Saturday 6/5/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358423

    #46
    Hunter Price

    Jun 05 '21, 4:10 PM in 3h
    Fighting | Claudio Puelles vs Jordan Leavitt
    Play on: Jordan Leavitt -210 at Draft Kings

    1* Free Pick on Jordan Leavitt -210
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358423

      #47
      Dave Price

      Jun 05 '21, 4:10 PM in 3h
      MLB | Twins vs Royals
      Play on: Royals +105 at pinnacle

      Dave's Saturday Free Play:
      1* on Kansas City Royals +105
      The Key: The Kansas City Royals are 6-1 in their last 7 games and have scored at least 5 runs in all 7 contests. Jose Berrios has yielded 4 or more earned runs in 4 of his last 5 starts against the Royals. Mike Minor is 1-1 with a 2.77 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts against the Twins. Minor has 24 strikeouts in 17 innings and a 3.71 ERA in his last 3 outings. Take Kansas City.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358423

        #48
        Kenny Walker

        Jun 05 '21, 7:15 PM in 6h
        MLB | Dodgers vs Braves
        Play on: Braves +117 at Draft Kings

        Free Pick on Braves
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358423

          #49
          Black Widow

          Jun 05 '21, 7:15 PM in 6h
          MLB | BOS vs NYY
          Play on: UNDER 9½ -112

          1* Free Wiseguy Play on Red Sox/Yankees under 9½ -112
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358423

            #50
            Larry Ness

            Jun 05 '21, 10:07 PM in 9h
            MLB | Mariners vs Angels
            Play on: Angels -135 at Mirage

            My free play is on the LA Angels at 10:07 ET.
            The Mariners and Angels continue a four-game series Saturday night in Anaheim. Seattle won 6-2 on Thursday, while the Angels rebounded with a 3-2 win Friday. Oakland leads the NL West at 34-25 (Astros are one game back) but about 60 games into the current season, neither the 29-30 Mariners nor the 26-31 Angels seem like postseason contenders. Seattle's last postseason appearance was 2001 (that team set a single-season MLB record with 116 wins) and LA's only postseason appearance in the last 11 seasons came back in 2014 (lost 3-0 in the wild card round).
            Saturday's starting pitching matchup features Yusei Kikuchi (3-3, 3.88 ERA) of Seattle against Alex Cobb (3-2, 3.78 ERA) of Los Angeles. This is Kikuchi's third big league season (all with Seattle) and he's shown improvement. He made 41 starts in 2019 and 202o, going 8-15 with a 5.39 ERA. However, his ERA is down to 3.88 in 10 starts in 2021 (team is 5-5) and he's got a solid 1.04 WHIP. Alex Cobb began his career with Tampa Bay and had double digit wins in FOUR of his six seasons with the club. However, he signed a four-year FA deal with Baltimore prior to the 2018 season and produced a disaster of a season (5-15, 4.90 ERA and 1.41 WHIP). He then made just 13 starts in 2019 and 2020 combined, going 2-7 with a 5.57 ERA. Baltimore traded him to the Angels in Feb of 2012 and the hope was that reuniting him with manager Joe Maddon would revive his career. It didn't start that way, as Cobb poste a 7.16 ERA in April. However, after missing two starts due to a blister issue, he's won his last two starts, allowing just one ER over 12 innings (0.75 ERA) with a 12-2 KW ratio.
            Seriously, he's no Jacob deGrom but he may just have found a groove. As for Kikuchi, in five career starts vs the Angels, he's 1-3 (team is 1-4) with an abysmal 11.33 ERA. Go Angels!
            Good luck...Larry
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358423

              #51
              Jesse Schule

              Jun 05 '21, 10:07 PM in 9h
              MLB | Mariners vs Angels
              Play on: Mariners +1½ -154 at pinnacle

