Monday 8/2/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Kenny Walker

Aug 02 '21, 7:10 PM in 5h
MLB | Mariners vs Rays
Play on: Rays -175 at William Hill

Free Pick on Rays

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Jack Jones

Aug 02 '21, 7:10 PM in 5h
MLB | Mariners vs Rays
Play on: Mariners +170 at SC Consensus

Jack's Free Pick Monday: Seattle Mariners +170
There is a lot of value with the Seattle Mariners as +170 road underdogs to the Tampa Bay Rays tonight. I think this is a letdown spot for the Rays, who are coming off a sweep of the Boston Red Sox after winning on Sunday Night Baseball last night.
It's a good 'buy low' spot on the Mariners after losing two out of three to the Rangers last series by one run each. I like the underrated Chris Flexen, who is 9-5 with a 3.81 ERA and 1.251 WHIP in 19 starts this season for the Mariners.
Michael Wacha is getting way too much respect from oddsmakers tonight. He is 2-2 with a 3.63 ERA in 13 starts this season. Wacha has never beaten the Mariners, going 0-2 with an 8.25 ERA and 2.333 WHIP in three career starts against them. He allowed 5 earned runs and 12 base runners in 3 2/3 innings of a 5-1 loss to Seattle on June 18th in his lone start against them this season.
Flexen is 9-2 (+8.3 Units) against an AL team with an OBP of .320 or worst this season. Flexen is 11-2 (+11.4 Units) with a total of 8.5 to 10 this season. Seattle is 21-8 in the last 29 meetings, including 14-5 in the last 19 meetings in Tampa Bay. Bet the Mariners Monday.

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Larry Ness

Aug 02 '21, 7:10 PM in 5h
MLB | Mariners vs Rays
Play on: Mariners +1½ -102 at pinnacle

My free play is on the Sea Mariners (plus-1.5 runs) at 7:10 ET.

The Tampa Bay Rays completed a three-game sweep of the Boston Red Sox with a 3-2 win on Sunday night, as they flipped a 1 1/2-game deficit in the AL East to a 1 1/2-game lead. The Rays are now 64-42, tied with the Astros for the AL's best record as they welcome the Seattle Mariners to Tropicana Field for a three-game series having won NINE of their last 12. The Mariners come to Tampa off back-to-back one run losses at Texas (Sat & Sun), having dropped FOUR of their last five overall. 56-50 Seattle is in third-place in the AL West (EIGHT games behind Houston), as well as 3 1/2-games behind Oakland, which currently holds down the AL's second wild card spot.

The starting pitching matchup for the series opener is Seattle's Chris Flexen (9-5, 3.81 ERA) and Tampa Bay's Michael Wacha (2-2, 4.79 ERA). Flexen spent his first three years (2017-19) with the Mets, going 3-11 with an 8.07 ERA in 27 appearances (11 starts). Flexen then signed a one-year contract with KBO's Doosan Bears and pitched to a 3.01 ERA with 10.2 K/9 for the Bears in 2020. However, he signed a two-year, $4.75M contract with the Seattle Mariners on December 9, 2020. He's been in Seattle's starting rotation all season and has made 19 starts. He's 9-5 with a 3.81 ERA and the Mariners are 13-6 in his starts. His moneyline mark of plus-$908 ranks third-best among ALL starters in 2021.

Wacha made a HUGE impression back in 2013 for St Louis (late regular season and postseason) and then went 17-7 with a 3.38 ERA in 2015. However, he went a modest 33-25 (4.39 ERA) over the next four years. Wacha signed a one-year contract for the 2020 season on December 13, 2019 with the Mets and in eight appearances (seven starts), was 1-4 with 6.62 ERA over just 34 innings. He then signed a one-year, $3 million contract with the Tampa Bay Rays on Dec 16, 2020. He's made 18 appearances this season (13 starts), posting a 2-2 record with a 4.79 ERA. However, the Rays have gone 9-4 in his starts.

The Rays figure to be playing the 2021 postseason but the Mariners are likely a longshot to do so. However, Seattle's moneyline record of plus-$2188 is $825 better than Tampa Bay's, as the Mariners trail only the Giants (+$2,276) by $88 in that department, despite San Francisco owning MLB's best overall record at 66-39, 10 1/2-games better than Seattle's. Tampa Bay could be in for a bit of a "letdown" off the sweep of Boston and I'm a fan of Flexen. I'll take "the price" with Seattle and also note that in three career starts vs Seattle, Wacha owns an 8.25 ERA and 2.33 WHIP, including a June 18th game vs Seattle this season in which he allowed 11 hits and five ERs in just 3.2 innings.

Good luck...Larry

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Black Widow

Aug 02 '21, 7:10 PM in 5h
MLB | Mariners vs Rays
Play on: Mariners +143 at SC Consensus

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Mariners +143

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Dustin Hawkins

Aug 02 '21, 8:10 PM in 6h
MLB | Pirates vs Brewers
Play on: Brewers -210 at Caesars

1 Dimer on Brewers -210

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Mike Williams

Aug 02 '21, 8:10 PM in 6h
MLB | Pirates vs Brewers
Play on: Brewers -208 at pinnacle

1* on Brewers -208

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Jeff Alexander

Aug 02 '21, 8:10 PM in 6h
MLB | Pirates vs Brewers
Play on: Brewers -1½ +101 at pinnacle

1* MLB - Pirates/Brewers FREE PICK on Brewers -1.5, +101
Monday's Free MLB Pick is on the Milwaukee Brewers on the -1.5 run line as they get ready to open up a 3-game series at home against the Pirates. Pittsburgh is a bet against team, especially on the road, where they have gone just 17-35 this season, losing by an average of 1.9 runs/game. Not to mention the Brewers have won 10 of 13 against the Pirates this season and are 15-4 over the last 3 years when they host Pittsburgh. You also have to love Eric Lauer being on the mound for Milwaukee. He's got a 1.04 ERA over his last 3 starts and 3.14 ERA in 5 career starts against the Pirates (allowed just 3 ER over his last 19 innings vs the Pirates). Bet the Brewers -1.5, +101!

