Thursday 7/8/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-08-2021, 06:26 AM

MLB

NL games
Dodgers (53-34) @ Miami (38-47)
— Urias is 1-1, 6.00 in his last four starts.
— Dodgers are 13-4 in his starts.
— over 12-4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 10-5-2
— He gave up 7 runs in 2.1 IP, in one start vs Miami.

— Dodgers are 9-7 in their last 16 games.
— Dodgers are 10-8 in their last 18 road games.
— over 7-4 last 11 road games
— scored run in first inning: 24-87
— record in first 5 innings: 45-28-14

— Alcantara is 2-2, 2.67 in his last five starts.
— Marlins are 4-7 in his last 11 starts.
— under 8-0-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-4
— He gave up 8 runs in 1.1 IP vs the Dodgers May 14.

— Marlins are 9-12 in their last 21 games.
— Miami split its last ten home games.
— under 16-11-1 last 28 games
— scored run in first inning: 19-83
— record in first 5 innings: 32-36-15

Colorado (37-50) @ Arizona (25-63)
— Gonzalez is 0-1, 5.02 in his last four starts.
— Rockies are 3-9 in his starts.
— over 7-3 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 4-12
— record in first 5 innings: 3-8-1
— He is 0-0, 5.08 in two starts vs Arizona.

— Colorado is 12-9 in its last 21 games.
— Rockies are 31-17 at home, 6-33 on road.
— under 8-1 last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-87
— record in first 5 innings: 33-41-13

— Faria is 0-0, 5.63 in two starts.
— Rockies are 0-2 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0-1
— He gave up 4 runs in an inning, in two relief stints vs Colorado.

— Arizona lost 47 of its last 56 games, but won last two.
— Arizona is 5-11 in its last 16 home games.
— under 7-5 last 12 home games
— scored run in first inning: 15-88
— record in first 5 innings: 30-52-6

Pittsburgh (32-54) @ Mets (45-38)
— Brubaker is 0-4, 4.76 in his last five starts.
— Pirates are 2-10 in his last 12 starts.
— under 6-1-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 5-15
— record in first 5 innings: 4-10-1
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.

— Pirates won three of last four games.
— Pittsburgh is 1-4 in its last five road games.
— under 5-2 last seven
— scored run in first inning: 25-86
— record in first 5 innings: 26-48-12

— Walker is 3-1, 2.90 in his last five starts.
— Mets are 12-3 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 2-15
— record in first 5 innings: 10-4-1
— He gave up 4 runs in six IP, in one start vs Pittsburgh.

— Mets are 10-13 in their last 23 games.
— Mets are 20-8 in their last 28 home games.
— under 7-3 last ten home games.
— scored run in first inning: 20-83
— record in first 5 innings: 37-36-10

Philadelphia (41-43) @ Cubs (43-44)
— Eflin is 1-0, 2.74 in his last four starts.
— Phillies are 6-9 in his starts.
— under 5-3 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 5-15
— record in first 5 innings: 4-6-5
— He is 1-1, 2.81 in four starts vs Chicago.

— Phillies are 4-2 in their last six games.
— Phillies are 24-16 at home, 17-27 on road.
— over 4-0 last four road games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-84
— record in first 5 innings: 32-32-20

— Alzolay is 0-4, 11.72 in his last four starts.
— Cubs are 5-9 in his starts.
— under 4-1-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 2-14
— record in first 5 innings: 5-5-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Philly.

— Cubs lost 17 of last 22 games.
— Chicago is 12-6 in its last 18 home games.
— Under is 23-13 in their last 36 games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-87
— record in first 5 innings: 38-37-12

Cincinnati (45-41) @ Milwaukee (52-36)
— Mahle is 0-1, 5.40 in his last three starts.
— Reds are 11-6 in his starts.
— under 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 9-4-4
— He is 1-2, 5.04 in five starts vs Milwaukee.

— Cincinnati won six of its last seven games.
— Reds are 3-6 in last nine road games.
— over 6-3 last nine road games
— scored run in first inning: 23-86
— record in first 5 innings: 33-38-15

— Houser is 2-0, 3.48 in his last eight starts.
— Milwaukee is 10-5 in his starts.
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 7-15
— record in first 5 innings: 6-8-1
— He is 1-1, 6.75 in two starts vs Cincinnati this year.

