Thursday 8/26/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-26-2021, 05:54 AM

Jeff Siegel's Del Mar Analysis - Thursday, August 26, 2021

August 26, 2021
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

RACE 1: Post: 2:00 PT Grade: X
Single: Censorship

Forecast: Censorship has the classic two-sprints-and-a-stretch out pattern for Baffert, a pedigree that suggests she’ll be far more comfortable routing than sprinting, a recent solo six furlong workout in 1:11 flat (galloping out in 1:24 and change) that was nothing short of spectacular. She’s 9/5 on the morning line but is certain to go lower and is a logical rolling exotic single.
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RACE 2: Post: 2:30 PT Grade: B-
Use: 1-Rosnequist; 2-Moore Street Wise; 3-Tiz Tact Toe

Forecast: We’ll triple this maiden claiming turf event using the inside three runners while preferring the Churchill Downs shipper Rosenquist on top. Eligible to the valuable ship-and-win purse bonus, the W. Morey-trained gelding makes his first start since early June as a first-time gelding and has numbers back east that makes him a major player in this moderate affair. In the frame in his last two, the son of Uncle Mo projects to enjoy an ideal ground-saving trip from his inside draw and then have every chance to produce a winning late kick. Tiz Tact Toe earned a good number when runner-up over this course in his local bow earlier this month and today gets an extra furlong to work with. The son of Tourist retains U. Rispoli, and a with a repeat of his last he should be hard to beat. Moore Street Wise, a respectable third in maiden special weight company at Golden Gate Fields in his U.S. debut three weeks ago, has a right to step forward today and make his presence felt from off the pace.
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RACE 3: Post: 3:00 PT Grade: B
Use: 1-Mr. Dougie Fresh; 7-Awhitesportscoat

Forecast: Awhitesportscoat moves up a notch following a $12,500 S. Knapp claim and is assured of his preferred soft stalking trip from his cozy outside draw. A three-time winner (from five career starts) over the Del Mar main track, the veteran gelding returns after a month’s vacation for a barn that hits at 23% with a significant ROI with the first-off-the-claim angle. Mr. Dougie Fresh was overmatched in first-level allowance company and was a well-beaten sixth of seven but drops a level below his $20,000 purchase price and seems very likely to snap back to good form. The presence of F. Prat is positive, and the P. Miller-trained gelding should have enough early speed to use his rail post to good advantage. We’re expecting the winner to be one of these two, with a slight preference on top to Awhitesportscoat.
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RACE 4: Post: 3:30 PT Grade: C+
Use: 3-Trebbiano; 5-Anmer Hall; 6-Law Abiding

Forecast: Since none of these juveniles have ever set foot on a turf course, we’re largely guessing as to which, if any, will perform better than their dirt works. We can make an educated guess based on pedigree, but not much more than that. Trebbiano has the benefit of three prior runs, and while he appears to be somewhat faint-hearted under pressure the son of Connect should be quick enough to make the lead over a course that generally promotes the speed types. He’s eligible for the valuable ship and win purse bonus, so you know they’re trying. Anmer Hall has looked okay-to-decent in the a.m. and should be plenty fit for the always-potent P. Miller/Flavian Prat combo. We can’t say he’s bred for turf but at this shortened trip he should have enough early speed to be dangerous. Law Abiding has been doing all of his preparation out of sight at San Luis Rey Downs, but we did see him breeze at the OBS April sale. He was somewhat green while wanting to lean in but otherwise appeared to have plenty of talent while being clocked in a quick 21 1/5 seconds. At 5-1 on the morning line, we’ll toss him in. We’ll try to get by using just these three but if you have the budget to spread deeper, go right ahead.
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Race 5: Post: 4:00 PT Grade: B+
Single: 7-Tribal War Chant

