Sunday 6/13/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369858

    #1

    Sunday 6/13/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369858

    #2
    Al Cimaglia: Hoosier Park Late Pick 4 Analysis


    June 13, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
    Hoosier Park has 13 races set to go with the headliners being 3-year-old colts and geldings battling in Indiana Sires Stakes action. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 begins in Race 10 and that sequence will be my focus.

    Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

    Race 10

    3-My Wish Came True (5-1)-This 3-year-old has learned how to win this year and posting 5 wins in 11 starts backs up my thinking. This will be a test but the Miller barn has been rolling along and can trip out from this post with a similar win as on 6-4.
    4-Saddle Up (7/2)-Came 3rd in the same race as #3 but missed a start and raced from the back. Has the speed to get a good early seat and will look for DeLong to be more aggressive tonight with a big purse on the line.
    6-Brookview Bullet (3-1)-The tepid morning line favorite cashed a 2nd place check in last but was a bit fortunate to do so and was rather dull until the late going. Did come off a sparkling win on 6-4 and it's best to not overlook here because this Burke trainee could be posing with a top effort.

    Race 11

    4-Rockin On Venus (5/2)-Fits with this group and has won 3 of 6 this year all coming at Hoosier. Left from post 9 last week and was 20 lengths back into a .56 opening half. Then proceeded to scorch the back half in 52.1. Looks like a major player and the pace could be lively.
    5-Virgo (2-1)-On 5/21 made the 1st start this year versus this class. Broke slowly that day and when pulled on the backside stalled and then slowed to a crawl at 3/2. Qualified in 151.4 and paced the back half in less than .54 to win by >19 lengths. Using and hoping the price will be better than last time, but did win >$126k in 9 races at HoP in 2020.
    6-Nick's Monster (5-1)-Has fallen short against the better 3-year-olds but did come up with a 2nd place finish on 5-21 when in with #4 and #5. Needs a sharp steer but the price should be right to take a swing.

    Race 12

    5-Snowmoon (3-1)-Has been paying bills and then some racing over 5/8's ovals in Ohio. Made its HoP season debut last week and cashed a 2nd place check with a 150.4 effort at this class. Tetrick takes the lines and this 4-year-old could be even better with a Hoosier race under his belt.
    6-Shamwow (4-1)-Gets some needed class relief and regular pilot returns. Likes to race near the top and could follow #5 and make the most of a pocket trip.
    7-Boiling Oar (5-1)-Has been facing straight Open company without success. Should be a player if returns to the form of April-May versus this kind and should be a fair price.

    Race 13

    4-Odds On Osiris (4-1)-Team Wrenn 4-year-old should relish this company and has done well at HoP winning 9 of 21 starts. Hasn't taken a picture in 6 starts this year but this is a spot to wake-up and should be forwardly placed from the start.
    5-Rockie Got Framed (5/2)-Makes the 2nd start of the year after finishing a close up 3rd at this class. Got on the engine into a 54.1 opening half in the 1st start on Lasix. Made only 11 starts last year and notched 1 win but has 8 pictures in 39 Hoosier starts. Could be ready to take top honors and Tetrick might be able to get on the engine this time without using up much gas.

    0.50 Late Pick 4

    3,4,6/4,5,6/5,6,7/4,5
    Total Bet=$27
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369858

      #3
      Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 6/13/21


      June 13, 2021
      Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
      *
      The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
      *
      *
      Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.



      Click Here to View Today’s Santa Anita Workout Report



      RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B+
      Use: 4-Pushing Sixty; 5-Freedom Lass

      Forecast: Freedom Lass benefits from a useful recent sprint prep that should set her up for today’s grass miler, and with a strong recent workout to have her on edge the M. Puype-trained filly appears ready for a career top effort. She switches to the barn’s “go-to” rider J. J. Hernandez and offers excellent price value at 6-1 on the morning line. Pushing Sixty is worth including on your rolling exotic ticket as well, at least as a backup. She’s looked good in the morning since her starter’s allowance win over this course and distance last month and projects to be forwardly paced throughout.. Based strictly on speed figures, she’s a solid contender.
      *
      *
      RACE 2: Post: 1:35 PT Grade: B-
      Use: 1-Chollima; 4-Luck Be Mine

      Forecast: Chollima, claimed in her last pair and now in the A. Lerner barn, retains regular rider A. Cedillo and will be tough to beat if she can avoid trouble from her rail draw. First or second in three of four career outings over the Santa Anita main track, the daughter of Paddy O’Prado is overdue for a winning effort, having finished second as the favorite in each of her last two outings. Luck Me Mine beat our top choice in convincing fashion last month and rates a legitimate shot to do it again. Today’s extra furlong may be problematic but the daughter of Lookin At Lucky is a four-time winner and the deserving morning line favorite at 6/5. We’ll give Chollima a chance to turn the tables today, but both should be included in rolling exotic play.
      *
      *
      RACE 3: Post: 2:08 PT Grade: B-
      Use: 1-Rager; 2-Exultation

