Service Plays Tuesday 7/20/21

[dawggy]

ROCKY ATKINSON

• Game: (923) Minnesota Twins at (924) Chicago White Sox
  Date/Time: Jul 20 2021 8:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 5 units
  Play: Chicago White Sox -141 B Ober (RHP), D Keuchel (LHP) Must Start
  
  Minnesota @ Chicago White Sox (8:10 PM EST)
  Play On: 5* Chicago White Sox -138 (Ober/Keuchel) Listed
  The Minnesota Twins take on the White Sox in Chicago on Tuesday night. Minnesota is 40-54 SU overall this year while the Chicago White Sox come in with a 57-37 SU overall record on the season. Bailey Ober is 1-1 with a 6.95 ERA his last 3 starts. Ober is 1-1 with a 6.57 ERA in his 3 career starts vs the White Sox. Dallas Keuchel is 4-1 with a 3.86 ERA at home this year. Keuchel is 6-2 with a 3.86 ERA in his 9 career starts vs Minnesota. Chicago White Sox are 34-16 at home where they are allowing only 3.3 runs per game. White Sox are 11-3 overall vs Minnesota this year including 7-1 at home. Minnesota is 11-21 against left handed starters this year. Chicago White Sox are 39-13 last 3 years and 18-3 this year as a home favorite of -125 to -175. We'll play the Chicago White Sox for 5 units tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

[dawggy]

JOSEPH D'AMICO



Joe DAmicos NBA GAME 6 MONEY MAKER

• Game: (511) Phoenix Suns at (512) Milwaukee Bucks
  Date/Time: Jul 20 2021 9:05 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4 units
  Play: Phoenix Suns +5.0 (-110)
  
  Phoenix.
  GAME 6 MM.
  Game 511.
  6:05 pm pst.
  
  The last two games were both decided in the final minute. Now, Phoenix is in a “must win” situation. After winning Games 1 and 2, the Suns have dropped three in a row. Phoenix, during the regular season, possessed the NBA’s best road record (24-12). Devon Booker and Chris Paul will shine here while one of the league’s best defenses find a way to slow down Milwaukee’s 1-2 punch of Antetokounmpo and Middleton. The Suns are 4-1 ATS L5 at the Bucks, 6-2 ATS L8 on the road, and 14-6 ATS L20 following a SU loss. Take Phoenix. Thank you

Joe DAmicos MLB BEST BET

• Game: (923) Minnesota Twins at (924) Chicago White Sox
  Date/Time: Jul 20 2021 8:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 5 units
  Play: Chicago White Sox -135 B Ober (RHP), D Keuchel (LHP) Must Start
  
  Chicago.
  BEST BET.
  Game 924.
  5:10 pm pst.
  
  Chicago has had their way with Minnesota, taking seven of the last nine this season, eight of the last nine at home, and 12 of the last 15 overall. Chicago possesses some of the best stats, both at the plate and on the mound. Minny has been inconsistent offensively and owns one of baseball’s poorest pitching staffs. Ober (1-1, 5.45) and Keuchel (7-3, 4.25) are starting here. The Twins have averaged a mere, 2.0 RPG over their last five outings and can not contend with the exploding bats of the White Sox. Minnesota is 2-9 L11 on the road and 3-7 L10 vs. LH starters. Take Chicago. Thank you.

[dawggy]

JESSE SCHULE

• Schule's NBA TERMINATOR
  Game: (511) Phoenix Suns at (512) Milwaukee Bucks
  Date/Time: Jul 20 2021 9:05 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4 units
  Play: 1H Total Under 109.0 (-110)
  
  This is a 5* play on Under 1H.
  It's fair to say that Game 5 was an outlier. It was the first time in this series that the road team won, and it was also the first time in this series that the total went over in the first half. The Phoenix Suns scored 119 points, shot better than 55 percent from the field and hit over 68 percent of thier three-point attempts. Those numbers are good enough to win 99 percent of the time, but in Game 5 the Bucks somehow shot 57.5 percent from the field and hung on for a stunning victory. So what happens in Game 6? I am going to go out on a limb and say Milwaukee won't be able to pull that off again. Looking back at Game 4 in Milwaukee, Phoenix dominated that game for the first three quarters, and fell apart in the final three minutes. With no margin for error, I expect the Suns to be at their best here in this elimination game.
  GL,
  Jesse Schule
  
  
  
• NBA ULTIMATE of the ULTIMATE
  Game: (511) Phoenix Suns at (512) Milwaukee Bucks
  Date/Time: Jul 20 2021 9:05 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4 units
  Play: Phoenix Suns +5.0 (-110)
  
