Service Plays Monday 8/16/21

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe

Indians +115 (4U)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vernon Croy

Indians +110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andrew McInnis
Play: Minnesota Twins ML (-123)
Rating: 5*

The Indians take on the twins in Monday action; this is an excellent spot for the Twins as they have dominated Cleveland as of late, winning eight of the last nine matchups at home in Minnesota and 5-2 in the last seven overall.
Cleveland blew it up at the trade deadline; they're 5-9 since and have fallen out of the wildcard race completely. Although Minnesota's record isn’t excellent, the team includes a large portion of the roster that had made the playoffs over the last two years, and they're averaging the fourth-most home runs per game in the major league (1.44) with a .746 OPS at the plate. This game is all about the ability of Jorge Polanco and company to pound Cal Quantrill’s pitches with their bats. Quantrill gave up six hits and six earned runs in only 4.1 innings of work when he stared down the Twins’ lineup back in late June. The Twins have the power to extend the lousy week vibes going on in the Indians organization. Quintrell is averaging seven hits against per game, and if that happens again, some of those homers the twins hit could result in some big innings.
Sure, the Indians had a solid win against the improved Tigers Sunday night, but this is an entirely different match-up and one that they've struggled with on the road. I don't see Jax having a tough time with the Indians lineup that, besides one massive outburst, has worked to put up runs consistently. The twins are 7-3 in their last ten overall; rookie Griffin Jax is on the mound; despite his Era not being the prettiest, he's given up only one earned run in 3 of his last four outings. The fact is, this is a generous price on the Twins, they are much better than their record indicates, and they've proven it over their last two-week stretch by competing and defeating against division-leading teams like the Rays, White Sox & Astros
PLAY THE HOME TEAM. TAKE THE TWINS.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Winners Circle
MLB BASEBALL

Play San Francisco -180 over New York Mets (MLB)
Play Houston -160 over Kansas City (MLB)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Raphael Esparza (VSI) Soccer

7U- Villareal -1.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony George

7 Units - #954 Cincinnati Run Line -1.5 (-115) vs Chicago Cubs *7 EST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Merrill

Over KC
Over Colorado

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin Dolan

5% top play - Villarreal -1 (vs Granada)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Action Network 8/16

Cubs vs. Reds MLB Pick

Sharp Action

Seventy-seven percent of Cubs vs. Reds bettors are laying the number with Cincy, yet Chicago has dropped from the opener of +205 to +180 thanks to respected bettors.
Bet signals are reporting three waves of smart money flowing on the Cubs, helping explain why that price has shortened despite the majority of action backing the Reds.
Big Money

While just 23% of moneyline tickets have landed on the Chicago thus far, those bets account for 48% of the real moneywagered, revealing that the biggest bettors are taking the underdog in this matchup.
PRO Systems

With so much public action flowing on the Reds, the Cubs fit The Action Network’s Betting against the public Pro System, which has produced a profit of 159 units dating back to 2005.
Top Experts

One of our top MLB experts is also aligned with the sharps today by taking a shot on the Cubs at such an appetizing number.
PRO Report Pick: Cubs +180

[onetrikpony]

CodyCoversSpreads

VIP

MLB 8/16

Indians ML(300u)(Whale)
Astros ML(200u)
Rockies ML(200u)
White Sox ML(200u)
Parlay 1 Indians/Astros (50u)
Parlay 2 Rockies/W Sox (50u)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marco D'Angelo

4% - 1H Oakland As - Action

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bryan Leonard

4% - Oakland As - Action

[dawggy]

JM SPORTS

Game:(965) Houston Astros at (966) Kansas City Royals

• Date/Time: Aug 16 2021 8:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4 units
  Play: Houston Astros -156 J Odorizzi (RHP), C Hernandez (RHP) Must Start
  
  4 unit Houston Astros (-156) over Kansas City Royals (Odorizzi/Hernandez) –
  Jake Odorizzi on the mound has an ERA of 4.59 but some how continues to win games, including a 2-1 record in the L3 starts with a 6.08 ERA. Although Houston has played well behind him, they have given him the offense that he needs to string together the wins, the Astros are 5-2 in his L7 starts as a F (including 3-1 as AF) and they are 3-1 in his 4 starts in the opening game of a series. The Astros have started off hot in multiple series this year, in the opening game they are 24-14, including 12-7 on the road, 7-1 as an AF in the L8. and 9 straight on the road vs. non-divisional opponents. Houston is also 10-2 as an AF vs. RHP w/ ERA > 4.00 (including 8 straight), 9-2 as an AF vs. RHP w/ WHIP > 1.25 (including 8 straight), but vs. RHP in general they have faired well recently, going 12-2 as an AF vs. RHP w/ line < -115, 6-1 on the road vs a RHP off a L, and 7-1 vs. RHP after a L in which they tied, or out hit the opponent. The Royals on the other hand are starting a pitcher in Hernandez that only has 5 starts on the year, although he has fair well in those starts this is a game that could head to the bullpen early and KC's bullpen ranks #27 TY in earned runs per game out of the bullpen (1.974). The Royals have also struggled to start as hot as the Astros, they are 18-20 in the opening game of their series TY, including 2-8 in the L10 as a D and 2-6 @ H vs. SP w/ WHIP < 1.25. Against right-handed pitching this year, Kansas City has struggled immensely to say the least.. they are 7-19 as a D vs. RHP w/ WHIP < 1.25, 1-7 @ H vs. RHP after a game where they never led, 2-9 vs. RHP after a L w/ 9 or more hits, 4-13 vs. RHP after allowing more then 10 hits (2-11 off a L w/ 10+ hits allowed), 4-17 vs. RHP off a L allowing more then 1 HR, and 3-22 vs. RHP TY w/ a line > -125 (12%)!! Kansas City is now coming off of 4 straight losses, they are 6-15 TY in the 5th game, and 4-9 as a dog, while it doesn't happen to often, KC lost B2B games by 5 or more runs, this year, teams that lost B2B games by 5 or more as a dog vs. RHP are 9-20 this season!

