Tuesday 7/6/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358391

    Tuesday 7/6/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358391

    #2
    Jeff Siegel's Five Takeaways - 7/6/21


    July 6, 2021
    From the Weekend Concluding July 5, 2021, 2021


    1 – The most significant performance of the extended holiday weekend comes courtesy of St Mark’s Basilica in his nothing-short-of-exceptional victory in the 10F Coral-Eclipse S.-G1 at Sandown on Saturday. After winning three previous Group-1 races against his own age group, including the Dewhurst S. at Newmarket, the French 1000 Guineas at Longchamp and the French Derby at Chantilly, the Aidan O’Brien-trained colt made a mockery of older rivals, chief among them Saudi Cup-G1 and Dubai Sheema Classic-G1 winner Mishriff, while producing the type of acceleration two furlongs out that only the great ones possess.

    The French-bred son of Siyouni must now be rated the best horse in Europe, if not the entire planet, and would be a wonderful addition to any Breeders’ Cup field, though he may very well have other fish to fry overseas in the fall. "Of all the times we've trained horses through all the years, I can't remember that we've had (a performance) like that," said O'Brien.



    2 – A critical race at Belmont Park for older horses, the 10F Suburban S.-G2, offered a rematch of the first two finishers from the 2020 Jockey Club Gold Cup-G1, the unbeaten Happy Saver, and the Dubai World Cup-G1 winner Mystic Guide. But over a sloppy sealed surface that neither appeared to grab, it was Max Player (not Maxfield) who sprung the upset in a race that proved little other than the winner’s affinity for a muddy track.

    A distant third in both the Belmont S.-G1 and the Travers S.-G1 last summer and then nowhere to be found in his four most recent races (including a 24-length drubbing to the aforementioned Mishriff in Saudi Arabia), the son of Honor Code was game in victory but earned only a 101 Beyer speed figure, an indication that the others ran down to his level, not the other way around. Attached to the victory is an all-expense paid ticket to the Breeders’ Cup Classic-G1 at Del Mar. But there will be no rain on the first Saturday in November in San Diego county.



    3 – A legitimate Grade-1 front-runner such as Breeders’ Cup Mile-G1 winner Knicks Go facing a handful of thoroughly outclassed rivals that have no chance to apply even a modest amount of early pressure is the perfect recipe for the easily predictable outcome of the 9F Prairie Meadows Cornhusker-G3 Friday evening. His 10 length margin of victory manufactured a career-top 113 Beyer Speed Figure while reaffirming what trainer Brad Cox said after the 5-year-old son of Paynter finished a fading fourth at 4/5 in the Met Mile in early June. “He’s a two-turn horse, was Cox’s simple but entirely accurate explanation.

    Now, with 21 races on his resume, Knick’s Go clearly has established one other indisputable characteristic: when facing top class company; he is a dyed-in-the-wool need-the-lead type. Though unproven at 10 furlongs – but certain to stay the trip under pristine conditions - he could very well resurface at Del Mar August 21 for the $750,000 Pacifica Classic-G1 in what would serve as a dress rehearsal for the Breeders’ Cup Classic-G1 that will be staged over that same course and distance 11 weeks later. Mystic Guide could be headed in the same direction, as well.



    4 – It’s the time of the year when we’re inclined to seek out potentially high-class, late-developing 3-year-olds – those that weren’t ready or seasoned enough for the Triple Crown – to make an impact in the sophomore ranks and perhaps even steal an Eclipse Award, such as what Arrogate did a few years back. While he’s nowhere near that level just yet, First Captain will have his chance to establish championship credentials at Saratoga, with the 10F Travers S.-G1 his late-summer goal. Unbeaten in three starts but yet to race farther than a mile, the son of Curlin, at 40 cents on the dollar, was workmanlike when grinding out a one and three-quarter length victory in the Dwyer S.-G3 at Belmont Park on Monday. The Beyer speed figure was a just okay 90, a career low.

    However, Shug’s colt has a pedigree to excel over a classic distance and farther. In as division which currently has Essential Quality and Hot Rod Charlie squarely at the top, a new shooter such as this $1.5 million yearling purchase, may still be capable of bringing fresh blood and new life to a division that remains there for the taking.



    5Gamine has been beaten just once in nine starts. She failed to see out the nine-furlong trip in the 2020 Kentucky Oaks-G1 when third (and then subsequently disqualified for a bad test) but has been otherwise perfect, most recently coasting home to register a 10-length romp in the 6.5F Great Lady M. S.-G2 at Los Alamitos on Monday. In any other year, she’d probably be sent to Saratoga, where she won the 2020 Test S.-G1 by seven lengths, but a trip to New York isn’t currently an option for trainer Bob Baffert. We anticipate Gamine will remain in the West and be given a run, perhaps two, to prepare to defend her title in the Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Sprint-G1.

