Thursday 7/29/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Sam Houston

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 6 - Allowance - 330y on the Dirt. Purse: $24000 Class Rating: 81

QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 125 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 JESSLIGHTNINGLEGS 5/2
# 7 TORTS ON A WAGON 10/1
# 8 SHEZ YOUR SECRET 9/2

I've got to go with JESSLIGHTNINGLEGS. He has been travelling quite well recently while recording sharp Equibase Speed Figs. Could beat this group given the 79 Equibase Speed Fig recorded in his last outing. Is tough not to consider given the company run in recently. SHEZ YOUR SECRET - Keeton has her trained very well to break speedily out of the starting gate. The speed rating of 79 from her latest affair looks very strong in here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Evangeline Downs - Race #3 - Post: 6:44pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $12,500 Class Rating: 65

Rating:

#3 POWERSHOT (ML=3/1)
#2 THE FLUSH KING (ML=6/1)
#7 SUN STRIKER (ML=2/1)


POWERSHOT - This colt is in excellent physical condition right now. Finished third last out and comes back promptly. Magnon was aboard this colt in the last race and was impressed enough to take the animal right back. Look at this colt's PP lines. With each event he keeps getting closer. This animal has recorded the best recent turf speed figure at the dist-surf. Only a bad break can keep this thoroughbred from having a chance. Loves the front, is breaking from the inside in a sprint race, and we're on a bullring of a track. THE FLUSH KING - Turning for home, he will have a good shot. Has much pace, and the bullring of a track will work in his favor. When this jock and handler combine forces you have to take a look. Stokes and Landry have been terrific together. The March 9th affair at Delta Downs was at a class level of (73). Dropping down the class ladder considerably, so he should be in a good position. I like the fact that this gelding's last speed figure, 66, is tops in this field. (EPS) earnings per start is something that I feel can be a crucial factor. This horse is ranked at the top of the list in this group. SUN STRIKER - Thornton's agent must relish anytime Broberg gives them a mount; winning percent together is outstanding. Taking a trip down in the class scale; has the power to make his presence felt. I have to believe Broberg is making a good move here. This gelding can only benefit from the shorter distance.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 MY PAL GREELEY (ML=4/1), #1A APRIORITY LADY (ML=4/1), #6 DA'MONEY ALARM (ML=5/1),

MY PAL GREELEY - Don't figure that this pony is worth 4/1 in this race. APRIORITY LADY - Hard to bet this one after not being near the front at 1 mile and now being situated in a race of 5 furlongs. Speed kills. Plenty of zip in this affair compromises this equine's chances. DA'MONEY ALARM - The Brain always warns me to stay away from thoroughbreds in short distance races that haven't finished in the money in sprint contests recently.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - THE FLUSH KING - Don't look at the finish position in the last race, but take a look at how many lengths back he was from the winner. Should improve enough to grab the brass ring this time.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #3 POWERSHOT on the nose if you can get odds of 3/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	3 with [2,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [2,3,7] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Delaware Park - Race #8 - Post: 4:45pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 42

Rating:

#1 MONKEY ON MY BACK (ML=3/1)


MONKEY ON MY BACK - Look at this filly's PP lines. With each race she keeps getting closer. Dropped in class last time around the track, and keeps in that lower level in this event. A good sign this horse is comfortable and ready to go.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 MALICIOSA (ML=2/1), #2 JOYCE G. (ML=4/1), #8 STILLHER (ML=6/1),

MALICIOSA - The Brain tells me to stay away from ponies in short distance contests that haven't hit the board in short distance events of late. This closer will probably be rolling down the lane much too late to make an impression in this contest. JOYCE G. - Will be hard for this entrant to beat this bunch off of that last speed figure. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure close to today's Equibase class figure, so put her on the questionable challengers list. STILLHER - Difficult to wager on any thoroughbred in a short distance race at 6/1 when she hasn't shown any on the board results in sprints in the last couple months. This filly finished out of the money on June 14th and wasn't near the winner last time out either. When examining today's class rating, she will have to notch a much better rating than last time around the track to be competitive in this dirt sprint.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #1 MONKEY ON MY BACK to win if you can get at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	1 with 7
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Arlington

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 2 - SO - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $13500 Class Rating: 95