      Forecast: We’ll go two-deep in this five-runner starter’s allowance turf sprint while preferring Exultation on top. Genuine, consistent, and first or second in each of his last five starts, the veteran son of Paynter projects to enjoy an ideal pace-prompting trip and have every chance to seal the deal when the pressure is turned on at the head of the lane. So far during his career he’s much preferred to run second or third rather than win but this is an opportunity he shouldn’t let slip by. Rager, fourth in the same race our top selection just finished second in, will enjoy a ground-saving, second flight trip from his rail post and is the one to fear most. A repeat of his winning race over this course and distance may be good enough.
      *
      *
      RACE 4: Post: 2:41 PT Grade: X
      Single: 1-Beyond Brilliant

      Forecast: Beyond Brilliant is listed as the 1/5 morning line favorite in this maiden main track miler and you don’t have to be Pittsburgh Phil to see why. The Twirling Candy 3-year-old was more than nine lengths clear of the rest when second under these conditions last month, has trained well since, and projects to be the controlling speed from his rail post. In an unplayable race, he’s no-value rolling exotic single.
      *
      *
      RACE 5: Post: 3:16 PT Grade: C+
      Use: 5-Racetrackers; 7-Unilateral

      Forecast: Racetrackers drops to the restricted (nw-2) $25,000 claiming ranks while retaining F. Prat and projects to enjoy an ideal pace-stalking trip in a race that should be slowly run early and late. A sprint winner three races back over the local lawn, the Tizbud gelding is unproven at nine furlongs but has a grinding style that should be effective at this trip. Unilateral gets an extra furlong to work with today while retaining U. Rispoli, and on off his best race figures as a major player. He’s always been a one-paced type without any turn of foot but against this soft group he should deliver a reasonably effective closing kick. We’ll try to survive and advance using just these two in rolling exotic play but if you feel the need to include others, go right ahead.
      *
      *
      RACE 6: Post: 3:48 PT Grade: B
      Single: 6-Sauls Call

      Forecast: Sauls Call veered out sharply and was bumped sideways at the start, rushed up to display good early speed, loomed a threat wide into the lane but then lost his punch and wound up fourth in a promising debut against a field that was stronger than what he’s facing today. The S. Miyadi stable has excellent stats with second-time starters, and we suspect that this son of Stay Thirsty will step forward in a significant way, assuming he breaks straight and true. At 5-1 on the morning line the juvenile California-bred gelding offers good value in the win pool and in the various rolling exotics.
      *
      *
      RACE 7: Post: 4:19 PT Grade: B-
      Use: 1-Goldini; 2-Vantastic

      Forecast: Vantastic appears ready for a career top effort in this starter optional claimer over a mile on grass. He’s a first-time gelding with recent workouts that give strong indication that he’s better horse now than before, and with the major jockey switch to F. Prat the son of Dialed In should snap to life in his first start for a tag. From where he’s drawn the P. Eurton-trained 5-year-old seems likely to settle into an ideal second flight, ground-saving position. Goldini is a 3-year-old tackling older and is light in the speed figure department, at 5/2 on the morning line the son of Goldencents probably won’t offer much in the way of wagering value. That said, he may have more room for improvement than most of the others, so we’ll include him on a ticket or two in our rolling exotic play while reserving the main punch to Vantastic.
      *
      *
      RACE 8: Post: 4:52 PT Grade: B
      Use: 5-Thrive; 6-Minister Shane

      Forecast: Thrive has burned money as the favorite in all three of his career starts, but he’s a first-time gelding and has shown recent improvement in his a.m. drills, so we’re expecting the son of Competitive Edge to step forward today and be tough to beat. F. Prat knows him well and stays board. Minister Shane is a “must use” in rolling exotic play. Drawn comfortably outside while adding blinkers for the first time, the son of Ministers Wild Cat tries dirt for the first time (bred for it) and has trained very well over the Santa Anita main track before and after his most recent outing. We’re confident the winner will be one of these two, so we’ll include both in our rolling exotics with a slight edge on top to Minister Shane strictly due to price considerations.
      *
      *
      RACE 9: Post: 5:26 PT Grade: X
      Single: 3-Dogtag

      Forecast: Dogtag is listed as the 9/5 morning line favorite in this year’s edition of the Possibly Perfect S., a race she won last year in facile fashion. She was the 4/5 favorite in that race, and we suspect she’ll leave at a similar price again this year. An excellent runner-up in the Royal Heroine S.-G2 in her first outing of the season in April, the daughter of War Front has trained very well in the interim and can be placed just about wherever regular rider U. Rispoli wants her to be. While the R. Mandella-trained mare most likely will be too short to play in the win pool, we can use her as a logical short-priced rolling exotic single.
      *
      *
      RACE 10: Post: 5:50 PT Grade: B+
      Single: 1-Classier

