Service Plays Saturday 7/24/21

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-24-2021, 05:48 AM

MLB

NL games
Arizona (29-69) @ Cubs (48-50)
— Kelly is 4-0, 2.56 in his last six starts.
— Arizona is 5-1 in his last six starts.
— over 7-3 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 6-20
— record in first 5 innings: 10-9-1
— He is 1-1, 5.40 in two starts vs Chicago.

— Arizona won four of last five games.
— Arizona is 2-31 in its last 33 road games.
— over 8-4 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 15-99
— record in first 5 innings: 38-55-6

— Mills is 1-2, 5.59 in his last four starts.
— Cubs are 3-4 in his starts.
— under 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3-1
— He threw 2 scoreless IP, in a relief stint vs Arizona.

— Cubs are 6-17 in last 23 games.
— Chicago is 5-7 in its last 12 home games.
— Over is 6-1 in their last seven home games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-98
— record in first 5 innings: 42-44-12

Atlanta (46-49) @ Philadelphia (47-48)
— Smyly is 5-0, 2.51 in his last six starts.
— Braves are 8-8 in his starts.
— over 11-5
— allowed run in first inning: 2-16
— record in first 5 innings: 10-4-2
— He is 0-0, 7.72 in two starts vs Philly this year.

— Braves are 3-5 in last eight games
— Atlanta is 4-2 in its last six road games.
— over 8-5 last 13 games.
— scored run in first inning: 34-96
— record in first 5 innings: 49-33-13

— Velasquez is 0-2, 8.78 in his last three starts.
— Phillies are 8-7 in his starts.
— over 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-3
— He is 1-6, 4.57 in 13 starts vs Atlanta.

— Phillies are 2-4 in their last six games.
— Phillies are 27-18 at home, 20-30 on road.
— over 13-2 last 14 games.
— scored run in first inning: 33-95
— record in first 5 innings: 37-36-22

San Diego (58-42) @ Miami (41-56)
— Weathers is 2-1, 5.48 in his last five starts (21.1 IP).
— Padres are 6-5 in his starts.
— over 7-4
— allowed run in first inning: 2-11
— record in first 5 innings: 7-3-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Miami.

— Padres are 5-2 in their last seven games.
— San Diego is 9-14 in its last 23 road games.
— under 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 30-100
— record in first 5 innings: 40-43-17

— bullpen game

— Marlins are 12-21 in their last 33 games.
— Miami is 6-6 in last 12 home games.
— over 9-5-2 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-97
— record in first 5 innings: 34-44-19

St Louis (49-49) @ Cincinnati (50-47)
— Woodford gave up run in 5.2 IP in his first ’21 start.
— Cardinals are 1-0 in his starts.
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He gave up 5 runs in 7.1 IP, in 5 relief stints vs Cincinnati.

— Cardinals are 13-8 in last 21 games.
— St Louis is 5-15 in its last 20 road games.
— Under is 20-12-2 in their last 34 games.
— scored run in first inning: 31-98
— record in first 5 innings: 40-40-18

— Castillo is 1-1, 1.61 in his last seven starts.
— Reds are 5-4 in his last nine starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 8-20
— record in first 5 innings: 9-9-2
— He is 1-2, 9.43 in three starts vs St Louis this year.

— Cincinnati lost five of its last seven games.
— Reds are 12-9 in last 21 home games.
— under 12-7 last 19 home games
— scored run in first inning: 28-97
— record in first 5 innings: 40-41-16

Pittsburgh (37-59) @ San Francisco (60-36)
— Crowe is 0-1, 5.02 in his last three starts.
— Pirates are 5-8 in his starts.
— over 7-1-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 5-13
— record in first 5 innings: 3-8-2
— He gave up 3 runs in 5 IP, in one start vs San Francisco.

— Pirates lost four of last five games.
— Pittsburgh is 3-8 in last 11 road games.
— over 13-5 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-96
— record in first 5 innings: 31-53-12

— Gausman is 1-2, 3.43 in his last four starts.
— Giants are 13-6 in his starts.
— under 9-9-1
— allowed run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 13-3-3
— He is 1-2, 5.06 in seven starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Giants are 4-4 since All-Star break.
— Giants are 14-6 in last 20 home games.
— Over is 9-4 in last 13 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-96
— record in first 5 innings: 53-30-13

Colorado (43-54) @ Dodgers (59-39)
— Freeland is 0-2, 4.63 in his last two starts.
— Rockies are 4-6 in his starts.
— under 8-2
— allowed run in first inning: 4-10
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-3
— He is 2-6, 4.43 in 13 starts vs LA.

— Colorado is 18-13 in its last 31 games.
— Rockies are 33-20 at home, 10-34 on road.
— under 15-4 last 19 games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-97
— record in first 5 innings: 38-44-15

— Gonsolin is 0-1, 2.81 in seven starts (25.2 IP).
— Dodgers are 5-2 in his starts.
— under 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 4-7
— record in first 5 innings: 5-2
— He is 0-1, 2.40 in 3 games (2 starts) vs Colorado.

— Dodgers are 6-8 in last 14 games.
— LA is 1-10 in extra innings this year.
— Dodgers are 8-4 in last 12 home games.
— under 9-6-1 last 16 home games
— scored run in first inning: 32-98
— record in first 5 innings: 50-32-16

AL games
Bronx (50-46) @ Boston (60-38)
— Taillon is 4-0, 2.70 in his last five starts.
— New York is 8-10 in his starts.
— over 11-3-1 last 15
— allowed run in first inning: 3-18
— record in first 5 innings: 10-6-2
— He is 1-0, 2.53 in two starts vs Boston this year.

— New York won nine of its last 13 games.
— New York split its last 14 road games.
— under 5-1 last six road games
— scored run in first inning: 24-96
— record in first 5 innings: 40-37-19

— Eovaldi is 2-2, 3.38 in his last five starts.
— Boston is 11-8 in his starts.
— under 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 3-19
— record in first 5 innings: 11-5-3
— He is 2-0, 1.93 in three starts vs New York this year.

— Boston won its last four games.
— Red Sox are 11-2 in last 13 home games.
— over 3-2 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 33-98
— record in first 5 innings: 46-37-15

Tampa Bay (59-39) @ Cleveland (48-47)
— bullpen game

— Tampa Bay won 12 of its last 15 games.
— Rays are 5-1 in last six road tilts.
— under is 6-3 in last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-98
— record in first 5 innings: 38-37-23

— Mejia is 0-3, 13.50 in his last three starts.
— Indians are 3-5 in his starts.
— over 4-4
— allowed run in first inning: 5-8
— record in first 5 innings: 1-5-2
— He gave up 6 runs in 2.2 IP, in one start vs Tampa Bay.

— Cleveland is 8-17 in last 25 games.
— Indians won three of last five home games.
— over 12-5-1 last 18 home games
— scores run in first inning: 30-95
— record in first 5 innings: 35-46-14

Angels (47-49) @ Minnesota (42-56)
— Sandoval is 0-2, 4.88 in his last four starts.
— Angels are 5-5 in his starts.
— over 7-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-10
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Minnesota.

— Halos are 9-8 in last 17 games.
— Angels are 5-11 in last 16 road games.
— over 25-14-1 last 40 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-96
— record in first 5 innings: 42-42-12

— Berrios is 0-1, 4.58 in his last six starts.
— Twins are 11-8 in his starts.
— over 10-4 last 14
— allowed run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-5
— He is 2-2, 6.14 in four starts vs Anaheim.

— Minnesota lost six of its last nine games.
— Twins are 5-1 in last six home games.
— under 6-2 last eight home games
— scored run in first inning: 34-98
— record in first 5 innings: 29-49-20

Detroit (47-52) @ Kansas City (40-55)
— Mize is 1-1, 2.65 in last four starts.
— Last 3 starts, he was held to 56-50-54 PT; they’re limiting his IP.
— Detroit is 11-7 in his starts.
— under 13-4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-4
— He is 2-1, 4.56 in four starts vs Kansas City this year.

— Detroit won seven of last eight games.
— Detroit lost its last five road games.
— over 24-14-1 last 39 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-99
— record in first 5 innings: 6-2-2 last nine on road.

— Hernandez gave up 2 runs in 4 IP (78 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— Kansas City is 0-1 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He gave up 4 runs in 4.2 IP in 2 games (1 start) vs Detroit.

— Royals are 11-28 in last 39 games.
— Royals are 3-5 in last eight home games.
— under 8-5 last 13 home games.
— scores run in first inning: 19-95
— record in first 5 innings: 34-48-13

Texas (35-63) @ Houston (59-39)
— Gibson allowed 13 runs in 11.1 IP in his last two starts.
— Texas is 10-8 in his starts.
— over 6-1-2 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-4
— He is 0-0, 1.89 in three starts vs Houston this year.

— Texas is 2-13 in its last 15 games.
— Rangers lost last seven games by combined 51-11.
— Texas is 4-28 in its last 32 road games.
— over 15-5-1 last 21 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 19-98
— record in first 5 innings: 31-54-13

— Valdez is 0-1, 7.63 in his last three starts.
— Astros are 7-3 in his starts.
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 2-10
— record in first 5 innings: 6-3-1
— He is 1-2, 5.12 in 6 games (3 starts) vs Texas.

— Astros are 5-6 in their last 11 games.
— Astros are 6-7 in last 13 home games.
— over 10-3 last 13 home games
— scored run in first inning: 33-98
— record in first 5 innings: 52-32-14

Oakland (56-43) @ Seattle (52-46)
— Bassitt is 3-2, 3.06 in his last five starts.
— A’s are 14-6 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 5-20
— record in first 5 innings: 11-3-6
— He is 1-4, 3.98 in 11 starts (9 starts) vs Seattle.

— A’s are 7-4 in last 11 games.
— Oakland is 5-4 in last nine road games.
— Under is 17-7 in their last 24 games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-99
— record in first 5 innings: 43-36-20

— Gilbert is 2-0, 2.65 in his last four starts.
— Mariners won his last nine starts.
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 1-11
— record in first 5 innings: 7-3-1
— He is 0-0, 3.60 in two starts vs Oakland this year.

— Seattle is 21-10 in its last 31 games.
— Seattle is 4-2 in last six home games.
— under 5-1 last six home games
— scored run in first inning: 30-98
— record in first 5 innings: 44-46-8

Interleague games
Washington (45-50) @ Baltimore (32-64)
— Scherzer is 0-0, 6.47 in his last three starts.
— Nationals are 10-8 in his starts.
— over 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 8-5-5
— He is 7-2, 3.17 in 14 starts vs Baltimore.