— Brewers won 14 of their last 18 games.
— Milwaukee won their last six home games.
— under 3-0 last three games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-88
— record in first 5 innings: 42-28-18

Washington (42-43) @ San Diego (51-38)
— Scherzer is 2-0, 1.59 in his last three starts.
— Washington is 9-7 in his starts.
— under 11-5
— allowed run in first inning: 3-16
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-5
— He is 4-2, 2.13 in 11 starts vs San Diego.

— Washington lost five of its last seven games.
— Nationals are 7-3 in last ten road games.
— over 6-2 last eight road games
— scored run in first inning: 29-85
— record in first 5 innings: 35-31-19

— Darvish is 1-1, 3.91 in his last four starts.
— Padres are 13-4 in his starts.
— over 8-2 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-3-7
— He threw 8 shutout IP in one start vs Washington.

— Padres won 13 of their last 19 games.
— San Diego is 10-3 in its last 13 home games.
— over 15 of last 21 games
— scored run in first inning: 27-89
— record in first 5 innings: 35-39-15

AL games
Oakland (49-38) @ Houston (53-33)
— Montas is 2-5, 5.26 in his last nine starts.
— A’s are 2-7 in his last nine starts.
— over 10-7
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-7-3
— He is 5-4, 4.06 in 11 games (9 starts) vs Houston.

— A’s lost 12 of their last 17 games.
— Oakland is 3-8 in its last 11 road games.
— Under is 8-5 in their last 13 games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-88
— record in first 5 innings: 37-34-17

— McCullers is 3-0, 3.24 in his last three starts.
— Astros are 9-4 in his starts.
— over 3-1-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 2-13
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5-1
— He is 6-2, 3.66 in 11 starts vs Oakland.

— Astros won their last six games.
— Astros are 12-4 in their last 16 home games.
— over 13-9-1 last 23 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-87
— record in first 5 innings: 47-26-14

Bronx (44-41) @ Seattle (45-42)
— Montgomery is 0-2, 5.06 in his last five starts.
— New York is 10-5 in his starts.
— under 8-7
— allowed run in first inning: 6-15
— record in first 5 innings: 4-9-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Seattle.

— New York won its last three games.
— New York is 5-6 in its last 11 road games.
— over 18-8-1 last 27 games
— scored run in first inning: 24-85
— record in first 5 innings: 35-34-16

— Gilbert is 2-0, 3.24 in his last five starts.
— Mariners are 7-2 in his starts.
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 1-9
— record in first 5 innings: 5-3-1
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.

— Seattle won 14 of its last 20 games.
— Seattle is 9-5 in its last 14 home games.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 26-87
— record in first 5 innings: 40-40-7

Toronto (44-40) @ Baltimore (28-58)
— Manoah is 2-0, 3.19 in seven starts
— Toronto is 5-2 in his starts.
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-5
— He is 0-0, 5.79 in two starts vs Baltimore.

— Blue Jays won 11 of their last 16 games.
— Toronto won five of its last six road games.
— over 7-4 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 28-84
— record in first 5 innings: 40-33-11

— Akin is 0-4, 11.14 in his last five starts
— Orioles are 1-6 in his starts.
— over 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 0-5-2
— He gave up 6 runs in 4.1 IP vs Toronto June 26.

— Orioles split their last eight games.
— Baltimore is 15-31 on the road, 13-27 at home.
— over is 33-16-1 in their last 50 games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-86
— record in first 5 innings: 26-45-15

Kansas City (36-50) @ Cleveland (42-42)
— Duffy is 0-0, 5.79 in his last three starts.
— Royals are 5-5 in his starts.
— under 7-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-10
— record in first 5 innings: 5-3-2
— He is 1-1, 2.31 in two starts vs Cleveland this year.

— Royals lost 23 of their last 30 games.
— Royals are 0-9 in their last nine road games.
— under 4-1 last five games.
— scores run in first inning: 17-86
— record in first 5 innings: 31-43-12

— Plesac is 3-0, 3.40 in his last six starts.
— This is his first start since May 23.
— Indians are 5-5 in his starts.
— under 5-4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-10
— record in first 5 innings: 4-5-1
— He is 5-0, 1.83 in six starts vs Kansas City.

