Sunday 7/25/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-25-2021, 07:33 AM

Al Cimaglia: Hoosier Park Late Pick 4 Analysis

July 25, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
The Sunday night headliners at Hoosier Park are 3-year-old pacing fillies. The feature goes in Race 7, Indiana Sires Stakes-Leg 4 action with a $96,000 purse. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 10, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 10

1-R Desireable Lady (9/5)-Couldn't hold the lead down the lane in the 1st HoP start but the winner was easily the best and is not in this field. Erv Miller trainee should be better in 3rd career race and Tetrick steers again.
7-Miss Spicy (8/5)-This is the other Miller entry and these two appear to be a cut above the rest. Also, makes its 3rd career start. Showed good speed in the last but hasn't passed foes down the lane. Can be forwardly placed and it looks like a 2-horse affair.

Race 11

2-Virgo (7/5)-Should get a nice trip, doesn't need to have the lead off the gate and can finish off the mile. This is the one to beat.
3-Rogers Image (6-1)-Won last time in the 2nd start on Lasix and now faces a more difficult task. Should offer a solid price again and this Burke entry may bring another improved effort. Could get sucked around from this post.
5-Goldie's Legacy (9/2)-Couldn't hold the lead on 7-11 but Rockin On Venus isn't in this race. Might be sitting on a big try at a solid price and should be put in play early on.

Race 12

1-Saddle Up (8-1)-Makes 4th start on Lasix and is in a spot to get a pocket ride. Could be in position to use one move down the lane to roll by at a nice price. Looking to shoot against #6, the morning line 4/5 shot.
2-Joelsyy Hanover (6-1)-Raced big from the 8 hole in last but the trip took its toll. Wrenn steers for his own barn for the 1st time in almost a month. Looking for a big try, races well near the lead and is in position for that type of trip tonight.
3-Skyway Victor (7/2)-Winner of 2 straight and has looked good doing so. Started from post 8 in last and it might have been the best effort of the year. Looking for another top try to prevent #6, the program chalk, from winning for the 5th straight time.

Race 13

2-T's Raider II (5/2)-Couldn't catch the leaders in last but should enjoy the company here and has been in good form. Raced from the back, then rolled the 2nd half in a snappy 52.3. Looking for an alert start this time, and a better outcome.
3-Robert Again (8-1)-Will take a swing for a price and this Burke pupil tries Lasix for the 2nd time. De Long drives, he can provide a sharp steer to be in striking range turning for the wire.

0.50 Late Pick 4

1,7/2,3,5/1,2,3/2,3
Total Bet=$18

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-25-2021, 07:34 AM

MLB

NL games
Arizona (31-69) @ Cubs (48-51)
— CSmith is 1-4, 7.23 in his last five starts.
— Arizona is 2-8 in his starts.
— under 7-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-10
— record in first 5 innings: 2-7-1
— He is 0-0, 2.25 in two starts vs Chicago.

— Arizona won five of last six games.
— Arizona is 3-31 in its last 34 road games.
— over 8-5 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 15-100
— record in first 5 innings: 38-55-7

— Williams is 1-1, 6.14 in his last seven starts.
— Cubs are 7-4 in his starts.
— under 7-4
— allowed run in first inning: 3-11
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4-1
— He is 1-3, 3.33 in five starts vs Arizona.

— Cubs are 6-18 in last 24 games.
— Chicago is 5-8 in its last 13 home games.
— Over is 6-2 in last eight home games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-99
— record in first 5 innings: 42-44-13

Atlanta (48-49) @ Philadelphia (48-49)
— Toussaint allowed a run in 6.2 IP in his first ‘21 start.
— Braves are 1-0 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-0-1
— He gave up 3 runs in 4.2 IP, in three relief stints vs Philly.

— Braves split their last ten games
— Atlanta is 5-2 in its last seven road games.
— over 8-3 last 11 games.
— scored run in first inning: 36-97
— record in first 5 innings: 50-34-13

— Nola is 1-2, 8.44 in his last three starts.
— Phillies are 4-8 in his last 12 starts.
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 7-19
— record in first 5 innings: 10-8-1
— He is 0-1, 6.32 in three starts vs Atlanta this year.

— Phillies are 2-5 in their last six games.
— Phillies are 27-19 at home, 20-30 on road.
— over 14-2 last 16 games.
— scored run in first inning: 33-97
— record in first 5 innings: 38-37-22

San Diego (58-43) @ Miami (42-56)
— Darvish is 0-2, 5.85 in his last four starts.
— Padres are 14-5 in his starts.
— over 9-3 last 12 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 7-4-8
— He is 2-1, 6.08 in five starts vs Miami.

— Padres are 5-3 in their last eight games.
— San Diego is 9-15 in its last 24 road games.
— under 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 31-101
— record in first 5 innings: 40-43-17

— They haven’t announced a starter.

— Marlins are 13-21 in their last 34 games.
— Miami is 7-6 in last 13 home games.
— over 9-6-2 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-98
— record in first 5 innings: 34-45-19

St Louis (49-50) @ Cincinnati (51-47)
— Oviedo is 0-2, 5.21 in his last four starts.
— Cardinals are 3-8 in his starts.
— under 3-1-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 4-11
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-4
— He is 0-0, 5.19 in two starts vs Cincinnati.

— Cardinals are 13-9 in last 22 games.
— St Louis is 5-16 in its last 21 road games.
— Under is 21-12-2 in their last 35 games.
— scored run in first inning: 31-99
— record in first 5 innings: 40-41-18

— Sonny Gray is 1-1, 4.32 in his last three starts.
— Reds are 6-7 in his starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 2-13
— record in first 5 innings: 2-9-2
— He is 1-3, 5.00 in six starts vs St Louis.