Forecast: Tribal War Chant exits a much stronger starter’s allowance $50,000 sprint – a race he had a right to need – and in his second start off a long layoff he should find this restricted (nw-2) $25,000 seller well within his capabilities. Just 1-for-16 in his career and certainly not one to trust, the son of Tiznow nevertheless appears to be a solid top choice based on speed figures, a healthy activity pattern, and this stretch out to seven furlongs, a distance that should complement his stalking style. At 3-1 on the morning line, he’s a win play and rolling exotic single.
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RACE 6: Post: 4:30 PT Grade: B+
Use: 4-Heart My Prayer; 7-Bulletproof One

Forecast: Bulletproof One displayed her old speed in the Daisycutter H. over this course and distance last month, but in her first outing in 10 months she weakened in the closing stages to wind up third, beaten just over a length. With that effort underneath her, the P. Miller-trained filly should be fitter, tighter, and difficult to catch in this three-other-than grass dash for fillies and mares. The one to fear most is the Florida stakes winning shipper Hear My Prayer. Now in the V. Cerin barn, the daughter of The Big Beast has won four of nine starts, is fast on figures, and projects to stalk Bulletproof One to the head of the lane and then set her sights on catching her. Also, she’s run three times off layoffs and won every time. We’ll prefer Bulletproof One on top but include both in rolling exotic play.
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RACE 7: Post: 5:00 PT Grade: B-
Use: 4-Wilson Monk; 5-Fly the Sky

Forecast: Fly the Sky might be most comfortable as a turf sprinter and today he’ll be asked to run a mile on dirt. That said, the S. Miyadi-trained gelding finished second over this track and distance in an allowance race two years ago, so he can do it when he’s in form, and after winning a similar state-bred affair last time going short he should be able to duplicate that type of performance under these conditions. Wilson Monk stretches out for the first time in his first outing since March. He won his debut, so we know he can fire fresh but what we don’t know is whether he’s just a late-running sprinter or one that will handle the two-turn trip. In a difficult affair, we’ll try to get by using just these two in rolling exotics with the edge on top to Fly the Sky.
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RACE 8: Post: 5:30 PT Grade:
Use: 3-Majestic St eps; 4-Lady Emily; 9-Chasingserendipity

Forecast: The finale is a $50,000 claiming grass router restricted to 3-year-old fillies. Chasingserendipity must overcome her extreme outside draw in her first outing since being claimed by V. Garcia, but if she can manage to get over and find a slot before the field hits the first turn the daughter of Vancouver should be in an excellent position to regain her winning form. She’s produced a forward move according to her speed figures in each of her five career starts, and after finishing a solid third in a $40,000 claimer over this course and distance last month we’re hoping she can step forward and handle this slightly tougher assignment. Lady Emily, overmatched in a competitive first-level allowance race in her local bow last month, takes a realistic class drop, switches to U. Rispoli, and has a huge look off her spring Gulfstream Park form. She’ll get the patient ride she wants from U. Rispoli, and with good racing luck and a decent pace to chase the M. Maker-trained daughter of First Dude will have a legitimate chance to tag the speed. Majestic Steps has finished off the board in six of the seven races since her maiden score in her U.S. debut in January. She’s been chasing much tougher and is still trying to find her proper level. With the switch to F. Prat, she may finally have found it.
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**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-26-2021, 05:59 AM

Jeff Siegel's Saratoga Analysis - Thursday, August 26, 2021

August 26, 2021
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

RACE 1: Post: 1:05 ET Grade: B
Use: 1-Let Her Inspire U; 2-Twist Just Right

Forecast: Let Her Inspire U finished an okay fourth in her debut in what was a stronger than par state-bred maiden special weight sprint for juvenile fillies last month, and second-time starters from the T. Pletcher click at a strong 23% so we’re expecting this daughter of Practical Joke to be hard to beat. The first-timers don’t appear to be anything special, so let’s go with the known element on top but also include Twist Just Right on the ticket as well. The daughter of Distorted Humor has worked just okay while preparing for her first start, but we know that maidens from the J. Abreu almost always run better than they train, and this filly may as well.
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RACE 2: Post: 1:41 ET Grade: C+
Use: 4-Spirit Animal; 5-Boru; 10-Smile Bryan