[dawggy]

• DR. CHUCK
• Date/Time: Aug 16 2021 7:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4 units
  Play: Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (-115) J Steele (LHP), W Miley (LHP) Must Start
  
  Ahem….say it with me now…
  We don't often bet home teams on the run line, but when we do, we prefer Wade Miley and his perfect 8-0 record at the GAB, and the opponent to be the hapless Cubbies…fresh out of Miami on no rest and here on the road again with Justin Steele on the mound and not much of a lineup, still no Willson…with the Redlegs chasing him early and giving way to the hideous bullpen with a 6.06 FIP over the past 7 days….
  A variety of ways to attack this game…this is probably the MOST valuable!….if not the safest….Reds aren't losing!
  
• Game: (955) San Diego Padres at (956) Colorado Rockies
  Date/Time: Aug 16 2021 8:40 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4 units
  Play: 1H Colorado Rockies -105 R Weathers (LHP), A Senzatela (RHP) Must Start
  
  Not ONLY do we get the single most profitable aspect of MLB this season….Rockies F5 ML…but we get to FADE Ryan Weathers on the mound….who has been so bad of late it won't matter the Padres got the offense going a little bit last night and Tatis is back and playing outfield.
  Weathers has an 8.10 FIP overall in the second half….got HAMMERED by this Rockies team in San Diego…where the Rockies do not excel at all….and he has a .469 wOBA against in the 4 starts since the break. His FIP of 5.20 and 5.72 respectively in 2-2 and 3-2 counts particularly is something to focus on when playing against him….
  Meanwhile, Senzatela has a mere 2.06 FIP in the second half and an absolutely STUPID .412 BABIP which is as due for regression as any number in the entire sport….much to our benefit!
  Also of note….the Dads have lost 4 straight games in Coors and have only led after 5 innings twice on the season facing the Rockies away!
  
• Game: (955) San Diego Padres at (956) Colorado Rockies
  Date/Time: Aug 16 2021 8:40 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: To be announced
  Play Rating: 4 units
  Play: Colorado Rockies Total Over 5.5 (-110) R Weathers (LHP) Must Start
  
  Bargain basement prices….and how often are we gonna say that on a 5.5 for a HOME team…but that's what THIS is….with Weathers and the VMI and the home field and the LHP aspect and the way they play the Dads and ALLOFIT
  
• Game: (957) New York Mets at (958) San Francisco Giants
  Date/Time: Aug 16 2021 9:45 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4 units
  Play: San Francisco Giants -200 R Hill (LHP), K Gausman (RHP) Must Start
  
  Basically everything…that is the analysis here….could go on and on and on….but just flat have it all….the Mets off the Dodgers series and 3000 miles of travel and the starter mismatch and the Mets being 0-6 last 6 all in August hung as a Vegas dog…Gausman stepping it up after looking like he might fade….a 41 year old lefty on the bump for the road team…bullpen prowess aplenty for the Giants of late….oh and that 41 year old's worst situation…. facing righties on the road….of which he should face mostly save Crawford and maybe Belt….the 2 LH hitters that have had the MOST success….each reaching base 11 times in 22 PAs v. Hill!
  SUPERFECTA of the day
  
• Game: (957) New York Mets at (958) San Francisco Giants
  Date/Time: Aug 16 2021 9:45 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4 units
  Play: San Francisco Giants -1.5 (-105) R Hill (LHP), K Gausman (RHP) Must Start
  
  Wish we'd gotten this at + money but we can't be phased….this is RIGHT and only the 8 ABs is keeping it still THIS valuable….Gabe's boys are gonna be ready to put on a hurting on the team that just got reamed 14-4 by HIS divisional rival….on Sunday night baseball to boot!
  This is spot of the year type stuff….

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Top Flight Sports

KC Royals +1.5 **5u max play**