— Cleveland lost 12 of its last 14 games.
— Indians lost last six home games.
— over 32-17-1 last 50 games
— scores run in first inning: 29-84
— record in first 5 innings: 29-41-14

Detroit (40-47) @ Minnesota (35-50)
— Skubal is 2-0, 4.37 in his last four starts.
— Tigers are 6-1 in his last seven starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 7-15
— record in first 5 innings: 6-9
— He is 1-1, 3.20 in four starts vs Minnesota.

— Detroit is 11-8 its last 19 games.
— Detroit is 5-2 in its last seven road games.
— over 19-7-1 last 27 games
— scored run in first inning: 18-88
— record in first 5 innings: 3-6-2 last 11 on road.

— Happ is 1-1, 6.60 in his last three starts.
— Twins are 7-8 in his starts.
— over 12-0 last 12
— allowed run in first inning: 7-15
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7-2
— He is 3-2, 4.97 in 12 starts vs Detroit.

— Minnesota lost seven of its last nine games.
— Twins are 6-9 in last 15 home games.
— over 17-6-2 last 25 home games
— scores run in first inning: 32-85
— record in first 5 innings: 27-40-18

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-08-2021, 06:32 AM

Al Cimaglia:

July 8, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
Race 7

7-He'zz A Wise Sky
8-Fox valley Gemini

Race 8

1-Peter Moe (2-1)-
4-Super Pack Hanover (8/5)-
7-A And C Artist (20-1)-

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-08-2021, 06:33 AM

Gulfstream Stats: O'Connell Continues to Connect

July 8, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
We canvass the 1/ST BET statistical database each week to bring you up to speed with racing at Gulfstream Park. Check back weekly for statistical trends and tidbits for premier racing in South Florida. And be sure to support Gulfstream by betting with 1/ST BET, the official betting app of Gulfstream Park.

Headlines

A 3-day racing week, Friday-Sunday, awaits with a twilight 2 pm ET first post on Friday … The Rainbow 6 jackpot carryover will be $98,144 … Jockey Edwin Gonzalez suffered a hairline fracture in his leg after being thrown from a mount on July 3 … Jesus Team is expected to headline Sunday’s City of Diana overnight stakes at Gulfstream, his first start since the Dubai World Cup for last year’s Preakness third and Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile runner-up … Saturday’s feature is the Carry Back Stakes for 3-year-old sprinters.

Stronach 5

The Stronach 5 is on temporary hiatus with only 2 tracks from the 1/ST family in action.

1/ST BET Top Factors Last Week:

Horseplayers using the 1/ST BET app saw the most success with these 3 of the 52 handicapping filters for Gulfstream Park last week, each winning at a 36% or higher rate.

% Horses Beaten
Avg. Late Pace
Avg. Speed Last 3

Trends Last Week

-- Trainer Antonio Sano was 16: 5-1-4, going 3-for-3 with favorites. He posted a $1.53 ROI for every $1 bet, adding $15 and $18 scores with maiden dashers.

-- Trainer Alfred Cazares won with both starters, a couple of $9 claiming winners on the main track around 1 turn.

-- Trainer Terri Pompay posted a 6: 2-0-2 mark with a $14 winner and 10-1 shot on the board.

-- Trainer Kathleen O’Connell has gone 6-13 over the past 2 weeks with $9 and $12 winners sprinkled in.

-- Jockey Emisael Jaramillo dominated at 18: 7-1-3, including 4: 3-1-0 aboard favorites. A $21 winner helped bump his ROI to $1.58 for every $1 bet.

-- Jockey Jose Rios made the most of limited amounts at 8: 4-0-0. All 4 winners were dirt sprinters at 6 furlongs or less.

-- Favorites hit 44% last week and are 45% over the past 2 weeks.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-08-2021, 06:34 AM

Jeff Siegel's Primed and Ready List (July 8, 2021)

July 8, 2021
Updated every Wednesday, the Primed and Ready List identifies five horses (listed alphabetically) that have recorded an outstanding workout within the past seven days and appear ready for a top performance. Workouts originate from Southern California (Santa Anita), New York (Belmont Park) and Palm Meadows (South Florida) and can be viewed by clicking the link included in the description or at xbtv.com. It is suggested that stable mail is utilized to alert when and where each horse is entered to race.
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CURIOUS INJI - (J. Mullins) July 4, 2021, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:01.3h
View Workout