— Cincinnati is 3-5 in its last eight games.
— Reds are 13-9 in last 22 home games.
— under 13-7 last 20 home games
— scored run in first inning: 28-98
— record in first 5 innings: 41-41-16

Pittsburgh (38-60) @ San Francisco (61-37)
— Brubaker is 0-4, 6.59 in his last five starts.
— Pirates lost his last seven starts.
— under 11-5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 5-10-2
— He hasn’t pitched against San Francisco.

— Pirates lost four of last six games.
— Pittsburgh is 4-8 in last 12 road games.
— over 14-5 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 27-97
— record in first 5 innings: 32-53-12

— Wood is 2-0, 3.18 in his last three starts.
— Giants are 10-6 in his starts.
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 9-4-3
— He is 4-3, 2.93 in ten starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Giants are 4-5 since All-Star break.
— Giants are 14-7 in last 21 home games.
— Over is 10-4 in last 14 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-97
— record in first 5 innings: 53-31-13

Colorado (43-55) @ Dodgers (60-39)
— Jon Gray is 2-0, 2.40 in his last five starts.
— Rockies are 8-9 in his starts.
— under 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6-5
— He is 0-1, 3.38 in three starts vs LA this year.

— Colorado is 18-14 in its last 32 games.
— Rockies are 33-20 at home, 10-35 on road.
— under 16-4 last 20 games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-98
— record in first 5 innings: 38-45-15

— Josiah Gray is making his first MLB start.
— He allowed 4 runs in four IP in his MLB debut.
— He was 1-1, 2.87 in four AAA games (3 starts) this year.

— Dodgers are 7-8 in last 15 games.
— LA is 1-10 in extra innings this year.
— Dodgers are 9-4 in last 13 home games.
— under 10-6-1 last 17 home games
— scored run in first inning: 32-99
— record in first 5 innings: 51-32-16

AL games
Bronx (51-46) @ Boston (60-39)
— German is 0-2, 9.31 in his last five starts.
— New York is 9-7 in his starts.
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 9-16
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6-4
— He is 0-1, 4.66 in two starts vs Boston this year.

— New York won 10 of its last 14 games.
— New York is 8-7 in last 15 road games.
— under 6-1 last seven road games
— scored run in first inning: 24-97
— record in first 5 innings: 40-38-19

— Perez is 0-2, 7.04 in his last two starts.
— Boston is 11-8 in his starts.
— under 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 6-19
— record in first 5 innings: 9-7-3
— He is 0-1, 7.04 in two starts vs New York this year.

— Boston won four of its last five games.
— Red Sox are 11-3 in last 14 home games.
— under 3-1 last four home games
— scored run in first inning: 33-98
— record in first 5 innings: 47-37-15

Tampa Bay (60-39) @ Cleveland (48-48)
— McClanahan is 2-1, 3.08 in his last five starts.
— Rays are 8-6 in his starts.
— under 8-6
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Cleveland

— Tampa Bay won 13 of its last 16 games.
— Rays are 6-1 in last seven road tilts.
— under is 7-3 in last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-99
— record in first 5 innings: 39-37-23

— McKenzie is 0-1, 4.50 in his last five starts.
— Indians are 4-8 in his starts.
— over 7-3 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 3-12
— record in first 5 innings: 4-6-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Tampa Bay.

— Cleveland is 8-18 in last 26 games.
— Indians split their last six home games.
— over 12-6-1 last 19 home games
— scores run in first inning: 30-96
— record in first 5 innings: 35-47-14

Angels (48-49) @ Minnesota (42-57)
— Barria is making his first ’21 start.
— He is 15-19, 4.60 in 54 MLB games (44 starts).
— This year, he’s given up 7 runs in six IP in two relief stints.
— He hasn’t pitched against Minnesota.

— Halos are 10-8 in last 18 games.
— Angels are 6-11 in last 17 road games.
— over 25-15-1 last 41 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-97
— record in first 5 innings: 43-42-12

— Ober is 1-1, 7.02 in his last four starts.
— Twins are 5-4 in his starts.
— over 7-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-9
— record in first 5 innings: 4-5
— He hasn’t pitched against Anaheim.

— Minnesota is 3-7 in its last ten games.
— Twins are 5-2 in last seven home games.
— under 7-2 last nine home games
— scored run in first inning: 34-99
— record in first 5 innings: 29-50-20

Detroit (47-53) @ Kansas City (41-55)
— Skubal is 2-1, 4.50 in his last four starts.
— Detroit is 7-2 in his last nine starts.
— under 7-4-1 last 12
— allowed run in first inning: 7-17
— record in first 5 innings: 8-9
— He is 1-1, 5.19 in two games (8.2 IP) vs Kansas City this year.

— Detroit won seven of last nine games.
— Detroit lost its last six road games.
— over 25-14-1 last 40 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-100
— record in first 5 innings: 7-2-2 last 11 on road.

— Lynch is 0-2, 16.88 in three starts.
— His last start was May 13.
— Kansas City is 0-3 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2-1
— He gave up 4 runs in 2.2 IP in a May 13 start in Detroit.

— Royals are 12-28 in last 40 games.
— Royals are 4-5 in last nine home games.
— over 7-4 last 11 home games.
— scores run in first inning: 19-96
— record in first 5 innings: 34-49-13

Texas (35-64) @ Houston (60-39)
— bullpen game

— Texas is 2-14 in its last 16 games.
— Rangers lost last eight games by combined 55-12.
— Texas is 4-29 in its last 33 road games.
— over 15-6-1 last 22 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 19-99
— record in first 5 innings: 31-55-13

— Greinke is 2-1, 3.07 in his last five starts.
— Astros are 14-6 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 2-20
— record in first 5 innings: 10-6-4
— He is 2-0, 4.26 in two starts vs Texas this year.

