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L.A. ANGELS @ BALTIMORE | 08/26 | 1:05 PM EDT
L.A. ANGELS -105
ANALYSIS: This is an absolute steal of a price. The Orioles had lost 19 in a row, and now they're almost even money with their worst pitcher on the mound in Keegan Akin? This feels like an overreaction to yesterday's game, and we like to take value by going against recency bias. This is too good of a value to pass up on fading one of the worst teams in baseball. Take the Angels.
+1036 32-17-1 IN LAST 50 MLB PICKS
12:12 PM
MINNESOTA @ BOSTON | 08/26 | 7:10 PM EDT
OVER 10
ANALYSIS: We have wind blowing out, solid hitting conditions and a Twins team to capitalize on Thursday. The Over is 9-2-1 when the Twins have played away from home since the start of August. This includes allowing an average of 6.25 runs in those 12 contests, with the last six going Over. Chris Sale will probably limit the Twins, but their lineup has good power and one or two mistakes could end up over the fence. On the other side, John Gant is likely to struggle and give us an extended look at the Twins' abysmal bullpen. Go with the Over.
+1036 32-17-1 IN LAST 50 MLB PICKS
+195 3-1 IN LAST 4 MIN O/U PICKS
12:12 PM
L.A. ANGELS @ BALTIMORE | 08/26 | 1:05 PM EDT
OVER 10.5
ANALYSIS: I think this game gets to 11 since the average of the two games in this series thus far has been 19 runs. The Orioles bullpen is terrible, and the Angels bullpen might be just as bad after watching the L.A. relievers end Baltimore's losing streak on Wednesday. There should be runs scored today on both Keegan Akin and Jaime Barria. Grab the total to go Over.
+1036 32-17-1 IN LAST 50 MLB PICKS
+375 6-2 IN LAST 8 LAA O/U PICKS
12:10 PM
L.A. ANGELS @ BALTIMORE | 08/26 | 1:05 PM EDT
L.A. ANGELS -105
ANALYSIS: The Orioles were down yesterday before they broke out for 10 runs ending their losing streak at 19 games. They start lefty Keegan Akin today who is 0-8 with a 7.92 ERA this season, but most notably he doesn’t get deep into games. Meaning the Orioles league worst bullpen will be pitching about half the game after closing down a win with their top guys yesterday. The Angels are in the top third at hitting lefties in the league. Jaime Barria struggled in his last outing but he can go deep if he pitches well. Take the Angels on the road.
+2911 71-45 IN LAST 116 MLB ML PICKS
+1404 31-16 IN LAST 47 LAA ML PICKS
+559 12-4 IN LAST 16 BAL ML PICKS
12:12 PM
CINCINNATI @ MILWAUKEE | 08/26 | 2:10 PM EDT
MILWAUKEE -111
ANALYSIS: Brett Anderson vs. Sonny Gray and the Brewers are going for the sweep. Brett Anderson is much better at home with a 3.13 ERA and the Reds struggle against lefties with the 5th worst wOBA in the league. He has already faced Cincy this season and pitched two good outings and one bad one. Sonny Gray is better on the road but he was hit hard in his last start against the Brewers. I just don’t trust the Reds bullpen even if they take an early lead. The Brewers have all their top relievers available as well, so Ill take the Brewers at home to sweep. The Brewers have won five straight against the Reds and two of the last three series between these two teams have been sweeps.
+2911 71-45 IN LAST 116 MLB ML PICKS
+271 15-11 IN LAST 26 MIL ML PICKS
+193 9-5 IN LAST 14 CIN ML PICKS
12:11 PM
SAN FRANCISCO @ N.Y. METS | 08/26 | 7:10 PM EDT
SAN FRANCISCO -115
ANALYSIS: The Mets are 6-17 in August and I'll back the MLB-best Giants to keep New York in free-fall. The Mets have a .694 OPS versus southpaws, which ranks fifth-worst in MLB. Look for Alex Wood (10-4, 4.11 ERA) to produce another strong start as the Giants take their fifth straight.
+925 74-52 IN LAST 126 MLB PICKS
+1495 49-27 IN LAST 76 NYM ML PICKS
+392 21-15 IN LAST 36 SF ML PICKS
1:08 PM
Game: (957) San Francisco Giants at (958) New York Mets Date/Time: Aug 26 2021 7:10 PM EDT Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line Play Rating: 4 units Play: San Francisco Giants -113 A Wood (LHP), C Carrasco (RHP) Must Start
4 unit San Fransisco Giants (-113) over New York Mets (Wood/Carrasco) –
Cookie Carrasco hasn't seen much action this season, and the action that he has seen, hasn't exactly been easy to watch. He is 0-2 in his 5 starts with a 8.82 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP, and in his L3 starts his ERA is 14.63, including a 14.14 ERA in his 3 home starts. While the Mets have struggled with Carrasco on the mound, they have also struggled with lefties recently, they are 2-8 in the L10 games as a dog vs. a LHP, and they are 3-7 when a LHP is closing out a series (including 1-5 in LGS @ H vs. a non-divisional opponent). San Fran on the other hand is hot, and has one of their top pitchers on the mound looking to close out the sweep. Wood may have an ERA slightly over 4.00 but a 10-4 record shows that this team can get behind Wood, the Giants are 4-1 in his L5 as an AF < -110, 15-4 in his 19 starts vs. a RHP (including 14-1 when the line is < -110) and he is 7-1 when closing out a series (including 3-0 on the road). Alongside the fact that Wood is going H2H w/ Carrasco and in Wood's L11 starts vs. ERA > 3.50 w/ a line < -110 and they are 12-1 in his L13 vs. a SP with a WHIP ≥ 1.2 w/ a line < 130 (including 9 straight wins and a 5-0 record on the road). San Fran pulled out the W last night, even though they allowed 10 hits to their 4, but they only had 2 runners LOB all game, that has only happened in a W 7 times this season, and the team that recorded ≤ 2 LOB was 5-2 in the game to follow, they are also 8-1 this season after committing more then 1 error in a W and the team is 10-1 in L11 vs. RHP w/ ERA > 5.00 when the line is > -185.
The Pick: 1500♦ on the Seattle Mariners (Kikuchi) -1 1/2 runs over the Kansas City Royals (Keller). Both of your listed pitchers must start, or no action.
The Line: At 7:45 am eastern time, the Mariners are -1 1/2 runs, +115
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