Service Plays Friday 8/20/21

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[dawggy]

ADAM TRIGGER

• Game: (405) Cincinnati Bengals at (406) Washington Football Team
  Date/Time: Aug 20 2021 8:00 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 5%
  Play: Washington Football Team -4.5 (-110)

Washington (8PM ET NFL Network) – The Broncos jumped ahead and never looked back as they hammered the Vikings 33-6 to give us a split on our Week 1 NFL Preseason plays. I expect to be more active in Week 2 and Week 3 now that I’ve gotten a chance to see each team play once and I’m going to lock in my first move of NFLX Week 2 and up this one to a 5% MAX BET when the Washington Football Team host the Cincinnati Bengals at FedEx Field in Landover, Maryland.

Washington was the team I lost within my 1-1 split of NFLX Week 1 but a lot of that had to do with the Patriots second unit being way better than I expected and, even with everything that transpired, Washington was a dropped 2 point conversion away from having a great chance to get out with a tie (push) in that game. The Bengals 2’s and 3’s aren’t close to as good as the Patriots and we are going to see starters play more here which gives a huge advantage to Washington. I also think Washington will benefit from the starters getting extended time as Washington led the Patriots at halftime and would have been up more had Dustin Hopkins been able to make a field goal. Cincinnati was impressive in their Week 1 win over the Bucs but it was their second unit that did the damage against a Bucs team that barely played their notable players and was clearly uninterested in that game. I think we are going to see Week 2 and 3 play out more like real games, in a real game Washington hammers this Bengals team and I think winning by five or more is likely for the Football Team here.

The most notable absentee for Cincinnati in Week 1 was quarterback Joe Burrow and I’ll be shocked if he steps on the field here. If Burrow does play it won’t be for more than a series so it’s going to be Brandon Allen and Kyle Shurmur against a Washington 1st and 2nd team defense that will be far tougher than facing the Bucs backups like they did last week. Ryan Fitzpatrick will be the starting quarterback for Washington this season but he should play more than he did in Week 1 and behind him is a very capable backup in Taylor Heinicke that started the playoff game for Washington last season. Heinicke is my favorite type of quarterback to back in NFLX because he will be in against the Bengals reserves and he’s a scrappy playmaker that will get outside the pocket and make something out of nothing. Teams tend to run vanilla offense in the preseason so a quarterback that is a little creative and can make plays goes a long way. Behind Heinicke is Steven Montez who struggled in his first couple series against the Patriots but settled in and led a touchdown drive that, had the 2-point attempt not been dropped, would have tied the game. The Bengals reserve defense should be far easier for Montez to navigate and leading that touchdown drive should give Montez the confidence he lacked at the beginning of his shift in New England last week. Washington is the more complete team here, they have an advantage top to bottom at the quarterback position and I think the loss to the Patriots compels Washington to take this one more seriously which should be enough to have Washington see out this win.

I typically won't lay points in NFL preseason games but I’ve got Washington favored in the 6-7 point range so I’ll make an exception here. I’m sky high on Washington this season, I think Football Team is going to win the NFC East and take a step forward from last season where they backed into the playoffs by default. Washington has a Top 5 defense in the league and there’s depth which, of course, is integral to success in the preseason. Cincinnati is -360 to finish in last place in the AFC North and I’ve seen their season win total anywhere from 5.5 to 6.5 wins so even on the high end the Bengals are likely a bottom feeder again this season and worth opposing off of a fluke win now that they will have to deal with a far better first team for an extended period of time in this game.

Finally, Tampa Bay probably comes back and wins last week if Kyle Trask isn’t dreadful in the 4th quarter so I think that result has a lot more to do with how poorly the Bucs 2’s and 3’s played than it does Cincinnati actually being any good. Washington played fine but lost on the road to what looks to be a very deep Patriots team. This is a step down for Washington, it’s in D.C. and I think Football Team rolls by a lot more than the number.
Play on Washington -4.5 for 5% (or 5 units)

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Top Flight Sports

WFT -4.5 **5u max**

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Cal Sports NFL
4% KC ML

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Teddy Covers NFL
5% KC ML

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Tokyo Brandon

304111) Yokohama Baystars at (304112) Yomiuri Giants
Game: (304111) Yokohama Baystars at (304112) Yomiuri Giants
Date/Time: Aug 20 2021 5:00 AM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 5%
Play: 1H Yomiuri Giants -0.5 (-118)

Yamaguchi is as solid a SP as they come and the Giants have been tearing the cover off the ball since the Olympic break. Yokohama SP Kyoyama is awful. His ERA is 7+, his WHIP is 2.36 and his FIP is 6.74. Yomiuri ranks better in 1st 5 hitting and Kyoyama has a 6.75 ERA vs Yomiuri this season. Take Yomiuri on the 1st 5 run line -0.5 or -1.

