Service Plays Friday 6/18/21

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Severance

TAMPA BAY @ SEATTLE | 06/18 | 10:10 PM EDT
SEATTLE +1.5
ANALYSIS: The Rays are on a three-game skid as their usually terrific bullpen allowed two runs in the bottom of the ninth in Thursday's 6-5 loss in Seattle. The Mariners aren't great overall but pretty good at home with 20-15 record. They also have the better pitcher in this one, so I'm happy to take the runline as I'm not sure Seattle shouldn't be favored on the moneyline. That pitcher would be lefty Yusei Kikuchi (3-3, 3.67). He has allowed three ER or fewer in eight straight starts and gone at least six in each except for one he left early after being hit on the knee. Tampa's Michael Wacha (1-1, 4.54) is filling in for injured Cy Young contender Tyler Glasnow and likely won't pitch more than a few innings. Seattle is 8-3 in its past 11 as a home dog.

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+614 9-3 IN LAST 12 SEA ATS PICKS
+10 4-3 IN LAST 7 TB ATS PICKS
11:42 AM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kyle Akins

TORONTO @ BALTIMORE | 06/18 | 7:05 PM EDT
TORONTO -172
ANALYSIS: Toronto has been struggling of late, but facing this awful Baltimore team is the cure it needs. There is a reason the Blue Jays are such large favorites despite their recent struggles. On Thursday, Toronto had an early lead before losing to New York, 8-4. The Blue Jays are 6-0 since April 21 on the road when they are off a loss in which they held the lead.

+480 16-10 IN LAST 26 MLB PICKS
12:54 PM

PHILADELPHIA @ ATLANTA | 06/18 | 7:30 PM EDT
PHILADELPHIA -3
ANALYSIS: Game 5 saw a shocking comeback for Atlanta in a game Philadelphia controlled throughout. But with their backs against the wall, look for the 76ers to regroup and keep their defensive intensity up for four quarters. Even in the loss, Joel Embiid had a big game with 37 points. The 76ers are 8-0 ATS as a favorite off a home loss win which Embiid had at least 30 points.

+1410 24-9 IN LAST 33 NBA ATS PICKS
+190 3-1 IN LAST 4 PHI ATS PICKS
12:51 PM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Bollman

VEGAS @ MONTREAL | 06/18 | 8:00 PM EDT
MONTREAL +140
ANALYSIS: I was upset at myself staying off the Canadiens Game 2 win after taking them on the money line in Game 1. However, the Canadiens are a much better team than people give them credit for and Carey Price can steal a game at any time. The Canadiens were worse at home in the regular season but the Golden Knights were worse on the road. The Canadiens have held the Knights to 0 for 6 on their power play so far this series, I like the Canadiens at plus money at home.

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12:14 PM

CHI. WHITE SOX @ HOUSTON | 06/18 | 8:10 PM EDT
HOUSTON +101
ANALYSIS: Luis Garcia struggled in his last start but he had won five straight decisions before that. He is also much better at home going 3-2 with a 2.10 ERA. Carlos Rodon has been exceptional this season but he hasn’t faced a lefty hitting lineup quite like the Astros yet this season. The Astros have the second best wOBA in the league against lefties and they have won four straight games. They are 23-13 at home this season while the White Sox are just 16-14. I like the Astros to get this game at home.

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12:09 PM

OAKLAND @ N.Y. YANKEES | 06/18 | 7:05 PM EDT
OAKLAND +130
ANALYSIS: The Athletics are one of the hottest teams in baseball right now having won their last six games straight and eight of 10. The Yankees have been doing this thing for a while now where they play a good series and then follow it up with a stinker. Jameson Taillon is 1-4 with a 5.74 ERA this season and he only recorded one out in his last start. James Kaprielian has a 2.51 ERA this season in his first six career starts. Most notably, he has kept right handed batters to a .131 batting average and the Yankees lineup is all righties. I like the value in the As to take Game 1.

+1534 46-27 IN LAST 73 MLB PICKS
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12:08 PM

PHILADELPHIA @ SAN FRANCISCO | 06/18 | 9:45 PM EDT
SAN FRANCISCO -125
ANALYSIS: Johnny Cueto has been very hit or miss this season but he has been much better at home going 3-2 with a 3.14 ERA in five starts. Vince Velasquez has also been very up and down this season but he has allowed 11 runs in 12 IP in his last three starts. The Giants bats are on fire right now and I think the Giants will want to back their manager in Gabe Kapler against his former team in the Phillies tonight. The Phillies are 12-21 on the road this season while the Giants are 22-9 at home. Bryce Harper is expected to be back in the lineup tonight but I doubt he is 100%. The Phillies hottest hitter in JEan Segura is still out. Take the Giants.