    The Rancho Bernardo (Aug. 20) at Del Mar logically would be next, but that race is just a Grade-3 with a $100,000 guaranteed purse and will be carded under handicap conditions, so you have to wonder just how much weight she’d be asked to carry in order to make the race competitive. Facing males eight days later in the 7F Pat O’Brien for twice the purse money (it’s a win-and-your-in race, too) might be a better option, especially under the 122 lb. impost she would carry, according to the conditions of the race.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358391

      #3
      Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


      Parx Racing - Race #4
      #5 Bucks Are Moving Low-confidence play here as this guy makes his tenth career start, but he has been pretty reliable since moving to the turf and might work out a decent trip spying the splits.
      #2 Enjoy the Music He's the clear one to beat on form while trying maiden claiming company for the first time, but that's also not a great sign off the long layoff, so I'm going to try to beat him today.
      #7 S Man He ran okay in some of those Fair Grounds turf tries, but he has always given away ground late in his races, and I would expect him to do so again here.
      Race Summary Bucks Are Moving is capable of something better than he showed last time out, and the likely chalk in here has a major question to answer off the layoff.
      Parx Racing - Race #9
      #8 Phat Man He's a little off form, but those last two tries came with graded stakes company, so he has some upside on the move back in with allowance company -- he was an easy winner the last time he raced outside of a stakes spot.
      #7 Wentz He's a pretty reliable type who can land another good trip near the top, but the top choice has a pretty solid class edge on him. The main danger.
      #1 Midnightcharly His lack of early speed puts him at a disadvantage, but every now and then he jumps up with the kind of finishing effort that would land a piece of this at a big price.
      Race Summary Phat Man has a right to be tough while dropping out of graded company, and he should be able to finish best of these with a major class edge.
      Parx Racing - Race #10
      #8 Princess Grace She'll have to fire fresh off the bench here, but her 3yo form stacks up really well with this bunch, and she's probably tough with these if she's ready to roll.
      #1 Amniarix She has been better on synthetic than turf in Europe, but her overall form stacks up well with these for a capable team with Ortiz in to ride.
      #5 Platinum Paynter Forward player doesn't win many tough fights, but she can be a handful when she turns for home in front. We know she gets over the local footing well with a couple of blowout wins here against cheaper last year.
      Race Summary Princess Grace would seem plenty playable at something like the 4/1 ML price, as she seems to be working forwardly for a team that can get them ready to roll off the bench.
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358391

        #4
        Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


        Pocono Downs - Race #1
        #9 UPTOWN HANOVER Anxious in pocket, won geared down after 1-to-5 fave broke stride.
        #1 IN LOU OF MONEY Responded to front-end tactics for popular victory at notch below.
        #5 CAPTAIN'S MAID Upstaged series of in-money finishes with winning rally at this level.
        Race Summary Uptown Hanover pulled the pocket nearing the stretch to go after the odds-on pace setter, lost momentum when the favorite went off stride, but regrouped quickly to win easily. She can repeat if she can navigate the post 9 starting spot. Play 9-1 and 9-5 exactas.
        Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #1
        #2 TUGGINGONCREDIT Flushed out live cover, ran past many of same rivals on class drop.
        #1 KOUNNIS Out and moving at the half, appeared to have winning momentum into stretch, tired.
        #4 COLD CREEK LACEY Rallied for back-to-back wins at Grand River, claimed by Moreau.
        Race Summary Tuggingoncredit worked out a perfect trip, overpowered similar foes in the lane and continued strong on the gallop out, earning a repeat call in her third start of a cycle. Play a 2/1,4/ALL trifecta.
        Yonkers - Race #12
        #1 ALTA LEROY N Steady check-getter exits fast heats, gets needed class relief.
        #2 KASEY JOHN A Can use his speed wisely from post 2, price attached.
        #8 BELTANE A Up 4-wide for second behind runaway at notch below, use in gimmicks.
        Race Summary Alta Leroy N couldn't keep pace with the winning favorites in a pair of sub-1:52 races, but he looms a major threat on the class drop with the rail. Play a 1-2-8 exacta box.
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358391

          #5
          Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks


          Indiana Grand - Race #4
          #5 Five Star Colonel Ran a credible third in his first after a maiden win; proved he belongs at this level and doesn't have to improve a lot.
          #7 Azzaro Street Will benefit the most if the pace is rapid; he can from off the pace and was an easy maiden winner last out. Would not be a surprise.
          #3 Vice Cop Was never seriously threatened in a maiden win last out and will be tough if he can run back to that one.
          Race Summary Five Star Colonel has enough speed to be a factor from the start and comes in off a good effort; fits well here.
          Indiana Grand - Race #5
          #10 Better Watch Out Was a sharp winner last time in a race that came off the turf; has spent much of his time vs. tough company and looks like he fits very well at this level.
          #9 Evil Eye Was a turf winner last time as he moved with a rush and was able to sustain that run through the stretch for a clear win; does well off the pace.
          #8 Pioneer Man Was claimed by Maker two races back for a price that is almost three times his claiming price today; usually not a good sign, but he ran some good races on grass and will be favored.
          Race Summary Better Watch Out was impressive as he dug in and rejected all comers; has found his claiming price.
          Indiana Grand - Race #8
          #9 Go Big Green Competed in tough races at Fair Grounds and Churchill Downs and is capable of being strong on the front end here.
          #2 Golden Voice Hasn't done a lot lately but has been in tough; makes her first since a stakes appearance at Belmont in November; was third in a maiden race here in August.
          #8 Choctaw Bingo Has been dominant in wins in his last three races and seps up to a higher level; could make it four straight.
          Race Summary Go Big Green has been a player in several turf races and has a good chance to dictate the fractions and finish well; classy and ready to get his first win since February.
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358391

