Thursday 7/8/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369829

    #46
    Jimmy Boyd

    Jul 08 '21, 8:10 PM in 2h
    MLB | Tigers vs Twins
    Play on: Tigers +115 at Mirage

    1* Free Pick on Tigers +115
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369829

      #47
      Mike Williams

      Jul 08 '21, 9:05 PM in 3h
      NBA | Bucks vs Suns
      Play on: Suns -5 -102 at pinnacle

      1* on Suns -5 -102
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369829

        #48
        Ryan Worden

        Jul 08 '21, 9:05 PM in 3h
        NBA | Bucks vs Suns
        Play on: UNDER 219½ -103

        In series openers I usually lean Over especially in the later rounds. There's a bit of relief by both teams to make the next round and for the only time in the series there's not much pressure. Teams play fast and loose feeling each other out and the defense suffers. That all changes in game 2.
        Now there is pressure on both teams. Game 1 will mean nothing to Milwaukee if they can snag game 2 and go back home 1-1 but they can not afford to lose again. The Suns are happy with Game 1 but they do not want to get on a plane heading to hostile territory coming off a loss. Also, the coaches have spent two nights dissecting defensive deficiencies and will make adjustments on rotations. Both teams will have a better defensive gameplan from the jump in Game 2 therefore the offenses should slow down a little.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369829

          #49
          Info Plays

          Jul 08 '21, 9:10 PM in 3h
          MLB | Nationals vs Padres
          Play on: Nationals +130 at linepros

          1* FREE INFO PLAY on Nationals +130
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369829

            #50
            Cappers Access

            Thur (NBA) Bucks
            Thur (MLB) Rockies
            Thur (MLB) Phillies
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369829

              #51
              Tommy King Wins MLB DETROIT TIGERS +110 0 1 -130
              Mikey Money No pick yet 0 1 -135
              Silvas Sports No pick yet 0 1 -155
              Tys Terrific Tips MLB SAN DIEGO PADRES ‑135 1 2 -175
              Top Shelf Sports Pick No pick yet 0 1 -180
              The Money Team Wins Sports MLB HOUSTON ASTROS ‑170 0 2 -200
              Hottie4Sports MLB LOS ANGELES DODGERS ‑155 0 3 -300
              FURBOOKIE MLB HOUSTON ASTROS ‑1.5
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369829

                #52
                1. Top Rank Sports Picks MLB Cleveland -135 2-1 (+85) 3-0 (+300)
                2. The Spot Player MLB Dodgers -155 0-3 (-380) 4-1 (+300)
                3. Doc's Picks NBA Milwaukee +5 2-1 (+105) 5-2 (+280)
                4. Profit On Sports MLB Yankees -135 2-0 (+200) 4-2 (+190)
                5. Primetime Sports Picks MLB Toronto -1.5 -140 1-2 (-115) 4-2 (+160)
                6. Elite Sports Picks NBA Phoenix over 220 1-2 (-145) 4-3 (+80)
                7. Insider Sports Report MLB Padres under 7 2-0 (+205) 4-3 (+65)
                8. Joe Wiz 2-1 (+80) 3-2 (+50)
                9. National Sports Service MLB Detroit +105 0-2 (-210) 3-3 (-10)
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369829

                  #53
                  Jay McNeil

                  Free play for Thursday comes out of the American League Central as I think we see some runs scored in your Tigers-Twins first of four from Target Field with Tarik Skubal and JA Happ on the mound.

                  Detroit enters this series on a 6-1-1 Over run in their last 8 games played, while Minnesota has played Overs in 5 of their last 9 games.

                  These teams played a short 2 game set in early May at Comerica Park and both games landed Over. That includes a 7-3 final in which Skubal was on the wrong side of the won/loss ledger.

                  The Over is 5-3-1 for the last 9 meetings between the clubs dating back to last season.

                  For the season, Skubal is 9-5-1 Over the total in his 15 season starts, while Happ is 11-3-1 Over the total for his 15 season starts this year.

                  Sticks with the trends that point towards a series opening Over.

                  Tigers-Twins Over.

                  3* DETROIT-MINNESOTA OVER
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369829

                    #54
                    Bryan Leonard

                    Event: (967) Toronto Blue Jays at (968) Baltimore Orioles
                    Sport/League: MLB (See all free MLB picks)

                    Date/Time: July 8, 2021 7PM EDT
                    Play: Toronto Blue Jays -204 A Manoah (RHP), K Akin (LHP) Must Start
                    967 Toronto at Baltimore
                    Listed Manoah & Akin
                    It's not often that we will recommend a play of a favorite of this size, but we feel it's warranted. The Jays have a whopping 27% batting advantage when looking at the wRC+ numbers on the season and past 30 days.
                    Manoah has been outstanding since his promotion, with every Statcast category being good to excellent. Keegan Akin not so much. He's below average across the board, with an 8.6 BB% being his best category at league average. Akin has faced the Blue Jays three times in his young career with an average game score of 40. Keep in mind league average is 50.
                    Lay it with the Blue Jays!
                    PLAY TORONTO
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369829