304107) Yakult Swallows at (304108) Hiroshima Carp
Game: (304107) Yakult Swallows at (304108) Hiroshima Carp
Date/Time: Aug 20 2021 5:00 AM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3%
Play: 1H Yakult Swallows -110

Yakult has the SP and lineup advantages here and they are the best 1st 5 team in the league. SP Taguchi is shaky but pretty good the first time through the lineup. Kuri is shaky all the time and got whacked by Yakult last time out. With this power lineup take Yakult first five money line.


304117) Chiba Lotte Marines at (304118) Fukuoka S. Hawks
Game: (304117) Chiba Lotte Marines at (304118) Fukuoka S. Hawks
Date/Time: Aug 20 2021 5:00 AM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 2%
Play: Total Under 7.0 (-110)

One great SP, two great bullpens, one bad lineup. It all lines up for an under. My numbers have this at 6.4. Just hope Futaki can hold SoftBank down for the first 4-5 innings without getting blown up. Last outing against them he allowed only 2 in 7.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JM SPORTS

Game: (403) Kansas City Chiefs at (404) Arizona Cardinals
Date/Time: Aug 20 2021 8:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4 units
Play: Kansas City Chiefs -152

Money LIne 4 units KC -152 Arizona Friday 8 PM ET on Espn

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Matt Severance

ARIZONA @ COLORADO | 08/20 | 8:40 PM EDT
COLORADO -160
ANALYSIS: These teams are equally putrid on the road -- literally the same record away -- but Colorado is a monster at home. It also was off Thursday, while Arizona had to use closer Taylor Clarke for 26 pitches to hold off the Phillies, so he's probably out. Rox starter Austin Gomber has a 1.70 home ERA. He's countered by Mr. Shocking No-Hitter Tyler Gilbert. Tend to think things will go a tad differently in his second big-league start -- first start after no-hitters, many pitchers really struggle because of that previous high pitch count -- and first in Denver.

+2992 185-116-6 IN LAST 307 MLB PICKS
+575 7-1 IN LAST 8 ARI ML PICKS
+443 6-1 IN LAST 7 COL ML PICKS
8:03 PM

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Elite Sports Picks

L.A. Dodgers (Buehler) -1.5 runs -140 over N.Y. Mets (Carrasco)

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Insider Sports Report

4* Atlanta (Fried) -1.5 runs -140 over Baltimore (Akin)
Range: -125 to -165

3* Chicago White Sox (Giolito) -115 over Tampa Bay (Wacha)
Range: +100 to -140

3* Cincinnati/Washington UNDER 35 (NFL)
Range: 37 to 33

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National Sports Service

4* Oakland (Kaprielian) -115 over San Francisco (Wood)

3* Kansas City -3 over Arizona (NFL)

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Primetime Sports Picks

MEMBER PICKS For 08/20/21

5 Unit --> Chicago White Sox (Giolito) -115 over Tampa Bay (Wacha)

3 Unit --> Kansas City/Arizona OVER 41 (NFL)

3 Unit --> Arizona (Gilbert) +145 over Colorado (Gombert)

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Top Rank Sports Picks

Marquee Picks® For 08/20/21

4★ Atlanta (Fried) -1.5 runs -140 over Baltimore (Akin)

3★ Arizona +3 over Arizona (NFL)

[kajok]

Alan Scozzari Sport

Guaranteed A Wager
Spain LaLiga
Betis -1 -110

Tip of the day A Wager
Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Den Haag - FC Emmen
UNDER 2,5 +110

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MLB

NL games
Miami (51-71) @ Cincinnati (66-56)
— Hernandez is 0-0, 2.77 in his three starts.
— Marlin are 2-1 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0-2
— He gave up 2 runs in 2 IP in a relief stint vs Cincinnati.