Forecast: Spirit Animal was unplaced in the Kilroe Mile-G1 in his most recent outing in early March at Santa Anita and today shows up in a $25,000 claimer as yet another member of the cull brigade during this meeting from the Klaravich stable. He’s had a sketchy career and was a voided claim more than a year ago, so it’s not entirely suspicious that this five year old horse with only 10 starts career starts is part of the barn’s summer house cleaning. If he has one good one left, the C. Brown-trained son of Lemon Drop Kid will beat this field, but at 9/5 on the morning line there’s not much wagering value to be found. Smile Bryan had a poor post and was never in the hunt when far back in a much tougher $80,000 optional claimer here earlier this month, but at this level the O. Noda-trained gelding could improve considerably. He has good tactical speed and should find himself on or near the lead in a race that projects to be slowly run early. Reunited with L. Saez, who was aboard ‘Bryan in a good score vs. entry-level allowance foes last month, the son of Goldencents is listed at 6-1 on the morning line and is playable at that price. Boru has the blinkers off angle that we like and makes his first start in six weeks after being a voided claim at this price last time out at Belmont Park. Clearly, there’s a condition question but the son of Curlin removes blinkers, has numbers that are competitive at this level, and a closing kick that always must be respected. He’s listed at 15-1 on the morning line and on his best day is better than that.
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RACE 3: Post: 2:15 ET Grade: B
Use: 1-Cambi Lion; 4-Orchestration

Forecast: Cambi Lion has an improving pattern and appears ready to graduate in this mile and three-sixteenths turf event for older maidens. In the frame in his last two, the son of Medaglia d’Oro is guaranteed an ideal ground-saving trip from his rail post position and projects to settle in mid-pack and then have every opportunity to produce a winning late kick. J. Ortiz stays aboard, knows him well, and will be sure not to give Shug’s colt too much to do from the quarter pole home. Orchestration is listed as the 9/5 morning line favorite by virtue of a runner-up effort in his debut at Ellis Park in late June. There wasn’t a whole lot in the field, and we suspect there was a reason he ran in Kentucky rather than in the “Bigs”, but the son of Flatter certainly has room for improvement with distance and experience. Both should be included in rolling exotic play with preference on top to Cambi Lion.
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RACE 4: Post: 2:49 ET Grade: C+
Use: 1-Cathy Naz; Miss Liana

Forecast: Due to an uncertain pace scenario, this $12,500 claiming sprint for fillies and mares looks treacherous. Miss Liana lost her rider at the start and was a voided claim for $20,000 here last month but if she’s okay today the O. Noda-trained daughter of Warrior’s Reward should be tough. However, she’s strictly a need the lead type and will have to deal with a Finger Lakes shipper who also has only one way to go and that’s on the front end from the get-go. Quality Stones doesn’t quite have the speed figures to match up with Miss Liana if that one brings her best stuff. but she certainly can apply plenty of pressure (as can Frills), so a pace meltdown is possible. If so, who might benefit? Cathy Naz is certain to get outfooted early, but she’s shown the ability to win from behind, so with the patient ride she’s certain to receive from L. Saez, the daughter of Bluegrass Cat has to be given a decent look at 6-1 on the morning line. In a race in which nothing would surprise, we’ll use the two listed above in rolling exotic play but otherwise pass the race.
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RACE 5: Post: 3:21 ET Grade: B+
Use: 4-Rattle N Roll; 8-Keepcalmcarryon

Forecast: In what certainly will be a test of stamina, two-year-olds stretch out to nine furlongs on the main track. Not surprisingly, there are no first-timers in the field. Keepcalmcarryon has the benefit of a couple of races under his belt and with the classic two-sprints-and-a-stretch-out pattern combined with rising numbers for T. Pletcher the son of Union Rags should be tough to deny. He was more than four lengths clear of the rest when rallying to be a clear second earlier this month in a solid seven furlong affair and this longer trip should be right up his alley. Rattle N Roll closed a gap sprinting in his debut in a fairly decent race won by the nice prospect Gunite, has trained well since for K. McPeek, picks up J. Ortiz, and is bred to get the trip. Both should be included in rolling exotic play; we’ll have extra tickets keying Keepcalmcarryon on top.
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RACE 6: Post: 3:55 ET Grade: B+
Use: 2-Jazz Time Girl; 5-Halo of Fire; 8-Our Souper Love