            #6
            F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Grants Pass

            Grants Pass - Race 2
            $2 WPS / $1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $1 Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4)
            Allowance • 350 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 80 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 5:45P
            QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.
            Contenders
            Race Analysis
            P#
            Horse
            Morn
            Line
            Accept
            Odds

            Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * APPROVAL GIVEN: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. FOR SOME JESS: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yard s if a Quarter Horse race). ONE JESS GAMER: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. L BAR D ROSIE LEE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. HARLIE MO: Quarter Horse has a F ast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast.
            3
            APPROVAL GIVEN
            5/2
            5/1
            7
            FOR SOME JESS
            6/1
            6/1
            5
            ONE JESS GAMER
            8/1
            7/1
            8
            L BAR D ROSIE LEE
            9/2
            9/1
            4
            HARLIE MO
            5/1
            10/1

            P#
            Horse (In Running Style Order)
            Post
            Morn
            Line
            Running Style
            Good
            Class
            Good
            Speed
            Early Figure
            Finish Figure
            Platinum
            Figure
            1
            JUST WATCH HIM
            1
            8/1
            Average
            77
            63
            5.8
            0.0
            0.0
            2
            JESS CANDY LIPS
            2
            5/1
            Average
            75
            72
            5.0
            0.0
            0.0
            3
            APPROVAL GIVEN
            3
            5/2
            Average
            87
            74
            4.2
            0.0
            0.0
            4
            HARLIE MO
            4
            5/1
            Fast
            74
            72
            3.3
            0.0
            0.0
            5
            ONE JESS GAMER
            5
            8/1
            Slow
            76
            80
            6.4
            0.0
            0.0
            6
            JESSADALIGHT
            6
            8/1
            Average
            73
            71
            4.9
            0.0
            0.0
            7
            FOR SOME JESS
            7
            6/1
            Slow
            88
            79
            7.0
            0.0
            0.0
            8
            L BAR D ROSIE LEE
            8
            9/2
            Average
            81
            70
            3.7
            0.0
            0.0
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358391

              #7
              F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Canterbury Park



              Canterbury Park - Race 9
              Win, Place &Show / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Daily Double
              Stakes • 400 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 91 • Purse: $38,615 • Post: 9:10P
              QUARTER HORSE 400Y, CANTERBURY PARK DISTAFF CHALLENGE S. - GRADE 3 FOR QUARTER HORSES, FILLIES & MARES, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH ARE BANK OF AMERICA RACING CHALLENGE ENROLLED, NOMINATED AND REMAIN ELIGIBLE. $400 TO NOMINATE BY MAY 1 AND $800 SUSTAINING PAYMENT DUE BY JUNE 1. LATE PAYMENT SCHEDULE: $2,500 TO NOMINATE AND SUSTAIN BY JUNE 1 (ALL PAYMENTS MUST BE MADE THROUGH THE AQHA). $30,000 ADDED (INCLUDES $12,000 FROM MYSTIC LAKE PURSE ENHANCEMENT FUND AND $10,000 FROM THE AQHA BANK OF AMERICA RACING CHALLENGE). PURSE TO BE PAID IN ACCORDANCE WITH AQHA RACING CHALLENGE RULES. WEIGHTS: THREE YEAR OLDS - 125 LBS; OLDER - 127 LBS. THE CANTERBURY PARK DISTAFF CHALLENGE WILL BE LIMITED TO THE (10) FASTEST QUALIFIERS. MANAGEMENT RESERVES THE RIGHT TO RUN 12 HORSES IN THE FINAL, WITH NO TRIALS, IF 12 HORSES OR LESS ENTER THE TRIALS, PAYING PURSE MONIES ONLY TO THE TOP 10 FINISHERS. REMINDER: YOU MUST BE AN AQHA MEMBER TO COMPETE IN ANY CHALLENGE RACE. MORE INFORMATION: CONTACT THE AQHA RACING CHALLENGE HOTLINE
              Contenders
              Race Analysis
              P#
              Horse
              Morn
              Line
              Accept
              Odds

              Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * LYNNDER 16: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. EL OH EL: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. APOLLITICAL MOGUL: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
              7
              LYNNDER 16
              8/5
              9/2
              5
              EL OH EL
              4/1
              5/1
              6
              APOLLITICAL MOGUL
              3/1
              6/1