— Marlins lost their last four games.
— Miami is 1-7 in last eight road games.
— over 12-6 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-122
— record in first 5 innings: 44-57-21

— Gray is 2-0, 4.43 in his last four starts.
— Reds are 9-9 in his starts.
— over 4-1-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 5-10-3
— He is 2-0, 3.27 in four starts vs Miami.

— Cincinnati is 19-14 in its last 33 games.
— Reds won seven of last nine home games.
— over 11-6 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 36-122
— record in first 5 innings: 59-48-16

Washington (52-68) @ Milwaukee (74-48)
— Nationals haven’t named a starter.

— Washington is 10-25 in its last 35 games.
— Nationals are 1-6 in last seven road games.
— over 14-3 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 39-120
— record in first 5 innings: 49-51-20

— Anderson is 1-1, 5.14 in his last three starts.
— Milwaukee is 9-9 in his starts.
— under 6-1-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-7-3
— He is 0-1, 8.64 in two starts vs Washington.

— Brewers are 21-9 in last 30 games.
— Milwaukee is 3-4 in last seven home games.
— under 6-2 last eight home games.
— scored run in first inning: 40-122
— record in first 5 innings: 64-37-21

Pittsburgh (42-79) @ St Louis (62-58)
— Keller is 0-4, 7.41 in his last four starts.
— Pirates are 5-10 in his starts.
— over 6-0 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 8-15
— record in first 5 innings: 4-9-2
— He is 1-0, 0.82 in two starts vs St Louis.

— Pirates are 6-27 in last 33 games.
— Pittsburgh is 1-10 in last 11 road games.
— under 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 30-120
— record in first 5 innings: 35-71-14

— Mikolas gave up a run in 4 IP in his one ‘21 start (May 22).
— He is 31-24, 3.81 in 75 career starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-0-1
— He is 4-3, 3.06 in 11 starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Cardinals are 9-3 in last 12 games.
— St Louis is 4-7 in its last 11 home games.
— Under is 7-5 in their last 12 games.
— scored run in first inning: 42-120
— record in first 5 innings: 53-47-20

Arizona (40-80) @ Colorado (54-66)
— Gilbert threw a no-hitter in his only MLB start.
— Arizona obviously won that game.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He hasn’t pitched against Colorado.

— Arizona won six of last seven games.
— Arizona is 3-9 in its last 12 road games.
— under 6-2-2 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 17-121
— record in first 5 innings: 46-64-11

— Gomber is 1-2, 7.36 in his last three starts.
— Rockies are 12-10 in his starts.
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 6-22
— record in first 5 innings: 11-7-4
— He is 1-0, 2.70 in 2 games (1 start) vs Arizona.

— Colorado won four of last five games.
— Rockies are 41-21 at home, 14-45 on road.
— over 4-2 last six home games.
— scored run in first inning: 41-121
— record in first 5 innings: 50-55-16

Mets (60-61) @ Los Angeles (76-46)
— Carrasco is 0-1, 9.53 in four starts.
— Mets are 2-2 in his starts.
— over 3-0-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3
— He gave up 6 runs in 2 IP in one start vs Los Angeles.

— Mets are 25-36 in their last 61 games.
— Mets are 2-9 in last 11 road games.
— under 7-1 last eight road games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-121
— record in first 5 innings: 49-60-12

— Buehler is 4-1, 1.17 in his last seven starts.
— Dodgers are 16-8 in his starts.
— over 12-7-1 last 20
— allowed run in first inning: 5-24
— record in first 5 innings: 11-8-5
— He is 0-0, 4.24 in three starts vs New York.

— Dodgers are 17-6 in last 23 games.
— Dodgers are 9-2 in last 11 home games.
— under 8-3 last 11 home games
— scored run in first inning: 40-121
— record in first 5 innings: 65-37-19

Philadelphia (60-60) @ San Diego (67-56)
— Moore is 1-2, 5.92 in his last five starts.
— Phillies are 7-3 in his starts.
— over 7-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-10
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-3
— He is 0-1, 7.36 in two starts vs San Diego.

