Monday 8/2/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-02-2021, 05:58 AM

Al Cimaglia: Yonkers Raceway Pick 5 Analysis

August 2, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
There will be a $10,000 guaranteed Pick 5 pool tonight at Yonkers Raceway as no one hit the bet on Friday. The sequence starts in Race 5, which will include a $2,777 carryover and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 5

1-Alottbettor N (3-1)-The Jenn B barn is booking 31% winners over the last 30 days. This 10-year-old has won 2 straight since switching trainers. Steps-up but still fits with this crew and is in a spot to get the top and not look back.
4-Dancin Dragon (4-1) -After beating similar in the spring, stepped-up and was in too deep since. Returns to a spot to shine and should be a player tonight.
5-Our Max Phactor N (5/2)-Drops and draws well in a race without a true standout. Bartlett should have the 9-year-old in play and may take a pocket ride behind #1.

Race 6

2-Peace Out Posse (3-1)-Got on the engine and just missed by a 1/2 length in last, versus the class right above. Looks like a wise play to include off the drop.
6-Elver Hanover (5/2)-Comes off an even effort in Yonkers debut versus some nice 3 & 4-year-olds. Burke trainee is a speedy sort and can bring it on any size oval. Should be tough to beat if dialed on high.

Race 7

3-San Domino A (6-1)-This veteran steps up to a new challenge but the Harris trainee has been good at the Preferred class. Should be forwardly placed and might be overlooked at the windows.
6-Dragon Said (4-1)-Versatile 4-year-old can win on the engine or coming off cover. This guy was in the NW2500 at Freehold, then joined the Jenn B barn in February and won 9 straight before finishing 2nd in last. Best to not overlook here as last week's trip wasn't smooth.

Race 8

3-Revelry (3-1)-Was claimed for $40k back on 5-24 and won its next start versus $50k claimers. This is the 1st time back down to the claiming price. Draws well and looking for an aggressive steer.
4-Tony Too Tall (9-1)-In the 2 recent starts at this class there have been some issues. Was parked the mile from the 8 hole last time. The time before, was off 2 weeks between starts and rolled well in the 2nd half but the pace was dull. Taking a swing at a nice price that this time things will click.

Race 9

3-Brabados (3-1)-Keeps winning while climbing up the class ladder and beat this kind rather easily last week. Don't know when the winning streak will end but there is a good chance it won't be tonight.
4-Uptown Funk (4-1)-Had no shot from the 8 hole versus Preferred company in last and now drops in for a tag. Did beat the $50k claimers on 6/21 from this same post and should be a player.

0.50 Pick 5

1,4,5/2,6/3,6/3,4/3,4
Total Bet=$24

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-02-2021, 06:00 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Parx Racing - Race #7

#1 My Cousin Rich	He's bred to enjoy the added ground and brings the best sprint form of the bunch. He might land a perfect, tactical trip today while moving around two turns.
#5 Imagine This	He's back up in class after a useful run with cheaper last time out, and he won't have to bring a massive effort to land a piece of this.
#3 Go Lime	His only local two-turn try was pretty solid in the career debut, so the hope is that he'll get back to something like that here. I'd want something close to the 10/1 ML price to go looking for a form reversal.
Race Summary	My Cousin Rich probably won't be a big price here, but he does have some solid form and figures to get a perfect trip from the inside draw.

Parx Racing - Race #8

#5 Iywaan	His form can be hit or miss, and he was no match for the chalk in here a few starts back, but he might get the right kind of run from off the pace today.
#7 Sheer Flattery	Tactical speed is likely to get another perfect, first-over trip, and he has been a real handful with this type of company locally in recent starts.
#3 They Shot Sonny	His best game keeps him in the mix with these, but the price may not accurately reflect his chances of winning here.
Race Summary	Iywaan might offer a playable mid-range price in a race where the other listed pair may dominate the wagering action. Let's see if he can run right back to the last one.