Under wraps every step of the way in solo training track drill, final half mile in :24.1 and :48.4, plenty left late. Unplaced in three career starts, most recently in a maiden claiming miler (stumbled badly at the start), but the daughter of Misremembered surely appears capable of better and seems likely to surface in a winnable spot early in the Del Mar season.
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HIGHESTDISTINCTION - (T. Proctor) - July 4, 2021, Palm Meadows, 6f, 1:13.2b
View Workout

Sharp, eager, and strong through the lane in solo six furlong main track drill while finishing with plenty left, final quarter mile in :24 and small change, mostly on his own. Lightly raced, won his last pair (most recently at Delaware Park) on dirt with rising speed figures but has a pedigree that suggests he’ll handle grass as well. Remains on the upgrade.
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LADY MYSTIFY - (P. Eurton) July 4, 2021, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00h
View Workout

Never asked in sharp five furlong main track drill, final three furlongs in :11.2 and :35.3, plenty left late. Had nothing behind her when graduating by 18 lengths last time out and will get tested on the raise, but the daughter of Bernardini seems to be made of the stuff. Ready to step forward again.
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SEMPER FIDELIS - (S. Joseph, Jr.) July 3, 2021, Palm Meadows, 4f, :47.1h
View Workout

Barn tends to let them roll in the a.m., but this lightly-raced son of Fast Anna was under cruise control throughout in sharp half mile main track drill, final three furlongs in :35 flat. Been away since December but appears to be returning better than he left and should be hard to beat vs. older maiden special weight foes.
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WIT - (T. Pletcher) July 4, 2021, Belmont Park, 5f, 1:01.2b TT
View Workout

In company inside Lady Valentine (same time) in training track drill, breaking off a length in front and then finishing a similar margin ahead at the wire, some restraint early and then coasting through the lane (galloped out well, too) while clearly best. Practical Joke juvenile won at first asking impressively and seems likely to be seen in stakes company at Saratoga early in the season.
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**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-08-2021, 06:36 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Arlington - Race #5

#6 Hoodwink	She's the only other speed outside of the likely heavy chalk, and she might be just quick enough to keep up with that one early. Riser is a reasonable alternative.
#4 Backside Beauty	She'll be a deserving short price with some dangerous pace on the class drop, but she's not really heads and shoulders above some of these right now. Respect her, but I'll try to beat her.
#3 Ozette	She has been no match for Backside Beauty in recent starts, and it's not like there is a ton of pace in here tonight that might give her a better setup to try and turn the tables on that one. Underneath.
Race Summary	Hoodwink and Backside Beauty look like the only real speed in here, and Hoodwink draws outside of 'Beauty with a great speed rider up. Prompt and finish?

Arlington - Race #6

#5 Tough to Tame	He has an experience edge on most of these, and the Davis barn is one of the rare non-Rivelli teams to land a race like this in the last few years. He caught a tough winner last out and can be a big threat with any move forward. Playable price with a Rivelli signed on?
#7 Richie's Palace	This team has dominated short 2yo maiden sprints like this in recent years, striking at 42% (with a negative ROI -- they're always bet). Most of the winners come in looking a little sharper on the worktab than this guy does, so he might be the right kind of guy to stand against.
#8 Mr Creed	Walsh barn rarely starts this kind, but she seems to be working forwardly enough ahead of this debut and can probably be in the picture with these.
Race Summary	Outside of the Rivelli barn, there isn't a ton of short 2yo firepower in here, and I'm not sold that Richie's Palace fits the mold of a debut winner from that barn. Top choice Tough to Tame might even vie for favoritism, but the hope is Rivelli's presence keeps the price fair.

Arlington - Race #8

#3 New Year Surprise	Impossible to trust a wildly inconsistent barn, but I'm willing to hope this guy gets back to his debut run today while moving back to the turf. He made a very early move into what pace there was in that race, and he was passed late by the horses who waited a bit longer. For a better barn he'd be best bet material, but he'll be very prominent on my plays all the same.
#6 Eye of the Cat	He's the one to beat on form, but I'm not sure he has a ton of appeal at what might be a price that's slightly too short. Still, he moved into the splits and stayed on well in the turf debut and can be tough with something similar.
#2 Coni's Coup	This team has done some of the better work in similar races in recent years, and he should debut at a fair price with some mild works under his belt.
Race Summary	New Year Surprise is very tough to trust, but he has some intriguing upside on the move back to the turf. Tavares rode one of the barn's two winners so far this meet, and maybe he gets this guy home today.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-08-2021, 06:37 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #3

#4 EMERALD WINGS	Needed one race, might not need another to graduate.
#7 FULL OF MUSCLES	Check-getter as 2yo, turned heads with qualifying romp.
#1 JMR NIKMOS	Has speed, rail and Filion, held for minor share in 3 of last 4 starts.
Race Summary	Emerald Wings secured 3-deep, rail position with a good early burst from post 9, stayed inside while the outer flow developed, then finished willingly between rivals late. Expecting a move forward in his second start, so play 4-1 and 4-7 exactas.