— Phillies lost their last four games.
— Phillies are 36-25 at home, 25-35 on road.
— over 5-2-1 last eight road games.
— scored run in first inning: 38-121
— record in first 5 innings: 50-47-24

— Snell is 2-0, 1.59 in his last three starts.
— Padres are 6-2 in his last eight starts.
— over 12-10
— allowed run in first inning: 5-22
— record in first 5 innings: 10-10-2
— He threw 4 shutout IP in one start vs Philadelphia.

— Padres lost seven of last eight games.
— San Diego is 4-1 in last five home games.
— over 13-7-1 last 21 games
— scored run in first inning: 37-123
— record in first 5 innings: 50-55-18

AL games
Minnesota (54-68) @ Bronx (70-52)
— Barnes is 0-2, 4.61 in three starts.
— Twins are 1-2 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.

— Minnesota is 6-3 in its last nine games.
— Twins are 5-4 in last nine road games.
— over 13-8-1 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 43-122
— record in first 5 innings: 37-61-24

— Cortes is 1-1, 3.03 in six starts.
— New York is 5-1 in those starts.
— under 5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-0-3
— He gave up 2 runs in 5.1 IP in two relief stints vs Minnesota.

— New York is 29-10 in last 39 games.
— New York is 14-2 in last 16 home games.
— over 18-10 last 27 games
— scored run in first inning: 28-123
— record in first 5 innings: 51-43-29

Detroit (57-65) @ Toronto (63-56)
— Alexander is 1-1, 5.54 in eight starts.
— Detroit is 6-2 in his starts.
— over 5-3
— allowed run in first inning: 4-8
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-2
— He gave up a run in 7 IP in one start vs Toronto.

— Detroit is 1-5 in its last six games.
— Detroit is 4-1 in last five road games.
— under 12-6-1 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 27-123
— record in first 5 innings: 17-11-2 last 30

— Ray is 1-0, 1.80 in his last four starts.
— Toronto is 12-11 in his starts.
— under 10-4 last 14
— allowed run in first inning: 5-23
— record in first 5 innings: 12-6-5
— He gave up 5 runs in 5 IP in one start vs Detroit.

— Toronto won 13 of last 20 games.
— Blue Jays are 9-2 in last 11 home games.
— Over is 6-1 in last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 35-118
— record in first 5 innings: 19-11-2 last 32

Angels (62-60) @ Cleveland (58-61)
— Barria is 2-1, 3.18 in four starts.
— Angels split his four starts.
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-1
— He is 0-1, 4.36 in 3 games (2 starts) vs Cleveland.

— Angels are 4-1 in their last five games.
— Angels are 9-4 in last 13 road games.
— under 15-4 last 19 road games
— scored run in first inning: 39-123
— record in first 5 innings: 53-55-15

— Indians haven’t named a starter.

— Cleveland is 18-31 in last 49 games.
— Indians are 5-8 in last 13 home games.
— over 4-2-1 last seven games
— scores run in first inning: 36-119
— record in first 5 innings: 45-56-18

White Sox (71-51) @ Tampa Bay (75-47)
— Giolito is 1-2, 4.50 in his last four starts.
— White Sox are 11-13 in his starts.
— over 10-2 last 12
— allowed run in first inning: 6-24
— record in first 5 innings: 12-9-3
— He is 1-0, 2.03 in four starts vs Tampa Bay.

— Chicago is 8-5 in last 13 games.
— White Sox are 6-7 in last 13 road games.
— under 8-3 last 11 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 36-122
— record in first 5 innings: 69-35-18

— Wacha is 0-2, 11.57 in his last three starts.
— Rays are 10-6 in his starts.
— over 6-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 5-16
— record in first 5 innings: 4-7-5
— He is 1-0, 6.30 in two starts vs Chicago.

— Tampa Bay won 15 of last 20 games.
— Rays are 9-2 in last 11 home games.
— over 10-2-1 last 13 games.
— scored run in first inning: 38-122
— record in first 5 innings: 49-46-27

Texas (41-78) @ Boston (69-54)
— Dunning is 2-0, 2.81 in his last three starts.
— Rangers are 8-13 in his starts.
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 8-21
— record in first 5 innings: 10-9-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Boston.