                      #55
                      Dwayne Bryant

                      Event: (957) Philadelphia Phillies at (958) Chicago Cubs

                      Sport/League: MLB

                      Date/Time: July 8, 2021 8PM EDT
                      Play: Total Under 7.5 (-125) Z Eflin (RHP), A Alzolay (RHP) Must Start
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369829

                        #56
                        Steve Merril

                        Event: (957) Philadelphia Phillies at (958) Chicago Cubs
                        Sport/League: MLB

                        Date/Time: July 8, 2021 8PM EDT
                        Play: Chicago Cubs -113 Z Eflin (RHP), A Alzolay (RHP) Must Start
                        -Cubs snapped 11-game losing streak last night; trending up now
                        -Chicago offense has been heating up; 18 runs on 24 hits L2 games
                        -Philadelphia big offense with wind blowing out Mon/Tue; misleading
                        -Phillies struggled last night with 3 runs on six hits; regressing now
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369829

                          #57
                          Dave Cokin

                          Event: (971) Detroit Tigers at (972) Minnesota Twins
                          Sport/League: MLB

                          Date/Time: July 8, 2021 8PM EDT
                          Play: 1H Detroit Tigers -105 T Skubal (LHP), J Happ (LHP) Must Start
                          Tarik Skubal comes into this game in clearly better form than J.A. Happ. The Tigers lefty has won his last four decisions, and the Tigers have won each of his last four starts and are 6-1 in his last seven outings. Happ has been struggling badly. He's got the fifth worst WAR among all starting pitchers over the last month, and has in fact been pretty horrible since a decent April. Happ's OPS allowed was 1.047 in June and his first July start was terrible. Detroit is also playing better ball than Minnesota and the Twins are off what might be called a last hurrah series with the White Sox, which didn't go well. Pretty clear the Twins will be dealing at the deadline and that's never good for team chemistry. Decent adjustment by the oddsmakers in terms of prices on the improving Detroit entry when Mize or Skubal throws. But even in the even money range, I see the data indicating okay value on the visitors and I like the pitching matchup. Tigers to win the F5.
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369829

                            #58
                            Tony Finn

                            Event: (503) Milwaukee Bucks at (504) Phoenix Suns
                            Sport/League: NBA

                            Date/Time: July 8, 2021 9PM EDT
                            Play: Ayton OVER 30.5 pts/rebounds/assists
                            When Ayton was not quite midway through his rookie season, still 20 years old, a writer at the blog “Valley of the Suns” declared, “Deandre Ayton was not the right pick for the Phoenix Suns at first overall” because he was modern-day NBA enough. Ayton was averaging 15.5 points and 10 rebounds at the time.
                            Now 17 games into his first NBA Playoffs run, the 7-footer announced his entry into the Finals with 22 points and 19 rebounds. He shot 8-of-10 from the field and 6-of-6 from the foul line. In addition, he grabbed 17 defensive rebounds – that’s more than a third of all the shots the Bucks missed.
                            With Sarge out for the rest of the postseason with a knee injury, Ayton will have every chance/opportunity to score 30, grab 20 rebounds, and even dime dish an assist or two from the low spot on the block and in the restricted area.
                            Ayton OVER 30.5 pts/rebounds/assists combined
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369829

                              #59
                              The Prez

                              Event: (961) Washington Nationals at (962) San Diego Padres
                              Sport/League: MLB

                              Date/Time: July 8, 2021 9PM EDT
                              Play: San Diego Padres -142 M Scherzer (RHP), Y Darvish (RHP) Must Start
                              Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres -142, 7

                              The Washington Nationals are in Southern California for a Thursday night matchup against the San Diego Padres. The Nats give the ball to their ace Max Scherzer to oppose the Padres' No #1 Yu Darvish in the fourth and final contest of the four-game series.

                              Scherzer settled for a no-decision in his last turn on Friday despite holding the Dodgers to one run on four hits that included one walk with eight strikeouts over six innings. Scherzer was his usual dominant self, limiting the opposition to one earned run or less for the 11th time in 16 starts this year.

                              Darvish failed to earn a quality start in his first July turn. The Padres' right-hander surrendered four runs on six hits with one walk and eight strikeouts in only his third loss of the 2021 campaign. The Free Pick is a play on Darvish and his 2.65 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 10.85 K/9, and the San Diego bats.
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369829

                                #60
                                Gianni the Greek

                                Event: (961) Washington Nationals at (962) San Diego Padres
                                Sport/League: MLB

                                Date/Time: July 8, 2021 9PM EDT
                                Play: 1H Washington Nationals +105 M Scherzer (RHP), Y Darvish (RHP) Must Start
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