— Washington is 3-8 in its last 11 games.
— Nationals lost last five road games.
— over 9-4-1 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-95
— record in first 5 innings: 39-37-19

— Harvey is 2-0, 2.38 in his last two starts.
— Orioles won his last four starts.
— over 9-3-1 last 13
— allowed run in first inning: 6-19
— record in first 5 innings: 10-8-1
— He is 3-8, 3.97 in 17 starts vs Washington.

— Orioles are 8-11 in last 19 games.
— Baltimore is 18-34 on road, 14-30 at home.
— over is 41-19-1 in their last 61 games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-96
— record in first 5 innings: 30-50-16

Toronto (48-45) @ Mets (51-43)
— Ryu is 4-1, 3.34 in his last five starts.
— Blue Jays are 11-7 in his starts.
— over 7-3 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 6-18
— record in first 5 innings: 10-7-1
— He is 5-1, 1.23 in nine starts vs New York.

— Toronto lost its last three games.
— Blue Jays are 1-5 in last six road games.
— Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-93
— record in first 5 innings: 4-8 last 12 on road

— Walker is 1-1, 6.05 in his last five starts.
— Mets are 14-3 in his starts.
— over 6-3 in last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 10-5-2
— He is 0-3, 3.96 in four starts vs Toronto.

— Mets are 16-18 in their last 34 games.
— Mets are 8-5 in their last 13 home games.
— over 4-3 last seven home games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-94
— record in first 5 innings: 42-40-12

White Sox (58-39) @ Milwaukee (56-41)
— Rodon is 2-0, 0.69 in his last two starts.
— Chicago is 11-5 in his starts.
— under 10-3 last 13
— allowed run in first inning: 2-16
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-4
— He gave up a run in two IP, in one start vs Milwaukee.

— Chicago won nine of its last 13 games.
— White Sox are 5-1 in last six road games.
— over 11-3 last 14 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-97
— record in first 5 innings: 53-28-16

— Burnes is 2-0, 0.99 in his last four starts.
— Milwaukee is 8-8 in his starts.
— over 6-0 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 3-16
— record in first 5 innings: 9-3-4
— He gave up 2 runs in 3.2 IP, in a relief stint vs Chicago.

— Brewers won four of last six games.
— Milwaukee is 8-8 in last 16 home games.
— under 6-2-1 last nine home games.
— scored run in first inning: 33-98
— record in first 5 innings: 46-33-19

Saturday’s umpires
Az-Chi- Under is 7-1 in last eight Hoberg games.
Atl-Phil- Over is 9-4 in last 13 Hernandez games.
SD-Mia- Under is 11-6 in last 17 Eddings games.
StL-Cin- Under is 8-3 in last 11 Hamari games.
Pitt-SF- Under is 4-1 in last five Diaz games.
Colo-LA- Home side won 12 of last 15 Carapazza games.

NY-Bos- Over is 14-1 in last 15 Barber games.
LAA-Minn- Over is 8-1 in last nine Randazzo games.
Det-KC- Over is 5-0-1 in last six Hallion games.
TB-Clev- Over is 9-5 in last 14 Carlson games.
Tex-Hst- Under is 5-1 in last six Marquez games.
A’s-Sea- Over is 10-2 in Ceja games.

Wsh-Balt- Home side won 6 of last 7 Lentz games.
Chi-Mil- Under is 6-3 in last nine Rehak games.
Tor-NYM- Under is 7-2 in last nine Reyburn games

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-24-2021, 05:52 AM

Al Cimaglia: Hawthorne Jackpot High-5 Analysis-Mandatory Payout

July 24, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
Tonight, Hawthorne Racecourse will have a mandatory payout in the Jackpot High 5 that rolls in Race 11. The carryover is $189,900 and the estimated pool is $500,000. Hopefully my comments will help you build a ticket to fit your budget in a race without a true standout.

Comments below are based on a fast track.

Race 11

1-Daybreak Girl (5-1)-This mare had the stars lined up to get the 1st win of the year last week and is now 0-20. Couldn't win off a suck around trip from the same post at a lower class. Not a win candidate but with an advantageous trip might hit the bottom of the ticket if everything fell into place.

2-Ashlees's Joy (9/2)-Drops after having post 10 in last and was jammed up down the stretch but it didn't cost her a picture. This is Todd Warren's choice over #7 and probably has the best chance of winning versus this crew. Should be a player but could be over bet and does like to finish 2nd rather than win. Has 5 wins and 18 second place finishes at Haw.

3-Beach Passage (9-1)-Arrived from Hoosier and did well for 3 races back in May and recent form has been dull. Leonard had been steering but now drives for his dad's barn and will be on #6. Wilfong is between the pipes and will need to work a good trip. Current form suggests a bottom of the ticket possibility only, unless this mare wakes-up tonight.

4-Admit (15-1)-This mare is 1 for the last 34 and was still Ridge Warren's choice over #1. This gal does drop a notch but couldn't win at this level in May. This is a one-move type and looks like a tail end of the ticket possibility at best.

5-Double Parked (30-1)-Only win came at the basement class on 1st the start on Lasix back on 6-5. Since then has struggled versus better and came 5th at this class last week. That start was with Bender and now Steward steers, so not a positive driver change. Should be at about 30-1 or more, and finishing 5th looks like the ceiling.

6-Dune Dame (9/2)-This is a $6k claimer who comes close but couldn't win at that class and steps-up. This isn't a field of All-Stars and Team Leonard has won at a 20% clip over the last 30 days. Might be on the ticket, doesn't look like a win possibility and could be over bet.

7-Ideal Toy (15-1)-Barn is 0-8, Jordan Patton is a rookie driver and he takes over tonight and there is more to not like. Has faced better in Ohio and drops here but hasn't come close in all 3 local starts. Would need a form reversal and some luck to hit the ticket.

8-Tropical Tracey (12-1)-Went off at 7/2 at this class last week and finished a close-up 3rd. But now goes from post 2 to post 8 and won't be able to get the top and go to the half in 58.1. Should be a big price and looks like one of many that could hit a bottom slot but would need to get a good early seat.

9-EZpay (30-1)-Comes off 2 straight scratches and the last start was on 7-2. Hasn't won in the last 2 years (0-13) and is only 2-21 at the track. Bender stays loyal to the Leu barn but that stable is 0-16 over the last 365 days. Can't bank on being ready for a big try especially from this post.

10-Barley Nation (30-1)-This will be the 2nd start since shipping in from Scioto and has hit the board in 8 of 11 in Stickney. Last week's effort at this same class resulted in a 3rd place check. From the inside this mare could make some real noise. Not sure how she can be put in play from post 10 to win but this is a price shot that can be used in a few slots on the ticket.

11-Charlotte Royal N (7/2)-Did cash a check versus Open company but was in too deep with that kind. Got claimed for $10k and didn't look good in the 1st start for the Roberts barn on 6-17. This mare has some speed but starting in the 2nd tier may have sealed her fate. Not sure she could win without being up close or leading turning for home and offers no value if bet down.

12-Roaring Home (30-1)-Hasn't won in 21 tries at Haw and would need to get sucked around to hit the bottom of the ticket. Would needs to get a fortunate trip to be heard from and it won't be easy.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-24-2021, 05:53 AM

Jeff Siegel's Del Mar Analysis - Saturday, July 24, 2021

July 24, 2021
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

RACE 1: Post: 2:00 PT Grade: B-
Use: 3-Tmorrowisalongtime; 5-Buzz of New York; 6-Red Diamond

Forecast: The Saturday opener is a contentious two-turn maiden turf affair for fillies and mares that doesn’t appear to have a whole lot of early speed signed on. We’ll spread and hope to get a price horse home. Tmorrowisalongtime had one dirt sprint last year during her juvenile campaign, a distant third place effort in a fast, highly-rated race won by the talented Private Mission. The daughter of Frosted kept to her task in the lane while giving the impression that she’ll probably be best suited by a distance of ground. Nine months later she returns going a mile on grass following a string of what appears to be good workouts at San Luis Rey Downs for a barn that excels with layoff runners. From a comfortable inside draw and with good grass rider U. Rispoli taking the call, the R. Baltas-trained filly has a chance to be forwardly placed, maybe even on the lead, and given that type of trip she could be very dangerous at a nice price. Let’s put her on top. Buzz of New York ran well when beaten a neck in a decent handicap over the left-handed Leopardstown course in April and based on that race should be quite competitive when returning to the maiden ranks for her U.S. debut. The local works are okay for a trainer that has superior stats with first-out European imports, and with F. Prat taking the call she’s certain to attract plenty of play. Red Diamond exits a live race and should be capable of handling the added ground, although her one prior outing around two-turns last year over this course and distance wasn’t particularly impressive. Perhaps she’s a better type now. These are the three we’ll be using in our rolling exotics while recognizing that Rhythm and Grace (the possible pace-setter) and Norma Jean B. (in the frame in five of nine career starts) both have solid credentials as well.
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RACE 2: Post: 2:30 PT Grade: B
Use: 3-Sachel de Ritches; 3-Awhitesportscoat

Forecast: Proponents of the “horses for courses” theory will be lined up to back Awhitesportscoat in this $12,500 claiming sprint after a series of good recent races during the Los Alamitos thoroughbred season on the big track and before that around the hook during the evening programs. Actually, the seven-year-old gelding is tough just about anywhere when he’s feeling good, especially at Del Mar, where he’s won three of four lifetime starts over a rally-wide track that compliments his late-running style. Bug boy C. Ortega, who knows him well, stays aboard the son of Hansen, who seeks his 11th win from what will be his 40th career start. Satchel de Ritches, claimed in two of his last three starts and now in the R. Hess, Jr. barn, missed by a head when last seen in mid-May competing for a $16,000 price. The two month layoff and the class drop cause some concern, but on pure numbers he’s dangerous if can deliver one of his better efforts. These are the two we’ll be using in our rolling exotics with preference on top to Awhitesportscoat.
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RACE 3: Post: 3:00 PT Grade: X
Single: 2-Sea Dreamer

