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MINNESOTA @ SEATTLE | 06/15 | 10:10 PM EDT
UNDER 8.5
ANALYSIS: It is going to be hard for the hitters in Seattle tonight. The Under is 19-9-2 at T-Mobile Park this season, and with the Air Density Index high and Visual Memory Index negative, the hitters will have a hard time both finding pitches and getting the ball out of the park. Add in Chris Flexen on the mound at home, and I think this game stays Under 8.5.
+361 10-6-2 IN LAST 18 MLB PICKS
+200 3-1 IN LAST 4 SEA O/U PICKS
5:06 PM
DETROIT @ KANSAS CITY | 06/15 | 8:10 PM EDT
OVER 8.5
ANALYSIS: Both pitchers have higher than average expected slugging averages and are heading into one of the better hitting environments in baseball. The Royals pitch worse at home (5.01 ERA) than on the road (4.34), so I expect Mike Minor to have a bit of trouble with an offense that put up 10 runs last night. The Air Density Index is also low enough that this becomes a great Over play at 8.5 runs.
+361 10-6-2 IN LAST 18 MLB PICKS
+185 3-1 IN LAST 4 KC O/U PICKS
5:00 PM
N.Y. YANKEES @ TORONTO | 06/15 | 7:07 PM EDT
TORONTO -1.5
ANALYSIS: The Yankees are getting hard to watch, and their stats reflect it. They are on a 2-8 ATS slide over their last 10 games and are facing a Blue Jays team that has been a top five offense in the last two weeks. With Hyun Jin Ryu on the mound and the Jays hitting the ball, I like taking the +150 line here rather than paying the juice for the money line. My numbers are showing a high likelihood that if the Jays win, they will by multiple runs.
BOSTON @ ATLANTA | 06/15 | 7:20 PM EDT
ATLANTA -111
ANALYSIS: The Braves were off Monday while the Red Sox had to travel after a tough series versus the Blue Jays. Boston starter Eduardo Rodriguez has not turned in a sterling outing since May 7. Look for Tucker Davidson to pitch well for the third straight start and for Boston to drop its fifth straight versus left-handed starters.
+1331 44-25 IN LAST 69 MLB PICKS
+738 28-18 IN LAST 46 BOS ML PICKS
+159 4-2 IN LAST 6 ATL ML PICKS
5:38 PM
BALTIMORE @ CLEVELAND | 06/15 | 7:10 PM EDT
UNDER 9
ANALYSIS: This total has dropped at 8.5 at some books and probably will at William Hill any moment. I absolutely don't trust either starting pitcher whatsoever -- Baltimore's Matt Harvey and Cleveland's Cal Quantrill -- but these are two below-average lineups. More important, however: Winds will be blowing essentially straight in at around 15-18 mph the entire game. So, we'll go Under 9.
+1000 16-5 IN LAST 21 MLB PICKS
5:36 PM
BOSTON @ ATLANTA | 06/15 | 7:20 PM EDT
BOSTON +1.5
ANALYSIS: I was probably going to pass on this game because Boston was going to be without a big bat in designated hitter JD Martinez, but in a minor surprise the Sox are letting him play left field so now I think they have some runline value. Boston has been much better on the road at home and a solid 12-9 vs. lefties as it faces face young Braves southpaw Tucker Davidson (0-0, 1.53). Atlanta is 7-8 vs. lefties and faces one in Eduardo Rodriguez (5-4, 6.03). The Sox are 41-3 since the beginning of 2017 when giving him 4+ runs of support, including 6-1 this season. Red Sox on the runline.
+1000 16-5 IN LAST 21 MLB PICKS
+153 3-1 IN LAST 4 ATL ATS PICKS
4:38 PM
CINCINNATI @ MILWAUKEE | 06/15 | 8:10 PM EDT
MILWAUKEE +1.5
ANALYSIS: Cincinnati is playing a lot better of late, but a moneyline favorite in Milwaukee? The Reds will be without their best hitter and NL MVP candidate Jesse Winker, who is hitting .347 with 17 homers and 41 RBIs. It's simply a day off. Cincy right-hander Luis Castillo (2-9, 6.47) has been a mega-disappointment but a bit better of late. He's 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA this year vs. the Brewers. I'll happily take Milwaukee on the runline even though I'm not a huge fan of pitcher Brett Anderson (2-4, 4.99). The team hasn't consecutive games since May 25-26.
+1000 16-5 IN LAST 21 MLB PICKS
+88 3-2 IN LAST 5 MIL ATS PICKS
3:42 PM
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