow Anthony W.	TW	105	40.95	1.83/$1
099.6984	7	Love and Love	4/1	Ortiz. Jr. I	Miceli Michael	JS	186	34.41	1.23/$1
097.3332	8	Bank Sting	6/1	Carmouche K	Terranova II John P.	FEL	186	34.41	1.23/$1
095.8162	6	Espresso Shot	7/2	Cancel E	Abreu Jorge R.		186	34.41	1.23/$1
094.8991	4	Mrs. Orb	3/1	Ortiz J L	Miceli Michael	C	186	34.41	1.23/$1
094.5347	9	Good Credence	6/1	Alvarado J	Margotta. Jr. Anthony		186	34.41	1.23/$1
094.0166	3	Timeless Journey	8/1	Franco M	Clement Christophe		186	34.41	1.23/$1
092.6328	2	Singular Sensation	8/1	Lezcano J	Hennig Mark A.		186	34.41	1.23/$1
091.5386	1	Dancing Kiki	30/1	Castellano J	Ryerson James T.		186	34.41	1.23/$1

Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 30.95, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -0.3016
[Category]Condition
[All Dirt] Best Trainer

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Mountaineer Park - Race #8 - Post: 9:55pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $6,800 Class Rating: 75

Rating:

#8 SAMSON LEE (ML=5/1)
#4 CATES SWOOSH (ML=5/2)


SAMSON LEE - I think this gelding is very ready right now. I like the fact that Ballard brings him back to a race so quickly. I think that this race's shorter trip should help this gelding. CATES SWOOSH - Have to like the early speed on this one. No one else may even be close. After the contest aboard this horse on May 19th, the jockey is going to know the gelding much better. This gelding should be in fine condition, this far into his form cycle. Gelding has shown some pace. This shorter distance should be better for him.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 JOVIAL JOHN (ML=2/1), #7 TURNER ASHBY (ML=8/1), #2 GRITO DE PABLITO (ML=8/1),

JOVIAL JOHN - Earned his best speed fig last out, but the track conditions may have played a major role in the outcome. You should normally gamble against chalks that haven't raced or show no activity in the morning over the last three weeks. The speed rating last out doesn't fit very well in this affair when I look at the class rating of today's race. Mark this thoroughbred as a questionable challenger. TURNER ASHBY - This gelding hasn't had any recent good results in sprint contests. I find it hard to invest in him in this race. GRITO DE PABLITO - Somewhat easily forgotten speed fig in the last race at Mountaineer Park at 5 1/2 furlongs. Don't believe this less than sharp equine will improve too much in today's race.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Have to go with #8 SAMSON LEE on the win end if we get at least 3/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [4,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones

May 31 '21, 2:10 PM in 53m
MLB | Tigers vs Brewers
Play on: Brewers -1½ -120 at Mirage

Jack's Free Pick Monday: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (-120)
We'll take the Brewers from a -280 favorite down to -120 here and back them on the Run Line today against the Detroit Tigers. The Brewers have won four straight coming in and have their ace on the mound this afternoon.
Corbin Burnes has been outstanding this season with a 2.33 ERA and 0.648 WHIP in eight starts with a whopping 74 K's and only two homers allowed in 46 1/3 innings. He'll be opposed by Tyler Alexander, who will be making his first start of the season for the Tigers.
Alexander is 3-7 with a 4.47 ERA and 1.364 WHIP in his three seasons in the big leagues. I just think this is a tough spot for the Tigers, who will be in letdown mode after a shocking sweep of the New York Yankees over the weekend.
The Brewers are 5-0 in their last five games vs. a team with a losing record. Milwaukee is 4-0 in its last four games vs. a left-handed starter. The Brewers are 5-1 in their last six home meetings with the Tigers. Bet the Brewers on the Run Line Monday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee

May 31 '21, 2:10 PM in 53m
MLB | Tigers vs Brewers
Play on: Brewers -1½ -109 at pinnacle

FREE PICK - Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (-109)
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 974
I will take my chances with the Brewers on the -1.5 run line in Monday's home game against the Tigers. Milwaukee comes into this game fresh off a 3-game sweep of the Nationals. The Brewers have won 4 straight overall and are 7-2 in their last 9 games.
Today's game against Detroit has blowout written all over it. Tigers are sending out Tyler Alexander for his first start of 2021. He's been primarily used out of the bullpen and doesn't figure to pitch more than an inning or two before turning it over to an awful Detroit bullpen. Tigers' relievers own a 6.78 ERA and 1.718 WHIP on the road this season.
Milwaukee will send out Corbin Burnes, who is just 2-4, but owns a sensational 2.33 ERA and 0.648 WHIP in 8 starts this season. Burnes only start against Detroit came last September and he held the Tigers to 1 hit with 11 Ks in 7 shutout innings. Give me the Brewers -1.5 (-109)!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon

May 31 '21, 2:10 PM in 50m
MLB | Tigers vs Brewers
Play on: Brewers -275 at Mirage

FREE PLAY on Brewers -275

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin

May 31 '21, 2:10 PM in 50m
MLB | Phillies vs Reds
Play on: Reds -109 at BetCris

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Cincinnati Reds -109
The Philadelphia Phillies are just 4-10 in their last 14 games overall. They are struggling to score runs as they have been held to 3 runs or fewer in nine of their last 11 games overall. They are without their best hitter in Bryce Harper right now which is a big reason for their struggles at the plate. Wade Miley is 2-1 with a 3.46 ERA in four previous starts against the Phillies. Miley is 2-2 with a 3.05 ERA in four home starts this season. Give me the Reds.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn

May 31 '21, 4:05 PM in 2h
MLB | Angels vs Giants
Play on: Giants -130 at Mirage

1* Free Play on Giants -130

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price

May 31 '21, 4:10 PM in 2h
MLB | A's vs Mariners
Play on: Mariners +118 at BetCris

1* Free Pick on Mariners +118