      Forecast: Classier has trained like he’s fit and ready for his 2021 debut and because he won his debut over the Santa Anita main track in the fall of his 2-year-old season we know he can fire fresh. Out of action since finishing off the board in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile S.-G1 last November in what was a case of too much, too soon, the B. Baffert-trained colt has been given enough of a foundation to be set for a major effort in this middle distance main track event, and while others, including 8/5 morning line favorite The Chosen Vron, may look better on resume this colt appears to have the highest ceiling. With F. Prat taking the call and at 2-1 on the morning line he’s a win play and rolling exotic single.
      *
      *
      RACE 11: Post: 6:26 PT Grade: B+
      Single: 9-Sweet and Cheeky

      Forecast: Sweet and Cheeky resurfaces in a high-priced maiden claimer for her first start since last August and just her third outing overall and the daughter of Candy Ride has trained like she’ll return as well as she left, perhaps even better. This extended turf sprint should fit her second flight, stalking style perfectly, so in a below par race for the level the P. Eurton-trained filly seems solid, so at 5/2 on the morning line she’s a win play and rolling exotic single.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369858

        #4
        Jerry Shottenkirk: My Golden Pick 6 Ticket Sunday at Golden Gate


        June 13, 2021 | By Jerry Shottenkirk
        We bid farewell to the Golden Gate Fields meeting today, and in doing so, we take a pop at the mandatory payout in the Golden Pick Six. The track also has mandatory payouts in the Rolling Super High Five and the two Pick 5 pools.

        The 20-cent Golden Pick Six runs during the last six races on the special 12-race closing day card.

        Here’s a suggested $76.80 ticket for the sequence:

        Race 7 (6:45 p.m. ET, maiden claiming)
        EL BEAUTIFUL came up empty in his first in more than 20 months and drops from maiden special to $8,000 maiden claiming. Has the speed to gain good position from the outside and bug rider Jose Rodriguez will let him roll. This lower maiden-claiming race is a challenge at the beginning of the sequence, and spreading out is the way to go here.
        Also on the ticket: SPEEDY TOM, ALIBI FOR MISCHIEF, SEATTLE SEA YA.

        Race 8 (7:15 p.m. ET, allowance optional claiming)
        If you can find a flaw in UNION DANCE, your digging skills are impressive. Beginning in February, the Isidro Tamayo-trained Unionize gelding has picked up the winning habit, having taken four straight races, including a pair of starter allowances and the last two in allowance optional claiming events. He’s put himself in perfect situation just off the lead and has been able to close it out.
        Also on the ticket: KAZAN.

        Race 9 (7:45 p.m. ET, maiden)
        A.P. PHAROAH ended 2020 with what was likely his best career effort, which came at Santa Anita. He also has a third to his credit. Peter Miller took over the trained for one start at Del Mar before the latest. The American Pharoah colt has trained exceptionally well and will be hard for others to handle in this one.
        Also on the ticket: FROST WARNING.

        Race 10 (8:15 p.m. ET, claiming)
        DEE GEE last won in February and was claimed by Isidro Tamayo that day and has tried higher levels since then. She is back to ‘non-winners of two company’ and enters off a closing second against slow fractions. It was her first two-turn attempt and gave a good effort. A more legit pace can play into her game plan today.
        Also on the ticket: ROSE PRINCESS, NICOLE GRACE, TOTALLY NORMAL.

        Race 11 (8:45 p.m. ET, allowance)
        SUNRISE JOURNEY
        Stepped up to this level from claiming company and delivered a good second in a fast race last time out. Has performed well without the lead in his last two races and with that new approach looks like a better horse. His last win came two races back, when he stalked a leader and pounced in the stretch. Any of his last three races would make him a power player here.
        Also on the ticket: R M C HOOK ‘EM, THE LITTLE H MAN.

        Race 12 (9:15 p.m. ET, maiden)
        LADY CROCKER moves up the coast from Santa Anita and was third for upper maiden claiming two races back. The Curlin filly has taken on some decent company and should regain a late kick as she turns back to six furlongs after running longer on grass as well and dirt.
        Also on the ticket: TORREY’S GIRL.