              This is a free play on the Mariners +1.5.
              The Mariners have split the first two games of this series in LA, but they look good as an underdog in the rubber match tonight.
              Yusei Kikuchi will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's coming off back to back wins in a pair of quality starts. Kikuchi (3-3, 3.88 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on three hits over 6 2/3 innings in a home win over Texas his last time out.
              The Halos hand the ball to Alex Cobb, who's stats look very similar to those of his counterpart. The Angels pitching staff as a whole ranks dead last in the American League with a team ERA of 4.95.
              The Mariners are 5-2 in the last seven meetings in Los Angeles.
              GL,
              Jesse Schule
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358423

                #52
                Bobby Conn

                Jun 05 '21, 10:07 PM in 9h
                MLB | Mariners vs Angels
                Play on: Angels -134 at Draft Kings

                1* Free Play on Angels -134
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358423

                  #53
                  Jack Jones

                  Jun 05 '21, 10:10 PM in 9h
                  MLB | Mets vs Padres
                  Play on: Mets -110 at linepros

                  Jack's Free Pick Saturday: New York Mets -110
                  The New York Mets had gone 6-1 in their previous seven games before dropping the first two games of this series to the San Diego Padres by a combined 3 runs. They will be highly motivated for a victory here in Game 3, and they send their ace to the mound to get the job done.
                  It's rare that you get the opportunity to back Jacob DeGrom as a -110 favorite or better, and we'll take advantage today. DeGrom is 4-2 with a 0.71 ERA and 0.569 WHIP in eight starts this season with 82 K's and only 7 walks and 3 homers allowed in 51 innings.
                  DeGrom has been at his best on the road this season, going 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.611 WHIP while pitching 18 innings without allowing a single earned run. He owns the Padres as well, posting a 1.57 ERA and 0.820 WHIP in eight career starts against them. Bet the Mets Saturday.
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358423

                    #54
                    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Energy Downs 307 Racing



                    Energy Downs 307 Racing - Race 3
                    $2 Exacta / $1 Trifecta
                    Trial • 300 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 CR: 70 • Purse: $3,000 • Post: 2:30P
                    QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR WYOMING BRED QUARTER HORSES, PAINTS, AND APPALOOSAS, TWO YEARS OLD WHICH REMAIN ELIGIBLE FOR THE WYOMING BRED FUTURITY. LATE PAYMENT OF $1,400 AT TIME OF ENTRY FOR TRIALS. $15,000 ADDED (PLUS FEES). THE TEN (10) FASTEST QUALIFIERS WILL BE ELIGIBLE FOR THE FINAL. WEIGHT: 124, LBS.
                    Contenders
                    Race Analysis
                    P#
                    Horse
                    Morn
                    Line
                    Accept
                    Odds

                    Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * YO BRINDIS CONCERT: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
                    4
                    YO BRINDIS CONCERT
                    7/2
                    4/5

                    P#
                    Horse (In Running Style Order)
                    Post
                    Morn
                    Line
                    Running Style
                    Good
                    Class
                    Good
                    Speed
                    Early Figure
                    Finish Figure
                    Platinum
                    Figure
                    2
                    LETS START OVER
                    2
                    8/5
                    Slow
                    0
                    0
                    0.0
                    0.0
                    0.0
                    3
                    CD GRETTA DA GREAT
                    3
                    5/1
                    Slow
                    0
                    0
                    0.0
                    0.0
                    0.0
                    4
                    YO BRINDIS CONCERT
                    4
                    7/2
                    Slow
                    62
                    55
                    0.0
                    0.0
                    0.0
                    6
                    DIAMOND DUSTING
                    6
                    8/1
                    Slow
                    0
                    0
                    0.0
                    0.0
                    0.0
                    Unknown Running Style: GRACIES BIG SPLASH (10/1) [Jockey: Guzman Jose - Trainer: Maldonado Martha], DOCS STACKED DECK (8/1) [Jockey: Hernandez Rey - Trainer: Gibbs Tyler], MURPHY BEACH (4/1) [Jockey: Virgen Jesus - Trainer: Hillman Heath].
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358423

                      #55
                      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Ruidoso Downs

                      Always check program numbers.
                      Odds shown are morning line odds.