— Astros split their last 12 games.
— Astros are 5-1 in last six home games.
— over 10-4 last 14 home games
— scored run in first inning: 34-99
— record in first 5 innings: 53-32-14

Oakland (56-44) @ Seattle (53-46)
— Kaprielian is 1-1, 1.50 in his last three starts.
— A’s are 7-5 in his starts.
— under 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 2-12
— record in first 5 innings: 5-4-3
— He is 1-0, 3.38 in two starts vs Seattle this year.

— A’s are 7-5 in last 12 games.
— Oakland is 5-5 in last ten road games.
— Under is 17-8 in their last 25 games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-100
— record in first 5 innings: 43-37-20

— Gonzales is 1-1, 5.96 in his last five starts.
— Mariners are 4-1 in his last five home starts.
— under 7-3 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 3-12
— record in first 5 innings: 2-8-2
— He is 5-3, 3.82 in 11 starts vs Oakland.

— Seattle is 22-10 in its last 32 games.
— Seattle is 5-2 in last seven home games.
— under 5-3 last eight home games
— scored run in first inning: 31-99
— record in first 5 innings: 45-46-8

Interleague games
Washington (45-51) @ Baltimore (33-64)
— Espino is 2-2, 2.63 in six starts (27.1 IP).
— Nationals are 3-3 in his starts.
— under 4-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Baltimore.

— Washington is 3-9 in its last 12 games.
— Nationals lost last six road games.
— over 9-5-1 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-96
— record in first 5 innings: 39-38-19

— Means is 0-3, 8.44 in his last three starts.
— Orioles lost his last six starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 5-4-4
— He gave up 3 runs in 0.2 IP, in his one start vs Washington.

— Orioles are 9-11 in last 20 games.
— Baltimore is 18-34 on road, 15-30 at home.
— over is 41-20-1 in their last 62 games.
— scored run in first inning: 31-97
— record in first 5 innings: 31-50-16

Toronto (49-45) @ Mets (51-44)
— Stripling allowed 10 runs in 4 IP in his last two starts.
— Blue Jays are 7-8 in his starts.
— under 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 7-15
— record in first 5 innings: 7-7-1
— He gave up 2 runs in 2.2 IP, in two relief stints vs New York.

— Toronto lost three of last four games.
— Blue Jays are 2-5 in last seven road games.
— Over is 6-2 in last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-94
— record in first 5 innings: 5-8 last 13 on road

— Newly-acquired Hill makes his first start for Mets.
— He was 0-2, 5.30 in his last four starts for Tampa.
— Rays were 11-8 in his starts.
— over 5-2 in last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 4-19
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-5
— He is 1-2, 4.88 in 12 games (5 starts) vs Toronto.

— Mets are 16-19 in their last 35 games.
— Mets are 8-6 in their last 14 home games.
— over 5-3 last eight home games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-95
— record in first 5 innings: 42-41-12

White Sox (58-40) @ Milwaukee (57-41)
— Lynn is 2-0, 1.23 in his last four starts.
— Chicago is 9-8 in his starts.
— under 6-2-2 last 10
— allowed run in first inning: 2-17
— record in first 5 innings: 12-2-3
— He is 10-3, 2.20 in 20 games (16 starts) vs Milwaukee.

— Chicago is 9-5 in its last 14 games.
— White Sox are 5-2 in last seven road games.
— over 11-3-1 last 15 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-98
— record in first 5 innings: 53-29-16

— Woodruff is 0-1, 3.50 in his last three starts.
— Milwaukee is 13-6 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 9-4-6
— He gave up 2 runs in six IP, in his one start vs Chicago.

— Brewers won five of last seven games.
— Milwaukee is 9-8 in last 17 home games.
— under 7-2-1 last ten home games.
— scored run in first inning: 34-99
— record in first 5 innings: 47-33-19

Sunday’s umpires
Az-Chi- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Conroy games.
Atl-Phil- Under is 6-3-1 in last ten Barksdale games.
SD-Mia- Under is 8-4 in last dozen Miller games.
StL-Cin- Over is 4-1 in last five Fairchild games.
Pitt-SF- Under is 7-4-1 in last dozen Nelson games.
Colo-LA- Over is 11-3 in last 14 Meals games.

NY-Bos- Under is 6-3-2 in last 11 Guccione games.
LAA-Minn- Under is 7-4 in last 11 Blaser games.
Det-KC- Over is 8-6-1 in Riggs games.
TB-Clev- Underdogs are 8-2 in last ten Whitson games.
Tex-Hst- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Timmons games.
A’s-Sea- Over is 5-1 in last six Muchinski games.

Wsh-Balt- Over is 6-4 in last ten Moscoso games.
Chi-Mil- Last nine Iassogna games went over.
Tor-NYM- Over is 5-2 in last seven O’Nora games

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-25-2021, 07:35 AM

Jeff Siegel's Del Mar Analysis - Sunday, July 25, 2021

July 25, 2021
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

RACE 1: Post: 2:00 PT Grade: X
Single: 6-Bobby Bo

Forecast: Bobby Bo somehow managed to get himself beat in his debut despite having worked as well as any maiden in the B. Baffert barn all year. He was sent off at 50 cents on the dollar in what was assumed to be a forgone conclusion but after pressing the pace for a half mile he gradually weakened to wind up fourth, beaten almost six lengths. Since that early April outing, the son of Speightster has returned to be just as impressive as ever in his a.m. drills, so we’ll give him another chance at a short price from his cozy outside draw that really should make this task pretty easy for him. No excuses.
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RACE 2: Post: 2:30 PT Grade: B-
Use: 1-Sumter; 2-Drink the Wind; 6-Murray; 7-Barossa