  This is a 5* play on PHX.
  It's fair to say that Game 5 was an outlier. It was the first time in this series that the road team won, and it was also the first time in this series that the total went over in the first half. The Phoenix Suns scored 119 points, shot better than 55 percent from the field and hit over 68 percent of thier three-point attempts. Those numbers are good enough to win 99 percent of the time, but in Game 5 the Bucks somehow shot 57.5 percent from the field and hung on for a stunning victory. So what happens in Game 6? I am going to go out on a limb and say Milwaukee won't be able to pull that off again. Looking back at Game 4 in Milwaukee, Phoenix dominated that game for the first three quarters, and fell apart in the final three minutes. With no margin for error, I expect the Suns to be at their best here in this elimination game.
  GL,
  Jesse Schule
  

• Schule's MLB AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER - **EARLY START**
  Game: (927) Kansas City Royals at (928) Milwaukee Brewers
  Date/Time: Jul 20 2021 4:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4 units
  Play: Milwaukee Brewers -157 M Minor (LHP), E Lauer (LHP) Must Start
  
  

  This is a 5* play on Milwaukee. The Brewers and the Royals are trending in opposite directions, and Milwaukee looks good as favorite in Game 1 at Miller Park. Eric Lauer will toe the slab for the Brewers, and he's heating up of late. The 26 year old is 2-1 with a 1.93 ERA in his last four starts. The Royals hand the ball to Mike Minor, who has been just torched in his last four starts. He allowed 24 runs on 30 hits over 20 innings in those games. The Royals are 6-22 in their last 28 games following a loss. GL, Jesse Schule

• Schule's MLB LATE NIGHT SNACK
  Game: (929) Seattle Mariners at (930) Colorado Rockies
  Date/Time: Jul 20 2021 8:40 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4 units
  Play: 1H Colorado Rockies -0.5 (-145) M Gonzales (LHP), G Marquez (RHP) Must Start
  
  This is a 5* play on Colorado.
  
  The Rockies are not a playoff team, but you wouldn't know it by looking at their home record. At 32-19 they have a better home record than Boston, Milwaukee, Houston and the Mets (all leading their division).
  
  Marco Gonzales will toe the slab for Seattle, and he has really struggled this season. He looked like their ace a year ago, but he's just 1-5 with a 5.88 ERA in 2021.
  
  The Rockies hand the ball to German Marquez, who has won his last five starts. He's 6-1 with a 3.08 ERA at home, and he's 3-0 with a 0.90 ERA in four starts over the last 30 days.
  
  The Mariners are 3-9 in the last 12 head to head meetings.
  
  
  GL,
  
  
  
  Jesse Schule

[onetrikpony]

In Game Trap


Tue, Jul 20 at 3:10 PM

Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals OVER 9 (20*)

[FATMANWINS]

ATS
5 Miami
5 Detroit
5 reds over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo

2 Nationals -105
1 Reds -1.5 (+135)
1 Reds 145
2 Padres -1.5 (+100)
1 Boston +120
3 Rays -1.5 (-110)
3 Tigers -125
1 Tigers -1.5 (+165)
4 Astros -1.5 (+105)
3 Whitesox -130
1 Whitesox -1.5 (+130)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vernon Croy

4 Angels-Athletics Under 8.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony George

4 Tigers -125
4 Houston -1.5 (+100)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Raphael Esparza

4 Brewers -1.5 (+115)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

4 Bluejays -130
4 Under 7.5 Rays-Baltimore
4 Over 9 Braves

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rocky Atkinson MLB MONSTER Tuesday

Chicago Wsox ML

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sleepyj MLB Game Of The Month

Phillies/Yankees OVER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

King Creole MLB Tuesday OVER of the DAY

Twins/Wsox OVER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

In Game Trap


Tue, Jul 20 at 3:10 PM

Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals OVER 9 (20*)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

YOUCAPPER

NBA Finals Best Bet from SM’s Top NBA Capper
Game: (511) Phoenix Suns at (512) Milwaukee Bucks
Date/Time: Jul 20 2021 9:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4 units
Play: Milwaukee Bucks -5.0 (-110)


The Bucks are heading home into game 6 with momentum on their side.
They have won 17 of their last 18 games at home including nine of those wins in these playoffs. Why is that important? Since the 2010 playoffs, in the NBA Finals, teams that win the game cover the spread at a 95% clip (57-3-2) according to the SDQL NBA database.
The Suns are not doing a great job moving the ball this series. In each of the first three rounds of these playoffs, the Suns were sporting an assist to turnover ratio over 2.5, against the Bucks that ratio is down to under 2. In the first two games of this series where the Suns won, Booker had 6 assists each. In the following three losses, Booker had 2, 2, and 3 assists respectively. Though Booker has been scoring in bunches, the Bucks defensive scheme has turned him into a single-minded offensive player. You can see how that has affected the Suns offense as a whole, especially visible in games three and four of the series.
I think the Bucks close this out with a strong defensive showing.
Line Parameter: I’d take Bucks up to -6.