              P#
              Horse (In Running Style Order)
              Post
              Morn
              Line
              Running Style
              Good
              Class
              Good
              Speed
              Early Figure
              Finish Figure
              Platinum
              Figure
              1
              FEATURES FINEST KIND
              1
              12/1
              Average
              82
              74
              4.4
              0.0
              0.0
              2
              LOVEPOP
              2
              10/1
              Average
              86
              84
              4.3
              0.0
              0.0
              3
              DG DREAMER
              3
              10/1
              Average
              86
              73
              3.7
              0.0
              0.0
              4
              DARK MOON
              4
              5/1
              Average
              90
              82
              3.6
              0.0
              0.0
              5
              EL OH EL
              5
              4/1
              Average
              96
              95
              4.8
              0.0
              0.0
              6
              APOLLITICAL MOGUL
              6
              3/1
              Average
              90
              93
              3.9
              0.0
              0.0
              7
              LYNNDER 16
              7
              8/5
              Average
              93
              92
              3.6
              0.0
              0.0
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358391

                #8
                Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fair Meadows Tulsa

                Always check program numbers.
                Odds shown are morning line odds.




                Race 12 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $7700 Class Rating: 62

                FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000

                RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                # 6 SEEING DOUBLE 5/2
                # 7 TWILIGHT GLOW 4/1
                # 2 SHEMINE FELINE 3/1
                SEEING DOUBLE looks to be a respectable contender. Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this pony look very good in this contest. Likely to see this equine to be right there at the wire versus these mounts. With a solid 59 speed figure last time out, will definitely be a factor in this race. TWILIGHT GLOW - Is tough not to consider given the company run in recently. SHEMINE FELINE - Will almost certainly go to the lead and may never look back. Could beat this group given the 60 speed figure put up in her last outing.
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358391

                  #9
                  Handicapped by The Walker Group at Indiana Downs

                  Always check program numbers.
                  Odds shown are morning line odds.




                  Race 4 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $38000 Class Rating: 76

                  FOR REGISTERED INDIANA BREDS THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 6 ALLOWED 2 LBS.

                  RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                  # 8 FLYING SAMURAI 4/1
                  # 1 RICH KINGDOM 6/1
                  # 3 VICE COP 8/1
                  FLYING SAMURAI appears to be the bet in here. Posted a formidable Equibase Speed Figure in the latest race. Can run another good one in this race. His 65 average has this gelding with among the strongest speed figures in here. When a trainer brings any pony back this quickly it is a positive sign. RICH KINGDOM - Must be given a shot here on the basis of the numbers in the speed realm alone. Could beat this group given the 68 Equibase Speed Figure recorded in his last outing. VICE COP - Matthews has one of the most respectable winning percentages in this group of horses in this race with entries running at this distance and surface. He looks strong in this spot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the halfway point.
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358391

                    #10
                    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                    Mountaineer Park - Race #8 - Post: 9:55pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,800 Class Rating: 65

                    Rating:

                    #4 SEVEN IRON (ML=3/1)
                    #7 BRANANX (ML=12/1)


                    SEVEN IRON - Trainer Bends moves this one down in class to face a lower class field. Look for a good race at this level. I think this gelding is ready to run a good one. He's had enough races since the layoff and should be fit. BRANANX - This pony coming off a solid try in the last month is a solid contender in my opinion.

                    Vulnerable Contenders: #1 CATES SWOOSH (ML=6/5), #3 TICKET TO ALASKA (ML=9/2), #6 ANYWHERE ROAD (ML=8/1),

                    CATES SWOOSH - This runner didn't do much for me last time out of the box finishing fifth. Can't expect any change in today's event. This gelding just doesn't seem to like the 1 post. His running lines show that he doesn't fare well from there. TICKET TO ALASKA - Probably won't make much of an impact this time around. ANYWHERE ROAD - This thoroughbred likes to be on the board, but doesn't usually win. Don't put in the top spot.


                    STRAIGHT WAGERS: Play #4 SEVEN IRON to win if you can get odds of 6/5 or more
                    EXACTA WAGERS: Box [4,7]

                    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                    Skip
                    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358391

                      #11
                      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                      Parx Racing - Race #6 - Post: 3:15pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $34,000 Class Rating: 67

                      Rating:

                      #2 SCOOP DAWG (ML=2/1)


                      SCOOP DAWG - With a big class drop in class rating points from his June 14th race at Parx Racing. Based on that key piece of info, I will give this thoroughbred the edge. The most dangerous animal in racing is the lone speed horse. If they let him get away early they probably won't catch him. Nice return on investment for this jockey and trainer tandem. This gelding's last speed fig is high enough to score here, I'll bet on him right back this time. Look at this pattern of improvement. 42/59/63 are the last three speed figs.

                      Vulnerable Contenders: #6 NORTHERN EXPRESS (ML=9/5), #4 ARMOR OF GOD (ML=9/2), #1 NICKY DA FOX (ML=6/1),

                      NORTHERN EXPRESS - Hasn't raced or had any drills since June 9th. Not much value on this morning-line favorite. ARMOR OF GOD - That was simply not a very good showing in the last race. NICKY DA FOX - This racer just hasn't looked fit recently.



