Friday 8/6/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Sam Houston

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

---

Race 8 - Allowance - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $29000 Class Rating: 81

QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR TEXAS ACCREDITED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 JEG APOLLITEAL SEIS 2/1
# 8 VIVA LE MERICA 5/1
# 1 PRONTO ALEXA 3/1

JEG APOLLITEAL SEIS is my choice. Should keep the good string of finishes intact this time out. Has been racing solidly and has among the most favorable speed in the race for today's distance. Might best this group of animals here, showing formidable figs of late. VIVA LE MERICA - Is a definite contender - given the 83 Equibase Speed Figure from her most recent race. The average Equibase class figure alone makes this one a solid choice. PRONTO ALEXA - Will probably go to the front end and could never look back. The Equibase speed fig of 80 from her latest race looks respectable in here.

---

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Evangeline Downs - Race #6 - Post: 8:05pm - Allowance - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $29,000 Class Rating: 85

Rating:

#3 FRANK THE MAYOR (ML=8/1)
#1 JAZZ IT UP (ML=15/1)
#8 MAY HOUR (ML=10/1)


FRANK THE MAYOR - This jock and trainer are consistent together. Winning pct when teamed up is hard to best. Looking at today's class figure, this horse is encountering an easier field than in the last race at Evangeline Downs. JAZZ IT UP - This speedy sort should profit from this contest's shorter distance. Fusilier was aboard this gelding last time around the track and was impressed enough to take the equine right back. This campaigner coming off a solid contest in the last thirty days is a serious competitor in my humble opinion. On Jul 16th this gelding shipped in to take the top prize and looks good right back. PP lines show this pony with 3 improving speed ratings. Fusilier should be on a live one in this race. That 89 fig this gelding garnered in his last race tells me he's a big time player this time out. MAY HOUR - Coming off a fifth place finish at Evangeline Downs, some may skip over this horse. I'm not. He just missed hitting the show spot, and has decent odds today. Robbins brings him right back. I recommend you stick with this live gelding. Sub-par performance last out at Evangeline Downs was due to the off-going (he ended up fifth). I'd expect a better race right here in this race without a sloppy track. Robbins must think that this gelding will adapt to the tight turns at Evangeline Downs, perhaps because he's had success on the turf.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 CLUB SODA (ML=5/2), #5 CURTIN'S UP (ML=3/1), #7 ELUSIVE D'ORO (ML=7/2),

CLUB SODA - You should normally gamble against favorites that haven't raced or show no activity in the morning over the last 3 weeks. Garnered a substandard speed rating last out in a $12,500 Optional Claiming race on July 10th. Improbable to see an improved performance off of that fig. CURTIN'S UP - Most of the time I need a sprinter to have some success lately in sprint races in order to support him. Going to have a tough go of it with all the other speedball types in this race. ELUSIVE D'ORO - I can't play this continual non-winner. Gets the job executed infrequently.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#3 FRANK THE MAYOR is the play if we get odds of 7/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,3,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,3,8] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Saratoga

08/06/21, SAR, Race 5, 3.21 ET
08/06/21,SAR,5,7F [Dirt] 1:20:02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $55,000. (UP TO $9,570 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $50,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	7	Hot Anna	5/2	Ortiz J L	McPeek Kenneth G.	FC	180	35.56	1.26/$1
098.4984	1A	School of Thought	8/5	Ortiz. Jr. I	Brown Chad C.	J	207	35.75	1.22/$1
096.9081	1	Commandandcontrol	8/5	Castellano J	Brown Chad C.	E	180	35.56	1.26/$1
096.7322	4	Empty Net(b+)	6/1	Cohen D	Russell Brittany T.	T	180	35.56	1.26/$1
095.5616	6	Thegoddessofsnakes	12/1	Samuel J L	Summers Chad	W	180	35.56	1.26/$1
095.4701	3	Violent Vixen	12/1	Gaffalione T	Baker Charlton		207	35.75	1.22/$1
095.2695	2	Airborne Gal	8/1	Davis D	Handal Raymond		207	35.75	1.22/$1
094.2159	5	Lady Clementine	6/1	Saez L	Joseph. Jr. Saffie A.	S	180	35.56	1.26/$1
092.4904	8	Superbloodwolfmoon	20/1	Hernandez B	Metivier Richard	L	207	35.75	1.22/$1

Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 35.44, ROI 1.26/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.5016
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Distance Is Not Greater Than Today

---

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

---

Race 4 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $8600 Class Rating: 66