Forecast: Halo of Fire is a first-timer from the W. Ward with a series of impressive turf works on her resume and moves and acts very much like a win-early type. She’s easily handled her workmates while getting over the grass just fine, and with J. Rosario taking the call for a trainer who hits at an amazing 33% with his debut runners, this homebred daughter of Union Rags from Canadian stakes winner Awesome Fire looks ready to win right now. The speedy Lady Scarlet has two prior outings behind her and earned a big figure when second in a very fast, highly-rated race won by Echo Zulu on the main track last month. If she can transfer her dirt form to turf, she’ll take some catching, for sure. Not much is known about the Ellis Park shipper Jazz Time Girl, other than she shows a bullet five furlong gate work (1:00hg, fastest of 16) two weeks ago, gets I. Ortiz, Jr., and is bred for turf (Temple City). It’s possible that her connections are using this race as a springboard for a stretch-out but at 8-1 on the morning line she’s worth including somewhere.
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RACE 7: Post: 4:29 ET Grade: B+
Single: 9-Montauk Summer

Forecast: Montauk Summer was pitched a little too high when a close fourth at 31-1 in a first-level allowance event in mid-June at Belmont Park, earning a career top number in doing so, and after a 10-week vacation the son of Summer Front appears well-spotted today to regain his winning form in a restricted (nw-3) $35,000 middle distance claimer over the inner turf course. E. Cancel rides a lot of live runners for the C Clement barn, but after putting this colt on the lead last time out he’ll probably take back a bit, find some cover, and then produce him late. Based strictly on numbers, ‘Summer should beat this field, so in what may appear to be a wide open grass grab bag, we’re going to sink or swim with Montauk Summer in the win pool and in rolling exotic play at 9/2 on the morning line.
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RACE 8: Post: 5:05 ET Grade: B
Use: 3-Easy to Bless; 4-Whispering Pines

Forecast: Easy to Bless appears to offer good gambling value at 5-1 on the morning line in this allowance optional claimer for fillies and mares. The daughter of Flat Out earned a career top speed figure in her first-off-the-claim for J. Ferraro when stalking the pace and then drawing clear with authority 18 days ago, and at this seven furlong trip that suits her style perfectly she looks capable of taking the one-level class hike in stride. Whispering Pines must be included on your ticket as well. The daughter of Uncle Mo exits the much tougher Shine Again S. in which she finished fourth when simply not good enough but based on speed figures she’s right there with these. The H. DePaz-trained four-year-old retains J. Ortiz, and like our top pick she should settle just behind the leaders and then have every chance from the quarter pole home.
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RACE 9: Post: 5:39 ET Grade: B
Use: 2-Keeper of Time; 7-Rastafara; 10-Love and Money

Forecast: Keeper of Time won the 1000 Guineas Trial at Leopardstown last spring at 80-1 but in viewing the video of the race the victory sure didn’t look like a fluke. Always traveling well in mid-pack in the 15-runner field, she angled out for room straightening for home, hit the front, and then bravely held sway over Mehnah, who returned to win a listed stakes in her next outing. In victory, ‘Time earned a legitimate 99 Timeform Rating, after which she was sold to American interests. She has trained nicely for her U.S. debut, appears plenty fit, and should be able to reproduce her Irish form in this year’s renewal of the Riskaverse S. for sophomore fillies over a mile on the inner course. At 6-1 on the morning line, she’s worth a bit of gamble. The C. Brown-trained Rastafara recently broke her maiden with a career top number like a filly who’ll do nothing but continue to improve with experience. She’ll be rolling late and is a “must use” in the various exotics. Love and Money, stretching out after an impressive maiden turf sprint win at Monmouth Park, didn’t quite have the foundation to handle the class and distance hike and was swallowed up late when beaten at 6/5 in a first-level allowance event over this course and distance last month. She was quite keen early, and it cost her; today, if she can relax early, she might be able to carry her natural speed to the wire, though in viewing her recent workouts the daughter of More Than Ready hasn’t yet quite learned to switch off. She does make a favorable rider switch to L. Saez, so she has to be given something of a chance to wire the field in her role as the controlling speed.
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RACE 10: Post: 6:13 ET Grade: B-
Use: 3-Fast Getaway; 9-Mystery Messenger