Harrah's Philadelphia - Race #6

#3 JOE EXOTIC	Broke stride as fave, seeks duplicate of race two back.
#4 DRAVEN HANOVER	Tries to end recent bout with seconditis.
#6 SPEED GOO ROO	Faded in faster division of split race, three thirds prior.
Race Summary	Joe Exotic, second to a 3-to-5 runaway two starts ago, broke stride as the favorite in a follow-up try on a sloppy track. He's 0-22 but he can bounce back at a better price in a weak field at this level. Play 3-4 and 3-6 exactas.

Yonkers - Race #1

#2 FREE EXCHANGE	Improved second start back, faces better, worth a longshot stab.
#5 SCANDALICIOUS	Set fast pace to the stretch before tiring as the favorite at this level.
#1 ITS MESMERISE N	Invader seeks third straight victory on the class hike, draws rail.
Race Summary	Free Exchange steps up in class with a 1-31 record since 2020, but his last start was good enough to win here at a good price. He followed the pocket-pulling winner after the field raced single file for 3/4s of a mile and finished a clear second. 2-1 and 2-5 exactas.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-08-2021, 06:37 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Indiana Grand - Race #4

#6 Justa Simple Girl	Turned over a new leaf last time when she ran well without the lead; she stayed for second and can win it if she runs the same kind of race.
#2 Everyotherwon	Can get to the front end and she comes out of a two-turn race; can be tough all the way.
#7 Cecilia's Hope	Put it all together and opened a long lead last time and held on; will be a factor from the beginning.
Race Summary	Justa Simple Girl can opt for the perfect trip just off the leaders and is in a good spot to finish well and get it done.

Indiana Grand - Race #7

#11 Silky Warrior	Was claimed for $75K by the Hiles stable last out and was second two races back; has a good chance to close well vs. these.
#6 Bernadette the Jet	Went long for the first time in her latest and held on well for second; can be a factor throughout this one.
#5 Fayette Blue	Held on for third at Keeneland three races back and will be tough if she runs back to that one.
Race Summary	Silky Warrior gets a good pace set up and can close strongly in this spot.

Indiana Grand - Race #9

#7 Miss Tourista	Ran fourth last out Belmont and moves over to the Brisset barn; hasn't run a bad one in five trips and can prevail here.
#5 My Candy Girl	Ran an even third in a starter allowance here and could improve in her second over the track.
#2 Elke Do Jaguarete	Broke her maiden at Woodbine last fall and does her best from well back; can finish with interest.
Race Summary	Miss Tourista has performed well in some good races and lands in a perfect spot.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-08-2021, 11:00 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Sam Houston Race Park

Sam Houston Race Park - Race 9	WPS / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double (Races 9-10)
Claiming $20,000 • 300 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 75 • Purse: $18,000 • Post: 10:38
QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR TWO YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * A PEACHY SECRET: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. EC YETI: Horse's win percentage at today's dista nce(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). BP CERTIFIED TALES: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibas e Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. GHETO COWBOY: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
9	A PEACHY SECRET	5/2	4/1
8	EC YETI	10/1	5/1
2	BP CERTIFIED TALES	9/2	9/1
6	GHETO COWBOY	6/1	9/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	POOLIE	1	15/1	Average/Trouble-prone	45	46	0.0	0.0	0.0
2	BP CERTIFIED TALES	2	9/2	Average	68	63	4.9	0.0	0.0
3	IM A FANCY BLUE	3	8/1	Average	56	57	0.0	0.0	0.0
4	SURVIVING BELL	4	20/1	Fast	62	41	0.0	0.0	0.0
5	VALIANT DADDY	5	12/1	Fast/Trouble-prone	60	55	0.0	0.0	0.0
6	GHETO COWBOY	6	6/1	Average	61	67	4.6	0.0	0.0
7	JESS A SHY BOY	7	20/1	Average	0	0	4.7	0.0	0.0
8	EC YETI	8	10/1	Average	74	67	4.6	0.0	0.0
9	A PEACHY SECRET	9	5/2	Average	73	73	4.4	0.0	0.0
10	PH ALL IN	10	7/2	Slow/Trouble-prone	57	57	8.3	0.0	0.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-08-2021, 11:14 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Indiana Downs