Forecast: Sea Dreamer was more than eight lengths clear of the rest when runner-up in her debut behind Just Distorted last month, earning a powerful speed figure in a hot race from which the third place finisher already has come back to win. Anything even remotely close to that effort today will easily handle this group of maidens. The S, Callaghan barn is quite proficient with second-time starters, hitting at 25%, and with F. Prat staying aboard, the daughter of Into Mischief surely will be a very short-priced favorite and therefore unplayable other than as a logical, no-value rolling exotic single.
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RACE 4: Post: 3:30 PT Grade: B
Use: 4-Trainer Please; 6-Just About Enough; 9-Oncoming

Forecast: Here’s another maiden turf miler, this one for the boys, and just like today’s first race we’ll be seeking some price chances while trying to beat logical contenders such as Hollywoodhellraisr (nosed out vs. similar last time out with a perfect trip) and Lone Scout (first time gelding). Just About Enough was given a race in his debut when winding up a troubled ninth, beaten five lengths, after rallying on his own courage in traffic to finish willingly but much too late. The son of Twirling Candy gets an extra quarter of a mile to work with today while adding blinkers and switching to J. J. Hernandez for trainer M. Glatt, whose record with second-time starters (28% with a powerful ROI) is encouraging, to say the least. With a healthy series of workouts since his debut in mid-June, this grey gelding seems certain to step forward significantly, and with good racing luck could pull off an upset. Oncoming displayed promise in his lone start as a two-year-old last October when rallying with interest to finish a solid third over this course and distance. The son of Quality Road makes his first start since with a series of strong drills to have him fit enough, and as a first-time Lasix user with U. Rispoli riding him back this homebred colt looks dangerous. Trainer Please flashed good early speed before weakening his first two career starts, both times winding up in the money in what were better than par races for the level. Bred to run long and handle turf (Orb from a War Front mare), the D. O’Neill-trained gelding is certain to be the controlling speed, and we suspect that if he’s ever going to successfully handles two-turns, it will be in his first try. You have to throw him in somewhere.
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Race 5: Post: 4:00 PT GRADE: B-
Use: 2-Sponsored; 3-Bold Voyager; 9-Blue Star

Forecast: Bottom-rung maiden $20,000 older claimers meet over a mile in a race that doesn’t have a whole lot in it. Blue Star drops to his lowest level ever, and although he’s already had nine chances his numbers suggests that he’s finally found his friends. His only prior dirt race – his debut as a 3-year-old – wasn’t terrible and with the switch to F. Prat this D. O’Neill-trained gelding may be capable of producing the last run. Sponsored, claimed in both of his career starts and now in the R. Hess, Jr., barn, has numbers that fit after displaying some spark when a closing third in a maiden $30,000 extended sprint at Churchill Downs last month. Eligible for the lucrative ship-and-win purse bonus, the son of Runhappy picks up U. Rispoli and more than likely will be reserved early and then produced as the field heads for home. Bold Voyager is another sneaky type worth including in your rolling exotics. This will be his first start in a maiden claimer and his first over conventional dirt, so the son of Grazen has a right to be better than shown and gets an ideal spot to prove it. Additionally, he’s competitive on speed figures, gets a break in the weights with the shift to bug boy C. Ortega, and projects to be forwardly placed and free of trouble.
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RACE 6: Post: 4:30 PT Grade: B
Use: 3-Memo Daddy; 5-Uncle Addouma; 7-Exultation; 10-Ottawa Fire

Forecast: This first-level allowance turf miler is deep and contentious, with several having the credentials to win. Memo Daddy, third in both starts since being imported from Chile, should produce another forward move today in a race that will probably find him saving ground behind the leaders, locked and loaded, waiting to be turned loose. The M. McCarthy-trained horse found himself on the lead going nine furlongs last time out and dug in gamely before going down by less than a length. Today, In his third start off a layoff and shortening back to a mile, the son of Scat Daddy can be expected to produce a career top performance. Uncle Addouma didn’t get the best of runs and by all rights should have been in the picture when fourth, beaten less than three lengths, in a similar event at Santa Anita last month. Saving ground but with nowhere to go, the Uncle Mo colt took hold late but simply ran out of room in a much better performance than the line will show. With Hernandez opting for Memo Daddy, this M. McCarthy-trained 4-year-old gets significant weight off with the switch to bug girl J. Pyfer. Exultation makes career start number 16 today but his first around two turns, and we suspect gate-to-wire tactics will be employed. The son of Paynter is solid in the speed figure department and has won two of his last three in starter allowance company; he tackles tougher today but could produce a significant forward move if not policed on the front end. Also worth tossing in is the Irish invader Ottawa Fire, who makes his U.S. debut for the powerful F. Prat/P. D’Amato team. He’s a first-time Lasix user arriving with good spring form in solid handicaps that drew huge fields of 23 and 15 runners. With just five career starts, the four-year-old gelding clearly has room for further development.
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RACE 7: Post: 5:00 PT Grade: B+
Single: 5-Honor It

Forecast: Honor It is a Tapit filly out of the outstanding local stakes winning grass filly With Honors from the remarkable family of Kitten’s Joy and Dreaming of Anna. She’s a quick-actioned, athletic filly that has been breezing under restraint most of her recent works and makes her debut in this five and one-half furlong main track sprint with a steady foundation of drills that dates back to mid-April. Indeed, she appears to be blessed with a ton of natural talent but as a first-timer we’re not sure how quick she’ll be leaving the gate. Her trainer (R. Mandella) has a reputation of not winning as often as he should with fast-working first timer starters, though the stats say that at 20% he’s actually more proficient than most. The three inside fillies in the field (Mirasol, Mitigation, and Bicameral) all have workout times that are impressive at face value and could be dangerous if Honor It doesn’t perform up to expectations. We’re hoping that she will.
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RACE 8: Post: 5:30 PT Grade: B+
Use: 3-Say the Word; 6-Smooth Like Strait

Forecast: We’re going to take a stand against the defending Eddie Read S.-G2 winner United, who was far below his best form when last of four without any apparent excuse in the Charles Whittingham S.-G2 at Santa Anita in his most recent start in late May. Of course, the high class gelding could easily bounce back, and if he does, we’ll tip our hat, but instead we’ll gamble using just Say the Word and Smooth Like Strait in our rolling exotics. Say The Word has been a marathoner most of his career, but he can be equally effective in middle distances affairs. The son of More Than Ready appeared on top of his game when finishing full of run to be second in the Shoemaker Mile-G1 last time out and at a mile and one-eighth we could easily see the P. D’Amato-trained gelding produce a winning late bid. Nine furlongs may be stretching the limit of Smooth Like Strait but he’s so genuine and consistent that no matter what the pace flow turns out to be he always digs down deep when the pressure is turned on late. The son of Midnight Lute likely will stalk the expected pace-setter Award Winner to the head of the lane before making his move and then have his chance to strike the front sometime during the final furlong before attempting to fend off the late closers, such as Say the Word. May the best horse win.
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RACE 9: Post: 6:00 PT Grade: B
Use: 5-First Prez; 6-Clem Labine; 7-Jazz Hands

Forecast: Jazz Hands is a 3-year-old tackling older for the first time but he’s fast enough on speed figures to beat this field and is comfortably drawn one from the outside where the better lanes are. The son of Square Eddie switches to J. Hernandez and projects to stalk the inside speed types (Push to Start, I’ll Stand Taller) and then have every chance to go on by from the top of the lane to the wire. First Prez has rising speed figures for D. O’Neil,l and with patient handling he could be the most dangerous of the closing types. He’s been a grass specialist most of his career but ran well on dirt two runs back and after a six week freshening could be set for a career top mark. Clem Labine, a prototype late-running sprinter and therefore idealyl suited for this extended sprint distance, is fast on numbers and always reliable, having finished first or second in 15 of 23 career starts. He’s run well over the Del Mar main track in the past and should be heard from in the final furlong.
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RACE 10: Post: 6:30 PT Grade: X
Single: 2-Going Global

Forecast: Going Global is unbeaten in four starts since being imported from Ireland and it doesn’t appear she’s going to have her streak snapped any time soon. Her speed figures continue to rise, she’s been training better than ever, and from a comfortable inside draw in this year’s edition of the San Clemente S.-G3 the P. D’Amato-trained filly is guaranteed a ground-saving trip against a field that on paper looks completely outclassed. She’s an obvious no-value rolling exotic single as she awaits for stiffer challenges down the road.
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RACE 11: Post: 7:00 PT Grade: B-
Use: 6-Traffic Stopper; 10-Big Passion

Forecast: The finale has two main players and it’ll be surprising if this modest restricted (nw-2) $16,000 claiming sprint for fillies and mares isn’t won by one or the other. Traffic Stopper, freshened since late May, retains F. Prat and consistently has earned speed figures that can beat a soft field such as this. First or second in four of her last five starts, the M. Puype-trained filly isn’t the type to make up much ground, so she’ll need to break well and establish her position close to the pace. Things will get dicey if she’s forced to rally from farther back than a second flight, stalking position. The one she’ll have to beat is Big Passion, second while five lengths clear of the rest earlier this month at Los Alamitos. Her late kick is a bit more trustworthy than Traffic Stopper’s and her numbers are rising, so from a good outside post position the T. Yakteen-trained daughter of Mr. Big seems quite likely to continue her improving pattern.
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**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-24-2021, 05:55 AM

Jeff Siegel's Saratoga Analysis - Saturday, July 24, 2021

July 24, 2021
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

RACE 1: Post: 1:05 ET Grade: B-
Use: 1-Giocare; 7-Royal Realm

Forecast: Royal Realm is realistically dropped into a claimer for the first time and the J. Jerkens-trained colt should make the most of the opportunity. With a decided edge in the speed figure department, the son of Empire Maker removes blinkers (love that angle) and tries two turns for the time (he’s routed around one turn in three of his four career outings) and should be able to settle in mid-pack and then produce a winning bid when called upon. Giocare lands the good rail and is the one to fear most. He, too, is surfacing in a seller for the first time in his second start off a layoff for T. Pletcher (20% with this angle) and is very likely to improve against this group with the switch to I. Ortiz, Jr. In what appears on paper to be a modest race for the level, we’re expecting the winner to be one of these two with a slight edge on top to Royal Realm.
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RACE 2: Post: 1:41 ET Grade: B+
Use: 3-So Enchanting; 4-Pathetique