                      Race 6 - Trial - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $6000 Class Rating: 76

                      QUARTER HORSE 350Y, THREE YEAR OLD NEW MEXICO BREDS THAT ARE NOMINATED AND REMAIN ELIGIBLE TO THE 2021 MOUNTAIN TOP QUARTER HORSE DERBY TRIALS. WEIGHT 126 LBS. ALL HORSES MUST ENTER FOR THE TRIALS ON SATURDAY MAY 29, 2021 BY 10:00 AM AND PAY THE ENTRY FEE.

                      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                      # 1 LEADING CARTEL 3/5
                      # 2 CRISTOM 5/1
                      # 3 SURFZ UP 10/1
                      LEADING CARTEL is the best wager in this race. Earnings per start at the distance/surface is a very good angle. This entrant ranks at the top in this field of horses. He should have a good outing versus this softer field. The speed rating of 74 from his last affair looks very strong in here. CRISTOM - His 82 average has this colt with among the top Speed Figures here. With a very good 87 speed rating last time out, will unquestionably be a factor in this contest. SURFZ UP - Appears to have a quite good class edge based on the most recent company kept. Has run soundly when racing a short race.
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358423

                        #56
                        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                        Golden Hour Wagers - Race #2 - Post: 5:43pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $17,000 Class Rating: 94

                        Rating:

                        #7 COLORMEMONEY (ML=7/2)
                        #1 KING EDDIE (ML=15/1)
                        #5 STRIKE IT LUCKY (ML=9/2)
                        #2 SATANTA (ML=6/1)


                        COLORMEMONEY - This horse could be tough this time around, especially since Martinez rode last time around the track and now should be better acquainted with this one. You'll be generating money left and right by turning your gambling cash onto this jockey/trainer combination. I like to play this angle, a horse coming back off a solid race within the last month or so. KING EDDIE - I really like it when a horse's last prep is at the same distance or longer than today's outing like this one's is. As the only speed freak in the race, I expect this gelding to be long gone. Gelding has shown some pace. This shorter distance should be better for him. STRIKE IT LUCKY - This gelding should be at the fitness peak, this far into his form cycle. This gelding is in good condition. Ran second on May 14th. The 92 last race speed figure looks good in the TrackMaster PPs. SATANTA - France has an 'uncoupled' entry here. Best to beware the longer priced half. Rounding his way back into form. Each of his finish positions is getting better in his recent starts. France brings him right back. I suggest you stay with this strong gelding.

                        Vulnerable Contenders: #6 HOT SEAN (ML=5/2), #4 TORPEDO AWAY (ML=4/1), #8 ARNO'S MANE MAN (ML=6/1),

                        TORPEDO AWAY - Today's race is 5 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't hit the board in a short distance event in the last 60 days. Not the greatest of signals. This steed hasn't been close to the winner at the wire of late. ARNO'S MANE MAN - You can't keep making alibis for a thoroughbred that just doesn't win. Don't play him.



                        STRAIGHT WAGERS: #7 COLORMEMONEY is the play if we get odds of 7/2 or better
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358423

                          #57
                          Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fair Meadows Tulsa

                          Always check program numbers.
                          Odds shown are morning line odds.




                          Race 10 - Allowance - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $12000 Class Rating: 79

                          QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.