        Golden Gate Fields Golden Pick Six on Sunday:
        7) #4 Speedy Tom, #5 Alibi for Mischief, #8 El Beautiful, #9 Seattle Sea Ya.
        8) #2 Kazan, #6 Union Dance.
        9) #4 A.P. Pharoah, #11 Frost Warning.
        10) #1 Rose Princess, #3 Nicole Grace, #5 Totally Normal, #6 Dee Gee.
        11) #4 R M C Hook ‘em, #5 Sunrise Journey, #8 The Little H Man.
        12) #5 Lady Crocker, #12 Torrey’s Girl.
        20-cent Golden Gate Fields Golden Pick Six (races 7-12): 4-5-8-9 with 2-6 with 4-11 with 1-3-5-6 with 4-5-8 with 5-12 ($76.80).
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369858

          #5
          Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


          Santa Anita - Race #9
          #3 Dogtag Dangerous tactical handled this trip when winning this race last year, and she should be able to find a really good spot tracking the splits today.
          #5 Neige Blanche She beat a modest group last time out to land that Grade III, and she'd probably need even better than that to handle the top choice today. Chance, but she needs a couple things to go her way.
          #2 Go Big Blue Nation Finisher would probably feel like an underlay at the 5/2 ML price after that last one, and she probably needs a misfire or two if she's going to land this. Not for me.
          Race Summary Dogtag chased a tough winner last time out and should be able to handle this group with one of her baseline efforts. She won this race last year and doesn't meet the deepest bunch this time around.
          Santa Anita - Race #10
          #3 The Chosen Vron He gets around two turns for the first time, but he has turned in some really sharp efforts in his short career. Guessing he'll handle the route trip.
          #4 Defunded He hasn't quite built on the sharp maiden win, but he gets blinkers back on for this one and wasn't embarrassed behind Jackie's Warrior in the Pat Day Mile.
          #1 Classier He's back off the bench after a non-effort in the BC Juvenile, and he may still have something to offer in just this third career start.
          Race Summary The Chosen Vron has proven to be a serious talent, and he should get a dreamy tracking trip while stretching out for the first time. Wouldn't want anything shorter than the 8/5 ML price, but a couple of Bafferts might help keep the price just playable enough.
          Santa Anita - Race #3
          #3 Best Chance Should be better back at this kind of level after a few tries with first-level allowance company, and he was a winner the last time he tried this kind.
          #2 Exultation He has a right to be tough here, but he's for sure going to be overbet and doesn't have to win this. Worth playing against if he's offering anything like the 6/5 ML price.
          #1 Rager Reliable type has to turn the tables on Exultation from last time out, but he's a good fit at this level and should be running on late.
          Race Summary Best Chance might offer a playable price as something like the third choice in this group, and he can bounce back off a dull run with better last time out.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369858

            #6
            Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks


            Santa Anita - Race #7
            #1 Goldini Has run well in three for D'Amato since being claimed for $50K; has closed well and can benefit from an inside trip.
            #2 Vantastic Has been in tougher races and can benefit from this drop in class; was third in the G3 Laz Barrera two years ago and could wake up in this spot.
            #7 Ox Bridge Was second vs. similar last out and has been on the board in all three turf starts; fits well.
            Race Summary Goldini has been consistent lately and can succeed in the closing yards.
            Santa Anita - Race #9
            #2 Go Big Blue Nation Closed to fourth in the G3 Santa Barbara last out and won at this distance two back; turns back from 1.5 miles and should be rolling late.
            #3 Dogtag Won going this distance in a non-grade stakes race three back and was second in the G2 Royal Heroine last out; power mover late.
            #5 Neige Blanche Was up in time in the G3 Santa Barbara and has run well in a few good spots since arriving from France last summer; fits well.
            Race Summary Go Big Blue Nation is a true router and can keep going at the same pace for the entire run; big chance for suceess at the distance.
            Santa Anita - Race #10
            #1 Classier Has been off since fading to eighth in the G1 Breeders' Cup Juvenile and has trained well for Baffert; only Santa Anita appearance produced an easy four-length win. One to beat in his return.
            #4 Defunded Was fourth in the G2 Pat Day Mile and was fourth in the G1 Santa Anita Derby; stablemate to Classier adds blinkers and can be close throughout.
            #3 The Chosen Vron Won two straight sprint stakes and takes to two turns for the first time; can carve out the pace.
            Race Summary Classier makes his first start since November and can be tough in his return; not a gimme by any means, but he looks ready to roll.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369858

              #7
              Handicapping Pimlico's 5 Sunday Stakes


              June 11, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
              Five stakes races are on a super Sunday menu at Pimlico, where the Rainbow 6 jackpot carryover pool was just under $1 million heading into this racing week. The Shine Again Stakes, part of the Mid-Atlantic Thoroughbred Championship (MATCH) Series, headlines the action with a quartet of supporting turf stakes. Forecasts are for dry skies over Saturday and Sunday in Baltimore, which is good news for the grass action.

              Race 4 // Searching Stakes // 2:18 pm ET // 1-1/2 miles turf

              Eight turf marathoners are entered, including a trio of New York-based shippers. Blame Debbie (Graham Motion) and Lucky Money (Arnaud Delacour) are the only fillies in the race to win at this 12-furlong distance, and they did so in Keeneland’s Grade 3 Dowager and Belmont Park’s listed Zagora Stakes, respectively. Class and conditioning for the trip are difficult to overlook. Expect it to come down to this pair with the lean toward Blame Debbie.