FOR NATIVE THREE YEAR OLDS. WEIGHT, 118 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 6, 2021 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE JUNE 6, 2021 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000, FOR EACH $2,000 TO $16,000 2 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 6 DON MARTIN DE LEON 8/5
# 5 DON LUIS S 5/2
# 4 GIL HUGO VERO 2/1

DON MARTIN DE LEON is the best bet in this race. Always good to invest in a trainer with this kind of very good win percentage - 23 percent - at this distance & surface. Will probably be one of the leaders of the group going into the halfway point of the race. This handler has done admirably recently with entries racing at this distance and surface. DON LUIS S - Has been running very well and has among the best speed in the race for today's distance. I expect a strong performance from this horse whose conditioner has one of the top return on investment percentages with horses running at this distance and surface. GIL HUGO VERO - Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Salinas have shown strong results lately. Earnings per start at the distance/surface is a very good angle. This one ranks at the top in this lot.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

1.	Elite Sports Picks	MLB	Toronto -140	2-2 (-50)	5-0 (+570)
2.	The Sports Consensus			3-1 (+190)	6-1 (+495)
3.	Profit On Sports	MLB	Cleveland -135	2-1 (+90)	4-0 (+455)
4.	Top Rank Sports Picks	MLB	Reds under 9.5	2-2 (-10)	5-1 (+405)
5.	Joe Wiz	MLB	Brewers -145	2-1 (+160)	3-1 (+150)
6.	National Sports Service	MLB	Angels +180	1-2 (-110)	3-3 (-20)
7.	Primetime Sports Picks	MLB	Angels +1.5 -110	1-2 (-110)	3-3 (-30)
8.	Insider Sports Report			2-1 (+90)	3-4 (-175)
9.	Doc's Picks	MLB	Cleveland -135	2-2 (-90)	2-5 (-490)
10.	The Spot Player	MLB	White Sox -180	1-0 (+100)	0-0 (+0)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness

Aug 06 '21, 7:05 PM in 34m
MLB | Rays vs Orioles
Play on: Rays -145 at pinnacle

My free play is on the TB Rays at 7:05 ET.
The Tampa Bay Rays begin a nine-game road trip with the opener of a three-game series in Baltimore Friday night against the Orioles. The Rays lead the AL East with a 65-44 record that gives them a 1 1/2-game lead over the Red Sox and a 5 1/2-game lead over the Yankees. As for Baltimore, the Orioles are currently 38-69, a record that has them in last-pace in the AL East. They are a 'mere' 26 games behind the Rays plus the Orioles own the AL's worst record and only the 34-76 D'backs own a worse record among all MLB teams.
The starting pitchers for Friday's series opener are a pair of lefties, Ryan Yarbrough (6-4, 4.58 ERA) for Tampa Bay and John Means (5-3, 2.84 ERA) for Baltimore. Yarbrough was drafted by Seattle back in 2014 but didn't make his MLB debut until 2018 with the Rays. He put together solid back-to-back seasons in 2018 and 2019, making 66 appearances (20 starts) in going 27-12 with a 4.02 ERA. 2020 was a tough season for most and he was limited to 11 appearances (nine starts), going 1-4 with a 3.56 ERA. He enters this game having made 21 appearances in 2021, including 16 starts (see record above). John Means entered the 2021 season with 42 career appearances (37 starts), posting a 14-15 record with a 3.97 ERA. He got off to a great start, going 4-0 with a 1.37 ERA over his first seven starts (team was 5-2), highlighted by him throwing a no-hitter at Seattle on May 5 (6-0 win). However, Means went onto the 10-day injured list on June 6 with a strained shoulder but wasn't activated until July 20, missing over a month of action. He was awful in his first two starts after rejoining the rotation, allowing nine ERs over just 11.2 innings (6.94 ERA). That said, he looked sharp in his most recent outing (last Saturday), allowing one ER over six innings of a 5-2 win at Detroit. It marked his first win since his no-hitter back on May 5!
Maybe Means has regained his early season form but the Rays are SO much the better team that I won't go against Tampa Bay in this one. The Rays have won EIGHT of the first nine games in the season series against the Orioles. What changes here? Nothing!
Good luck...Larry

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Will Rogers

Aug 06 '21, 7:05 PM in 34m
MLB | NYM vs PHI
Play on: UNDER 9½ -105

Take the light-hitting Mets, Marcus Stroman's ERA and his consistent lack of run support, a strong starter for the Phillies in Kyle Gibson, and the recent improvement in the Phillies' bullpen, and what do you get? A recipe for a low scoring game. Take the total to go UNDER!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin

Aug 06 '21, 7:05 PM in 34m
MLB | TAM vs BAL
Play on: OVER 9½ -115

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Rays/Orioles OVER 9.5
Two shaky starting pitchers go for the Rays and Orioles tonight in what should be a high scoring game at hitter-friendly Camden Yards. Ryan Yarbrough is 4-4 with a 4.69 ERA in 16 starts this season and 0-1 with a 6.11 ERA in his last three starts. John Means is 1-1 with a 5.04 ERA in five home starts this season. Yarbrough allowed 6 earned runs in 5 2/3 innings in his last start against the Orioles on July 19th. Means is 0-1 with a 7.15 ERA in his two starts against the Rays this season while giving up 9 earned runs and 4 HR's in 11 1/3 innings. The OVER is 15-6-2 in Rays last 23 games as road favorites. The OVER is 6-2-1 in the last nine meetings. The OVER is 22-8 in Orioles last 30 home games. Give me the OVER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn

Aug 06 '21, 7:05 PM in 34m
MLB | Rays vs Orioles
Play on: Orioles +140 at BetVegas

1* Free Play on Orioles +140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence

Aug 06 '21, 7:07 PM in 36m
MLB | Red Sox vs Blue Jays
Play on: Red Sox +131 at pinnacle

Play - Boston Red Sox w/Eovaldi (Game 967).
Edges - Red Sox: 13-3 on Fridays this season, and Eovaldi 3.61 ERA and 1.11 WHIP last seven starts, and Eovaldi 42 Ks with 6 BBs last six starts … Blue Jays: 6-10 on Fridays this season, and 4-8 off three consecutive wins this season … We recommend a 1* play on Boston. Thank you and good luck as always.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover

Aug 06 '21, 7:07 PM in 36m
MLB | Red Sox vs Blue Jays
Play on: Red Sox +128 at SC Consensus

The Red Sox didn't play well against the Tigers on Thursday and they were smacked, 8-1. The Red Sox are a high quality team in bounce back mode. They are 31-24 on the road. That loss to the Tigers should wake up the Red Sox. So I'm attracted to taking a 'dog price on them. The pitching matchup is Nathan Eovaldi versus rookie Alek Manoah. I really like Manoah, who has struck out 56 batters in 47 1/3 innings. He can be inconsistent, like most young pitchers, but this isn't a play against him. Rather it's a value play on the Red Sox. Boston is averaging just 2.5 runs in its last nine games. The Red Sox are putting on baserunners, though. They're just not capitalizing as during their last nine games they've knocked in only nine of 75 runners in scoring position, a meager 12 percent. That percentage is due to rise. Eovaldi has been steady with a 9-6 mark and 3.71 ERA in 21 starts this year. He holds a 3.63 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in eight career appearances against Toronto. Eovaldi faced the Blue Jays on June 14 and held them scoreless during his 6 2/3 innings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker

Aug 06 '21, 7:10 PM in 39m
MLB | Tigers vs Indians
Play on: Tigers +140 at Caesars

Free Pick on Tigers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rocky Atkinson

Aug 06 '21, 7:10 PM in 39m
MLB | Tigers vs Indians
Play on: Indians -134 at SC Consensus

Rocketman Sports FREE MLB play Friday 8-6-21
Detroit @ Cleveland (7:10 PM EST)
Play On: Cleveland -134 (Manning/Quantrill) Listed
The Detroit Tigers travel to Cleveland to take on the Indians on Friday night. Detroit is 53-58 SU overall this year while Cleveland comes in with a 52-54 SU overall record on the season. Matt Manning is 2-4 with a 5.58 ERA overall this year and 0-3 with an 8.19 ERA on the road this season. Manning is 0-1 with a 22.07 ERA in his one career start vs Cleveland. Cal Quantrill is 1-0 with a 3.67 ERA at home this year and has a 1.00 ERA his last 3 starts. Detroit is allowing 5.7 runs per game on the road this year. Cleveland is 33-9 overall vs Detroit the past 3 years. Cleveland is 6-0 this year after getting shut out. We'll recommend a small play on Cleveland tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels

Aug 06 '21, 7:10 PM in 39m
MLB | Tigers vs Indians
Play on: Indians -134 at SC Consensus

Free Play on Indians -134

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams

Aug 06 '21, 7:10 PM in 39m
MLB | Tigers vs Indians
Play on: Tigers +135 at William Hill

1* on Tigers +135