Indiana Downs - Race 9	Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / 50 Cent Trifecta / Superfecta 10 Cent Superfecta / 10 Cent Grand High 5 (Pentafecta)
Optional Claiming $18,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 89 • Purse: $36,000 • Post: 7:33P
(PLUS UP TO 40% INDIANA STATE BRED SUPPLEMENT) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, STATE BRED OR INDIANA BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $18,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JUNE 8 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $18,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES). IF THIS RACE IS TAKEN OFF THE TURF, IT WILL BE RUN AT 1 MILE AND 1/16 ON THE MAIN TRACK.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. MY CANDY GIRL is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MY CANDY GIRL: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. MISS TOURISTA: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. JORDAN'S KITTEN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
5	MY CANDY GIRL	3/1	5/2
7	MISS TOURISTA	5/2	9/1
10	JORDAN'S KITTEN	10/1	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	MY CANDY GIRL	5	3/1	Front-runner	93	94	102.0	87.0	78.0
6	NOTHINGBUTFLOWERS	6	30/1	Front-runner	87	77	92.1	57.7	37.2
13	ARIAN RAE	13	30/1	Front-runner	79	66	78.2	79.2	58.2
8	DISCREET KITTY	8	12/1	Front-runner	88	77	60.0	70.4	49.4
4	FIRESIDE KITTEN	4	12/1	Stalker	87	75	75.6	80.8	70.3
1	SISTER GEMA	1	30/1	Stalker	80	79	74.3	67.5	46.5
11	YA BEAUTY (GB)	11	8/1	Alternator/Stalker	76	83	74.8	76.3	68.8
12	NUTCRACKER BALLET	12	15/1	Trailer	82	77	71.6	68.7	52.7
7	MISS TOURISTA	7	5/2	Trailer	89	87	61.8	81.2	72.7
10	JORDAN'S KITTEN	10	10/1	Trailer	88	84	57.0	78.4	71.4
2	ELKE DO JAGUARETE (BRZ)	2	10/1	Alternator/Trailer	80	85	77.8	80.2	65.2
14	TOLERATION	14	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	89	83	85.3	67.3	40.8
9	FOREVERNOA	9	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	89	77	78.2	72.8	66.8
3	NATIVE CHARM	3	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	80	81	74.5	68.1	51.6

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-08-2021, 11:15 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Emerald Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $7040 Class Rating: 73

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2021 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 EDDIE AND THE KING 5/1
# 2 SHIFTY DANCER 9/5
# 6 ON THE WINGS OF 9/2

EDDIE AND THE KING looks formidable to best this field. Is worth looking at and may be a wager - strong speed figures (77 average) at today's distance and surface recently. His 71 average has this gelding with among the most respectable speed figures for this race. Cruz will probably be able to get this gelding to break out quickly for this event. SHIFTY DANCER - Demonstrates the look of a money-making play, averaging a solid 73 Equibase Speed Fig which is one of the strongest in this field. Has quite good early pace and ought to fare admirably against this group. ON THE WINGS OF - Must be given consideration given the class of races run lately. Has performed soundly lately in route races, posting a nifty 66 avg Equibase Speed Figure.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-08-2021, 11:16 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at North Dakota Horse Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Allowance - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $6000 Class Rating: 76

QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR CERTIFIED NORTH DAKOTA BRED THREE YEARS OLD AND OLDER. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 THERE HE IS GONE 8/5
# 4 RAMBLIN V EIGHT 5/2
# 2 TEXAS EYE 8/1

I think THERE HE IS GONE is a formidable choice. Has been running quite well lately and will probably be up near the front end early on. Could beat this group given the 75 Equibase speed fig earned in his last outing. Overall the speed figures of this horse look quite good in this outing. RAMBLIN V EIGHT - Boasts strong speed figures on average overall when matched with the rest of this field. This animal is highly ranked this group of horses in earnings per start at the distance/surface. TEXAS EYE - Have to consider solely on class, with some of the strongest class numbers of this field. He has earned formidable figs under today's conditions and will most likely fare well against this field.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-08-2021, 11:23 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Thistledown - Race #1 - Post: 12:50pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,100 Class Rating: 84