                      STRAIGHT WAGERS: #2 SCOOP DAWG to win at post-time odds of 1/1 or better
                      EXACTA WAGERS: None

                      TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                      None
                      SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358391

                        #12
                        MLB
                        Weather Report

                        Tuesday, July 6







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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358391

                          #13
                          951ATLANTA -952 PITTSBURGH
                          PITTSBURGH is 8-20 SU (-15.3 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start in the current season.

                          953MILWAUKEE -954 NY METS
                          MILWAUKEE is 27-14 SU (16.1 Units) vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better in the current season.

                          955LA DODGERS -956 MIAMI
                          MIAMI is 37-22 SU (11.6 Units) vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse in the current season.

                          957PHILADELPHIA -958 CHICAGO CUBS
                          CHICAGO CUBS are 11-4 SU (9.7 Units) in home games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.

                          959COLORADO -960 ARIZONA
                          COLORADO is 10-22 SU (-21.1 Units) in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse in the current season.

                          961ST LOUIS -962 SAN FRANCISCO
                          SAN FRANCISCO is 31-11 SU (22.1 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start in the current season.

                          963WASHINGTON -964 SAN DIEGO
                          WASHINGTON is 11-2 SU (10.7 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start in the current season.

                          965TORONTO -966 BALTIMORE
                          BALTIMORE is 9-22 SU (-16.2 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

                          967CLEVELAND -968 TAMPA BAY
                          TAMPA BAY is 26-10 SU (15.7 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.

                          969DETROIT -970 TEXAS
                          TEXAS are 12-31 SU (-22.1 Units) when playing with a day off in the last 3 seasons.
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358391

                            #14
                            MLB

                            Tuesday, July 6


                            NL games
                            Dodgers (53-32) @ Miami (36-47)

                            — Gonsolin is 0-0, 2.77 in four starts (13 IP).
                            — Dodgers are 4-0 in his starts.
                            — under 3-1
                            — allowed run in first inning: 3-4
                            — record in first 5 innings: 4-0
                            — He hasn’t pitched against Miami.

                            — Dodgers are 9-5 in their last 14 games.
                            — Dodgers are 10-6 in their last 16 road games.
                            — over 6-3 last nine road games
                            — scored run in first inning: 24-85
                            — record in first 5 innings: 43-28-14

                            — Lopez is 2-1, 2.08 in his last three starts.
                            — Marlins are 8-9 in his starts.
                            — over 5-1 last six
                            — allowed run in first inning: 4-17
                            — record in first 5 innings: 6-6-5
                            — He gave up 2 runs in 5 IP, in one start vs Los Angeles.

                            — Marlins are 7-12 in their last 19 games.
                            — Miami is 3-5 in its last eight home games.
                            — under 15-10-1 last 26 games
                            — scored run in first inning: 18-81
                            — record in first 5 innings: 32-34-15

                            Atlanta (41-43) @ Pittsburgh (31-53)
                            — Anderson is 1-1, 2.45 in his last three starts.
                            — Braves are 9-7 in his starts.
                            — under 8-7-1
                            — allowed run in first inning: 6-16
                            — you’re reading ***************.com
                            — record in first 5 innings: 6-7-3
                            — He threw 6 shutout IP, in his one start vs Pittsburgh.

                            — Braves are 12-14 in their last 26 games
                            — Atlanta is 5-9 in its last 14 road games.
                            — under 9-4-1 in last 14 games.
                            — scored run in first inning: 30-84
                            — record in first 5 innings: 43-30-11

                            — Kuhl is 2-1, 2.76 in his last three starts.
                            — Pirates are 5-5 in his starts.
                            — over 8-2
                            — allowed run in first inning: 5-10
                            — record in first 5 innings: 5-3-2
                            — He gave up 3 runs in 5 IP, in one start vs Atlanta.

                            — Pirates lost six of last eight games.
                            — Pittsburgh is 10-10 in its last 20 home games.
                            — under 5-4-1 last ten games
                            — scored run in first inning: 24-84
                            — record in first 5 innings: 25-48-11

                            Milwaukee (51-35) @ Mets (44-37)
                            — Anderson is 0-2, 5.63 in his last six starts.
                            — Milwaukee is 6-6 in his starts.
                            — under 5-2-1 last eight
                            — allowed run in first inning: 3-12
                            — record in first 5 innings: 4-6-2
                            — He hasn’t pitched against New York.

                            — Brewers won 13 of their last 16 games.
                            — Milwaukee won seven of last ten road games.
                            — over 6-5 last 11 road games.
                            — scored run in first inning: 29-86
                            — record in first 5 innings: 40-28-18

                            — deGrom is 1-0, 2.14 in his last four starts.
                            — Mets are 10-4 in his starts.
                            — over 3-0-1 last four
                            — allowed run in first inning: 0-2
                            — record in first 5 innings: 1-14
                            — He is 3-3, 4.80 in eight starts vs Milwaukee.