Parx Racing - Race #9

#3 Sweet Willemina	She has done nothing wrong in two local starts and should get another great pressing trip with these. Not sure she's offering anything near the 5/2 ML price, but she's appealing if she does.
#5 Tonal Vision	She can be hit or miss, but she took to the local footing nicely last time out and is a danger right back with anything similar.
#6 Lulu's Roadrunner	She really seemed to appreciate moving back around two turns last time out, and she's an interesting price player underneath with something similar.
Race Summary	Sweet Willemina has turned in two easy wins over the local track, and there's little reason to think she'll have trouble bringing another sharp effort right back today.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-02-2021, 06:03 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Indiana Grand - Race #2

#5 Prepare for Glory	Improved in his last one and is braced for his third of the year; won a couple last year and is rounding into good form.
#2 Cap de Fuego	Has good speed and has been on the board in five of his last six; goes with blinkers off today, which could make a difference for him. He's looked good going into races on several occasions but hasn't won in two years.
#6 Danang	Was a romping winner in two of his last three and gets up against stronger company; good form could pave the way for another top effort.
Race Summary	Prepare for Glory progressed nicely for fourth last time after a poor effort in his first of the year and looks ready to bring some late heat against these.

Indiana Grand - Race #3

#4 First Deputy	Was a winner at Keeneland in April and has a win and a second at Belterra; has been very sharp on occasion and is well spotted here.
#3 Rolin With Olin	Has been in involved in photo finishes in his last three and finally got the candy last time out; has good speed and is game.
#2 Insofar	Was an easy winner at Belterra last out and has been game in sprints; could be a good price.
Race Summary	First Deputy has performed well in good races and can get the nod under legendary regional jockey Perry Ouzts.

Indiana Grand - Race #8

#1 Big Band Luzziann	Ran a good second two back and then tired after setting the pace in a stakes race at Arlington; has the class to be in the mix from the beginning and can dig in at this level.
#7 Choctaw Bingo	Has won four straight races and the surface doesn't matter at all; big player throughout.
#8 Lightning Lou	Was fifth at Belmont in her first U.S. start after running in Great Britain; likely to make a decent late run.
Race Summary	Big Band Luzziann has been in good races and can benefit from the inside trip; well spotted and can dig in here.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-02-2021, 09:49 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Parx Racing

Parx Racing - Race 4	Daily Double / Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta
Claiming $7,500 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 82 • Purse: $22,000 • Post: 2:19P
(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 2 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. THE BIG S is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * THE BIG S: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ha s the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
1	THE BIG S	3/1	2/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	THE BIG S	1	3/1	Front-runner	85	78	80.0	78.4	75.9
4	BOSTON LIGHT	4	6/1	Stalker	84	69	52.0	72.8	64.3
5	GOLDENLINEOF	5	5/2	Alternator/Stalker	86	78	53.2	69.0	62.0
8	POLITICAL	8	6/1	Trailer	84	66	0.0	0.0	0.0
3	IMPACTFUL	3	4/1	Alternator/Trailer	88	77	38.6	77.4	69.4
2	SARGEANT DRIVE	2	5/1	Alternator/Non-contender	80	77	24.6	68.6	61.1
7	A J'S WAY	7	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	21.8	55.2	41.2
6	WEEKEND IN COURT	6	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	75	68	0.0	54.8	43.3

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-02-2021, 09:49 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Finger Lakes

Finger Lakes - Race 6	EXACTA * TRIFECTA * SUPERFECTA (10 Cent Minimum) * DAILY DOUBLE (Races 6-7) * PICK 3 (50 Cent Minimum: Races 6-7-8) * PICK 4 (50 Cent Minimum: Races 6-7-8-9)
Maiden Claiming $11,000 • 1 Mile 40 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 63 • Purse: $16,000 • Post: 3:35P
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $11,000, FOR EACH $1,000 TO $9,000 2 LBS.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Front-runner. MOONSHINE MAKER is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MOONSHINE MAKER: Horse has a 4F workout since its last race, and the workout time is faster than its own half-mile time in its last race. BELLAMY'S TREASURE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. ANOTHER SHOT: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
1A	MOONSHINE MAKER	5/2	7/2
8	BELLAMY'S TREASURE	3/1	6/1
1	ANOTHER SHOT	5/2	6/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1A	MOONSHINE MAKER	5	5/2	Front-runner	74	79	90.1	28.4	18.9
1	ANOTHER SHOT	3	5/2	Alternator/Stalker	72	60	59.0	50.0	43.5
8	BELLAMY'S TREASURE	9	3/1	Alternator/Stalker	67	63	51.8	51.6	46.1
4	NINETY NINE GEORGE	4	8/1	Trailer	0	0	1.9	49.3	43.8
2	GLOBALTROUBLECOCO	1	20/1	Alternator/Trailer	59	51	36.0	45.5	35.5
5	JET FOR ANDY	6	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	58	50	84.4	32.2	23.2
3	STARSHIP OREO	2	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	40.4	40.4	23.4
6	GO WITH HONOR	7	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	65	66	27.6	39.6	26.6
7	MISERY MASTER	8	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	20.9	28.4	15.9

