Service Plays Thursday 8/19/21

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Goodfella

3* Brewers RL

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XS SPORTS PICKS THURSDAY

NFL:

5* Philadelphia +1.5 -119

MLB:

5* Philadelphia Under 8 -110

4* Milwaukee Over 8 -110

3* Kansas City +143

3* Oakland Over 9 -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Bollman

PHILADELPHIA @ ARIZONA | 08/19 | 3:40 PM EDT
ARIZONA +170
ANALYSIS: Madison Bumgerner vs. Zach Wheeler and I think this will be low scoring. The Phillies have lost 3 in a row and are much worse on the road at 25-34. The Dbacks are much better at home and they have been playing well in Arizona lately. Madison Bumgarner has thrown four straight quality starts and the Phillies tend to struggle against lefties. I like the Dbacks as home dogs.

+1782 51-36 IN LAST 87 MLB ML PICKS
+710 6-0 IN LAST 6 PHI ML PICKS
+465 5-1 IN LAST 6 ARI ML PICKS
11:41 AM

OAKLAND @ CHI. WHITE SOX | 08/19 | 2:10 PM EDT
OAKLAND +147
ANALYSIS: Cole Irvin vs. Dylan Cease today but the Athletics are reeling having lost four in a row. Tim Anderson is getting the day off and the As have really had their chances in the first few games, they just haven’t been able to capitalize. Cole Irvin is very hit or miss but good value at plus mobey because he is capable of tossing a gem. Take the value in the As to salvage a game of this series.

+1782 51-36 IN LAST 87 MLB ML PICKS
+565 14-8 IN LAST 22 CHW ML PICKS
+225 3-1 IN LAST 4 OAK ML PICKS
11:40 AM

SEATTLE @ TEXAS | 08/19 | 2:05 PM EDT
SEATTLE -135
ANALYSIS: The Mariners have won seven of their last 10 games and put themselves back in contention for an outside shot at the playoffs. The Rangers are just 5-11 since the trade deadline and Spencer Howard just isn’t built up as a starter yet, meaning the Rangers will need a lot of bullpen innings. Chris Flexen has been one of the Mariners best starters all season, take the Mariners on the road.

+1782 51-36 IN LAST 87 MLB ML PICKS
+329 31-23 IN LAST 54 SEA ML PICKS
+270 4-1 IN LAST 5 TEX ML PICKS
11:39 AM

L.A. ANGELS @ DETROIT | 08/19 | 1:10 PM EDT
DETROIT +101
ANALYSIS: Matt Manning vs. Jose Quintana and Manning has been solid for the Tigers and even better at home going 2-1 with a 3.15 ERA. Jose Quintana is making his first start since May and is 0-3 with a 6.12 ERA this season. The Tigers are much better at home at 33-29 and the Tigers actually played close games in the first couple games of this series. Take the home dog.

+1782 51-36 IN LAST 87 MLB ML PICKS
+2980 60-22 IN LAST 82 DET ML PICKS
+1406 29-14 IN LAST 43 LAA ML PICKS
11:39 AM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tokyo Brandon

(911) Baltimore Orioles at (912) Tampa Bay Rays
Game: (913) Seattle Mariners at (914) Texas Rangers
Date/Time: Aug 19 2021 2:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 1%
Play: Seattle Mariners -1.0 (-120) C Flexen (RHP), S Howard (RHP) Must Start

Flexen is not great on the road so the books are giving a decent line here. Howard is a reliever who has not pitched more than 3 innings and has a 1.4+ WHIP. That opens things up for the awful bullpen. Seattle is not raking since losing Cruz to the Rays but they have a SP and bullpen advantage here that is worth a play. Take the Mariners on the alt run line -1. For better odds you can take the -1.5 if you prefer.

(917) Houston Astros at (918) Kansas City Royals
Game: (917) Houston Astros at (918) Kansas City Royals
Date/Time: Aug 19 2021 2:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 1%
Play: Houston Astros -1.0 (-120) L Garcia (RHP), M Minor (LHP) Must Start

The Astros have the SP, bullpen and lineup advantage here and Mike Minor allows hits and runs in bunches vs this team in his career. The Astros are in great form and crush LHP. Take the Astros on the alt -1 run line.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tokyo Brandon

304111) Yokohama Baystars at (304112) Yomiuri Giants
Game: (304111) Yokohama Baystars at (304112) Yomiuri Giants
Date/Time: Aug 20 2021 5:00 AM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 5%
Play: 1H Yomiuri Giants -0.5 (-118)

Yamaguchi is as solid a SP as they come and the Giants have been tearing the cover off the ball since the Olympic break. Yokohama SP Kyoyama is awful. His ERA is 7+, his WHIP is 2.36 and his FIP is 6.74. Yomiuri ranks better in 1st 5 hitting and Kyoyama has a 6.75 ERA vs Yomiuri this season. Take Yomiuri on the 1st 5 run line -0.5 or -1.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB Sharp Action