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Jimmy Boyd

Aug 02 '21, 8:10 PM in 6h
MLB | Pirates vs Brewers
Play on: Brewers -196 at SC Consensus

1* Free Pick on Brewers -196

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Ben Burns

Aug 02 '21, 9:40 PM in 7h
MLB | SFO vs ARI
Play on: OVER 9 -115

Arizona gave up 13 runs yesterday and should allow some more today. Five of the past seven meetings have reached double-digits. Those seven games had an average of 13 runs scored. Widener has a 7.81 ERA and an 1.884 WHIP his past three starts. He gave up five runs in 3 2/3 innings in his most recent outing, walking five in the process. DeSclafani wasn't very sharp last time out either. In fact, he allowed four runs in 2 2/3 innings. Consider the Over.

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Alex Smart

Aug 02 '21, 9:40 PM in 7h
MLB | Giants vs Diamondbacks
Play on: Giants -180 at SC Consensus

Giants right-hander Anthony DeSclafani (10-5, 3.10 ERA), will go to the hill to face Arizona for the third time since June 16. He is 2-0 with a 1.98 ERA against the Diamondbacks this season and in eight career outings against them he is 4-2 with a 2.52 ERA in 53 2/3 innings. Advantage SF.
DESCLAFANI is 7-1 against the money line in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 2-36 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season.ARIZONA is 1-20 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better this season.
Meanwhile, Arizona will answer back withWidener who makes his 9th MLB start . After some good efforts he is going downhill fast as is evident by allowing 15 runs in his L/ 19 2/3 innings of work. In two home outings in 2021, Widener has posted a 7.45 ERA and and 1.66 WHIP and is fade material in his current form.
MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ARIZONA) - revenging 2 straight home losses vs opponent, off a loss by 10 runs or more to a division rival are 5-35 L/24 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on SF Giants to win

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1.	Elite Sports Picks	MLB	Brewers under 9	0-0 (+0)	5-0 (+570)
2.	The Sports Consensus	MLB	Phillies -110	0-0 (+0)	6-1 (+495)
3.	Profit On Sports	MLB	Rays under 9	0-0 (+0)	4-0 (+455)
4.	Top Rank Sports Picks	MLB	Brewers under 9	0-0 (+0)	5-1 (+405)
5.	Joe Wiz			0-0 (+0)	3-1 (+150)
6.	National Sports Service			0-0 (+0)	3-3 (-20)
7.	Primetime Sports Picks			0-0 (+0)	3-3 (-30)
8.	Insider Sports Report	MLB	Brewers -1.5 -115	0-0 (+0)	3-4 (-175)
9.	Doc's Picks	MLB	Toronto -1.5 -135	0-0 (+0)	2-5 (-490)

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Rk	Sports Services	Free Sports Picks	Place A Bet
1.	NSA(The Legend)	MLB – Nationals -100	Line @ Bovada
2.	Gameday Network	MLB – Giants -1.5	Line @ Bovada
3.	Winning Big Sports	MLB – Rays -1.5	Line @ MyBookie
4.	PointSpreadReport.com(SAM CASEY)	MLB – Blue Jays over 9.5	Line @ MyBookie
5.	VegasSI.com	MLB – Brewers -1.5	Line @ Bovada
6.	Sports Action 365	MLB – Nationals under 8.5	Line @ GT Bets
7.	Vegas Line Crushers	MLB – Blue Jays over 9.5	Line @ GT Bets
8.	NSA(Gerry “Big Cat” Andino)	MLB – Rays under 9	Line @ Bovada
9.	Lou Panelli	MLB – Giants under 9.5	Line @ Bovada
10.	VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club	MLB – Nationals -100	Line @ GT Bets
11.	William E. Stockton	MLB – Yankees over 10	Line @ MyBookie
12.	Vincent Pioli	MLB – Brewers -1.5	Line @ Bovada
13.	Steve “Scoop” Kendall	MLB – Rays -1.5	Line @ Bovada
14.	SCORE	MLB – Blue Jays -1.5	Line @ GT Bets
15.	Tony Campone	MLB – Brewers under 9	Line @ Bovada
16.	Chicago Sports Group	MLB – Nationals -100	Line @ Bovada
17.	Hollywood Sportsline	MLB – Giants under 9.5	Line @ Bovada
18.	VIP Action	MLB – Yankees over 10	Line @ GT Bets
19.	South Beach Sports	MLB – Rays -1.5	Line @ Bovada
20.	Las Vegas Sports Commission	MLB – Giants -1.5	Line @ Bovada
21.	NY Players Club	MLB – Nationals -100	Line @ GT Bets
22.	Fred Callahan	MLB – Blue Jays -1.5	Line @ Bovada
23.	Las Vegas Private CEO Club	MLB – Yankees -1.5	Line @ MyBookie
24.	Michigan Sports	MLB – Rays -1.5	Line @ GT Bets
25.	National Consensus Report	MLB – Brewers -1.5	Line @ Bovada