Service Plays Saturday 5/29/21

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Elite Sports Picks

Chicago Cubs (Davies) -115 over Cincinnati (Castillo)

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Nick Borrman

4% Chelsea-Manchester City over 2.5 (+135)

Line Parameter: 4% at 2.5 to +110, or just play the 2.25 line

UEFA Champions League Final

Contrarian play here as everyone is on the Under and I think that's given some great value to the Over. You can get even get 2.25 at +100 or better odds right now. This game will probably start slow but I should pick up the pace as it goes on, especially once the first goal gets scored which City loves to do right before halftime as they did in their last meeting which ended in a 2-1 Chelsea win. City scored in the 42' minute and then were awarded a penalty in the 45' only to see Aguero miss it. They likely win that game if they go into the break up 2-0.

That being said, it proves that chances will still be had in this game despite these two being very good defensive teams. If we get one early, this thing will have no problem, but even if this goes into halftime 0-0, I still like our changes.

Like I did for the Europa Final, I'll had several props for this game including a couple that could be a hedge against this play with the ability to still win both.

TAKE OVER 2.5 GOALS

Line Parameter: 4% at 2.5 to +110, or just play the 2.25 line

Props, odds all via DraftKings, except the Corners prop is from FanDuel

Two most likely goal scorers from the Man City side
0.5% Riyad Mahrez +285
0.5% Kevin De Bruyne +300

Along the idea of the game going over the total, I think more of the action comes in the 2nd half as both teams will push for the win as neither will see extra time and/or penalties as an advantage
0.5% Over 1.5 Goals 2nd Half +140
0.5% Both Teams to Score 2nd Half +300

Chelsea's invincible defense has started to show cracks and I think it will be hard for them to win three in a row against City. Good return on taking them and pairing with Both Teams to Score
0.5% Manchester City + Both Teams to Score +360

Man City, as they did in the most recent two meetings, will likely dictate the play and thus earn more corners. Chelsea's best chance is defensively and to hit on the counter which won't produce as many corners.
1.0% Manchester City -2.5 Corners +135 (FanDuel)

Along the same note as Man City controlling the pace, with more sustained pressure in the box, perhaps they can earn a penalty as they did in the last match, although Aguero missed his chance
0.5% Manchester City to Score a Penalty +450

4.0% Total Risk

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Carmine Bianco

4% Chelsea +0.5 (-120)

Champions League Final


Quick Synopsis: An all England Final and by the time May 29th rolls around this game may have been moved from Turkey to England and Wembley Stadium amidst travel restrictions for fans of both sides. Both teams have been nothing but impressive in the knockout stages of this event and arguably Chelsea have had the tougher route to this Final. If these two were playing each other in mid January with their current forms at that time this would be a lopsided result for Manchester City but a managerial change and the formation, game strategy, line up changes that followed have been nothing if not ultra impressive for Chelsea. The Blues with Tuchel at the helm have gone 17W 6D 2L and within that impressive 17 wins were 2 against this City squad in the FA Cup Semifinals played at Wembley and a win at Manchester in Round 35 of the PL season denying them the opportunity to clinch the title in a game they came back from a 1-0 halftime deficit. We're getting a ½ goal here in a game that should be just as tight as those 2 previous games and should this go to extra time and/or penalties that will not effect this wager which is graded on the 90 minute + injury time result. I will be adding a variety of Prop Bets to this package as game day approaches and in the past they have hit with with some great profits including exact scores, penalty kick, goal scorers and yellow cards. Whenever I update this play you should get an email notification. I've priced this package at $1 as an appreciation to all my clients and have done so for the Champions League Final the previous years as well.

GAME DAY PROPS: (Remember to treat these a very small wagers as they are prop bets and meant to give you additional options to follow during the game similar to what you'd do in the Super Bowl) Best of luck everyone.