                            — Mets are 9-12 in their last 21 games.
                            — Mets are 19-7 in their last 26 home games.
                            — under 6-2 last eight home games.
                            — scored run in first inning: 19-81
                            — record in first 5 innings: 37-34-10

                            Philadelphia (40-42) @ Cubs (42-43)
                            — Nola is 0-1, 9.49 in his last three starts.
                            — Phillies are 8-9 in his starts.
                            — over 8-8-1
                            — allowed run in first inning: 7-17
                            — record in first 5 innings: 9-7-1
                            — He is 3-1, 4.26 in five starts vs Chicago.

                            — Phillies are 7-9 in their last 16 games.
                            — Phillies are 24-16 at home, 16-26 on road.
                            — under 12-8 last 20 games.
                            — scored run in first inning: 27-82
                            — record in first 5 innings: 31-31-20

                            — Arrieta is 0-2, 8.69 in his last five starts.
                            — Cubs are 1-6 in his last seven starts.
                            — under 7-3 last ten
                            — allowed run in first inning: 6-16
                            — record in first 5 innings: 4-11-1
                            — He is 4-2, 4.06 in six starts vs Philly.

                            — Cubs lost 10 in row, 16 of last 20 games.
                            — Chicago is 11-5 in its last 16 home games.
                            — Under is 23-11 in their last 34 games.
                            — scored run in first inning: 25-85
                            — record in first 5 innings: 37-36-12

                            Colorado (37-48) @ Arizona (23-62)
                            — Gray is 1-1, 4.73 in his last three starts.
                            — Rockies are 6-8 in his starts.
                            — over 7-2 last nine
                            — allowed run in first inning: 5-14
                            — you’re reading ***************.com
                            — record in first 5 innings: 6-5-3
                            — He is 1-1, 4.34 in three starts vs Arizona this year.

                            — Colorado is 12-7 in its last 19 games.
                            — Rockies are 31-17 at home, 6-31 on road.
                            — under 7-0 last seven games.
                            — scored run in first inning: 26-85
                            — record in first 5 innings: 33-39-13

                            — Kelly is 3-0, 1.80 in his last three starts.
                            — Arizona is 7-10 in his starts.
                            — over 5-2 last seven
                            — allowed run in first inning: 5-17
                            — record in first 5 innings: 7-9-2
                            — He is 1-3, 7.06 in five starts vs Colorado.

                            — Arizona lost 47 of its last 54 games.
                            — Arizona is 2-11 in its last 13 home games.
                            — under 6-3 last nine home games
                            — scored run in first inning: 14-85
                            — record in first 5 innings: 27-52-6

                            St Louis (42-44) @ San Francisco (52-31)
                            — Wainwright is 3-0, 2.12 in his last five starts.
                            — Cardinals are 8-8 in his starts.
                            — under 10-6
                            — allowed run in first inning: 3-16
                            — record in first 5 innings: 6-5-5
                            — He is 7-7, 3.09 in 17 games (15 starts) vs San Francisco.

                            — Cardinals won six of their last nine games.
                            — St Louis is 3-12 in its last 15 road games.
                            — Under is 14-6-2 in their last 22 games.
                            — scored run in first inning: 25-85
                            — record in first 5 innings: 33-35-17

                            — Cueto is 2-1, 4.00 in his last three starts.
                            — Giants are 8-5 in his starts.
                            — under 6-0 last six
                            — allowed run in first inning: 3-13
                            — record in first 5 innings: 6-6-1
                            — He is 7-9, 3.92 in 24 starts vs St Louis.

                            — Giants are 18-10 in their last 28 games.
                            — Giants are 11-4 in last 15 home games.
                            — Over is 7-3 in their last ten home games.
                            — scored run in first inning: 23-83
                            — record in first 5 innings: 45-26-12

                            Washington (41-42) @ San Diego (50-37)
                            — Corbin is 0-2, 7.59 in his last two starts.
                            — Washington is 8-8 in his starts.
                            — under 5-2 last seven
                            — allowed run in first inning: 8-16
                            — record in first 5 innings: 6-7-3
                            — He is 6-8, 4.30 in 20 games (15 starts) vs San Diego.

                            — Washington lost four of its last five games.
                            — Nationals are 6-2 in last eight road games.
                            — under 8-6 last 14 road games
                            — scored run in first inning: 28-83
                            — record in first 5 innings: 34-30-19

                            — Weathers is 1-1, 4.15 in his last six starts.
                            — Padres are 5-4 in his starts.
                            — over 4-2 last six
                            — allowed run in first inning: 1-9
                            — record in first 5 innings: 6-3
                            — He hasn’t pitched against Washington.

                            — Padres won 12 of their last 17 games.
                            — San Diego is 9-2 in its last 11 home games.
                            — over 13 of last 19 games
                            — scored run in first inning: 27-87
                            — record in first 5 innings: 34-38-15

                            AL games
                            Toronto (43-39) @ Baltimore (27-56)

                            — Matz is 1-1, 6.62 in his last four starts
                            — Toronto is 3-7 in his last 10 starts.
                            — over 7-4 last 11
                            — allowed run in first inning: 1-14
                            — record in first 5 innings: 8-4-2
                            — He hasn’t pitched against Baltimore.