— Texas lost 27 of last 33 games.
— Texas is 1-16 in last 17 road games.
— over 7-4 last 11 games.
— scored run in first inning: 24-121
— record in first 5 innings: 37-68-16

— Sale gave up 2 runs in 5 IP (89 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— Red Sox are 1-0 in his starts.
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He is 7-2, 2.58 in 15 games (11 starts) vs Texas.

— Boston lost its last three games.
— Red Sox are 4-1 in last five home games.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 41-124
— record in first 5 innings: 55-50-19

Seattle (65-56) @ Houston (71-50)
— Kikuchi is 1-1, 4.05 in his last five starts.
— Mariners are 12-10 in his starts.
— over 11-11
— allowed run in first inning: 6-22
— record in first 5 innings: 11-8-3
— He is 1-1, 4.19 in three starts vs Houston this year.

— Seattle won seven of last eight games.
— Seattle is 4-4 in last eight road games.
— under 11-4 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 38-122
— record in first 5 innings: 55-53-14

— McCullers is 0-2, 5.23 in his last two starts.
— Astros are 12-8 in his starts.
— over 10-9-1
— allowed run in first inning: 5-20
— record in first 5 innings: 11-7-2
— He is 8-3, 2.93 in 15 starts vs Seattle.

— Astros lost four of last five games.
— Astros are 9-4 in last 13 home games.
— under 10-4-2 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 42-121
— record in first 5 innings: 65-39-17

Interleague games
Kansas City (53-68) @ Cubs (54-69)
— Keller is 0-3, 7.36 in his last three starts.
— Kansas City is 1-11 in his last 12 starts.
— under 5-1-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 11-24
— record in first 5 innings: 8-14-2
— He is 1-1, 3.27 in two starts vs Chicago.

— Royals won three of last four games.
— Royals are 3-6 in last nine road games.
— under 19-7-3 last 29 games.
— scores run in first inning: 26-123
— record in first 5 innings: 43-60-20

— Davies is 0-3, 10.50 in his last three starts.
— Cubs are 1-8 in his last nine starts.
— over 5-0-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 6-25
— record in first 5 innings: 9-12-4
— He gave up 2 runs in 6 IP in one start vs Kansas City.

— Cubs are 12-36 in last 48 games.
— Chicago lost last 10 home games.
— Under is 3-1 in last four games.
— scored run in first inning: 35-123
— record in first 5 innings: 49-61-13

Atlanta (65-56) @ Baltimore (38-82)
— Fried is 3-0, 1.50 in his last three starts.
— Braves are 11-8 in his starts.
— over 7-3 last 10
— allowed run in first inning: 8-20
— record in first 5 innings: 12-7-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Baltimore.

— Braves won 13 of last 15 games.
— Atlanta won its last ten road games.
— over 10-4 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 44-121
— record in first 5 innings: 62-42-17

— Akin is 0-7, 11.65 in his last eight starts.
— Orioles are 1-9 in his starts.
— over 6-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 3-10
— record in first 5 innings: 0-8-2
— He threw 5 shutout IP in one start vs Atlanta.

— Orioles are 0-15 in last 15 games.
— Baltimore is 21-45 on road, 17-37 at home.
— over is 4-1-1 in last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 40-120
— record in first 5 innings: 38-65-17

San Francisco (78-43) @ Oakland (69-53)
— Wood is 2-0, 5.67 in his last five starts.
— Giants are 10-2 in his last 12 starts.
— over 11-9-1
— allowed run in first inning: 6-21
— record in first 5 innings: 12-5-4
— He is 1-2, 5.66 in four starts vs Oakland.

— Giants are 20-11 since All-Star break.
— Giants are 7-2 in last nine road games.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 36-121
— record in first 5 innings: 66-41-14

— Kaprielian is 2-1, 4.39 in his last five starts.
— A’s are 9-6 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5-3
— He gave up a run in 2 IP in a relief stint vs San Francisco.

— A’s lost five of last seven games.
— Oakland is 6-1 in last seven home games.
— Over is 10-5-1 in their last 16 games.
— scored run in first inning: 34-122
— record in first 5 innings: 51-50-21