Manchester City -2.0 Corner kicks

Luis Fernandinho (Man City) To get a yellow card +155

Joao Cancelo (Man City) to get a yellow card +210

Cesar Azpilicueta (Chelsea) to get a yellow card +225

Over 4.5 Yellow cards

Goal Scoring Props:

Ilkay Gundogan (Man City) +220 to score anytime (Remember to select VOID if player doesn't start. But he should)

Timo Werner (Chelsea) +300 to score anytime (Remember to select VOID if player doesn't start)

Additional Props - Specials

A Penalty Kick awarded +175

Exact Score Props

Manchester City to win 1-0 +550

Chelsea to win 1-0 +900

Draw 1-1 +550

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Jeff Hochman

3* NBA Postseason Premium Play

Memphis +5

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SDQL

Corrected For Saturday

KANSAS CITY @ MINNESOTA | 05/29 | 2:10 PM EDT
MINNESOTA -157
ANALYSIS: The Royals are 0-11 on the road after a five-plus run win as a road dog and it is before the All-Star break. The Twins are 9-0 at home off a five-plus run home loss and it is before the All-Star break. We are on the Twins.

+1964 61-29-1 IN LAST 91 MLB PICKS
+756 20-7 IN LAST 27 KC ML PICKS
+400 4-0 IN LAST 4 MIN ML PICKS
11:29 AM

SAN FRANCISCO @ L.A. DODGERS | 05/29 | 7:15 PM EDT
OVER 7.5
ANALYSIS: The Over is 9-0 when the Giants are a dog after a game in which they had more strikeouts than hits. The Over also is 6-0 when Julio Urias starts as a favorite after the Dodgers used six-plus pitchers the previous day.

+1964 61-29-1 IN LAST 91 MLB PICKS
+557 10-4 IN LAST 14 LAD O/U PICKS
9:15 AM

N.Y. YANKEES @ DETROIT | 05/29 | 4:10 PM EDT
N.Y. YANKEES -140
ANALYSIS: The Yankees are 8-0 in the second game of a road series as a favorite of more than -130 when they allowed the first score, took the lead but lost as a favorite in the series opener. The Tigers are 0-16 in the second game of a series as a dog off a game as a dog in which they scored first, trailed and then won.

+1964 61-29-1 IN LAST 91 MLB PICKS
+671 10-2 IN LAST 12 DET ML PICKS
9:12 AM

L.A. ANGELS @ OAKLAND | 05/29 | 4:07 PM EDT
OAKLAND -145
ANALYSIS: The Angels are 0-23 as a road dog of more than +135 when they are off a road game and their opponent’s starter has a strike-per-ball ratio greater than 2.00 on the season. They also are 0-14 as a road dog of more than +130 off a road game in which they struck out at least 10 times and it is before the All-Star break.

+1964 61-29-1 IN LAST 91 MLB PICKS
+315 3-0 IN LAST 3 LAA ML PICKS
9:03 AM

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Root

Chairman’s Portland

Pinnacle- Utah Jazz

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Green Falcon Picks

Academia Puerto Cabello - Yaracuyanos FC
Venezuela, Primera Division, 01:15 CET (May 30) / 7:15 PM ET
3.5 Units: Yaracuyanos FC +0.75 -106

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Tony George
4* Rays -125
3* Cubs -120

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Vegas Sports Informer

6* Utah Over 224

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Jack Winningham

Cinn/Cubs Over 6.5

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Docs

3* Bucks -4.5
3* Portland -4.5
3* Portland Under 227.5
3* Utah -5

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Jack Jones
20
Portland
20
Wizards
15
Nyy
15
La dodgers -1.5

Mike Lundin
Oakland

Aaa
Yankees

Jim Feist
Padres
Marlins
Jazz

Big al
Yankees

Bryan Powers
Boston red Sox

Tim Michael
10
Padres
10
Portland

Marc Lawrence
Heat +5

Ross Benjamin
Gom
Grizzlies

[onetrikpony]

IC NBA

7 - Utah under 224.5
4 - Miami over 221.5
WNBA
4 Dallas Wings -1

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Doug Upstone NBA

3U - Denver Nuggets +5.0

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Dwayne Bryant

5% max bet total over 7.5 Dodgers