Forecast: Pathetique was eliminated at the start in her debut sprinting at Churchill Downs last month, but after dropping back almost 20 lengths behind the leader in this five and one-half furlong turf dash the daughter of Uncle Mo closed a significant gap in the final furlong to finish a much-better-than-looked eighth (beaten eight lengths) before galloping out full of run into the clubhouse turn. Since arriving in New York, the P. Bauer-trained sophomore has trained extremely well – good enough to make our Primed and Ready List – so we’re expecting a significant amount of improvement today in this one mile inner turf maiden event for older fillies and mares. Hopefully, she’ll leave with her field this time, so at 15-1 on the morning line she’ll offer considerable long shot value in the win pool and in rolling exotic play. So Enchanting has displayed ability in three sprint races including a recent comeback effort in her first start since October. The C. Brown-trained filly might find herself on the front end, and if she can clear without pressure she’s very likely to take this group a long way. The barn hits at a superb 27% with second-off-layoff runners so we’re expecting ‘Enchanting to step forward in a significant way. Both should be included in rolling exotic play with preference on top to the big priced Pathetique.
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RACE 3: Post: 2:15 ET Grade: B-
Use: 3-Cantrell Hill; 6-Strolling

Forecast: Strolling has been claimed in four of his last five starts, most recently by the capable C. Summers stable and the veteran gelding, compromised by a wet track when runner-up at this level last time out, should be capable of returning to winning form in this $25,000 extended sprint for older horses. We’re projecting J. L. Ortiz to have him in a good second flight, stalking position outside and then have dead aim from the quarter pole home. Cantrell Hill has been primarily a middle distance performer in this career but this six and one-half furlong trip shouldn’t be an issue. Fresh from a game win in optional claiming company at Churchill Downs, the son of More Than Ready is a fit on numbers and has finished first or second in 10 of 20 career starts. We’ll be surprised if he doesn’t fire another big shot today.
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RACE 4: Post: 2:49 ET Grade: B-
Use: 4-Bardolino; 7-Vodka Lemonade; 10-Forced

Forecast: We’ll focus on three main players in this contentious grass sprint for older restricted (nw-2) $40,000 claimers. Pimlico shipper Forced must leave from the far outside 10-hole but should be quick enough to get over and be on or near the lead throughout. He’s always suspect under pressure in the final sixteenth but he’s fast enough on speed figures to outrun this group and a repeat of his only prior grass effort (two races back) should be good enough. Bardolino shows up in a claimer for the first time, shortens to an abbreviated sprint and may be capable of improvement against this softer field. He’s not likely to outrun Forced during the early stages of the race but projects to be in the right spot if that one hits a wall close home. Vodka Lemonade is noticeable slower on numbers than our top pick, but he switches to J. Rosario and has hit the board in five of his last six starts. The M. Maker-trained colt probably is worth including on your ticket as a back-up or a saver.
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RACE 5: Post: 3:21 ET Grade: X
Single: 1-Malathaat

Forecast: Unbeaten Malathaat has just three rivals in this year’s edition of the C.C.A. Oaks-G1 and will be a very short price to extend her perfect streak to six in this nine furlong main track event for sophomore fillies. Fresh from a career top performance in the Kentucky Oaks-G1 and training better than ever in recent weeks, the daughter of Curlin seems certain to become even more dominant than she’s been so far been with distance, experience, and maturity. She’s a no value rolling exotic single in an unplayable race.
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RACE 6: Post: 3:55 ET Grade: B
Use: 7-Watasha; 10-Fluid Situation

Forecast: Watasha, a debuting Into Mischief colt for the C. Brown/I. Ortiz, Jr. combo, is listed at 3-1 on the morning line in this maiden sprint for juveniles but we’re expecting him to go lower than that. The well-regarded colt, a $450,000 Keeneland purchase, looks the part and has trained to expectations, showing a couple of smart local gate works, both in :48 flat, a bullet drill (fastest of 18) on June 30 and then the third fastest of 98 just eight days ago. We like him on top but also will include on a back-up ticket Fluid Situation, who breezed in :21 flat at the OBS April sale before bringing $200,00 through the ring. A full brother to Indiana Derby winner Axelrod, the son of Warrior’s Reward lands J. Rosario and an outside post and while there’s nothing fancy about his recent workout times he’s been giving enough of a foundation to be fit.
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RACE 7: Post: 4:29 ET Grade: B+
Use: 4-Hombre; 7-Calilbrate; 11-Space Launch

Forecast: The seventh race is a gras grab bag for first-level allowance older horses requiring a considerable spread in rolling exotic play. We’ll use four and hope to get a price home. Calibrate was an excellent runner-up to Kinetic Sky while five lengths clear of the rest when earning a career top speed figure in his most recent outing in late June, and if he can duplicate that form in his first try on turf the son of Distorted Humor can spring a mild surprise at 6-1 on the morning line. He does his best running on or near the lead and in a race that projects to produce soft early fractions the S. Asmussen-trained colt should be just where he wants to be every step of the way. Hombre was a visually pleasing maiden winner in his second career start last month at Belmont Park, doing so with a comfortable stalking trip before producing a good late kick to register a strong speed figure. The Tourist colt is still a bit green and sloppy on his leads, but we expect continued improvement from the B. Tagg-trained colt, who projects to enjoy an ideal ground-saving, second flight, stalking trip. Space Launch has produced a forward move in each of his three career starts and is another lightly-raced colt headed in the right direction. The C. Clement-trained sophomore is drawn a bit farther outside than we’d prefer but he retains J. Rosario and should be able to settle in mid-pack somewhere and then have his chance to at least hit the board.
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RACE 8: Post: 5:05 ET Grade: B
Use: 1-Split the Double; 3-Rastafara; 9-Ego Trip

Forecast: This maiden event for older fillies and mares over a mile on the inner course came up quite strong and it should take a pretty good performance to win it. The three listed above all appear capable of doing just that. Rastafara, beaten as the favorite in her first two career starts but perhaps a tad unlucky in both, gets a chance to make amends after being freshened since early May. The C. Brown-trained filly continues to be very impressive in her a.m. drills, so with a clean start and a comfortable second flight, stalking trip the Irish-bred daughter of Shamardal should be tough to deny for the powerful C. Brown/I. Ortiz, Jr. team. Her stable mate Split the Double, beaten in a photo in her last two starts while earning rising speed figures, lands the good rail and projects to settle in mid-pack and then have her chance to rally when called upon. Ego Trip makes her U.S. debut for B. Walsh after finishing a distant but solid runner-up in her only outing in May overseas at Newcastle. She gets Lasix and sports a solid work tab to have her fit but must overcome an extreme outside post.
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RACE 9: Post: 5:39 ET Grade: B
Use: 6-Caramel Swift; 7-Zainalarab; 8-Flash Magic

Forecast: Flash Magic crushed maidens in her first start since last October and her first since being transferred from B. Baffert’s barn to trainer S. Asmussen, doing so at Churchill Downs last month after the pressing the pace and then drawing clear with authority. This raise in class at this extended sprint distance is the logical next step and she’s probably the to beat once again, though on pure numbers she’s hardly dominant. Therefore, we’ll include a couple of others in rolling exotic play. Caramel Swift broke her maiden by a pole at Keeneland but then was flat and no factor when perhaps overmatched in the Eight Belles S.-G2 at Churchill Downs in late April. Freshened since then and training extremely well for W. Mott, the daughter of Union Rags is reunited with “win” rider J. Alvarado and will be tough with anything close to the highly-rated performance she turned in when breaking her maiden during the spring meeting at Keeneland. Zainalarab, a bit slower on speed figures than our top pick, has plenty of room for development after just two starts and appears to be a filly of some potential for C. Brown. She has the proper stalking style for this distance and seems likely to produce a forward move in her first outing since late April.
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RACE 10: Post: 6:13 ET Grade: B
Use: 1-Caravel; 2-Robin Sparkles

Forecast: Robin Sparkles has won three of her last four in the only manner she knows how to win – on the front end, every step of the way – and recent workouts since her most recent victory indicates she’s ready for another blazer. A perfect one-for-one over the Saratoga grass course, the daughter of Elusive Quality will have to deal with the intense speed that pace-rival Jakarta is capable of dishing out. The latter stumbled at the start when they met in that June 24 allowance race at Belmont Park and didn’t bother ‘Sparkles; today it might be a different story and if so then the late-charging Caravel will have a chance to blow by both of them late. The Mizzen Mast filly, a winner of three of her last four including a massive victory at Monmouth Park in a listed last month, has captured six of eight overall and should be set for another career top effort. We’ll give Robin Sparkles a very slight edge on top, but Caravel is a “must use” as well in rolling exotic play.

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RACE 11: Post: 6:47 ET Grade: X
Single: 7-My Lips Are Sealed

Forecast: Let’s take a stand in the nightcap and single My Lips Are Sealed in this inner turf course middle distance affair for first-level allowance state-bred fillies and mares. Beaten a half-length when third in a strong, highly-rated (and stakes quality) allowance race at Belmont Park in early June, the daughter of Algorithms faces a considerably easier group today and should draft into a comfortable pace-stalking trip and then have her chance to exert her superiority when the pressure is turned on. On pure numbers, she’s a standout and recent workouts indicate she’s plenty after a nearly six week freshening. She’s listed at 7/5 on the morning line and that seems about right.
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**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-24-2021, 05:57 AM

AI Picks: Pimlico Turf Stakes | Saturday, July 24, 2021

July 24, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
Pimlico presents a Saturday quartet of turf stakes worth $500,000 in purses. To assist your handicapping, selections provided by the 1/ST BET app measure each contender against the 10 leading factors for each race. The 1/ST BET app looks at 52 handicapping factors and more than 200,000 past races to determine its AI selections. You can use the automated handicapping factors, or create your own factor filters to incorporate angles you prefer. Full selections can be found in the 1/ST BET app.

1/ST BET and Xpressbet customers can take advantage of up to a $10 money-back guarantee on all 4 of these stakes races. If your win bet finishes second or third, we'll refund your wager when you bet with 1/ST BET and Xpressbet.