+1534 46-27 IN LAST 73 MLB PICKS
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12:08 PM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FirstHalfSports
braves ml

[rocky57]

Vince Akins Spotsbook Breakers
MLB Big Plays 29-19 ytd [+2195]...Split yesterday..

MLB
Twins -157
Giants/Phillies Over 8.5 [-110] - - - BIG PLAY

[rocky57]

Action Network Sports

MLB
2* Brewers
2* Diamondbacks +1.5 runs
2* Mariners
2* Reds

[moe]

in game trap

Cleveland Indians vs Pittsburgh Pirates OVER 9 (20*)

[rocky57]

H&H Sports

NBA
4* 76ers -137 (Moneyline)...The 2nd 4* of the NBA Playoffs [1-0]...And our overall record of 3.5* and 4* on the NBA Season stands at [8-2]...

3* Utah Jazz -128 (Moneyline)
2* Utah Jazz/Los Angeles Clippers Over 220

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Severance

FEATURED PICK

PHILADELPHIA @ ATLANTA | 06/18 | 7:30 PM EDT
PHILADELPHIA -150
ANALYSIS: I'm still in shock over that Game 5 epic Sixers choke job even though I was on Atlanta +7. If Philly loses this game, don't be surprised if it's the last for Ben Simmons (see news feed) in a Philly uniform. He is a true offensive liability right now. That said, the Sixers have led each of the past three games by at least 18 points yet are 1-2 in them. Tobias Harris will not score just four points again as he did in Game 5. Hey, even Simmons will get at least 10 (his O/U is 13.5). Lou Williams won't go nuclear again for Atlanta. Bring on Game 7!

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1:56 PM

MIAMI @ CHI. CUBS | 06/18 | 8:05 PM EDT
CHI. CUBS -175
ANALYSIS: The Cubs have been absolutely dominant at home since the start of May and tonight's starting pitcher also has been dominant in recent weeks. That would be Zach Davies (4-3, 4.01). He hasn't allowed a run in his past 12.2 innings and has a 1.86 ERA over his last nine starts since May 1, the seventh-lowest ERA in the majors in that span. The Marlins have been horrible on the road since late May and are 1-7 in their last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

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3:18 PM

ST. LOUIS @ ATLANTA | 06/18 | 7:20 PM EDT
ATLANTA -145
ANALYSIS: In his past six outings, Braves lefty Max Fried has five quality starts and he has been quite a bit better overall at home this year than away. St. Louis has dropped its past five on the road, all by multiple runs. The Cards go with Carlos Martinez (3-7, 5.54). He was good last time out but hasn't been most of the year and is 1-5 with a 5.73 ERA away and 1-4 with a 6.75 ERA at night. Freddie Freeman is a career .500 hitter off him and Ronald Acuna Jr. 2-for-2.

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3:11 PM

TORONTO @ BALTIMORE | 06/18 | 7:05 PM EDT
TORONTO -177
ANALYSIS: Was probably going to pass on this game, but the Orioles just announced that starting pitcher Bruce Zimmermann, who had been pretty solid of late, was scratched due to injury. Tom Eshelman has been called up from Triple-A to take his spot. He has a 5.22 ERA over 22 appearances -- eight starts -- in the Show. The Jays go with lefty Robbie Ray (4-2, 3.45). Ray has been dominant over his past three starts, posting a 2.45 ERA with 32 strikeouts over 18 1/3 innings. Tempting to take the runline on Toronto but ... we'll stick with a big ML price in case it's only a one-run Jays victory.

