Friday 7/23/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 372308

    #16
    Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Monmouth Park



    07/23/21, MTH, Race 6, 7.30 ET
    07/23/21,MTH,6,6F [Dirt] 1:07:02 CLAIMING. Purse $23,000. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE JANUARY 23 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since May 23 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $5,000 (Races Where Entered For $4,000 Or Less Not Considered In Eligibility).
    . . . .
    Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
    After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
    100.0000 7 Nick the Cardshark 4/1 Juarez N Taylor Joseph FC 123 43.09 1.42/$1
    098.6985 4 Kosciuszko 3/2 Jimenez A David Carlos A. SE 247 34.41 1.18/$1
    097.0732 6 It's a Risk 6/1 Montalvo C Forde Jason 247 34.41 1.18/$1
    096.9918 5 Karen's Cove 6/1 Mitchell R Crichton Rohan 345 31.30 1.10/$1
    094.7703 2 Nicole Munnings 10/1 Panaijo J Russo Victor 247 34.41 1.18/$1
    094.5868 8 Grimgrinnin' Ghost(b-) 6/1 Rivera. Jr. L R Russo Victor 154 35.71 1.16/$1
    094.4051 3 Professor Snape 5/1 Ferrer J C Delgado Jose H. JTW 247 34.41 1.18/$1
    092.4449 1 Jersey Joe B 15/1 Hernandez C J Ramirez Silvino L 247 34.41 1.18/$1
    Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.61, ROI 1.03/$1
    Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.3015
    [Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
    [All Categories] Best Closer
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 372308

      #17
      Red Dog Sports

      Jul 23 '21, 11:30 AM in 52m
      Soccer | UTA Arad vs Arges
      Play on: Draw +206 at BetVegas

      draw +206
      UTA Arad 1
      Arges 1
      The free soccer play takes place on Friday. I think we see a 1-1 score.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 372308

        #18
        Jack Jones

        Jul 23 '21, 2:20 PM in 3h
        MLB | Diamondbacks vs Cubs
        Play on: Cubs -133 at pinnacle

        Jack's Free Pick Friday: Chicago Cubs -133
        The Chicago Cubs will be highly motivated to bounce back after losing three out of four to the Cardinals last series. Now they get to face the team with the worst record in baseball in the Arizona Diamondbacks (30-68) to get back on track.
        The Diamondbacks are starting to get some respect from oddsmakers after sweeping the lowly Pittsburgh Pirates at home last series. But the Diamondbacks are just 11-40 in their last 51 road games and have been a disaster on the road all season.
        The Cubs are 49-22 in their last 71 home games following a road trip of seven or more days. Zach Davies is 4-2 with a 3.49 ERA and 1.241 WHIP in seven career starts against Arizona, including 1-0 with a 1.74 ERA in his last two starts against them.
        Chicago is 6-0 in home games against NL West opponents this season. The Diamondbacks are 8-50 in their last 58 games as underdogs. Arizona is 1-6 in its last seven games following an off day. Bet the Cubs Friday.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 372308

          #19
          ASA

          Jul 23 '21, 2:20 PM in 3h
          MLB | ARI vs CHC
          Play on: OVER 10 -113

          #951/952 ASA FREE PLAY ON OVER 10 Runs – Arizona Diamondbacks @ Chicago Cubs, Friday at 2:20 PM ET – South wind at Wrigley Field this afternoon will not be a strong wind but is still a help to the hitters on a warm summer day in Chicago. The ball should carry well and Arizona's confidence is growing at the plate as they enter this series on a 4-game winning streak. The Cubs are a better hitting team when at home and have averaged scoring 5 runs per game here this season. The Diamondbacks have scored an average of 7 runs per game during their 4-game win streak. Arizona's games have gone over the total in 4 of Zac Gallen's 5 road starts this season. Zach Davies has a 1.79 WHIP last 3 starts and Gallen has a 1.78 WHIP last 3 starts so their ERA's during this recent stretch could easily be much higher. Each team should have plenty of opportunities here based on this WHIP number and this time they are cashed in with greater frequency. One could argue that this total could easily be higher given the hitter-friendly conditions at Wrigley as well as the above relating to the starting pitchers in this one. Our computer math model is projecting a very high-scoring game with at least a dozen runs scored and we could not agree more! Bet the OVER
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 372308

            #20
            Scott Rickenbach

            Jul 23 '21, 2:20 PM in 3h
            MLB | Diamondbacks vs Cubs
            Play on: Cubs -133 at pinnacle

            Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach MLB Rotation #952 Friday Free Pick Chicago Cubs Money Line -133 vs Arizona Diamondbacks @ 2:20 ET - I am aware of the fact that the Diamondbacks have won 4 straight games but all those victories were at home. Now they are on the road where they are 11-38 on the season! The Cubs are off back to back losses but those were on the road. Now Chicago is at home where they are 28-17 on the season. This line opened up in the -150 range and has now dropped to the -130 range in the overnight hours heading into Friday. This is simply too much line value on the home team regardless of the pitching match-up. Even if you say Gallen versus Davies is an even match-up there is nothing even about these two bullpens. Arizona's pen has a 5.92 ERA in road games this season and Chicago's pen has a 3.14 ERA in home games this season. The Cubs are worth a look at a very fair price here in afternoon action Friday. Free Pick CHICAGO CUBS -133
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 372308

              #21
              Doc's Sports

              Jul 23 '21, 2:20 PM in 3h
              MLB | ARI vs CHC
              Play on: OVER 10½ -120

              Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take 952 CHICAGO CUBS/ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS OVER(2:20pm E, Friday, July 23) The Cubs may be trading everyone off, but they still have hitters that can hit pop flies and that is about all you need in late July, to get it out of the park and onto Waveland Ave. Arizona's players have nothing to play for, except scoring a lot of runs and showing off for upper management in hopes of a better contract. The runs come-a-plenty at Wrigley, this time of year. Take Over the Total. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend card featuring plays in baseball, horse racing, and Olympics.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 372308

                #22
                Paul Leiner

                Three MLB picks 7/23" Top play Cardinals hit yesterday. Here's some friday action.

                100* Angels -140
                100* Cubs -135
                100* Over 8.5 Astros/Rangers
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 372308

                  #23
                  951ARIZONA -952 CHICAGO CUBS
                  ARIZONA is 5-19 SU (-17.6 Units) in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current season.

                  953ATLANTA -954 PHILADELPHIA
                  ATLANTA is 35-53 SU (-20.4 Units) vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.

                  955SAN DIEGO -956 MIAMI
                  SAN DIEGO is 21-35 SU (-16.1 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the current season.

                  957ST LOUIS -958 CINCINNATI
                  CINCINNATI is 0-11 SU (-12.1 Units) in home games vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season in the current season.

                  959PITTSBURGH -960 SAN FRANCISCO
                  SAN FRANCISCO is 37-15 SU (25.3 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current season.

                  961COLORADO -962 LA DODGERS
                  COLORADO is 4-14 SU (-16.4 Units) in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the current season.

                  963NY YANKEES -964 BOSTON
                  NY YANKEES are 12-23 SU (-14.8 Units) in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the current season.

                  965TAMPA BAY -966 CLEVELAND
                  TAMPA BAY is 30-12 SU (19 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.

                  967LA ANGELS -968 MINNESOTA
                  MINNESOTA is 26-53 SU (-35 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

                  969TEXAS -970 HOUSTON
                  TEXAS are 13-28 SU (-20.8 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 372308

                    #24
                    MLB
                    Dunkel

                    Friday, July 23


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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 372308

                      #25
                      MLB

                      Friday, July 23


                      Trend Report

                      Arizona @ Chi Cubs
                      Arizona
                      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
                      Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
                      Chi Cubs
                      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games when playing at home against Arizona
                      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games at home

                      Washington @ Baltimore
                      Washington
                      Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
                      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Baltimore
                      Baltimore
                      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games at home
                      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing Washington

                      Atlanta @ Philadelphia
                      Atlanta
                      Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
                      Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
                      Philadelphia
                      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
                      Philadelphia is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Atlanta

                      NY Yankees @ Boston
                      NY Yankees
                      NY Yankees is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
                      NY Yankees is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
                      Boston
                      Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
                      Boston is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home

                      St. Louis @ Cincinnati
                      St. Louis
                      The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
                      St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
                      Cincinnati
                      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis
                      Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis

                      Tampa Bay @ Cleveland
                      Tampa Bay
                      Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
                      Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
                      Cleveland
                      Cleveland is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
                      Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

                      San Diego @ Miami
                      San Diego
                      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
                      San Diego is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
                      Miami
                      Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Diego
                      Miami is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against San Diego

                      Toronto @ NY Mets
                      Toronto
                      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
                      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
                      NY Mets
                      NY Mets is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Toronto
                      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Mets's last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto

                      Texas @ Houston
                      Texas
                      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
                      The total has gone OVER in 7 of Texas's last 8 games when playing Houston
                      Houston
                      Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Texas
                      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against Texas