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Pimlico // Race 2 // 1:09 pm ET // $100,000 Bald Eagle Derby // 1-1/2 miles (turf)

#2 Indian Lake (2-1 ML) // 29%W
#4 Shackled Love (12-1 ML) // 18%W
#6 Experienced (5-2 ML) // 16%W
#5 Wooten Asset (8-5 ML) // 15%W

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Pimlico // Race 4 // 2:10 pm ET // $100,000 Sensible Lady Turf Dash // 5 furlongs (turf)

#5 Golden Can (7-2 ML) // 29%W
#6 Can the Queen (5-1 ML) // 22%W
#2 What a Trick (4-1 ML) // 16%W
#4 So Gracious (3-1 ML) // 12%W

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Pimlico // Race 6 // 3:15 pm ET // $100,000 Big Dreyfuss Stakes // 1-1/8 miles (turf)

#1 Sailingintothewind (6-1 ML) // 28%W
#2 Counterparty Risk (6-5 ML) // 22%W
#5 No Mo Lady (3-1 ML) // 18%W
#6 Sister Hanan (3-1 ML) // 14%W

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Pimlico // Race 8 // 4:19 pm ET // $200,000 Grade 3 Baltimore-Washington International Turf Cup // 1 mile (turf)

#6 Ramsey Solution (5-2 ML) // 31%W
#4 Pixelate (2-1 ML) // 19%W
#1 Field Pass (8-5 ML) // 16%W
#3 Talk Or Listen (8-1 ML) // 15%W

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-24-2021, 05:58 AM

Race of the Week: Baltimore/Washington Int'l Turf Cup

July 22, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
$200,000 GRADE 3 BALTIMORE/WASHINGTON INTERNATIONAL TURF CUP AT PIMLICO
Saturday, July 24, 2021

The Lead:
Back after a 1-year absence, no thanks to the COVID-19 schedule shuffles a year ago, the Grade 3 Baltimore/Washington International Turf Cup anchors a 4-stakes Saturday at Pimlico. The quartet of co-features total $500,000 in purses and are all to be contested on the grass. The Race 8 BWI Turf Cup is joined on the undercard by the Bald Eagle Derby (Race 2), the Sensible Lady Turf Sprint (Race 4) and the Big Dreyfus (Race 6).

Field Depth:
PIXELATE is a Grade 2 stakes winner, while multiple Grade 3 winner FIELD PASS and Grade 3 winner/Grade 2-placed ENGLISH BEE also have wins at the level. TALK OR LISTEN is Grade 2-placed. FIELD PASS has consistently held the strongest company lines.

Pace:
For a turf mile, there's very little of it. RAMSEY SOLUTION should be sent to the front from the outside 6-post and try to take them as far as he can. FIELD PASS likely sits second and the rest will try to keep in touch from midflight or farther. This race looks capable of being stolen up front.

Our Eyes:
PIXELATE returns from his Fair Hill, MD base for a third try at the meet, missing the photo in the Henry S. Clark before winning the mile and one-eighth Prince Georges County from off the pace. The mile trip will be a challenge, but he did win over the distance in the Woodchopper at Fair Grounds earlier this year. Trainer Mike Stidham has last year's Del Mar Derby winner in good form; which does beg some question as to why they aren't returning west this year? But with 16 superfecta finishes in 16 tries below the Grade 1 level, there's no doubt he fits fine in this spot.

FIELD PASS has lost his last 7 turf starts, but has taken on considerably tougher competition than these. Trainer Mike Maker is 4-9 in Pimlico raids at the meet and is on fire nationally during the month of July. This one should get a dynamite trip inside with little pace pressure, sitting second to RAMSEY SOLUTION. While not a pure miler, he was beaten just over 4 combined lengths in 2 of America's premier turf miles, the Mathis Brothers at Santa Anita and the Maker's Mark at Keeneland. That should play effectively here.

ENGLISH BEE has been defeated by BWI Turf Cup rivals PIXELATE, TALK OR LISTEN and RAMSEY SOLUTION in just his last 4 starts. He's a local turf course stakes winner at age 3 who has not scored a victory in the past 2 years. Trainer Graham Motion has enjoyed great success at the Pimlico meet in grass stakes, but this deep closer should be compromised by the lack of early pace.

TALK OR LISTEN appears better at shorter trips and could find the mile to his liking. He made a middle move and lost starch over the 9-furlong Prince Georges County when giving way late to PIXELATE. TALK OR LISTEN posts consistent low-90s to 100 BRIS late pace figures in 1-1/16 miles races, and could be sharper over the mile Saturday. He's not without a chance for excellent turf trainer Arnaud Delacour. But he's only 1-7 since coming to the US and it's easy to attach to others.

RAMSEY SOLUTION has the lone speed possibility for trainer Wesley Ward. This one won the Tapit at Kentucky Downs last fall over a mile and 70 yards, but it's his runner-up last out an overnight stakes at Churchill that may be as telling. That day he chased Set Piece, the 6-5 favorite for Brad Cox who came back to win the Grade 2 Wise Dan Stakes in his next start. So while RAMSEY SOLUTION doesn't have the graded credentials on his resume to date, he has faced a rival in Set Piece that gives us a pretty good measuring stick at his potential. Jockey Mychel Sanchez has been riding turf outstanding this summer at Delaware Park.

POSTERITY completed the field as a rank outsider from the claiming ranks.

Most Certain Exotics Contender:
PIXELATE has credentials over the course and has never missed the superfecta when below the Grade 1 level.

Best Longshot Exotics Contender:
RAMSEY SOLUTION or TALK OR LISTEN would be the potential price players, but don't expect anything too large in a 6-horse field with at least one obvious toss in POSTERITY. I'll take the lone speed at a square price.

Sending it in ($100 bankroll):
$50 win RAMSEY SOLUTION. $25 exacta part-wheel RAMSEY SOLUTION over PIXELATE and FIELD PASS ($50).

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-24-2021, 06:00 AM

Saratoga & Del Mar ‘Fun’ Analysis & Picks

July 22, 2021 | By Johnny D

Week 2 of Xpressbet’s entertaining and profitable Fun in the Sun competition is Saturday and it’s your chance to make hay while the sun shines on racing at Saratoga and Del Mar. The competition is limited to Xpressbet account holders only and awards cash and Final Table seats to top players each Saturday.

There’s a $25 weekly registration fee and players may make live $10 Win wagers on one horse in each of 10 competition races. That amounts to $100 in total play. Since wagers are ‘live’ players get to keep what they win. A few nice hits and you could make money even without winning a cash prize.

Of course, the ultimate goal of Fun in the Sun is to gain entry to the Final Table where a $10,000-added pot awaits qualified participants. The top 5 players each week will get a seat at the table, so don’t miss a Saturday chance to qualify for the Sept. 4 main event.

With Fun in the Sun in mind, below is one man’s humble opinion regarding those competition races—the last 5 at Saratoga and the first 5 at Del Mar. We’ve provided some in-depth handicapping angles for contenders and listed ‘Best’ plays along with others worth consideration. As in any tournament competition, it’s advisable for players to lean toward price horses whenever possible. The selections below have been made before scratches, changes and track and course conditions are known. Please, accept the comments as they are intended: To possibly direct you toward a runner at a price you otherwise might not consider.

Oh, and by the way, there’s also are plenty of other wagering options surrounding the covered races below, including the Saratoga Late Pick 5 and the Del Mar early Pick 5, if you’re so inclined.

Great luck playing Fun in the Sun and whatever other wagers you include. See you Saturday for some Fun in the Sun at the Spa and Where the Turf Meets the Surf!

Saratoga
Race 7
OC$80K/N1X
One Mile & One Sixteenth (Turf)
Three Year Olds

#1 Performing Arts enters off a maiden score going one mile over Churchill turf. He’s in good form but will need to buck the maiden-to-winners hurdle. He races from off the pace. Like several in here, he’s a new face to the New York circuit.

#2 Shady McGee enters off a longshot effort in Canterbury’s Mystic Lake Derby. This will be his first race in New York after several starts in Great Britain and Kentucky. He would be a surprise.

#3 Shifting Sands hails from the Chad Brown barn and didn’t fare well in the Woodhaven Stakes at Aqueduct in April. Before that he won a Tampa one-mile maiden race with first-time Lasix. He hasn’t distinguished himself so far.

#4 Hombre enjoyed a ‘yielding’ Belmont course last out July 4 and destroyed six rivals to break maiden. Before that he was a troubled and closing fifth in a Belmont turf test. He’s sharp and, if it the soft turf wasn’t solely responsible for his big effort, he fits well while going from maidens to winners. There’s not much pace in this race, so this guy could have a say early under jockey Davis.

#6 Mira Mission ran well last out over a ‘yielding’ Belmont course to finish a close second. He’s won 2 of 5 races with one second. Jose Lezcano returns in the saddle for low-profile conditioner Tom Bush.

#7 Calibrate makes a first turf start for Hall of Fame trainer Steve Asmussen. He just missed in an optional claimer at Churchill last out and makes his first local start since his first race here in August of ’20 when he won a dirt sprint. Off that maiden score he was pitched against the best in the Gr. 1 Breeders’ Futurity and then Gr. 1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. Neither one went well. He’s at least interesting off a runner-up two-turn dirt effort.

#8 Dream Big Dreams makes a first turf start for 24% trainer Brittany Russel off a pair of runner-up efforts at Pimlico. This guy tried the New York circuit in February without much success. Maybe the turf will propel him forward?

#9 Munqad is one of two Todd Pletcher runners in this race. Johnny V. takes over in the saddle for Joel Rosario who moves to #11 Space Launch. Velazquez is familiar with this colt from an unsuccessful Gulfstream turf try. This one’s claim to fame is a seven and one-half furlong Gulfstream turf victory. The rest of the resume is a bit lacking, but he has shown speed on occasion and there doesn’t appear to be much of that in here.

#10 Never Explain was successful last out going one mile and one-sixteenth on Indiana grass. He now joins the big time at the Spa but will need to step up his game a bit to compete here.

#11 Space Launch seems the most likely winner in here. He was third last out when first-time Lasix back in May at Belmont Park. He broke maiden first out going one mile over the same course and followed that up with a third in the Awad Stakes over a ‘yielding’ surface. Joel Rosario rides for the second time for trainer Christophe Clement, who’s off to a decent Spa start with 2 winners. He’s got enough early speed to be close to whatever pace develops.

#12 Future Victory is another Todd Pletcher runner in this field, and he’s got 2 wins in 6 starts, including a nice score last out in a $50k starter at Bemont. He broke maiden for a $50k tag at Gulfstream in March. He doesn’t have much speed and will need help up front, especially from this post, but he’s got the talents of Irad Ortiz in the saddle to help the cause.