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-02-2021, 10:02 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delaware Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - SO - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $19000 Class Rating: 82

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS IN THE LAST FIVE STARTS OR CLAIMING PRICE $5,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 2, 2021 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $5,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 ALWAYS TALKING 7/2
# 8 UNO TIGRESS 4/1
# 6 BLUE SKY VENEZUELA 5/2

ALWAYS TALKING is my choice. I like the rider on this filly - strong chance to win the race. Has respectable early lick and will probably fare well against this field. Have to consider solely on class, with some of the best class figures of this group of animals. UNO TIGRESS - Bennett has this filly moving well and is a solid selection based on the decent speed figures put up in sprint races lately. Could beat this group given the 78 speed figure garnered in her last outing. BLUE SKY VENEZUELA - This racer has a wonderful win percentage in dirt sprints. Has been consistently running well lately.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-02-2021, 10:03 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Colonial Downs - Race #9 - Post: 5:29pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $28,000 Class Rating: 73

Rating:

#10 PAU HANA (ML=6/1)
#9 PEPPER POT (ML=3/1)

PAU HANA - In this race here, this thoroughbred has clearly shown signs that she likes the turf. Her speed ratings are the highest in the field for this dist-surf. As long as Perez keeps this steed off the pace, I have to believe this one could be a winner. Don't throw this horse out due to her last contest at Pimlico where she ended up sixth on the soft turf. Should improve this time around. The mount with the top average Equibase class figure in turf events is usually a solid play. This pony fits the bill. PEPPER POT - Earnings per start is something that I think can be an extremely key handicapping factor. This racer is ranked number 1 in this field.

Vulnerable Contenders: #12 YOU NEVER CALL (ML=5/1), #3 ZELIENOPLE (ML=8/1), #5 REYNA DE VERANO (ML=8/1),

YOU NEVER CALL - Don't believe this steed is worth 5/1 in this affair. ZELIENOPLE - Difficult to bet on any horse to turn things around if there is no large gain to taking the chance. REYNA DE VERANO - Garnered a mediocre speed figure last time out in a $25,000 Maiden Claiming race on July 21st. Unlikely to see an improved performance off of that rating.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#10 PAU HANA to win at post-time odds of 7/5 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [9,10]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-02-2021, 10:04 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Indiana Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $36000 Class Rating: 60

FOR REGISTERED INDIANA BREDS MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 PRINCE ACT 5/2
# 5 KING SOCIAL 9/2
# 2 MACHO ALEGRE 9/2

PRINCE ACT is my choice. He has been running quite well lately while recording strong speed figures. Ran a strong last race. It's a good sign that Hammond is using Bermudez on this entrant. KING SOCIAL - His 58 average has this gelding with among the most respectable speed figures for this event. As of late Achard has been scorching which may give the edge to this gelding. MACHO ALEGRE - Looks competitive against this group of horses in this race and will most likely be one of the leaders. Very good jock and handler combo winning 17 percent of their races working together.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-02-2021, 10:05 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Mountaineer Park - Race #8 - Post: 9:55pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,900 Class Rating: 70

Rating:

#9 TACTICAL QUALITY (ML=3/1)
#4 WE WILL SHINE (ML=8/1)

TACTICAL QUALITY - Was in a $5,000 Claiming race at Thistledown in the last race. That race had an Equibase class figure of 80 and he is moving down in this event. A certain contender. WE WILL SHINE - The Jul 25th contest at Mountaineer Park was at a class level of (79). Dropping down the class ladder significantly, so he should be in a good position to win.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 CLICKJAB (ML=9/5), #1 MERCY RULE (ML=4/1), #5 BURKIE (ML=8/1),