Forecast: This appears to be quite a contentious race for juveniles with several of these well-regarded first timers working extremely well. With so many question marks and unknowns, we’ll spread the race in our rolling exotics but otherwise pass. There are three in the field from the B. Baffert barn, including a pair of intriguing well-bred youngsters, Barossa and Murray, who worked in a team drill from the gate July 18 and looked good, Barossa (Into Mischief) giving the impression of being the quicker of the two, while Murray, by Street Sense, going a bit stronger at the end. Additionally, the P. Miller-trained Drink the Wind looks dangerous off his bullet 46 1/5 gate work at San Luis Rey Downs six days ago. He’s a homebred by colt by More Than Ready and is listed as the 2-1 morning line favorite. Without having seen him, we’re flying blind, but given the connections we’re going to assume he’s a major player. Finally, there’s Sumter, who has been sharp enough in the a.m. to be included in our Clocker’s “Primed and Ready List.” Had he not drawn the dreaded rail, the son of War Front might have wound up being our top pick, but from the inside post he’ll have no room for error.
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RACE 3: Post: 3:00 PT Grade: C+
Use: 2-Gates of Heaven; 7-Gator Shining; 10-Hot Box

Forecast: Here’s a challenging $50,000 claiming turf sprint restricted to 3-year-olds. Hot Box is the quickest of the quick and will take them as far as he can, but his pattern isn’t healthy and we’re just not sure which version of him we’re going to get. Away since early May and plummeting from the optional claiming $100,000 level, the Cal-bred sophomore ran very well in both of his turf sprints at Santa Anita while earning speed figures that are more than good enough to win at this level. But why the layoff? The work tab is sketchy, and the barn hasn’t had a good year, so we’ll use him but include a couple of others as well in our rolling exotics. Gator Shining shows up in a seller for the first time, but in his case the class drop is entirely justified. The son of Noble Mission is trying to find his proper level and distance; it seems he’s most comfortable as a late-running grass sprinter and against this group he could make some serious noise late. Gates of Heaven, a $16,000 claim by P. Miller (27% with flat-bet profit with his angle), is raised significantly in class for his new connections while being wheeled back in eight days and picking up F. Prat. The son of Kantharos shows two dull turf efforts on his resume, so we’re not quite sure what to expect, but out of respect for this jockey/trainer combo we’ll toss him in.
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RACE 4: Post: 3:30 PT Grade: B-
Use: 2-Bibleman; 3-Major Cabbie; 5-Alexandros

Forecast: Churchill Downs invader Alexandros will be seeking some of the valuable ship-and-win money in his first West Coast appearance following a $25,000 claim last month and based on speed figures and his recent form the son of Flatter has a chance to produce an immediate return on investment. A winner of his last two and now in the J. Mullins barn, the veteran gelding should have enough early speed to always be within range and then have every chance to the seal the deal late. Bibleman, a $25,000 claim at Lone Star Park by T. Flincher, is another seeking the Del Mar purse bonus in his local bow but unlike our top pick really has only one way to go and that’s on the front end for as long as he can stay there. Inside speed has been disadvantaged on this track so far this meeting but if he can shake loose early and find the better lanes off the rail he could take this field a long way. Major Cabbie has the route-to-sprint angle that we like and is realistically dropped in class while switching to F. Prat. Patient tactics likely will be employed over a main track that he’s enjoyed success in the past.
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Race 5: Post: 4:00 PT Grade: B
Use: 3-Suki; 6-Deise Delight

Forecast: Deise Delight hit the front but was worn down late when second at this level at Santa Anita in late May, and if the D. O’Neill-trained filly produces another forward move today she should be capable of regaining her winning form. F. Prat stays aboard and will have this Irish-bred 3-year-old in an ideal stalking position in a race that seems likely to produce soft early splits. Suki is an intriguing shipper from Churchill seeking a good portion of the ship-and-win bonus money. She’s a strong fit at this level on speed figures and has produced a forward move in each of her last four starts, so with arguably the most effective late kick in the field the daughter of Upstart is strictly the one to beat. These are the two we’ll be using in rolling exotic play
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RACE 6: Post: 4:30 PT Grade: B-
Single: 4-I’m Winning

Forecast: With the scratching of logical top pick Sauls Call, this maiden claiming sprint for juveniles becomes completely wide open. We suggest you use as many as your budget allows, as nothing would surprise us. I’m Winning didn’t run badly in his debut sprinting against tougher foes when staying on to finish fifth but was virtually eased next time out over a mile on grass. He returns as a first-time gelding with a class drop and with blinkers off, so there’s a reasonable chance that the A. Kitchingman-trained juvenile will display considerable improvement. With a selection that is nothing more than an educated stab, let’s try him in the wind pool and in the various rolling exotics at 8-1 on the morning line.
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RACE 7: Post: 5:00 PT Grade: B
Use: 4-Constantia; 5-Superstition; 10-Bruja Escarlata

Forecast: Superstition was a bit below her best form in her two most recent outings, but she’s been freshened since early June, has looked very much like her old self in recent main track drills, and sports a perfect two-for-two record sprinting on grass at Del Mar. The R. Mandella-trained filly is reunited with “win rider” F. Prat and appears capable of stalking, pouncing, and winning this year’s Daisycutter S. for fillies and mares. Constantia upset Superstition in the Mizdirection S. last spring at Santa Anita and then most recently finished ahead of her main rival again when a rallying well but too late to be second in the Monrovia S. in early June. She’ll probably fire another good shot today, but we’re concerned that as a deep closer this five furlong trip might be a bit too sharp for her liking. Bruja Escarlata, unbeaten in three starts but untested in stakes competition, tackles the big girls today and had the misfortune of drawing the extreme outside post position. She looks like the best of speed types and has numbers that are reasonably competitive, so we’ll include her as well in rolling exotic play.
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RACE 8: Post: 5:30 PT Grade: B
Use: 2-Howbeit; 7-Colt Fiction; 8-Fashionably Fast