1:10 p.m. ET: Los Angeles Angels (61-61) at Detroit Tigers (58-64)

The Angels have won the first two games of this series, taking the opener 8-2 as + 130 road dogs and then winning again last night 3-1 as -130 road favorites behind a stellar two-way performance by Shohei Ohtani, who is now -1200 to win the AL MVP at BetMGM (92.3% implied probability). In tonight's rematch, Los Angeles hands the ball to lefty Jose Quintana (0-3, 6.12 ERA) and Detroit counters with righty Matt Manning (3-5, 6.10 ERA), who was selected 9th overall by the Tigers in 2016. This line opened with the Angels listed as a -125 road favorite and the Tigers a + 115 home dog. The public is riding the Angels to complete the sweep, yet we've seen Los Angeles fall from -125 to -110. This signals some sharp reverse line movement on the Tigers (+ 115 to + 110). Essentially, the game is moving toward a pick'em. Home teams receiving 10-cents of steam or more are 214-129 (62.4%) this season. Detroit also has value as a short dog with a high total. Historically, high totals have benefited dogs as the more expected runs scored leads to more variance and upset opportunities.

2:10 p.m. ET: Oakland Athletics (68-53) at Chicago White Sox (71-50)

The White Sox have dominated the Athletics so far this series, going a perfect 3-0 and outscoring Oakland 17-4 along the way. In this afternoon's series finale, the Athletics start lefty Cole Irvin (8-11, 3.52 ERA) and the White Sox trot out righty Dylan Cease (9-6, 4.04 ERA). This line opened with the White Sox listed as a -135 home favorite and the Athletics a + 125 road dog. Wiseguys are riding the hot hand and backing the White Sox to complete the sweep, steaming Chicago up from -135 to -160. Non-division home favorites are 381-239 (61.5%) this season. Sweet spot non-division home favorites between -150 and -175 are 86-45 (65.5%). Chicago is 37-19 (66.1%) as a home favorite. The White Sox have also mashed lefties this year, going 21-12. Chicago is 61-33 as a favorite. Oakland is 15-20 as a dog. The Southsiders will once again lean on their offense. Chicago is hitting .251, which ranks 6th-best in MLB. Oakland is hitting .237, which ranks 21st. We could also be looking at a lower scoring game. The total is 9 with the under juiced to -115, signaling a possible drop to 8.5. The forecast calls for low 80s with 7-10 MPH winds blowing in from left center. The under is 2-0-1 this series.

7:45 p.m. ET: Milwaukee Brewers (74-47) at St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)

The Brewers have taken the first two games of this series, winning the opener 2-0 as -160 road favorites and winning again on Wednesday 6-4 as -125 road favorites. Milwaukee has now won four straight and eight of their last nine. The Brewers are tied with the Rays for the 3rd-best record in baseball, trailing only the Giants and Dodgers. Milwaukee is + 350 to win the National League and + 900 to win the World Series. In tonight's series finale, the Brewers send out ace righty Brandon Woodruff (7-6, 2.18 ERA) and the Cardinals counter with veteran lefty Jon Lester (4-6, 5.32 ERA). This line opened with Milwaukee listed as a hefty -177 road favorite and St. Louis a + 162 home dog. Wiseguys aren't outsmarting themselves on this one. They're backing the better, hotter team with the glaring starting pitching advantage, steaming Milwaukee up from -177 to -200. Teams coming off a win receiving 15-cents of steam or more are 212-139 (60.4%) this season. Big favorites -200 or more coming off a win are 115-39 (74.7%), Milwaukee is 56-36 as a favorite. St. Louis is 24-35 as a dog. The Brewers are + 117 in run differential. The Cardinals are -25.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allen Eastman

7* Brewers -1.5 -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe

3* White Sox -160

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vernon Croy

4* Yankees Over 10.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc's Sports

4* Slavia Prague -175
4* Scott -110 Over English Round 1

[rocky57]

H&H Sports

MLB
Triple Dime - Athletics +145
Double Dime - Angels/Tigers Over 9.5 [-105]
Double Dime - Astros -160
Dime - Orioles/Rays Over 9 [+100]

[Calidreaming]

Larry ness AL total of year Over W Sox
Tom Stryker MLB play on Houston
Oskeim Sports MLB play on Yankees R Line

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GODFATHERLOCKS AUGUST 19TH PICKS

MLB

*** TOP RATED 2000 UNIT PICKS ***


#1 - LOS ANGELES ANGELS -110 (MLB)



#2 - TEXAS RANGERS +120 (MLB)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Strike Point Sports

7 Yankees RL -1.5 -140
4 Connecticut -5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alan Harris

4 Phillies -190
4 White Sox -160
4 Yankees RL -1.5 -140