Saturday 8/21/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Marco D'Angelo

Event: (915) Chicago White Sox at (916) Tampa Bay Rays
Sport/League: MLB

Date/Time: August 21, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: Tampa Bay Rays -129 D Keuchel (LHP), L Patino (RHP) Must Start
FREE PLAY: TAMPA BAY -129

Tampa Bay looks to bounce back in game 2 of the series today. This series could be a preview of the ALCS as these are two of the best in the American League. Tampa should have success today against Dallas Keuchel who has a ERA of close to 5.00 on the road this season. Tampa Bay has been outstanding in day games this year as they are averaging 5.6 RPG and have a 33-14 record this year in Day Games. We also find that Tampa Bay is 14-4 as a Home Favorite of -150 or less this season.

TAKE TAMPA BAY

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Ligs

Event: (901) New York Mets at (902) Los Angeles Dodgers
Sport/League: MLB

Date/Time: August 21, 2021 4PM EDT
Play: Total Under 9.0 (-125) R Hill (LHP), M Scherzer (RHP) Must Start

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Adams

Event: (413) Baltimore Ravens at (414) Carolina Panthers
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: August 21, 2021 7PM EDT
Play: Baltimore Ravens -3.0 (-115)
The Ravens are 18-0 SU and 16-1-1 ATS in their last 18 preseason games. John Harbaugh is a coach that likes to win, whether the games matter or not. Carolina Coach Matt Rhule said that he’ll play a “handful of starters a small amount” on Saturday. Sam Darnold is likely to play, and he’s a guy that’s been turnover prone all the way back to his days at USC. Look for the Baltimore defensive line to dominate in the trenches as we look to cash another NFL preseason ticket. Take the Ravens.
Line Parameter: 4 units at -3 or lower, 3 units at -3.5 or higher

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Ralph Michaels

Event: (417) Tennessee Titans at (418) Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: August 21, 2021 7PM EDT
Play: Total Over 35.0 (-110)
UNDER 35 TEN/TB

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nick Borrman

Event: New York City FC at New York Red Bulls
Sport/League: MLS

Date/Time: August 21, 2021 8PM EDT
Play: New York City FC -0.25 (-115)
MLS
The H2H trend between these teams suggests taking the road team is not a good idea as the road team is winless in the last ten meetings. But I'm going to ignore that trend here simply because the season numbers are too good in favor of NYCFC.
By the numbers:
NYCFC
2.03 xG (#1) | 0.95 xGA (#1) | +1.08 xG differential (#1)
16.2 Shots for (#1) | 6.1 on Goal (#1)
8.0 Shots allowed (#1) | 3.3 on Goal (#1)
They are number 1 across the board which is remarkably impressive.
NYRB
1.24 xG (#21) | 1.38 xGA (#11) | -0.15 xG differential (#14)
13.9 Shots for (#7) | 4.1 on Goal (#18)
10.5 Shots allowed (#5) | 4.2 on Goal (#13)
NYCFC is in a little funk right now winning just one of their last four games, but NYRB is in an even worse funk with four losses in their last six games and just two wins over their last 11. I think worst case for NYCFC is a draw in this game which at this current line is only a half-loss so I see some pretty good value in grabbing the -0.25 number.
TAKE NYCFC -0.25
Line Parameter: 2% to -130, 1% at -0.5

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Tony Mejia

Event: (209889) Chicago at (209890) Orlando City SC
Sport/League: MLS

Date/Time: August 21, 2021 8PM EDT
Play: 1H Orlando City SC +117
Orlando City has won twice, drawn four times and lost only once over the past seven matches, but they're currently on a run of matches that end up even resembling Ted Lasso's FC Richmond squad in Season 2. The Chicago Fire visit Exploria Stadium on Saturday night and may end up with a draw, but it's a good bet that they'll struggle in the heat and humidity in Orlando before things cool off and should fall behind in the first 45 minutes. Ride Orlando City to win the first half over Chicago at plus money.

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Dwayne Bryant

Event: (421) Indianapolis Colts at (422) Minnesota Vikings
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: August 21, 2021 8PM EDT
Play: Minnesota Vikings -140

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Tokyo Brandon

Event: (911) Philadelphia Phillies at (912) San Diego Padres
Sport/League: MLB

Date/Time: August 21, 2021 8PM EDT
Play: San Diego Padres -1.0 (-120) A Nola (RHP), J Musgrove (RHP) Must Start
Musgrove has been great at home and in his career has held these batters down. Nola, on the other hand, has been awful on the road. The Padres have the bullpen, form, lineup and every other advantage here so take them on the alt -1 run line. If they win by 1 it is a push. If you do not have a -1 then take them on the money line.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kyle Anthony

Event: (24717) Parker Porter at (24718) Chase Sherman
Sport/League: MMA

Date/Time: August 21, 2021 10PM EDT
Play: Chase Sherman winning via KO +130
In a main card bout Chase Sherman faces Parker Porter…
The professional MMA record of Chase Sherman isn't impressive. Losing to tougher vets but beating lower level talent. Most recently losing to Andrei Arlovski and he actually looked sharp against a tough UFC vet. On Saturday night Chase takes a step down in competition level facing Parker Porter who's 1-1 since entering the UFC. The style at which Parker fights should allow Chase to dominate the stand up. So, how does Parker fight...?? He enjoys blocking punches with his face. The lackluster defense will provide openings for Chase to push the pace early firing bombs which I believe the KO shot will land. Getting off the big straight money line price of Sherman (-195), method of victory is the play. These are the exact type of fights Chase finds a finish coming off a loss against higher level talent. His career has been this way and I don't see it any different Saturday.
+130 on the better fighter in a heavyweight bout with both guys willing to stand toe to toe and exchange, I'm on Chase getting the KO finish at plus money.