Forecast: Fashionably Fast may have lost a step at age six but the Del Mar main track always has been his favorite, so from an ideal outside post position in an extended sprint for second-level allowance older horses the veteran gelding could easily regain his best form. The son of Lucky Pulpit projects to draft into a comfortable second flight early position and then hopefully utilize the sling shot effect from the middle of the far turn to the wire. Colt Fiction, second in the same race our top pick just finished third in, also has the horse-for-course angle in his resume, having won three of four career starts over the local main track. The son of Ministers Wild Cat equaled his career top speed figure when second in the highly-rated Thor’s Echo S. behind the blazingly fast Brickyard Ride last month at Santa Anita. Howbeit earned his best ever speed figure when dismantling a softer field on the front end last month. He’s hooking more speed while stepping up in class, but in his present form the M. Glatt-trained colt warrants inclusion in rolling exotic play, at least as a backup.
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RACE 9: Post: 6:00 PT Grade: C+
Use: 7-Galilean; 9-Brandothebartender; 10-North County Boy

Forecast: Several of the 10 intended starters in this year’s edition of the California Dreamin’ S. for older state-bred middle distance turf horses have a legitimate chance in a typical grass grab bag that requires a spread in rolling exotic play, especially since the logical top pick, North County Guy drew the extreme outside post position in his first outing since mid-April. The works at San Luis Rey Downs indicate fitness and the R. Baltas-trained gelding always has run well over the local lawn, but unless he’s lucky enough to work out a good trip the task doesn’t figure to be easy. Brandothebartender returns to his preferred surface (grass) after a relatively flat performance on the dirt at Los Alamitos when fourth of five in the Bertrando S. last month. Always thoroughly genuine, the son of Tribal Rule may be the best of the closers but with his style a good trip is always problematic. Galilean, the defending race champion, makes his first start since last November but has run well fresh in the past and shows a work tab that should have him fit enough. In a race that might have modest early splits, the son of Uncle Mo should be favorably placed close to the pace, if not on it.
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RACE 10: Post: 6:30 PT Grade: C+
Use: 8-Rowangoeshollywood; 12-Kind But She Lies

Forecast: Bottom-rung ($20,000) maiden claiming fillies and mares close out the program sprinting six and one-half furlongs on the main track. Kind But She Lies is assured a soft trip outside and may have found a field she can beat. The daughter of Exaggerator has good tactical speed, retains regular rider K. Desormeaux, and in a lackluster affair may be the beat by default. Rowangoeshollywood, freshened since May when she was stopped on after being a voided claim, adding Lasix for the first time and has a few back numbers that makes her dangerous. A month’s gap in the work pattern in mid-June is hardly encouraging but against this group she has to be considered a threat.

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**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-25-2021, 07:37 AM

Jeff Siegel's Saratoga Analysis - Sunday, July 25, 2021

July 25, 2021
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

RACE 1: Post: 1:05 ET Grade: C+
Single: 2-Trade Secret

Forecast: The first-timers in this maiden juvenile sprint don’t impress so let’s stick with the known element, Trade Secret, who isn’t any world beater herself but at least has the benefit of two prior outings, most recently when beaten a head last month in a decent effort at Churchill Downs. She was more than three lengths clear of the others, and while the speed figure wasn’t strong (14 points lower than par for this level) not much better will be needed today. We’ll put her on top but at 2-1 on the morning line she’ll not offer much wagering value in a race that might be best left alone.
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RACE 2: Post: 1:41 ET Grade: B-
Use: 3-Scotty Brown; 4-Dr. Blute; 5-Veterans Beach

Forecast: This race was handicapped for turf only. We’ll go three-deep in the second race, an abbreviated turf sprint for state-bred first-level allowance older horses. Veterans Beach, in his second start off a layoff for the red-hot J. Rosario/C. Clement jockey-trainer team, earned a career top speed figure when rallying to be second in a fast, productive event at Belmont Park last month, and though it’s been a while since he’s visited the winner’s circle (August of 2018) the son of Big Brown appears set for a major effort. The veteran gelding has a good stalking style that should keep him free of trouble. Scotty Brown, freshened since early May and now in the W. Ward barn, is just 1-for-15 and not one to trust but on pure numbers he’s a major player with a right to step forward for his new high percentage trainer. The Big Brown gelding will be doing his best work from off the pace. Dr. Blute is lightly-raced with perhaps a bit more upside than the others but could do no better than fifth as the favorite in a similar affair at Belmont Park two weeks ago. He has a fast speed figure three runs back that makes him dangerous and Johnny V. rides him back, so will toss him in as well.
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RACE 3: Post: 2:15 ET Grade: B-
Use: 1-Dancing Firefly; 3-Marvelous Maude

Forecast: This race was handicapped for turf only. Marvelous Maude was taken up sharply at the start to lose several lengths and allowed to lag, angled wide for the drive and finished steadily to be third in her debut in a similar state-bred maiden turf event for fillies and mares last month at Belmont Park. She didn’t display any kind of massive turn of foot but at least she was willing in the final stages would have been right there with a better break. The C. Brown hits with a strong 24% with second-time starters, so with the switch to I. Ortiz, Jr. she appears the likely choice and one to beat. Dancing Firefly projects to inherit a good ground-saving trip from the rail after finishing a reasonably decent runner-up in a maiden $40,000 affair in her debut in May. She’s protected today while switching to L. Saez for trainer D. Gargan (powerful stats with both the layoff and second-time starter angles) so we’re expecting a forward move, one that makes her a major contender.
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RACE 4: Post: 2:49 ET Grade: X
Use: 1A-Bronx Bomber; 2-Tale of the Union

Forecast: Bronx Bomber always has preferred to run second or third (nine times) than win (four times) but he’s fast on numbers, adds blinkers, and projects to settle in the second flight and have dead aim from the head of the lane to the wire. He’s listed (along with entry-mate Excellent Timing) as the 7/5 morning line favorite, just ahead off Tale of the Union (8/5), a respectable third in his comeback last month and likely to be fitter and sharper today for trainer J. Terranova, whose record with this angle (25%, massive ROI) points him out as the one to beat. Either one can win, so we’ll double the race with the two favorites in our rolling exotics but otherwise not participate.
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RACE 5: Post: 3:21 ET Grade: -
Use: 2-Herald Angel; 10-Lime