Best: #11
Next: #4, #7, #9

Race 8
Md Sp Wt $100k
One Mile (Inner Turf)
Fillies & Mares Three Years Old & Upward

#1 Split Then Double is one of two Chad Brown-trained runners in here and they seem to hold all of the cards in here. Last out, this one just missed by a head going this distance over a ‘good’ Belmont strip. Jose Ortiz, who rode this filly in her first two starts, returns in the saddle. That most recent race was her first since October, so she should be fit now.

#2 Baby Blythe goes for Shug McGaughey and has Joel Rosario in the irons for the second time in as many tries. They just missed by one length first out going one mile over a ‘good’ Aqueduct course. They had some trouble that day, so better is possible and expected here. She will race first-time Lasix, too.

#3 Rastafara is an Irish-bred 3-year-old filly from the Chad Brown barn who’s had two nice runs in as many tries. She missed a mere nose first out at Tampa going one mile on turf in January. She returned in May to miss by a mere length at a mile and one-sixteenth over a ‘good’ Belmont course. She had notable trouble that afternoon, jockey Irad Ortiz losing an iron at the break and then also taking up. She’s the one to beat off that effort.

#5 Midnight Choir goes for trainer Jonathan Thomas and she’s got some interesting stats in her favor. Her trainer is 25% with runners off 180-plus days; 30% with maiden second-time starters; 22% with first-time blinkers and 33% with first-time Lasix runners. First out this filly was fourth, with minor trouble sprinting six furlongs on Belmont grass. She was 6-1 in an eight-horse field. Chad Brown holds the cards in here but this one has things to like.

Best: #1, #2
Next: #3
Maybe: #5

Race 9
Allowance N1X
Seven Furlongs
Fillies & Mares Three Years Old & Upward

#3 Enreat ran well first out at Churchill in September to win. She was then rested until June when she returned going seven furlongs at Belmont. She was favored, had trouble at the start and finished well back under Joel Rosario for trainer Chad Brown. Rosario does not ride this race and the 4-year-old filly will have Tyler Gaffalione aboard. He rode her to victory first time out. Tough call.

#5 Amendment Nineteen adds blinkers for trainer Linda Rice off a two-length victory going one mile at Belmont over a ‘sloppy’ track. That score followed a runner-up first out effort in the Aqueduct mud. The winner and third-place finishers both returned to win next out. How will she handle a fast track (if there is one) and why the blinker change off a winning effort? Jose Ortiz returns in the saddle.

#6 Caramel Swirl began her career with three consecutive runner-up efforts before finishing third in a turf try. She then exploded at Keeneland going seven furlongs to win by more than 10 lengths. She was tried in the 8Belles at Churchill going seven furlongs but never really contended. Freshened for this by trainer Bill Mott, she has three bullet works in a series of drills every 8 days. She’s been favored in 4 of 6 starts but has just 1 win. Prefer to play against this type, especially if she takes money again.

#7 Zainalarab broke maiden first out and was second behind next out winner Australasia in a Churchill allowance race. This 3-year-old’s first race came at Belmont in September and her second start was in April. She’s had another break until July. Obviously, there are issues.

#8 Flash Magic made the first 3 starts of her career in California for trainer Bob Baffert. She was switched to the Steve Asmussen stable for a June Churchill maiden start and she romped by more than 5 lengths with first-time Lasix. That brilliant score, combined with 3 runner-up tries against some solid Cali competition like Princess Noor and Beautiful Girl suggests that she’s got some real talent.

#9 Mucho Macho Momma has been second at about this level in two tries at Churchill going a one-turn mile. Those efforts fit okay with this type going seven panels at the Spa. She comes from just off the pace, so she shouldn’t have too much work to do in the lane. She has just 1 win in 8 starts with 3 seconds, so a minor award feels most likely.

Best: #8 Flash Magic
Next: #3, #7, #9

Race 10
Caress
$200k – Grade 3
Five and One-Half Furlongs (Turf)
Fillies & Mares Four Years Old & Upward

#1 Caravel is one tough cookie. She’s won 6 of 8 overall, 4 out of 4 at the distance and 4 of 6 on turf. This will be her second try against Big Apple-based competition. She was third in the License Fee going six furlongs over a ‘good’ course at Belmont in April. #2 Robin Sparkles finished three-quarters of a length in front of her in that race. Top jock Irad Ortiz tries his hand for the first time aboard this win-loving 4-year-old filly who’s coming off an over 4-length win at Monmouth going five furlongs.

#2 Robin Sparkle is 6-for-9 overall, 1-for-1 at the distance and 5-for-6 on turf. Like #1 Caravel, she’s got speed. Unlike #1 Caravel, she’s raced solely against New York-based foes. She broke maiden for a $40k tag against state-breds second out at Saratoga going this distance. She romped wire-to-wire last out by more than 2 lengths against OC100k/c foes.

#5 Flower Point comes off a powerful Belmont $80k optional claiming romp at seven furlongs. She’s the one that will be rallying from off the pace with jockey Joel Rosario. This 5-year-old filly wasn’t far behind #1 Caravel and #2 Robin Sparkles when they met in the six-furlong License Fee. If the top pair get silly early, look for this one late.

Best: #1, #2
Late: #5

Race 11
State-Bred Allowance N1X
One Mile & One Sixteenth (Turf)
Fillies & Mares Three Years Old & Upward

#4 Vallarand has just 1 win in 6 tries and that came going one mile on the Aqueduct main. A switch to a turf sprint last out proved little at gigantic odds of 44-1. Top jock Joel Rosario was commissioned for that mount by trainer Baker Charlton. That suggests more was expected from the effort. There’s a chance this one could run better than she did last time. Probably not a ‘win’ consideration, but an exotic finish at a big price wouldn’t be a complete shock.

#5 Electric Youth ran a bit better last time out when a well-beaten third. That was her first try on turf and around two turns. Hall of Fame jockey John Velazquez returns aboard and they did have a bit of trouble last out. This one could improve enough to threaten at a decent price.

#6 Just OK Is Not OK stalked, took over and drew clear in her third career start last out going one mile on Belmont turf at 7-1 for Todd Pletcher and jockey Luis Saez. Expect a similar effort on or near the front end. Outside early pressure could come from #7 My Lips Are Sealed and one of those two will take this field a long way around the track.

#7 My Lips Are Sealed ran a big one to just miss at this level last out when third by a mere half-length. She’s been pretty consistent with 2 wins in 6 starts plus a second and third. She’ll be part of the early pace in here along with #6 Just Ok Is Not Ok. They should keep each other honest early.

#8 Choose Happiness was claimed out of a $16kNw2L by Orlando Noda and has a win at that level and a runner-up effort and a third placing at higher levels since. This is considered another step up the ladder. Noda chooses to recruit top jock Irad Ortiz to pilot this one and that’s saying something because they are an outstanding 36% with 25 attempts. Noda has a reputation for moving a horse up and this could be another in that universe.

Best: #6, #7
Next: #4, #5, #8

Del Mar

Race 1
Md Sp Wt
One Mile (Turf)
Fillies & Mares, Three Years Old and Upward

#1 Rhythm and Grace starts for trainer John Shirreffs, who’s off to a hot seaside start with 2 wins and a second in five outs. This one has shown a bit of talent, just missing at one mile and also at one mile and one-eighth on grass. She has some early pace, the rail and veteran Victor Espinoza up.

#3 Tmorrowisalongtime has a lot in her favor while making a second career start. Trainer Richard Baltas is off to a solid start this meeting and there are a host of trainer angles leaning in this one’s direction. First, she’s lightly raced, switching from dirt to turf (19%), first Lasix (19%), a maiden making a second start (25%), going sprint to route (18%) and returning off a 180 + day layoff (29%). Jockey Umberto Rispoli moves into the saddle and he’s 25% with Baltas. This filly has worked every seven days for this and lists three San Luis Rey bullet works in her DRF line. Clearly, she’s been pointed for Del Mar.

#5 Buzz of New York starts for Phil D’Amato and gets Prat. They’re 41% together. Off Irish form this filly’s nothing notable but the connections deserve a second look.

#6 Red Diamond has been close sprinting on turf and there’s no reason she shouldn’t respond well to this one-mile journey. She’s capable.

#7 Norma Jean B. has been in the money 5 times out of 9 starts and that’s both the good and bad news. She’s good enough to win, but hasn’t done so, yet. Kent Desormeaux rides for Vlad Cerin and they’ve been a solid team for years.

#8 High Con stretches back out to a one mile Del Mar turf journey first tried in November. This gal also starts for trainer Baltas and will add some early foot to the race with light weight mostly comprised of talented apprentice Jess Pyfer.

Best: #3
Next: #1, #6

Race 2
Claiming $12,500
Five and one-half furlongs

#2 Take Me for a Spin has speed and wins races. The 4-year-old hasn’t raced for this low tag before while performing predominately in Northern California. Trainer Jonathan Wong is capapble and his stock should be especially dangerous in these lower-level Del Mar heats.

#3 Satchel de Ritches just missed by a head one level higher than this at the $16k mark and was claimed by Bob Hess. The slight drop off the claim isn’t a concern and actually is an aggressive move toward the winner’s circle. A bullet, best-of-14 :59 1/5 Del Mar work July 14 suggests fitness. The 4-year-old has 3 wins and 9 of 16 in-the-money overall.

#4 Awhitesportscoat loves Del Mar. The 7-year-old has 3 wins in 4 starts there and has won 10 of 39 overall. He was a popular claim this winter at Santa Anita, taken for $10k and $12k twice in three consecutive starts. This is the lowest level he’s tried since then and comes off a July 4 runner-up Los Al effort in a $12.5k starter. He’s won 3 of 6 at the distance, too.

#5 Outlaw tumbles in class off a poor turf effort going one mile at the $25k level. Connections probably wanted to make sure the 6-year-old couldn’t go long on turf before dropping him at Del Mar. The gelding has shown speed in route races but has been effective as a late-running sprinter. He has a win at Del Mar in 5 starts and a win at the distance. Not hopeless.

#7 Terrible Ted has speed, is drawn outside and gets a weight break with apprentice Pyfer. All positives. Plus, this 6-year-old gelding has 3 wins in 10 starts and 1 of those came in 3 tries at Del Mar. He’s plied his most recent trade at Los Alamitos and going 1,000 yards and prevailed two back over #4 Awhitesportscoat in one of those. The question is: Can he hang with this group at five and one-half furlongs?