Play: Chase Sherman winning via KO (+130)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus

Aug 21 '21, 12:30 PM in 1h
Soccer | Eupen vs Oud-Heverlee
Play on: Oud-Heverlee +147 at linepros

1* Free Sharp Play on Oud-Heverlee +147

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker

Aug 21 '21, 1:05 PM in 2h
MLB | Twins vs Yankees
Play on: Yankees -215 at SC Consensus

Free Pick on Yankees

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Sal Michaels

Aug 21 '21, 2:20 PM in 3h
MLB | Royals vs Cubs
Play on: Royals +110 at Caesars

Free Play on Royals +110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Cassia County Fair

Cassia County Fair - Race 6	$2 Exacta/ $2 Quinella/ $2 Trifecta($1 Tri Box)
Derby • 250 Yards • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 77 • Purse: $4,900 • Post: 3:30P
QUARTER HORSE 250Y, CASSIA DERBY - FOR THREE YEAR OLDS, OPEN TO MIXED BREED. $150 TO NOMINATE. LIMITED TO 8 HEAD. WEIGHTS: 124 LBS.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * JESS CUERVO TIME: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surf ace. IM RENEE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. RED TELLER: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the g ate fast. Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. ZOOMIN FOR SHER: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
1	JESS CUERVO TIME	12/1	5/1
2	IM RENEE	10/1	5/1
6	RED TELLER	6/1	6/1
3	ZOOMIN FOR SHER	2/1	10/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	JESS CUERVO TIME	1	12/1	Average	88	78	5.1	0.0	0.0
2	IM RENEE	2	10/1	Slow	86	76	7.1	0.0	0.0
3	ZOOMIN FOR SHER	3	2/1	Average	77	71	4.5	0.0	0.0
4	JANDUST	4	4/5	Fast	75	62	3.2	0.0	0.0
5	TELLMSHESA 10	5	15/1	Slow	63	56	8.5	0.0	0.0
6	RED TELLER	6	6/1	Fast	71	70	3.2	0.0	0.0

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delaware Park

Delaware Park - Race 4	Double / Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / .50 Pick 3 (Races 4-6)
Claiming $10,000 • 5 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 88 • Purse: $20,000 • Post: 2:45P
(RAIL AT 15 FEET). (PLUS UP TO 50% OTHER SOURCES) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 21, 2021 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000, IF FOR $8,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $6,250 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES). (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT NOT TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT FIVE FURLONGS)

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * RACINGINTHESTREET: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top thre e in TrackMaster Power Rating. SHALL RETURN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs. CULTURAL MANDATE: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse has run well in the pas t in its first and/or second starts after a long layoff. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. THE AURELIA FACTOR: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the t op three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
3	RACINGINTHESTREET	3/2	5/2
7	SHALL RETURN	4/1	7/1
4	CULTURAL MANDATE	6/1	8/1
2	THE AURELIA FACTOR	10/1	9/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	CULTURAL MANDATE	4	6/1	Front-runner	84	76	105.9	72.4	66.4
1	YEYETZI	1	15/1	Front-runner	62	69	94.8	9.5	0.0
8	UNCLE MO'S AFFAIR	8	12/1	Front-runner	77	71	93.9	63.5	54.5
3	RACINGINTHESTREET	3	3/2	Front-runner	89	91	90.3	81.4	77.9
2	THE AURELIA FACTOR	2	10/1	Stalker	70	72	83.8	75.7	66.7
7	SHALL RETURN	7	4/1	Alternator/Stalker	82	75	70.0	74.8	67.3
6	LIANA SUSQUEHANNA	6	3/1	Alternator/Non-contender	89	80	0.0	58.8	50.8
5	STATUS ASTHMATICUS	5	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	57	64	0.0	0.0	0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Arlington

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $30000 Class Rating: 83

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. LANE 1.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 7 ADMIRAL RETURNS 5/2
# 6 K RULES 6/1
# 9 CAPTAIN FANTASTIC 9/2

I've got to go with ADMIRAL RETURNS. Boasts sound speed figures on average overall when put alongside the rest of this group. The average class fig of 76 makes this entrant hard to beat. Has to be given consideration versus this field displaying formidable figures recently and an average speed figure of 80 under similar conditions. K RULES - Had one of the top Equibase Speed Figs of this group in his last race. A solid 84 avg Equibase class rating may give this colt a distinct class edge versus this field. CAPTAIN FANTASTIC - Has earned strong Equibase Speed Figures in turf route races in the past. One of the best win percentages between this jock and handler make this colt dangerous.