Forecast: This race was handicapped for turf only. Herald Angel exits a much tougher race, and this drop to the restricted (nw-2) $40,000 claiming level in her third start off a layoff along with the switch to I. Ortiz, Jr. (22% with a powerful ROI with the M. Maker barn) indicates the daughter of Exaggerator is live and extremely well-meant. She should be quick enough from the rail to secure a good pace-pressing position and then have every chance from there. Lime is a fit on figures and projects to draft into a good stalking position outside. Her grass sprint form is fairly solid, and she’s run well under Johnny V. in the past. Both should be included in rolling exotic play with preference on top to Herald Angel.
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RACE 6: Post: 3:55 ET Grade: B
Use: 1-Shared Future; 2-Four Dawns; 6-Gal in a Rush

Forecast: Gal in a Rush brought $375,000 at the OBS April sale after an impressive :10 1/5 breeze during the preview session and makes her debut for the powerful J. Rosario/C. Clement team after impressing in her local workouts as well. From a barn that hits with 24% (with a strong ROI) with first-time starters, the daughter of Ghostzapper has shown to be an athletic, sensible filly with good action and plenty of quality. At 4-1 on the morning line in a field with lots of unknowns and question marks, we’ll put her on top but also include a couple of other well-regarded, fast working debut runners. Shared Feature shows a couple of fast gate works at Keeneland last month and looks like a live item for the hot S. Asmussen outfit. She’ll have to leave running from the rail but with a good break she seems likely to be a strong early factor. Four Dawns, a likewise a Kentucky shipper with two noteworthy gate drills on her resume, is a Nyquist filly from the B. Cox barn that almost certainly has ability.
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RACE 7: Post: 4:29 ET Grade: X
Use: 3-Master of Hope; 7-Kaley’s Sister

Forecast: It’s hard to get past Keeley’s Sister (the 3/5 morning line favorite) in this starter’s allowance sprint for fillies and mares. Freshened since mid-May, the B. Cox-trained daughter of Maclean’s Music shows a decided edge in the speed figure department and the versatility to win on the lead or from a stalking position. Those wishing to protect in rolling exotic play may wish to consider the late-running Master of Hope on a back-up ticket. Her numbers are moving in the right direction and the lightly-raced daughter of Bodemeister, almost five lengths clear of the rest when a good second in a slightly softer field at Belmont Park last month, figures to produce another forward move.
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RACE 8: Post: 5:05 ET Grade: B
Use: 4-Value Engineering; 9-City Man; 12-No Word

Forecast: This race was handicapped for turf only. City Man was overmatched in the Manhattan S.-G1 last time out but isn’t today, so we’re expecting the C. Clement-trained colt to return to good form in this second level allowance turf event over the inner course. His runner-up effort two races back – when he earned a triple-digit Beyer speed figure after finishing second to Tribhuvan - will beat this field, and with the barn’s main guy (and “win rider”} J. Rosario taking the call the son of Mucho Macho Man should draft into a comfortable second-flight early position (where, as a one-paced grinder he needs to be), and then be able to wear down the leaders late. Value Engineering is a strong fit at this level, though like our top pick doesn’t really provide much acceleration when asked through the lane. He does have a history of running well over the Saratoga lawn and his numbers are consistently solid, so we’ll his typical effort he’ll be in the firing line late. No Word is drawn farther out than what is ideal, and the T. Pletcher-trained colt hasn’t been out since last November, but the barn has powerful stats with layoff runners (27%) and this son of Silent Name is graded stakes placed on two occasions with speed figures last year that make him a strong fit if ready.
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RACE 9: Post: 5:39 ET Grade: B
Use: 4-Dunbar Road; 7-Royal Flag

Forecast: A good second to Latruska in the Shuvee S.-G3 last year, Royal Flag should be capable of winning the 2021 edition of this nine furlong main track event after running well but missing by a head in her seasonal bow in the Doubledogdare S.-G3 at Keeneland last April. Showing a steady, healthy series of workouts in recent weeks to have her fit and ready, the daughter of Candy Ride retains J. Rosario and projects to settle in the second flight and then grind out another graded stakes victory. Her C. Brown-trained stablemate, Dunbar Road, a sloppy track winner of the Alabama S.-G1 in her only prior outing at the Spa, appeared in need of the race when weakening late to finish fifth (beaten four lengths) in La Troienne S.-G1 in late April, her only start so far this year. She, like Royal Flag, has done some very good work leading up to this race and is the one to fear most. They’re hard to separate so we’ll include both in our rolling exotics with a slight edge on top to Royal Flag.
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RACE 10: Post: 6:13 ET Grade: C+
Use: 3-Villainous; 6-Someday Jones; 8-Mubarmaj

Forecast: Mubarmaj obviously is more than good enough to win this $20,000 claiming router for older horses. However, he was a voided claim two runs back and is dropping a level following a more than five length romp when competing for a $25,000 tag at Belmont Park last month. So, what kind of shape is he in today? Sure, you may find the need to use him in rolling exotic play but for those looking for a better price you should consider both Villainous and Someday Jones. The former has a good look off his solid runner-up effort at this level two races back and should be running on late, while the latter, a respectable runner-up to Mubarmaj over a sloppy surface at Keeneland in the spring, goes for the powerful I. Ortiz, Jr./M. Maker combo, drops to his lowest level ever, and shows 12 career wins from 36 career starts, quite an admirable record for the 8-year-old son of Smarty Jones.