              Race 6 // Ben’s Cat Stakes // 3:25 pm ET // 5 furlongs turf

              The namesake race for Maryland’s legendary grass sprinter attracted a dozen runners for turf (plus a main-track only entrant). Keep an eye on So Street for a Jamie Ness barn that has lit up the region in June. This one has been racing in open company of late and gets back to the Maryland-bred and sired restricted ranks. He was runner-up in the Maryland Million Turf Sprint last fall in similar company. Cannon’s Roar, runner-up in the 2020 Maryland Million Turf, cuts way back in distance for what looks like a seasonal starting off point for Dale Capuano’s 7-year-old. New Jersey-based shipper Introduced is a stakes winner at Laurel and Saratoga. She’ll try the boys, but has plenty of class, albeit from a difficult outside post. So Street will be the play.

              Race 8 // Prince George’s County Stakes // 4:31 pm ET // 1-1/8 miles turf

              Eleven open-company turf routers are entered (plus a main-track only), including the two-three finishers from Preakness Day’s Grade 2 Dinner Party Stakes – Talk Or Listen and Midnight Tea Time. The deep field also includes April’s Henry S. Clark beaten favorite Pixelate, runner-up by a nose in his first trip over the Pimlico lawn. Add in shippers from New York (Argonne) and Kentucky (Logical Myth, a Joe Sharp stablemate to returnee Midnight Tea Time) and this may be the deepest and best race on the entire card. Pixelate won last year’s Grade 2 Del Mar Derby and was beaten only 3 lengths in Gulfstream’s Grade 1 Pegasus World Cup Turf this winter. His Clark runner-up was flattered some when third-place finisher Dreams of Tomorrow came back to smash Belmont allowance runners next out. With a bit more time between starts, give the edge to Pixelate over the Dinner Party alumni Talk Or Listen and Midnight Tea Time.

              Race 9 // Shine Again Stakes // 5:04 pm ET // 6 furlongs

              Rising star sprinter Chub Wagon looks to remain unbeaten through her seventh start when she faces seven rivals in this MATCH Series dash. Lupe Preciado’s 4-year-old filly makes the trek from Parx in a preferred placement after scratching from last week’s Bed O’ Roses at Belmont for this spot. That she worked June 8 between the scratch and refocused goal is a good sign that this was, indeed, a preferred spot – vs. something amiss where they didn’t want to run in New York last week. She will be heavily favored and a likely single for many in multi-race bets. The Shine Again field includes Hello Beautiful, who hasn’t run since her three-stakes winning streak was snapped in February’s Grade 3 Barbara Fritchie at Laurel. Don’tletsweetfoolya has made the lead in seven straight races, so this could be quite a tussle up front with the inside-drawn pair of Chub Wagon and Hello Beautiful. If you’re going to beat Chub Wagon, look for a closer. Unique Factor for sprint specialist Peter Miller could fit that bill in her local debut; she’s faced the likes of Guarana, Finite and Gamine over the past year and could find the class relief beneficial. It would seem like Chub Wagon early and Unique Factor late as the Shine Again scenarios.

              Race 10 // Stormy Blue Stakes // 5:37 pm ET // 5 furlongs turf

              Open company 3-year-old filly turf sprinters square off with a dozen entered for grass (plus a main-track only). Wesley Ward adds first-time Lasix to fast and classy Amanzi Yimpilo, while also sending out international Group 3-placed Wink, who drew the far outside post. No one prepares turf sprinters in the East and Midwest any better than Ward, so these have to be respected. They dueled each other into submission in the Mamzelle at Churchill Downs on May 8, so it will be curious to see if either can throttle down (or if Ward, as he often does, will scratch one of these). Honey Pants cuts back in trip for Christophe Clement and is stakes-placed in New York and at Gulfstream. Street Lute won five straight stakes on dirt before being knocked off her game in her last two. She’s never tried turf, and her sire Street Magician gets only about 9% winners on the Pimlico lawn (11% overall), according to Betmix stats. The Ward speedballs and the late run of Honey Pants should have this one covered. Amanzi Yimpilo is preferred.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369858

                #8
                F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Golden Hour Wagers

                Golden Hour Wagers - Race 2
                Leg 2 of the Golden Hour Pick 4
                Allowance • 6 Furlongs • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up CR: 97 • Purse: $31,000 • Post: 6:11P
                GG - R11 - FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MARCH 1 ALLOWED 2 LBS. (MAIDEN,CLAIMING AND STARTER RACES FOR $20,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES ONLY) (CAL-BRED OR CAL-SIRED HORSES THAT HAVE WON THE OPEN FIRST CONDITION ALLOWANCE RACE IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA MUST CARRY AN ADDITIONAL 2 LBS.).
                Contenders
                Race Analysis
                P#
                Horse
                Morn
                Line
                Accept
                Odds

                Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * SUNRISE JOURNEY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. R M C HOOK'EM: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. PAPAPIFAS: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. IRREFUTABLE: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). SQUARE DEAL: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
                5
                SUNRISE JOURNEY
                5/2
                5/1
                4
                R M C HOOK'EM
                8/1
                6/1
                1
                PAPAPIFAS
                6/1
                7/1
                6
                IRREFUTABLE
                7/2
                9/1
                7
                SQUARE DEAL
                8/1
                10/1

                P#
                Horse (In Running Style Order)
                Post
                Morn
                Line
                Running Style
                Good
                Class
                Good
                Speed
                Early Figure
                Finish Figure
                Platinum
                Figure
                10
                ROUSING SLAMMER
                10
                20/1
                Front-runner
                82
                80
                112.0
                78.4
                60.4
                6
                IRREFUTABLE
                6
                7/2
                Front-runner
                98
                95
                96.4
                84.7
                76.2
                5
                SUNRISE JOURNEY
                5
                5/2
                Front-runner
                98
                98
                94.2
                93.6
                87.6
                1
                PAPAPIFAS
                1
                6/1
                Front-runner
                96
                93
                87.0
                90.4
                83.4
                7
                SQUARE DEAL
                7
                8/1
                Alternator/Front-runner
                97
                90
                103.8
                88.2
                77.2
                4
                R M C HOOK'EM
                4
                8/1
                Stalker
                95
                97
                95.4
                92.4
                84.4
                3
                GALOPING CAT
                3
                15/1
                Stalker
                81
                78
                86.3
                73.9
                61.9
                8
                THE LITTLE H MAN
                8
                3/1
                Trailer
                87
                87
                71.8
                82.6
                73.1
                2
                AFTERNOON HEAT
                2
                50/1
                Trailer
                98
                98
                45.6
                80.0
                64.0
                9
                EDINBURGH EXPRESS
                9
                20/1
                Alternator/Non-contender
                88
                86
                88.8
                73.0
                59.5
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369858

                  #9
                  F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Ruidoso Downs



                  Ruidoso Downs - Race 8
                  Exacta / Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / 1st Leg .50 Pick 3 / 2nd Leg Pick 4 3rd Leg Pick 5
                  Stakes • 350 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 CR: 97 • Purse: $100,000 • Post: 4:15P
                  QUARTER HORSE 350Y, RUIDOSO JUVENILE S. - GRADE 3 FOR TWO YEAR OLDS WHICH QUALIFIED FOR THE 2021 RUIDOSO QUARTER HORSE JUVENILE FROM THE TRIALS. WEIGHTS: 124 LBS. (FIVE FASTEST NON-QUALIFIERS FROM EACH DAY OF THE TRIALS WILL QUALIFY FOR THE JUVENILE) $500 TO ENTER WITH AN ADDITIONAL $500 TO START. THERE WILL BE TWO ALSO ELIGIBLES DRAWN FOR THIS RACE, ONE NON-QUALIFIER FROM EACH DAY OF TRIALS, PREFERENCE WILL BE BY TIME. YOU MUST START IN THIS RACE TO BE ELIGIBLE FOR ANY PART OF THE PURSE. ALSO ELIGIBLES WILL NOT BE CHARGED AN ENTRY FEE UNLESS THEY DRAW INTO THE RACE. (WILL RUN A TEN HORSE GATE). SCRATCH TIME WILL BE SATURDAY JUNE 12, 2021 BY 8:30 A.M. (IF YOU FAIL TO START FOR ANY REASON, FEES WILL BE FORFEITED).
                  Contenders
                  Race Analysis
                  P#
                  Horse
                  Morn
                  Line
                  Accept
                  Odds

                  Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * CELL BOUNCE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. MI BELLA VALENTINA: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or ro ute)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. FDD SCOUT: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. SPANISH STEPS: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. EAGLE TEMPTED DASH: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation.
                  3
                  CELL BOUNCE
                  8/1
                  6/1
                  2
                  MI BELLA VALENTINA
                  7/2
                  7/1
                  7
                  FDD SCOUT
                  5/2
                  7/1
                  9
                  SPANISH STEPS
                  10/1
                  7/1
                  5
                  EAGLE TEMPTED DASH
                  30/1
                  8/1