Rating:

#2 SOUTHERN SPIRIT (ML=5/1)

SOUTHERN SPIRIT - Gelding's finish positions keep getting better with each race. Maybe today's the day. I think this gelding is very fit right now. I like the fact that Rivera brings him back to a race so quickly. Recent speed figures show strong pattern of improvement. Have to give this gelding a good chance. Ran a nice race last out within the last month.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 SMOKIN HOT ENERGY (ML=2/1), #1 POWER SONG (ML=3/1), #4 LOVEATTURKEYCLUB (ML=7/2),

SMOKIN HOT ENERGY - I don't normally play a probable favorite that hasn't been to the track in the last 3 weeks. There may be a set back this time around, after the strong exertion in the last race. POWER SONG - The speed fig in the last race doesn't fit very well in this event when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's contest. Mark this entrant as a likely underpriced equine. LOVEATTURKEYCLUB - Last ran on Jun 5th at Thistledown, finishing sixth. Not likely to advance off of that outing in today's race.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#2 SOUTHERN SPIRIT is the play if we get odds of 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Skip
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-08-2021, 11:24 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Charles Town - Race #2 - Post: 7:30pm - Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,700 Class Rating: 72

Rating:

#4 PEARLY QUEEN (ML=9/5)

PEARLY QUEEN - Many positive 'vibrations' associated with this horse and her stable.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 ORTINOLA (ML=8/5), #7 DEVILISH BEAUTY (ML=2/1),

ORTINOLA - I don't normally play a morning-line choice that hasn't been to the track in the last few weeks. Hasn't finished in the money in any short distance races lately. Improbable to see her doing it this time around either. DEVILISH BEAUTY - Doubtful for this thoroughbred to make a winning move with no recent success in a sprint affair. This horse doesn't have a conquering mental state. Repeatedly finishes second or third.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Putting our cash on #4 PEARLY QUEEN to win. Have to have odds of at least 1/1 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:	4 with 6
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-08-2021, 11:45 AM

Rk	Sports Services	Free Sports Picks	Place A Bet
1.	NSA(The Legend)	MLB – Diamondbacks -130	Line @ Bovada
2.	Gameday Network	MLB – Mets -1.5	Line @ Bovada
3.	Winning Big Sports	MLB – Phillies +100	Line @ MyBookie
4.	VegasSI.com	MLB – Nationals +130	Line @ Bovada
5.	Sports Action 365	MLB – Yankees -130	Line @ GT Bets
6.	Vegas Line Crushers	NBA – Suns -5	Line @ GT Bets
7.	NSA(Gerry “Big Cat” Andino)	NBA – Suns under 220.5	Line @ Bovada
8.	Lou Panelli	MLB – Blue Jays -1.5	Line @ Bovada
9.	VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club	MLB – Twins over 9.5	Line @ GT Bets
10.	William E. Stockton	MLB – Indians -130	Line @ MyBookie
11.	Vincent Pioli	NBA – Suns -5	Line @ Bovada
12.	Steve “Scoop” Kendall	NBA – Suns under 220.5	Line @ Bovada
13.	SCORE	MLB – Blue Jays -1.5	Line @ GT Bets
14.	East Coast Line Movers	MLB – Astros -165	Line @ MyBookie
15.	Tony Campone	MLB – Mets -1.5	Line @ Bovada
16.	Chicago Sports Group	MLB – Dodgers -155	Line @ Bovada
17.	Hollywood Sportsline	NBA – Suns -5	Line @ Bovada
18.	VIP Action	NBA – Suns under 220.5	Line @ GT Bets
19.	South Beach Sports	MLB – Yankees -130	Line @ Bovada
20.	Las Vegas Sports Commission	MLB – Mets -1.5	Line @ Bovada
21.	NY Players Club	MLB – Dodgers -155	Line @ GT Bets
22.	Fred Callahan	NBA – Suns -5	Line @ Bovada
23.	Las Vegas Private CEO Club	NBA – Suns under 220.5	Line @ MyBookie
24.	Michigan Sports	MLB – Phillies +100	Line @ GT Bets
25.	National Consensus Report	MLB – Nationals +130	Line @ Bovada

Thursday 7/8/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Thursday 7/8/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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