                            — Blue Jays won 10 of their last 14 games.
                            — Toronto won its last four road games.
                            — under 4-2 last six road games
                            — scored run in first inning: 26-82
                            — record in first 5 innings: 39-32-11

                            — bullpen game

                            — Orioles split their last six games.
                            — Baltimore is 15-31 on the road, 12-26 at home.
                            — over is 31-16-1 in their last 48 games.
                            — scored run in first inning: 28-84
                            — record in first 5 innings: 25-44-15

                            White Sox (50-35) @ Minnesota (35-48)
                            — Rodon is 0-1, 4.24 in his last three starts
                            — Chicago is 9-5 in his starts.
                            — under 9-5
                            — allowed run in first inning: 2-14
                            — record in first 5 innings: 6-4-4
                            — He is 5-3, 4.94 in 10 starts vs Minnesota.

                            — Chicago is 6-10 in its last 16 games.
                            — White Sox are 2-8 in last ten road games.
                            — over 11-3 last 14 road games.
                            — scored run in first inning: 25-83
                            — record in first 5 innings: 45-23-16

                            — Berrios is 0-0, 4.15 in his last three starts.
                            — Twins are 7-2 in his last nine starts.
                            — over 8-3 last 11
                            — allowed run in first inning: 4-16
                            — record in first 5 innings: 7-4-5
                            — He is 12-2, 2.77 in 18 starts vs Chicago.

                            — Minnesota lost five of its last seven games.
                            — Twins are 6-7 in last 13 home games.
                            — over 17-5-1 last 23 home games
                            — scores run in first inning: 32-83
                            — record in first 5 innings: 27-38-18

                            Detroit (39-46) @ Texas (33-52)
                            — Urena is 0-4, 14.00 in his last five starts.
                            — Tigers are 6-9 in his starts.
                            — over 4-0 last four
                            — allowed run in first inning: 6-15
                            — record in first 5 innings: 2-10-3
                            — He gave up 5 runs in 5 IP, in one start vs Texas.

                            — Detroit is 10-7 its last 17 games.
                            — Detroit is 4-1 in its last five road games.
                            — over 18-7 last 25 games
                            — scored run in first inning: 17-86
                            — record in first 5 innings: 3-5-1 last nine on road.

                            — Dunning is 1-2, 5.29 in his last four starts.
                            — Texas is 4-12 in his starts.
                            — over 6-3-2 last 11
                            — allowed run in first inning: 7-16
                            — record in first 5 innings: 6-8-2
                            — He allowed 3 runs in 4.1 IP, in one start vs Detroit.

                            — Texas won seven of its last 12 games.
                            — Texas is 5-3 in its last eight home games.
                            — over 14-7-2 last 23 games.
                            — scored run in first inning: 18-85
                            — record in first 5 innings: 30-43-12

                            Oakland (49-37) @ Houston (52-33)
                            — Bassitt is 4-0, 1.93 in his last five starts.
                            — A’s are 13-4 in his starts.
                            — under 9-5 last 14
                            — allowed run in first inning: 3-17
                            — record in first 5 innings: 10-3-4
                            — He is 3-3, 3.67 in nine starts vs Houston.

                            — A’s lost 10 of their last 15 games.
                            — Oakland is 3-6 in its last nine road games.
                            — Under is 7-4 in their last 11 games.
                            — scored run in first inning: 26-86
                            — record in first 5 innings: 37-33-16

                            — Valdez is 5-1, 2.61 in his last six starts.
                            — Astros are 5-2 in his starts.
                            — over 4-3
                            — allowed run in first inning: 1-7
                            — record in first 5 innings: 6-1
                            — He is 0-1, 2.25 in 3 games (1 start) vs Oakland.

                            — Astros won their last four games.
                            — Astros are 10-4 in their last 14 home games.
                            — over 12-8-1 last 21 games
                            — scored run in first inning: 30-85
                            — record in first 5 innings: 46-26-13

                            Boston (54-32) @ Angels (42-42)
                            — Eovaldi is 2-0, 0.61 in his last two starts.
                            — Red Sox are 11-6 in his starts.
                            — under 5-3 last eight
                            — allowed run in first inning: 2-17
                            — record in first 5 innings: 11-4-2
                            — He is 2-1, 4.58 in seven starts vs Anaheim.

                            — Boston is 17-7 in its last 24 games.
                            — Red Sox are 11-5 in their last 16 road games.
                            — over 15-11 last 26 games
                            — scored run in first inning: 30-86
                            — record in first 5 innings: 41-31-14

                            — Ohtani is 2-0, 4.94 in his last five starts.
                            — Angels are 7-5 in his starts.
                            — over 5-0 last five
                            — allowed run in first inning: 4-12
                            — record in first 5 innings: 6-3-3
                            — He allowed 3 runs in 2 IP, in his one start vs Boston.