                  P#
                  Horse (In Running Style Order)
                  Post
                  Morn
                  Line
                  Running Style
                  Good
                  Class
                  Good
                  Speed
                  Early Figure
                  Finish Figure
                  Platinum
                  Figure
                  1
                  RAINBOW TO ROSES
                  1
                  9/2
                  Fast
                  76
                  80
                  3.5
                  0.0
                  0.0
                  2
                  MI BELLA VALENTINA
                  2
                  7/2
                  Fast
                  86
                  87
                  1.8
                  0.0
                  0.0
                  3
                  CELL BOUNCE
                  3
                  8/1
                  Fast/Trouble-prone
                  86
                  95
                  1.8
                  0.0
                  0.0
                  4
                  WOMAN IN GOLD
                  4
                  15/1
                  Fast
                  84
                  83
                  1.8
                  0.0
                  0.0
                  5
                  EAGLE TEMPTED DASH
                  5
                  30/1
                  Fast
                  84
                  87
                  1.0
                  0.0
                  0.0
                  6
                  YARD HOUSE
                  6
                  15/1
                  Fast/Trouble-prone
                  86
                  87
                  1.0
                  0.0
                  0.0
                  7
                  FDD SCOUT
                  7
                  5/2
                  Fast
                  86
                  86
                  2.7
                  0.0
                  0.0
                  8
                  BACSHEESH
                  8
                  5/1
                  Fast
                  86
                  85
                  3.0
                  0.0
                  0.0
                  9
                  SPANISH STEPS
                  9
                  10/1
                  Fast
                  86
                  87
                  2.0
                  0.0
                  0.0
                  10
                  IRONEY
                  10
                  20/1
                  Fast/Trouble-prone
                  86
                  93
                  2.2
                  0.0
                  0.0
                  11
                  EMPTY PROMISE
                  11
                  30/1
                  Fast
                  84
                  81
                  1.8
                  0.0
                  0.0
                  12
                  ONE SLICK V
                  12
                  15/1
                  Fast
                  85
                  87
                  3.0
                  0.0
                  0.0
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369858

                    #10
                    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Woodbine

                    Always check program numbers.
                    Odds shown are morning line odds.




                    Race 13 - Maiden Optional Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $64300 Class Rating: 81

                    FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD ONTARIO SIRED MAIDENS OR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD MAIDEN CLAIMING PRICE $40,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000.

                    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                    # 7 POUND GREEN 6/1
                    # 13 VIATURE 4/1
                    # 8 NORTHERN CONQUEST 20/1
                    POUND GREEN looks respectable to best this field. Looks very strong for the conditions of this contest today, showing solid numbers in dirt sprint races recently. Is tough not to consider based on speed figures which have been very good - 76 avg - of late. Earned a quite good Equibase Speed Fig last time out. VIATURE - If you gander closely, this entrant has some longshot potential. Should be given consideration here on the basis of the figs in the speed section alone. NORTHERN CONQUEST - Make a note that this one runs with second time Lasix today. Ran a very solid last race.
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369858

                      #11
                      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                      Lone Star Park - Race #7 - Post: 5:23pm - Stakes - 7.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $75,000 Class Rating: 91 Lane's End Danny Shifflett Scholarship S.

                      Rating:

                      #8 MISS PERFECTA (ML=3/1)
                      #5 SHES OUR FASTEST (ML=4/1)
                      #7 BOERNE (ML=6/1)


                      MISS PERFECTA - Likes to go to the lead and the fact that today is a shorter distance should be advantageous. Won her last after shipping in. I like her again. This thoroughbred coming off a strong performance in the last 30 days is a win candidate in my opinion. This mare has been posting some excellent workout times. A repeat of that recent effort on May 20th where she earned a rating of 98 looks strong enough to triumph in this race. SHES OUR FASTEST - She must like the track here. She just won over the track after shipping in. Using this jockey/handler combination is a smart choice. A repeat of that recent performance on April 22nd where she earned a speed fig of 98 looks high enough to triumph in this affair. BOERNE - Horses out of the barn of Diodoro have been solid on the turf. Should perform well. Ran against 'open' company in the last race, in with state breds today. You have to consider the solid works of late.

                      Vulnerable Contenders: #11 IMA DISCREET LADY (ML=7/2), #9 DISCREET SMILE (ML=5/1),

                      IMA DISCREET LADY - Last performed on May 20th at Lone Star Park, finishing third. Not likely to get better off of that effort in today's event. The speed figures continue to drop, 88/79/75. Not a good indication. DISCREET SMILE - Can't play this entrant in today's sprint of 7 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't even hit the board in a sprint affair recently. A bit of a lackluster try when this mare finished fifth. This mare will likely bounce, and not be anywhere near the recent rating of 89.



                      STRAIGHT WAGERS: #8 MISS PERFECTA is going to be the play if we are getting 5/2 or better
                      EXACTA WAGERS: 8 with [5,7]

                      TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                      Box [5,7,8] Total Cost: $6
                      SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [5,7,8] with [5,7,8] with [5,7,8,9,11] with [5,7,8,9,11] Total Cost: $36
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369858

                        #12
                        Handicapped by The Walker Group at Lethbridge

                        Always check program numbers.
                        Odds shown are morning line odds.




                        Race 4 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $4100 Class Rating: 69

                        FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS.

