Service Plays Monday 7/5/21

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Severance

TAMPA BAY @ MONTREAL | 07/05 | 8:00 PM EDT
TAMPA BAY -157
ANALYSIS: Bit of a tough call here as you know the Lightning would prefer to clinch the Cup on home ice and the players might be a little tired of being in that Montreal bubble due to COVID restrictions. One figures the Habs come out firing with nothing to lose -- that also could weaken their defense in front of Carey Price. He's a future Hall of Famer but has been very shaky in this series with a 4.38 GAA and a .835 save percentage. Some had speculated Jake Allen might get the call in Game 4, but it will be Price. I simply can't come up with enough reasons to justify picking Montreal with the talent gap between these teams. Maybe if the Canadiens had a full building of fans. And the puckline on the Habs at -200 is simply not worth it. Tampa sweeps to repeat, and we'll see you in October when we can cherry-pick the best regular-season games and get our numbers up near +4000 again.

+1951 150-94 IN LAST 244 NHL ML PICKS
+918 16-6 IN LAST 22 TB ML PICKS
+325 3-0 IN LAST 3 MON ML PICKS
YESTERDAY 1:40 PM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Bollman

TAMPA BAY @ MONTREAL | 07/05 | 8:00 PM EDT
TAMPA BAY -160
ANALYSIS: The Lightning are going for the sweep in Montreal on Monday and I honestly don’t see any reason why they wouldn’t get it. Tampa Bay has been the better team all series but Montreal has also been making really bad mistakes all series that cost them. You can’t have miscues like that and expect to beat the Lightning, let alone win a Stanley Cup. Carey Price has looked leaky and Andrei Vasilevskiy has been a wall. Take the Lightning to get the sweep.

+650 54-43 IN LAST 97 NHL ML PICKS
+754 28-17 IN LAST 45 TB ML PICKS
+480 8-6 IN LAST 14 MON ML PICKS
11:17 AM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Oh

PHILADELPHIA @ CHI. CUBS | 07/05 | 8:05 PM EDT
CHI. CUBS -135
ANALYSIS: My model says the Cubs win in over 60 percent of the simulations, so you're getting strong value with them at this number. Chicago returns home after having lost the final nine contests of its 10-game road trip. That should go a long way toward ending the losing streak, as the Cubs are among the best home teams in the majors at 26-13. In addition, they're facing a Philadelphia club that is 11 games under .500 on the road. Expect Chicago to end its slide.

+302 8-4 IN LAST 12 MLB ML PICKS
+569 6-1 IN LAST 7 CHC ML PICKS
+532 9-4 IN LAST 13 PHI ML PICKS
7:04 PM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

10* texas-150

9* st.louis+1.5-140

[dawggy]

MIKEY SPORTS

• Game: (915) Cleveland Indians at (916) Tampa Bay Rays
  Date/Time: Jul 5 2021 7:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 5 units
  Play: Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-110) L Allen (LHP), R Hill (LHP) Must Start
  
  5% MLB play

[dawggy]

PURE LOCK

• Game: (917) Detroit Tigers at (918) Texas Rangers
  Date/Time: Jul 5 2021 8:05 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 5 units
  Play: Texas Rangers -144 W Peralta (RHP), K Allard (LHP) Must Start
  
  TOP MLB play

[dawggy]

JM SPORTS

• Game: (903) Los Angeles Dodgers at (904) Miami Marlins
  Date/Time: Jul 5 2021 6:40 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4 units
  Play: 1H Los Angeles Dodgers -155 W Buehler (RHP), T Rogers (LHP) Must Start
  