                      Detroit @ Kansas City
                      Detroit
                      Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
                      Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                      Kansas City
                      The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Kansas City's last 22 games when playing Detroit
                      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing Detroit

                      Chi White Sox @ Milwaukee
                      Chi White Sox
                      Chi White Sox is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
                      Chi White Sox is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                      Milwaukee
                      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games at home
                      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox

                      LA Angels @ Minnesota
                      LA Angels
                      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 5 games on the road
                      LA Angels is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
                      Minnesota
                      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing LA Angels
                      Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

                      Pittsburgh @ San Francisco
                      Pittsburgh
                      Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
                      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing San Francisco
                      San Francisco
                      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
                      San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

                      Colorado @ LA Dodgers
                      Colorado
                      The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Colorado's last 8 games
                      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 8 games when playing LA Dodgers
                      LA Dodgers
                      LA Dodgers is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Colorado
                      LA Dodgers is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Colorado

                      Oakland @ Seattle
                      Oakland
                      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games
                      Oakland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
                      Seattle
                      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games at home
                      The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 8 games when playing at home against Oakland
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 372308

                        #26
                        Diamond Trends for Friday July 23
                        Vince Akins

                        SU Play ON Trend of the Day
                        Matchup: Detroit at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. ET)

                        -- The Royals are 12-0 SU since Sep 24, 2015 as a home favorite after they scored first before trailing and then coming back to win last game.

                        SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
                        Matchup: Chicago White Sox at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. ET)

                        -- The White Sox are 0-11 SU since Sep 21, 2020 as a dog after their opponent scored first last game.

                        OU Trend of the Day
                        Matchup: N.Y. Yankees at Boston (7:10 p.m. ET)

                        -- The Red Sox are 10-0 OU (2.90 ppg) since Aug 08, 2018 in the second game of a series after they played extra inning in game one.

                        Starter-Based Trend of the Day
                        Matchup: Oakland at Seattle (10:10 p.m. ET)

                        -- The Mariners are 0-8 SU since Apr 15, 2019 when Yusei Kikuchi starts as a dog after he averaged fewer than 3.5 pitches per batter in his last start.

                        Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 372308

                          #27
                          Sean Murphy

                          Jul 23 '21, 7:05 PM in 30m
                          MLB | WAS vs BAL
                          Play on: OVER 10 +100

                          Friday MLB Free play. My selection is on the 'over' between Washington and Baltimore at 7:05 pm et on Friday.
                          I'm anticipating a slugfest as the Nationals and Orioles open their series at Camden Yards on Friday night.
                          Pat Corbin will take the ball for Washington. To say that he's struggled on the road this season would be an understatement. He checks in sporting a 6.05 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in eight road outings. Worse still he has posted a 6.49 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 10 nighttime starts. He's faced the Orioles twice since the start of last season, allowing a whopping nine earned runs on 19 hits over just 10 2/3 innings of work.
                          Behind Corbin is a Nationals bullpen that has recorded a collective 4.41 ERA and 1.36 WHIP with only nine saves converted and six blown on the road this season.
                          Jorge Lopez will counter for Baltimore. He's failed to last five innings in six of his last seven starts. Here at home he has posted an ugly 5.49 ERA and 1.56 WHIP. While he did hold the Nationals to only two earned runs over five innings in a start earlier this season, it's not as Washington was completely shut down in that one as it generated seven hits and three walks. I would expect further improvement against Lopez here, noting that previous contest took place in Washington. The Nats have actually been a better offensive club on the road where they average 4.8 runs per game this season.
                          The Orioles bullpen got off to a strong start this season but then the wheels came off. They've recorded a collective 5.25 ERA and 1.37 WHIP with only four saves converted and nine blown at home this season. Take the over.
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 372308

                            #28
                            Jimmy Boyd

                            Jul 23 '21, 7:05 PM in 30m
                            MLB | Braves vs Phillies
                            Play on: Phillies -155 at Mirage

                            1* Free Pick on Phillies -155
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 372308

                              #29
                              Kenny Walker

                              Jul 23 '21, 7:10 PM in 35m
                              MLB | Blue Jays vs Mets
                              Play on: Blue Jays +110 at William Hill

                              Free Pick on Blue Jays
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 372308

                                #30
                                Totals Guru

                                Jul 23 '21, 7:10 PM in 35m
                                MLB | STL vs CIN
                                Play on: UNDER 10 -110

                                Free Total Annihilator On Cardinals vs Reds under 10 -110
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