                        RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                        # 3 AWESOMEAGAINNAGAIN 8/5
                        # 1 CANDY RED 2/1
                        # 4 SHOW ME BOFUM 3/1
                        AWESOMEAGAINNAGAIN looks to be a very good contender. Looks strong versus this group of animals and should be one of the early speedsters. Ought to be given a shot in this race if only for the competitive speed figure earned in the last competition. Is difficult not to look at given the company run in recently. CANDY RED - Must be given a chance here on the basis of the figs in the speed department alone. This rider and conditioner team has produced some sharp ROI numbers at this track. SHOW ME BOFUM - Looks formidable versus this group and ought to be one of the leaders.
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369858

                          #13
                          Handicapped by The Walker Group at Lethbridge

                          Always check program numbers.
                          Odds shown are morning line odds.




                          Race 4 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $4100 Class Rating: 69

                          FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS.

                          RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                          # 3 AWESOMEAGAINNAGAIN 8/5
                          # 1 CANDY RED 2/1
                          # 4 SHOW ME BOFUM 3/1
                          AWESOMEAGAINNAGAIN looks to be a very good contender. Looks strong versus this group of animals and should be one of the early speedsters. Ought to be given a shot in this race if only for the competitive speed figure earned in the last competition. Is difficult not to look at given the company run in recently. CANDY RED - Must be given a chance here on the basis of the figs in the speed department alone. This rider and conditioner team has produced some sharp ROI numbers at this track. SHOW ME BOFUM - Looks formidable versus this group and ought to be one of the leaders.
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369858

                            #14
                            Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                            Golden Gate Fields - Race #6 - Post: 3:33pm - Optional Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $31,000 Class Rating: 88

                            Rating:

                            #2 JUNGLE CRY (ML=9/5)
                            #3 J T'S WATCH (ML=10/1)


                            JUNGLE CRY - Last two speed ratings (100, 89) were dominant. Anything close to that right here in this race and this one may win easily. Recorded a nice turf fig on May 23rd at Golden Gate Fields. A repeat in this event, and this one has a great shot to win. I am keen on that recent race on May 23rd at Golden Gate Fields where he finished third. Specht has this fine animal racing well coming into today. Three strong speed figs in most recent events make me say this horse is the one to beat today. Took a big class drop last out, and I think he may have needed it. Specht enters him at a similar level today. I'd expect an improved performance. Going on Lasix for the first time. While a general handicapping angle, it's still quite useful for handicapping purposes. J T'S WATCH - Orozco knows this horse pretty well. Strong win percentage of 67 when horse and jockey partner up. 'Horse-for-the-course' is a classic handicapping angle. Since this colt has won on this turf course it may give him an edge. Here is a true horse for the course. Loves the track here at Golden Gate Fields. I always like to see a horse getting Lasix for the first time. France adds it on this one today.

                            Vulnerable Contenders: #5 KENNEBEC (ML=2/1), #6 GALLANT GUY (ML=7/2), #1 CHAMPAGNE PEGASUS (ML=9/2),

                            KENNEBEC - This mount will likely be pulling up the rear as this field crosses the finish. GALLANT GUY - Earned a substandard rating last out in a $50,000 Optional Claiming race on May 16th. Not likely to see an improved performance off of that rating. CHAMPAGNE PEGASUS - I can't play this habitual non-winner. Gets the job completed occasionally. Not likely that the speed figure he notched on May 16th will be good enough in this event.


                            STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #2 JUNGLE CRY to win if you can get at least 3/2 odds
                            EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,3]

                            TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                            None
                            SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass
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                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369858

                              #15
                              Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Belmont Park


                              PURCHASE

                              06/13/21, BEL, Race 7, 4.08 ET
                              06/13/21,BEL,7,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:14:02 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $55,000. (UP TO $9,570 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $40,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN OR CLAIMING. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Non-winners Of ARace In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs.
                              . . . .
                              Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                              After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
                              100.0000 2 Calibogue Sound 9/2 Saez L Rodriguez Rudy R. FELC 332 35.24 1.19/$1
                              098.3798 8 Barista Vixen 3/1 Franco M Gargan Danny 332 35.24 1.19/$1
                              097.4239 3 Hollywood Gina 4/1 Alvarado J Gargan Danny W 332 35.24 1.19/$1
                              096.8047 4 Honey Money 7/2 Ortiz J L Potts Wayne JS 332 35.24 1.19/$1
                              096.4530 5 Master of Hope 10/1 Cancel E Noda Orlando 332 35.24 1.19/$1
                              096.2170 7 Cadeau de Paix 4/1 Lezcano J Klesaris Robert P. 332 35.24 1.19/$1
                              092.5779 6 Caramocha 12/1 Cardenas L Friedman Mitchell E. 332 35.24 1.19/$1
                              091.0347 1 Pendolino 30/1 Hernandez B Jones Eduardo E. 332 35.24 1.19/$1
                              Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 41.67, ROI 1.36/$1
                              Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.6202
                              [Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
                              [All Categories] Race Purse Greater Than $50K
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