Best: #2, #3, #4
Early: #7
Late: #5

Race 3
Md Sp Wt
Six and One-Half Furlongs
Fillies and Mares Three Years Old & Upward

#2 Sea Dreamer is the one to beat. She ran well last out in her first try going six furlongs at Santa Anita June 20. She raced close to the pace and didn’t give up. Top jock Prat returns for trainer Simon Callaghan and they are 44% through 9 mounts together and 33% in the last 36 attempts.

#3 Lil Town Sis is a new face local face for trainer Phil D’Amato and she has some impressive morning moves –a Santa Anita bullet 1:00 3/5 and a :59 3/5 from the Del Mar gate—to suggest there’s more in her tank than she’s delivered in two starts at Churchill Downs.

Best: #2 Sea Dreamer
Race 4
Md Sp Wt
One Mile (Turf)
Three Year Olds & Upward

#3 Hollywoodhellraisr just missed last out when routing off a pair of sprints. A repeat of that effort would work in here and a few of these finished behind this 4-year-old gelding that afternoon. He also has a decent try going a sixteenth of a mile longer than this at Del Mar last August, so it appears he likes the course.

#4 Trainer Please will stretch out and try turf for the first time for trainer Doug O’Neill. This son of Orb has shown solid speed in two dirt sprints, so it’s likely he’ll set the early pace in here. There’s a decent chance he might just keep going with regular rider Mario Gutierrez up. This one’s mare Child Please is by War Front, so ‘turfing’ may be his thing.

#7 Barbwire makes his second start by stretching out and trying turf for the first time. Trainer Baltas is good with maiden second-time starters (25%) and solid sprint to route (18%) and dirt to turf (19%). It will be interesting to see if this colt and #4 Trainer Please hook up in the early going. Top jock Prat takes over for Abel Cedillo on this one and he’s combined with Baltas to win 27% of the time with 94 mounts.

#9 Oncoming deserves a look based on a few factors. The 3-year-old colt’s first start came in October going one mile on turf at Del Mar where he closed finish third after breaking from the 10-hole in a field of 10. That’s a solid first out effort. Saturday he will add Lasix and have jockey Rispoli back again. Trainer David Hofmans has given this colt four six furlong works for this race…an unusual pattern that ought to have this guy very fit.

Best: #9
Next Best: #3, #4, #7

Race 5
Maiden Claiming $20k
One Mile
Three Year Olds & Upward

#2 Sponsored is a new face in SoCal and will stretch out to one mile after two sprints—one at Churchill and one at Keeneland. He’s been a popular claim, tagged out of both starts for $30k. He takes a slight drop to a $20k level for new trainer Bob Hess. He will need to improve.

#3 Bold Voyager makes his first dirt start while invading from Golden Gate Fields straight maiden ranks. His best outings have come on turf and he gets a 5-pound weight allowance with apprentice Ortega. Bit of a reach.

#4 Shackey’s Love also invaded from Golden Gate and makes a first dirt start. He added Lasix last out and tried $25k claimers unsuccessfully. Trainer Jonathan Wong wins at 24%, so respect is given.

#5 Revisionsist stretches out for the first time after some poor sprints. He’s started twice at Santa Anita and once at Los Al for state-bred $50k. This is a class drop for trainer Craig Lewis.

#6 Salah is 0-for-17 and has had chances at the level. He did run OK at this level going one mile at Los Alamitos June 25, so he’s fit enough.

#7 Investment Account has had chances—he’s 0-for-9—but he’s never raced this cheaply. He’s also changing trainers and adding blinkers. At least there’s some stuff going on with him that could produce a changed performance.

#8 Inesperado tumbled from Maiden $50k to $20k and goes from turf to dirt. He’s been 51-1 and 72-1 in two starts, but these are much less than he faced before. At least he’s not been exposed, yet.

#9 Blue Star gets Prat again for O’Neill and the pair were a close third in a state-bred maiden turf race in March. This will be the 3-year-old colt’s only second dirt start in 9 career outings. He was dropped to $50k last out on grass in May and never fired. This is a ‘go’ move and the colt should be able to give a much better account of himself in here.

Best: #9
Next: This is a real scramble. Use as many as you can based on comments above.

Race On!

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-24-2021, 06:01 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Arlington - Race #6

#1 Etched in Stone	This guy would be plenty attractive at something like the 9/2 ML price in a race where his stablemate is sure to take some cash. He has some finishing ability in a spot with a bit of pace signed on.
#5 Chinobe	He'll have to battle early and find something left late, but he might be a bit overbet given a potentially negative race shape.
#6 Never Have I Ever	He may have come back a couple steps off a pair of big races earlier this meet, but he could be sitting on a bounce back effort this time around. Underlay?
Race Summary	Etched in Stone draws well on the fence to settle back and watch the pace unfold, and I'm happy to sign on if he's offering anything like the ML price nearing post time.

Arlington - Race #7

#4 Locamotor	He's a 5-year-old with just two starts under his belt, but they have both been impressive wins downstate. He has some pace in a race full of spying types, so he's a forward threat if he handles the footing. Mid-range price chance with the leading rider up.
#8 Cajun Moon	Going to take what appear to be the two quickest early and hope that one of them sticks around at a decent number. Cutback player might like it here.
#1 Merlin's Song	He's a logical player in a wide-open race, but I worry that his ceiling may not be quite as high as some of these, and he's probably going to get bet a bit.
Race Summary	Locamotor and Cajun Moon might be quickest early in a spot where the main threats can settle and finish, and both should offer decent prices to try and get through the multis.

Arlington - Race #8

#8 Cammack	This 11-year-old warrior goes off the claim here, but the Reavis barn does good with with this type, and this guy is still so reliable on the local course.
#3 Benelux	Finisher appears to have found a good fit at the local level with that runner-up effort last time out, but I wouldn't be excited to line up for too much shorter a price this time around.
#1 Frontana	Tactical type didn't bring his best last time out, but he has some ability to be competitive with this kind, and maybe the change of scenery wakes him up just a bit.
Race Summary	Cammack gets the edge while racing for new connections today, and he would be attractive on the board at something like the 4/1 ML price in hopes that the new team can help him turn the tables on Benelux today.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-24-2021, 06:02 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Pocono Downs - Race #2

#7 HOT SUMMER KNIGHT	Steady late kick, won under these conditions, price attached.
#2 MUSHANA	Edged away late on class drop, must stay flat in bid for 18th win.
#4 DARTY	Upstaged series of seconds two back, can make good use of his speed in here.
Race Summary	Hot Summer Knight rallied to win in his previous start at this level and held good form after it, including a top speed figure in defeat last week. He will need some pace flow to develop but is worth a longshot stab at 8-1. Play a 2-4-7 exacta box.

Meadowlands - Race #1

#8 CHIPLOSIVE	Plagued by bad posts, got up for second in fast heat, goes well again.
#5 FINALLY FOUND AWAY	Returns from 2-year layoff with 7-18 record intact.
#9 SOUTHWIND FROST	Holds tactical advantage with Dunn, use in gimmicks.
Race Summary	Chiplosive rallied from the clouds and got up to finish second in a split race that timed 2 seconds faster. He will need some pace help to end a four-race drought at this level. Play 8-5 and 8-9 exactas.

Scioto Downs - Race #2

#3 VINTAGE COWBOY	Eventful debut run, expect a strong performance tonight.
#2 SEASIDE JET	Met repeater, then ran a late scare into the 1-to-5 winner.
#5 SEASIDE WAY	Rallied for a pair of thirds for Team Burke.
Race Summary	Vintage Cowboy, off the gate at the start and headstrong into the first turn, launched a 3-wide bid midway on the final turn and closed with a rush as several rivals broke stride. He took serious money and could live up to it in his second sire stakes go-round. Play a 3-ALL exacta.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-24-2021, 06:03 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Del Mar - Race #8

#7 Restrainedvengeance	Price play comes in off G3 American win after running third in the G1 Shoemaker at 19-1. He proved in both that he belongs with the best in California and can bring the late heat today.
#6 Smooth Like Strait	Was a clear winner of the G1 Shoemaker troublesome out front. He won three of his last six, and the three races he lost were by virtue of photo finish. Among the top American grass performers and will be tough again.
#3 Say the Word	Has made steady improvement during his last three, including a win in the G2 Elkhorn. Couldn't get to Smooth Like Strait in the Shoemaker but ran a good second. Fits very well.
Race Summary	Restrainedvengeance will need a lively pace in front of him and he's suited to make a legit run at an upset. Likely will be overlooked with with strong group but he deserves a look.

Del Mar - Race #9

#1 R M C Hook'em	Was up in time in two of his last three, once at Golden Gate and the most recent at Pleasanton. Those came against open company and he should give them all they want, plus some, in this Cal-bred optional claiming allowance.
#7 Jazz Hands	Has not won on dirt since an 11-length romp at Los Al last summer; has on turf and Tapeta this year and can be a strong player in this dirt sprint.
#6 Clem Labine	Closed well in his two at Pleasanton, winning two back and second last time; consistently brings it late and can be one to watch here.
Race Summary	R M C Hook 'em comes to Del Mar in good form and can benefit from a ground-saving trip; looks very well suited for the 6.5 furlongs.

Del Mar - Race #10

#1 Pizzazz	Has an upset chance as she comes in off a fifth in the G3 Honeymoon. She went so fast early there was little chance of having anything left -- and she didn't. Comes back at the same 1 1-8-mile distance and her best chance is to back up the pace.
#2 Going Global	Got a perfect trip off a scorching pace and won going away. She is 4 of 4 in American after beginning her career in her native Ireland. Will be rolling late and might live up to her short, short price.
#9 Madone	Gave way after a wide trip in the Honeymoon and likely will get a better run today; has won 4 of 6 and has a good late move.
Race Summary	Pizzazz went too fast early last time and can probably get a more relaxed run on the front-end today; has some big efforts on her form and could be difficult to catch.

**golden contender** · 07-24-2021, 09:23 AM

Rob V: Saturday Comp Play

Saturday card led by an Executive Level TIER 1 MLB Play, the Gold Cup Soccer Play of the Year, late night Olympic Tennis Mismatch and More. Comp Play below.