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**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-25-2021, 07:38 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk: My Late Pick 4 Ticket Sunday at Gulfstream

July 25, 2021 | By Jerry Shottenkirk
Talented fillies and mares line up for the featured ninth on Gulfstream Park’s card on Sunday, and it’s a group with a lot of possibilities.

The ninth is for distaffers at the optional $25,000 claiming level at 6.5 furlongs.

MISS MIKAELA rates the slight edge here, but when looking at this week’s suggested Late Pick 4 ticket, she’s one of four used from that race.

This week’s ticket has a 2x5x4x3 strategy for $60.

Here’s a look at we take another pop at the Late Pick 4:

7th Race (4:13 p.m. ET, claiming)

INCLUDE THE BEAST has been in front in five of her eight career starts, and the daughter of The Big Beast has given some of her best efforts in her last two, when she was caught late in each.

Has a bullet breeze since her last and is due to win her third race, while others in here are looking for their second. Takes on some older rivals but her speed will put her in good shape to get another victory.

Others on the ticket: LEYENDA

8th Race (4:46 p.m. ET, maiden claiming)

ASYMPTOMATIC has started only once, but it came in a maiden special last summer. He finished fourth after he pressed the pace and weakened in the closing furlong.

He gets Lasix for the first time, drops to a maiden-claiming price and gets to stretch out to two turns, which he’s meant to do.
Makes his first start for trainer David Fawkes, moving from Wesley Ward, and looks like the classiest horse. The year off could fall into play and there are several with a chance in this one.

Others on the ticket: UNCLE JAMO, LAZARETTO, KURT’S A KEEPER, ON THE ENGINE.

9th Race (5:19 p.m. ET, starter optional claiming)

The feature is a strong race as several have a legit chance. MISS MIKAELA has bullied their rivals in her last two, as she broke her maiden by 10 lengths and then beat $20K claimers by seven.

She moves up in class but has been deadly on the front end with apprentice Gaddiel Martinez up, who lets her roll.

With so many in good form, it’s tough to whittle down the list as many will be in the hunt.

Others on the ticket: PLAYERA, SHES ALL WOMAN, COREY.

10th Race (5:53 p.m. ET, claiming)

BAD BOY E.J. rallied against moderate fractions last out and finished second off a five-month layoff. He had plenty of works and makes his second start for trainer John Vinson. Has had many chances to get past the ‘non-winners of two’ level but may have found his level today.

It’s hard to trust a horse with a poor record, especially one that does its best running off the pace, but you can expect him to make a late impact.

Others on the ticket: DILIGENT, MONY.

Gulfstream Park 50-cent Late Pick 4 (races 7-10):
7) #2 Include the Beast, #4 Leyenda.
8) #2 Asymptomatic, #4 Uncle Jamo, #6 Lazaretto, #7 Kurt’s a Keeper, #8 On the Engine.
9) #4 Miss Mikaela, #5 Playera, #6 Shes All Woman, #7 Corey.
10) #3 Bad Boy E.J., #4 Diligent, #7 Mony,
Suggested ticket: 2-4 with 2-4-6-7-8 with 4-5-6-7 with 3-4-7 ($60).

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-25-2021, 07:40 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Arlington - Race #4

#4 Lady Atlantic	I'll try this riser who has always done good work on the local main track, so let's see if she can take that sharp recent try and reproduce it against better at a price.
#6 Bourbon Rebellion	Very disappointed in how her 2020 campaign ended after an encouraging local start here last July that preceded a couple of clunkers. Better fresh?
#5 Tiz Susan Ann	She's another class riser with some sharp recent form, and she should be in the mix from the start with a good draw here.
Race Summary	Lady Atlantic steps up off an impressive win with easier, and while she's going to have to answer the class question, she might be in the mix with a repeat of that last one.

Arlington - Race #6

#6 Quiet Prayer	Stidham barn wastes no time dropping this one after the dull debut run, and this much easier group gives him a chance to move forward in a hurry.
#1 Off to the Beach	He has had 50 chances, so a big no thank you on top here, but he ran a pretty decent race at a similar trip last time out and may be able to land a piece of this at a price.
#4 Kit Kowaleski	He's bred to show more than he has to this point, but you get a rider up who has been doing well in recent weeks and might get this one to bounce back at a big number.
Race Summary	Quiet Prayer drops for this second career start, and he isn't meeting a whole lot in here to be afraid of. Guessing the class relief will do the trick.

Arlington - Race #8

#1 Dyn O Mite	His form looks a whole lot worse than it really is with mostly stakes tries on the page, but he has been a handful when racing outside of those tough spots and has a big claim on this one while dropping.
#5 In Love	Dropper comes out of a much tougher Grade II Wise Dan, and something like his two-back run would probably be enough to get him home today.
#8 My Bariley	Finisher has turned in some decent races here, and he figures to be passing some tired ones late. Bit of a reach on top today?
Race Summary	This almost feels like a low-end stakes group, and Dyn O Mite and In Love bring tough company lines with them. The price should be a bit better on Dyn O Mite, so he's worth a play

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-25-2021, 09:37 AM

Paul Leiner

Three MLB Picks 7/25"

100* Yankees +130
100* Brewers -140
100* Over 8.5 Rockies/Dodgers

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-25-2021, 03:21 PM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Arlington

Arlington - Race 3	$2 Win/Place/Show / $1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta $0.50 Pick 3 (3-5) / $0.20 Pick 6 (3-8) (15% takeout)
Claiming $6,250 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 76 • Purse: $11,000 • Post: 3:23P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS OR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 25 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $5,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY OR ALLOWANCES).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Stalker. SPINSTER ROAD is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SPINSTER ROAD: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today' s distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). CRANKSHAFT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. PITAMAN: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days . Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
6	SPINSTER ROAD	2/1	9/2
5	CRANKSHAFT	3/1	5/1
2	PITAMAN	5/2	6/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	CRANKSHAFT	5	3/1	Front-runner	80	76	83.6	64.8	60.3
4	CREAL WONDER	4	8/1	Front-runner	69	65	64.6	58.0	51.0
2	PITAMAN	2	5/2	Alternator/Front-runner	70	71	83.0	63.6	56.1
6	SPINSTER ROAD	6	2/1	Stalker	73	77	57.8	71.4	62.4
1	HIGH HERO	1	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	76	72	57.8	48.6	40.6
7	RENEGADE BOB	7	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	68	60	51.8	50.2	37.7
3	WILLOW RIDGE	3	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	81	74	48.8	57.4	50.9