                            — Halos are 6-7 in last 13 games.
                            — Angels are 3-4 in last seven home games.
                            — over 20-7 last 27 games
                            — scored run in first inning: 26-85
                            — record in first 5 innings: 36-38-11

                            Bronx (42-41) @ Seattle (45-40)
                            — Taillon is 2-0, 4.63 in his last two starts.
                            — New York is 6-9 in his starts.
                            — over 3-1-1 last five
                            — allowed run in first inning: 3-15
                            — record in first 5 innings: 7-6-2
                            — He allowed a run in 6 IP, in one start vs Seattle.

                            — New York lost seven of its last nine games.
                            — New York is 3-6 in its last nine road games.
                            — over 16-8-1 last 25 games
                            — scored run in first inning: 22-83
                            — record in first 5 innings: 33-34-16

                            — Sheffield is 0-3, 9.87 in his last four starts.
                            — Mariners are 7-7 in his starts.
                            — over 6-3 last nine
                            — allowed run in first inning: 3-14
                            — record in first 5 innings: 7-7
                            — He allowed 5 runs in 4.1 IP, in one start vs New York.

                            — Seattle won 14 of its last 18 games.
                            — Seattle is 9-3 in its last 12 home games.
                            — under 5-3 last eight home games
                            — scored run in first inning: 25-85
                            — record in first 5 innings: 40-38-7

                            Interleague games
                            Cincinnati (44-40) @ Kansas City (35-49)

                            — Castillo is 2-2, 2.37 in his last six starts.
                            — Reds are 5-12 in his starts.
                            — under 4-0 last four
                            — allowed run in first inning: 8-17
                            — you’re reading ***************.com
                            — record in first 5 innings: 6-9-2
                            — He is 0-1, 2.89 in two starts vs Kansas City.

                            — Cincinnati won its last five games.
                            — Reds are 2-5 in last seven road games.
                            — over 5-2 last seven road games
                            — scored run in first inning: 23-84
                            — record in first 5 innings: 32-37-15

                            — Bubic is 0-3, 11.37 in his last three starts.
                            — Royals are 4-3 in his starts.
                            — over 5-2
                            — allowed run in first inning: 5-7
                            — record in first 5 innings: 2-4-1
                            — He gave up 5 runs in five IP, in one start vs Cincinnati.

                            — Royals lost 22 of their last 28 games.
                            — Royals are 4-8 in their last 12 home games.
                            — over 12-8 last 20 home games.
                            — scores run in first inning: 17-84
                            — record in first 5 innings: 30-42-12
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358391

                              #15
                              MLB

                              Tuesday, July 6


                              Trend Report

                              Toronto @ Baltimore
                              Toronto
                              Toronto is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
                              Toronto is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
                              Baltimore
                              Baltimore is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
                              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games at home

                              Atlanta @ Pittsburgh
                              Atlanta
                              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
                              Atlanta is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Pittsburgh
                              Pittsburgh
                              Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
                              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games at home

                              LA Dodgers @ Miami
                              LA Dodgers
                              LA Dodgers is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
                              The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
                              Miami
                              Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
                              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers

                              Milwaukee @ NY Mets
                              Milwaukee
                              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing NY Mets
                              Milwaukee is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
                              NY Mets
                              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
                              NY Mets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee

                              Philadelphia @ Chi Cubs
                              Philadelphia
                              Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
                              Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
                              Chi Cubs
                              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
                              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

                              Detroit @ Texas
                              Detroit
                              The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games
                              Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
                              Texas
                              Texas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Detroit
                              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games

                              Oakland @ Houston
                              Oakland
                              The total has gone OVER in 10 of Oakland's last 12 games when playing Houston
                              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games on the road
                              Houston
                              The total has gone OVER in 10 of Houston's last 12 games when playing Oakland
                              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home

                              Cincinnati @ Kansas City
                              Cincinnati
                              Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
                              Kansas City
                              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
                              The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Kansas City's last 11 games when playing Cincinnati

                              Chi White Sox @ Minnesota
                              Chi White Sox
                              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games
                              The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chi White Sox's last 8 games on the road
                              Minnesota
                              The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Chi White Sox
                              The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games at home

                              Boston @ LA Angels
                              Boston
                              Boston is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
                              Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
                              LA Angels
                              LA Angels is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Boston
                              LA Angels is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

                              Colorado @ Arizona
                              Colorado
                              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games
                              The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing on the road against Arizona
                              Arizona
                              The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing at home against Colorado
                              Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado

                              St. Louis @ San Francisco
                              St. Louis
                              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games on the road
                              St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
                              San Francisco
                              The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
                              The total has gone OVER in 9 of San Francisco's last 12 games when playing St. Louis

                              Washington @ San Diego
                              Washington
                              Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Diego
                              Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
                              San Diego
                              The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games at home
                              San Diego is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home

                              NY Yankees @ Seattle
                              NY Yankees
                              NY Yankees is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing Seattle
                              NY Yankees is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Seattle
                              Seattle
                              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
                              Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
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