The MLB Comp Play is on the Under 8 runs in the Toronto at NY. Mets game at 7:10 eastern. Solid pitching match here with Ryu and Walker. Ryu for the Jays has a 3.32 Era and Walker has been dominant at home winning 12 straight dating to last year. Nice totals system that has gone under 35 of 49 since 2004 for road favorites off a road loss by 2 or more with 4 or less hits vs a home team off a win of 2 or more. The Jays are 5 of 5 under on the road vs a winning team. The Mets are 9 of 10 under vs a Left hander and 12 of 14 under at home vs a winning team. Look for this game to stay under tonight. On Saturday a Big Bases card is up led by an Executive Level TIER 1. There is the CONACAF Gold Cup Play of the Year and Olympic Tennis and more. See us on facebook to Jump on and cash out all day and night on Saturday. For the MLB Comp play. Take the Under in the Toronto vs NY. Mets game. Rob V

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-24-2021, 09:43 AM

Kyle Anthony

3%- Kyler Phillips & Adrian Yanez -104 Parlay
3%- Darren Elkins +135
3%- Aspen Ladd -180
3%- Cory Sandhagen -180
4%- Miranda Maverick -140

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-24-2021, 09:43 AM

Ian Parker

Cory Sandhagen (-185) vs. T.J. Dillashaw (+165): Sandhagen (best bet)

After a two-year layoff, T.J. Dillashaw returns to the cage to take on rising star Cory Sandhagen. For Sandhagen, this is the perfect time to make a statement. Look for Sandhagen to use his range and outstrike Dillashaw. Sandhagen can take this fight to the ground, where he will also have the advantage. As long as he doesn't allow Dillashaw to control the pace and land on top in a scramble, Sandhagen should get the win.

Kyler Phillips (-260) vs. Raulian Paiva (+220): Phillips (best bet)

Kyler Phillips is coming off his most impressive win to date and will be looking to carry that momentum in his fight against Raulian Pavia. Look for Phillips to push the pace, which Pavia will struggle to handle. Phillips will also utilize his striking to close the distance and get the fight to the floor, where he will have the clear advantage.

Miranda Maverick (-135) vs. Maycee Barber (+115): Maverick (best bet)

This a great matchup for Miranda Maverick and a terrible matchup for Maycee Barber, who needs a bounce-back win. Maverick is simply better everywhere and Barber has made no adjustments in her game. Maverick's pressure with her strikes and her strong top ground game should be more than enough.

Julio Arce (-200) vs. Andre Ewell (+175): Arce (best bet)

Julio Arce will be looking to bounce back from his recent loss to Hakeem Dawodu when he takes on Andre Ewell. Arce is the better striker and has the better cardio. He can also lean on his wrestling if needed. Ewell is hesitant and only waits for big moments to strike. Look for Arce to push the pace and disallow Ewell those big moments, as well as neutralize Ewell's power with his wrestling.

Adrian Yanez (-210) vs. Randy Costa (+180): Yanez (best bet)

Two prospects with a high finish rate, Adrian Yanez and Randy Costa are looking to see who is the top prospect in the division. Look for both men to try and impose their will with their striking. Yanez has shown the more accurate striking, while also displaying excellent takedown defense. Look for Yanez to push the pace early and win the striking battle.

Darrick Minner (-160) vs. Darren Elkins (+140): Minner (best bet)

Rising prospect Darrick Minner will be looking to add a big name to his resume in veteran Darren Elkins. Elkins is as tough as they come, but we have seen the damage has taken a toll. Minner will more than likely look to put Elkins on his back and control him. If he does that, he should be safe as he will be the better submission grappler and will avoid a brawl.

Sijara Eubanks (-320) vs. Elise Reed (+260): Eubanks (best bet)

This should be a showcase win for Sijara Eubanks. Eubanks will be the better striker and have a huge advantage on the ground. As long as she stays composed and not overly confident, this is her fight to win.

Aspen Ladd (-185) vs. Macy Chiasson (+165): Chiasson (lean)

Macy Chiasson will be looking to make it four wins in a row when she takes on Aspen Ladd. Chiasson's path to victory is to either keep the fight standing with a high volume of strikes, or to get to the floor and be on top. Ladd is coming off double-knee surgery and a long layoff. If Chiasson can avoid the takedowns of Ladd, I believe she pulls off the upset.

Jordan Williams (-175) vs. Mickey Gall (+155): Gall (lean)

Williams might have the better power, but I believe Gall's experience in the UFC and being the better grappler should help him get the win. As long as Gall doesn't gas out in the latter rounds, I believe he gets it done by decision.

Brendan Allen (-115) vs. Punahele Soriano (-105): Soriano (lean)

Another striker versus grappler matchup. Soriano has been pummeling his opponents and is known for carrying exceptional power in his hands. If he can fend off the takedowns of Brendan Allen and make this a stand-up fight, he should win.

Ian Heinisch (-150) vs. Nassourdine Imavov (+130): Heinisch (lean)

Both fighters have similar styles. They have solid wrestling and power behind their strikes. But Heinisch has the better cardio and has fought better competition. Look for Heinisch to push the pace to tire out Imavov.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-24-2021, 09:44 AM

Kyle Marley

UFC Fight Night

Cory Sandhagen -(195) vs. T.J. Dillashaw (+165)

This is an awesome fight on paper but there is no telling how Dillashaw is going to look after his two-year PED suspension. He was using some serious PEDs, and we have no idea how he will look now if he is completely clean after a long layoff. He could also have spent that time improving different parts of his game. I don't think he wants to test his chin against a guy like Sandhagen, so Dillashaw should be looking to mix in his wrestling a lot in this fight. That is his path to victory but with him off the juice, I have a hard time seeing him be able to wrestle heavily for five rounds. I think Sandhagen is a future champion though and his striking is on a different level, so I am going to lean with him to get a knockout in this fight.

(Pick is Cory Sandhagen via (T)KO)

Aspen Ladd (-190) vs. Macy Chiasson (+160)

I think Ladd is just a bit better everywhere in this matchup, so I am going to take her to get the job done. I think she should mix in a takedown each round and if she has success doing that then I see her winning 30-27 with some good top control and GNP time.

(Pick is Aspen Ladd via Unanimous Decision)

Kyler Phillips (-260) vs. Raulian Paiva (+210)

Phillips looks like he could make a real run in this division, and I do think he is the better fighter anywhere this fight goes. I think he will be the more active striker and I also think he can have success on the mat. The line started at -188 for him and I would have been all over that, but now we don't have much value at -260, so I would say he is a parlay option only but still favorite or pass for me.

(Pick is Kyler Phillips via Unanimous Decision)

Darrick Minner (-160) vs. Darren Elkins (+135)

I am going to go with Minner in this one. I expect him to be the better fighter everywhere early in the fight and he might pick up a submission because he is dangerous on the mat. Elkins' path to victory would be to weather the early storm and grind out a win by taking over as the fight moves along. Minner did look good the full three rounds in his last fight, though, and training under James Krause should only make that better. I will pick him to get an early submission, but if he doesn't, I think he wins two rounds on the scorecards.

(Pick is Darrick Minner via Submission)

Miranda Maverick (-140) vs. Maycee Barber (+120)

This is a good matchup and I expect it to be a close back-and-forth fight. I do think Maverick deserves to be favored because she is the better wrestler and Barber won't have much to offer off her back if she is taken down. I do think the striking will be very close though and Barber could have success with takedowns herself and she has mean GNP if she can get it there. I am going to take the underdog in this one because I see this being a split decision type fight and I would rather take the + money in that scenario.

(Pick is Maycee Barber via Split Decision)

Jordan Williams (-180) vs. Mickey Gall (+155)

This should be a striker vs. grappler match with Gall being the one needing to get the fight to the mat. Williams hasn't been submitted yet, though, and Gall also hasn't been knocked out. Either of those could happen here, but if this goes to the scorecards, I do favor Williams and he is going to be my pick for that reason.

(Pick is Jordan Williams via Unanimous Decision)

Puna Soriano (-110) vs. Brendan Allen (-110)

This is a striker vs. grappler matchup and if Allen can't get the fight to the ground, then I see him getting knocked out. Allen is a good wrestler and grappler though and he could also have the cardio edge because we haven't really seen Soriano pushed yet and almost all his fights have ended in round 1. I am going to side with Soriano to get another knockout because I think Allen plays around on the feet more than he should.

(Pick is Puna Soriano via (T)KO)

Ian Heinisch (-160) vs. Nassourdine Imavov (+135)

This should be a pretty close fight, but I favor Heinisch on the ground and Imavov on the feet. I don't see either guy dominating in either area, but I do see this fight mainly playing out on the feet. I see Imavov being the longer and faster striker of the two and I will take him to win two rounds on the scorecards.

(Pick is Nassourdine Imavov via Unanimous Decision)

Adrian Yanez (-240) vs. Randy Costa (+200)

I love this fight, but I am very high on Yanez, so I am going to be picking him over any non-ranked guy in this division. He is the more well-rounded fighter with a lot more experience and if he doesn't get knocked out, I see him winning all three rounds with the first being the closest. All of Costa's wins are first-round knockouts against much lower-level fighters than Yanez. He is a dangerous fighter early, but this is a big step up and I think it is early KO or bust for him. Yanez is a very good striker though and I think he will be too much for Costa. I am going to take him to get a TKO here but they are friends, so you never know how that will play into the fight and maybe he doesn't go for the kill if he is clearly winning on points.

(Pick is Adrian Yanez via (T)KO)

Julio Arce (-200) vs. Andre Ewell (+170)

I think this line should be closer to 50/50. This fight should mainly play out on the feet, and I don't see either guy having a clear edge. Arce is dropping to 135 pounds here, though, and Ewell will have a five-inch reach advantage and he does use it well. I liked the improvements I have seen from Ewell in his last couple fights, and I will take him to win a close striking match.

(Pick is Andre Ewell via Split Decision)

Sijara Eubanks (-340) vs. Elise Reed (+270)

Eubanks is making the drop to 125 pounds here and Reed is jumping up from 115. Eubanks should have a big size advantage and I think she can really have her way on the mat because of it. Reed is quick and a high output fighter, but I think her path to victory would be to drag Eubanks into the late rounds and tire her out enough to win rounds 2 and 3. I don't see that happening though, so I will take Eubanks to get the job done.

(Pick is Sijara Eubanks via Unanimous Decision)

Hannah Goldy (-115) vs. Diana Belbita (-105)

I like the underdog in this one. This could be a high-volume striking match from both sides, I just like Belbita's hands a lot more. Goldy seems too stiff for me with all the muscle she has, and I don't see her attacking Belbita's biggest weakness which is the ground game. Give me Belbita to win two or three rounds by being the better striker landing the cleaner shots.

(Pick is Diana Belbita via Unanimous Decision)