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-25-2021, 03:22 PM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Louisiana Downs

Louisiana Downs - Race 7	Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / .50 Super High Five
Claiming $5,000 • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 81 • Purse: $8,000 • Post: 5:21P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 25. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Front-runner. LIAM SKYE is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * LIAM SKYE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. BEST LITTLE MAN: Hor se has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. THEORIST: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
1	LIAM SKYE	5/1	7/2
2	BEST LITTLE MAN	9/5	5/1
6	THEORIST	4/1	6/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	LIAM SKYE	1	5/1	Alternator/Front-runner	82	75	70.4	69.8	62.8
6	THEORIST	7	4/1	Stalker	78	80	66.4	74.9	64.9
2	BEST LITTLE MAN	2	9/5	Stalker	87	84	46.5	71.1	68.6
1A	FANCY THIS	5	5/1	Alternator/Stalker	0	0	65.4	67.3	54.8
4	TENSAS TODDY	4	9/2	Alternator/Non-contender	76	69	64.6	56.0	46.0
7	LUCKY INFERNO	8	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	82	70	60.0	68.0	61.5
5	HUMPHREY	6	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	69	57	55.2	58.2	46.7
3	BIG GIG	3	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	84	80	45.5	64.5	53.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-25-2021, 03:23 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Great Falls

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Claiming - 5.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $3600 Class Rating: 64

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 CLASSIC CHAMP 3/1
# 5 ROYAL BANKER (GB) 4/1
# 7 MY FOOLISH BEAU 8/1

CLASSIC CHAMP is the top wager in this race. He has been travelling admirably lately while recording strong speed figures. Last time out, this gelding was up against a tougher crew. Garnered a very strong Equibase Speed Fig last time out. ROYAL BANKER (GB) - Strong average Equibase Speed Figures in dirt sprint races make this equine a key contender. Change in Lasix (now going off Lasix) may be the recipe to a major improvement. MY FOOLISH BEAU - Has solid Equibase Class Figures relative to this field - worth a look. His chances to score are much better today facing this softer bunch.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-25-2021, 03:24 PM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park

07/25/21, GP, Race 6, 3.40 ET
07/25/21,GP,6,5 1/2F [Dirt] 1:02:02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $45,500 (includes up to $5,000 FHBPA-FOA - FHBPA Florida Owners Awards). FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 118 lbs. Claiming Price $50,000.
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Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	7	Chrome Racer	7/2	Jaramillo E	Roussel. III Louie J.	JTS	609	35.14	1.08/$1
097.4234	3	Story Told	3/1	Zayas E J	Pinchin Jose	FEL	609	35.14	1.08/$1
096.8604	8	Chess Not Checkers	4/1	Panici L	Braddy J. David	WC	609	35.14	1.08/$1
095.7004	4	Northern Transit	5/1	Maragh R R	Hamm Timothy E.		609	35.14	1.08/$1
095.5152	2	Awesome Apeal	8/1	Torres C A	Pita Daniel		609	35.14	1.08/$1
095.3301	6	Rosy Apple	12/1	Vasquez M A	Spatz Ronald B.		609	35.14	1.08/$1
095.1449	5	Winning At Ease	20/1	Gonzales J J	Garcia Rodolfo		609	35.14	1.08/$1
094.1393	1	Alright Already(b+)	9/2	Reyes L	Abreu Fernando		609	35.14	1.08/$1

Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.47, ROI 0.81/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.5766
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Categories] Horse Not Age 3

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-25-2021, 03:25 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Century Mile - Race #6 - Post: 7:45pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,000 Class Rating: 64

Rating:

#1 EASTER HALO (ML=12/1)
#8 WHODUNIT (ML=8/5)

EASTER HALO - Trainer Nicholson moves this one to a lower level to face a weaker class today. Look for a solid performance given this drop. This jockey and trainer's animals have been producing a lucrative ROI. WHODUNIT - When the real running starts, this gelding should be finishing strongly. Taking a trip to a lower class level; has the power to make his presence felt. The last speed figure of 63 is the best last race speed rating in the bunch.

Vulnerable Contenders: #9 OLD DOUBLE DIAMOND (ML=3/1), #3 KICKEN WEST G. (ML=9/2), #6 CODE OF THE WEST (ML=8/1),

OLD DOUBLE DIAMOND - This runner ran a quite unimpressive speed rating last time around the track. He shouldn't improve and will probably get beat in today's race running that rating. KICKEN WEST G. - Hard to keep stabbing at this sort of 'hanger' horse. More than enough attempts at Century Mile with no trips to the victory stand. CODE OF THE WEST - Will be tough for this horse to beat this field off of that last rating. Not probable to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's Equibase class figure, so put him on the questionable challengers list.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Play #1 EASTER HALO to win if you can get odds of 2/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-25-2021, 03:26 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Wyoming Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 10 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $4500 Class Rating: 56

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 MO CERVEZA 4/1
# 3 TOSS THE FLAG 5/2
# 9 ROYAL BACHELOR 8/1

MO CERVEZA looks strong to best this field. Could go off at a solid price and has some positives going for him. Is tough not to look at given the company run in recently. With Bobroff controlling the reins on him, this gelding ought to be able to break out quickly in this race. TOSS THE FLAG - His earnings per start in dirt sprint events alone makes you take a look at him.