Service Plays Monday 8/30/21

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358322

    #46
    GODFATHERLOCKS AUGUST 30TH PICKS

    MLB
    1 MASSIVE 5000 UNIT PICK
    2 TOP RATED 2000 UNIT PICKS


    *** MASSIVE 5000 UNIT PICK ***


    WASHINGTON NATIONALS +130 (MLB)





    *** TOP RATED 2000 UNIT PICKS ***



    #1 - MILWAUKEE BREWERS -135 (MLB)



    #2 - BOSTON RED SOX +125 (MLB)
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358322

      #47
      Tokyo Brandon
      (955) San Diego Padres at (956) Arizona Diamondbacks
      Game: (955) San Diego Padres at (956) Arizona Diamondbacks
      Date/Time: Aug 30 2021 9:40 PM EDT
      Betting Line Provider: William Hill
      Play Rating: 1%
      Play: Tyler Gilbert Under 4.5 strikeouts

      Gilbert averages only 2.5 strikeouts per game and the Padres are one of the most disciplined lineups in the game. Gilbert has only managed 5 Ks in one game all year and he should not be able to get there in this one. Bet Gilbert Ks Under 4.5.

      (957) Milwaukee Brewers at (958) San Francisco Giants
      Game: (957) Milwaukee Brewers at (958) San Francisco Giants
      Date/Time: Aug 30 2021 9:45 PM EDT
      Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
      Play Rating: 1%
      Play: Milwaukee Brewers -1.0 (-110) C Burnes (RHP), J Cueto (RHP) Must Start

      Burnes is having an amazing season and is even better on the road than at home. He has a .171 BA against vs the Giants and is on a roll of great starts. Cueto has a .275 BAA vs the Brewers and although he has a good ERA at home, he has been going very short lately, exiting games in the 4th and 5th innings. The Brewers have a huge bullpen advantage and get 9 bats on the road so lay the -1 alt run line for nice odds. Take the SP and bullpen advantages and if they win by 1 it is a push.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358322

        #48
        steve merril
        brewers
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358322

          #49
          Tokyo Brandon

          (304659) KIA Tigers at (304660) Doosan Bears
          Game: (304659) KIA Tigers at (304660) Doosan Bears
          Date/Time: Aug 31 2021 5:30 AM EDT
          Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
          Play Rating: 5%
          Play: Doosan Bears -155

          Pinnacle has this at 155 but it will probably go to 170 or so by the end of the day. Take it. Doosan has the SP, bullpen and lineup advantages here. Kia has the worst lineup and worst bullpen in the league. Dan Mengden is their SP which is why you can get a decent number on this but Mengden has struggled badly lately and his reputation is better than his results. Miranda on the other hand has been stellar and his numbers are just as good as advertised. His K:BB rate is immaculate and his record vs Kia is great. Take Doosan on the money line.

          (304657) NC Dinos at (304658) SSG Landers
          Game: (304657) NC Dinos at (304658) SSG Landers
          Date/Time: Aug 31 2021 5:30 AM EDT
          Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
          Play Rating: 4%
          Play: 1H NC Dinos -148

          Drew Rucinski has been a little shaky lately but SSG's SP Choi Min Jun is terrible. He ranks 80 out of 93 SPs with a 6.22 career ERA and a 6:6 K:BB ratio. The #1 lineup in Japan should be woken from their slump facing this stiff. Take the defending champs on the 1st 5 money line. -148 at Pinnacle might be gone soon but anything -170 or better is good for a money line 1st 5 play.

          (304137) Orix Buffaloes at (304138) Nippon Ham Fighters
          Game: (304137) Orix Buffaloes at (304138) Nippon Ham Fighters
          Date/Time: Aug 31 2021 12:00 AM EDT
          Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
          Play Rating: 2%
          Play: 1H Nippon Ham Fighters Total Over 1.5 (+100)

          The Fighters are the best hitting team this last week and they face a pitcher in Yamazaki who has a 6+ ERA against them in 2 starts. My numbers have this total at 2.3 so make a small 2% play on Nippon Ham getting 2 runs in the first five innings.

          Hiroshima Carp at Yokohama BatStars
          Game: Hiroshima Carp at Yokohama BatStars
          Date/Time: Aug 31 2021 4:45 AM EDT
          Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
          Play Rating: 3%
          Play: Hiroshima Carp Total Over 3.5 (-110)

          My number have Hiroshima scoring 4.2 in this one which is worth a 3% play. Yokohama SP Hamaguchi is bad, and he is backed by an even worst bullpen. The Carp have been hitting well lately and this is a hitter's park. They also have 9 at bats. Take the Carp Over 3.5 for anything -130 or better.

          (304141) Seibu Lions at (304142) Chiba Lotte Marines
          Game: (304141) Seibu Lions at (304142) Chiba Lotte Marines
          Date/Time: Aug 31 2021 4:45 AM EDT
          Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
          Play Rating: 4%
          Play: 1H Seibu Lions Total Over 1.5 (-120)

          Pinnacle has this at 120 now but it could drop to -140 or so. That's ok play it. The Lions are hitting great right now and Mima can not get his mechanics right. He has allowed 28 RUNS in his last 4 starts. The Lions hot him for a 3.80 ERA and 1.5 is a low hurdle to clear for a 1st 5.

          (304147) Chunichi Dragons at (304148) Hanshin Tigers
          Game: (304147) Chunichi Dragons at (304148) Hanshin Tigers
          Date/Time: Aug 31 2021 5:00 AM EDT
          Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
          Play Rating: 3%
          Play: 1H Hanshin Tigers -150

          Hanshin SP Aoyagi has been great this season and especially great vs Chinichi. The Dragons are the worst hitting team in the league and should be held under 1 in the 1st 5 here. The Tigers are the best 1st 5 hitting team and certainly should be able to get a run in the 1st 5 off of Fukutani. Take Hanshin on the 1st 5 money line. Pinnacle is offering it at 150 but anything 170 or better is good.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358322

            #50
            The Money Team Sports Network

            5k NY Yankees -1.5 -110
            3k Seattle +148
            3k San Francisco +120
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