+2391 31-7-2 IN LAST 40 MLB PICKS
3:03 PM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog

MLB

MIlwaukee-180 @ colorado

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Balfe

Sixers -3.5/atl.
Seattle -05/tbay

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Severance

VEGAS @ MONTREAL | 06/18 | 8:00 PM EDT
VEGAS -160
ANALYSIS: The Canadiens will be without interim head coach Dominique Ducharme after he tested positive for COVID. Look, I didn't play hockey past high school, but a head coach is pretty darn important in the NHL, especially at home when teams have the last line change. Vegas probably will be without center Chandler Stephenson again but should have winger Tomas Nosek back from injury. The Knights don't really have to worry about the crowd with a 3,500-fan limit in Montreal. Vegas is 11-5 in its past 16 on the road. I'm already on the Under 5.5 goals (since dropped to 5.0) for this one so it could be a great or lousy night.

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+77 2-1 IN LAST 3 MON ML PICKS
4:02 PM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Zack Cimini

CHI. WHITE SOX @ HOUSTON | 06/18 | 8:10 PM EDT
CHI. WHITE SOX -111
ANALYSIS: On Friday, the White Sox will look to bounce back after losing the series opener to the Astros 10-2 on Thursday. It was their biggest loss of the season in terms of run differential and the second-highest runs they’ve allowed. Expect the White Sox to bounce back, led by ace Carlos Rodon.

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3:06 PM

PHILADELPHIA @ ATLANTA | 06/18 | 7:30 PM EDT
PHILADELPHIA -3
ANALYSIS: Epic collapses by the Philadelphia 76ers in Games 4 and 5 have put them in a must-win situation Friday. Expect the veteran-laden 76ers to remain aggressive for four quarters, and Doc Rivers to limit the bench’s minutes from late third to the early fourth quarter. Grab Philadelphia to respond as the road favorite.

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3:01 PM

UTAH @ L.A. CLIPPERS | 06/18 | 10:00 PM EDT
UTAH -2.5
ANALYSIS: On Friday, the Utah Jazz have their season on the line on the road against the LA Clippers. Utah has lost its defensive intensity in allowing the Clippers to win the last three games. Yet, they have a great opportunity to adjust their game plan after seeing the Clippers operate minus Kawhi Leonard in Game 5. Grab the Jazz to push this series to seven games.

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+160 6-4 IN LAST 10 UTA ATS PICKS
2:59 PM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Micah Roberts

L.A. DODGERS @ ARIZONA | 06/18 | 9:40 PM EDT
L.A. DODGERS -195
ANALYSIS: The Diamondbacks have lost 14 straight and are 3-31 in their last 34 games, home and away combined. The Dodgers swept a four-game series against the D'backs last month and missed Trevor Bauer. The Dodgers have lost three of Bauer’s last four starts, but he gets the win Friday.

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3:15 PM

CLEVELAND @ PITTSBURGH | 06/18 | 7:05 PM EDT
CLEVELAND -125
ANALYSIS: The Pirates have lost 10 straight and they’ve lost three straight behind Chad Kuhl. The Pirates average 3.4 runs per game on the season and they’ve been worse lately, scoring two runs or less in their last four games. Take the Indians to win Friday.

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3:12 PM

DETROIT @ L.A. ANGELS | 06/18 | 9:38 PM EDT
OVER 9
ANALYSIS: Jose Urena faced the White Sox his last two starts and got lit up, allowing seven runs in the last one. The Angels are averaging 6.3 runs per game and a .293 batting average in their last seven and all seven went Over. Take the Over in this one.

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3:09 PM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Hartstein

FEATURED PICK

OAKLAND @ N.Y. YANKEES | 06/18 | 7:05 PM EDT
OAKLAND +130
ANALYSIS: The Yankees have lost seven of their past 10 home games and I think the slide continues tonight against James Kaprielian (3-1, 2.51 ERA). He's coming off six scoreless innings vs. K.C. in which he allowed two hits. Oakland has won six straight and 12 of 14, and got an off day before this trip. The A's should do damage against Jameson Taillon, who's allowed an alarming hard-hit rate above 43 percent. Play the road dog.

+1409 47-27 IN LAST 74 MLB PICKS
+1208 33-17 IN LAST 50 OAK ML PICKS
+1098 28-18 IN LAST 46 NYY ML PICKS
2:33 PM

CLEVELAND @ PITTSBURGH | 06/18 | 7:05 PM EDT
CLEVELAND -125
ANALYSIS: The Indians are rolling while the Pirates have lost 10 in a row. Pittsburgh starter Chad Kuhl, who has lasted four innings or less in five of his seven starts, complained about the baseballs after his latest poor performance. Look for Cleveland to improve to 7-1 in the last eight meetings.

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2:44 PM