Forecast: It’s always a good sign when a trainer claims a horse back, and that’s what V. Cerin did with Mystery Messenger, a tough, veteran gelding who was beaten a head for his former trainer two runs back for $32,000 and then missed by a half-length when dropped a notch to $25,000 in his most recent outing when saddled by R. Falcone, Jr. The ex-Californian moves back to the $32,000 ranks today, picks up J. Rosario, and can be expected to fire his usual big shot from a second flight, stalking position. With good racing luck he can be along in time. Fast Getaway missed by a neck when worn down late in a restricted (nw-2) $45,000 claimer last month and was claimed by M. Maker, who returns him on the drop while switching to L. Saez. This is an open affair so it’s hardly a softer spot, but the barn has had a terrific meeting while aggressively placing its stock and this son of Into Mischief, with a bullet :47 breezing workout at Belmont Park just six days ago, has the kind of early speed that makes him extremely dangerous. These are the two will be using in our rolling exotics, with a slight edge on top to Mystery Messenger
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**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-26-2021, 05:59 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Arlington - Race #3

#7 Valiant Vinny	Cutback player owns capable sprint speed and keeps an ace speed rider in the irons for this one. He handled the turf fine when trying stakes company last time out, and a turf sprint might be right up his alley.
#5 Midnight Blue Note	He's a pretty reliable type who has done his best work locally, and he looks logical for another underneath piece with these. Price might be a touch better today.
#8 Star of Kodiak	Tactical type woke up when dropping to this level last time out, and another perfect trip from just off the top choice might be in store for him.
Race Summary	Valiant Vinny is fast enough to find the front while cutting back to try a turf sprint for the first time, and the rest of these are likely content to settle a little bit and finish.

Arlington - Race #7

#3 Just the Facts	He is not placed ambitiously for his local debut, but he isn't too far removed from some races that came with better and look competitive here. Intriguing enough. He's the 'other' Perez.
#5 And Won	He looks like the one to beat at a much shorter price than his top-choice stablemate will offer, and he'll be running first off the claim after a sharp try on the main track last out.
#6 Angelino	He ran mildly with similar last time out for the top barn, and his overall form looks good enough to play with these, but likely at an underlaid price.
Race Summary	Just the Facts and And Won both go for Manny Perez, but the former will offer a better number and might be a good fit with these. Think #9 Power Cry might be worth including in the deeper underneath spots.

Arlington - Race #8

#1 Wile E Peyote	He has some tactical pace but will surely be outrun in the early stages by a couple of stretchout types. That might lead to a decent pocket trip at a square price here in the closer.
#7 What's Up Dude	He's stakes placed at this trip earlier this meet, and he should be able to find a perfect spot tracking I'm Corfu in the early stages. Dangerous.
#4 I'm Corfu	He looks like the controlling pace in this spot, but he's potentially dicey late if anyone comes calling in the lane while stretching out for this.
Race Summary	Wile E Peyote seems like a decent fit with this bunch and might trip out behind a handful of players who are quicker out of the gate. Something like the 6/1 ML price would be plenty appealing.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-26-2021, 06:00 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Yonkers - Race #1

#6 CLASSY CHAPEL N	Lacked running room throughout on class drop, use in all gimmicks.
#1 CORAL BELLA	Led until stretch from post 8 at this level when she was claimed two starts ago.
#4 E R HILARY	Two wins and two near misses in last four, enters 29-percent barn.
Race Summary	Classy Chapel N was trapped 3-deep on the rail while chasing the 2-to-5 winner and a pocket sitter who had won three straight. She finished evenly but willingly and looms an upset possibility. Play 6-1 and 6-4 exactas.