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS IN 2020 - 2021 OR CLAIMING PRICE $10,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 29 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 HALO HUNTER 8/5
# 1 YOU'RE KILLIN ME 4/1
# 3 BIG SPORT 2/1

HALO HUNTER looks to be a solid contender. Has quite good Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a wager in this competition. Will most likely be one of the leaders of the group going into the midpoint of the race. Must be carefully examined based on the very good speed rating put up in the last contest. YOU'RE KILLIN ME - Always seems to be close at the finish line. Demonstrates the look of a lucrative play, averaging a solid 82 Equibase speed fig which is one of the best in this field. BIG SPORT - He looks decent in this spot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the midpoint. Is a solid choice - given the 81 speed figure from his most recent race.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Saratoga

07/29/21, SAR, Race 4, 2.49 ET
07/29/21,SAR,4,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:13:04 CLAIMING. Purse $36,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. A Race In 2021 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $12,500 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $10,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	6	Vineyard Sound	4/1	Ortiz. Jr. I	Rice Linda	JL	134	38.81	1.26/$1
098.2259	9	High Heater	9/2	Saez L	Walder Peter R.		134	38.81	1.26/$1
097.8633	5	Bronzed	8/1	Vargas. Jr. J A	Rodriguez Rudy R.	FE	134	38.81	1.26/$1
096.8735	8	The Queens Jules	2/1	Lezcano J	Kantarmaci Mertkan		134	38.81	1.26/$1
096.2425	7	Kowboy Karma	3/1	Cohen D	Diodoro Robertino	TC	134	38.81	1.26/$1
095.2547	2	Mr. Shortandsimple	15/1	Franco M	Rodriguez Rudy R.		134	38.81	1.26/$1
095.0979	3	The Great Dansky	12/1	Cancel E	Barker Edward R.		134	38.81	1.26/$1
093.4988	1	Cause of Action	20/1	Hernandez Moreno O	Barker Edward R.	S	134	38.81	1.26/$1
093.4743	4	Skyler's Scramjet	50/1	Samuel J L	Avila A. C.	W	134	38.81	1.26/$1

Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 33.33, ROI 0.92/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.7741
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Sex Not Females

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Murphy

Jul 29 '21, 7:05 PM in 2h
MLB | Brewers vs Pirates
Play on: Pirates +1½ +103 at pinnacle

Thursday MLB Free play. My selection is on Pittsburgh +1.5 runs over Milwaukee at 7:05 pm et on Thursday.
The Pirates took two of three games in San Francisco last weekend but haven't been able to keep the positive momentum building back at home, dropping the first two games in this series. I do expect to see them give the Brewers a good run on Thursday night and will grab the insurance run at what I consider to be a generous price.
Freddy Peralta has been terrific for the Brewers this season. There's no denying that. It's interesting to note, however, that the Pirates have made him work, drawing eight walks and scoring five earned runs in 11 innings against him this season. Peralta's last win against the Pirates came in 2018 and that victory was by a narrow 3-2 margin.
Behind Peralta is a Brewers bullpen that hasn't been all that reliable on the road this season, converting just 10 saves while blowing nine.
Chad Kuhl got off to a rough start for the Buccos this season but has since turned things around. In fact, he's allowed only nine earned runs over his last six starts, covering a span of 32 2/3 innings of work. Kuhl got roughed up the last time he faced the Brewers but that was in Milwaukee. He's been a different pitcher at home this season, posting a 2.36 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in five starts.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price

Jul 29 '21, 7:10 PM in 2h
MLB | Blue Jays vs Red Sox
Play on: Blue Jays +105 at linepros

Dave's Thursday Free Play:
1* on Toronto Blue Jays +105
The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Toronto Blue Jays today given that they have a big edge on the rubber over the Boston Red Sox. Not to mention the Blue Jays are 2nd in the majors in RPG (5.3), AVG (.264) and 1st in OPS (.782). Hyun-Jin Ryu is 9-5 with a 3.44 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 19 starts this year for the Blue Jays. He tossed 7 shutout innings in an 8-0 victory in his last start against the Red Sox. Eduardo Rodriquez is 7-5 with a 5.23 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in 19 starts this year for the Red Sox. He yielded 5 earned runs and 12 base runners in 5 innings opposite Ryu in that 8-0 defeat. Take Toronto.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rocky Atkinson

Jul 29 '21, 7:10 PM in 2h
MLB | Orioles vs Tigers
Play on: Tigers -150 at William Hill

