Service Plays Friday 7/9/21

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Oh

PHILADELPHIA @ BOSTON | 07/09 | 7:10 PM EDT
BOSTON -130
ANALYSIS: Interleague series in the AL park, meaning the Phillies add the designated hitter. Boston had the advantage of being off on Thursday and 63 percent of my model simulations have the Red Sox winning this game. Boston has won eight straight at Fenway.

+397 9-5 IN LAST 14 PHI ML PICKS
+351 17-12 IN LAST 29 BOS ML PICKS
6:18 PM

CHI. WHITE SOX @ BALTIMORE | 07/09 | 7:05 PM EDT
BALTIMORE +1.5
ANALYSIS: Both teams were off Thursday -- Baltimore wasn't supposed to be, but its game vs. Toronto was rained out. The White Sox opened as -140 moneyline favorites and while my model does favor them to win, 60 percent of simulations have the Orioles covering +1.5 (-120) on the runline.

+586 11-5 IN LAST 16 CHW ATS PICKS
6:15 PM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB-Martingale

1 units

Cleveland Indians – Kansas City Royals

Cleveland -1.5

[The One]

XS Sports Picks Friday


MLB:


4* Boston -122


3* Baltimore Over 10 -105


3* San Francisco -1.5 +146

[The One]

Matt Severance


HOUSTON -135

Matt Severance

FEATURED PICK

N.Y. YANKEES @ HOUSTON | 07/09 | 8:10 PM EDT
HOUSTON -135
ANALYSIS: Both teams played yesterday, but the Yankees had to travel from Seattle. Houston barely used its bullpen in a 2-1 home loss to Oakland, ending a six-game skid. This price feels fairly low with the Astros at home and facing fill-in Yanks starter Nestor Cortes, who surely won't go more than 3-4 innings. The lefty has a stellar 1.29 ERA in 21 innings, but this has to be a fluke if you look at his career numbers. Houston's Jake Odorizzi (3-3, 3.70) got a late start to the season due to injury but has been excellent of late, allowing just one earned run in his past four starts. The Yankees are 1-6 in their last seven games vs. a right-handed starter.

+3886 92-42-4 IN LAST 138 MLB PICKS
+298 6-2 IN LAST 8 NYY ML PICKS
+128 3-1 IN LAST 4 HOU ML PICKS
9:34 AM

[The One]

Larry Hartstein


HOUSTON -130

Larry Hartstein

N.Y. YANKEES @ HOUSTON | 07/09 | 8:10 PM EDT
HOUSTON -130
ANALYSIS: This is a reasonable price on the Astros, who have won six of seven. Jake Odorizzi has allowed exactly one earned run over his last four stats, while the Yankees will start lefty reliever Nestor Cortes. Houston owns MLB's best OPS against southpaws (.797). Lay it.

+958 56-38 IN LAST 94 MLB PICKS
+1348 30-18 IN LAST 48 NYY ML PICKS
+623 12-5 IN LAST 17 HOU ML PICKS
9:54 AM

[The One]

Justin Perri


CHI. WHITE SOX OVER 10


KANSAS CITY OVER 9.5


SAN DIEGO -1.5


Justin Perri

CHI. WHITE SOX @ BALTIMORE | 07/09 | 7:05 PM EDT
OVER 10
ANALYSIS: The Orioles have been one of the best teams against left handed pitchers all season and today they get to face LHP Dallas Keuchel in their own stadium, where the Over is 23-16. This line opened at 10.5, and I think the market has incorrectly brought it down to 10. Keuchel has a 1.60 WHIP on the road and is another pitcher at the bottom end of the expected batting average rankings. Opposing him is Jorge Lopez, who owns a 6.02 ERA this season and has allowed less than three runs in only one of his last five starts, giving up 21 runs in 24.2 innings over that span. I'll take the Over.

+360 7-3 IN LAST 10 MLB PICKS
+195 3-1 IN LAST 4 BAL O/U PICKS
9:51 AM
KANSAS CITY @ CLEVELAND | 07/09 | 7:10 PM EDT
OVER 9.5
ANALYSIS: Both of these starters are horrendous so I’ll go Over. Triston McKenzie hasn’t pitched in almost a month and has been worse at home (8.47 ERA) than he has on the road (4.97), though neither side of the split is that great. Opposing him is Brad Keller, who ranks fourth worst in xBA and xwOBA and second worst in xOBP among all pitchers with 200-plus batters faced. Fading Keller is a moneymaker, and I lean Indians moneyline, but due to the unreliability of McKenzie I’ll just take the Over.