Hoosier Park - Race #1

#3 HEARTLAND REVENUE	Has license to upset and join $100,000 Club.
#1 RAMBLIN ART	Rallied into fast pace to finish third, starts from rail.
#7 N EXPENSE	Has good first gear, held on to win from similar post at this level.
Race Summary	Heartland Revenue romped when he was claimed at this level three starts back, ran second in follow-up try against better, then broke stride from post 9 last week. The 7-year-old is worth a win and place bet at 10-1 on the morning line against all older rivals.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #6

#4 SAMOSA	Seized moment when 2-to-5 fave broke two back, but ran second in stakes final last week.
#2 ADARE CASTLE	Proved versatile during four-race winning streak, the last three at odds-on.
#6 GYRE HANOVER	Won both starts when she stayed flat Blais/McClure duo.
Race Summary	Samosa validated her 18-1 upset two back with a second-place finish from post 9 in an $80,000 stakes race. She finished behind the 6-to-5 favorite and appears rounding to another good effort. Play 4-2 and 4-6 exactas.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-26-2021, 06:01 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Del Mar - Race #3

#7 Awhitesportscoat	Was claimed last time when he was a close third and should be able to handle the step up for the Knapp barn.
#1 Mr. Dougie Fresh	Didn't do a lot of running in his one at Del Mar after a closing third at Belmont, when he was claimed by Miller; was in with much tougher last out, takes a drop here and can improve in his second over the strip.
#6 Vander Kelen	Has faced much better and drops to the lowest level he's seen in two years; makes his first since October and was second at Del Mar the last time he tried this track.
Race Summary	Awhitesportscoat eyeballed the leaders from the start and faltered in the final strides; likely to get a better trip here.

Del Mar - Race #6

#2 She's So Special	Dropped out of stakes company for her last one and was a fast-closing third; likes this level and can get to the winner's circle.
#4 Hear My Prayer	Off since February at Gulfstream and makes her first for Cerin; has plenty good works to her credit and can show plenty of early run.
#5 Raymundos Secret	Has been in four straight grade 2 races and should appreciate the drop; turns back to a sprint after setting the pace running long.
Race Summary	She's So Special fits well at this level and lost a photo last time out; she can make amends for that narrow loss and has the talent to score.

Del Mar - Race #7

#5 Fly the Sky	Rallied well and won going away last out in his first here in a year; moves over to the dirt should welcome the mile.
#4 Wilson Monk	Has started only twice, with a win in his debut and a third in an allowance to his credit; stretches out and can make a run.
#3 Pappy Boyington	Lost a photo two back at Golden Gate and has been a good closing sprinter that should be able to get the mile.
Race Summary	Fly the Sky takes his act to the turf, where he gets some additional distance; should be able to stay the trip.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-26-2021, 08:06 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, August 26

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-26-2021, 08:07 AM

MLB

Thursday, August 26

Trend Report

LA Angels @ Baltimore
LA Angels
LA Angels is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore
Baltimore is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing LA Angels

Cincinnati @ Milwaukee
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati

Chi White Sox @ Toronto
Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi White Sox's last 8 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games

Arizona @ Philadelphia
Arizona
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 11 games at home

St. Louis @ Pittsburgh
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 11 games

Minnesota @ Boston
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games
Boston
Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games

Texas @ Cleveland
Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games
Cleveland
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Washington @ Miami
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Washington's last 22 games
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington

San Francisco @ NY Mets
San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco's last 7 games
San Francisco is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Mets's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 6 games when playing San Francisco

LA Dodgers @ San Diego
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
LA Dodgers is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
San Diego
San Diego is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Diego's last 8 games

NY Yankees @ Oakland
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
NY Yankees is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Oakland
Oakland is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
Oakland is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

Kansas City @ Seattle
Kansas City
Kansas City is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Kansas City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Seattle
Seattle is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Kansas City

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-26-2021, 01:15 PM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Charles Town