Rocketman Sports FREE MLB play Thursday 7-29-21
Baltimore @ Detroit (7:10 PM EST)
Play On: Detroit -150
The Baltimore Orioles travel to Detroit to take on the Tigers on Thursday night. Baltimore is 35-65 SU overall this year while Detroit comes in with a 49-55 SU overall record on the season. Casey Mize is 5-5 with a 3.63 ERA overall this year and 2-2 with a 3.72 ERA at home this season. Baltimore is allowing 5.6 runs per game at night this year. Detroit is scoring 6.7 runs per game past 7 games overall. Baltimore is 18-34 on the road this year. Baltimore is 21-42 this year against right handed starters. We'll recommend a small play on Detroit tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Black Widow

Jul 29 '21, 7:10 PM in 2h
MLB | TOR vs BOS
Play on: UNDER 10 +100

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Blue Jays/Red Sox under 10 +100

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin

Jul 29 '21, 7:10 PM in 2h
MLB | Orioles vs Tigers
Play on: Tigers -146 at SC Consensus

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Detroit Tigers -146
The Detroit Tigers just went off for 17 runs yesterday against the Minnesota Twins to improve to 9-4 in their last 13 games overall. Now they should handle the worst team in the American League in the Baltimore Orioles (35-65). Casey Mize has been solid all season for the Tigers are 5-5 with a 3.63 ERA and 1.13 WHIP. The Tigers are 13-3 in their last 16 home games. The Orioles are 19-49 in their last 68 games overall. Detroit is 7-2 in its last nine home meetings with Baltimore. Give me the Tigers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

Jul 29 '21, 7:10 PM in 2h
MLB | TOR vs BOS
Play on: OVER 10 -113

1* Free Pick on Blue Jays/Red Sox over 10 -113

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon

Jul 29 '21, 7:25 PM in 3h
PGA | Sungjae Im vs Tommy Fleetwood
Play on: Sungjae Im -115 at Mirage

FREE PLAY on Sungjae Im -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASA

Jul 29 '21, 10:10 PM in 5h
MLB | Rockies vs Padres
Play on: Padres -1½ -124 at pinnacle

ASA FREE PLAY ON San Diego -1.5 Runs over Colorado, Thursday at 10:10 PM ET - We’ve hit the fade button on bad road teams like Colorado and Arizona and Texas with a number of our picks right here in this spot this season and with solid success. We’ll pull the trigger again on Thursday night and side with San Diego on the run line. The Padres got drilled 10 to 4 by the A's yesterday but should bounce right back here. The Rockies lost again on the road yesterday and only an unlikely late rally prevented them from losing by a multi-run margin. Still the 1-run defeat dropped Colorado to 11-38 in road games on the season. 41 of Colorado's 58 losses this season have come by 2+ runs. 44 of the Padres 59 wins have come by 2+ runs. San Diego is 42-26 in night games and 17-9 against lefties. Rockies are 1-5 in southpaw Kyle Freeland's 6 starts this season. San Diego's Joe Musgrove has a 2.83 ERA this season in his home starts and a 1.85 ERA in his 4 career starts versus the Rockies. The better team at home and off a bad loss and at a reasonable -125 price range on the run line. Take San Diego -1.5 on the run line.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

2.	Insider Sports Report	MLB	Dodgers -120	2-1 (+90)	3-1 (+200)
3.	Doc's Picks	MLB	Yankees -130	1-2 (-125)	3-1 (+190)
4.	Top Rank Sports Picks	MLB	Atlanta +115	3-0 (+300)	4-2 (+110)
5.	Profit On Sports			3-0 (+355)	4-3 (+80)
6.	National Sports Service	MLB	Detroit under 10	0-2 (-220)	3-3 (-15)
7.	The Spot Player			0-0 (+0)	3-3 (-65)
8.	The Sports Consensus	MLB	Reds -125	2-1 (+85)	3-4 (-145)
9.	Elite Sports Picks	MLB	Detroit -150	3-0 (+330)	1-6 (-545)
10.	Primetime Sports Picks	MLB	Detroit -150	2-1 (+80)	1-6 (-690)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Winners for Thursday, July 29th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
FREE MLB PICKS
Orioles @ Tigers
TIME: 7:10 PM EST
PICK: Bet OVER 9.5 @ Bovada