+360 7-3 IN LAST 10 MLB PICKS
+270 5-2 IN LAST 7 KC O/U PICKS
9:26 AM
COLORADO @ SAN DIEGO | 07/09 | 10:10 PM EDT
SAN DIEGO -1.5
ANALYSIS: I will keep picking on the Rockies as they start another series on the road. Colorado has had 13 road series so far this year and lost 12 of the opening games and only covered in four of those. Interestingly enough, the Rockies have covered their last three road openers (losing by just one run to the Mariners, Brewers and Diamondbacks), but the Padres will likely be a different story. The last time Colorado visited San Diego, the Rockies managed only one run in three games. With Blake Snell allowing just a 1.43 ERA and .543 OPS in seven home starts, I expect the Rockies will again struggle. Padres win by multiple runs. Consider the first five spread too.

+360 7-3 IN LAST 10 MLB PICKS
+300 6-4 IN LAST 10 COL ATS PICKS
+90 3-2 IN LAST 5 SD ATS PICKS
9:21 AM

[The One]

Kyle Akins


MINNESOTA -240

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Severance

L.A. ANGELS @ SEATTLE | 07/09 | 10:10 PM EDT
SEATTLE +1.5
ANALYSIS: Angels starter Alex Cobb (6-3, 4.60) has been awful on the road this year with a 7.77 ERA in six starts. He allowed five runs in his lone 2021 start vs. Seattle on June 5 and that was in Anaheim. Mariners lefty starter Marco Gonzales is 8-1 with a 3.55 ERA in 15 career starts vs. the Angels, who are 5-13 in their last 18 road games vs. southpaws. So, I'm clearly making a case for a Seattle minor upset, but I'll play the runline at -140 to be safe. The M's have been positive money on the RL at home (we won on them Thursday on it vs. the Yankees).

+3886 92-42-4 IN LAST 138 MLB PICKS
+825 11-3 IN LAST 14 SEA ATS PICKS
+306 5-2 IN LAST 7 LAA ATS PICKS
10:17 AM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

10* under-9.5-kc-clev
9* cubs-155
8* padres-225

[dawggy]

JOSEPH D'AMICO

• Joe DAmicos 64 PCT MLB HOME RUN PLAY
  Game: (915) Chicago White Sox at (916) Baltimore Orioles
  Date/Time: Jul 9 2021 7:05 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4 units
  Play: Chicago White Sox -131 D Keuchel (LHP), J Lopez (RHP) Must Start
  
  Chicago.
  HOME RUN PLAY.
  Game 915.
  4:05 pm pst.
  
  Despite missing a few players, the White Sox are still a much stronger squad than the Orioles. They have taken five consecutive meetings over Baltimore, including all four matchups this season. Keuchel (6-3, 4.48) is 4-2 with a 3.23 ERA in nine career starts vs. the O’s. (2-11, 6.02) is 1-2 with a 5.48 ERA in four games (three starts) vs. the White Sox. Chicago is 8-2 L10 vs. the AL East, 7-2 L9 vs. RH starters, 8-3 L11 following an off day, and 7-3 L10 overall. Take the White Sox. Thank you.

[golden contender]

Rob V: Friday Comp Play

Friday card led by the Double Perfect A.L. West Total of the Month, a 19-0 6* with an Angle that has won 42 of 43 times an a Friday night WNBA Hot Side. Comp Play below.



The MLB comp Play for Friday is on the NY, Mets, Game 906 at 7:10 eastern. NY opened well over 200 but the line has come down some here and we are willing to lay the number as the Mets fit the perfect system below that play on Any home team since 2004 off a home loss vs an opponent like the Pirates in this case that are off a home dog 140 or higher loss and scored 4 or less runs despite getting 10 or more hits. The Pirates are 1-6 vs the Mets and have dropped 47 of 60 on the road vs a winning team. They have dropped 5 of 6 on the road with Brault pitching. The Met are 8-2 vs Central division teams and 6-1 as a home favorite off a home loss. They have T. Walker going and he has won 11 straight home starts dating to last year. Make it the Mets. On Friday we have a rare 6* MLB Play with a 19-0 system and 42-1 Angle, a WNBA Hot Side system and the A.L. West Total Of The Month. See us on facebook to Jump on and cash out as we storm into the weekend with another big card. For the Comp play. Go with NYM. Rob V- GC Sports.