Charles Town - Race 5	Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double (Races 5-6) Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) / Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)
Claiming $15,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 74 • Purse: $19,800 • Post: 8:53P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF THREE RACES ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000, IF FOR $12,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $10,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN WEIGHT ALLOWANCES)(W V A RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Trailer. IMAGINE VICTORY is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * COACH RUBE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. DEBRAW: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. MORALITY CLAUSE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. DEVILISH BEAUTY: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. IMAGINE VICTORY: Horse's win percent age at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50.
6	COACH RUBE	2/1	4/1
4	DEBRAW	3/1	7/1
3	MORALITY CLAUSE	5/1	8/1
2	DEVILISH BEAUTY	9/2	9/1
5	IMAGINE VICTORY	5/2	9/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	COACH RUBE	6	2/1	Front-runner	78	75	87.2	68.2	64.2
4	DEBRAW	4	3/1	Front-runner	62	69	77.7	75.8	66.8
3	MORALITY CLAUSE	3	5/1	Stalker	69	64	55.4	65.6	59.6
2	DEVILISH BEAUTY	2	9/2	Alternator/Stalker	76	67	47.2	65.4	59.4
5	IMAGINE VICTORY	5	5/2	Trailer	72	71	33.2	62.9	55.9
1	WHYCANTTHISBELOVE	1	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	62	57	53.6	12.7	2.7

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-26-2021, 01:16 PM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Saratoga

08/26/21, SAR, Race 5, 3.21 ET
08/26/21,SAR,5,1 1/8M [Dirt] 1:46:03 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $100,000. (UP TO $17,400 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	8	Keepcalmcarryon	5/2	Velazquez J R	Pletcher Todd A.	TSFEC	145	40.00	1.25/$1
098.7859	4	Rattle N Roll	2/1	Ortiz J L	McPeek Kenneth G.	W	145	40.00	1.25/$1
097.3228	1	Dumi Knife	5/1	Gaffalione T	Maker Michael J.		145	40.00	1.25/$1
096.5911	6	Dowagiac Chief	8/1	Davis D	Amoss Thomas M.	L	145	40.00	1.25/$1
095.8529	3	Imminent Storm(b+)	6/1	Rosario J	McGaughey III Claude R		145	40.00	1.25/$1
095.5722	2	Luni Sima	8/1	Saez L	Sisterson Jack		145	40.00	1.25/$1
092.6067	5	Commander Compton	12/1	Ortiz. Jr. I	Bauer Philip A.	J	145	40.00	1.25/$1
092.0524	7	Unbridled Bomber(b+)	20/1	Lezcano J	Ryerson James T.		145	40.00	1.25/$1

Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 40.82, ROI 1.10/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.2141
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Sex Not Females

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-26-2021, 01:17 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Arlington

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $17000 Class Rating: 79

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JULY 26 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 MCRAGS 4/1
# 1 TOWN AGENDA 6/1
# 3 PRINCE OF MAYHEM 3/1

MCRAGS looks very good to best this field. He ought to be carefully examined given the decent speed numbers. Have to take a chance on this colt with the reliable earnings per start in dirt route events. Could go off at a decent number and has some positive attributes going for him. TOWN AGENDA - Is tough not to consider based on Equibase speed figs which have been very good - 69 avg - of late. Lately Emigh has been on fire which may give the edge to this colt. PRINCE OF MAYHEM - Put up a very strong speed figure last time out. Has put up solid speed figs in dirt route races in the past.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-26-2021, 01:18 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Presque Isle Downs - Race #2 - Post: 5:10pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,000 Class Rating: 80

Rating:

#1 LEXATOGA (ML=3/1)
#3 BETTER TAPIT (ML=5/1)

LEXATOGA - You have to be keen on that last race figure, 70, which is the best latest race speed rating of this group. Have to make this colt a solid contender; he comes off a strong effort on August 19th. BETTER TAPIT - Pino and Rice perform well when they unite. It's hard to beat a +110 return on investment for a jock and handler. Jockey jumped on this gelding's back for the first time on August 16th. Should be acquainted with the equine even better today. This gelding is in exceptional form right now. Ran first in the last race and comes back soon.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 BAHAMIAN PARK (ML=5/2), #2 JUST PLUNGE (ML=4/1), #6 NO TIME TO YAWN (ML=9/2),