  4 unit 1H Los Angeles Dodgers (-155) over Miami Marlins (Buehler/Rogers) —
  Let’s start off with the fact that the Dodgers are #6 in terms of scoring in the 1H of games vs. a Marlins team that is #28 in the same category. LA is on a 9 game win streak at the moment and they’ve had a lot of success this year in the first game of a series. In the L16 series, they won the first game in 14 out of those 16, including 6-0 vs LHP in FGS, 6-1 in the L7 on the road and 8-1 when they are starting a series coming off a win. With Buehler on the mound, I anticipate a low scoring affair, especially because the Dodgers are hold opponents to 2.3 runs/game in the L7. While that is impressive, Buehler may be even better then that, he’s got a 2.06 ERA on the road, he’s only allowed 9 runs in almost 40 IP away from LA, alongside a 0.788 WHIP on the road (0.900 WHIP TY combined), and LA is 5-1 in his 6 road starts. Even though Miami has an all-star pitcher on the mound (team is 0-3 in his road starts & 1.67 runs of support is Rogers L3 starts), you still can’t avoid the fact that this team is 1-8 in the L9 vs. a SP w/ an ERA<3.00, and 1-5 in L6 vs. a SP w/ a WHIP<1.00. The Marlins are 4-12 in the first game of the L16 series, and they are 5-12 when their opponent is coming off B2B wins, but Miami’s bullpen has been pretty solid so I’m going to stick with the #6 vs. #28 matchup in the 1H.

[dawggy]

JOSEPH D'AMICO

• Joe DAmicos MLB GRAND SLAM PLAY
  Game: (907) Milwaukee Brewers at (908) New York Mets
  Date/Time: Jul 5 2021 7:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4 units
  Play: Milwaukee Brewers -132 B Woodruff (RHP), T Megill (RHP) Must Start
  
  Milwaukee.
  GRAND SLAM PLAY.
  Game 907.
  4:10 pm pst.
  
  Milwaukee owns a seven-game lead in the NL Central. They are red-hot, winning 12 of their last 13. The Brewers have had strong pitching all season long and now their lineup has begun to explode. The offense has lit up the scoreboard for five or more runs in eight of their last 10 outings. New York can not hit. They rank 29th in scoring, accounting for a dismal, 3.64 RPG. Their pitching has been solid. However, several starters are sidelined with injuries. They give Tylor Megil his third ever career start. It wasn’t that long ago that he was throwing in Double-A and Triple-A. Brandon Woodruff (7-3, 1.87) gets the nod here. The team has won six of his last seven starts and overall is 11-4 in his 15 turns in 2021. The Brewers are 8-1 L9 meetings with the Mets, 5-1 L6 on the road, and 20-7 L27 vs. RH starters. Take Milwaukee. Thank you.

[FATMANWINS]

ats
4 reds
3 brewers under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andrew McInnis 4%
Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox -111 D Cease (RHP), B Ober (RHP) Must Start

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Cokin

2% Lightning/Canadiens Over 5 (-130)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Hartstein

PHILADELPHIA @ CHI. CUBS | 07/05 | 8:05 PM EDT
CHI. CUBS -130
ANALYSIS: The Cubs have lost nine straight, but this is the spot where they end their skid. Five of those nine losses came by one run, including the past three. Tonight they're facing lefty Matt Moore and they're much better versus southpaws. The Phils are facing right-hander Zach Davies, and they're much worse versus righties. The Cubs are 26-13 at home while the Phils are 15-26 on the road. Lay the price at Wrigley.

+1243 55-35 IN LAST 90 MLB PICKS
+250 5-2 IN LAST 7 PHI ML PICKS
9:37 AM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kyle Akins

ST. LOUIS @ SAN FRANCISCO | 07/05 | 6:05 PM EDT
UNDER 7.5
ANALYSIS: Giants RHP Kevin Gausman has somewhat quietly been one of the very best pitchers in baseball this season, yet his games still don’t get the extreme low totals of some other aces. Pitching at home against a weaker St. Louis offense, this is a chance for Gausman to control a low-scoring contest. San Francisco both recorded and allowed just six hits in a 5-2 win over Arizona on Sunday. The Giants are 0-8 OU (-2.31 ppg) since Sept. 22, 2020 as favorites of at least -140 after they had six or fewer hits in their previous game.

+590 7-1 IN LAST 8 MLB O/U PICKS
10:51 AM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Zack Cimini

CHI. WHITE SOX @ MINNESOTA | 07/05 | 7:10 PM EDT
MINNESOTA +101
ANALYSIS: The Twins have a chance to redeem themselves after losing their prior three series against Chicago. Overall, they’ve lost eight of nine meetings with the White Sox, including all three at Chicago last week. In a nationally televised game, expect White Sox RHP Dylan Cease’s 6.08 road ERA to continue rising. Back the Twins.

+876 60-50 LAST 110 MLB SIDES
+885 25-13 IN LAST 38 CHW ML PICKS
10:48 AM