SU: 11-0

Sep 03, 2004 box Fri home Giants Brad Hennessey - R Diamondbacks Edgar G Gonzalez - R 18-7 11 W 15.5 O 18-15 1-3 13-3 -260 9.5 9
Sep 13, 2004 box Mon home Cubs Greg Maddux - R Pirates Frank Brooks - L 7-2 5 W 0.0 P 7-8 0-3 6-0 -300 9.0 9
Apr 26, 2005 box Tue home Blue Jays Ted Lilly - L Rays Dewon Brazelton - R 7-5 2 W 2.0 O 10-11 1-2 4-2 -150 10.0 9
Sep 30, 2005 box Fri home Twins Francisco Liriano - L Tigers Mike Maroth - L 7-3 4 W 1.0 O 11-7 0-1 5-1 -125 9.0 9
Aug 25, 2006 box Fri home Blue Jays Shaun Marcum - R Royals Luke Hudson - R 6-3 3 W -1.5 U 10-10 0-0 5-0 -150 10.5 9
Aug 06, 2007 box Mon home Tigers Justin Verlander - R Rays Edwin Jackson - R 6-4 2 W 0.5 O 13-8 2-0 2-2 -270 9.5 9
Aug 13, 2012 box Mon home Cubs Jeff Samardzija - R Astros Armando Galarraga - R 7-1 6 W 0.5 O 10-4 0-1 6-0 -180 7.5 9
Oct 01, 2012 box Mon home Blue Jays Aaron Laffey - L Twins Esmerling Vasquez - R 6-5 1 W 2.0 O 12-12 1-0 1-3 -135 9.0 10+
Aug 15, 2013 box Thu home Twins Mike Pelfrey - R White Sox Andre Rienzo - R 4-3 1 W -2.0 U 9-9 0-1 1-3 -132 9.0 9
Aug 26, 2014 box Tue home Royals Danny Duffy - L Twins Ricky Nolasco - R 2-1 1 W -5.0 U 5-5 0-0 1-1 -173 8.0 9
Sep 20, 2019 box Fri home Dodgers Clayton Kershaw - L Rockies Peter Lambert - R 12-5 7 W 8.5 O 13-10 0-1 8-3 -400 8.5 9

Jul 09, 2021 box Thu home Mets Taijuan Walker - R Pirates JT Brubaker - R -180 7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

3 Rivers Sports

MLB
3* #917 Toronto +115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Snyder

L.A. ANGELS @ SEATTLE | 07/09 | 10:10 PM EDT
SEATTLE +115
ANALYSIS: The Mariners are home underdogs. They are 27-19 at home while the Angels are 18-22 on the road. Angels' starter Alex Cobb has a 7.77 ERA in six road starts this year. He was even shelled by the lowly Diamondbacks. The reason for the odds would be Mariners' starter Marco Gonzales. He's been awful this year. Last year, though, he was 7-2 with a 3.10 ERA and led the majors in strikeout-to-walk ratio. As a bonus, he's left handed and the Angels' two best hitters right now (Shohei Ohtani and Jared Walsh) are lefties. Let's bet on a "get right" game from Gonzales.

+732 10-3 IN LAST 13 MLB ML PICKS
1:21 PM

N.Y. YANKEES @ HOUSTON | 07/09 | 8:10 PM EDT
HOUSTON -130
ANALYSIS: Yankees southpaw Nestor Cortes has been great this season, but he had a 6.72 ERA in 79 career innings heading into this season. The Astros eat lefties up, wearing them out to the tune of .284/.352/.445 this season. On the flip side, Astros starter Jake Odorizzi has a 2.16 ERA since returning from the injured list on May 29, holding opponents to a .159/.220/.265 slash. The Astros have won four of his last five starts and the Yankees only hit .228/.319/.382 against righties. Plus, the Astros are simply the better team. The odds point to good action here.

+732 10-3 IN LAST 13 MLB ML PICKS
+407 4-0 IN LAST 4 HOU ML PICKS
1:16 PM

PHILADELPHIA @ BOSTON | 07/09 | 7:10 PM EDT
BOSTON -125
ANALYSIS: The Phillies just took three of four from the Cubs, but that's hardly a feat these days. The Phillies are still 18-27 on the road and now visit one of the best teams in baseball that is coming off a day of rest. The Red Sox aren't a heavy favorite, likely due to the Phillies' hot streak in addition to Garrett Richards starting for the Sox. Still, the Red Sox have won nine of Richards' 17 starts, so it's not like they are incapable of winning. Plus, the bullpens show a huge divide (the Red Sox are great and the Phillies awful). Philly starter Vince Velasquez has a 6.21 ERA in his last seven starts, too.

+732 10-3 IN LAST 13 MLB ML PICKS
1:12 PM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Green Falcon Picks

FC Cincinnati - Columbus Crew
USA, MLS, 01:30 CET (Jul 10) / 7:30 PM ET
2.7 Units: FC Cincinnati 0 -135