CLICKJAB - This morning-line choice may be out of shape without any recent works. Awfully difficult to play this mount when he hasn't been showing any indications of eagerness of late. MERCY RULE - This animal likes to be on the board, but doesn't usually get the job done. Don't play in the top spot. BURKIE - Finished third in his most recent race with a mediocre speed figure. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this group.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Have to go with #9 TACTICAL QUALITY on the win end if we get at least 3/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [4,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-02-2021, 03:29 PM

Totals Guru

Aug 02 '21, 3:07 PM in 1h
MLB | CLE vs TOR
Play on: UNDER 9½ -115

Free Total Annihilator On Indians vs Blue Jays under 9½ -115

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-02-2021, 03:30 PM

John Martin

Aug 02 '21, 3:07 PM in 1h
MLB | Indians vs Blue Jays
Play on: Blue Jays -1½ -140 at pinnacle

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-140)
The Toronto Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last four games overall. They have won all four games by two runs or more and have outscored the opposition 28-6. They should put it on the Cleveland Indians and Eli Morgan tonight. Morgan is 1-3 with a 7.47 ERA in seven starts this season. Robbie Ray has been one of the best starters in the game at 9-5 with a 3.04 ERA in 20 starts with 150 strikeouts in 118 1/3 innings. Give me the Blue Jays on the Run Line.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-02-2021, 03:30 PM

Brandon Lee

Aug 02 '21, 3:07 PM in 1h
MLB | Indians vs Blue Jays
Play on: Blue Jays -1½ -137 at pinnacle

FREE PICK - Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-137)
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 960
I'll lay the -137 on the -1.5 run line with the Blue Jays in Monday's home game against the Indians. Toronto returned home to the Rogers Centre on Friday after nearly a two year hiatus and they responded by sweeping the Royals in a 3-game series. All 3 wins came by at least 2 runs (Toronto has won 4 straight by 2 or more).
All signs point to another easy win for the Blue Jays in the series opener against the Indians. Toronto should have no problem scoring, as the Indians will turn to Eli Morgan for his 8th start. Morgan has struggled, posting a 7.47 ERA in his first 7 starts. He's served up 5 homers in his last 15 innings of work.
Toronto will have Robbie Ray on the mound, who is having a great 2021 season. Ray is 9-5 with a 3.04 ERA and 1.073 WHIP in 20 starts. Last time out he held the Red Sox to just 1 run in 6 innings. He's got a 2.55 ERA over his last 3 outings. Give me the Blue Jays -1.5 (-137)!

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-02-2021, 03:31 PM

Hunter Price

Aug 02 '21, 7:05 PM in 5h
Tennis | Kei Nishikori vs Sam Querrey
Play on: Sam Querrey +185 at Caesars

1* Free Pick on Sam Querrey +185

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-02-2021, 03:31 PM

Scott Rickenbach

Aug 02 '21, 7:05 PM in 5h
MLB | Orioles vs Yankees
Play on: Yankees -1½ -120 at pinnacle

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach MLB Rotation #962 Monday Free Pick New York Yankees Run Line -1.5 runs -120 vs Baltimore Orioles @ 7:05 ET - Andrew Heaney makes his Yankees debut and he is off back to back strong outings with the Angels. It has been quite some time since he has faced the Orioles so, unsurprisingly, their lineup has very little experience against and the couple guys who do are hitless. This is an edge for Heaney and note that Baltimore is one of the worst teams in baseball. The Yankees are on a 30-9 run against the Orioles including 13-3 in home games. Also, the Orioles are sending a struggling Jorge Lopez to the mound. He is 2-12 this season and has a 6.51 ERA in road games. Lopez enters this start with a 7.94 ERA last 3 starts and also is 1-3 with a 7.22 ERA in his 6 career starts against the Yankees. He'll be facing a number of hitters whom have enjoyed success against him so this one is a mismatch all the way around. Of course that is why New York is such a pricey home favorite on the money line but we get good value in the -120 range by laying the 1.5 runs. 52 of the Orioles 67 losses have been by 2+ runs and 39 of the Yankees 56 wins this season have been by 2+ runs. Free Pick NEW YORK YANKEES Run Line -1.5 runs -120