                          RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                          # 5 PEVES BLUE DUCK 5/2
                          # 1 IVORY STORM CAT 3/1
                          # 2 JESS A LIL POP 2/1
                          I think PEVES BLUE DUCK is a formidable choice. Tough to pass on this gelding with Raudales in the saddle. Had one of the top speed figs of this field in his last race. He has been racing very well lately while recording solid Equibase Speed Figs. IVORY STORM CAT - Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this racer look respectable in this contest. Ought to come out sharp - I have liked the way this horse has moved rapidly to the lead recently. JESS A LIL POP - Is worth serious consideration and may be a wager - strong Equibase speed figs (73 average) at today's distance and surface lately. Could beat this field given the 78 speed figure recorded in her last outing.
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358423

                            #58
                            Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                            Lone Star Park - Race #10 - Post: 6:20pm - Claiming - 7.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $23,000 Class Rating: 95

                            Rating:

                            #3 CORRUZE (ML=5/1)
                            #6 NOBLE EGYPTIAN (ML=12/1)
                            #4 ANTARCTIC (ML=2/1)


                            CORRUZE - I like to see fast works. This gelding's last one was very good. Second fastest of the day. You have to like that latest race speed fig, 95, which is the best last race speed rating of this bunch. NOBLE EGYPTIAN - Look for this horse to run lots better today. Last contest at Lone Star Park finishing sixth on a track listed as good is no indication of his true talent. ANTARCTIC - Broberg brings this gelding back into a race rather than a workout. He knows his gelding is on top of his game. This gelding is in exceptional form right now. Ran first last out and comes back quickly. I usually like playing sprinters who are 3-4 races into a return.

                            Vulnerable Contenders: #8 SPACE MOUNTAIN (ML=5/2), #2 VOO DOO DOC (ML=6/1), #11 VALENTINE STREET (ML=8/1),

                            SPACE MOUNTAIN - Tough to support any horse that runs as well as he did and then lays up and doesn't workout at all. VOO DOO DOC - Hasn't hit the board in any sprint contests recently. Doubtful to see him doing it in today's event either. VALENTINE STREET - Tough to play this racer in today's event. Make him show you something in a short distance contest before you play him in a race of 7 1/2 furlongs. Didn't hit the board on March 20th at Sam Houston. Followed it up with another less than stellar effort.


                            STRAIGHT WAGERS: #3 CORRUZE is going to be the play if we are getting 7/2 or better
                            EXACTA WAGERS: Box [3,4,6]

                            TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                            Box [3,4,6] Total Cost: $6
                            SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [3,4,6] with [3,4,6] with [1,3,4,6,8] with [1,3,4,6,8] Total Cost: $36
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358423

                              #59
                              Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Belmont Park



                              06/05/21, BEL, Race 11, 6.49 ET
                              06/05/21,BEL,11,1 1/2M [Dirt] 2:24:00 STAKES. Belmont S. Presented by NYRA Bets. Grade 1. Purse $1,500,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS.
                              . . . .
                              Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                              After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
                              100.0000 2 Essential Quality 2/1 Saez L Cox Brad H. TE 321 35.83 1.23/$1
                              098.6663 4 Hot Rod Charlie 7/2 Prat F O'Neill Doug F. JSF 321 35.83 1.23/$1
                              097.6556 3 Rombauer 3/1 Velazquez J R McCarthy Michael W. 261 36.78 1.29/$1
                              097.1456 6 Known Agenda 6/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Pletcher Todd A. 321 35.83 1.23/$1
                              097.1193 7 Rock Your World 9/2 Rosario J Sadler John W. 321 35.83 1.23/$1
                              094.9502 8 Overtook(b+) 20/1 Franco M Pletcher Todd A. WC 261 36.78 1.29/$1
                              094.1243 1 Bourbonic 15/1 Carmouche K Pletcher Todd A. 321 35.83 1.23/$1
                              093.7808 5 France Go de Ina 30/1 Santana. Jr. R Mori Hideyuki L 261 36.78 1.29/$1
                              Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 44.79, ROI 1.40/$1
                              Rating gap to 2nd horse -1.3337
                              [Category]Condition
                              [All Categories] Race Purse Greater Than $50K
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358423

                                #60
                                Steve Janus

                                Jun 05 '21, 10:10 PM in 9h
                                MLB | Mets vs Padres
                                Play on: Padres +110 at Mirage

                                1* Free Sharp Play on Padres +110
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