BAHAMIAN PARK - Hard to keep stabbing at this sort of 'bridesmaid' horse. Finished second in his most recent performance with a run-of-the-mill speed figure. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this group. JUST PLUNGE - Last performed on Aug 4th at Presque Isle Downs, finishing eighth. Unlikely to move up off of that outing today. Mediocre fig last time around the track at Presque Isle Downs at 1 mile 70 yards. Don't feel this entrant will improve too much in today's race. NO TIME TO YAWN - This equine hasn't been in the money in either of his last couple of races. Don't feel this horse will make a winning move in today's event. That last fig was run-of-the-mill when compared with today's class rating.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - LEXATOGA - This noble animal should be your betting choice today. This colt has posted improving speed figures in his last two contests.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #1 LEXATOGA on top if we're getting at least 3/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,3]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-26-2021, 01:19 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Thistledown - Race #8 - Post: 4:20pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $31,500 Class Rating: 55

Rating:

#1 HOSANNA (ML=4/1)
#3 SORORITY SISTER (ML=3/1)

HOSANNA - Filly's finish positions keep getting better with each race. Maybe today's the day. This filly is in top form right now. Ran third last out and comes back promptly. That 51 fig this filly notched in her last clash tells me she's a major player this time around. SORORITY SISTER - This horse wins a lot of cash per start. I believe she will boost that bankroll today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 TALE OF THE LYON (ML=5/2), #1A BUSYBEING FABULOUS (ML=4/1), #6 WORTHERWEIGHTNGOLD (ML=9/2),

TALE OF THE LYON - If she goes off close to the morning line odds of 5/2, I'll have to pass. BUSYBEING FABULOUS - Difficult to put your cash on this speedball. Too much early speed in the affair. This filly recorded a fig in her last race which probably isn't good enough in today's race. WORTHERWEIGHTNGOLD - Not easy to play any animal in a sprint race at 9/2 when she hasn't shown any successful efforts in sprints in the last two months. If this event shapes up right, all the front runners will force a furious speed duel early. Too bad this horse is one of those front runners.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#1 Entry is going to be the play if we are getting 2/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,3]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-26-2021, 01:20 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Woodbine

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $32700 Class Rating: 80

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER IN 2021 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000, IF FOR $14,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 ALTERNATIVE VIEW 2/1
# 3 IF SIX WAS NINE 3/1
# 6 MUSKOKA LADY 20/1

ALTERNATIVE VIEW is the most competitive bet in this race. Looks competitive against this group and will most likely be one of the leaders. Has to be carefully examined in here if only for the very good speed fig put up in the last race. Has been moving strongly and has among the best speed in the race for today's distance. IF SIX WAS NINE - Must be carefully examined in this race if only for the solid speed figure recorded in the last competition. Looks to have a very strong class edge based on the latest company kept. MUSKOKA LADY - With a sound 65 average Equibase Speed Fig at the distance, seems well suited for today's contest.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-26-2021, 04:39 PM

Diamond Trends for Thursday August 26
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Kansas City at Seattle (10:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Mariners are 16-0 SU since Aug. 24, 2014 as a favorite of more than -130 off a road game when they won their last two games and their opponent has lost their last two games.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: San Francisco at N.Y. Mets (7:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Mets are 0-11 SU since Jun. 20, 2021 past the first game of a series after they allowed 0-1 walks last game.

OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: Texas at Cleveland (7:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Rangers are 10-0-1 OU (2.91 ppg) since Sept. 22, 2019 in the last game of a series as a road dog after they allowed 6+ runs last game.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Minnesota at Boston (7:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Red Sox are 8-0 SU since Apr. 20, 2017 when Chris Sale starts in the last game of a three-game series when they split the first two games.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

Thursday 8/26/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Thursday 8/26/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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